TheStrangeDeathofMercantilistEngland: GoldandProtectionism,1815‐1846 TimothyAlborn LehmanCollege/CUNYGraduateCenter PapertobediscussedattheColumbiaUniversitySeminaronEconomicHistory Pleasedonotcitewithoutauthor’spermission In1935thehistorianGeorgeDangerfieldascribedwhathecalled“the strangedeathofLiberalEngland”toaconjunctionofConservativebacklash,Irish unrest,suffragettespectacle,andtrade‐unionmilitancyinthedecadebeforeWorld WarOne.1Acenturyearlier,mercantilistEnglandunderwentsimilarlystrange deaththroes,renderedstrangerstillbythefactthatmostliberaleconomists consistentlyclaimed,throughoutthefirsthalfofthenineteenthcentury,thatDavid HumeandAdamSmithhadalreadykilledmercantilisminthe1770s.2Thesame conclusionregardingmercantilism’stimeofdeathhaslongbeenreachedbymost historiansofeconomicthought,whogenerallysettleonHumeandSmithastheend‐ pointoftheirhistoriesofmercantilism.Thefactthatprotectionismremained Britain’scoreeconomicpolicyforseventyyearsafterSmithhas,ofcourse,notgone unnoticedbyhistoriansofeconomics;buttheyhavetendedtofollowthoseclassical economistswho,after1820,reserveddiscussionsofmoneysupplytotherealmof debatesoverBankofEnglandpolicy,andtendedtoframetradepolicyintermsof rentandcostofproduction,withRicardo’slawofdiminishingreturnsloominglarge. 1GeorgeDangerfield,TheStrangeDeathofLiberalEngland(NewYork:SmithandHaas,1935). 2AlthoughthetermmercantilismdidnotentercommonparlanceinBritainuntilthelate1838(the OEDlistsareferencefromTheNewMoralWorldin1838),theclusterofideasthatitimplied(which weresetoutinAdamSmith’sTheWealthofNations)wereclearlyrecognizedthroughouttheperiod, andoftenreferredtoas“themercantilesystem”orthe“theoryofthebalanceoftrade.” 1 HistoriansofeconomicswhofocusonBritishmonetarythoughtinthefirst halfofthenineteenthcenturyhavespentrelativelylittletimeonthecornlaws: hence,forinstance,FrankFetterdevotedasolitarypagetothecornlawsinhis historyof“Britishmonetaryorthodoxy”between1797and1875.3Historianswho focusonthecornlawdebates(whoarefewerinnumber),havespentevenlesstime addressingthefrequentreferencestobulliondrainsthatbothsidesmadeduringthe courseofthedebate.D.P.O’Brien’sexhaustivebookonJ.R.McCulloch,forinstance, providesonlyabrief(albeitcritical)noticeofMcCulloch’sefforttolinkBritain’s goldreserveswithitstradepolicy.ApartialexceptionisBoydHilton’sCorn,Cash, andCommerce,whichmakesapointtobringthetwotopicstogether;buthis analysisendsin1830,beforetheanti‐cornlawcampaignwasofftheground,and focusesmainlyoninternaldebateswithinParliament.4AnotherisAnnaGambles’s historyofprotectionistthoughtbetween1815and1852,whichclearlylocatesthe placeofgoldsuppliesintheseargumentsbutneitherdwellsonthemindetail,nor connectsthemtoalongermercantilisttradition.5 Nobodydeniedatthetimethatdrainsofbullionwerearecurrentproblem between1820and1846:goldsuppliesintheBankofEnglandswungbetweenlow ebbsof£4.6min1826and1839‐41tohighsexceeding£10min1821‐24and1838; thisaccompaniedswingsinprices,althoughtheoveralltendencywasdeflationary. 3FrankWhitsonFetter,DevelopmentofBritishMonetaryOrthodoxy,1797—1875(Cambridge,MA: HarvardUniversityPress),176. 4BoydHilton,Corn,Cash,Commerce:TheEconomicPoliciesoftheToryGovernments,1815‐1830 (Oxford:OxfordUniversityPress,1977),esp.108‐126,132‐134,278‐301. 5AnnaGambles,ProtectionandPolitics:ConservativeEconomicDiscourse1815‐1852(London:Royal HistoricalSociety,1999).Seeinparticular134‐142,andherveryusefuldiscussionofTory journalistsandpamphleteersat10‐18. 2 Inallcases,moreover,mostcontemporariesrecognizedthattightmoneysupplies producedconsequencesthatrangedfrominconvenienttodevastating,sincethe BankofEngland’seffortstoattractgoldbackintothecountryviahigherinterest ratesinevitablyaffectedeconomicactivity.Notallthegoldthatdrainedfromthe Bankwasusedtopayforforeigngrain:althoughpoorharvestsprecededdrainsin 1824and1839,bullionalsolefttheBanktopayforAmericancottonin1838and (bywayofbankruns)inresponsetopoliticalunrestin1832.6 Protectionistsreasonedfromthesedevelopmentstopredictdisastrous consequencesforthecountryunderfreetrade,owingtotheneedtopayfor additionalgrainsupplieswithbullion.Theirliberalopponentsmainlyattributed pricevariationsanddeflationtotheoperationofcornlaws,which(theyargued) prevented“regular”foreignmarketsfromdevelopingthatwouldbepreparedto acceptBritishgoodsinexchangeforgrainintimesofdearth.Theyalsodiverted attentionfromtradetomonetarypolicy,blamingBankofEnglanddirectorsand jointstockbankersforfailingtocurtailloansintimetopreventdrainsfromgetting outofhand;andto“overtrading”merchants(bothinBritainandAmerica)whose demandforaccommodationexceededthenation’smoneysupply.Atbottom,this debatepittedastate‐centeredtheoryoftrade,whichplacedacentralemphasison theroleofnationalrivalriesindeterminingspecieflows,againstamoreidealized internationalmodelthatminimizedgold’sroleinsettlingforeignaccounts. 6ArieArnon,ThomasTooke:PioneerofMonetaryTheory(AnnArbor:UniversityofMichiganPress, 1991),17‐19(tablesdrawnfromMitchellandDeane);M.J.R.HealyandE.L.Jones,“WheatYieldsin England,1815‐59,”JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSociety125(1962),578.Pricesfellbyroughly40% between1819and1850.Asmuchas£10minbullionleftEnglandin1839topayforcorn:Peter Mathias,TheFirstIndustrialNation:AnEconomicHistoryofBritain,1700‐1914(London:Methuen, 1969),230. 3 1.AdamSmithandtheMakingofaShibboleth OneofAdamSmith’smostenduringsectionsinTheWealthofNationswashis spiriteddemolitionof“theMercantileSchool”intheopeningchapterofBookFour. Onereasonitenduredwasthathisdenunciationenabledfuturegenerationsof liberalstodescribetheirprotectionistopponentsasholding“exploded”beliefs,and therebypre‐emptivelydraintheirargumentsofapparentrelevance.Thiswas WilliamNassauSenior’stacticin1827whenhewalkedhisreadersthroughSmith’s argumentsonthewaytoconcludingthat“insteadofopposing…experienceto theory,”nineteenth‐centuryprotectionistswere“opposingthetheoryofa barbarousagetothetheoryandexperienceofanenlightenedone.”7Identifying protectionismwithSmith’saccountofmercantilismturneditintoashibboleth, whichdivertedattentionfromseveralimportantconditionsthathademergedafter 1800andthatmadeithardertodefendSmith’soriginalgroundsforopposing mercantilistthinking:theseincludedtheriseofprotectionismintheUnitedStates andEurope,theexponentialgrowthofBritain’snationaldebtandaccompanyingtax burden,andthethreedecadesofdeflationthatfollowedtheresumptionofcash paymentsin1821. Withoutadmittingitinsomanywords,Smith’sattackonmercantilism paralleledDavidHume’searliercritique,spelledoutinhis1752essay“Ofthe BalanceofTrade.”There,Humehadrecalledthe“universalpannic”thatJoshuaGee 7WilliamNassauSenior,AnIntroductoryLectureonPoliticalEconomy,deliveredbeforetheUniversity ofOxford(London:J.Mawman,1827),31.Seniorstretchedthistactictoitsbreakingpointin1843 whenhecondemnedRobertTorrens’sdefenseofreciprocalfreetradeasacovertattemptto resurrect“notinwordsindeed,butineffect,theMercantileTheory”:“FreeTradeandRetaliation,” EdinburghReview78(1843),8. 4 hadproducedbyinhispredictioninTradeandNavigationofGreat‐Britain Considered(1729)that,inHume’swords,Britain’stradedeficit“wasagainstthem forsoconsiderableasumasmustleavethemwithoutasingleshillinginfiveorsix years.”Hecounteredthiswiththewryreassurancethat“luckily,twentyyearshave sinceelaps’d,alongwithanexpensiveforeignwar;andyet…moneyisstillmore plentifulamongstusthaninanyformerperiod.”Healsorespondedwitha reassuring(ifsketchy)theory,whichsubsequenteconomistswouldcalltheprice‐ specieflowmechanism.Thefallinpricesoccasionedbyadraininbullion,he argued,wouldimmediately“bringbackthemoneywhichwehadlost,andraiseus tothelevelofalltheneighbouringnations…where,afterwehavearriv’d,we immediatelylosetheadvantageofthecheapnessoflabourandcommodities;and thefartherflowinginofmoneyisstoppedbyourfulnessandrepletion.”8 Smith’sdiscussionofthe“MercantileSchool”reinforcedHume’seffortsto downplayconcernsaboutbulliondrainsandtradedeficits.InsteadofGee,he reachedfurtherback,singlingoutThomasMun’sEngland'sTreasureinForeign Trade(1664;writteninthe1630s)tostandformercantilism.Mun,heargued,had mistakenlydistinguishedbetweengoldand“anyotherusefulcommodities,which thefreedomoftrade,withoutanysuchattention,neverfailstosupplyintheproper quantity.”Theonlymeaningfulfunctionofgoldandsilverwasas“utensils…asmuch asthefurnitureofthekitchen”;hencestockpilingbullionwas“asabsurdasitwould betoattempttoincreasethegoodcheerofprivatefamilies,byobligingthemto 8DavidHume,PoliticalDiscourses(Edinburgh:R.Fleming,1752),81‐83.OnSmith’sfailureto incorporateHume’sprice‐specieflowmechanismintohiscritiqueofmercantilismseeJohn CunninghamWood(ed.),AdamSmith:CriticalAssessments(London:Routledge,1984),1:xxvi‐xxvii andaccompanyingarticles. 5 keepanunnecessarynumberofkitchenutensils.”Themovementandsupplyof bullioninthemid‐eighteenthcenturyappearedtojustifySmith’sassumptionthatits roleintrade,thoughnecessary,wassubsidiarytoindustrialandagriculturaloutput. As“themoneyofthegreatmercantilerepublick,”bullioncouldbereliedontoflow efficientlyamongnationstobalanceaccounts;althoughSmithadmittedthatadirect trade—forinstance,BritishhardwareandtextilesforFrenchwine—wasmore profitabletoBritainthana“round‐aboutone”wherebyBritishgoodspurchased Braziliangold,thenexchangedthatforthewine,heinsisted,followingHume,that bothsidesstillgainedfromthelattertransaction.9 Fromhisperspectivein1776,Smithfounditrelativelyeasytodispensewith twooftheissuesthatwouldrevivemercantilistargumentsinthenineteenth century:adrainofbullionowingtoforeignwars,andtheimpactofatradedeficiton thedomesticsupplyofmoney.ReferringtotheSevenYearsWar,whichwasupto thatpointbyfarthemostexpensivewarBritainhadfought,Smithimplicitlyapplied Hume’sprice‐specieflowanalysistodrainsoccasionedbyforeignwars:“whatever partofthismoneyofthemercantilerepublickGreatBritainmayhaveannually employedinthismanner,itmusthavebeenannuallypurchased,eitherwithBritish commodities,orwithsomethingelsethathadbeenpurchasedwiththem,”which “bringsusbacktocommodities…astheultimateresourceswhichenabledusto carryonthewar.”Henceacountrywithsufficientproductionof“thefinerandmore improvedmanufactures”(suchasBritain)couldeasily“carryonformanyyearsa veryexpensiveforeignwar.”Smithwassimilarlydismissiveregardinganypossible 9AdamSmith,AnInquiryintotheNatureandCausesoftheWealthofNations(London:W.Strahan andT.Cadell,1776),2:7‐8,15‐16.,23,78‐80. 6 negativeimpactofabulliondrainonthecirculationofcoin.Atleastpartofhis optimismonthisscorederivedfromhisrelativelybenignviewofa“wellregulated papermoney,”whichcouldreplaceadiminishedsupplyofcoin“notonlywithout anyinconveniency,butwithverygreatadvantages.”10 BytakingSmith’sanalysisastheirstartingpoint,classicaleconomists effectivelydivorcedgoldfromtradepolicy—orrather,theysubordinatedtrade policytothedictatesofan“automatic”internationalgoldstandard.InJoseph Schumpeter’swords,theywere“neithernationalistsorétatistes,”favoring“an unfetteredinternationalgoldstandard”asa“moralaswellasaneconomicideal,” andembracinggoldas“thenaughtyboyintheroomwhoblurtsoutunpleasant truths.”11InthethreedecadesafterWaterloo,theseunpleasanttruthsincludeda steadydietofdeflationandasharp‐edgedbusinesscycle,whichroseandfellas interestratesstruggledtokeeppacewithtrade‐inducedbullionflows. Smith’searlysuccessesinturningthetideagainstmercantilismwere impressive.Lookingbackfrom1843,WilliamNassauSeniorrecalledthatadecade afterSmithhad“conclusivelyrefuted”thatdoctrine,ithadlikewisebeen “abandonedbythescientificandliterarypublicthroughoutEurope,andbythe mercantilepublicinGreatBritain.”Tosupportthisclaim,hecouldpointtoWilliam Pitt’sembraceoffree‐tradeprinciples,aswellasthepassagein1786oftheEden Treaty,whichprovidedunprecedentedaccessforgoodstoflowlegallybetween BritainandFrance.AlthoughSeniorconcededthat“therevolutionarywarsarrested ineachcountrytheimprovementofcommerciallegislation,”heconfidentlyasserted 10Ibid.,2:20‐22,9‐12. 11JosephSchumpeter,HistoryofEconomicAnalysis(Oxford:OxfordUniversityPress,1954),732. 7 thatenlightenmenthad,bythelate1820s,returnedtoBritain,ifnotnecessarilythe restofEurope.12 TheFrenchRevolutionandsubsequentwarsdidmorethaninterruptthis momentuminthespreadofeconomicliberalism.Thesuspensionofcashpayments in1793refutedSmith’s(andHume’s)predictionthatnoforeignwarcouldever drainBritainofsomuchgoldastorendersuchameasurenecessary,Britain’sdebt burdenrosefrom£262mto£885mbetween1793‐1815,andpricesroseby80% overthesameperiod.13Therobustdebatesoverthe1815and1829CornLawsand theresumptionofcashpaymentsin1819reflectedthistransformedfinancial landscape.Aleadingthemeinthesedebateswastheperceivedneed,by“liberal Tories,”tobalanceself‐sufficiencyingrainproduction(amajorconcernduringthe war)withprotectionagainstfamineduringpoorharvests;and,byreturningtothe goldstandard,toarrestinflationandtherebypaydownthenationaldebtonterms thatwouldbefairtoBritain’screditors.14 Theresultwasadelicatepoliticalbalancewherebygraindutiesprotected landowners’interestsandhardmoneyprotectedthoseofcreditors,hencecovering bothbasesof“gentlemanlycapitalism”withoutanyspecificpolicyinplaceforthe benefitofindustrialcapitalorlabor.15AstheBirminghamindustrialistandradical MPGeorgeMuntzwouldcomplainin1840,“provisionhasbeenmadeforthe 12Senior,“FreeTradeandRetaliation,”5;cfJohnA.C.Conybeare,TradeWars:TheTheoryand PracticeofInternationalCommercialRivalry(NewYork:ColumbiaUniversityPress,1987),138‐156. 13GeorgeRichardsonPorter,TheProgressoftheNation(London:MethuenandCo.,1912),617; Arnon,ThomasTooke,17. 14Hilton,Corn,Cash,Commerce,esp.chs1and4. 15SeethediscussionbyPeterJ.CainandA.G.Hopkins,BritishImperialism:InnovationandExpansion 1688‐1914(London:Longman,1993),78‐84. 8 fundholderbykeepingthestandardinitsoldposition…and,toagreatextent,the landedinterestshavebeenmaintainedintheirpositionbythecornlaws;butIdo notseethatanyfaithhasbeenkeptwiththeworkingclasses.”16Althoughfewother peopleatthetimeopposedboththecornlawsandthegoldstandard(mostassailed oneortheother),Muntz’sobservationisausefulreminderthatthesetwopillarsof Britisheconomicpolicybetween1815and1846establishedtermsofdebatein whichgoldsuppliesandforeigntradeconsistentlycrossedpaths. ToresurrectSmithianideasintheaftermathofthewar,liberalsdidtheir besttodivertalldiscussionofgoldtotherealmofmonetarypolicy,wherethey wagedalargelyinternecinebattleovertheproperfunctionoftheBankofEngland underthegoldstandard;andtolabelanyonewhoinsistedonconnectinggoldback totradepolicyashopelesslybehindthetimes.Towardthisend,theyrepeatedly citedSmith’sargumentsagainstmercantilism,bywayofdismissingany contemporaryconcernsregardingbulliondrainsortradedeficitsasrestingon groundsthathadlongsincebeen“exploded”or“abandoned.”17IncaseSmith’s originalmessagewasnotclearenough,J.R.McCullochprefacedhis1828editionof TheWealthofNationswithalengthyadditionalrebuttalofmercantilism,focusing (asSmithhaddone)onThomasMun’sdefenseoftheEastIndiatrade.18When liberalsturnedfromthe“self‐evident”claimsofHumeandSmithtotheiropponents’ 16ReportfromtheSelectCommitteeoftheHouseofLordsappointedtoconsiderofthePetitionofthe EastIndiaCompanyforRelief.London:HMSO,1840),1141. 17See,e.g.,JohnAshtonYates,ALetteronthePresentDepressionofTradeandManufactures (Liverpool:G.andJ.Robinsonetal.,1841),16;WilliamWaterston,ACyclopaediaofCommerce, MercantileLaw,Finance,andCommercialGeography(Edinburgh:OliverandBoyd,1843),43. 18AdamSmith,AnInquiryintotheNatureandCausesoftheWealthofNations(Edinburgh:Adam BlackandWilliamTate,1828),1:xii‐xviii.McCullochborrowedthispartoftheintroductionfromhis DiscourseontheRise,Progress,PeculiarObjects,andImportanceofPoliticalEconomy(Edinburgh, 1824),21‐29. 9 arguments,theydidqualifytheirverdictregardingthedemiseofmercantilism.Jane Marcetlamentedin1816that“theoldpopularerrorrespectingthebalanceof trade…stillprevails,evenamongstourlegislators,”andanEdinburghEncyclopaedia articleonexportbountiespresentedmercantilism’sstayingpowerasaproblemof irrefutabletheorybattlinginsufferablepractice:“Nonebutpersonsofobtuse intellectare,nowadays,blindtotheabsurdityofitsprinciples;whilstitspernicious operationisstillpermittedtogratifyamercantileandmanufacturingavarice,atthe expenseofthegeneralcommunity.”19 Inthisway,mercantilismpersistedasapopularfoilinwhatemergedasa typicalrhetoricalstrategyamongadvocatesoffreetrade:toeducatean underinformedpublicopinionwiththeclearscienceofpoliticaleconomy.An exampleofthiswasadialoguebetweenafarmerandhisenlightenedlandlordin JohnHopkins’sNotionsonPoliticalEconomybyJaneMarcet.WhenHopkinsworried thatsending“moneyinsteadofgoods”forrawmaterialsthatwereunavailablein Britain“wouldnotencourageourmanufactures,”hislandlordrespondedwith Smith’spointthataroundabouttradewasalsobeneficial:“it’sallonewhetherwe sendthegoodstoAmericatopayforthegold,ortoFrancetopayforthesilks,”since ineachcase“thelabouringmanufacturerwillhaveemployment.”20 WhentheIrisheconomistMountifordLongfieldponderedthesurvivalof“the falseprinciplesofthemercantilesystem”in1835,hethoughthecameupwithan 19JaneMarcet,ConversationsonPoliticalEconomy(London:Longman,Hurst,Rees,Orme,and Brown,1816),413;EdinburghEncyclopaeida4(1832):364.Seealso,e.g.,ThomasPerronet Thompson,“M’Culloch’sEditionof‘TheWealthofNations,”WestminsterReview17(1832),273. 20JaneMarcet,JohnHopkins’sNotionsonPoliticalEconomy(London:Longman,Rees,Orme,Brown, Green,andLongman,1833),167‐168. 10 answer,whichdoubledasastrategyforfree‐traders.Protectionistshadturnedto “differentandmoreplausiblearguments”thanthe“explodederrorsofthemore ancientsystemofthebalanceoftrade,”whentheyarguedthatdrainsofgold diminishedindustrial(aswellasagricultural)productivitybydeprivingEnglandof investmentcapital.Hiscounter‐argument,however,wasnotreallyanydifferent:the pricemechanismwouldeventuallyattractgoldbackintoBritain,pullingpricesback upandrestoringeconomicactivity.Whatwasdifferent(andrareenoughfor classicaleconomistsbetween1815and1846)washisaccompanyingqualification: “Theseoperationsarenotconstantlyperceptible,buttheforcewhich,ifnecessary, wouldleadtothem,isalwaysactiveenoughtopreventanynationfromhaving eithertoomuchortoolittlegoldinitspossession.”21Thetrick,inotherwords,was togetprotectioniststoseebeyondmerelytemporarydrainsofgold,tothelong‐ termequilibria.Thiscapturedthebasicformofthedebate,whichwasaboutshort‐ termdrainsversuslong‐termgrowthandstability.Therealpointofcontention, however,concernedtheprotectionists’additionalargumentthatalthoughdrains seldompersistedformorethanayearortwo,theycarriedwiththemlong‐term outcomesthatweredeleteriousfromtheperspectiveoftheBritisheconomy. 2.AnOrientalistPrologue WhenBritishprotectionistsworriedabouttheimpactoffreetradeongold supplies,theyseldomdidsoinwaysthatdirectlymirroredoldermercantilist arguments.Buttheydidappealtoassumptionsthatoldermercantilistshad 21MountifordLongfield,ThreeLecturesonCommerce,andOneonAbsenteeism(Dublin:Millikenand Son,1835),14‐17. 11 originallyexpressed,andthatwerealmostentirelyabsentinclassicalpolitical economy:specifically,theconcernthatBritain’stradingpartnershadreacheda saturationpointintheircollectivedemandforBritishgoods,andthatanyfurther grainimportscouldonlycomeattheexpenseofBritain’smoneysupply.This sectionsurveyssomeexamplesoftheseconcernsastheyappearedineighteenth‐ centurydiscussionsofIndia,whichareusefulforshowingcontinuitiesandcontrasts withlaterprotectionistdiscourse.Thesealsorevealanenduringsuspicionthat Hume’sconceptofaprice‐specieflowmechanismdidnotnecessarilyapplywhere “Asiatic”customsandpoliticalrulepersisted.Totheextentthatnineteenth‐century protectioniststransferredthisperspectivefromIndiaandChinatoRussiaand Poland,itispossibletore‐readthedebateoverthecornlawsasaremakeofan earlierperformancepittingSmithagainstMontesquieu. Inclaimingthatgrain‐supplyingnationswereunlikelytopurchaseBritish goods,protectionistsrevivedseveralargumentsthathadcommonlyaccompanied oldermercantilistcritiquesoftheIndianandChinatrade,whichforegroundedthe unidirectionaldrainofbullionfromwesttoeast.AccordingtotheEastIndia CompanyofficialJohnHenryGrose,whoservedinBombayintheearly1750s,India was“abottomlesspitforbullion,whichcannevercirculatebacktoEurope”;the OrientalistThomasMauriceclaimedthat“thegreattreasuresingoldandsilver, producedbytheminesofSpain,flowed[toIndia],tobethereswallowedupina vortexthatneverregurgitatedtheshiningspoil.”22 22JohnHenryGrose,AVoyagetotheEast‐Indies,beganin1750;withObservationscontinuedtill1764 (London:S.Hooper,1766),324;ThomasMaurice,IndianAntiquities:or,Dissertations,relativeto… Hindostan(London:H.L.Galabin,1800),7:492. 12 Thedrainofbullionthatthesewritersweredescribingwasnotafigmentof theirimaginations.Between1600and1800,asteadyflowofgoldandsilverfound itswayfromLatinAmericatoIndiaandpointseast:bullionexportswereworth around£200,000in1600,risingto£750,000ayearin1700and£1.3mby1800. SpainandPortugaltypicallypaidofftheirtradedeficitswithEngland,France,and theNetherlandsoutofthebulliontheyreceivedfromLatinAmerica,andwhatthe lattercountriesdidnotkeepathometheysentontoEastAsia(aswellastheBaltic StatesandtheMiddleEast).23Bullionincludedsilveraswellasgold,andespecially intheseventeenthcentury(priortonewgolddiscoveriesinBrazil),theBritish shippedmuchmoresilverthangoldtoIndiaandpointseast.Asevereshortageof silvercoininLondonin1620wastheproximatecauseofthefamousmercantilist debatesthatSmithwouldrefertoinTheWealthofNations:EdwardMisselden’s critiqueoftheEastIndiatradeasthe“specialremotecauseofourwantofmoney” spurredMun’sresponseinEngland'sTreasureinForeignTrade.24 Todiagnosethisdigestionofbullion,Britishwritersidentifiedfourrelated culturalandpoliticalconditions,allofwhichconvenientlysetIndiaapartasdistinct fromNorthernEuropeanhabitsandpolicies.Firstwasasuperstitioustendencyto adorntheirtemplesandidolswithgold.Secondwastheirproclivitytoadorntheir bodieswithgold.Third,oftenlinkedtothefirsttwo,wasapoliticalsystembasedon tyrannyandplunder.Andfourth,theSouthAsianclimatecurtailedIndiandemand 23ArturAttman,AmericanBullionintheEuropeanWorldTrade,1600‐1800(Göteborg:Kungl. Vetenskaps‐ochVitterhetsSamhallet,1986),5‐8,77‐78.Factoringinthepreciousmetalsthatwere smuggledoutofLatinAmerica,theactualvolumewasperhapstwiceaslarge 24Misselden,FreeTrade(1622),citedinBarber,BritishEconomicThoughtandIndia1600‐1858 (Oxford:ClarendonPress,1975). 13 forwesterngoods,leavingbullionastheonlydesirableitemintrade.Inallthese cases,thefocuswasonculturaldifferenceasanexplanationofaperceived economicproblem.MichaelSymes,whoaccompaniedanembassytoBurmain1795, depictedtheuseofgoldthereasaninversionofBritishpriorities:“althoughhighly valued,itisnotusedforcoininthecountry;itisemployedsometimesinornaments forthewomen,andinutensilsandear‐ringsforthemen;butthegreatestquantityis expendedingildingtheirtemples,inwhichvastsumsarecontinuallylavished.” Britishwritersspentevenmoretimecataloguingthewidespreaduseofgoldin adorningIndianbodies,accountsofwhichservedthesimilarfunctionofmarking SouthAsiansasaraceapartfromEuropeans.WilliamHodges,describingMadrasin 1780,identified“themomentinwhichanEuropeanfeelsthegreatdistinction betweenAsiaandhisowncountry”asthepointwhenhenoticed,enteringthe harbor,acrowdof“blackfacesadornedwithverylargegoldear‐rings.”25 ManycommentatorspairedthesedescriptionsofIndiansuperstitionand adornmentwithenvironmentalorpoliticalexplanationsforwhyIndiansaccepted onlybullioninexchangefortheirgoods.Montesquieu,whoseobservationsonIndia inSpiritoftheLawscastalongshadowoversubsequentaccounts,claimedthatthe Indianclimate“neitherdemandsnorpermitshardlyanythingwhichcomesfrom ours.”Followinginthisvein,theBritishhistorianAlexanderDowascribedthedrain ofbulliontoIndiatothefactthatitsinhabitants’wants“weresuppliedalmost spontaneouslybythesoilandclimate,”andanotherBritishOrientalistcited“the 25MichaelSymes,AnAccountofanEmbassytotheKingdomofAva,sentbytheGovernor‐Generalof India,intheYear1795(London:W.Bulmer,1800),260;WilliamHodges,TravelsinIndia,quotedin AnalyticalReview15(1793):241. 14 peculiarbenignityoftheclimateinwhichtheylived”asthereasonwhyIndians“had norelishfortheproductionsofanyothercountry.”26ThetravelwriterMaria Grahamprovidedatypicalpoliticalexplanationin1813:“Wherethepeoplewere dailyexposedtotheravagesofbarbarousarmies,itwasnaturaltoendeavourto keeptheirlittlewealthinthatforminwhichitcouldwithmosteasebeconveyed outofthereachofplunderers.”27 SuchdiagnosesofAsianabsorptionofbullionstartedtorecede(althoughit neverwhollydisappeared)after1760,whentheEastIndiaCompanystartedtorely ontaxrevenuesinsteadofbullionimportstopurchasegoods.Fromashareoffour‐ fifthsofitsexportstoIndia,bulliondeclinedtoaone‐eighthshareinthedecade after1757.28Thisreversalmadefree‐tradeadvocatesoptimisticthatnineteenth‐ centurydrainsinthewouldalwaysbemoremoderatethanhadbeenthecasewhen Asiahadabsorbedwesternbullion.McCulloch,forinstance,defendedunilateral freetradewithFrancein1819onthegroundsthattheflowofbullionwasless stickyamongEuropeantradingpartnersbecausethevalueofgoldandsilverin neighboringcountrieswas“alwaysextremelynearapar”:indistinctcontrastto Asia,wheretransportcostsandanassymetryinthevalueofthepreciousmetals madeanindirecttradelessefficient.29 26CharlesdeMontesquieu,TheSpiritofLaws(trans.ThomasNugent;London:J.NoyrseandP. Vaillant,1750),2:21,328;Dow,xliv;CriticalReview38(1803):146.ThomasMunalsoappealedto climatetoexplainthedrainofsilvertoIndiainEngland’sTreasurebyForraignTrade(1668):see Barber,BritishEconomicThought,12. 27MariaGraham,JournalofaResidenceinIndia(Edinburgh:GeorgeRamsay,1813),3. 28RamaDevRoy,“SomeAspectsoftheEconomicDrainfromIndiaDuringtheBritishRule,”Social Scientist15(1987):40‐41. 29J.R.McCulloch,“CommercialEmbarrassments—TradewithFrance,”EdinburghReview32(1819), 59. 15 Atamorebasiclevel,thereversalofspecieflowsfromeasttowestfreedup bullionforotheruses,nottheleastofwhichincludedwagingwaragainstthe AmericancoloniesandFranceafter1776,andmaintainingthegoldstandarddespite recurrentdrainsofbulliontoEuropeandAmericaafter1820.McCullochcitedthis asoneofseveralreasonstobehopefulthatthedeflationthathaddoggedBritainin the1820swouldsoonbeathingofthepast.30Severalliberalcommentatorsalso citedthiseventasindicativeoftheability(ifnotinevitability)ofanindustrialnation tobreakintoeventhemostresistantmarkets—typicallyneglectingtomentionthe importantroleplayedbythecoercivepowersoftaxcollectionandmilitaryinvasion inproducingthisoutcome.31ThefactthatIndia(andlaterChina,aftertheOpium Wars)onlybeganacceptingmanufacturedgoodsinsteadofbullionfromBritain followingmilitarydefeatmaybethereasonwhyalmostnoliberalsappealedto thosecountriesbynamewhentheypredictedthatEuropeanswouldwarmtothe ideaoftradewithBritain. Britishprotectionists,fortheirpart,drewaverydifferentsetoflessonsfrom therecenthistoryofAnglo‐Asiantrade.Withdueallowanceforapparent differencesinnationalcharacterandpoliticalsystems,theyrecurrentlyinvoked ethnographicandpoliticalargumentsthatparalleledearlier“Asiatic”discoursesin 30J.R.McCulloch,ADictionary,Practical,Theoretical,andHistorical,ofCommerceandCommercial Navigation(London:Longman,Rees,Orme,Brown,GreenandLongman,1832),57.Healsocited increasedoutputofgoldandsilverinSouthAmerica(relativetothedipinproductionbetween1810‐ 25)andRussia. 31SubstanceofaDebate,intheHouseofCommons…onEastandWestIndiaSugar(London:J.S. Brickwood,1823),13(WilliamHuskisson);ReportofthePublicMeetingatLiverpool…[on]the RestrictionsimposeduponCommercebythePresentCharteroftheEastIndiaCompany(London:W. Lewer,1829),36(motionbyJohnEwart).OntheroleofpoliticalforceinIndiandeindustrialization seePrasannanParthasarathi,TheTransitiontoAColonialEconomy:Weavers,MerchantsandKingsin SouthIndia,1720‐1800(Cambridge:CambridgeUniversityPress,2001). 16 ordertorefutetheclaimthatforeignerswouldcondescendtotakeBritishgoods,as opposedtobullion,inexchangefortheirgrain.Boththeparallelsandthe departuresweresignificant.Byinvitingearliercomparisonstodecidedlyun‐ EnglishpeasantsandOriental‐styledespotism,protectionistspaintedBritain’s would‐betradingpartners,andforeigntrademoregenerally,asafarriskier propositionthanliberalsallowed.Theydepartedfromearliermercantilist argumentswhentheyponderedwhateasternEuropeanswerelikelytodowiththe bulliontheyabsorbed.IncontrasttoAsiaticdespots,who(accordingtothe Orientalistnarrative)wastedgoldandsilveronpompousdisplayandterrorized theirsubjectsintoburyingit,Europeanautocratsallegedlyhadfarmoresinister plansforthegoldtheyabsorbedinexchangefortheirgrain:toinvestin manufacturing,therebybringingBritishindustrydownalongwithitsagriculture.32 Anotherdeparturefromeighteenth‐centurymercantilism,towhichIwill returnintheconclusion,relatedtotheimpactofgoldandsilversuppliesonprices. Intotheearlynineteenthcentury,defendersoftheEastIndiaCompany’smonopoly celebratedthedrainofbulliontoAsiaasusefullybluntinginflationintheWest;in DavidMacpherson’swords,Europehadbeen“happilypreservedbytheexportation ofsilvertoIndiafrombeingoverwhelmedbytheinundationofthepretious metals.”33Instarkcontrast,mercantilistsinthefirsthalfofthenineteenthcentury 32Anotherparallelthatonlypartlyheldupconcernedthewaynineteenth‐centuryprotectionists depictedpeasantsincentralandeasternEurope,whichtendedtobelimitedtonegativeassertions regardingtheirincapacitytodevelopatasteforBritishgoods.DepictionsofEuropeanpeasants wastinggoldonadornmentfocusedonsouthernEurope,tradewithwhichdidnotfeaturein protectionistwriting. 33DavidMacpherson,TheHistoryoftheEuropeanCommercewithIndia(London:Longman,Hurst, Rees,Orme,andBrown,1812),337. 17 fearedthedeflationaryimpactofbulliondrains,againstthebackdropofthe increasingscarcityofgoldandsilver. 3.MercantilistWineinProtectionistBottles Sinceliberaleconomistsstudiouslyignoredanyandallprotectionistappeals tonationalcharacterandpoliticalmachination,thedebatesurroundingthese concernsseldomprogressedmuchfartherthanadirepredictionononeside, followedbyanassertionontheotherthatthepredictionwentagainstthelawsof politicaleconomy.Atbottom,theeconomiclawinquestionwasSay’sLaw,which refutedthepossibilityofageneralglut,inthatliberaleconomistsclaimedthatthe price‐specieflowmechanismwouldalwayseventuallyregeneratedemandfor Britishgoods.Totheextentthateithersidegotbeyondthisstalemate,theground shiftedtotheargumentthatevenatemporarydeficitinthebalanceofpayments wouldhavearedistributiveimpact,sincedeflationfavoredthefinancialsectorover the“productive”classes. Fewprotectionistmanifestosthatappearedbetween1825and1846lacked somevariantonthedoomsdayscenarioinwhichanopengraintradewouldleadto a“ruinousdrainuponthemetallictreasuresofthecountry”or“drainthebullion coffersoftheBankofEnglandtotheverydregs.”34Tosupportthis,theyneededto meethead‐ontheliberalclaimthatAmericansandEuropeanswouldacceptBritish 34ArchibaldAlison,ThePrinciplesofPopulation,andtheirConjunctionwithHumanHappiness (WilliamBlackwoodandSons,1840),2:443;JamesCharlesDalbiac,AFewWordsontheCornLaws (London:JamesOllivier,1841),53.SeealsoEdwardDaviesDavenport,TheCornQuestion,inaLetter addressedtotheRightHon.W.Huskisson(London:J.Ridgway,1825),3‐4;RemarksupontheCorn LawsoftheUnitedKingdomofGreatBritain([London[,1828),37‐38;OughttheCornLawstobe Repealed(Edinburgh:A.Cannon,1840),23. 18 manufacturedgoods(insteadofgold)inexchangefortheirgrain;and,failingthat, wouldacceptbillsofexchangedrawnoncountriesthatdidbuyBritishgoods.They counteredthefirstargumentbyproclaimingtheincapacityofEuropeanpeasantsto acquireatasteforBritishexports,andbypointingtothetendencyofgrain‐ exportingautocraciestoprotecthomemanufacturesattheexpenseofBritishgoods. Theywerelesssuccessfulataddressingthesecondclaimuntilafterthecommercial crisisof1836‐38,whenthefailureoftheUSeconomytoabsorbexcessBritish exportsprovidedthemwithhardevidencethattheglobalmarketforthosegoods wasnotreliablyelastic. Thetermsofthisdebatewerealreadywellestablishedbythelate‐1820s,as rumorsswirledconcerningHuskisson’sdesignsonthe1815cornlaw.Anearly examplewasLaytonCooke’sclaimin1827that“itcouldscarcelybeexpectedthat theserfsofPolandandRussiawouldrequiretheluxuriesoflifeessentialonlyto thosewhohavearrivedatahighstateofcivilization.”Answernumbereighteenona listofTwentyQuestionssubmittedbytheGeneralAgriculturalCommitteethesame yearpredictedthatliberalizingthe1815CornLawwould“takethegoldoutofthe country”topayforcorn“frompoor,thinlyinhabited,orsemi‐barbarouscountries, whoimportfewmanufacturedgoods.”35Suchclaimspersistedintothe1830s,as whentheBuckinghamshireMPGrenvillePigottarguedin1832that“theywhoare acquaintedwiththeconditionofthepeasantryorfarmers(fortheyarethesame)in north‐easternGermany,Poland,andRussia”knewthatitwould“require 35LaytonCooke,PracticalObservationsontheImportationofForeignCorn,underaGraduatedScale ofDuty(London:JamesRidgway,1827),24;TwentyQuestionssubmittedbytheGeneralAgricultural Committee…andAnswersReturnedfromVariousPartsoftheKingdom(London:byOrderofthe Committee,1827),10. 19 generationstogivethemevenatasteforthemanufacturesofthiscountry,”as opposedtogoods“suppliedbytheirownhousehold.”36 Sofar,protectionistsonlyprovidedreasonswhypeasantsontheContinent wereunlikelytotakeBritishgoodsinexchangefortheirgrain.Thenextplankof theirargumentturnedtowhatthesecountrieswoulddowiththebullionthat Britainsentthem.Here,thepresidingfear(asaCarlislefarmerexpresseditin 1829)wasthat“thegoldwepayforforeigngrainwillactasabountytoextendtheir manufactures.”37Fuelingthisfearwastherapidemergence,almostimmediately followingtheCongressofVienna,ofindustrialprotectioninAmericaandEurope: startingwiththeTariffof1816intheUS,followedbyPrussianCustomsUnionof 1818(whichevolvedintotheGermany‐wideZollvereinby1834)andaRussian tariffonover200importsin1822.38 Sinceittooktimefortheeconomicimpactofthesenewtariffstobefelt, protectionistsinthe1820sinsteadextrapolatedfromthewaryears,whenBritain “promoted[foreigners’]capabilityofcreatingmanufacturingestablishments”by sendinggoldtoherEuropeanalliestopayforgrain.39Bythelate1830s,two decades’worthofexperiencewithforeigntariffshadhardenedtheirstance.One 36GrenvillePigott,ALetterontheNatureoftheProtectionaffordedbythePresentCornLaws,andon theProbableResultofaFreeTradeinCorn,addressedtotheLand‐Owners,Farmers,andElectorsof Buckinghamshire(London:RoakeandVarty,1832),48. 37ARefutationofaCatechismontheCornLawsbyaCumberlandFarmer(London:JamesRidgway, 1829),22. 38C.EdwardSkeen,1816:AmericaRising(Lexington:UniversityofKentuckyPress,,2003),62‐ 65;ToniPierenkemperandRichardH.Tilly,TheGermanEconomyduringtheNineteenthCentury (NewYork:BerghahnBooks,2004),31‐37;BorisAnanich,“TheRussianEconomyandBanking System,”inDominicLieven,TheCambridgeHistoryofRussia:Vol.2,ImperialRussia,1689‐1917 (Cambridge;CambridgeUniversityPress,2006),400. 39ThomasGardnerBramston,ThePrincipleoftheCornLawVindicated(London:J.HatchardandSon, 1827),76; 20 pamphleteerin1843predictedthatunilateralfreetradewouldenableEuropeansto “growrichbybringingcorn,pork,andbeeftoyourshoresandtakingbackgold;and thesurplusoftheirwealth…willbelentoutatfullusancetotheyoungand enterprisingmanufacturerswhowantcapital.”JohnGladstonesimilarlyopposed theliberals’“vapid,frothydeclamation”thatEuropeanswouldtakeBritishtextiles inexchangefortheirgrainbyarguingthattheyhad“beenengagedforyearspastin originatingandadoptingmeasuresfortheexclusionofourmanufacturesandthe promotionoftheirown.”40 ImplicitinmanyoftheseargumentswastheconcernthatPrussianand Russianautocratswoulduseanymeansnecessarytofoilfree‐traders’hopesthat Europeanconsumerscouldeverbeconvincedtovotewiththeirpocketbooks.A “PracticalFarmer”paintedthispictureinthebleakestpossiblecolorsin1839, worryingthatunderfreetrade, themoneyedcapitalists,andtheEmperorofRussia,wouldthenhaveitall theirownway.Russiaalonewouldthenraise,betweenWoronetzand Odessa,quitesufficientcorntosupplythisempire…Thefirstthingthe Emperorwoulddo,inthiscase,wouldbe,tobuildGovernmentwarehouses toagreatextent,andinsistuponallthecornbeingthereplaced;andaduty wouldbeimposedforrent;andanadditionaldutyuponexportation,when thiscountryrequiredthecorn.Goldwouldberequiredforthepurchaseof thecorn:anditisabsurdtoexpect[that]Russiawouldtakeyour manufacturesforcorn.Theywouldsay,“Bringgold;orgoback,andletyour peoplestarve.”Fewpersons,exceptthosewhohaveresidedinRussia,are awareoftheeffectofanukaseissuedbytheAutocrat:disobedience,inthe mosttriflingparticular,byalandowner…wouldinsurehimajourney,gratis, toSiberia:andhispropertywouldbeconfiscated.” 40ReflectionsontheDesignsandPossibleConsequencesoftheAnti‐Corn‐LawLeague(London: Marchant,SingerandSmith,1843),15;JohnGladstone,FourLettersaddressedtotheEditorofthe MorningPostontheObjectsoftheMinisterialBudget(London:WilliamBlackwoodandSons,1841),5. SeealsoJosephHubback,ALetterontheCornLaws(Liverpool:LaceandAddison,1843),29,where hecites“thehostiletariffsoftheUnitedStates,France,Germany,SpainandPortugal.” 21 Addinginsulttoinjury,someprotectionistspredictedthatonceEuropeandespots hadruinedBritishfarmersandcaughtupwithBritishindustry,theywouldbeina positiontolureawayBritishartisans,deliveringthedeath‐blowtoindustryaswell. Oneprotectionistpamphlettookthisreasoningtodesperateextremes:“Englishskill andinventiveingenuitywillbeplantedinaforeignsoil,inwhichtallchimnieswill everywheremeettheview:ourownlandwillbedesolate,andouroncevaunted manufactorieswillbeturnedintoreceptaclesforthestarvingmillionsthusthrown outofemployment.”41 ProtectionistsalsoneededtoconfrontthescenarioinwhichBritain’sgrain providerswouldacceptbillsofexchangeissuedonthesecurityofotherBritish exportmarkets,henceremovingtheneedtosendthemgold.Theymetthisclaimby arguingthatdemandwasnotelasticinthosepartsoftheworldthatpresently purchasedBritishtextiles.Suchassertionsbecameeasiertomakeafterthe commercialcrisisof1838,whenAmericansprovedtohaveasatiableappetitefor Britishgoods.Writingin1840,theIrishjournalistR.N.Kellywaswillingtoallow thatbeforethecrisisBritishgrainimportswere“actually,thoughindirectly, purchasedwithourmanufactures”viaAmericanbills;butsincethen,“muchmore goldhasgoneoutofEngland,…thanwouldhavegone,hadourcommercial relationswithAmericabeenuponasoundandwholesomefooting”;andconcluded that“whatmaybeconsideredthecommercialinsolvencyofthatcountryhastotally derangedtheordinarycourseofourowndealingswithothernations.”ADoncaster 41LettertotheDukeofBuckingham,ontheCornLaws(London:T.Cadell,1839),16‐17;Fallaciesof thePhilanthropists!ACandidAppealtoCommonSense,inSomePlainTalkingtotheManufacturersand ArtisansaboutThemselvesandtheAgriculturists(London:W.HDalton,1841),18‐19. 22 protectionistspecificallyblamedthe1838crashonBritishcapitalists’“desireto multiplybeyondallpastprecedent,theproductivepowersofmanufactures,“and citedthedramaticincreaseinBritishexportstotheUSinthefouryearsleadingup tothecrashas“factswhichcornlawrepealersshouldkeepinmind.”42 Adifferentprotectionistargument,whichalsotappedintoamercantilistfear ofunrequitedtrade,focusedontheredistributiveeffectsofdrain‐induceddeflation. ThiscameoutmostclearlyinanexchangebetweenThomasPerronetThompson andananonymousFraser’sreviewerin1833‐1834,focusingonthesilktradewith France.WhenFraser’slinkedfreetradewiththe“continuallesseningofour circulatingmedium,”andThompsonansweredwiththeusualappealtothe “counteractingoperations”effectedbytheprice‐specieflowmechanism,Fraser’s respondedthatthis“wouldanswertolerablywelliftherewerenonationaldebt,no ‘deadweight,’nomortgages,pensions,fixedsalaries,settlements,andother immoveablepayments,interwovenwitheveryman’saffairs…Bytheirtwo nostrumsof‘metalliccurrency’and‘freetrade,’oureconomistshavecontrived,in littlemorethantenyears,toreducethepricesofallkindsofcommodities.”43 Notallprotectionistswereasreadytoabandonthegoldstandardasthis writer(althoughmanywere),butmostwouldhaveagreedthatthecornlaws performedtheessentialserviceofproppinguppricesinthefaceofgold’s deflationarytendencies:especiallyinlightofthehightaxesthatBritain’sdebt 42R.N.Kelly,AReviewoftheCornLawQuestion(Edinburgh:WilliamBlackwoodandSons,1840),48; G.CalvertHolland,LectureontheCornLaws(Doncaster:R.Hartley,1840),12‐13.CfMauriceLévy‐ Leboyer,“CentralBankingandForeignTrade:theAnglo‐AmericanCycleinthe1830s,”inC. KindlebergerandJ.P.Laffargue(eds.),FinancialCrises:Theory,HistoryandPolicy(Cambridge: CambridgeUniversityPress,1982),66‐113. 43“OnNationalEconomy,”Fraser’sMagazine9(1834),359,361. 23 burdenimposedonlandlordsandfarmers.44Thiswasespeciallythecaseduringthe shortperiodoftimewhenthecornlawscoexistedwiththemorestringent requirementsunderthe1844BankCharterAct,whichpeggednoteissuetothe BankofEngland’sbullionreserves.AprotectionistwriterfortheEnglishReview arguedthatthemorerigidpost‐1844goldstandardneededsuchalawmorethan ever:“themonetarysystemofthecountryisdependentforitsveryexistenceupon thepreventionofanyconsiderableimportationofforeigngrain.”Or,asanother protectionistproclaimedin1846,theBankCharterActmadeitallthemoreclear that“freetradeincornandmonopolyinmoneycannotpossiblyexisttogether.”45 4.BuryingTreasure:GoldandFreeTrade Themostcommonresponseamongadvocatesoffreetradetoprotectionist fearsaboutadrainofbullionwastofocusintentlyonoutcomesratherthan processes.Withmorethanalittleimpatience,theycontinuallyreminded protectioniststhatgoldwouldanddidreturntoEnglandintheend,justasHume hadpredicteditwould;andthatwhenitdid,overalloutputalwaysincreased.When stoppedtofocusontheproblemscausedbydrains,theyeitherblamedthisonthe cornlaws,which(theyclaimed)preventeda“regulartrade”withgrainexporters;or divertedattentiontomonetarypolicy,andspecificallythenumerousmistakes committedbytheBankofEnglandandjointstockbanks.Allthesearguments followedSmithinde‐emphasizingthesignificanceofgoldintheinternational 44See,e.g.,AlarmingStateoftheNationConsidered;theEviltracedtoitsSource,andRemedies PointedOut(London:JamesRidgway,1830),37‐39.OnthispointmoregenerallyseeGambles, ProtectionandPolitics,chs.4‐5. 45“Wellington,”EnglishReview4(1845),304;“CurrencyandCorn,”Hood’sMagazine5(1846),87. 24 economy.LikeSmith,theypresentedgoldandsilverasusefulutensils(possessing “scarcelyanyvaluebutasinstrumentsofexchange,”asonejournalistputitin 1823),alwaystherewhenpeopleneededit,butnotnearlyasimportantasmany protectionistsseemedtothink.46 Free‐tradersmostoftenrespondedtofearsaboutbulliondrainsby bemoaningtheinabilityofprotectioniststounderstandbasiceconomics.Manyof themledwiththeclaimthattalkofgolddrainswasaredherring:“aperfectly irrelevantconsideration,whichhasnothingwhatevertodowithfreetrade,butwith whichithasbeenfoundpeculiarlyconvenient,bycertainsophists,toencumberthe matter,”asonepamphleteerarguedin1839.47Mostappealed,directlyorindirectly, toHume’sprice‐specieflowmechanism,aswhenRichardBadnallofferedthe assurancein1830that“acountryexportingherproduce,andonlyimportinggold, cannotcontinuetodosowithoutcausingaglutofthatcommodity,whichissureby eventuallyfindingitsownlevel,toreturnthroughonechanneloranother,tothat countryfromwhichitwasoriginallyexported,inexchangeforothercommodities.” Elevenyearslater,theliberaljournalFactsandFigurescounteredtheargumentthat “foreignerswillonlytakeourgoldinpaymentfortheircorn”byinsistingthatthey “candonothingofthesort,”since“underafreetradesystemeveryarticlefindsits levelinprice,andsodoesgold.Ifwehavetoolittlepettycashtocarryonourtrade, andanothercountryhastoomuch,wecangiveahigherpriceforit,andbackit comes.”Thatlinessometimesblurredbetweeneconomicargumentsandarticlesof 46EdinburghAnnualRegister16(1823):116. 47JelingerC.Symons,ArtsandArtisansatHomeandAbroad:withSketchesoftheProgressofForeign Manufactures(Edinburgh:WilliamTait,1839),262. 25 faithisapparentfromafree‐tradetractin1838,whichsimplyproclaimedthat“the exchangeswouldatalltimesputthemattertorights.”48 Atitsmostutopian,thisargumentrestedonaprofoundfaithinthecapacity ofBritishingenuitytogenerateaninfinitedemandfortheirproducts.Returning fromEasternEuropein1839,theagriculturalreformerJohnPagetsawnoreason whygrainimportsnecessarilyimpliedadrainofbullion:“What,inthesedaysof universalmovement,steamandrailroads,istohinderatasteforEnglishluxuries andEnglishenjoyments,tospringupamongsttheownersofthevastplainsof Europe;and,insteadofgoldgoingoutforcorn,suddenlycripplingeverybranchof commerce,andimpoverishingtheentirecommunity,EnglishingenuityandEnglish manufacturesstimulated,advanced,andexchanged,inreturnforcontinentalgrain.” Forthefree‐traderGeorgeBrowning,Britainpossessed“akindofnaturalnational monopoly”onintelligenceandindustry,whereby“thenaturalcurrentofher commerceis,tomanufactureforthosecountrieswhosupplyherwithraw materials.”49 Amoresophisticatedvariantonthisargumentwastheclaimthata“regular,” asopposedtosporadic,demandforcornonBritain’spartwouldsustainaregular demandformanufacturesontheotherside.Inotherwords,mercantilismwasonly 48RichardBadnall,LettertotheLordsandCommons,onthePresentCommercialandAgricultural ConditionofGreatBritain(London:Whittaker,TreacherandCo.,1830),129‐130;FactsandFigures1 (1841),14‐15(paraphrasingaletterbyHamerStansfieldofLeeds);TheInjuryInflicteduponthe PeoplebytheCornLawsandtheProsperitythatwouldresultfromtheirRepeal(NewBrentford: CharlesJamesMurphy,1838),15.SeealsoWilliamAnderson,NoticesonPoliticalEconomy(J.M. Richardson,1821),67;J.C.Ross,AnExaminationofOpinionsmaintained[byMalthusandRicardo] (London:J.M.Richardson,1827),42‐43;HenryBooth,FreeTrade,asItAffectsthePeople(Liverpool: WalesandBaines,1833),16. 49JohnPaget,HungaryandTransylvania(1839),quotedinLondonSaturdayJournal3(1840),121; GeorgeBrowning,TheDomesticandFinancialConditionofGreatBritain(London:Longman,Rees, Orme,Brown,Green,andLongman,1834),. 26 arelevantconcernunderthecornlaws,whichcreatedconditionsinwhichgold suppliesmatteredmorethanwouldbethecaseunderfreetrade.Removethem,and goldwouldsoonrecedetothemarginsjustasHumehadpredictedwouldbethe case.“IftherewerenorestrictionsontheimportationofforeignCorn,”arguedthe HuddersfieldministerEdmundKellin1840,“foreignnationswouldgrowcorn regularlytosupplyanydeficiencyinourharvests,andwouldthenpayusinCornfor ourmanufactures,andallthatwouldbenecessarytocarryonourcommercewith suchcountrieswouldbeasmallportionofgold,toactlikecounters,inadjustingthe triflingbalances.”50Thiswasanespeciallypopularargumentagainstthesliding scalethatHuskissonhadintroducedin1829,which,manyargued,madeBritish demandforgrainlesspredictableforforeignsuppliers.Onelecturerarguedin1843 thatundertheslidingscale,“wecomepouringinonthemwithourgoldlikean invadingarmyoflocusts,layourhandsoneverybushelofcornthatallthebullionof theBankofEnglandcanbuy,sweeptheirmarketsbare,andleavefaminebehind.” Noneofthiswouldhappen,heconcluded,ifwewouldonly“letnaturealone.”51 Thesetypesofarguments,whichessentiallywishedawayanypossible negativeeconomicconsequencesofadrainofbullion,wereeffectiveenoughwhen 50EdmundKell,TheInjuriousEffectsoftheCornLaws,onAllClassesoftheCommunity,includingthe FarmerandtheLandowner(London:SmallfieldandCo.,1841),23.SeealsoJamesS.Buckingham,An AddressontheProposedReformsintheCommerceandFinanceoftheCountry(London:Simpkin, MarshallandCo.,1841),231‐232;J.E.Elliot,LettertotheTeviotsideFarmer(London:T.Brettell, 1841),7‐8;TheIncubusoftheNation,andEffectsofItsRemoval(JamesPattie,1841),8;ThomasPlint, Speech…attheWest‐RidingMeetingofAntiCornLawDeputies(Leeds:JohnBarr,1841),11;Reportof theConferenceofMinistersofAllDenominationsontheCornLaws,heldinManchester(Manchester:J. Gadsby,1841),43,97,107. 51PhilipHarwood,SixLecturesontheCorn‐LawMonopolyandFreeTrade(London:JohnGreen, 1843),104‐105.OntheimpactoftheslidingscaleonsupplyanddemandseeWrayVamplew,“The ProtectionofEnglishCerealProducers:TheCornLawsReassessed,”EconomicHistoryReview33 (1980):382‐395. 27 liberalswerepreachingtotheconvertedatAnti‐CornLawLeaguemeetings.They werelesseffectivewhentheyfoundthemselvesinParliament,wheretheywere expectedtodosomethingaboutthenegativeimpactofrecurringeconomic downturns.Oneoptionwastoblame“overtrading”bymerchantsandbankers,a conceptthatatleastdivertedblameforcommercialcrisesfromthelandlordswith whomtheylegislatedinparliament.ThiswasthefavoredapproachofMalthusian financialreformerslikeLordOverstone,whoassumedthatthatbusinessmenwho recklesslyspeculatedbeyondtheirmeansweredoomedtoexperienceendless wavesofself‐deceptionandbankruptcy.52McCullochsimilarlyblamedthedrainin 1837onAmericanmerchants,who“grosslyovertraded”andshuttheireyestothe inevitable“scarcityofmoney”thattheiractionshelpedtobringabout.53 Asecond,moreconstructive,liberalresponsetocommercialinstabilitywas totinkerwithmonetarypolicy.Oneinterpretationforthevastamountofinkspilled on“thecurrencyquestion”between1820and1846,themajorityofwhichwas producedbypeoplewhowereunitedintheiroppositiontothecornlaws,isthatit divertedattentionfrommercantilistdiagnosesoffinancialcrises.Thesedebates focusedontheallocationofresponsibilityamongbankersandtherelevant instrumentsofcreditthatshouldbesubjectedtoregulation;theyculminatedinthe victoryofthe“currencyschool,”whichresultedinthe1844BankCharterAct.Aless successfulproposal,whichDavidRicardofirstintroducedin1816andMcCulloch revivedin1828,servestoillustratethetendencyofliberalstoembracecurrency 52BoydHilton,TheAgeofAtonement:TheInfluenceofEvangelicalismonSocialandEconomic Thought,1795‐1865(Oxford:OxfordUniversityPress,1988),131‐136.. 53J.R.McCulloch,“CrisisintheAmericanTrade,”EdinburghReview66(1837),234. 28 reformasanalternativetomercantilism.Theschemeconsistedinapapercurrency backedexclusivelybybullion,withonlytokencoinsincirculation.Notonlywould thisgreatlyreducetheriskofdomesticbankruns,McCullochargued,itwouldalso enabletheBanktoregulatepriceswithsufficientprecisiontoenticetrading partnerstopreferBritishexportsovergold“underalmostanyconceivablestateof ourcommercialrelations.”54 Asisoftenthecaseinpersistentcontroversies,bothsideswerecorrect regardingdifferentaspectsoftheirarguments.Theliberalclaimthatgolddid alwaysreturnfollowingadrainwas,ofcourse,trueforthefirsthalfofthe nineteenthcentury,andtheeconomydid,bymostaccounts,achievesignificant overallgrowthduringthesameperiod.Ontheotherhand,thatperiodwasalso markedbyboutsofdevastatingunemploymentandpersistentdeflation,which couldatleastinsomecasesbetraceddirectlytodrainsofgold,andwhichcame withaclearsetofwinnersandlosers.Oneofthesecretstoliberalsuccessinthe battleforfreetradewastheirabilitytokeepattentionfocusedonconsumerprices and“monopoly”rentschargedbylandlords,andfocusedawayfromthecreditor interestthatgainedsubstantiallyfromdeflation.PeriodicallydemonizingtheBank ofEnglandand“overtrading”speculatorshelpedtheircause,asdidthereticence withwhichmanyprotectionistsdirectlyattackedthe“fundholder”interest,forfear ofbeingassociatedwithBirminghamradicals. 54J.R.McCulloch,supplementtoAdamSmith,WealthofNations(1828ed.),4:249.McCulloch’s proposal,whichoriginallyappearedinTheScotsmanin1826,builtonasimilarproposalinRicardo’s ProposalsforanEconomicalandSecureCurrency:seeD.P.O’Brien,J.R.McCulloch:AStudyinClassical Economics(NewYork:BarnesandNoble,1970),167‐177,forafulldiscussion. 29 5.Conclusion ReportinghomefromatourinFrankfurtin1848,theToryjournalistWilliam AytountooktheopportunitytoprovidereadersofBlackwood’sMagazinewitha grimpost‐mortemoftherecentlydepartedcornlaws: Istrolledonfromshoptoshop,gleaningeverywhereasIwentstatistics touchingthemannerinwhichourfree‐tradeinnovationshaveaffectedthe industryofGreatBritain.Forayearandahalf,thebootandshoetradehas beenremarkablythriving;theLondonmarketbeingthemostprofitablein theworld,andnothingbutBritishgoldexportedinreturn….Whenwecouple thosefacts,whichmaybelearnedineveryContinentaltown,withthestateof ourfallingrevenue,andthegrievousdirectburdenwhichisimposeduponus intheshapeofpropertyandincometax,itisdifficultforanyBritonto understanduponwhatgroundsthefinancialreputationofSirRobertPeelis based,ortocomprehendthewisdomofadheringtoasystemwhichsacrifices everythinginfavouroftheforeigner,andbringsusinreturnnoearthly recompenseorgain. AytounlinkedPeel’spolicies,andthe“adversestateoftheforeignexchanges”that theyhadbroughtabout,with“thecalamitousmonetarypanicof1847,”which,he claimed,hadbeen“occasionedbythedemandforgoldtomeetthelarge importationsofforeigngrainconsequentuponthe[Irish]famine.”Thefactthat goldhadsoonreturnedtotheBank,heargued,hadonlytakenplaceatthecostof forcedsales“atpricesruinouslylowtotheproducers”and“bythesuddenlimitation oftheemploymentoflabour.”55 Bytheearly1850s,manyprotectionistsweresingingaverydifferenttune. Whathadchangedintheinterveningyearswasthediscoveryofmajornewsupplies ofgoldinCaliforniaandAustralia,whichwouldincreaseworldgoldoutputfrom 55W.E.Aytoun,“AGlimpseofGermanyanditsParliament,”Blackwood’sEdinburghMagazine64 (1848),534;Aytoun,“Agriculture,Commerce,andManufactures,”Blackwood’sEdinburghMagazine 67(1850),372. 30 justoverfortytonsayearinthe1840stoaround800tonsin1860.56Awashingold, protectionistsbaskedintheanticipationofgrainpricesrisingwiththemoregeneral inflationarytide,andnolongerworriedifsomeofthenewgolddepartedthe countrytopayforadditionalstocksofgrainfromabroad.ArchibaldAlison, referringtotheCaliforniagoldrushas“thecurrencyextensionactofnature,” predictedthatthis“giftofProvidencetoasufferingworld”would“arrestthe generalandcalamitousfallofpriceswhichtheFree‐tradershavelabouredso assiduouslytointroduce,andthusdiminishinamostmaterialdegreetheweightof debtsandtaxes.”EdwardCayley,whohadbeenaleadingprotectionistduringthe 1840s,putitevenmorestrongly:“Givemegold—givemecheappaper—andIdon’t careforprotection.WehaveAustralia—wehave,thankstoabeneficentProvidence, California,andthatsettledthequestionoffreetrade.”57 Totheextentthatthenewsuppliesofgoldprovidedprotectionistswitha deusexmachinathatwouldundothebanefuleffectsoffreetrade,thegoldrushes alsostruckthefinaldeathknellofBritishmercantilism,atleastinitsandearly nineteenth‐centuryincarnation.Thereasonforthiswasthat,after1800, mercantilistdiscoursehadhingedontherelativescarcityofgoldandsilver,which enabledprotectioniststoforecasteconomicdisasterfollowingthepredicted diversionofthosepreciousmetalstopayforgrain.AsAytoun’sgloomydispatch fromFrankfurtsuggests,suchforebodingsmightverylikelyhavecontinuedto 56NiallFerguson,TheCashNexus:MoneyandPowerintheModernWorld,1700‐200(NewYork:Basic Books,2001),331. 57ArchibaldAlison,“TheCurrencyExtensionActofNature,”Blackwood’sEdinburghMagazine69 (1851),19;YorkHerald,11April1857,quotedinH.I.DuttonandJ.E.King,“AnEconomicExile: EdwardStillingfleetCayley,1802‐1862,”HistoryofPoliticalEconomy17(1985),215. 31 accompanycritiquesoffreetradewellintothesecondhalfofthenineteenth century,hadnotthepromiseofasufficiencyofgoldsuddenlyappearedonthe scene. 32