® May 19, 2016 EQUITY 360 Nifty level PREV. CLOSING % CHANGE NIFTY INDEX 7870.15 -0.26% NIFTY FUT. 7879.30 -0.36% SGX CNX Nifty Index Fut. (8:15 am.) 7850.00 -0.34% Outlook for the day DAILY TREND Sideways International market The market is seen opening lower tracking weakness in Asian stocks and lackluster trading on Wall Street overnight. U.S. stocks finished littlechanged late Wednesday following a bumpy session after minutes from the Federal Reserve's most recent meeting indicated that “most” of its members are ready to lift rates as early as June. Closer home, CESC, Dishman Pharma, GHCL, Gujarat State Petronet, Igarashi Motors, Man Infra, Pidilite Industries, IRB Infra, Lupin, Sobha and WABCO India to announce their results today. As per provisional figures, foreign institutional investors (FIIs)/ Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) sold shares worth net Rs 250.7 crore on 18th May 2016. Domestic institutional investors bought shares worth Rs 239.91 crore on that day. INDEX CLOSING (SPOT) CHANGE (%) US MARKETS NASDAQ COMPOSITE 4739.12 +0.50% DOW JONES 17526.62 -0.02% NASDAQ 100 4325.75 -0.15% DOW JONES 17452.00 -0.15% HANG SENG INDEX 19678.20 -0.75% NIKKEI 225 16636.67 -0.05% SHANGHAI COMP. INDEX 2825.77 +0.65% US MARKETS (FUTURE) ASIAN MARKETS Sector to watch today Sectors to Outperform Pharma and IT Sectors to Underperform Auto and FMCG Macro news Federal Reserve policymakers see a rate hike coming in June, according to the minutes from the Fed's April policy meeting released. It's the most telling sign yet that the Fed plans to tighten in the near future, as inflation is picking and jobs growth is on the rise. 1 ® Nifty level SGX Nifty 7,850 (-27) Nifty outlook S1 S2 R1 R2 Today the markets are likely open on flat note. All emerging markets 7800 7750 7950 8000 are trading in red. The coming session is likely to witness a range of NIFTY LEVEL 7879 7800 on declines and 7950 on advances. Nifty snapshot 18-May 17-May Nifty Spot 7870.15 7890.75 Nifty May 7879.30 7907.60 Nifty Jun 7889.40 7917.10 Chg. OI (May) (%) -3.09 2.50 Chg. OI (Jun) (%) 33.94 9.24 50 Day SMA 7712 7699 100 Day SMA 7576 7576 200 Day SMA 7808 7812 18-May 17-May 16-May 13-May 12-May 59.13 59.12 78.81 54.07 31.60 38.91 59.40 3.38 2.86 1.99 14.62 15.87 36.73 41.80 36.80 7200 7500 7600 7700 7800 Call 7900 8000 8100 8200 8300 Put 7.29 8.00 15.65 0.86 0.82 0.82 PCR(OI) 0.93 0.94 0.87 0.82 0.96 PCR(VOL) 0.86 0.97 0.90 0.95 0.99 2.85 A/D RATIO(Nifty 50) 0.58 1.08 1.76 0.16 A/D RATIO(All FO Stock)* 0.97 0.96 1.48 0.31 2.73 Implied Volatality 14.56 14.69 14.86 28.97 28.11 VIX 16.46 16.37 17.03 17.00 17.00 HISTORY. VOL 17.39 17.86 18.38 18.63 18.26 Date Nifty % Change Open Intrest 10-May 7920 0.2% 18483450 1.5% 11-May 7866 -0.7% 16720350 -9.5% 12-May 7928 0.8% 17043975 1.9% 7831 -1.2% 16286400 -4.4% 16-May 7887 0.7% 16198875 -0.5% 17-May 7908 0.3% 16604025 2.5% 18-May 7879 -0.4% 16091700 -3.1% 0.18 Net investment (in cr) -10.00 7000 7200 7500 7600 7700 7800 Call 7900 -0.02 -8.00 -0.03 -8.51 -8.00 -3.41 -0.93 -3.45 -5.42 -6.00 -0.42 -2.22 -0.09 -0.17 -2.06 -0.07 -0.09 -0.17 -4.00 % Change 13-May 0.00 -2.00 27.80 0.66 4.00 0.25 26.45 0.87 Fund flow (FII/DII) 2.68 6.00 2.00 16.85 7.80 Nifty option OI change In lakhs 10.00 9.15 0.88 Nifty v/s OI 0.00 7000 Nifty Discount/Premium COST OF CARRY% *All Future Stock 5.93 10.00 7.33 20.00 4.50 30.00 13.47 40.00 36.96 60.00 37.26 70.00 50.00 63.16 80.00 IBREALEST, JINDALSTEL Sentiment indicator Nifty option OI concentration In lakhs 90.00 Stock is in ban period 8000 8100 8200 8300 Put FII INDEX FUTURE -1282 FII INDEX OPTION -112 FII STOCK FUTURE 285 FII STOCK OPTION -100 FII CASH -251 DII CASH 240 Trading ideas Trade Entry Sl Target Status Abirlanuvo 1020 May Call Scrip Buy 24-25 20 42 Intraday Rcom 50 May Put Buy 1.2-1.3 0.6 2.5 Intraday 2 ® Nifty discount / premium 30.00 0 26.45 35.00 26.80 500 296 420 40.00 27.80 695 37.60 45.00 1000 31.95 In Cr. 38.25 FII’S activity in Nifty future -1282 16.85 9.15 5.00 -1278 -989 -962 10.00 0.00 05-May 06-May 09-May 10-May 11-May 12-May 13-May 16-May 17-May 18-May 05-May 06-May 09-May 10-May 11-May 12-May 13-May 16-May 17-May 18-May Top 10 long build up LTP 15.65 20.00 15.00 -1000 -1500 17.00 -193 -378 -500 -238 25.00 Indices to out perform % Change Open Interest % OI Change IBREALEST 93.0 4.49% 29682000 TATACOMM 451.8 4.03% 3996300 HEXAWARE 219.6 3.83% 5834000 Closing % Change Realty 180 2.30% 5.37% FMCG 19964 0.02% 5.19% Small Cap 5283 0.55% 25.83% HDIL 91.6 4.09% 23112000 4.99% IT 11120 -0.05% CESC 548.8 1.91% 1718000 2.75% Midcap 3345 0.16% Closing % Change 2281 1.69% PTC 65.8 1.08% 9600000 2.74% BANKINDIA 85.5 1.61% 20187000 2.67% PNB 76.5 3.59% 33588000 2.15% DLF 128.0 2.73% 34840000 2.01% JUSTDIAL 723.4 1.40% 1956500 1.80% Top 10 short build up LTP % Change Open Interest% OI Change CASTROLIND 384.9 -2.99% 5084200 34.20% STAR 1140.8 -2.03% 1006800 7.43% Indices to under perform PSU Bank Infra 2612 0.20% Bank 16729 -0.20% Energy 8287 -0.05% Auto 8145 -1.21% Closing % Change Stocks to out perform MOTHERSUMI 276.9 -5.04% 14410500 5.51% SUNTV 429.2 -0.84% UBL 735.0 -1.67% 1967000 5.27% IBREALEST 93.0 4.49% IGL 582.2 -1.56% 1574100 4.91% HINDUNILVR 826.5 -0.92% 5811000 4.73% KSCL 440.8 -0.37% HAVELLS 363.3 -0.60% 3620000 3.90% ABIRLANUVO 1017.4 5.23% KTKBANK 114.4 -0.65% 11992000 3.52% PFC 175.5 2.51% Closing % Change CASTROLIND 384.9 -2.99% BANKBARODA 142.9 0.63% SRF 1266.5 0.04% UBL 735.0 -1.67% RCOM 51.4 -0.19% BHEL 120.1 -1.15% 20574000 2.85% SUNTV 429.2 -0.84% 4732000 2.82% Stocks to under perform 3 ® Sector overview Scrips/Indexs Sector overview OI Volume Change Price Remark Scrips/Indexs Change (%) Change OI Volume Change Price Remark Change (%) Change Auto 412550 58.1% -1.3% Long Unwinding Infrastructure -1913400 -1.6% 0.8% Short Covering Auto Ancillaries 861525 -63.0% -3.2% Long Unwinding Media -25900 -28.4% -1.4% Long Unwinding PSU Banks -2297900 23.4% 2.1% Long Buildup Private Banks -3620500 -20.5% -0.1% Long Unwinding 71300 -4.0% -0.3% Short Buildup Cement Capital goods -2067100 -24.8% -0.7% Long Unwinding Fertilizers -369700 10.7% -0.8% Long Unwinding FMCG IT Real Estate Metals 1064000 33.1% 1.3% Long Buildup NBFC -489950 -18.8% 0.3% Long Buildup Oil & Gas -840800 -23.5% -0.3% Short Buildup Pharma Power 31900 -8.6% -0.2% Short Buildup -990100 -3.5% 0.3% Long Buildup 147100 4.7% 0.1% Long Buildup -1380350 3.6% 0.2% Long Buildup Textile -229400 -10.6% 0.0% Long Buildup Long Buildup Telecom 1761500 5.1% 1.0% Short Covering 4642000 20.1% 3.1% Change in sector open interest 46.42 In Lakhs 60.00 50.00 0.32 10.64 1.47 0.71 10.00 8.62 20.00 4.13 30.00 17.62 40.00 Telecom -2.29 Textile -9.90 Power -8.41 Oil & Gas Pharma -4.90 NBFC Metals Media -19.13 Infrastructure Real Estate IT FMCG -20.67 Fertilizers PSU Banks Auto Ancillaries Auto -50.00 Cement -40.00 Capital goods -22.98 -30.00 Private Banks -36.21 -20.00 -13.80 -3.70 -10.00 -0.26 0.00 Stocks trend on daily closing levels for short term STOCKS CLOSING PRICE TREND DATE TREND CHANGED RATE TREND CHANGED S&P Nifty 7870 UP 04.04.16 7759 CLOSING STOP LOSS 7300 CNX IT Index 11120 UP 22.03.16 11207 10700 CNX Bank Index 16729 UP 18.03.16 15655 15400 A.C.C 1432 UP 18.03.16 1337 1360 ADANIPORT 183 Down 05.05.16 198 230 AMBUJA CEMENT 216 UP 18.03.16 223 200 ASIANPAINT* 965 UP 14.12.15 878 810 4 ® Stocks trend on daily closing levels for short term STOCKS CLOSING PRICE TREND DATE TREND CHANGED RATE TREND CHANGED CLOSING STOP LOSS AUROPHARMA 781 UP 01.04.16 727 640 AXIS BANK 500 UP 20.04.16 459 410 BAJAJ AUTO 2460 UP 30.03.16 2415 2250 BANKBARODA* 142 Up 04.03.16 149 130 BHARTI ARTL 351 Up 10.03.16 339 330 120 Down 13.08.15 259 135 21070 UP 18.03.16 18799 17300 BHEL BOSCHLTD BPCL * 932 UP 18.03.16 857 790 CIPLA 524 Down 10.11.15 639 560 COALINDIA 285 Down 19.08.15 357 340 DRREDDY 3028 Down 06.11.15 3631 3250 EICHER MOTOR 18000 18699 UP 01.04.16 19230 GAIL 383 UP 18.03.16 363 325 GRASIM 4260 Up 04.03.16 3525 3200 HCL TECH* 741 Down 01.10.15 859 880 H.D.F.C 1208 up 10.05.16 1219 1120 HDFC BANK 1141 UP 21.03.16 1045 970 HEROMOTOCO 2880 UP 19.02.16 2700 2480 HINDALCO 89 UP 08.03.16 83 85 HINDUNILVR 826 UP 21.03.16 880 810 ICICI BANK 227 Down 04.05.16 214 240 IDEA 110 Down 13.08.15 158 135 INDUSIND 1086 Up 04.03.16 918 830 INFRATEL 382 UP 01.04.16 386 350 INFOSYS 1212 Up 04.03.16 1173 1120 ITC 333 UP 18.03.16 324 305 KOTAK BANK* 710 UP 30.03.16 685 630 LT 1309 UP 18.04.16 1253 1180 LUPIN 1639 Down 17.03.16 1669 1840 M&M 1323 UP 22.03.16 1252 1180 MARUTI 3907 UP 26.04.16 3858 3600 NTPC 136 UP 13.04.16 138 122 ONGC 214 Down 07.05.15 317 235 POWERGRID 143 UP 29.01.16 148 120 RELIANCE 970 Down 29.04.16 981 1040 SBI 180 Down 16.05.16 177 195 SUN PHARMA 796 Down 29.03.16 793 860 TATA MOTORS 385 UP 11.03.16 353 310 TATAMTRDVR 268 UP 01.04.16 286 262 TATA POWER 70 UP 18.04.16 70 63 TATA STEEL 330 Up 04.03.16 289 300 TCS 2553 UP 18.03.16 2421 2270 TECHM 485 Down 13.11.15 518 510 2680 ULTRACEMCO 3220 UP 22.02.16 2917 WIPRO 538 Down 03.05.16 543 580 YESBANK 971 Up 04.03.16 759 700 ZEEL 436 UP 26.04.16 414 375 Note: These levels should not be confused with the weekly trendsheet which is sent in weekly magazine in the name of "Wisemoney" 5 ® SMC Research Desk SMC Research also available on Reuters ® Corporate Office: 11/6B, Shanti Chamber, Pusa Road, New Delhi - 110005 Tel: +91-11-30111000 www.smcindiaonline.com E-mail: researchfeedback@smcindiaonline.com Mumbai Office: Dheeraj Sagar, 1st Floor, Opp. Goregaon sports club, link road Malad (West), Mumbai - 400064 Tel: 91-22-67341600, Fax: 91-22-28805606 Kolkata Office: 18, Rabindra Sarani, "Poddar Court", Gate No. 4, 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