June 8, 2004
SES Daily Election Update
Conservatives Lead; Harper as PM Up
ELECTION TRACKING
J BALLOT (rank 1 - decided only)
40%
41%
30%
28%
20%
18%
10%
Questions
11%
3%
35% (+7)
31% (-10)
BQ
CP
GP
16% (-2)
11% (0)
6% (+3)
0%
NDP
LP
UND M25 – 21%
UND J06 – 23%
M25 M26 M27 M28 M29 M30 M31 J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7
J APPETITE FOR CHANGE
60%
52%
Change
40%
30%
Unsure
28%
23% (-5)
20%
10%
11%
11% (0)
10%
11% (+1)
Good
job
Neither
0%
M25 M26 M27 M28 M29 M30 M31 J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7
Ducep
31%
24%
20%
17%
10%
16%
9%
3%
0%
M25 M26 M27 M28 M29 M30 M31 J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7
Undeci
Based on what you know about theded:
federal party
leaders and their performance during the election
21%
campaign up until today, who do you
think would
make the best Prime Minister.
The daily tracking figures are based on a three day
rolling sample comprised of 600 interviews. A
national random telephone survey is conducted
nightly by SES Research throughout the campaign.
Each evening 200 voters are interviewed. To
update the tracking a new day of interviewing is
added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of
accuracy for the rolling sample of 600 voters is
±4.1%, 19 times out of 20. The research was
registered with the Canadian Survey Research
council of which SES is a member.
M25 on the charts reflect the findings of a national
SES poll completed on May 25, 2004. Percentages
may not add up to 100 due to rounding.
J BEST PRIME MINISTER
30%
Some people think that the Liberals have done a good
job running the country and that Paul Martin would be
strong Prime Minister. Others think that the Liberals
have been in power too long and that it’s time for a
change. Which of these two opinions best reflects your
views?
Methodology
55% (+3)
50%
If a FEDERAL election were held today, could you
please rank your top two current local voting
preferences.
27% (-4)
26% (+9)
22% (-2)
Harper
Layton
Martin
13% (-3)
10% (+1)
4% (+1)
Unsure
None
About SES
Established in 1987, SES Canada Research Inc. is a
full service public opinion research and
management consulting firm. For more
information on our full range of services please
visit our website www.sesresearch.com . Media
inquiries should be directed to:
Mr. Nikita Nanos at (613) 234-4666 ext.237 or
nnanos@sesresearch.com
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