June 14, 2004
SES Daily Election Update
The Race is Tied as the Leaders Debates Begin
ELECTION TRACKING
J BALLOT (rank 1 - decided only)
40%
Questions
41%
30% 28%
BQ
CP
GP
18% (0)
11% (0)
5% (+2)
NDP
LP
UND M25 – 21%
UND J13 – 15%
M2
M25
M26
M27
M28
M39
M30
1
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
J6
J7
J8
J9
J10
J11
J12
J13
20% 18%
11%
10%
3%
0%
34% (+6)
33% (-8)
J APPETITE FOR CHANGE
60%
52%
30%
24% (-4)
20%
10%
Unsure
28%
11%
10%
10% (-1)
7% (-3)
Good
job
Neither
M2
M25
M26
M27
M28
M39
M30
1
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
J6
J7
J8
J9
J10
J11
J12
J13
0%
31%
24%
20% 17%
16%
9%
10%
3%
M2
M25
M26
M27
M28
M39
M30
1
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
J6
J7
J8
J9
J10
J11
J12
J13
0%
The daily tracking figures are based
on a three day
21%
rolling sample comprised of 600 interviews. A
national random telephone survey is conducted
nightly by SES Research throughout the campaign.
Each evening 200 voters are interviewed. To
update the tracking a new day of interviewing is
added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of
accuracy for the rolling sample of 600 voters is
±4.1%, 19 times out of 20. The research was
registered with the Canadian Survey Research
council of which SES is a member.
M25 on the charts reflect the findings of a national
SES poll completed on May 25, 2004. Percentages
may not add up to 100 due to rounding.
J BEST PRIME MINISTER
30%
Based on what you know about the federal party
leaders and their performance during the election
campaign up until today, who do you think would
make the best Prime Minister.
Undeci
Change
40%
Some people think that the Liberals have done a good
job running the country and that Paul Martin would be
strong Prime Minister. Others think that the Liberals
have been in power too long and that it’s time for a
change. Which of these two opinions best reflects your
views?
Methodology
ded:
59% (+7)
50%
If a FEDERAL election were held today, could you
please rank your top two current local voting
preferences.
Ducep
30% (-1)
27% (+10)
Harper
Layton
16% (-8)
12% (+3)
11% (-5)
4% (+1)
Martin
Unsure
None
About SES
Established in 1987, SES Canada Research Inc. is a
full service public opinion research and
management consulting firm. For more
information on our full range of services please
visit our website www.sesresearch.com . Media
inquiries should be directed to:
Mr. Nikita Nanos at (613) 234-4666 ext.237 or
nnanos@sesresearch.com
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