June 3, 2004
SES Daily Election Update
Conservatives Close Gap; Desire for Change Goes Up
ELECTION TRACKING
J BALLOT (rank 1 - decided only)
40%
41%
30%
28%
20%
18%
10%
Questions
35% (-6)
32% (+4)
CP
GP
19% (+1)
11%
9% (-2)
4% (+1)
3%
0%
M25
BQ
M26
M27
M28
M29
M30
M31
J1
NDP
LP
UND M25 – 21%
UND J02 – 13%
J2
J APPETITE FOR CHANGE
60%
30%
Change
Unsure
28%
26% (-2)
20%
10%
11%
10% (-1)
10%
7% (-3)
Good
job
Neither
0%
M25
M26
M27
M28
M29
M30
M31
J1
J2
J BEST PRIME MINISTER
30%
Ducep
31%
30% (-1)
24%
20%
17%
22% (+5)
20% (-4)
10%
16%
9%
13% (+4)
11% (-5)
3%
5% (+2)
0%
M25
M26
M27
M28
M29
M30
M31
J1
J2
Based on what you know about the federal party
leaders and their performance during the election
campaign up until today, who do you think would
make the best Prime Minister.
Methodology
ded:
50%
40%
Some people think that the Liberals have done a good
job running the country and that Paul Martin would be
strong Prime Minister. Others think that the Liberals
have been in power too long and that it’s time for a
change. Which of these two opinions best reflects your
views?
Undeci
58% (+6)
52%
If a FEDERAL election were held today, could you
please rank your top two current local voting
preferences.
Harper
Layton
Martin
Unsure
None
A national random telephone survey
is conducted
21%
nightly by SES Research throughout the campaign.
Each evening 200 voters are interviewed. The daily
tracking figures are based on a three day rolling
sample comprised of 600 interviews. To update
the tracking a new day of interviewing is added
and the oldest day dropped. The margin of
accuracy is ±4.1%, 19 times out of 20. The
research was registered with the Canadian Survey
Research council of which SES is a member.
M25 on the charts reflect the findings of a national
SES poll completed on May 25, 2004. M26
represents May 26th, M27 May 27th and so on.
Percentages may not add up to 100 due to
rounding.
About SES
Established in 1987, SES Canada Research Inc. is a
full service public opinion research and
management consulting firm. For more
information on our full range of services please
visit our website www.sesresearch.com . Media
inquiries should be directed to:
Mr. Nikita Nanos at (613) 234-4666 ext.237 or
nnanos@sesresearch.com
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