Bangladesh Arsenic Case Study Cost comparison Option Unit Cost ($) Persons Cost per (per unit) Person ($) Cost per arsenicosis case avoided Deep Tubewell $500 - 790 250 $2 - 3 $30 - 50 Household Treatment $5 - 50 5 $3 - 20 $55 - 330 Dug Well $560 - 620 125 $4.5 - 5 $65 - 70 Pond Sand Filter $400 - 600 250 $2 - 4 $35 - 65 Rain Water $100 - 200 5 $20 - 40 $350 - 630 Piped Supply $30,000 2000 $17 $280 Source: Ahmed (2002) Extent of Contamination and Health Effects Predicted National Rates of Arsenicosis and Cancer Present Conditions 150m Wells Remedy Arsenicosis West Bengal Data our model fit 1,860,000 people (1%) Skin Cancer Taiwan Data our fit Internal Cancers Taiwan Data NRC model fit 125,000 people ( 0.1%) 3,000 people/yr 690,000 people (0.57%) 37,000 people (0.04%) 800 people/yr The 150m well remedy: • Replaces 30% of the nations wells • That is 800,000 wells at a cost of $500/well • Total cost of $395,000,000 • $340 per reduction in arsenicosis prevalence Groundwater Arsenic Concentration vs. Age of Well Concentration (ln-ppb) 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Age of Well (years) Each point represents an average of ~200 wells. Wells were sampled in 1997-1999. ???? Big Basic Questions: Why are dissolved arsenic levels so high? • Where does it come from? -- Little solid phase arsenic • Why isn’t it flushed away? -- Flow + Little retardation Why are arsenic concentrations so variable on small scales? Important Questions for Decision Making: Will arsenic concentrations change? Can deep aquifers provide a long-term solution? Key Scientific Questions: What is the solid state of arsenic? How do shifts in water chemistry affect arsenic mobility? MIT/BUET Field Site Dhaleswari River 5 km Padma River Field Site Biogeochemistry Arsenic Profile Solid phase Arsenic ug/g or ppm Dissolved As (ppb) Surface 0 Clay Core 15 Piezometers 20 40 60 Depth (m) 80 Sand 100 120 Clay 140 160 Sand 0 400 800 0 2 4 6 8 10 Solid As 0 0 (nmoles/g dry wt.) 20 60 40 Solid Fe 0 80 (µmoles/g dry wt.) 200 400 600 800 Clay 20 40 60 Depth (m) 80 100 Arsenic Extraction Targets Weakly adsorbed Strongly adsorbed Carbonates, AVS, amorphous oxides Crystalline Fe oxides, amorphous As sulfides Silicates, As 2O3 Crystalline Sulfides pyrite 120 Clay 140 160 Mostly Fe II (Except for magnetite) Competing Anions 0 Depth (m) 80 Arsenic Phosphate Silicate 160 0.01 0.1 1 10 (µM) 100 1000 -2 log saturation index (SI) 0 2 4 6 8 0 SEM Bangladesh aquifer 20 Depth: 91’ Fraction: “non-magnetic heavy” Depth (m) 40 60 3 80 100 120 140 160 180 2 Ca5(PO4)3OH (Hydroxyapatite) Fe3(PO4)2 (Vivianite) CaCO3 (Calcite) FeCO3 (Siderite) 1 4 20 µm 1. quartz (SiO2) 3. rutile (TiO2) 2. Ca-phosphate 4. REE-phosphate Sulfur Chemistry Dissolved Sulfur (uM) and As (nM) 0.1 1 10 100 1000 0 10000 0.01 Solid phase Sulfur (umoles/g) 0.1 1 10 H2S 20 SO4 Depth (m) 40 As 60 80 100 120 H2S detection limit 140 Total sulfur 160 180 AVS 100 Dissolved Carbon Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC) (mM) 0 0.4 . 0.8 . 1.2 . 1.6 . 2 Methane 20 40 60 Depth (m ) 80 DIC 100 DOC 120 401 601 180 0 2 4 6 8 Inorganic (DIC) and Methane (mM) 10 Arsenic, Ammonium and Calcium Dissolved As ( µM) NH 4 + ( µM x 10 ) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 0 20 40 60 Depth (m) 80 100 120 140 160 180 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Dissolved Ca (mM) 2.5 3 Comparison of MIT field site to BGS national data set Munshi gan j A rsen i c 0 D issolved ( M) 2 4 6 8 Munshi gan j Su lfate B GS average A rsen i c 0 0.2 ( M) 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.0 Sulfate ( M) 10 100 B GS average Su lfate 0 50 ( M) 100 150 200 250 Munshi gan j C al ci um & B GS average C al ci um A m m onium (mM ) C alcium (mM ) 0 1 2 AVS 20 NH + 4 40 D issolved As 60 As D epth (m ) Ca 80 Solid phase As 100 120 140 Total solid phase S 160 0 25 50 75 100 Solid (nmol /g dry wt.) 0.1 1 10 Total Solid Sulfur ( mol/g) A cid Volatile Sulfide 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 N H4 + ( M x 10) A s ( M) 0 1.5 1.0 2.5 Arsenic in Withdrawn Water after Injection of Low-Arsenic Groundwater Water Dissolved As (ppb) 0 0 20 40 400 800 Original Value = 700 ppb 300 250 200 ppb 150 60 Depth (m) 100 80 100 120 140 160 50 0 0 100 200 hours 300 400 Arsenic in Withdrawn Water after Injection of Nitrate Dissolved As (ppb) 0 0 400 Injectate: Nitrate Added to High-Arsenic Groundwater 800 800 20 700 40 600 60 Depth (m) Injected Volume Removed 500 ppb 80 400 300 100 200 120 100 140 0 0 160 50 100 150 200 250 hours 300 350 400 450 Arsenic in Withdrawn Water after Injection of Molasses Injectate: Molasses Added to Low-Arsenic Groundwater Dissolved As (ppb) 0 0 400 800 Original Value = 120 ppb 60 20 Depth (m) 40 50 60 40 80 ppb 30 100 20 120 10 140 0 0 100 200 300 160 hours 400 500 Carbon Isotopes 1000 • Inflow of young carbon Surface Water Carbon (Atmospheric values over last 50 years) 500 • Young carbon drives biochemistry Inorganic Carbon C0/00 0 Methanogenesis Methane 3m 19m 0 700 30m 60m 2000 4000 Organic Carbon -500 CaCO3 -1000 -70 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 13 C0/00 -5 0 Radiocarbon Age 14 • Mixture of young and old carbon is not the result of pore water mixing, but mobilization of old organic carbon