1.010 Uncertainty in Engineering MIT OpenCourseWare Fall 2008

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1.010 Uncertainty in Engineering

Fall 2008

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1.010 - Brief Notes #4

Random Vectors

A set of 2 or more random variables constitutes a random vector. For example, a random vector with two components, X =

X

 X

1

2

, is a function from the sample space of an experiment to the (x

1

, x

2

) plane.

• Discrete Random Vectors

• Characterization

• Joint PMF of X

1

and X

2

:

P

X

(x) = P

X

1

,X

2

(x

1

, x

2

) = P[(X

1

= x

1

) ∩ (X

2

= x

2

)]

• Joint CDF of X

1

and X

2

:

F

X

(x) = F

X

1

,X

2

(x

1

, x

2

) = P[(X

1

≤ x

1

) ∩ (X

2

≤ x

2

)]

= ∑ ∑

P u

1

≤ x

1 u

2

≤ x

2

X

1

,X

2

(u

1

, u

2

)

• Marginal Distribution

• Marginal PMF of X

1

:

P

X

1

(x

1

) = P[X

1

= x

1

] = ∑

P[(X

1 all x

2

= x

1

) ∩ (X

2

= x

2

)] = ∑

P all x

2

X

1

,X

2

(x

1

, x

2

)

• Marginal CDF of X

1

:

F

X

1

(x

1

) = P[X

1

≤ x

1

] = P[(X

1

≤ x

1

) ∩ (X

2

< ∞ )] = F

X ,X

2

(x

1

, ∞ ) = ∑ ∑

P all x

2 u ≤ x

1

X ,X

2

(u, x

2

)

• Continuous Random Vectors

• Characterization

• Joint CDF F

X

1

,X

2

(x

1

, x

2

) : same as for discrete vectors.

• Joint Probability Density Function (JPDF) of X =  

2

, f

This function is defined such that:

2

(x

1

, x

2

) : f

X ,X

2

(x

1

, x

2

)dx

1 dx

2

= P[( x

1

≤ X

1

< x

1

+ dx

1

) ∩ (x

2

≤ X

2

< x

2

+ dx

2

)]

Relationships between f

X

1

,X

2 and F

X

1

,X

2

: f

X

1

,X

2

(x

1

, x

2

) =

∂ 2 F

X ,X

2

∂ x

(x

1

∂ x

1

2

, x

2

)

F

X

1

,X

2

(x

1

, x

2

) = x

∫ ∫

x

2

−∞ f

X ,X

2

(u

1

, u

2

)du

1 du

2

• Marginal distribution of X

1

• CDF : F

X

1

(x

1

) = F

X

1

,X

2

(x

1

, ∞ )

• PDF : f

X

1

(x

1

) = dF

X

1

(x

1 dx

1

)

=

∂ F

X ,X

2

∂ x

(x

1

1

, ∞ )

=

∂ x

1

=

x

1

− ∞ du

1

∞ f

X

1

,X

2

−∞ f

X

1

,X

2

(x

1

, u

2

)du

2

(u

1

, u

2

)du

2

• Conditional PDF of (X

1

| X

2

= x

2

) f

( X

1

|X

2

= x

2

)

(x

1

) = f

X

1

,X

2 f

X

2

( x

( x

1

,

2

) x

2

)

∝ f

X

1

,X

2

(x

1

, x

2

) , for f

X

2

(x

2

) ≠ 0

• Conditional Distribution

• Conditional PMF of (X

1

| X

2

= x

2

):

P

( X |X

2

= x )

(x

1

) = P[X

1

= x

1

| X

2

= x

2

] =

P

X

1

,X

2

P

X

2

(x

1

(x

2

, x

2

)

)

∝ P

X

1

,X

2

(x

1

, x

2

)

Example of discrete joint distribution: joint PMF of traffic at remote location

(X in cars/30 sec. interval) and traffic recorded by some imperfect traffic counter (Y)

(note: X and Y are the random variables X

1

and X

2

in our notation).

Example of discrete joint distribution: marginal distributions.

(a) Marginal PMF of actual traffic X, and (b) marginal counter response Y.

• Independent Random Variables

X

1

and X

2

are independent variables if:

F

X

1

,X

2

(x

1

, x

2

) = F

X

1

(x

1

) . F

X

2

(x

2

)

Equivalent conditions for continuous random vectors are: f

X

1

,X

2

(x

1

, x

2

) = f

X

1

(x

1

) . f

X

2

(x

2 or: f

(X

1

|X

2

= x

2

)

(x

1

) = f

X

1

(x

1

)

) and for discrete random vectors:

P

X

1

,X

2

(x

1

, x

2 or:

P

(X

1

|X

2

= x

2

)

(x

1

) = P

X

1

) = P

X

1

(x

1

(x

1

) . P

X

2

(x

2

)

)

Example of continuous joint distribution: joint and marginal PMF of random variables X and Y.

(Note: X and Y are the random variables X

1

and X

2

in our notation)

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