Probability Mass Functions • Definition: A probability mass function of a discrete random variable X is pX (x) = P (X = x). • Notation: For shorthand, we write X ∼ pX to say that a discrete random variable X has the distribution defined by the pmf pX (or that pX is the pmf of X). • Here are some simple examples of discrete random variables and their pmf’s. 1. Roll two fair 6-sided dice. Let X be the sum of the two independent rolls. For practice, you can verify that x−1 x = 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 36 14−x−1 pX (x) = x = 8, 9, 10, 11, 12 36 0 otherwise. 2. Draw four cards from a standard deck without replacement. Let X be the number of hearts. What is pX (x)? Solution: First, what is Im(X)? Im(X) = {0, 1, 2, 3, 4} We can use counting methods to find the pmf of X. pX (x) = number of ways to get x hearts . number of ways to select 4 without replacement For x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, this is 39 13 pX (x) = x 4−x 52 4 . To summarize, 13 39 ( x )(4−x) (52 pX (x) = 4) 0 otherwise. 3. Draw four cards from a standard deck with replacement. Let X be the number of hearts. What is pX (x)? Convince yourself that the pmf of X can be written as in the table below: x pX (x) 0 .754 1 4(.25)(.75)2 2 6(.25)2 (.75)2 3 4(.25)3 (.75)2 4 .254 ∗ This example has the same structure as the dartboard example from class. ∗ The four draws can be viewed as a sequence of iid Bernoulli trials with a success probability of .25. ∗ X is the sum of four Bernoulli random variables: For i = 1, 2, 3, 4, ( 1 if card on ith draw is a heart Xi = 0 otherwise. ∗ Then, X1 , X2 , X3 , and X4 are iid Bernoulli random variables with a success probability of p = .25, and X = X1 + X2 + X3 + X4 . ∗ X is called a binomial random variable with parameters n = 4 and p = .25. ∗ For practice, you can compute the expected value of X. Why does your answer make sense? 2