Renewable Energy Project Finance and Funding Future Energy Conference Seattle, Washington November 9, 2010 Fred Greguras Palo Alto Office fred.greguras@klgates.com 650.798.6708 PL45556v2 Renewable Energy Project Finance Basics Are the numbers financeable by lenders and other investors? Spreadsheet analysis of costs, revenue streams and investor ROI Are the revenues predictable enough for investor comfort? Sources of revenue Project Costs Land Equipment Construction Transaction Financing Operations and maintenance Sources of funding 1 Sources of Funding Sponsor Equity 15-20% Skin in the game Loan 40-50% Tax Equity 35-40% Federal investment tax credit/1603 cash grant in lieu of ITC Federal depreciation 85% of the basis 2 Loan Guarantees (Credit Support) Purpose is to reduce credit cost and make the financing math work better Guarantors Sponsor Vendor Department of Energy Borrower and other principals must make a significant cash investment in the project. Guarantees are generally limited to 80% of project costs. Cost of complicated application process may offset credit cost savings Other federal and state programs 3 Sources of Project Revenue Power purchase agreement Creditworthiness of power purchaser Price per kWh Predictability of receiving the revenues-PPA terms Feed in tariff utility (Contrast with Germany, Spain, Italy) Land rights/Junk on the roof Impact of Oct 21 FERC decision on calculating avoided cost Federal 30% cash grant in lieu of investment tax credit or ITC Renewable Energy Certificates created to help satisfy state renewable portfolio standards (RPS). Teeth needed in RPS requirements to increase demand State subsidies utilities Production Based Initiative rebate (California) does not include sales to 4 Federal Cash Grant in Lieu of Investment Tax Credit (Section 1603) 30% cash as opposed to ITC Single most important federal incentive and simplest to implement Available only until 12/31/2010; thereafter reverts to ITC only unless extended by Congress. Unlikely to be extended prior to 12/31; best possibility is extension in some form in the Spring, 2011 Project must be under construction by 12/31/2010 to qualify 5% of the cost has been paid or incurred prior to 12/31 Begin physical work of a significant nature No extension will reduce number of new generating installations and increase cost of tax equity investment 5 Job Creation Section 1603 cash grant Federal Advanced Energy Manufacturing Tax Credit (48C) $2.3B fully allocated Prospects for additional funding State and local incentives for manufacturing Washington, Arizona, Oregon 6 Summary Successful project finance depends on making the numbers work for investors with a high degree of predictability There will be more utility financed and owned projects as well as projects financed by vendors but ratepayer and financial statement impacts will require other financing structures No single government incentive or policy is sufficient to enable financing; a tool kit of incentives and policies is needed that can be applied at the same time The federal 30% cash grant is the single most important incentive in the U.S. but is not sufficient by itself to finance a project even a temporary expiration will delay new financings The consequences of failing to meet RPS requirements must be more severe in order to have a meaningful impact on financing Renewable energy projects create jobs 7