11/19/12 Problem Set 4 Arbitrage Warm-up: Problem 2 £ 500,000 $1,250,000 $1=£0.40 NY $1,000,000 LON £1=CHF 2.30 $1=CHF 1.15 ZUR CHF 1,150,000 Profit = $250,000 1 11/19/12 Problem 6 (Basis too big) 500,000 bu $1,050,000 Money $2.00 per bushel today 3% Wheat today Storage 10¢ $1,065,649.08 Money 30 later $2. per bushel Wheat later $1,150,000 500,000 bu Profit = $84,350.92 Problem 7 Lend @ 18.45% (Basis too small) 500,000 bu $1,000,000 Money $2.00 per bushel today Wheat today 3% $1,014,903.88 Money 02 later $2. per bushel $1,010,000 Profit = $4,903.88 Wheat later 500,000 bu Borrowing @ 2.02% 2 11/19/12 Problem 9 This is includes a Floating/Floating Swap BW Homes Net for RRNB: extra 1% each year T + 2% RRNB LIBOR + 1% LIBOR CitiCorp T-Bill + 1% Counterparty T-Bill LIBOR + 1% Midland Bank $10,000 per year profit! Problem 10 • Breakup Value $750,000,000 from Shug’s Restaurants $600,000,000 from Betty’s Boutiques $200,000,000 from airline liquidation $1,550,000,000 Total • Market Value of Package: $1,000,000,000 • Value of airline as going concern: $550,000,000 3 11/19/12 Problem 11 C(S,X,t) + B(X,t) = S + P(S,X,t) $9 + $89 $98 $95 + $2.50 $97.50 Profit = 50 cents Problem 12 C(S,X,t) + B(X,t) = S + P(S,X,t) $12 + $84.06 $96.06 $10 + $89 $99 Build a Box! $95 + $1.25 $96.25 $95 + $1.75 $96.7 5 4 11/19/12 Problem 12 So, what comes from building the box? Initially: $10 – $1.75 – $12 + $1.25 = – $2.50 At expiration you will receive $5 no matter what $90 – $85 = $5 S 90 85 Double your money! Problem 13 E(R) CML 10% 8% 3% 5% 8% σ Phillips is below the market line Need to know beta 5 11/19/12 Problem 14 E(R) CML 12% 8% 3% 5% σ 8% ARCO is above the market line This is an arbitrage opportunity! Problem 15 E(R) SML 25% 20% 15% 11% 5% 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 β Stock B is undervalued 6 11/19/12 Problem 16 E(R) SML 15% 13% 5% 0.8 1.0 β This stock is on the market line It is in equilibrium Problem 21 • Value of new package (per Value Additivity Principle) $100,000,000 for Megalithic Iron Works $50,000,000 for Newton Brickyards $150,000,000 Total • Less cash paid to Newton Stockholders: $100,000,000 • Remaining value of Megalithic stock: $50,000,000 7