Practice Problems Financial Derivatives Spring 2016 Problem Set 5: Arithmetic of Financial Engineering Problems 1 through 50 are also used in the investments course. We use them here to establish the foundation of interest rate risk, which plays a significant role in derivatives strategies. Those who remember them should review them to refresh memory, then move on to problems 51 through 70. 1. A bond is offered with face value of $1,000, a 10% coupon rate with semi-annual payments, and twenty years to maturity. If the market interest rate is 12%, what should be the price? 2. If the market interest rate rises to 15%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 1? 3. If the market interest rate drops to 9% instead, what will be the new price for the bond in question 1? 4. If the market interest rate changes to 8%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 1? 5. If the market interest rate rises to 10%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 1? Note that when the market rate equals the coupon rate, the price equals the face value. 6. If the market interest rate drops to 6% instead, what will be the new price for the bond in question 1? 7. If the market interest rate changes to 17%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 1? 8. If the market interest rate rises to 18%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 1? 9. If the market interest rate drops to 16% instead, what will be the new price for the bond in question 1? In the first three problems the market rate varied around 12%.1 In the next three problems it varied around 8% (changing by 2% both up and down). In the final three it varied around 17% (changing by 1% each way). Note that the capital gain from a decrease of x% in the market interest rate would be greater that the capital loss from an increase of x%. This relationship is known as convexity. 10. A bond is offered with face value of $1,000, a 10% coupon rate with semi-annual payments, and ten years to maturity. If the market interest rate is 12%, what should be the price? 1It changed by 3%, first going up from 12% to 15% and then going down from 12% to 9%. page 1 Practice Problems Financial Derivatives Spring 2016 11. If the market interest rate rises to 15%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 10? 12. If the market interest rate drops to 9% instead, what will be the new price for the bond in question 10? 13. If the market interest rate changes to 8%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 10? 14. If the market interest rate rises to 10%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 10? 15. If the market interest rate drops to 6% instead, what will be the new price for the bond in question 10? 16. If the market interest rate changes to 17%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 10? 17. If the market interest rate rises to 18%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 10? 18. If the market interest rate drops to 16% instead, what will be the new price for the bond in question 10? Note that the capital gains or losses from changes in market interest rates are greater the longer the time to maturity. That is, bonds with longer maturities are riskier to hold. 19. A bond is offered with face value of $1,000, a 5% coupon rate with semi-annual payments, and twenty years to maturity. If the market interest rate is 12%, what should be the price? 20. If the market interest rate rises to 15%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 19? 21. If the market interest rate drops to 9% instead, what will be the new price for the bond in question 19? 22. If the market interest rate changes to 8%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 19? 23. If the market interest rate rises to 10%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 19? 24. If the market interest rate drops to 6% instead, what will be the new price for the bond in question 19? 25. If the market interest rate changes to 17%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 19? page 2 Practice Problems Financial Derivatives Spring 2016 26. If the market interest rate rises to 18%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 19? 27. If the market interest rate drops to 16% instead, what will be the new price for the bond in question 19? 28. A bond is offered with face value of $1,000, a 5% coupon rate with semi-annual payments, and ten years to maturity. If the market interest rate is 12%, what should be the price? 29. If the market interest rate rises to 15%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 28? 30. If the market interest rate drops to 9% instead, what will be the new price for the bond in question 28? 31. If the market interest rate changes to 8%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 28? 32. If the market interest rate rises to 10%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 28? 33. If the market interest rate drops to 6% instead, what will be the new price for the bond in question 28? 34. If the market interest rate changes to 17%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 28? 35. If the market interest rate rises to 18%, what will be the new price for the bond in question 28? 36. If the market interest rate drops to 16% instead, what will be the new price for the bond in question 28? There is something else you should notice from the data you have generated in the above problems. The relative price changes2 resulting from a change in the market interest rate are not the same for all bonds of the same maturity. Price volatility is higher when the coupon rate is lower. This is known as coupon bias. 2That is, Pnew –Pold . Pold page 3 Practice Problems Financial Derivatives Spring 2016 37. A high tax bracket investor is comparing two bond issues for possible inclusion in her portfolio. She expects market interest rates to be declining slowly but steadily over the foreseeable future. Bond A is a 6% ten-year Aaa-rated bond selling at $750.76. Bond B is an 8% ten-year Aaa-rated bond selling at $875.38. What is the yield to maturity for each bond, assuming semi-annual payment of coupons? Which would you recommend, based on the investor's expectations about future interest rates? She is not interested in current income, but rather in capital appreciation. 38. Calculate the duration for each of the bonds in problems 1, 10, 19, and 28. The duration is the weighted-average maturity of the package of payments, where the weights are determined by each payment’s portion of total present value. See how the duration reveals the effects of convexity and coupon bias. The longer the duration, the more sensitive the bond price is to interest rate fluctuations. 39. Using the concepts of convexity and duration, explain the process of immunizing a bank’s exposure to interest rate risk. Now let’s develop the yield curve. 40. Suppose the interest rate on debt with a 1-year maturity is 6%, and the interest rate on debt with a 2-year maturity is 6.5%. Theodore Jones expects that the 1-year interest rate will be 7.5% next year. He could invest over a 2-year horizon by purchasing the 2-year bond, or by purchasing the 1-year bond with the intention of rolling over the money. Which bond will he choose this year, the 1-year maturity or the 2-year maturity? What risks are involved with the different strategies? 41. Suppose the interest rate on debt with a 2-year maturity is 7%. Which bond will Theodore Jones choose this year, the 1-year maturity or the 2-year maturity? What risks are involved with the different bonds? 42. Assume the yield curve is based upon unbiased expectations. Given Theodore Jones’ expectations, what would be the equilibrium interest rate on debt with a 2-year maturity? 43. Suppose the interest rate on debt with a 1-year maturity is 5%. The 1-year rate is expected to rise to 6% next year and 7% the following year (in other words, the 1-year forward rate is 6% and the 2-year forward rate is 7%). Assume the yield curve is based upon unbiased expectations. What would be the equilibrium interest rate on debt with a 3-year maturity? 44. Suppose the interest rate on debt with a 1-year maturity is 6%. The 1-year rate is expected to rise to 6.5% next year, 7% the following year, and 8% the year after that. Assume the yield curve is based upon unbiased expectations. What would be the equilibrium interest rate on debt with a 4-year maturity? page 4 Practice Problems Financial Derivatives Spring 2016 Now let’s do some arbitrage 45. The following prices are observed. Calculate the yield to maturity for each bond, and formulate a trading strategy to profit from the situation. • Treasury bonds with 6% coupon and 10 years remaining to maturity are selling at $75.08 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). • Treasury bonds with 8% coupon and 10 years remaining to maturity are selling at $79.00 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). • Equivalent risk bonds with 0% coupon and 10 years remaining to maturity are selling at $36.80 per $100 of face value. 46. The following prices are observed. Calculate the yield to maturity for each bond, and formulate a trading strategy to profit from the situation. • Treasury bonds with 6% coupon and 10 years remaining to maturity are selling at $67.00 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). • Treasury bonds with 8% coupon and 10 years remaining to maturity are selling at $76.00 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). • Treasury bonds with 10% coupon and 10 years remaining to maturity are selling at $88.00 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). 47. The following prices are observed. Calculate the yield to maturity for each bond, and formulate a trading strategy to profit from the situation. • Treasury bonds with 6% coupon and 8 years remaining to maturity are selling at $88.35 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). • Treasury bonds with 6% coupon and 7 years remaining to maturity are selling at $87.00 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). • Treasury bonds with 6% coupon and 6 years remaining to maturity are selling at $90.61 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). 48. The following prices are observed. Calculate the yield to maturity for each bond, and formulate a trading strategy to profit from the situation. • Treasury bonds with 6% coupon and 8 years remaining to maturity are selling at $86.35 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). • Treasury bonds with 6% coupon and 7 years remaining to maturity are selling at $89.44 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). • Treasury bonds with 6% coupon and 6 years remaining to maturity are selling at $88.44 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). page 5 Practice Problems Financial Derivatives Spring 2016 49. The following prices are observed. Calculate the yield to maturity for each bond, and formulate a trading strategy to profit from the situation. • Treasury bonds with 6% coupon and 8 years remaining to maturity are selling at $85.70 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). • Treasury bonds with 6% coupon and 7 years remaining to maturity are selling at $89.44 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). • Treasury bonds with 6% coupon and 6 years remaining to maturity are selling at $90.61 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). 50. The following prices are observed. Calculate the yield to maturity for each bond, and formulate a trading strategy to profit from the situation. • Treasury bonds with 6% coupon and 8 years remaining to maturity are selling at $93.95 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). • Treasury bonds with 6% coupon and 7 years remaining to maturity are selling at $90.68 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). • Treasury bonds with 6% coupon and 6 years remaining to maturity are selling at $90.61 per $100 of face value (net of accrued interest). 51. The following prices are observed. Formulate a trading strategy to profit from the situation. • US treasury bonds with 0% coupon and 2 years remaining to maturity cost $85.48 per $100 of face value. • UK government bonds with 0% coupon and 2 years remaining to maturity cost £83.86 per £100 of face value. • Exchange rates are $1.00 = £0.645 spot, and $1.00 = £0.65 for 2-year forward. 52. The following prices are observed. Formulate a trading strategy to profit from the situation. • US treasury bonds with 0% coupon and 2 years remaining to maturity cost $85.48 per $100 of face value. • German government bonds with 0% coupon and 2 years remaining to maturity cost Euro 88.85 per € 100 of face value. • Exchange rates are $1.00=€ 0.74 spot, and $1.00=€ 0.75 for 2-year forward. 53. Suppose an option trader has a call bull spread. The stock price has risen substantially, and the trader is considering closing the position early. What factors should the trader consider with regard to closing the transaction before the options expire? 54. Suppose you are following the stock of a firm that has been experiencing severe problems. Failure is imminent unless the firm is granted government-guaranteed loans. If the firm fails, its stock will fall substantially. If the loans are granted, it is expected that the stock will rise substantially. Identify strategies that would be appropriate for this situation. page 6 Practice Problems Financial Derivatives Spring 2016 55. Explain why selecting a strap rather than a straddle implies a somewhat more bullish outlook. 56. Be prepared to describe a situation in which a strip might be appropriate. First, use the picture symbols from Donald Smith’s article to explain the payoffs from a strip. 57. Be prepared to describe a situation in which a strangle might be appropriate. First, use the picture symbols from Donald Smith’s article to explain the payoffs from a strangle. 58. Be prepared to describe a situation in which a calendar spread might be appropriate. 59. Many option traders use a combination of a money spread and a calendar spread called a diagonal spread. This transaction involves the purchase of a call with a lower exercise price and a longer time to expiration combined with the sale of a call with a higher exercise price and a shorter time to expiration. Assume that today is February 11. The underlying stock is presently at $165.125. Standard deviation is 21%. Option expirations are March 15 and May 17 (riskfree rates are 5.03% for the March maturity and 5.71% for the May maturity). Using the option calculation software, evaluate the diagonal spread that involves purchasing a May 165 call and selling a March 170 call. Estimate the breakeven stock price at the end of the holding period (assume the position will be unwound at the end of the trading day on March 14). Explain the nature of the bet. 60. Consider a “plain vanilla” fixed-to-variable interest rate swap. Do the following from the buyer’s perspective, then from the seller’s perspective: a) Replicate the swap with transactions in the underlying bonds. b) Explain the exposures to interest rate risk generated (or reduced) by the swap. c) Explain the bets being made about the direction of future interest rate movements when one buys (or sells) such a swap. 61. Consider an interest rate cap. Do the following from the buyer’s perspective, then from the seller’s perspective: a) Replicate the cap with transactions in the underlying bonds. b) Explain the exposures to interest rate risk generated (or reduced) by the cap. c) Explain the bets being made about the direction of future interest rate movements when one buys (or sells) such a cap. 62. Consider an interest rate floor. Do the following from the buyer’s perspective, then from the seller’s perspective: a) Replicate the floor with transactions in the underlying bonds. b) Explain the exposures to interest rate risk generated (or reduced) by the floor. c) Explain the bets being made about the direction of future interest rate movements when one buys (or sells) such a floor. 63. Consider an interest rate collar. Do the following from the buyer’s perspective, then from the seller’s perspective: a) Replicate the collar with transactions in the underlying bonds. b) Explain the exposures to interest rate risk generated (or reduced) by the collar. c) Explain the bets being made about the direction of future interest rate movements when one buys (or sells) such a collar. page 7 Practice Problems Financial Derivatives Spring 2016 64. Consider a swap intermediary that enters into multiple fixed-to-variable interest rate swaps, with various maturities on the fixed side of the swap. Suppose, for example, that the intermediary swaps to pay LIBOR and receive the fixed rate for five-year maturity treasury securities. With another counterparty, the same intermediary swaps to receive LIBOR and pay the fixed rate for twenty-year maturity treasury securities. a) Replicate the package of swaps with transactions in the underlying bonds. b) Explain the exposures to interest rate risk generated (or reduced) by the net position created by the two swaps. c) Suppose the intermediary holds a portfolio of long-term loans with average maturity of twenty years and principal equal to the notional principal of the swaps. Combine this loan portfolio with the swap package and explain the impact on interest rate risk exposure. 65. Consider an asset allocation swap in which a pension fund agrees to pay the income from a bond portfolio in exchange for the returns from an equity market index (say, the S&P 500). Do the following from the buyer’s perspective, then from the seller’s perspective: a) Replicate the swap with transactions in the underlying securities. b) Explain the exposures to interest rate risk, default risk, or equity market risk generated (or reduced) by the swap. c) Explain the bets being made when one buys (or sells) such a swap. 66. Consider a securitization in which an intermediary purchases a portfolio of bonds, then divides the cash flow stream so that coupon payments go to one group of investors, while another group of investors get the principal when bonds in the package mature or are recalled. (The coupon holders get all of the coupon payments received by the intermediary, and the zero-coupon holders get all of the principal payments received by the intermediary. When a bond is recalled prior to maturity, the zero-coupon holders gets all of the principal portion of the final payment, and coupon-only holders get no further payments.) Do the following from the buyer’s perspective, then from the seller’s perspective: a) Decompose the coupon-only tranche into packages of the underlying securities and appropriate derivatives. b) Decompose the zero-coupon tranche into packages of the underlying securities and appropriate derivatives. c) Explain the exposures to interest rate risk, default risk, or other risk generated (or reduced) by the engineered products. c) Explain the bets being made when one buys (or sells) such products. 67. Consider a securitization in which an intermediary purchases a package of insured home mortgages, then divides the cash flow stream into an interest-only tranche and a principalonly tranche. (The interest-only holders get all of the interest payments received by the mortgage service provider, and the principal-only holders get all of the principal payments received by the mortgage servicer. When a mortgage is repaid early or refinanced, the principal-only tranche gets all the principal portion of the final payment, and interest-only holders get no further payments.) Do the following from the buyer’s perspective, then from the seller’s perspective: a) Decompose the interest-only tranche into packages of the underlying securities and appropriate derivatives. b) Decompose the principal-only tranche into packages of the underlying securities and appropriate derivatives. c) Explain the exposures to interest rate risk, default risk, or other risk generated (or reduced) by the engineered products. c) Explain the bets being made when one buys (or sells) such products. page 8 Practice Problems Financial Derivatives Spring 2016 68. JunkCo has a low bond rating because it is small and new. JunkCo needs to finance some new expansion and would like to borrow at a fixed rate for five years, but the lowest rate available is 11%—which management considers too high. So, JunkCo decides to borrow for five years at a variable rate 2% over the rate for Treasury Bills (the rate for T-Bills is now 5%). Meanwhile AAA Corp needs money for only a year, and because of its high rating can borrow for that maturity at 6%. If it wanted to, AAA Corp could borrow for five years at a fixed rate of 8%. Suppose you work for CitiCorp. Can you figure out an alternative borrowing and swap arrangement that would make both JunkCo and AAA Corp better off? 69. Myron Labs is a British company producing pharmaceuticals and doing research into new medicines. Myron Labs needs to finance some new expansion and would like to borrow at a fixed rate for five years, but the lowest rate available to them in England is 11%—which management considers too high. So, Myron Labs decides to borrow for five years at a variable rate 2% over the rate for British Treasury Bills (which is now 5%). Meanwhile Advanced Devices, an American company, needs money for only one year; and can borrow in the U.S. for that maturity at 6%. If it wanted, Advanced Devices could borrow for five years at a fixed rate of 8% in the U.S. market. Currency exchange rate is £1= $1.50 spot, and also £1= $1.50 in the 1-year forward market. Suppose you work for CitiCorp. Can you figure out an alternative borrowing and swap arrangement that would make both Myron Labs and Advanced Devices Corp better off? 70. Be prepared to explain the parallel between a box spread and a net present value calculation (such as the calculations used in corporate capital budgeting). page 9 Practice Problems Financial Derivatives Solutions: Set 5 1. FV is 1000, PMT is 50, interest per year is 12, P/YR is 2, N is 40, mode is END, calculate PV. The answer is $849.54. (The negative sign in the display is due to the sign convention.) 2. The only thing that needs to be changed in the calculator entries would be the interest per year, which now is 15. (Here are the other entries: FV is 1000, PMT is 50, P/YR is 2, N is 40, mode is END). When you calculate PV, the answer is $685.14. (The negative sign in the display is due to the sign convention.) 3. Once again, the only thing that needs to be changed in the calculator entries would be the interest per year, which now is 9. The PV is $1,092.01. 4. Once again, the only thing that needs to be changed in the calculator entries would be the interest per year, which now is 8. The PV is $1,197.93. 5. Interest per year is 10 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $1,000. 6. Interest per year is 6 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $1,462.30 7. Interest per year is 17 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $603.99. 8. Interest per year is 18 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $569.71 9. Interest per year is 16 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $642.26 10. FV is 1000, PMT is 50, interest per year is 12, P/YR is 2, N is 20, mode is END, calculate PV. The answer is $885.30. (The negative sign in the display is due to the sign convention.) 11. The only thing that needs to be changed in the calculator entries would be the interest per year, which now is 15. (Here are the other entries: FV is 1000, PMT is 50, P/YR is 2, N is 20, mode is END). When you calculate PV, the answer is $745.14. (The negative sign in the display is due to the sign convention.) 12. Interest per year is 9 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $1,065.04 13. Interest per year is 8 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $1,135.90 14. Interest per year is 10 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $1,000.00 15. Interest per year is 6 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $1,297.55 16. Interest per year is 17 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $668.78 17. Interest per year is 18 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $634.86 18. Interest per year is 16 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $705.46 19. FV is 1000, PMT is 25, interest per year is 12, P/YR is 2, N is 40, mode is END, calculate PV. The answer is $473.38. (The negative sign in the display is due to the sign convention.) 20. The only thing that needs to be changed in the calculator entries would be the interest per year, which now is 15. (Here are the other entries: FV is 1000, PMT is 25, P/YR is 2, N is 40, mode is END). When you calculate PV, the answer is $370.28. (The negative sign in the display is due to the sign convention.) 21. Interest per year is 9 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $631.97 22. Interest per year is 8 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $703.11 Prof. Kensinger Spring 2013 page 1 Practice Problems Financial Derivatives Solutions: Set 5 23. Interest per year is 10 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $571.02 24. Interest per year is 6 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $884.43 25. Interest per year is 17 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $321.13 26. Interest per year is 18 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $300.77 27. Interest per year is 16 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $344.15 28. FV is 1000, PMT is 25, interest per year is 12, P/YR is 2, N is 20, mode is END, calculate PV. The answer is $598.55. (The negative sign in the display is due to the sign convention.) 29. The only thing that needs to be changed in the calculator entries would be the interest per year, which now is 15. (Here are the other entries: FV is 1000, PMT is 25, P/YR is 2, N is 20, mode is END). When you calculate PV, the answer is $490.28. (The negative sign in the display is due to the sign convention.) 30. Interest per year is 9 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $739.84 31. Interest per year is 8 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $796.15 32. Interest per year is 10 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $688.44 33. Interest per year is 6 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $925.61 34. Interest per year is 17 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $432.20 35. Interest per year is 18 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $406.64 36. Interest per year is 16 (other entries remain unchanged from the above problems). PV is $460.00 37. Both bonds yield 10%; but she would pick Bond A because it gives lower reinvestment risk and a smaller income tax burden, with the same yield. Given her expectations for declining interest rates, bond A would also offer a higher expected capital gain. 38. 8.20 years, 6.31 years, 9.42 years, 7.27 years 39. For class discussion. 40. Rollover strategy has expected yield of 6.75%. Since this exceeds the yield on a 2-year obligation, Theodore will choose the rollover strategy. Risk is that interest rate next year will be less than expected. 41. Since 7% > 6.75%, Theodore will choose the 2-year maturity. Risk is that short interest rate next year will be less than expected. 42. If $100 were invested at 6% for the first year followed by 7.5% for the second year, it would grow to $113.95. Input this as FV, and –100 as PV. This is an average compound annual rate of 6.75% (in order to find this, additional data inputs are as follows: PMT is zero, P/YR is 1, and N is 2, compute I/YR). 43. If $100 were invested at 5% for the first year followed by 6% for the second year, and 7% for the third year, it would grow to $119.09. Input this as FV, and –100 as PV. This is an average compound annual rate of 6.00% (in order to find this, additional data inputs are as follows: PMT is zero, P/YR is 1, and N is 3, compute I/YR). Prof. Kensinger Spring 2013 page 2 Practice Problems Financial Derivatives Solutions: Set 5 44. If $100 were invested at 6% for the first year followed by 6.5% for the second year, 7% for the third year, and 8% for the fourth year, it would grow to $130.46. Input this as FV, and –100 as PV. This is an average compound annual rate of 6.87% (in order to find this, additional data inputs are as follows: PMT is zero, P/YR is 1, and N is 4, compute I/YR). 45. YTM does not follow the normal pattern. It is 11.60% for the 8% coupon, 10.00% for the 6% coupon, and 10.24% for the 0% coupon. Therefore sell four of the 6%, while buying three of the 8% coupon and one of the 0% coupon bonds. Net cash flow is +$26.52 in the present, and zero in all future periods. Arbitrage examples like this prove that the yield curve cannot change direction. 46. YTM does not follow the normal pattern. It is 12.10% for the 10% coupon, 12.22% for the 8% coupon, and 11.68% for the 6% coupon. Therefore sell one each of the 6% and the 10% coupon, while buying two of the 8% coupon bonds. Net cash flow is +$3 in the present, and zero in all future periods. Arbitrage examples like this prove that the yield curve cannot change direction. 47. YTM does not follow the normal pattern. It is 8% for both the 6 and 8 year maturities, but 8.50% for the 7 year. Therefore buy the 7-year bond and hedge. To create two synthetic bonds with 7 year duration, sell one 6-year bond and one 8-year bond. If you buy two 7-year bonds and sell one each of the 6 and 8 year bond, you will obtain a cash flow stream that has positive NPV at any discount rate. Cash flows are +4.96 in period 0, 0 in periods 1-11, –100 in period 12, +3 in period 13, +203 in period 14, –3 in period 15, and –103 in period 16. Arbitrage examples like this prove that the yield curve cannot be kinked. 48. YTM does not follow the normal pattern. It is 8.50% for the 6-year maturity, 8.00% for the 7-year, but 8.38% for the 8-year. Therefore sell the 7-year bond and hedge. To create two synthetic bonds with 7 year duration, buy one 6-year bond and one 8-year bond. If you sell two 7-year bonds and buy one each of the 6 and 8 year bond, you will obtain a cash flow stream that has positive NPV at any discount rate. Cash flows are +4.09 in period 0, 0 in periods 1-11, +100 in period 12, -3 in period 13, -203 in period 14, +3 in period 15, and +103 in period 16. Arbitrage examples like this prove that the yield curve cannot be kinked. 49. YTM does not follow the normal pattern. It is 8.50% for the 8-year maturity, but 8.00% for both the 7 year and 6-year. Therefore sell the 7-year bond and hedge. To create two synthetic bonds with 7 year duration, buy one 6-year bond and one 8-year bond. If you sell two 7-year bonds and buy one each of the 6 and 8 year bond, you will obtain a cash flow stream that has positive NPV at any discount rate. Cash flows are +2.57 in period 0, 0 in periods 1-11, +100 in period 12, -3 in period 13, -203 in period 14, +3 in period 15, and +103 in period 16. Arbitrage examples like this prove that the yield curve cannot change direction. 50. YTM does not follow the normal pattern. It is 8% for the 6-year maturity, 7.75% for the 7-year but 7.00% for the 8-year. Therefore buy the 7-year bond and hedge. If you buy two 7-year bonds and sell one each of the 6 and 8 year bond, you will obtain a cash flow stream that has positive NPV at any discount rate. Cash flows are +3.20 in period 0, 0 in periods 1-11, –100 in period 12, +3 in period 13, +203 in period 14, –3 in period 15, and –103 in period 16. Arbitrage examples like this prove that the yield curve cannot be kinked. 51. Given the forward rate, £100=$153.85 two years from now. At the spot exchange rate, that amount costs $131.51 today in the US and $129.24 in the UK. Money will flow from US to UK in the spot market and return in the forward market. Dollar will weaken spot and strengthen forward. Prof. Kensinger Spring 2013 page 3 Practice Problems Financial Derivatives Solutions: Set 5 52. Given the forward rate, $100=€ 75 two years from now. That amount costs $85.48 today in the US bond market, and € 66.64 in the German bond market (at the spot exchange rate, this is $90.05). Money will flow from Germany to the US in the spot market and return in the forward market. Dollar will strengthen spot and weaken forward. 53. The root question is whether or not the trader is still bullish about the underlying. If the trader still believes the underlying is likely to rise substantially, the holding period should be extended. If there is just the normal cloud of uncertainty, the profit potential is still greater with the position alive than dead (but since this is captured in the option prices, immediate action is a matter of indifference). If the trader believes the underlying has gone too high and is about to reverse, though, then the position should be unwound immediately. 54. If the information given in the problem were not publicly available, this would be the classic opportunity for a long straddle (to profit from the prospect of high volatility). The information sounds like the sort of thing that would be readily predictable for reasonably informed traders, though, so there may not be any opportunity here. 55-58. For class discussion. 59. For the March 170 call there are 32 days remaining until expiration. For the May 165 call there are 95 days remaining until expiration. The value of the March 170 call is $240.56 for a 100-share contract. The value of the May 165 call is $835.33 for a 100-share contract (thus the spread is a net long position costing $594.77 per 100 shares, or $5.9477 per share). Delta for the March 170 call is 0.3572, and delta for the May 165 call is 0.5790; so the May call is substantially more responsive to stock price movements (so this is a bullish spread). At the end of the holding period, there would be 64 days remaining until expiration of the May call. If the T-bill rate and the volatility don’t change, the spread would break even with the stock price at the end of the holding period at $163.7743 per share (then the March 170 call would expire worthless, and the May 165 call would be worth $5.9477 per share). Thus this diagonal spread is more expensive than a simple money spread, but offers more profit over a wider range of terminal stock prices. 60-67. For class discussion. 68. AAA Corp borrows fixed for 5 years at 8% and JunkCo borrows floating. Then AAA Corp swaps to receive 8% fixed and pay T-bill, while JunkCo swaps to receive T-bill and pay 8% fixed. Thus during the first year AAA Corp gets to borrow at the T-bill rate. Then instead of paying off its debt (as originally planned) it establishes a sinking fund invested in in T-Bills and continues to roll over for the remaining 4 years, while paying interest on the fixed-rate loan. AAA Corp’s annual cash flow stream for the remaining life of the arrangement is as follows: Meanwhile, JunkCo in effect borrows at 10% fixed, a full percentage point lower than it could do on its own. JunkCo’s annual cash flow steam is as follows: Prof. Kensinger Spring 2013 page 4 Practice Problems 69-70. Prof. Kensinger Financial Derivatives Solutions: Set 5 For class discussion. Spring 2013 page 5 Financial Derivatives Practice Problems Solutions: Set 5 Table Illustrating Coupon Bias and Convexity old rate new rate new price capital gain (loss) relative change old price 20-year, 12% 15% $849.54 $685.14 ($164.40) -19.35% 10% bonds 12% 9% $849.54 $1,092.01 $242.47 +28.54% 8% 10% $1,197.93 $1,000.00 ($197.93) -16.52% 8% 6% $1,197.93 $1,462.30 $264.37 +22.07% 17% 18% $603.99 $569.71 ($34.28) -5.68% 17% 16% $603.99 $642.26 $38.27 +6.34% 10-year, 12% 15% $885.30 $745.14 ($140.16) -15.83% 10% bonds 12% 9% $885.30 $1,065.04 $179.74 +20.30% 8% 10% $1,135.90 $1,000.00 ($135.90) -11.96% 8% 6% $1,135.90 $1,297.55 $161.65 +14.23% 17% 18% $668.78 $634.86 ($33.92) -5.07% 17% 16% $668.78 $705.46 $36.68 +5.48% 20-year, 12% 15% $473.38 $370.28 ($103.10) -21.78% 5% bonds 12% 9% $473.38 $631.97 $158.59 +33.50% 8% 10% $703.11 $571.02 ($132.09) -18.79% 8% 6% $703.11 $884.43 $181.32 +25.79% 17% 18% $321.13 $300.77 ($20.36) -6.34% 17% 16% $321.13 $344.15 $23.02 +7.17% 10-year, 12% 15% $598.55 $490.28 ($108.27) -18.09% 5% bonds 12% 9% $598.55 $739.84 $141.29 +23.61% 8% 10% $796.15 $688.44 ($107.71) -13.53% 8% 6% $796.15 $925.61 $129.46 +16.26% 17% 18% $432.20 $406.64 ($25.56) -5.91% 17% 16% $432.20 $460.00 $27.80 +6.43% Prof. Kensinger Spring 2009 page 6 Practice Problems Prof. Kensinger Financial Derivatives Spring 2009 Solutions: Set 5 page 7