Accelerated Development
Potential for Marine
Renewable Energy
Henry F Jeffrey
Edinburgh 23rd June 09.
UK Energy Research Centre
University of Edinburgh
Structure
• Why Marine
• Modelling results and deployment
potential
• Challenges and Progress
Structure
•
Why Marine
• Modelling results and deployment
potential
• Challenges and Progress
Marine Resource
15 – 20 % of UKD
Source: DTI
Position of the Sector
Marine Roadmap
Pilot projects , sm all scale , new concepts
Full scale dem onstrators
concepts
, established
Full scale , new concepts
Sm all scale arrays
, up to 10 MW or up to 20 devices
A rrays 10 s MW or 20 -50 devices
A rrays : 100 s MW or >50 devices
2000
2003
2004
2006
2007
2008
2015
2010
2020
2 GW Installed capacity
OPEN
HYDRO
LIMPET , 1999
SEAFLOW (MCT)
STINGRAY (EB)
EMEC
PELAMIS (OPD )
AWS
OPEN HYDRO
(EMEC )
SEAGEN (MCT)
US
Projects
WAVEHUB
PELAMIS (CRE )
OYSTER (AQUAMARINE )
SCOT RENEWABLES
AWS OCEAN
OPT
MUTRIKU & LEWIS (WAVEGEN )
LUNAR ENERGY
PELAMIS (OCEAN PROSPECT )
WAVEDRAGON
IT POWER
SWANTURBINES
Scottish Vision and
Ambitions
Vision
To create the world’s leading marine
energy industry that will provide a
substantial contribution to the economy
and environment of Scotland.
Headline Ambitions
•A world leading marine industry which:
•Meets and exceeds 2020 targets
•Brings strong economic benefits to
Scotland’s economy
•Works in harmony with the marine
environment
•Exports innovative marine
technologies across the world
International Activity
Structure
• Why Marine
• Modelling results and
deployment potential
• Challenges and Progress
Marine Energy: Without
Acceleration
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Marine
Energy
Capital Support for
Marine in the UK
Government funding mechanisms:
• The DECC Marine renewable deployment fund
£50m
• The Scottish ministers wave and tidal energy
support scheme £13.5m
• The renewables obligation and the banding for
wave and tidal power
• Energy Technologies Institute ~£20m
Niche learning
15% Learning Rate for Wave w ith a £2040 Starting Cost, at a 10MW
Reduction point
Costs in £/kW
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
0
50
100
150
200
MW Installed
New cost: £1064, 160 MW deployment with a total
investment of £219 Million
Marine Energy: With
Acceleration
Marine
Energy
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Structure
• Why Marine
• Modelling results and deployment
potential
• Challenges and Progress
Supply
Chain
Knowledge
Transfer
Research
Development
Capacity
Building
Infrastructure
Environment
Community
Finance
Policy
Commercial
Strategy
Market
Standards
Planning
Supply
Chain
Knowledge
Transfer
Research
Development
Capacity
Building
Infrastructure
Environment
Community
Finance
Policy
Commercial
Strategy
Market
Standards
Planning
Standards
Resource
Modelling
Experimental
Testing
Environmental
System
Performance
Technical
Strategy
Installation,
O&M
Lifecycle &
Manufacturing
Device
modelling
Moorings &
attachments
Electrical
Infrastructure
Engineering
Design
Power Take Off
and Control
Standards
Resource
Modelling
Experimental
Testing
Environmental
System
Performance
Technical
Strategy
Installation,
O&M
Lifecycle &
Manufacturing
Device
modelling
Moorings &
attachments
Electrical
Infrastructure
Engineering
Design
Power Take Off
and Control
RO banding and RO
banding
 UK: “Banding” the
obligation from April 2009
to award marine energy
technologies (and other
emerging technologies)
double ROCs
 Scotland:Marine Supply
Obligation – to be
replaced by enhanced
banding of the
 Renewables Obligation
Scotland (3 ROCs for
Tidal, 5 ROCs for Wave)
Saltire Prize
 £10 million will be
awarded to the team that
can demonstrate in
Scottish waters a
commercially viable wave
or tidal energy technology
that achieves a minimum
electrical output of
100GWh over a continuous
2 year period using only
the power of the sea and is
judged to be the best
overall technology after
consideration of cost,
environmental
sustainability and safety.
Pentland Firth Tendering
Process
 Banding of the
Renewables
Obligation
 Grid infrastructure
 Streamlining the
application process
 £10M prize
 Type II: 10/50MW
 Type III: Over 50MW
Summary
• Model illustration of a future accelerated
scenario.
• Overall capacity inline with sector targets
• Significant progress being made in
Scotland
• Still significant technical and legislative
challenges to overcome
Thanks for your
attention
Henry.jeffrey@ed.ac.uk
www.ukerc.co.uk
Source: MCT/PWP