Proceedings of Global Business and Finance Research Conference 5-6 May, 2014, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-50-4 Growing Pains: the Journey from ‘Made in China’ to ‘Created in China’ - A Recipe for Sustainable National Competitive Advantage? Lee Zhuang and Peter Considine This paper reviews the journey of China’s phenomenal economic growth over the past three decades, which was fuelled by exporting to the world with low cost products made but not created in China. The current lingering global economic downturn coupled with increasing competition from other emerging economies and rapid rise in production costs at home means that the Chinese economy has reached a crucial turning point. The country must now look for alternative sources of competitive advantage by embarking on a new journey from ‘made in China’ to ‘created in China’. Bags of Luck and Cool-Comfort Shoes were two amongst the thousands of small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) that emerged and grew as part of China’s journey of rapid economic expansion to date. Whether or not they, and many other Chinese SMEs, can be part of China’s onward journey to long-term sustainable growth and prosperity depends not only on their own ability to think creatively and act innovatively but also on an appropriate macro-economic environment. Issues and challenges surrounding the ability of China to achieve a sustainable transition to an innovation led phase of economic growth are discussed and possible directions discussed, using Porter’s International Life-Cycle theory, from both practical and theoretic perspectives. Introduction After three decades of phenomenal growth, in 2010, China overtook Japan to become the world‟s second largest economy just behind the US (Barboza, 2010). Although this had long been anticipated (Goodhart & Xu, 1996; Yan, 2006; Scott, 2007; Ikenberry, 2008; Li, 2009; Berliner, 2010), the news still sent shockwaves around the world ending years of speculation as to when this would actually happen. Ikenberry (2008) saw the rise of China‟s economic power as „one of the great dramas of the twenty-first century‟ and pointed out that “China‟s extraordinary economic growth and active diplomacy are already transforming East Asia, and future decades will see even greater increases in Chinese power and influence”. In Li‟s book entitled “The Rise of China and the Demise of the Capitalist World Economy” published in 2009, he even predicted that as the Chinese economy started to rival that of the US, the current form of capitalism would come to an end. China‟s rapid economic growth has helped to lift „over 400 million Chinese citizens‟ out of poverty (Rose, 2010). According to Berliner (2010), “in 1990, roughly 60 per cent of Chinese lived on under $1.25 per day; by 2005 that number had fallen to 16 per cent. Between 1990 and 2008, Gross National Income (GNI) per capita, adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity, increased more than seven-fold in China.” As a result, the standard of living for Chinese citizens has greatly improved with better housing, education, health care and more disposable income. _________________________________________________________________________ Lee Zhuang and Peter Considine Staffordshire University, United Kingdom Page 1 Proceedings of Global Business and Finance Research Conference 5-6 May, 2014, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-50-4 Similar to the experiences of the four Asian Tiger economies of South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, and Hong Kong throughout the 1970s and 1980s (Kraar, 1986), China‟s rapid economic growth to date has been fuelled by exporting low cost manufactured goods to the West especially the US. In the first decade of the reform starting in 1979, many joint-ventures (JVs) were set up in a small number of Special Economic Zones (SEZs) located in coastal cities in southern China making products exclusively for export. As the Chinese manufacturing industry grows and becomes more in tune with international standards, contractual arrangements for surrogate manufacture have evolved over the years. Many low-end labour intensive products under foreign labels are no longer made in JVs. A growing number of Chinese small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) have emerged with part or all of their capacity dedicated to making products under foreign brands. As SMEs make up 99% of the country‟s enterprises and contribute up to 60% of its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Alim, 2009), the role of SMEs in China‟s impressive economic growth cannot be underestimated. This paper examines the impact of current changes and challenges in the Chinese macroeconomic environment on the country‟s manufacturing industry in the micro context of two export orientated Chinese SMEs, Bags of Luck (BoL) (Zhuang, 2011) and Cool-Comfort Shoes International Company Limited (CCS) (Zhuang, et al, 2014) through the birth and growth of their business to date. Using Porter‟s International Life-cycle (ILC) model (1990), this paper also explores how China as a country may address these changes and challenges as part of its attempt to sustain its economic growth in the decades to come. CASE BACKGROUND The inclusion of BoL and CCS in this paper is to provide a micro-economic context for the key issues examined. For reasons of confidentiality, the identities of both companies have been disguised but the problems and issues discussed were real. Exhibit 1 summaries the key facts about the two case companies. Page 2 Proceedings of Global Business and Finance Research Conference 5-6 May, 2014, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-50-4 Exhibit 1. Profile of Case Companies Bags of Luck Cool-Comfort Shoes Form of business Private Private limited Location South-eastern Fujian province Beijing Top level management Managed by two founding brothers and their respective wife; none of them had a higher education qualification Managed by three founders; all of them had an overseas master‟s qualification in business Date started export manufacture 2000 1992 Possession of export license No; all export formalities were handled by an intermediary organisation Yes Product rights No intellectual property right to any products they produced No intellectual property right to the four international surrogate brands but full right to their own Ace-of-Biz (AoB) brand All products were made under US retail labels About 90% products were made under surrogate brands & 10% were made under AoB brand Low-tech, very labour intensive Low-tech, labour intensive Level of autonomy in sourcing materials Full autonomy as long as the quality standards of the end products were met Semi-autonomy for surrogate brands but full autonomy for AoB brand Markets and marketing All products were sold by US retailers in the US market; no marketing is undertaken by BoL Products under surrogate brands were made for the brand owners who market them worldwide including China; all AoB products were marketed by CCS for sale in China Workforce management All factory work was undertaken by migrant workers on flexible shortterm contract and paid weekly on a piece work basis About 70% of factory work was undertaken by migrant workers on yearly contract whilst 30% undertaken by migrant workers under short-term contract; all workers paid monthly on a piece work basis Product mix Production process THE GROWING PAINS OF THE CHINESE ECONOMY From Factor Driven to Investment Driven Growth When the infamous Cultural Revolution in China (1966-1976) ended, the whole of China was poor with most daily necessities rationed. Soon after Deng Xiaoping (1904-1997) re-emerged as leader of the country in 1978, he initiated a programme of economic reform with the creation of a small number of Special Economic Zones (SEZs) where the principles of market economy were tried and a range of tax incentives introduced to encourage foreign direct investment (FDI). Inspired by the success of the four Asian Tiger economies (Chow, 2001), China soon applied the experiences gained from the SEZs to the rest of the country. Despite temporary setbacks after the 1989 Tian‟anmen Square incident, the programme of reform continued with Page 3 Proceedings of Global Business and Finance Research Conference 5-6 May, 2014, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-50-4 remarkable success. According to Morrison (2011), “from 1979 to 2010, China‟s real GDP grew at an average annual rate of nearly 10%” (p1). In the first decade of the reform era, FDI in China tended to be in the form of Sino-foreign JV. The foreign partner in a JV typically provided product designs with explicit standards for quality, raw materials, components and specialist machinery whilst the Chinese partner provided land, building, labour and energy. This form of production was originally termed as “ai liao jia gong” ( 来料加工) in Chinese which can be translated loosely into English as “material processing” and sometimes described as surrogate manufacture. Such surrogate manufacturing capability, would, according to Porter (1990), be classified in terms of his international life cycle theory, as initially predicated mainly upon “generalised factors” which help form the basis for the development of more advanced and specialised factors, such as a highly skilled and educated labour supply, both of which are necessary for economic progress (Porter 1990. p132). Exhibit 2. Porter’s International Life Cycle Model The successful combination of political and economic reforms in China, which contrasted starkly with the unsuccessful economic policy led reforms attempted in Russia from the period 1970 to 1990, has been described by Harrison and Ma (2013) as being “regionally decentralised but politically authoritarian” (RDA). The ability of China to succeed where Russia failed was attributed in part to the hybrid structure of the Chinese government which, whilst being politically authoritarian with “centralised control of party and government appointments, the Chinese state is regionally decentralised” (Harrison & Ma, 2013). This RDA structure has incentivised local officials to manage provincially as competing divisions within the Chinese economy whilst allowing China as whole to successfully evolve as a nation from being predominantly “factor” driven (including initially a large pool of cheap labour) to the “investment” driven stage, with resultant phenomenal growth in economic output. During this “investment driven” phase of the development of a nation as shown in Exhibit 2, Porter (1990) argues that national competitive advantage is based “on the willingness and ability of a nation and its firms to invest aggressively” (p548). The experiences of BoL and CCS from birth to growth in early years provided micro-level examples of China‟s economic transition. As a small private firm located in the south eastern coast of Fujian province, BoL started as a partnership between two brothers in 1992 when they had the opportunity to acquire a ready built factory facility within an industrial park newly developed for JVs and Chinese SMEs. Without any technical and management know-how, they began by making cheap uniforms for a few local schools at a time when schools had just started to introduce them. In 1994, they started making school bags to match the school uniforms they made as an attempt to grow their business. Their success in the years that followed inspired a number of players to enter the market, some with better facilities and more sophisticated distribution channels. As a result, their profit margin was significantly eroded. In 2000, an unlikely opportunity came which enabled BoL to start their surrogate production of ladies handbags under a US retail brand for sale in the US market. Within 24 months they Page 4 Proceedings of Global Business and Finance Research Conference 5-6 May, 2014, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-50-4 discontinued the production of school uniforms and bags to concentrate on the export business. Their success in the local market in the 1990s and early success in the US market gave them the finance, confidence and a sense of optimism to take on production for several more US retail labels. In 2003, they doubled their production capacity from 4,000 to 8,000 square meters and peak time workers from 200 to 400. In 2005, they expanded into unisex fashion backpacks and trendy lightweight cases for laptops and later netbooks. Their export business peaked in 2006 with total sales reaching 7.6 million RMB. CCS was a small private limited company established in Beijing in 2001. Its predecessor, Shengli International Enterprises Limited, was founded in Hong Kong (HK) in 1992. It initially served as the exclusive surrogate manufacturer in Hong Kong for an established international shoe and clothing brand. As the operating costs in Hong Kong shot up in the late 1990s, the company decided to relocate to Beijing in 2001 and changed its name to CCS, focusing on shoe-making. CCS‟s success in the 1990s enabled them to take on three other international brands whilst their rich shoe-making experience gave them the technical strength and confidence to launch their own brand, Ace-of-Biz (AoB). All of the surrogate branded products they made were sold internationally including China through the brand owners‟ distribution channels whilst the AoB brand was sold only in China via a mixture of CCS‟s own shops and franchised retail outlets. In 2005, they set up an in-house design centre to support their expansion plan for AoB. Even without a sophisticated branding strategy, they managed to achieve an average annual growth in sales of 7.7% between 2001 and 2010, much better than the average industry wide growth of just around 3.0% over the same period. Reaching the ‘Lewis Turning Point’ With a high export dependency ratio – total value of exports over the value of GDP – at 40% (Price Water House-Coopers, 2008), the Chinese economy was, not surprisingly, hit hard by the global economic recession starting in 2007 when worldwide demand for Chinese exports plummeted. As a result, it was estimated that “9,000 of the 45,000 factories in the cities of Guangzhou, Dongguan, and Shenzhen‟ would close before the Chinese New Year in late January 2008, which „could mean up to 2.7 million workers facing unemployment” (Elegant, 2008). The Chinese government responded to this global economic crisis by “implementing a $586 billion economic stimulus package” – largely aimed at infrastructure projects to soak up the surplus migrant labour, „loosening monetary policies to increase bank lending, and providing various incentives to boost domestic consumption‟ (Morrison, 2011; summary page). These measures effectively enabled the Chinese economy to maintain a real GDP growth of 9.6% and 9.2% in 2008 and 2009 respectively, compared with the negative growth in many leading economies, including the UK and US, over the same period (Morrison, 2011). The Chinese government‟s stimulus package did help SMEs like CCS due to relatively strong internal market demand. The same could not be said about BoL as none of its products was sold in China. Although the Chinese exports sector as a whole recovered in 2009 many Chinese export businesses, especially those in eastern and southern China, continued to struggle, this time with an ironic but growing problem of labour shortage (Zhang, et al, 2011). The problem was first highlighted on 14th April 2005, when The Economist carried an article entitled “China‟s People Problem”. At the time, the article was referring to the shortages of people with “creativity, of an aptitude for risk-taking and, above all, of an ability to manage – in everything from human resources and accounting to sales, distribution, branding and project-management”. The beginning of 2008 saw the start of the problem of cheap labour shortage, which quickly swept across the coastal cities of China affecting most of the manufacturing facilities that have remained in business. Page 5 Proceedings of Global Business and Finance Research Conference 5-6 May, 2014, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-50-4 For over two decades, China‟s competitive advantage of goods manufactured in coastal cities was maintained with cheap migrant labour from the less developed regions of central and western China as the locals had turned their back on manual work in pursuit of higher career ambitions (Rein, 2010). With cost of living going up rapidly in the coastal cities migrant workers began demanding higher wages and better working conditions (Garschagen, 2010). In 2010, the worldwide media coverage of the string of suicides at the Taiwanese invested company Foxconn in Shenzhen (e.g. Hogg, 2010) was a tipping point which triggered a wave of wage rises of up to 20% in the coastal cities (The Economist, 29th July 2010). Wage rise movement only served to push up production costs as the problem of labour shortage remained (Zhang, et al, 2011), despite the fact that there were fewer places available in the locale due to mass factory closures as a result of the financial crisis (Bradsher, 2010). BoL was amongst the worst affected by the labour shortage. Despite a wage increase of 15% in 2010, they had to turn away orders after the Chinese New Year in 2011 because they were only able to recruit enough workers to operate at 25% of their capacity. With relatively higher level of automation and higher skill levels demanded by the stringent quality standards of international surrogate brands, CCS had a more stable workforce and were not as adversely affected as BoL by this problem. The problem of labour shortage in coastal cities of China has continued to this day and has been attributed to a number of factors including migrant workers deciding to stay at home for lower cost of living, to be with their children and, more jobs available closer to home as part of China‟s renewed „Go West‟ strategy (Li, 2010). An analysis by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) undertaken by Mitali and Papa (2013) confirms that China is poised to cross the “Lewis Turning Point”. This concept or model which is named after the Nobel Prize winner Sir William Arthur Lewis, is premised upon the argument that a “capitalistic market” develops by drawing upon the pool of labour from a country‟s less sophisticated agricultural sector. According to Mitali and Papa (2013), China is also on the eve of a demographic shift that will have profound consequences on its economic and social landscape. Within a few years the working age population will reach a historical peak, and will then begin a precipitous decline. The core of the working age population, those aged 20–39 years, has already begun to shrink. With this, the vast supply of low-cost workers, a core engine of China’s growth model, will dissipate, with potentially far-reaching implications domestically and externally (p17). Mitali and Papa (2013) forecast that the point at which China will experience such a labour shortage will be reached between 2020 and 2025 but the experience of BoL, CCS and many other Chinese SMEs in recent years appears to indicate an earlier arrival of the “Lewis Turning Point”. From Investment Driven Growth to Innovation Driven Growth? As the Chinese economy grows stronger and becomes more integrated with the rest of the world, the country can no longer depend on its export of cheap manufactured goods to sustain its growth. Internally, the rising costs of raw materials, land, labour and energy are driving up the cost of goods made in China whilst externally, the growing competition from other emerging economies, such as Vietnam and Laos, with much lower factor costs, the slow economic recovery in key importing countries and the continuing pressure from the US and the EU for the value of yuan to appreciate are making Chinese products less competitive (Garschagen, 2010; Rein, 2010). Page 6 Proceedings of Global Business and Finance Research Conference 5-6 May, 2014, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-50-4 The Chinese economy has now reached a crucial turning point. Many export orientated SMEs based in the more affluent regions of China must now think strategically where to go from here. For BoL who had been running at a loss since the beginning of 2011, the situation simply could not continue. With four members of the family taking senior positions in the company, they needed a steady income to finance their European style villas, BMW cars and their kids‟ dream of studying abroad. After devoting nearly two decades of their lives to the business, they had developed a reasonable understanding of the international quality standards for their products, a reliable network of raw material and component suppliers and a sizeable factory facility with a range of generic low-tech equipment. But without a large cash reserve, a stable skilled workforce, a range of products of their own, an export license, mainstream higher education qualifications, professionally sales and marketing capabilities as well as general business management know-how, what options could they have? By comparison, CCS was in a much better situation. They had a large and modern production facility with a range of specialised machinery in the capital city of China, a reasonable size of cash reserve from their surrogate manufacture, a brand of their own with a distribution network in China, an export licence and a sound level of Western management know-how. They moved to Beijing with a strategic vision to create a brand of their own as they knew the advantages of surrogate manufacture would eventually be outweighed by its disadvantages. However, ten years on they had only managed to achieve a moderate success with their AoB brand despite investing a huge amount of resources. What should they do with it? CCS‟ experience with the AoB brand suggests that being able to develop products is one thing but being able to create a strong brand identity associated with it is quite another. Despite the growing worldwide influence of China‟s economic power over the recent decades, there is a clear absence of instantly recognisable Chinese brands (Ille & Chailan, 2011) as surrogate manufacture has kept thousands of Chinese SMEs such as BoL and CCS totally invisible. This has in recent years sparked some serious debates on what has gone wrong with the creativity and entrepreneurial skills within the Chinese population since the four ancient inventions of papermaking, gunpowder, printing and the compass that our modern-day lives have come to depend on. Yu Bin, a renowned IT expert in China, published an article of considerable controversy entitled “Why can‟t „Apple‟ and „Microsoft‟ be born in China” (2011). In it, he argued that the traditional Chinese approach to education, its current University system, the lack of an effective legal framework for protecting intellectual property rights, and a general lack of ability to learn from and build on the experiences of other nations were amongst the factors that have stifled Chinese creativity in the past 100 years (Yu, 2011). To survive the impact of the current economic downturn and to regain growth momentum when things start to pick up, firms like BoL and CCS need a new business formula! And China needs a new growth strategy! According to Porter (1990), “a nation‟s industries are either upgrading and extending their competitive advantages or falling behind”. The cases of BoL and CCS show how macroeconomic externalities such as the global recession and related government intervention can help or hinder such SMEs. However, Porter (1990) argues that “attaining higher order competitive advantage in one industry often helps other industries. Part and parcel of the upgrading process is loss of position in price sensitive segments and in products involving less sophisticated skills and technology” (1990. p544). In his ILC model, Porter (1990) states that, whilst the “process of moving through the stages can take many paths”, only by also “up-grading” key elements of the Diamond model, such as China‟s supply of advanced factor conditions by enhancing its educated labour force with more Page 7 Proceedings of Global Business and Finance Research Conference 5-6 May, 2014, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-50-4 skills and competences in creative problem solving and innovation will a sustained transition to an innovation driven economy be realised through the supply, as an advanced factor, of an increasingly creative labour force (p562). As such, China has now reached the point of entering the phase of “innovation” led growth (Porter, 1990. p567), as illustrated in Exhibit 3. In terms of such upgrading strategies and as part of China‟s 12th Five Year Plan, it is currently facilitating local technology based firms and encouraging high tech FDI by upgrading the R&D infrastructure in order to develop innovative and patentable technologies (Rugman and Colinson 2012. p675). As these distinct stages are transcended, nations should attempt to avoid what Porter (1990) describes as “the self-reinforcing downward spiral of the wealth-driven stage” (p565) and should not pursue growth at the expense of upgrading and continuing to invest in the preceding stages. The issue of labour supply shortage and the “Lewis Turning Point” being reached in China Exhibit 3. China’s Stage of Economic Development alongside issues inherent within the Chinese education system, as discussed above, whilst located within the factor driven phase, could undermine a sustained innovation led phase if not addressed appropriately and in time. Although these phases appear to have a level of validity in the context of China, they are interrelated - more as a continuum. It should also be noted that economies do not necessarily need to become innovation led to achieve what Porter (1990) describes as “National Competitive Advantage”. With its relatively small population Canada is an example of sustained factor driven growth based on its wellendowed wealth of mineral resources (Rugman & Collinson, 2009). As the world‟s most populous country with a distinct shortage of key natural resources, such as oil and gas, striving to regain its world economic dominance by the end of the decade (Harrison & Ma, 2013), a position it once had several dynasties ago, China will not see adopting the Canadian model for growth as a viable option. Closing the Innovation Gap Based on their study on the perceptions of competing Chinese firms by select Multi-National Corporations (MNCs), Butler, Tse and Jullens (2012) suggest that “whilst Chinese companies still have capabilities gaps, especially in branding and marketing” (p3) – as vividly illustrated in the cases of BoL and CCS, 45% of the MNSc studied stated that they now competed with Chinese firms who were “at least as innovative as they are” and were perceived as being “serious innovative competitors”. Despite such reported improvements in innovative capability evident across a range of industries, including China‟s space exploration programme, (International Business Times, 2013; BBC News, 2013), the innovation gap is likely to remain substantial, due to both the problem of labour shortage and pedagogical impediments inherent within the state education system. Page 8 Proceedings of Global Business and Finance Research Conference 5-6 May, 2014, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-50-4 A lot has been written about the Chinese “teacher-centred” educational system and how it differs from the “student-centred” approach in the UK and US with rote learning often cited as one of its most serious short-comings (Paine, 1992; Rao, 1996; Leon, 2000; Ziguras, 2001; Yang, 2008; Zhuang, 2009). Whilst rote learning may have its place at the early stage of one‟s education and for certain subjects, in China, its reinforcement throughout the highly competitive exam based system of schooling and tertiary education effectively kills creativity (Yu, 2011), a vital ingredient for innovation. Innovation is about doing things differently to achieve better outcomes (Bessant & Tidd, 2013). Manufacture in essence is a process or a chain of activities that creates value for customers (Johnson, et al, 2011. p.97) by converting a range of inputs, e.g. raw materials and labour, into outputs of various kinds, e.g. products and services. Innovation can occur in any or all of these areas of activities, see Exhibit 4. Modern technologies can be effectively utilised in shaping innovation of any kind in manufacturing (Ahmed & Shepherd, 2010, p.429-70). Exhibit 4. Potential Areas of Innovation in Manufacture Considering the case of BoL, upgrading their facilities for higher-end products, though costly and risky, would seem the most viable strategic option for sustainable competitive advantage, enabling them to reposition themselves with a differentiated offering in an otherwise increasingly unattractive and crowed manufacturing sector (Porter, 1979 & 2008). To this end, BoL must become more creative and innovative in what they produce and how. For CCS, on the other hand, with its investments in a level of automation that made them less sensitive to labour supply factor conditions, could clearly benefit from a more innovative approach to marketing their own AoB brand. Tajinder (2012) undertook a study on Newly Industrialised Nations (NIC‟s) exploring the relationship between innovative capability of a country and the share of high-tech products in its exports of manufactured goods and concluded that “…innovative capability is an important determinant of a country‟s ability to design, produce and export high-tech products”. In a quantitative application of Porter‟s Diamond Model (Porter 1990,) Stone and Ranchhod (2006) found that China‟s diamond is almost symmetrical about the Y-axis. This, according to their analysis, indicated it would soon reach a developed nation status alongside the UK and the USA as its internal demand grows faster and poverty continues to be reduced. An important question for China is, if such a prediction comes to fruition, will it be sustainable or, more importantly, what needs to happen to make it so? At the macro level, it is clear that China is facing problems with lower order factor conditions, in terms of labour supply in specific regions, which is in turn impacting on its export driven growth Page 9 Proceedings of Global Business and Finance Research Conference 5-6 May, 2014, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-50-4 (Porter, 1990; Rugman and Collinson, 2009). If China is to achieve the anticipated status as the dominant world economic power the end of the decade making a sustained transition to an innovation driven economy becomes a necessity (The Economist, 2013). The question is how? For this transition to happen, Porter (1990) argues for a wide range of policy instruments including “efforts to improve the general education system, expansion of government investment in research, government programs to fund new enterprise” to be put in place (p619). A further challenge to attaining this position, as identified by Harrison and Ma (2013), is the possibility of a “complacency trap”, in which China could become complacent and potentially “prefer political stability over continued economic modernisation” (Harrison and Ma 2013). CONCLUSION Despite the extraordinary economic growth in the past three decades, journeying from widespread poverty, through factor driven stage to investment driven stage of growth, having reached the “Lewis Turning Point”, one must not forget that China is still a developing country, grappling with a number of serious challenges (Tubilewicz, 2006). First, in terms of per capita GDP China only ranked 93rd in 2010 (BBC, 14th Feb 2011) and there is a growing income gap between the rich and the poor (Moxley, 2010; Roberts, 2011). Second, there are serious concerns about the sustainability of China‟s current development model (Balfour, 2009) and the social and environmental costs of its rapid development as manifested in the public outcry in China over the fatal high-speed rail crash on 23rd July 2011 (Syed, 2011) and the public disquiet about the widespread smog covering many regions across country (Vaughan, 2014). The next challenge for China is how to successfully progress to and sustain the innovation led phase of growth without losing sight of the need to further upgrade its factor conditions and inward investments, with the aim of avoiding becoming wealth driven which, as Porter (1990. p565) argues, is the stage that ultimately leads to economic decline. With the successful implementation of this growth strategy, the world could soon see many Chinese brands becoming household names along with enhanced visibility of their brand owners such as the likes of BoL and CCS. FUTURE RESEARCH DIRECTIONS As the world slowly comes out of the current economic recession and debt crisis, China needs to adopt a new growth strategy that incorporates measures to reduce its dependency on exporting low-end products, to increase the level of domestic consumption and to reform the current education system. As such, it would be very useful for researchers with a keen interest in the China phenomena to devote some attention to the following over the next few years: How Porter’s CAN model (1990) may be applied with macro-economic scenarios to explore possible futures for China’s ability to continue with its phenomenal rise on the world stage. How China manages the unique relationship between government policy in respect of its transition to an innovation led phase of economic growth and SME performance in light of labour shortages in some regions of the country. How China embraces the concept of technopreneurship – combination of modern technology and entrepreneurial skills in business (Cereijo, 2002) – to create some strong Chinese brands that help to reshape the Chinese economy in the next decade or two. Note: At the time of finishing this paper, BoL had sold off their manufacturing facilities whilst keeping their loss to the minimum. Senior managers of CCS were still debating whether or not they should just abandon their AoB brand as it had reached a point of stagnation. Page 10 Proceedings of Global Business and Finance Research Conference 5-6 May, 2014, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-50-4 REFERENCES Ahmed, P. K. & Shepherd, C. D. (2010). Innovation Management – Context, Strategies, Systems and Processes. Prentice Hall. Alim, S. F. (2009). “The Proven Track of Fastest Industrial Growth”, The Financial Express, 27th May 2009. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.thefinancialexpressbd.com/2009/05/27/67749.html Balfour, F. (2009). “The Global Recession Slams China”, Bloomberg Business Week, 22nd January 2009. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.businessweek.com/globalbiz/content/jan2009/gb20090122_354571.htm Barboza, D. (2010). “China Passes Japan as Second-Largest Economy”, The New York Times, 15th August 2010. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/16/business/global/16yuan.html BBC. (2011). “China Overtakes Japan as World's Second-Biggest Economy”,. BBC Business News, 14th February 2011. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-12427321 BBC. (2013). China's Jade Rabbit Moon rover sends back first photos. BBC News Asia, 15th December. Retrieved 11th January 2014, from http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-25393826 Berliner, J. (2010). The Rise of the Rest: How New Economic Powers are Reshaping the Globe. The Second in a Series of White Papers on the American Economy in a New Era of Globalization, April 23, 2010. NDN. Bessant, J. & Tidd, J. (2013). Innovation and Entrepreneurship. John Wiley & Sons. Bradsher, K. (2010). “Defying Global Slump, China Has Labour Shortage”, The New York Times, 26th February 2010. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/27/business/global/27yuan.html Butler, S., Tse, E. & Jullens, J (2012). “The New Chinese Economy”. Retrieved 6th December 2013 from http://www.strategy-business.com/article/00141 Cereijo, M. (2002). Technopreneurship. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.amigospais-guaracabuya.org/oagmc160.php Chow, G. (2001). “The Chinese Economy 1901-2000”, Perspectives, Vol. 2, No. 6, 30th June 2001. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.oycf.org/Perspectives2/12_063001/chinese_econ.htm The Economist (2013). “China Approaching the Lewis Turning Point”. Retrieved 23rd March 2014. http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2013/01/growth-and-china Elegant, S. (2008). “China's Worst Nightmare: Unemployment”, Time World, Friday, 31st October, 2008. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1855400,00.html Garschagen, O. (2010). “Chinese labour shortage drives up wages”, nrc.nl, 4th March 2010. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://vorige.nrc.nl/international/article2496895.ece Goodhart, C. & Xu C. (1996). The Rise of China as an Economic Power. Centre for Economic Performance Discussion Paper No. 299. July 1996. Harrison, M & Ma, D. (2013). Soaring Dragon, Stumbling Bear - China’s Rise in a Comparative Context. The CAGE–Chatham House Series, No. 6, March 2013 Hogg, C. (2010). “Another worker death at iPhone firm Foxconn”, BBC News Asia-pacific, 25th May 2010. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/10151626 Ikenberry, G. J. (2008). “The Rise of China and the Future of the West – Can the Liberal System Survive?” Foreign Affairs, January/February 2008. Ille, F, R. & Chailan, C. (2011). “Improving Global Competitiveness with Branding Strategy”, Journal of Technology Management in China. Vol. 6, No. 1. P.84-96. Page 11 Proceedings of Global Business and Finance Research Conference 5-6 May, 2014, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-50-4 International Business Times, (2013). “Chinese 'Jade Rabbit' Space Probe to Land on Moon”. Retrieved 11th January 2014 from http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/china-jade-rabbit-probe-land-moon530145 Johnson, G., Whittington, R. & Scholes, K. (2011). Exploring Strategy – Text & Cases, 9th edition. Prentice Hall. Kraar, L. (1986). “Reheating Asia‟s „Little Dragons‟”, CNN Money, 26th May 1986. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/1986/05/26/67599/index.htm Leon, P. (2000). “Be Sensitive to Chinese Minds”, Times Higher Education. 23 June 2000. Li, J. (2010). “Go West‟ Campaign Gives China One Leg Up”, People’s Daily On-line, 3rd August 2010. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90001/90776/90882/7090349.html Li, M. (2009). The Rise of China and the Demise of the Capitalist World Economy. Pluto Press Mitali D. and Papa N. (2013). Chronicle of a Decline Foretold: Has China Reached the Lewis Turning Point? International Monetary Fund. Retrieved 3rd January 2014 http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2013/wp1326.pdf Morrison, W. M. (2011). “China‟s Economic Conditions”, Congressional Research Service, 24th June 2011. Moxley, M. (2010). “China renews „Go West‟ effort”. Asia Times On-line, 23rd July 2010. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China_Business/LG23Cb01.html Paine, L. (1992). “Teaching and Modernization in Contemporary China”, Education and modernization: The Chinese experience, Hayhoe, R. (ed.). Pergamon, Oxford. Porter, M. (1979). “How Competitive Forces Shape Strategy”, Harvard Business Review. Mar/Apr79, Vol. 57 Issue 2, pp. 137-145. Porter, M. (2008). “The Five Competitive Forces That Shape Strategy”, Harvard Business Review. January 2008, pp. 79–93 Porter, M. (1985). Competitive Advantage. New York Free Press. Porter, M. (1990). The competitive Advantage of Nations. Macmillan Business Press Price Water House-Coopers. (2008). The Economic Crisis Poses Challenges to China’s Wisdom on Economic Growth, December 2008. Rao, Z. H. (1996). “Reconciling Communicative Approaches to the Teaching of English with Traditional Chinese Methods”, Research in the Teaching of English. 30. p.458-71. Rein, S. (2010). “China‟s Growing Labour Shortage”, Seeking Alpha, 16th March 2010. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://seekingalpha.com/article/193845-china-s-growing-laborshortage Roberts, D. (2011). “China's Growing Income Gap”, Bloomberg Business Week, 27th January 2010. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/11_06/b4214013648109.htm Rose, S. (2010). “China's Economic Model: Marxism and the Market”, Suite 101, 9th August 2010. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.suite101.com/content/chinas-economicmodel-capitalism-meets-marxism-a270574 Rugman and Collinson (2009). International Business. FT Prentice Hall Rugman and Collinson (2012). International Business. FT Prentice Hall Scott, D. (2007). China Stands Up – The PRC and the International System. Routledge. Stone, H. B. J. & Ranchhod, A. (2006). “Competitive advantage of a nation in the global arena: a quantitative advancement to Porter‟s Diamond applied to the UK, USA and BRIC nations”, Strategic Change, Vol 15, p.283–94 Page 12 Proceedings of Global Business and Finance Research Conference 5-6 May, 2014, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-50-4 Syed, S. (2011). “The price of high-speed ambitions”, BBC Business News, 28th July 2011. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-14321131 Tejinder, S, Jackson, F, Upchurch, L. (2012). “Role of Innovation in Hi-Tech-Exports of a Nation”, International Journal of Business and Management. Pp? The Economist. (2005). “China‟s People Problem”, The Economist, 14th April 2005. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.economist.com/node/3868539?story_id=3868539 The Economist. (2010). “The Next China”, The Economist, 29th July 2010. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.economist.com/node/16693397 Tubilewicz, C. (Ed.). (2006). Critical Issues in Contemporary China. Routledge & Open University of Hong Kong Press. Vaughan, Adam (2014). “Nine Chinese cities suffered more days of severe smog than Beijing”, The Guardian, http://www.theguardian.com, Wednesday, 12 March 2014. Yan, X. (2006). “The Rise of China and its Power Status”, Chinese Journal of International Politics, Vol. 1, 5–33. Yang, R. (2008). “Transnational Higher Education in China: Contexts, Characteristics and Concerns”, Australian Journal of Education. Vol. 52, no. 3. p.272–86. Yu, B. (2011). “Why Can‟t „Apple‟ and „Microsoft‟ be Born in China?” Chinese Economics, 12th August 2011. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.ce.cn/celt/wyry/201108/12/t20110812_22614623.shtml Zhang, Y., Zhang, Z. & Huang, S. (2011). „Severe Labour Shortage Continues to Trouble Small and Medium Sized Enterprises in Eastern China”, Xinhua Newsnet Zhejiang Channel, 5th August 2011. Retrieved 19th August 2011, from http://www.zj.xinhuanet.com/newscenter/201108/05/content_23400201.htm Zhuang, L. (2009). “The Challenges Facing Sino-UK Transnational Education: an Institutional Experience”, Journal of Knowledge-based Innovation in China. Vol.1, no.3. p.243-44. Zhuang, L. (2011). “The Changing Landscape for Chinese Small Business – The Case of „Bags of Luck‟ ”, Emerald Emerging Markets Case Studies, Volume 1, No. 1, 2011. P.1-12. Zhuang, L., Qiu, Y. (2014) “The Beginning of the End of Surrogate Manufacture in China – The Case of Cool-Comfort Shoes International Company Limited”. A version of the case study developed for in-class discussions was submitted in March 2014 for consideration for publication in Emerald Emerging Markets Case Studies. Ziguras, C. (2001). “Educational Technology in Transnational Higher Education in South East Asia: the Cultural Politics of Flexible Learning”, Educational Technology & Society. 4 (4) 2001. Page 13