Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 The Effect of Asset Impairment Recognition on Corporate Bond Credit Rating Sung Il Jeon, Jeong Eun Kim and Panpan Feng This study analyzes the effect of asset impairment recognition on corporate bond credit rating. Asset impairment, as an item which is subjective and highly discretionary without affecting cash flow, is most susceptible to discretionary utilization by management. The corporate bond credit rating may involve the occurrence of profit adjustment by discretionary accounting selection or recognition of asset impairment and is regarded as an important guideline representing the company's status. Therefore, this study intends to empirically analyze whether asset impairment accounting has a practical economic meaning in assessing credit rating. The empirical analysis shows the following results; firstly, the comparatively analysis(t-test) on asset impairment recognition shows corporate bond credit rating no significant differences seen, but corporate bond credit rating, according to the analysis results, the recognition of asset impairment was recognized group than in the low-grade corporate bond credit rating. In other words, recognition of asset impairment is found to negatively affect the corporate bond credit rating assessment. Secondly, the results supported the hypothesis that there would be a negative impact of asset impairment recognition on the evaluation of corporate bond credit rating. The recognition of an impairment loss for the investment-grade firms corporate bonds were related a more negative impact on the credit rating. With a stable financial condition and good credit rating, the recognition of asset impairment had an impact of corporate profits to reduce the negative(-). However the recognition of asset impairment in the speculative-grade firms was not significant by corporate bond credit rating. Under an unstable financial condition and low credit rating, the corporate bond credit rating will affect the ability for repayment borrowings on useful than the recognition of asset impairment. Ⅰ. Introduction There has been a large volume of researches on asset impairment, beginning in the US in the mid-1980s. Interest in asset impairment accounting has recently increase, particularly in terms of earnings management, which comprises an opportunistic acts on the part of management. Asset impairment may be considered as the amount which Sung-Il Jeon, Assistant Professor School of Business Administration Chonnam National University. Email : sijeon@chonnam.ac.kr Jeong-Eun Kim, Ph. D. Candidate School of Business Administration Chonnam National University, Email : reicoo@nate.com Panpan Feng, Master’s Course School of Business Administration Chonnam National University, Email : pan87127@hanmail.net 1 Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 exceeds the collectible amount1 of assets over the book value of a cash generating unit2. That is when the collectible amount of assets is lower than the book value the applicable reduced amount may be recognized as the asset impairment. However it is very difficult to adjust the difference by comparing the book value and the collectible amount, as this depends on the subjective estimation. Especially as the asset impairment size of tangible and intangible assets is likely to be decided by subjective managerial judgment, the possibility that management may use their discretion seems likely to be large. The credit rating system is reflects both financial and non-financial factors that affect the overall repayment abilities of firms and Korea is adopting the compulsory attachment of corporate credit ratings in the case of issuing corporate bonds. Credit rating agency evaluation is recognized as a very important factor as these ratings independently represent a summarized firm’s state. For example, credit ratings affect capital cost and firm values such as the corporate bond issuing interest rate and stock issuance price. Accordingly, firms intending to issue corporate bonds will make various efforts to achieve better credit ratings. As the reported profits are a major index of future profits, which in turn decides the repayment ability of firms, many studies have reported that there are systematic positive(+) relationships between the corporate bonds credit rating and profits(Kaplan and Urwitz 1979; Ziebart and Reiter 1992; Kim and Kim 2002; Kim et al. 2006; Lee et al. 2008). However reported profits as summarized information, not only affect operating performances but are items in which management may intervene through discrete accounting selection. Credit rating agencies may be recognized this when they assess the awareness of earnings management and asset impairment which can arise through discrete accounting selection on the part of management. If credit rating agencies reflect the adjusted earnings that are not filtered in the performing credit rating of firms, they would be turned away from the market which requests high quality information and likewise the concern of providing distorted information to investors would be significant. That is, it would be meaningful to analyze asset impairment accounting is a system which analyzes actual economic significance in evaluating the credit rating. Based on this logic, this study is to analyze effects of asset impairment recognition on corporate bonds credit rating evaluation for firms issued debentures. The asset impairment is an item which is likely to recognize through subjective judgment of the management discretionally in general and affect the reported earnings negatively (-) by increasing cost of firms, which would affect the credit rating evaluation of firms negatively. This study investigated first if there are differences in the return on total assets, current ratio, total assets turnover ratio, debt ratio, firm size and foreigners’ ownership according to recognition of asset impairment for firms which received the credit rating with the sample period from 2000 when the asset impairment system was introduced officially and to 2009. 1 2 A bigger amount between fair value less costs to sell and value in use of asset or cash generating unit Cash generating unit is a smallest unit for identification for an asset group generating cash inflow independently from that of other assets and asset groups and in case where it is impossible to forecast the recoverable amount of individual asset, the recoverable amount of cash generation unit should be decided for damage test. 2 Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 Second, the corporate bond credit ratings from AAA to BBB-are the investment-grade bonds of which debt servicing ability are accepted and so the analysis of differences between major factors were made while dividing credit ratings from BB+ to D as the speculative-grade which are largely affected by the environment changes. Third, to analyze effects of asset impairment recognition on corporate bond credit rating, the regression analysis was performed using the ordered Logit Model with the corporate bond credit rating a dependent variable. This paper is organized as follows; Section 2 presents the literature review and provides the background of this study. Section 3 introduces the research methods.. Section 4 provides Sample Selection and the empirical results, and Section 5 offers our concluding remarks. Ⅱ. Literature Review This study is to analyze the impact of asset impairment recognition on corporate bond credit rating. Therefore, it can be divided into the precedent studies related with asset impairment accounting and studies on the corporate bond credit rating. Above all, studies related with corporate bond credit rating would be discussed. The early phase studies using the financial ratios took interest in the estimate of credit rating and typical studies of them are Horrigan (1966), Pouge and Soldofsky (1969), etc. Characteristics of them lie in that the multi-regression analyses were taken by setting accounting data and the financial ratios as independent variables and setting the credit rating from 9 points (Aaa) to 1 point (c) as encoded dependent variables. They estimated the credit ratings considered the financial variables but had limitation in that basic assumptions of the least square method (OLS) were not satisfied by estimating the independent variables or the ordinal scale in respect of statistics by the regression method(McKelvey and Zanovia, 1975). Owing to this limitation of OLS model, Pinches and Mingo (1973) developed a model which is useful in estimating corporate bond credit rating evaluation using multivariate discriminant analysis. As a result, 5 financial variables including long-term debt, ROA derived from the factor analysis and non-financial factors including the priority of security rights were found to be useful factors in estimating the credit rating and about 69.7% of the estimate force was shown. But this method ignores important information of dependent variables where the constant interval sequence exists in the credit rating as it sees the value of each dependent variable as the separate category. Kalpan and Urwitz (1979) pointing out problems of study methodology using the recognition analysis and discriminant analysis in the existing studies attempted to the credit rating estimate by N-Probit model. This model assumes all dependent variables observed by researchers are the ordinal scale and presumed independent and dependent variables have a set of linear relationships. Through N-Probit model which is estimated by the maximum likelihood estimation, variables such as cash flow, long-term debt, net income, and market beta estimate the credit rating and the accuracy of classification was 72%. Studies on asset impairment includes ones for cause recognition of asset impairment, ones for value relevance of asset impairment and ones for asset impairment and earnings management. First, in the studies on recognition cause of asset impairment, Strong and Meyer (1987) revealed there is no difference between financial performances before reporting the asset impairment between firms which reported the asset impairment and 3 Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 firms which did not report the asset impairment and the asset impairment is mainly recognized during the period when the debt ratio is improving. On the contrary, according to the study of Elliot and Shaw(1988), firms recognized asset impairment showed significantly lower ROA and ROE than other firms in the same industry and also showed the relatively low stock return rate and the asset growth rate in years of asset impairment recognition. According to the study of Riedl(2004) who investigated directly asset impairment recognition cause of the management, it was found to be carried out mainly due to opportunistic causes of the management rather than economic factors such as changes of sales, net income, and operating cash flows. Next, in the study on value relevance of asset impairment, Ress et al.(1996) and Francis et al.(1996) showed the investment return and stock rate of return of firms which recognized asset impairment for 2 ~ 3 years before recognition of asset impairment were significantly lower than the median and it was observed the negative responses to asset impairment existed in the market. But the negative response is reported to have distinctiveness depending on characteristics of asset impairment. According to Elliot and Hanna(1996), the earnings response coefficient was shown to be lowest in the first quarter in which the impairment loss was recognized and it was observed the earnings response coefficient was found to be larger in case of more recognition of asset impairment than the case where the number of asset impairment recognition was small. The study of Bunsis (1997) also reported the stock market reaction to the impairment seemed to appear discriminatory depending on the impact on future cash flows. That is, the larger the size of asset impairment which causes addition of future cash flows, the larger the negative value of earnings response was. The study of Hogan and Jeter(1998) showed asset impairment has the positive relation with the stock rate of return in case of firms with negative net income before adjusting restructuring cost, which suggests the asset impairment may be treated differently in the market according to firm characteristics of recognizing the asset impairment. Cho and Paek (2006) conducted the empirical analysis on recognition frequency of asset impairment by asset impairment recognition cause after dividing them into effective reporting cause3 and ineffective reporting cause of the management. As a result, the ratios which divided the difference between the net income before the recognition of asset impairment, the net income before the recognition of asset impairment for the current term and the previous term net income by the net income for the previous term were significant as the estimate values which can divided effective reporting cause and ineffective reporting cause of the management. And the frequency of asset impairment recognition was higher as firms are classified as firms have high ineffective reporting cause of the management such as income smoothing cause and big bath cause or CEOs are replaced. Lastly, to see studies on the asset impairment and earnings management, Zucca and Campbell(1992) reported the average of the impairment took very large weight in the net income and net assets of firms with 4% of total assets and 13% of sales. This implies the asset impairment can be used for the purpose of earnings management. Heflin and 3 Effective report cause refers to incentives to provide information in a manner most satisfying the basic purpose of accounts of useful information provision to decision makers. 4 Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 Warfield(1997) analyzed if the time of recording the impairment loss is adequate and if the asset impairment is recorded excessively to manage future earnings and there was not any evidence that the asset impairment is recognized in lump sum at one not to affect the future earnings adversely but some evidences the asset impairment is recognized excessively for the income smoothing of firms. Li(2001) investigated excessive or under recognition of asset impairment for Chinese companies and as a result it was found under recognition was found in 1998 when the voluntary recognition of asset impairment was adopted but companies which intended to report the earnings higher (lower) recognized the asset impairment more (less), which showed the asset impairment may be used as a tool for opportunistic earnings management of the management. To sum the precedent studies up, as the size of asset impairment is likely to be decided by the subjective judgment of the management, it seems to be used by the management discretionally. Many precedent studies showed the management has used items with discretionary usage for earnings management and the history of asset impairment has been considered as a sign of earnings management(Palepu et al 2010). The credit rating depends on the reported earnings of firms largely and the management intends to raise the earnings through discretionary accounting choice to achieve the higher credit ratings. Especially, when the earnings are expected to low, the management would try to get the favorable ratings in the corporate bond credit rating evaluation through the excessive earnings management. Namely, the degree of earnings management is expected to affect corporate bond credit rating evaluation adversely and it has been found the lower the degree of earnings management is, the higher the credit rating of a firm is(Moon-tae Kim et al. 2006). The studies on the asset impairment have been carried out to date but there is scarcely any study which investigated the relationship between the asset impairment and corporate bond credit rating. Therefore, this study is to analyze the impact of the current credit evaluation system in which the asset impairment accounting can control the discretion of the management. Ⅲ. Research Method 3.1 Hypothesis Evaluation of corporate bond credit ratings for firms provides data to stakeholders for rational investment decision-making. That is, the credit rating has significance as an indicator which reports the business activities which are connected organically in addition to functions of measuring and reporting the debt service ability for corporate bonds. For example, when the net loss is generated due to the poor operating activities, the debt ratio is likely to increase due to the deficit in the capital account. This fact seems to be reflected in the credit rating by the accounting system which catches it systematically through various channels. As is seen in this example, the rational investor would uncertainty consider the recognition of asset impairment as a sign of uncertainty for future debt service ability. Also, the credit rating agencies would report the earnings by the summarized financial information of business performances(Sengupta 1998; Khurana and Raman 2003). Further, they would take charge in more objective analysis for operating income of firms more than other financial experts in the capital market as they are not direct stakeholders derived from the business performances(Ederington and Goh 1998). To recognize the impairment loss, the judgment process of estimating future cash flows 5 Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 expected from the assets subject to impairment loss and adjusting into the collectible amount is required. So, the discretion of the management is likely to be involved widely in the process of deciding the recognition of asset impairment. That is, there is possibility the asset impairment may be used as a tool for opportunistic earnings management by the management. Precedent studies also showed recognition of the asset impairment may be used for strategic purposes of earnings management due to discretion or flexibility of the management assigned by accounting(Heflin and Warfield 1997; Li 2001; Riedl 2004). The effective credit rating will affect the earnings management activities of the management. If the credit rating agencies consider the earnings management activities as opportunistic motivation, they would not evaluate it favorably and the degree of earnings management by good credit ratings would be relatively low(Kim et al. 2006). Also, the management would make efforts to maintain credit rating and further raise the improved evaluation of credit rating through accounting earnings(Choe and Shin 2006). The followings are descriptions of asset impairment at the hearing held relative to layoffs in Ssangyong Motors. "The debt ratio of Ssangyong Motors soared to 561% form 168% as of the end of 2008. That is why the accounting corporation requested by the company reduced the appraised value of tangible assets such as buildings, machinery, etc. by 517.7 billion won for the previous year. The appraised value of tangible assets decreased to 867.8 billion won from 1,334.6 billion won. The Generally Accepted Accounting Principles provide to use the higher of the future cash (use value) which can be generated by using assets and the cash (net disposal value) which can be achieved through sales of assets in evaluating intangible assets. Usually the appraised value of Korea Appraisal Board is used for net sales price and the future sales amount and cost expected by the company is used as the use value. But the accounting corporation decided the value of manufacturing facilities of Ssangyong Motors is “0” without any need of calculation as they are merely lumps of scraps. However according to the report of Korea Appraisal Board in March 2009, the appraisal value of tangible assets amounted to 670 billion won4 (the certified public accountant who participated in the hearing as a testifier pointed out “on evaluating the production facility as scraps, the principle of on-going entity was violated). Like this, behaviors of recognizing the impairment loss as the use value which can be extended or reduced like a rubber band according to discretion of the management seems to be accounting fraud. Also, this accounting fraud affects the firm value negatively (-) as well as the firms in evaluation of credit rating for corporate bonds. In this respect, the asset impairment which has a potential of being used as a tool of opportunistic earnings management by the management would affect evaluation of corporate bond credit rating adversely(Palepu et al 2010). This study would analyze research hypotheses as followings through precedent studies and logics as above. Hypothesis 1: Recognition of asset impairment would have a negative impact on the corporate bond credit rating. 4 “Manufacturing facilities of Ssangyong Automobile, a mass of scrap metal?” Jung, Eunju, Hanguerae 21, No. 932, 2012.10.22. 6 Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 3.2 Research Model The corporate bonds credit rating is assumed to be evaluated based on the financial performances and non-financial performances of the previous fiscal year. That is, it is assumed the credit rating is granted by the prior firm situation in the ex post actor way(Ederington and Yawitz 1986; Shi 2003). The first rating out of corporate bonds credit rating for t term as a dependent variable of research model and the explanatory variable is the financial and non-financial variables for t-1 term. RANKt = 0 + 1AWD(WD)t-1 + 2AROAt-1 + 3CRt-1 + 4ATURNOVER + 5LEVt-1 + 6SIZEt-1 + 7FORt-1 + 8AUDt-1 + 9NEGEt-1 + 10∑kYRkt +ε RANK = depending on corporate credit ratings granted to the score value by 1 score for 20 ratings from AAA (20 points) to D (1 point) AWD = Asset Impairment / Total Assets. WD = If Asset Impairment recognition is 1, and 0 otherwise. AROA = (Asset Impairment + Net Income) / Total Assets5 CR = Current Assets / Current Liabilities ATURNOVER = Sales / Total Assets LEV = Total Liabilities / Total Assets SIZE = Log of Total Assets FOR = the ratios of foreigners’ ownership AUD = If Qualified Audit Opinion is 1, and 0 otherwise. NEGE = 1 when Net Income is negative, and 0 otherwise YRk = 1 when the data belong to year k, and 0 otherwise (k=2000, 2001, 2002.....2009). As discrete variables which are assigned of scores in the descending order by 1 score for 20 ratings from AAA (20 points) to D (1 point) as independent variables of this study, the regression analysis using the Ordered Logit Model was carried out. In case of using credit rating as a dependent variable, it takes the form of discrete variable rather than the continuous variable and so it may not correspond to the probability distribution assumed in the linear regression model (OLS). So, the analysis was performed using the Ordered Logit Model(Ashbaugh-Skaife et al. 2006; A Young Lee et al. 2008). The main explanatory variable in this study is the impairment loss variable (AWD). The asset impairment is likely to be decided by the subjective judgment of the management and the management is likely to use discretionally. Therefore, if there is any possibility for the management not to reflect the economic reality due to intervention of discretion by the management in recognizing the impairment loss, the credit rating agencies would consider it as the negative signal and the asset impairment would be estimated as the negative (-) sign for corporate bond credit rating. 5 The asset impairment reversal is not deducted from AROA since the firm samples which made asset impairment reversal from 2000 to 2009 are 20; the total of asset impairment reversal to total asset is 0.0269; and the average is 0.001 value. 7 Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 To consider effects of the impairment variable on corporate bond credit rating, first there is a need to control the firm's business performances. As AROA represents the indicator of general earnings of firms, it is estimated as a positive (+) sign to the corporate bond credit rating. the current ratio, which represents the liquidity to measure cash payment ability of firms is estimated as a positive (+) sign in the corporate bond credit rating and the total assets turnover rate as a typical variable representing the activity measuring effective operation ability of assets is estimated as a positive (+) sign, also there are the debt ratio (LEV) and firm size (SIZE) as major financial variables in evaluating credit rating. The debt ratio is a value which shows the ability of servicing the principal and interests for the longterm liabilities and the degree of dependency on outside capital out of total assets. And the high debt ratio means the risk of default is high and so the negative (-) sign is expected in the credit rating. And as the firm size which is measured by natural log from total assets is likely to be achieve safer ratings through reciprocal payment guarantee effects in case of large firms, it seems to be a control variable which affects the credit rating positively (+). As for the foreigners’ ownership (FOR), foreign investors favor firms with good financial performance and stability, the positive (+) sign of credit rating is expected the audit opinion (AUD) is expected of the positive (+) sign as effects of the unqualified audit opinion on the credit rating. Lastly, the negative earnings are expected of the negative (-) sign in the credit rating. In the precedent studies, the relationship between the net income and the stock price showed different shapes qualitatively more in case of the negative (-) net income than the positive (+) net income. This study intended to show the difference in the regression coefficient of net income in case of the positive (+) net income and negative (-) net income by including the dummy variable (NEGE) in the negative (-) net income. Also, if the depend variables are determined by the economic situation for a certain year regardless of independent variables, the cross-sectional correlation in observed values and the time series autocorrelation exists in nature of financial variables, which causes the autocorrelation of residual. Since the estimated regression coefficient and the standard error may be unbiased due to this cross-sectional and time-series correlation, the dummy variables by year (YR) were added to control them(Park et al. 2004). Ⅳ. Sample Selection and Results of Empirical Analysis 4. 1 Sample selection Samples of this study are firms of which corporate bond credit ratings are available data the credit rating agencies (Korea Investors Service Inc. (KIS), Korea Ratings Corporation (KR), and NICE Information Service Co., Ltd (NICE)) from 2000 when the asset impairment accounting system was officially introduced to 2009. The samples are listed firms and the specific criteria of sample selection are as followings: (1) Sample firms of which corporate bond credit ratings are available data the credit rating agencies. (2) Sample firms exclude firms in the financial firms. (3) Sample firms have December 31 fiscal year-ends. (4) Sample firms exclude firms without necessary financial data. (5) Companies which are not in completed impaired capital situation. (6) Variables used in the empirical analysis should be less than 1% of the top and bottom range. 8 Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 Corporate bond credit ratings from the credit rating agencies typically range 20 grades from AAA to D depending on the extent of debt service abilities. The credit ratings from AAA to BBB are deemed to have timely repayment ability and rating less than BB are classified as speculative ones of which timely repayment abilities can be largely influenced by the change of situations. <Table 1> shows the definition of credit rating system. <Table 1> Credit Rating System The debt service ability is superlative. The debt service ability is excellent but inferior to AAA bonds. The debt service ability is excellent but may be more affected by the economic situation and situation deterioration than superior rated bonds. BBB The debt service ability is good but has a potential that the future ability may be weakened by the economic situation and situation deterioration than superior rated bonds. BB The debt service ability is not a problem now but the speculative factor is included in that the future safety is not certain B It is speculative for the debt service ability is poor and the payment of interests in the recession is not sure CCC There are unstable factors in debt service and it is speculative for the risk of default is very large. CC The concerned factors are larger than superior ratings. C The risk of default is large and there is not the debt service ability D Default state * Ratings from AA to B out of above ratings represents the additional classes by adding + or - sign. AAA AA A In this study, the first credit rating was selected when there are multiple ratings for the same firm. While firms which settle accounts in December was 6,134 except for financial institutions listed in the stock exchange from 2000 to 2009 but samples excluding to the omission of financial data, firms with impaired capital and top and bottom firms to remove the extreme effects in the empirical analysis process. Out of them, firms of which corporate bond credit rating data are available were 1,744 firms. To divide them by recognition of asset impairment, firms which recognized the asset impairment are 365 and firms which did not recognized it were 1,379. Table 2 shows the distribution of corporate bond credit rating by year. To see the distribution of corporate bond credit rating, the firms at the very high and low ranges of credit rating showed the relatively less observance values than firms in the intermediate ranges like studies in the past. Specifically, the top and bottom classes were 17.41% and 3.33% respectively out of total 1,744 samples. According to the credit rating system of <Table 1>, ratings from AAA to BBB- which are acknowledged to have the debt service ability take 80.3% in the total samples and the speculative grade from BB+ to D, which are largely affected by the environment change, took 19.7%. 9 Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 <Table 2> Distribution of credit grades for chosen samples YEAR GRADE RANK SUM 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 AAA 20 5 7 7 7 5 5 5 5 5 5 56 AA+ 19 1 1 1 2 2 6 7 10 11 41 AA 18 1 2 4 5 7 9 6 6 11 17 68 AA17 9 9 6 10 11 13 14 18 24 25 139 A+ 16 10 12 17 18 12 10 13 16 20 21 149 A 15 15 13 12 15 16 17 18 20 22 23 171 A14 22 22 13 18 22 21 29 24 19 19 209 BBB+ 13 17 15 20 21 22 17 17 17 18 20 184 BBB 12 35 29 23 25 25 29 21 15 12 11 225 BBB11 27 21 13 21 18 17 16 14 8 5 160 INVESTMENT 142 130 116 141 140 140 145 142 149 157 1402 GRADE BB+ 10 16 10 11 12 9 2 3 3 3 6 75 BB 9 30 24 12 9 7 7 7 6 3 3 108 BB8 14 6 6 4 3 1 1 2 4 2 43 B+ 7 3 2 2 3 2 2 4 2 3 4 27 B 6 5 4 5 3 1 2 5 5 1 32 B5 0 CCC 4 1 1 1 1 3 2 5 7 8 29 CC 3 1 1 1 1 4 C 2 3 4 3 1 2 1 2 16 D 1 1 2 4 1 1 9 SPECULATIVE 72 53 41 34 25 18 22 27 25 25 342 GRADE TOTAL 214 183 157 175 165 158 167 169 174 182 1744 % 3.21 2.35 3.89 7.96 8.53 9.79 11.97 10.54 12.89 9.16 80.3 4.30 6.19 2.46 1.55 1.89 0.00 1.66 0.23 0.92 0.52 19.7 100 4. 2 Descriptive Statistics Table 3 shows the descriptive statistics of the 1,744 sample which issued corporate bonds. The average (median) of credit rating, the major variable (RANK) shows 13.160, the scores of BBB+ (13.000). During the research period, to combine the fact that more than BBB- ratings are observed relatively more than ratings below BB +, the credit rating agencies of Korea seem to provide more generous evaluation in the credit rating. While the average of asset impairment recognition is 0.002, the maximum value was found to be 0.124. This may be attributed to recognition of large asset impairment amount in some firms. Therefore, when using the asset impairment discretionally, it was found the adjustment of profitability is possible. The average (median) of ROA was 0.034 (0.034) and the averages (medians) of debt ratio measuring the cash payment ability of firms and ROA measuring effective operation of assets were 1.229 (1.112) and 1.045 (0.884) respectively. 10 Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 In addition, the average (median) debt ratio which can measure firms’ dependence on outside capital was 0.595 (0.590), which suggests the weight of liabilities out of total assets is relatively high. Besides, the average (median) firm size and foreigners’ ownership were 20.650 (20.585) and 0.138 (0.075), respectively. <Table 3> Descriptive Statistics of corporate bonds-issued firms Variable Standard Mean Median Minimum Maximum (N=1744) Deviation RANK 13.160 13.000 3.560 1.000 20.000 AWD 0.002 0.000 0.008 0.000 0.124 AROA 0.034 0.034 0.080 -0.448 0.421 CR 1.229 1.112 0.759 0.007 10.915 ATURNOVER 1.045 0.884 1.409 0.001 40.918 LEV 0.595 0.590 0.229 0.011 2.250 SIZE 20.650 20.585 1.539 15.325 24.972 FOR 0.138 0.075 0.158 0.000 0.875 AUD 0.993 1.000 0.083 0.000 1.000 NEGE 0.170 0.000 0.376 0.000 1.000 Variable definition: RANK = depending on corporate credit ratings granted to the score value by 1 score for 20 ratings, AWD = Asset Impairment / Total Assets, WD = If Asset Impairment recognition is 1, and 0 otherwise, AROA = (Asset Impairment + Net Income) / Total Assets, CR = Current Assets / Current Liabilities, ATURNOVER = Sales / Total Assets, LEV = Total Liabilities / Total Assets, SIZE = Log of Total Assets, FOR = the ratios of foreigners’ ownership, AUD = If Qualified Audit Opinion is 1, and 0 otherwise, NEGE = 1 when Net Income is negative, and 0 otherwise 4. 3 Analysis of Differences Panel A in Table 4 is the result of difference analysis according to the recognition of asset impairment. While the average of corporate bond credit ratings by recognition and nonrecognition of asset impairment did not show significant difference statistically, the median showed significantly large value in the firms which recognized the asset impairment. However, the averages and medians of both firm size and foreigners’ ownership showed high values in firms which recognized the asset impairment, which shows firms with large sizes and high foreigners’ ownership recognize the asset impairment. The average and the median of debt ratio were high in firms which did not recognize the asset impairment. According to the credit rating system of Panel B, ratings from AAA to BBB- which are acknowledged to have the debt service ability investment-grade and the speculative-grade from BB+ to D, which are largely affected by the environment change. Recognition of asset impairment showed significantly large values in the speculativegrade, which implies groups with low corporate bond credit rating recognize the asset impairment more. ROA, debt ratio, firm size and foreigners’ ownership of investment-grade showed significantly larger values than speculative-grade and, ROA and the debt ratio had significantly larger values in the speculative-grade. 11 Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 <Table 4> Difference Analysis Panal A Difference Analysis according to the recognition of asset impairment Asset Impairment Asset Impairment NonRecognition Firms Recognition Firms t-statistics z-statistics Mean Median Mean Median RANK 13.427 14.000 13.090 13.000 1.599 2.409** AROA 0.030 0.039 0.034 0.032 -0.859 1.220 *** CR 1.113 0.964 1.259 1.145 -3.253 -4.106*** ATURNOVER 1.011 0.892 1.054 0.882 -0.514 0.521 LEV 0.603 0.589 0.593 0.590 0.791 -0.156 *** SIZE 21.190 21.262 20.509 20.397 7.578 8.034*** FOR 0.164 0.114 0.131 0.063 3.553*** 4.500*** AUD 0.980 1.000 0.996 1.000 -3.234*** -3.225*** NEGE 0.229 0.000 0.155 0.000 3.340*** 3.728*** Panal B Difference Analysis according to the corporate bond credit ratings INVESTMENT GRADE SPECULATIVE GRADE (N=302) (N=63) t-statistics z-statistics Mean Median Mean Median RANK 14.651 15.000 6.965 8.000 21.268*** 12.026*** AWD 0.007 0.003 0.014 0.006 -3.532*** -7.806*** AROA 0.051 0.049 -0.079 -0.071 10.451*** 3.444*** CR 1.149 0.994 0.920 0.747 2.365** 1.015 *** ATURNOVER 0.976 0.905 1.196 0.786 -2.610 2.552** LEV 0.589 0.581 0.677 0.654 -2.482** -7.237*** SIZE 21.464 21.529 19.743 19.501 9.211*** 8.328*** FOR 0.186 0.143 0.045 0.005 6.158*** 3.451*** AUD 0.997 1.000 0.895 1.000 5.278*** 5.090*** NEGE 0.143 0.000 0.684 1.000 -10.084*** -9.723*** * See Table 3 for the definition of variables. Superscript *,**,*** denote statistical significance at the 0.10, 0.05, 0.01 levels(two-tailed), respectively. 4. 4 Correlation Analysis <Table 5> is the results of the correlation analysis on firms which issued corporate bonds. The top of the table is the results of correlation analysis on the speculative-grade and the bottom shows the results of the analysis on investment-grade. The correlation coefficient between the corporate bond credit rating and asset impairment recognition rate in investment-grade shows the negative (-) correlation with 0.089 while it is -0.067 to show statistically insignificant negative (-) correlation. That is, the more firms which recognized the asset impairment, the higher the credit ratings of them are. On the other hand, the 12 Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 correlation coefficient of ROA shows the positive correlation (+) with 0.351, which suggest firms which have higher ROA before recognition of asset impairment achieve higher credit ratings. In addition, the firm size, foreigners’ ownership, and audit opinion also showed a positive (+) correlation, corporate bond credit ratings of firms with large size, high foreigners’ ownership and unqualified audit opinion seem to be relatively high. Also, the debt ratio and the negative (-) earnings showed the negative (-) correlation, which suggests credit ratings of firms with high debt ratio and negative earnings are evaluated in low. In summary of the results of the correlation analysis, it was found the dependent variables and explanatory variables designed in the research model are in close explanatory relationships. That is, corporate bond credit ratings in the speculative-grade had positive (+) relationships with ROA, firm size and foreigners’ ownership and negative (-) correlations with the asset impairment, debt ratio and negative earnings. In the speculative-grade, it showed positive correlations with ROA and audit opinions and negative correlations with ROA, foreigners’ ownership and negative earnings. <Table 5> Correlation Analysis RANK AWD AROA -0.067 0.419*** RANK AWD -0.089*** AROA 0.351*** -0.029 ATURN LEV SIZE FOR AUD NEGE OVER 0.045 -0.202*** -0.023 -0.028 -0.091* 0.245*** -0.267*** CR -0.200*** -0.119** 0.034 0.122** 0.086 0.132** 0.156*** -0.013 0.233*** -0.688*** CR 0.032 -0.026 0.232*** ATURNOVER -0.041 -0.010 -0.062** -0.005 LEV SIZE FOR AUD -0.023 0.119** 0.028 -0.231*** 0.226*** -0.015 -0.267***-0.274*** -0.107* 0.042 -0.235** 0.030 -0.057 -0.043 -0.153*** -0.041 -0.206*** 0.016 -0.179***-0.339*** 0.032 *** 0.597 *** 0.515 *** 0.024 *** *** 0.044 -0.260 -0.055 0.194 * *** -0.045 0.318 0.037 -0.129 ** 0.322*** 0.079 *** 0.004 *** 0.347 *** -0.009 -0.057 -0.108 0.480 0.022 0.002 -0.007 -0.025 0.021 0.038 -0.043 -0.023 -0.021 0.057 0.037 -0.212*** -0.211*** 0.114*** -0.565***-0.144*** 0.051 0.113*** 0.058** -0.127** 0.009 *The top of the table is the results of correlation analysis on the speculative-grade and the bottom shows the results of the analysis on investment-grade. **See Table 3 for the definition of variables. Superscript *,**,*** denote statistical significance at the 0.10, 0.05, 0.01 levels(two-tailed), respectively. NEGE 4. 5 Regression Analysis Table 6 is the result of hypothesis verification using the Ordered Logit Model (OLM) in order to alleviate the problem of convenience for coefficient estimate value which can appear in the analysis using the OLS in case of credit ratings measured by the ordinal scale. As results of regression analysis to understand effects of asset impairment on corporate bond credit rating, the corporate bond credit rating is a dependent variable and the asset impairment recognition variable is a major explanatory variable. If AWD (WD), a major explanatory variable affects significantly negatively, recognition of asset impairment is to affect evaluation of corporate bond credit rating negatively and the hypothesis would 13 Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 be supported. Panel A is the results of analyzing effects of asset impairment recognition on corporate bond credit rating for the whole sample firms, and Panel B and C are results of analyzing effects of asset impairment recognition on corporate bond credit rating in the investmentgrade and speculative-grade respectively. Impairment loss recognition ratio and the regression coefficient in panel A showed significant negative (-) values with -17.528 (Wald = -8.93) and -0.223 (Wald = -4.17) respectively. This means the corporate bond credit rating drop due to recognition of asset impairment causes to show recognition of asset impairment affects evaluation of corporate bond credit rating adversely and the hypothesis was supported. Also, Pseudo R2 representing the goodness of fitness for the model was significant in the prediction model. The signs of the control variables are consistent with the results of previous studies to show significant positive values in the regression coefficients of ROA, current ratio and total assets turnover ratio, it suggests the higher the ROA which measures company performances, the current ratio which measures the cash repayment ability and total assets turnover ratio which measures the effective operation ability are, the higher credit ratings are evaluated. The coefficient values of foreigners’ ownership and audit opinion were found to have significant positive values and so the credit rating were evaluated high when the foreigners’ ownership is high and the audit opinion is unqualified. The firm size and the debt ratio affected evaluation of credit rating significantly in the estimated direction and are financial variables with strong influence in evaluating credit rating for these two variables have substantial relations with repayment ability of the principal and interests after issuing bond. In the speculative-grade of Panel B, the asset impairment recognition and the coefficient of recognition showed significance negative (-) values with -33.446 (Wald = -16.37) and -0.210 (Wald = -3.03) respectively and higher regression coefficient value than analysis results of Panel A. This means recognition of asset impairment responded to evaluation of credit rating more negatively in the speculative-grade where corporate bond credit ratings are good. While the asset impairment recognition of the speculative-grades showed not significant positive value with 6.332 (Wald = 0.36), recognition of asset impairment showed not significant negative (-) value with -0.181 (Wald = -0.39). That is, recognition of asset impairment of the speculative-grades where credit ratings are poor shows the differentiated response from the investment-grade with good credit rating. Recognition of asset impairment in the speculative-grade, recognition of asset impairment is accepted as a signal of reducing credit risks of firms by conservative accounting and affects evaluation of credit rating positively6. Also, ROA, audit opinion, etc. were found to affect evaluation of credit rating more significantly than recognition of asset impairment7. But the explanatory power of speculative-grade was 41.4% less than the whole firms and investment-grade8. 6 7 8 When recognition on asset impairment is considered as strengthening conservative accounting treatment, the transparency and trustworthy of firms might be heightened, contributing to firm value enhancement and then favorable rating of credit rating agencies. The regression analysis on speculative-grade of Panel C shows t-value of debt ratio in this research model has a negative value of –0.112(-0.051) while the analysis after eliminating NEGE, t-value of depth ration posts –3.576(-262.38). It is interpreted that NEGE offset the debt ratio. Even though it is not illustrated as a table, the issue of multi-collinearity among variables is not 14 Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 To summarize above discussions, the better credit ratings are, the lower the asset impairment recognition is. And it was found the higher ROA, the current ratio and total assets turnover ratio, firm size and the foreigners’ ownership are, the better credit ratings are. Meanwhile, the higher the debt ratio and the negative earnings are, the lower credit ratings were evaluated. <Table 6> According to the Ordered Logit Model Analyzing effects of asset impairment recognition on corporate bond 9 credit rating Panal A Whole Sample Firms Wald Statistics Coefficient AWD -17.528 -8.926 Wald Statistics Coefficient *** WD *** ** -0.223 -4.167 8.693 116.917 *** AROA 8.755 118.426 CR 0.129 4.106 ** 0.125 3.869 ** ATURNOVER 0.073 5.886 ** 0.072 5.688 ** LEV -3.586 -264.251 *** -3.595 -265.215 SIZE 1.138 702.824 *** 1.142 695.572 FOR 3.089 72.637 *** 3.112 73.839 *** AUD 2.637 22.456 *** 2.672 23.587 *** NEGE -0.794 -26.046 *** -0.817 -27.699 YR Dummies Pseudo R Not Reported 2 *** *** *** Not Reported 0.685 0.683 Panal B INVESTMENT GRADE FIRMS Coefficient AWD WD AROA CR ATURNOVER LEV SIZE FOR AUD NEGE YR Dummies 2 Pseudo R 9 -33.446 9.155 0.035 0.036 -3.417 1.069 2.922 14.147 -0.721 Wald Statistics -16.369 Coefficient Wald Statistics *** *** 72.146 0.264 1.279 *** -172.984 *** 452.106 *** 58.959 0.003 *** -13.765 Not Reported 0.627 -0.210 9.010 0.034 0.036 -3.418 1.066 2.992 15.046 -0.771 * -3.025 *** 70.396 0.241 1.248 *** -173.195 *** 444.050 *** 61.952 0.003 *** -15.922 Not Reported 0.624 serious biased on the analysis outcome of multi-collinearity of independent variables in the process of multi regression analysis. The tolerance limit (VIF) was 1.093(0.915) in minimum and 3.301(0.303) in maximum and when VIF is 10 and over and tolerance limit is 0.1 and under, the issue of multi-collinearity deems serious. Credit rating agencies have notified that they utilize closing financial statement for recent 2 years for credit rating evaluation. In this vein, the regression analysis outcome utilizing closing data in t-1 year and t-2 year is similar enough not to give influence on the interpretation of study outcome. 15 Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 Panal C SPECULATIVE GRADE FIRMS Coefficient AWD WD AROA CR ATURNOVER LEV SIZE FOR AUD NEGE YR Dummies Pseudo R2 6.332 8.036 0.114 -0.571 -0.112 -0.005 -1.579 1.405 0.156 Wald Statistics 0.357 *** 34.629 0.332 -14.541*** -0.051 -0.003 -0.985 5.590** 0.288 Not Reported 0.414 Coefficient Wald Statistics -0.181 -0.391 7.827 33.032*** 0.114 0.331 -0.558 -13.646*** -0.115 -0.053 0.015 0.021 -1.576 -0.974 1.296 4.898** 0.181 0.387 Not Reported 0.411 See Table 3 for the definition of variables. Superscript *,**,*** denote statistical significance at the 0.10, 0.05, 0.01 levels(two-tailed), respectively. Ⅴ. Conclusion This study analyzes the effect of asset impairment recognition on corporate bond credit rating. The major analysis results are as follows. First, the average (median) of corporate bond credit rating were 13.160 (13.000) or BBB + rating as results of descriptive statistics analysis for firms which issued corporate bonds. During the research period, more than BBB-credit ratings were observed four times more than ratings under BB + grade, which shows the credit rating agencies are providing relatively generous evaluation. Also, while the mean of asset impairment recognition rate is 0.002, the maximum value was 0.124, which shows some firms are recognizing large amount of asset impairment recognition. Second, according to the analysis of differences in recognition and non-recognition of asset impairment, the average of corporate bond credit rating did not show significant difference by division of recognition and non-recognition of asset impairment but recognition of asset impairment showed significant large value in the speculative-grade according to the analysis results by dividing into the investment-grade and speculativegrade according to corporate bond credit rating for firms recognized the asset impairment, which suggest the asset impairment is more recognized in the group with low corporate bond credit rating. This corresponds to the results that firms with poor financial performances recognize more asset impairment(Zucca and Cambell 1992). That is, it was found that recognition of asset impairment is affecting negatively at the time of evaluating corporate bond credit rating. Third, according to the regression analysis which investigated effects of asset impairment recognition on corporate bond credit rating, recognition of asset impairment showed a significant negative (-) value, which supported the hypothesis recognition of asset impairment affects evaluation of corporate bond credit rating adversely. Also, recognition of asset impairment in the speculative-grade is affecting negatively more than the range of corporate bond credit rating. In firms where financial states are stable 16 Proceedings of 3rd Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 25 - 26 February 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-19-1 and corporate bond credit ratings are good, recognition of asset impairment is acknowledged as negative effects which cause to decrease earnings of firms and reduce firm values. Therefore, the recognition of asset impairment has a negative impact on the corporate bond credit rating. Meanwhile recognition of asset impairment in the speculativegrade does not affect corporate bond credit ratings significantly. For firms of which financial conditions are unstable and of which corporate bond credit ratings are poor, the ratios which can measure the debt service ability on borrowings are more useful in evaluation of corporate bond credit rating than the recognition of asset impairment. To summarize above discussions, it can be seen recognition of asset impairment negatively affects the corporate bond credit rating. The better corporate bond credit ratings of firms are, the less recognized asset impairment and the higher ROA, the current ratio, the firm size and foreigners’ ownership are, the better the credit ratings are. Meanwhile the corporate bond credit rating was evaluated low in firms with high asset impairment recognition and high debt ratios. 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