Proceedings of 32nd International Business Research Conference 23 - 25 November, 2015, Rendezvous Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-89-4 Impact of Capital Structure on Firm Performance: Evidence from Manufacturing Sector SMEs in UK D K Y Abeywardhana* The purpose of this study is to investigate empirically the impact of capital structure on firm performance. This study examined the impact of capital structure on firm performance of manufacturing sector SMEs in UK for the period of 1998-2008. The authors hypothesize that there is a negative relationship between capital structure and firm performance. To examine the association, the authors run a Pearson correlation and multiple regression analysis. Results of this study reveals that there is a significant negative relationship between leverage and firm performance (ROA, ROCE), strong negative relationship between liquidity and firm performance and highly significant positive relationship between size and the firm performance. This study concluded that firms which perform well do not rely on debt capital and they finance their operations from retained earnings and specially SMEs have less access to external finance and face difficulties in borrowing funds. It is recommended that firm should establish the point at which the weighted average cost of capital is minimized and to maintain the optimal capital structure and thereby maximize the shareholders wealth. JEL Code: G32 Key words: Capital structure, firm performance, SMEs 1. Introduction Choice of internal or external financing is one of the serious concerns of a firm. Capital structure and its impact on firm value and performance is still a puzzle in corporate finance theory and finance literature. Capital structure theories which are highly based on large firms are failed to explain optimal mix of debt to equity. Capital structure choice is therefore a crucial issue for both large and small firms. Well known theory of capital structure irrelevance of Modigliani and Miller (MM) (1958) which is based on unrealistic assumptions provided the foundation for the development of various theories, empirical studies on capital structure, as this restrictive assumptions do not hold in the real world. However finance theory and literature suggest that the optimal capital structure should be employed but there is no consensus on how to achieve an optimal debt to equity ratio. Further finance theory does support in understanding the impact of chosen capital structure on value of the firm. Existence of optimum capital structure minimize the cost of capital and ensure that the profitability of the firm is maximized. Managing the capital structure properly is paramount important as it would affect the profitability and finally the value of the firm. In efficient management of capital structure of the firm would lead to financial distress and ultimately to bankruptcy. Gill et al.(2011) stressed that despite the fact that there are many theories tried to explain the optimal capital structure researchers in finance have never yet find a model to determine the optimal capital structure. Enormous amount of researchers have been examined the capital structure choice on performance in developed market and for large firms. In developed markets capital markets are more efficient and suffers less from information asymmetry compared to other emerging economies (Eldomiaty, 2007). * Department of Accountancy, University of Kelaniya, Sri Lanka. E mail: dilyapa@kln.ac.lk Proceedings of 32nd International Business Research Conference 23 - 25 November, 2015, Rendezvous Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-89-4 Therefore the main focus of this study is to investigate the impact of capital structure on financial performance of manufacturing sector SMEs in UK which has not adequately research in financial literature. 2. Literature Review Impact of capital structure on firm performance has been studied since 1952. Durand, D,(1952) shed light on introducing theories on capital structure and their impact on value of the firm. Since then it is received enormous attention in the financial literature among scholars. Due to this inspiration a debate started among researchers and still it is continuing like a puzzle without consensus. MM(1958) stated that the capital structure is irrelevant and there is no optimal capital structure based on unrealistic assumptions. According to Chaganti et al (1995) due to the assumption on rational economic behavior and perfect market conditions of MM irrelevant theory, it has limited applicability to the small firms. SMEs differ from the large firms in several aspects and different financing decisions are applied (Heyman et al., 2008). SMEs have limited access to external finance unlike larger firms and this is the fact that SMEs are motivated to depend more on the self-generated funds or short term debt. Studies on capital structure and firm performance are mainly based on the theory of information asymmetry, signaling and agency cost. Following Jensen and Meckling (1976) several other researchers (Fama and French, 1998; Gleason et al., 2000; Hadlock and James, 2002) study the direct effect of leverage on firm performance based on the agency theory and information asymmetry. Ross (1977) came up with a model that describe the debt to equity ratio choice signals the quality of the firm. This study explain that low quality firms face high cost to abuse the market and signal about its high quality through incorporating more debt capital. Firms with low debt capital are inclined to spend their free cash flow freely and finally generating lower return. In contrast, firm with higher debt capital work very effectively as they are committed to meet the interest payment of the debt holders and manage the rest of the cash flow more effectively. Harris and Raviv (1988) explain higher leverage of the firm as an antitakeover instrument. Higher the leverage of the firm means they bear a higher risk and the firms with higher risk will be less likely to be acquired. For their own interest managers of the firm manage higher amount of debt which is not consistent with the agency theory. Lots of empirical studies focus on impact of debt to equity mix on firm performance as performance is significantly affected the capital structure of the firm. Titman and Wessels (1988) from the US firms reported that a negative relationship between capital structure and firm performance. Titman and Wessels (1988) argue that due to the cost and risk associated with leverage small firms maintain less relationship with financial institutions which make small firms less preferable clients and they are charged at high interest rates while large firms are offered competitive interest rates. This is supported by Rajan and Zingales (1995) and showed that profitability was negatively correlated with leverage. Confirming this idea Ozkan (2001) further explain that small firms are more sensitive to economic downturns and face high chance of liquidation in situations of financial distress as they have less resources available. As a result small firms use more short term debt than larger firms. From a financial distress perspective as larger firms are more diversified they are expected to go bankrupt less often than smaller ones (Pettit and Singer (1985), so size must be positively related to leverage. Proceedings of 32nd International Business Research Conference 23 - 25 November, 2015, Rendezvous Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-89-4 Investigating the effect of capital structure on profitability of listed firms on the Ghana stock exchange Arbor (2005) reveal a significantly positive relationship between ratio of short term debt to total assets and ROE. This suggests that profitable firms use more short term debt to finance their business operations. Arbor (2007) examined the relationship between capital structure and performance of SMEs in Ghana and South Africa during a six year period 1998-2003. The empirical results indicate that short term debt is significantly negatively related to the gross profit margin of both countries and long term debt has significant positive relationship with gross profit margin of both countries. More profitable firms should have lower leverage ratio than less profitable firms as they are able to finance their investment opportunities with the retained earnings according to the theory. Moreover the theory says that leverage has a negative effect on the firm profitability. This idea is strengthen by Gleason et al (2000), Arbor (2005) and Arbor (2007) more profitable firms tend to use earnings to pay debt and therefore they would have a lower leverage than less profitable firms. Majority of empirical studies in the past confirmed that capital structure has a negative impact on profitability of the firm. Recently Omondi &Muturi (2013) presented that leverage had a significant negative effect on financial performance of the firm and Umer (2014) presented again that there is a negative correlation between capital structure and profitability of the firm. But, Gill, et al.,(2011) showed that short-term debt; long-term debt; and total debt had positive influence on profitability. Further Gill,et al., (2011) classified the sample as service and manufacturing sector and found that the impact of short-term debt and total debt on ROA was positive in both the service and manufacturing industries. To sum up, it is proved from the previous discussion, some studies show a positive relationship between capital structure and firm performance, others show a negative relationship between capital structure and firm performance. It should be noted that previous empirical findings have demonstrated that impact of capital structure on firm performance is questionable. The present study was interested on the effect capital structure on firm performance. 3. Methodology and Model This section focus on the methodology of this study which will include research design, nature and sources of data and analysis techniques. Explore most suitable research methodology to achieve the research objective is the most important role in a research. Therefore methodology of this study had been adopted to analyze the impact of capital structure on firm performance. 3.1 Variable Selection The following predictions have summarized based on the trade-off theory, pecking order theory, agency theory and the previous empirical studies to capture the impact of other variables on profitability. 3.1.1 Performance More profitable firms should have lower leverage ratio than less profitable firms as they are able to finance their investment opportunities with the retained earnings. Leverage has a negative effect on Proceedings of 32nd International Business Research Conference 23 - 25 November, 2015, Rendezvous Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-89-4 the firm profitability. This idea is strengthen by Gleason et al (2000), Arbor (2005) and Arbor (2007) more profitable firms tend to use earnings to pay debt and therefore they would have a lower leverage than less profitable firms. In this study two profitability measures are used in which one indicate the firm management use total assets to make profit and other indicates how well management use the debt and equity capital to enhance the firm profitability. The profitability is measured using the Return On Assets (ROA) (Abor,2007;Arcas and Bachiller, 2008;Goddard et al,2005) and return on capital employed (ROCE)(Krishnan and Moyer,1997). 3.1.2 Capital Structure In the literature the capital structure is measured in several methods. Three leverage measures use in this study are total debt to total assets, long term debt to total assets or short term debt to total assets and gearing ratio. Since long-term debt is issued more rarely, it may measure a longer run relationship and may be more insensitive to unexpected financial crises than is total debt (Krishnan and Moyer, 1997). Highly geared firms tend to suffer as the proportion of gross profits dedicated to servicing debt increases and the proportion accruing to shareholders shrinks accordingly (Goddard et al, 2005). They found that the relationship between gearing and profitability is negative. According to the agency cost hypothesis the higher debt or low equity to capital ratio reduces the agency cost. There are several measures that can be used as a measure as leverage such as debt to total assets is used as the leverage measure and debt to equity can also be used as a measure of leverage. In this study leverage is measured by debt to equity ratio. 3.1.3 Control Variables Apart from the capital structure there are several other variables influence the performance of the firm. Size of the firm, sales growth and liquidity ratio and capital structure may be influenced by the firm performance. Firm size is measured by the logarithm of the firm’s assets. 3.2 Modelling The model of the study is given below based on the variables choose in the previous discussion. Variable Name Performance Table 1- Variable definition and expected relationship Variable sign Sign Definition ROA, ROCE Net profit to total assets, Earnings before interest and tax to capital employed Proceedings of 32nd International Business Research Conference 23 - 25 November, 2015, Rendezvous Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-89-4 Capital structure Capital Structure Capital Structure Capital Structure Size TD +/- Total debt to total assets LTD - Long term debt to total assets STD +/- Short term debt to total assets STDTD + Short term debt to total debt LOGSIZE + Sales growth Liquidity SALESGR LIQUIDITYR + +/- Natural log of total assets/natural log of sales Percentage growth in annual sales Current assets to current liabilities 3.4 Sampling Data was obtained from the FAME database. Selecting all firms from Manufacturing sector reduce the problems associated with selecting a sample from specified industries. This study selects all private limited firms in manufacturing sector SMEsi in the UK. We use data from 1998-2008. Our analysis cover data from 1999-2008 as data for year 1998 are used to calculate some variables for 1999. We dropped companies with zero sales. We remove all outliers in the dataset by excluding observations that lie in the 1% tails of each regression variable. Finally the selected sample consists of unbalanced panel of 224231 observations. Descriptive statistics are given in Table 2 Table 2: Descriptive statistics ROA ROCE LOGSALES LOGSIZE LIQUIDITYR SALESGR TD STD LTD Mean .0976 .228 8.469 5.991 1.722 .0564 0.561 0.396 0.164 Min .0003 .0001 2.673 4.56 .0032 -25.67 .001 .016 000 Max .3241 .6821 12.32 18.97 .962 5.632 .912 .937 .784 SD .1463 .9640 1.841 3.680 4.302 4.369 1.787 1.478 4.327 N 224231 224231 224231 224231 224231 224231 224231 224231 224231 Source: Author’s computation Table 2 shows the descriptive statistics for the study. Capital structure proxies STD, LTD and TD show mean of 39.6, 16.4 and 56.1 respectively for the manufacturing sector SMEs which implies that SMEs in UK more rely on short term funds and do not incorporate higher level of long term debt capital in the capital structure. Moreover manufacturing sector SMEs Proceedings of 32nd International Business Research Conference 23 - 25 November, 2015, Rendezvous Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-89-4 performance is low for the selected period. This is proved by the mean value of ROA and ROCE 9.76 and 22.8 respectively. Descriptive statistics shows that 56% of total assets finance through debt, of which 39.6% is short term debt showing the fact that Manufacturing sector SMEs in UK are largely depend on the short term debt for financing their operations may be due to the difficulty in accessing long term finance or young firms are resistance to use external finance and rely on internally generated funds. Table 3: Correlation Matrix Variable ROA ROA ROCE SALESGR LOGSIZE LIQUIDITYR TD STD LTD 1 ROCE 0.8101 1 SALESGR 0.0003 0.0003 1 LOGSIZE 0.1669 0.2254 -0.0065 1 LIQUIDITYR -0.0989 -0.0232 -0.0034 -0.0357 1 TD -0.0386 -0.0438 0.0013 0.1054 -0.1574 1 SDA 0.0696 0.0322 0.0001 0.0192 -0.2037 0.7515 1 LDA -0.0439 -0.1037 0.0017 0.1326 0.0287 0.5197 -0.1729 1 STDTD 0.0442 0.1082 -0.0032 -0.1209 -0.0632 -0.1833 0.3993 -0.7714 STDTD 1 There does not appear to be high correlation between any of the explanatory variables except the proxies of performance. Except the proxy for performance and capital structure none of the variable is highly correlated. Therefore multicollinearity problem does not exist. 3.5 Empirical Model We measure the effect of capital structure on profitability. The model for the empirical investigation can be stated as follows. ROAi,t = α0 + α1 LIQUIDITYRi,t +α2 LOGSIZE i,t + α3 TD i,t + α4SALESGR i,t + α5STDTD i,t + λt +ηi +ε i,t (1) ROAi,t =α0 +α1 LIQUIDITYRi,t +α2 LOGSIZE i,t +α3 STD i,t +α3 LTD i,t +α4SALESGR i,t +α5STDTD i,t +λt +ηi +ε i,t (2) Table 4: The impact of capital structure on firm performance ROA MODEL 1 MODEL 2 Variables Coefficient Prob. Coefficient Prob. C -0.6466 0.0000*** -0.7285 0.0000*** Proceedings of 32nd International Business Research Conference 23 - 25 November, 2015, Rendezvous Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-89-4 LIQUIDITYR -0.0123 0.0000*** -0.0171 0.0057** LOGSIZE 0.0612 0.0000*** 0.0638 0.0000*** TD -0.0642 0.0000*** STD 0.0639 0.0085** LTD -0.0651 0.0397** STDTD 0.0041 0.0221** 0.0033 0.0471** SALESGR 0.0078 0.1972 0.0072 0.2974 Adjusted R 2 0.845 0.774 *,**,*** indicates statistically significant at 10%, 5% and 1% respectively. As far as the diagnostic tests are concerned we find no evidence of heteroskedasticity according to White test. Test for second-order serial correlation in the firstdifferenced residuals, asymptotically distributed as N(0,1) under the null of no serial correlation. An alternative model for above equation can be written as follows with the proxy for the dependent variable. ROCE i,t = α0 + α1 LIQUIDITYRi,t + α2 LOGSIZEi,t + α3 TD i,t + α4SALESGR i,t + α5STDTD i,t +λt +ηi +ε i,t (3) ROCE i,t = α0 + α1LIQUIDITYRi,t +α2LOGSIZEi,t +α3 STD i,t +α3 LTD i,t +α4SALESGR i,t + α5STDTD i,t +λt +ηi +ε i,t (4) Variable definitions are given in the Table 1. Table 5: The impact of capital structure on firm performance ROCE MODEL 3 MODEL 4 Variables Coefficient Prob. Coefficient Prob. Proceedings of 32nd International Business Research Conference 23 - 25 November, 2015, Rendezvous Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-89-4 C -3.6591 0.5721 -4.2831 0.0056** LIQUIDITYR -0.0116 0.0000*** -0.0166 0.0061** LOGSIZE 2.4857 0.0098** 8.5410 0.0040** TD -0.0451 0.0056** STD -0.0601 0.0074** LTD -0.0561 0.0016** STDTD -0.0043 0.0221** -0.0035 0.0315** SALESGR 0.0080 0.1918 0.0073 0.4129 Adjusted R 2 0.439 0.642 *,**,*** indicates statistically significant at 10%, 5% and 1% respectively. As far as the diagnostic tests are concerned we find no evidence of heteroskedasticity according to White test. Test for second-order serial correlation in the firstdifferenced residuals, asymptotically distributed as N(0,1) under the null of no serial correlation Model estimation using panel data requires first to determine whether there is a correlation between the unobservable heterogeneity of each firm and other control variables of the model. We would obtain the consistent estimation by means of the within–group estimator, if there is a correlation (fixed effects). If not,(random effect) the more efficient estimator can be achieved by estimating the equation through Generalized Least Squares(GLS). Using the Hausman(1978) test determined whether the effects are fixed or random under the null hypothesisii. The estimation is done using two stage least square fixed effect. The analysis is based on variants of equations incorporating alternative proxies to measure performance iii (ROA, ROCE), leverage [TD (LTD + STD)]. As can be seen in the variable definition Table 1 there are two alternative measures for performance, two main alternative measures for leverage of the firm. The result of the panel estimation is given in Table 4 and 5. Table 4 represent all the sample estimations for ROA and Table 5 represent all the sample estimations for ROCE. 4. Findings Performance which is measured by ROA and ROCE shows significant positive association with firm size, so that large size seems to favor the generation of profitability. This is same for the both measures of size. Increase in profitability with the size of the firm support the earlier findings by Miller (1977), Fama and French (1998), Abor(2005), and Abor(2007). Capital structure (TD) shows significant negative relationship with performance and this is contrary to MM (1958) signaling theory and with Gill, et al., (2011) which explain a higher the debt ratio higher the performance of the firm. When firm become more levered in the manufacturing sector firms are confronting with the default risk of incorporation of debt. Liquidity ratio is significantly negative for all measures of performance. Further this evidence that lack of liquidity has been an important cause of business failure. Sales growth is insignificant and positively related with the performance Sales growth which could be an Proceedings of 32nd International Business Research Conference 23 - 25 November, 2015, Rendezvous Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-89-4 indication of a firm’s business opportunities is an important factor allowing firms to enjoy improved profitability. This is consistent with the earlier findings of Arbor (2005, 2007). Short term debt to total debt is highly significant for all the estimations and display a negative relationship with the performance of the firm implying that short term debt is not profitable for the manufacturing sector SMEs. Consistent with Fama and French (1998) and Arbor (2007) short term debt is significantly positively correlated with the performance. 5. Summary and Conclusions This study has examined the relationship between capital structure and the performance of manufacturing sector SMEs in the UK for the period of 1998-2008. All the models tested show a good explanatory poser power on the firm performance. Positive but insignificant sales growth of sector indicates that the performance of the SMEs in the manufacturing sector in the UK is not very much influenced by the internal firm characteristics but might be more influenced by the external factors. Further it can be concluded that in guiding investors regarding the choice of the firms operational performance, fundamental analysis of the firm sales growth and efficiency have a little role to play. It is found that the capital structure of the manufacturing sector SMEs in UK does not follow the MM (1958) theory of capital structure but this is consistent with the agency theory as higher the leverage grater the agency cost of outside debt, and many other studies that proved a negative relationship with leverage and firm performance. This justified that firms which perform well do not rely on debt capital and they finance their operations from retained earnings and specially SMEs have less access to external finance and face difficulties in borrowing funds. It is recommended that firm should establish the point at which the weighted average cost of capital is minimized and to maintain the optimal capital structure and thereby maximize the shareholders wealth. The size of the firm appears to be more important factor that determines the performance in SMEs in the UK. In conclusion, manufacturing sector SMEs in UK are more interesting in internal financing, other than debt finance. This study with conclude with some important future research areas. It would be suggested to include ownership structure to the analysis. That would be showing clearly, especially for small firms that large part of the firm performance could be explained by ownership structure. Further this study focused only the manufacturing sector and to get a better understanding it can include other sectors in future research. Reference Arbor, J.,2005, “The effect of capital structure on Profitability: an empirical analysis of listed firms in Ghana” , The journal of risk and finance, Vol 6, pp. 438-47 Proceedings of 32nd International Business Research Conference 23 - 25 November, 2015, Rendezvous Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-89-4 Arbor, J.,2007, Debt policy and performance of SMEs: Evidence from Ghanaian and South African firms, The journal of risk and finance, Vol 8, No.04,pp. 364-379. Arcas M.J, and Bachiller, P., 2008, “Performance of capital structure of privatized firms in Europe”, Global economic review, Vol 37(1), pp 107-123. Chaganti R, DeCarolis D and Deeds D 1995, ‘Predictors of capital structure in small ventures’, Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, winter, pp.1042-2587. 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Some Evidence from International Data," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(5): 1421-1460 Proceedings of 32nd International Business Research Conference 23 - 25 November, 2015, Rendezvous Hotel, Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-89-4 Ross, S 1977, ‘The determination of financial structure: The incentive signaling approach,’ Bell Journal of Economics, vol. 8, pp. 23-40. Titman, S. and Wessels, R. 1988, “The determinants of capital structure choice”, The Journal of Finance, Vol. 43 No. 1, pp. 1-19. Umer, U. M. 2014. Determinants of Capital Structure: Empirical Evidence from Large Taxpayer Share Companies in Ethiopia. International Journal of Economics and Finance; 6(1), 53-65. i European Union definition for SME is used. If the null hypothesis is rejected the effects are considered to be fixed. The model can be estimated by OLS. Accepting null hypothesis would mean to have random effects and the model have to be estimated by GLS. More efficient estimator of β we achieve in this way. ii iii This is extremely important as we can separate the fundamental earning power of the company from the effects of management financing decision. For instance, firms with identical EBIT may have different net income depends on the different level of debt finance they employ in the capital structure.