KRAS Mutation in the Cell-Free DNA Predicts Survival in Advanced Pancreatic Carcinoma Patients Treated with Gemcitabine and Erlotinib Irene M. Hutchins, MD, William Holland, MS, Rebekah Tsai, MS, Leslie Snyder-Solis, MS, I-Yeh Gong, MD, Michael Tanaka, MD Edward Kim, MD, PhD,, Philip Mack, PhD, Primo Lara, MD, Thomas Semrad, MD, MAS Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Hematology & Oncology, University of California at Davis Medical Center, Sacramento, CA INTRODUCTION Kirsten rat sarcoma (KRAS) gene mutations are present in 80-95% of pancreatic cancer tissue specimens, however the prognostic value of KRAS mutational status remains unclear. RESULTS SUMMARY OF RESULTS KRAS mutations were detected in the tumor tissue from 4 (80%) of the 5 patients with available tumor blocks. Plasma KRAS mutations were detected in the cell-free DNA from 10 (37%) of 27 patients, including 2 (50%) of those with known KRASmutated tumors. EGFR Biomarker groups (N=27) Erlotinib, an epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) inhibitor, marginally improves survival in advanced pancreatic cancer treated with gemcitabine (median survival 6.2 vs 5.9 months). [1] Patients with mutant plasma KRAS had significantly lower median PFS (1.8 vs 4.6 months, p=0.014) and OS (2.8 vs 10.5 months, p=0.003) compared to those without KRAS mutations detected in the plasma. Progression-Free Survival by Plasma KRAS KRAS mutations may constitutively activate the molecular signaling cascade downstream from EGFR, and are therefore proposed to confer resistance to EGFR inhibitors. Overall Survival by Plasma KRAS AREG and EREG did not correlate with PFS or OS. After adjusting for age, gender, race, ethnicity, primary tumor site, performance status, stage, and plasma DNA concentration, plasma KRAS mutational status remained a strong predictor of overall survival (HR 14.5, p=0.006). Limited availability of tumor tissue prohibits universal assessment of KRAS mutational status in pancreatic cancer biopsy specimens. DISCUSSION Attempts at detecting KRAS mutations non-invasively in the cell-free DNA (i.e. circulating in the plasma) have yielded mixed results, with detection rates ranging from 0% to 71%. [2-7] Plasma KRAS assays have not yet been utilized in clinical practice. A 1999 study found that the detection of mutant KRAS in cell-free DNA was associated with shorter survival in pancreatic cancer [7], however confirmatory studies are lacking. The epidermal growth factors amphiregulin (AREG) and epiregulin (EREG) are involved in stimulating cell proliferation, and are hypothesized to have a prognostic role in pancreatic cancer. PURPOSE To determine the detection rate of KRAS mutations in the plasma of advanced pancreatic cancer patients using a novel PCR assay. To evaluate the prognostic significance of KRAS mutations in the cellfree DNA, as well as AREG and EREG expression in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer treated with gemcitabine and erlotinib. METHODS Pre-treatment plasma samples were stored for 27 of 30 patients with locally-advanced or metastatic pancreatic cancer enrolled in a phase II clinical trial using gemcitabine and pharmacodynamically separated erlotinib (UCDCC#211). Tumor blocks were stored for 5 patients. KRAS mutations can be detected non-invasively in the plasma of some, but not all patients with KRAS-mutated pancreatic tumors. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrates shorter progression free survival in patients with KRAS mutations detected in the cell-free DNA. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrates shorter progression-free survival in patients with KRAS mutations detected in the cell-free DNA. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrates shorter overall survival in patients with KRAS mutations detected in the cell-free DNA. Patient Distribution by Biomarker Category (N=27) Expression of the epidermal growth factors AREG and EREG do not correlate with survival, possibly due to constitutive activation of tumor cell proliferation pathways downstream from EGFR. Low / Undetected (n) High / Detected (n) KRAS mutation 17 10 Mutation detected DNA concentration 13 14 ≥ Median (85.49 ng/mcL) AREG 14 13 ≥ Lower Limit Assay (15.6 pg/mL) EREG 13 14 ≥ Median (325.51 pg/mL) Plasma Biomarker ) Cut-point Further research is needed to determine if circulating mutant KRAS is primarily a prognostic indicator or if it can be used as a predictive biomarker for the efficacy of gemcitabine/erlotinib. REFERENCES Outcomes by Biomarker Category (Log-Rank Analysis) Median Progression-Free Survival (months) Progression Free Survival by Plasma KRAS Plasma Biomarker Low / High / HR p-value Detected Undetected KRAS mutation 4.6 1.8 2.89 0.014 Median Overall Survival (months) Low / High / Undetected Detected 10.5 2.8 HR p-value 4.69 0.003 Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and log-rank tests were used to compare survival distributions between groups. A Cox Regression Model for OS was developed to adjust for clinical variables 1. Moore MJ, Goldstein D, Hamm J, et al. Erlotinib plus gemcitabine compared with gemcitabine alone in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer: a phase III trial of the National Cancer Institute of Canada Clinical Trials Group. Journal of clinical oncology: official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology 2007;25:1960-6. 2. Sorenson GD. Detection of mutated KRAS2 sequences as tumor markers in plasma/serum of patients with gastrointestinal cancer. Clinical cancer research: an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research 2000;6:2129-37. 3. Dianxu F, Shengdao Z, Tianquan H, et al. A prospective study of detection of pancreatic carcinoma by combined plasma K-ras mutations and serum CA19-9 analysis. Pancreas 2002;25:336-41. DNA concentration 2.6 2.1 0.69 0.368 5.0 9.0 0.74 0.525 AREG 2.6 2.1 0.79 0.582 5.0 7.1 0.92 0.867 4. Uemura T, Hibi K, Kaneko T, et al. Detection of K-ras mutations in the plasma DNA of pancreatic cancer patients. Journal of gastroenterology 2004;39:56-60. EREG 5.0 2.1 1.27 0.561 9.0 3.8 1.57 0.345 5. Marchese R, Muleti A, Pasqualetti P, et al. Low correspondence between K-ras mutations in pancreatic cancer tissue and detection of K-ras mutations in circulating DNA. Pancreas 2006;32:171-7. SCORPION ARMS PCR Scorpion ARMS PCR was used to detect KRAS codon 12 and 13 mutations. The presence of mutant KRAS in the circulating cell-free DNA independently predicts shorter survival in patients with advanced pancreatic carcinoma treated with gemcitabine and intermittent erlotinib. Surprisingly, detection of mutant KRAS in the plasma is not a surrogate for plasma DNA concentration or cancer stage. Plasma AREG and EREG concentrations were measured using ELISAs. Cell-free DNA was extracted from the plasma using the Chemagen system (Perkin Elermer), and quantified using NanoDrop (Thermo Scientific). DNA levels ≥ median did not predict shorter survival compared to low plasma DNA levels (9.0 vs 5.0 months, p=0.525). Cumulative 2.6 5.9 Multivariate Analysis of Overall Survival A Cox Regression Model was developed to adjust for clinical variables including age, gender, race, ethnicity, primary tumor site, performance status, stage, and plasma DNA concentration. Plasma KRAS status remained a strong independent predictor of overall survival (HR 14.5, p=0.006). 6. Dabritz J, Preston R, Hanfler J, Oettle H. K-ras mutations in the plasma correspond to computed tomographic findings in patients with pancreatic cancer. Pancreas 2012;41:323-5. 7. Castells A, Puig P, Mora J, et al. K-ras mutations in DNA extracted from the plasma of patients with pancreatic carcinoma: diagnostic utility and prognostic significance. Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology 1999;17:578-84.