Spatiotemporal Response of Transpiration to Climate Variation in a Snow Dominated Mountain Ecosystem Lindsey Christensen(1), Christina L. Tague(2), Jill S. Baron(3) (1)Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523,(2) Donald Bren School of Environmental Science & Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106, (3)US Geological Survey, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523. Project Overview Transpiration in mountain ecosystems is an important controlling factor of the underlying hydrologic cycle, including streamflow patterns and water storage. Complex topography, variable climate, and the difficulties in collecting data create large uncertainties in how transpiration varies within a watershed (Kane 2005, Whitaker et al. 2003) . It is important that this variable nature of transpiration is understood for better estimates of the current and future distributed water balance (Boisvenue and Running 2006, Eder et al. 2005, Shär and Frei 2005, Gurtz et al. 2003) . We used the Regional Hydro-Ecological Simulation System model, a process-based ecosystem model, to simulate the spatiotemporal response of transpiration to climate in the Upper Merced River basin in Yosemite National Park, CA. By focusing on spatial variation we offer insight into the details of water distribution throughout a watershed with variable terrain and the causes of significant spatial differences in the relationship between transpiration and climate forcing. Results Analysis ◙ Basin transpiration was lowest in the driest and wettest years, and highest in years of ◙ Model simulations of the Upper Merced River, Yosemite National Vegetation, and Zone Division Maps ◙ Calibration and validation DEM 30 gw1 0-1 gw2 0-1 error % NS logged NS Calibration 60 3.6 0.29 0.33 12 0.71 0.72 Validation 60 3.6 0.29 0.33 6 0.77 0.75 Streamflow (mm) m m/d Soils Veg Normalized Streamflow (mm per day) 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Modeled 2 3 4 400 350 300 250 500 1000 Peak Snowdepth (MAXSNOW) (mm) 1500 17 18 19 20 21 GS Mean Temperature (GSmeanT) (C) 22 ◙ Average annual transpiration was highest in low riparian and mid-elevations, and decreased at high elevations (mid-elevations had a broad range of transpiration). Vegetation was normalized by LAI to evaluate extent to which elevation differences are due to vegetation biomass, similar results were seen. Elevational differences were attributed to differences in vegetation and vegetation water use. Simulated 10 0 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 ◙ The relationship between annual transpiration and MAXSNOW for separate elevation zones showed four distinct responses, where transpiration was indifferent at low and high elevations, and middle elevations displayed distinct curvilinear trends. Transpiration showed a positive significant trend with GSmeanT and low and high elevations (R2 0.3 and 0.7, p<0.001, respectively), and no trend at mid-elevations. relationship between simulated annual transpiration and climate variation at basin scale. Daily streamflow 1 450 15 ◙ Annual and seasonal climate indices were used to examine the Drain 12 300 500 20 1) average basin transpiration from 1926-2003 and 2) transpiration for 54 different elevation zones for water years 1990-2001. Elevation zones were 50 meters each, ranging from 1200 to 3950 m. Patch-scale estimates of transpiration and other water flux estimates were averaged for each elevation zone. Canopy Processes 11 350 5 Hydrologic Processes 10 400 Observed 25 K m/d Disturbance History Meteorological Processes LAI 450 0 ◙ RHESSys was used to compute: GIS Inputs 550 500 250 We calibrated against observed streamflow to determine values of input parameters for soil hydrologic patterns. The Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient was used to assess hydrological model’s prediction of streamflow Validated from 1970 to 1979 against observed streamflow. RHESSys Model 600 550 Annual Transpiration (mm m-2) -2 DEM, Regional Hydro-Ecological Simulation System Climate Time Series Data 600 Annual Transpiration (mm m ) 1) How does climate variability affect transpiration in a high elevation mountain ecosystem at a basin wide scale, 2) How does transpiration vary within a basin based on an elevation gradient, and 3) What are the drivers that cause this variability at separate elevations, and how do they differ temporally and spatially? moderate precipitation levels, creating a curvilinear relationship between transpiration and MAXSNOW and APRCP (R2 = 0.32 and 0.29 respectively, p < 0.001). MAXSNOW depth and annual precipitation in this basin were highly correlated (R2 0.97, p < 0.001), thus for the period of historic record these indices are interchangeable as predictors. No such trend existed with growing season mean temperature. Park, CA. RHESSys uses vegetation, soil, and Digital Elevation Model (DEM) spatial maps for the spatial analyses of C, N, and hydrological processes. MODIS LAI data was used to initialize LAI at start of simulation. Questions addressed: 5 Month 6 7 8 9 Observed APRCP AmeanT °C mm 0.289*** Acctrans 0.118 Variation 0.287*** 0.065 CV (1st) 0.089** 0.155*** "1st" represents linear regressions, remainder Snow off GSmaxT day °C 0.204*** 0.162* 0.269*** 0.129 0.143*** 0.011 are 2nd order regressions. GSmeanT (1st) °C 0.09** 0.031 0.191*** GSprecip mm 0.075 0.079 0.004 MAXSNOW mm 0.323*** 0.327*** 0.103** P values *** < 0.001, ** < 0.01, and * < 0.1 A GIS based computer simulation of spatially distributed ecosystem processes at the watershed scale, designed to simulate water, carbon and nutrient fluxes. Captures the temporal and spatial variability of ecosystem processes at a daily time step over multiple years by applying a set of physically based process models over spatially variable terrain. http:// geography.sdsu.edu/Research/Projects/RHESSYS/ Tague, C.L. and L.E. Band. 2004 Acknowledgements This research is a product of the Western Mountain Initiative, funded by the USGS under contract # 04CRAG0004 / 4004CS0001, and EPA STAR grant Agreement Number: R829640. Corresponding author: (lindsey@nrel.colostate.edu) -347 Conclusions ◙ At the basin scale, annual water transpired was lowest in driest and wettest years, and greatest in years of moderate precipitation. ◙ Response of transpiration to climate along an elevation gradient show: a) low elevations had little sensitivity to year-to-year climate variation; b) middle elevations (low) had a unimodal relationship with climate and peaked at moderate precipitation, reflecting combined effect of contrasting controls (temperature and precipitation); c) middle elevations (high) had similar response to (b), yet with greater sensitivities to temperature; and d) high elevations were more strongly affected by temperatures than precipitation indices. ◙ Transpiration is intimately linked with plant production, and other investigators have reported similar patterns of plant response to climate along elevation gradients. Forest growth patterns in the North Cascades showed insensitivity to climate variability at low elevations (Peterson and Peterson 2001) while Dunne et al. (2003) found soil moisture was not and temperature was a limiting factor on plant functional response. Vegetation was most responsive to climate indices at mid elevations of mountain slopes with negative correlations of growth with temperature at higher elevations (Case and Peterson 2005). ◙ Spatial patterns of relative sensitivity of transpiration to climate variation show middle elevations are projected to have greatest change in the water balance. ◙ Simulation analysis was used to: a) pinpoint where transpiration is sensitive to climate differences, and b) detect vulnerable areas to shifts in water loss due to changes in climate. 0 170 ◙ Spatial maps of the differences in transpiration between warmest and coldest years (a), where greatest reductions in transpiration with warmer temperatures occur in lowmiddle elevations while high elevations show an increase in transpiration. 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