ITU Sub-Regional Seminar
on IMT-2000
(Warsaw, 2-4.10.01)
IMT-2000
Towards Global Implementation
Fabio Leite, Project Manager, IMT-2000
The Information Society
• High-speed Internet
• M-commerce
• Video-phone
& multimedia
Digital Divide = Telecoms Divide
User distribution, by income group
100%
340
million
725
million
927
million
6 billion
15%
High income
Upper-mid income
57%
Lower-mid income
65%
74%
50%
Low income
0%
Internet
users
Mobile Telephone
users
lines
Population
Source: ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database (January 2001).
Industrial Challenge of the 21st Century
COMMERCIAL
Is there a market?
FINANCIAL
Are the investments
going to be made?
TECHNOLOGICAL
Are the standards
set and equipment
available?
Operator’s investment: US$ 0.5 trillion
(licence + infrastructure + marketing)
Cumulative Revenue: US$ 1 trillion!
Source: UMTS Forum (April 2001)
Mobile Market
Smoking among boys
and girls and ownership
of mobile phones among
those aged 15-24 (UK).
“Teenagers are giving up cigarettes in preference to fashionable
mobile phones. ... The mobile phone is an effective competitor to
cigarettes in the market for products that offer teenagers adult
style, individuality, sociability, rebellion, peer group bonding and
adult aspiration." , British Medical Journal, Nov.2000
Mobile Internet Dilemmas
âAccess is generally
metered, per-minute
âVoice mail and
messaging charged
by air-time
â Content providers
share airtime revenues
âAccess is generally
unmetered, flat-rate
âE-mail is perceived
to be a “free” application
âContent providers gain
revenue principally
through advertising
or subscription
ü In a mobile-Internet world:
â Which business model takes precedence?
â Who does the billing?
â How are revenues shared between content
provider, service provider and portal?
IMT-2000 Licenses
No. of licenses
80
60
40
20
0
1
2
2000
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 11 12
1
2
2001
3
4
3G License Prices
Revenue as % GNP:
Average price per pop.:
2.4
UK
2.5
Germany
1.1
France
1.2
Italy
0.7
Netherlands
595 US$
562
Vodafone
13%
180
175
Others
35%
Hutchison
11%
160
Austria
88
Portugal
36
Australia
32
Switzerland
17
Norway
10
Finland, Sweden 0
Source: ITU, http://www.itu.int/ti/industryoverview/at_glance/UMTS2001.htm
NTT DoCoMo
10%
British 7%
Telecom
7%
Telefónica
9% Deutsche
Telekom
8%
MobilCom
Source: 3gnewsroom (4.01)
IMT-2000: Towards Global Implementation
hype
UK / Germany
3G auctions
Mobile
multimedia
mass
market
NTT DoCoMo
launch
First successful
network launches
in Europe
de-hype
2000
Source: Bosco Fernandes, Siemens AG
2001
2002
2003
2004
time
IMT-2000: ITU’s Role
Terminal
circulation
arrangements
Spectrum
Standards
Assistance
Field trials
Licenses
IPR access
Spectrum: the starting point
IMT-2000 Frequency
Spectrum after WRC-2000
800
ITU Allocations
850
Japan,
Korea (w/o PHS)
950
1000
1700
1750
IMT 2000
Europe
China
900
GSM 1800
GSM
PDC
1850
1900
IMT 2000
GSM
Cellular
1800
GSM 1800, PCS
2000
IMT 2000
MSS
UMTS
MSS
DECT
IMT 2000
PHS
PDC
1950
IMT 2000
MSS
MSS
2050
2100
2150
2200
IMT 2000 MSS
UMTS
MSS
2250
2500
2550
2600
2650 2700
IMT 2000
UMTS
IMT 2000 MSS
IMT 2000 MSS
PCS
North America
Brasil, Venezuela
Cellular
Cellular
A D BB E F C
Cell.
Cell.
A D BB E F C
IMT
2000
MSS
Reserve
MSS
IMT
2000
ITU Radio Regulations: 750 MHz of spectrum identified for IMT-2000
Standards-setting will never
be the same again
2G ? 3G Evolution & Convergence
TDMA
GPRS
EDGE
GSM MAP
Core Network
IMT DS
cdma2000
cdmaOne
W-CDMA
1xRTT
IMT MC
High-Packet Technology
IP Core Network
GSM
C-EDGE
1xEV
IS41 Core Network
2001
2004
Towards a Fully Harmonized 3G System
W-CDMA
cdma2000
HSDPA
1xEV-DV
GSM
MAP
IS-41
All-IP
All-IP
evolved
(3GPP)
(3GPP2)
evolved
High Packet
Access System
All-IP based
Core Network
“Let’s not do ‘2G’ all over again!”
Benefits of Globally Harmonized
3G Networks
l
Increased 3G penetration and usage
Manufacturers’ development costs spread out
across a larger installed base
l
Ability for customers to roam with their services
across regions, countries and systems
l Increased ability of the Information Technology,
Internet and Personal Computer industries to
provide mobile applications, solutions and
subscriber devices
l Smooth and compatible evolution path
from existing 2G infrastructures
l
Regulating for
implementation
Global Circulation
of IMT-2000 Terminals
“Right of users to carry their personal terminals into a
visited country, and the ability to use them wherever
possible”:
• without causing unacceptable interference;
• considering health and safety requirements.
Actions towards an agreed international framework to
facilitate global circulation:
• ITU-R WP8F: Recs. IMT.RCIRC & UNWANT (technical basis)
• Consultation by ITU-SG: on basic principles of no individual
license; no additional terminal certification or type approval;
and customs arrangements.
• Informal consultation meetings: ITU & EC/CITEL/APT.
• IMTEM = IMT “Electronic Mark” (terminal identifier w/
regulatory data to be used only where legally required)
Facilitator
Coordinator
IMT-2000: ITU’s Role
Guarantor
Imagination Meeting Technology
For more information:
Fabio Leite, Project Manager, IMT-2000
International Telecommunication Union
E-mail: Fabio.Leite@itu.int
Web: http://www.itu.int/osg/imt-project