AN ABSTRACT OF THE THESIS OF Andrew S. Kowaiski for the degree of Master of Science in Atmospheric Sciences presented on February 9, 1993. Title: Satellite Infrared Measurement of Sea Surface Temperature: Empirically Eval- uating the Thin Approximation Abstract Approved: Redacted for privacy . James A. Coakley, Jr. Satellite technology represents the only technique for measuring sea surface temperatures (SSTs) on a global scale. SSTs are important as boundary conditions for climate and atmospheric boundary layer models which attempt to describe phenomena of all scales, ranging from local forecasts to predictions of global warming. Historical use of infrared satellite measurements for SST determination has been based on a theory which assumes that the atmosphere is 'thin', i.e., that atmospheric absorption of infrared radiation emitted from the sea surface has very little effect on the radiant intensity that is measured by satellites. However, a variety of independent radiative transfer models point to the possibility that the so-called 'thin approximation' is violated for humid atmospheres such as those found in the tropics, leading to errors in the retrieved SST that would be unacceptable to those who make use of such products. Furthermore, such tropical regions represent a significant portion of the globe, where coupled ocean-atmosphere disturbances can have global effects (e.g., the tropical Pacific El Nifio-Southern Oscillation events). This study evaluates the thin approximation empirically, by combining radiative transfer theory and satellite data from the Eastern Atlantic ocean region studied during the Atlantic Statocumulus Transition Experiment (ASTEX). Six months of satellite data from May, June, and July of 1983 and 1984 are analyzed. To the degree that the data may be considered representative of globally valid relationships between measured variables, it is shown that the thin approximation is not appropriate for the tropics. This suggests that new methods are necessary for retrieving SSTs from the more humid regions of the globe. Satellite Infrared Measurement of Sea Surface Temperature: Empirically Evaluating the Thin Approximation by Andrew S. Kowaiski A THESIS submitted to Oregon State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science Completed February 9, 1993 Commencement June 1993 APPROVED: Redacted for privacy l4ofessor of Atmospheric Science in4i arge of major Redacted for privacy Dean of ollege of Oceanic and Redacted for privacy Dean of Graduite School Date thesis is presented January 30, 1993 Typed by Andrew S. Kowaiski ic Sciences ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I want to thank everyone who offered me any encouragement and hope for completion of this effort over the last few years. Specifically, however: Thanks to Dr. Jim Coakley for all of his guidance, support, and tolerance of my occasionally pessimistic attitude. I'm continually amazed by his ability to analyze familiar scientific problems from entirely new perspectives. Thanks to Dr. Steve Esbensen for pointing me in the direction of the 'final stretch', and for help with description of water vapor fields. Thanks to David V. Judge, David Simas, and Dean \rickers for helping me to achieve some efficiency with those lousy tools we call computers. Thanks to Cole, Fu-Lung, and Fred for reviewing my presentations, and for being friends when I needed them. Thanks to Mom and Dad for all of the asked-for advice, and for supporting just about every decision I've ever made. Thanks to the late Dr. Alan Watts for reminding me that it is all but a game. This work was supported by the Office of Naval Research. Part of this work included the analysis of AVHRR observations at the Scientific Computing Division of the National Center for Atmospheric Research which was made possible by a grant from the National Science Foundation ATM-8912669. Table of Contents Chapter 1 Satellite Infrared Measurement of Sea Surface Temperature: Empirically Evaluating the Thin Section 1 Section 2 Section 3 Section 4 Section 5 Section 6 .......................... ............................ Radiative Transfer Theory ................... SST Theory ............................ The Thin Approximation ................... Approximation 1 Introduction 1 3 5 10 ........ 12 Empirical Analysis of the Thin Approximation ...... Model Analysis of the Thin Approximation 18 ..... 19 1 Spatially Uniform Sea Surface Temperature 2 Empirical Determination of Gamma 3 Empirical Evaluation of the Homogeneity 4 ......................... 33 Larger Scale Gamma-Derived SST Fields ....... 38 Variability in Gamma .................... 51 ........... 25 Assumption 5 Section 7 View Angle as an Independent Variable ......... 56 ............ 62 Bibliography ........................................ 66 Section 8 Conclusion and Recommendations List of Figures Figure 1 Ref lectivities for Water as a Function of Angle for AVHRR Channels Figure 2 ........................ 6 Effect of Negating Water Vapor Above Indicated Altitude - Channel 4 Figure 3 ..................... 8 Effect of Negating Water Vapor Above Indicated Altitude - Channel 5 ..................... 9 Figure 4 Gamma versus Pathlength for 3 Model Atmospheres Figure 5 Gamma Plot Displaying Skillful Regression Figure 6 Figure 7 21 Gamma Plot Displaying High Skill in Meaningless ........................... 23 Incongruous Gamma Plot with High Skill and Uniformity Figure 9 ............................ 25 Frequency Distributions for Gamma Using Different Skill Thresholds ........................ 26 ................. 28 Figure 10 Gamma Versus View Angle Figure 11 Distribution of Total Water Vapor for July, 1988 (cm) Figure 12 Figure 13 16 ....... Gamma Plot Displaying Clustering Problem ...... 22 Regression Figure 8 . . 30 ................... View Angle Versus Latitude ................. 32 Gamma Versus Latitude 31 Figure 14 Retrieved SST Field for Incongruous Gamma Plot . . Figure 15 Retrieved SST Field for 'Cooperative' Gamma Plot . . Figure 16 Retrieved SST Field for 'Cooperative' Gamma Plot . . 34 35 36 Figure 17 Figure 18 Figure 19 Figure 20 Figure 21 Figure 22 Figure 23 Retrieved SST Field for 'Cooperative' Gamma Plot Figure 25 Retrieved SST Field for July 1983 44 46 ................... 51 ......... 52 Model recreation of a Gamma Plot for the Arctic ................... 53 Model Gamma Plot, Middle-Latitude climatology, SST ............................. 54 Model Gamma Plot, Middle-Latitude climatology, Reversed SST Gradient Figure 33 43 Model recreation of a Gamma Plot for the Gradient Figure 32 42 Model recreation of a Gamma Plot for the Tropical climatology atmosphere Figure 31 41 ............................... 49 Middle-Latitude climatology atmosphere Figure 30 40 Applied Channel 4 Temperature Correction for May of climatology atmosphere Figure 29 39 ............. Retrieved SST Field for July 1984 ............. 47 1983 Figure 28 37 ..................... 45 July SST Climatology Figure 27 . ..................... Retrieved SST Field for May 1983 ............. Retrieved SST Field for May 1984 ............. June SST Climatology .................... Retrieved SST Field for June 1983 ............ Retrieved SST Field for June 1984 ............ May SST Climatology Figure 24 Figure 26 . ................... 55 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, First Geographic Position .............................. 57 Figure 34 Frequency Histogram of View Ang'es, Second Geographic Position Figure 35 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Third Geographic Position Figure 36 ...................... 58 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Fifth Geographic Position Figure 38 ...................... 57 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Fourth Geographic Position Figure 37 ...................... 57 .............................. 58 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Sixth Geographic Position .............................. 58 Figure 39 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Seventh Geographic Position Figure 40 ...................... 59 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Ninth Geographic Position Figure 42 59 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Eighth Geographic Position Figure 41 ...................... ...................... 59 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Tenth Geographic Position ...................... 60 Satellite Infrared Measurement of Sea Surface Temperature: Empirically Evaluating the Thin Approximation Section 1: Introduction One of the more important parameters for describing the interaction of the atmosphere and ocean is the sea surface temperature (SST). This quantity appears in model formulations that determine the fluxes of vapor and latent and sensible heat from the surface into the atmosphere (e.g., Albrecht et. aL, 1979; Betts and Ridgeway, 1988). Climate modeling also relies heavily on accurate knowledge of SST (e.g, Ramanathan and Collins, 1991) as an important entity in any theoretical climate system. Thus, for increased understanding of climate and maiine boundary layer processes, dependable measurements of SST are of paramount importance. Satellite-derived SSTs are not restricted by the same spatial sampling limita- tions which apply to shipboard measurements and which make such measurements inappropriate for global scale modeling. Theoretical accuracies for infrared, satellite measurement of SST (e.g., McClain et. al., 1985) rival those reported from available shipboard measurements, and intercomparison has shown that these claimed accuracies are not overstated (Bernstein and Chelton, 1985). Also, while ships can measure the bulk thermometric temperature of the ocean from depths of nearly a meter, satellites measure the skin temperature which regulates the fluxes of latent and sensible heat across the surface (Schluessel el. al., 1990), and which can be significantly different from the 'bulk' value under certain circumstances. For these reasons, satellite measurement has been increasingly recognized as the appropriate means of determining large scale SST. 2 The greatest uncertainty in the determination of SST from satellite infrared measurements is the presence of water in the atmosphere. Other uncertainties include the effects of aerosols, which can become globally significant following volcanic eruptions and are believed to be important for certain regions, and trace gases which absorb at the relevant wavelengths. In liquid or solid form, intervening atmospheric water (i.e., a cloud) generally acts as a strong absorber and makes it impossible to accurately determine the SST using infrared measurements from space. Fortunately, algorithms exist to identify cloud-free pixels in infrared imagery data (e.g., Coakley and Bretherton, 1982). For cloud-free pixels, the infrared signal that is seen by satellites is determined only by the surface temperature and emissivity (usually the surface is presumed to be a black body, which is a very good approximation for the wavelengths treated here; this assumption will be analyzed later) and the temperature and absorptivity of the intervening atmosphere. The advanced very high resolution radiometer (AVHRR) which flies on the TIROS-N series of NOAA satellites has been adapted to the 'atmospheric window' region of the infrared spectrum, where atmospheric absorption is at a minimum. In this window region, atmospheric effects are dominated by water vapor, but also affected somewhat by carbon dioxide, ozone, and methane. 3 Section 2: Radiative Transfer Theory Traditional theory in radiative transfer (adapted from Liou, 1980) assumes that linear processes of absorption, scattering, and emission act to modify monochromatic radiation propagating through a medium. For infrared radiation in the atmospheric window, the effect of scattering may be neglected for cloud-free situations such as those in which it is attempted to measure the SST. Kirchhoff's law dictates that emissivity and absorptivity of the medium be identical. This implies that propagation of monochromatic radiation through the atmosphere is governed by Schwarzschild's equation: dIA(s) dTA(S1, s) where IA+BA(T(s)) (1) is radiant intensity for wavelength .X, r is the optical depth over a pathlength from point s to si (over which the fractional absorption and fractional emission are exactly equal), and BA is the Planck function evaluated at a temperature T along the path. The negative signs arise through the definition of optical depth which is taken to decrease with s increasing toward si (i.e., drA(s1, s) kApds, where k,, is the absorption/emission coefficient and p represents absorber density, which may have a functional dependence on pathlength). When equation (1) is multiplied by the integrating factor e(31,$) and integrated from s=0 to s=sl over the transmissivity, the result is sl J si fdiA(s) e_(81MdrA(sl, s) drA(s1,$) 0 = f 1AeT(313)drA(s1, s)+ 0 si IBA(T(s))e_T(813)drA(s1, 0 (2) 4 where the term on the left and the first term on the right represent a perfect differential, since d{IA(s)e_T81} dI(s) drA(s1,$) drA(sl,$) using the product rule of differentiating. e_TA(shIs) - IA(s)e13) Noting then that TA(s1, sl) (3) = 0, the integration simplifies to yield the well-known solution to Schwarzschild's equation: sl IA(sl) = IA(0)e TA(31,O) f BA(T(s))e"drA(s1, s) 0 which is readily adaptable for satellite applications (sl oo). (4) 5 Section 3: SST Theory The relationship between transmissivity, eTA and optical depth = (5) = dtA allows the solution to Schwarzschild's equation to be written as I(s1) IA(0)tA(81,O) + fB(T(s))dt(s1s) (6) Considering that the satellite sees I (s 1 - oo) the work of Deschamps and Phulpin (1980) is followed by defining the radiance deficit introduced by atmospheric inter- vention as LIA BA(TO) - I(s1), where T0 is the SST (throughout this paper, T0 will be used to represent the true SST, while any predicted value of the SST will be represented by T3). An assumption has been made here that the surface is a black body (emissivity of unity). Simple calculations using the optical constants of water reported by Downing and Williams (1975) for reflectivity of the ocean surface at wavelengths corresponding to those used in 'window' wavelengths show that this assumption is valid for view angles utilized by the AVHRR. AVHRR Channels centered at 3.7, 10.8, 3, 4, and 5 represent narrow bands and 12.0 m, respectively. Note that for water pathlengths in excess of approximately 1mm, transmissivity is negligible in the infrared (Robinson, 1985) and therefore reflectivity and absorptivity (equal to emissivity) must sum to unity. As can be seen in Figure 1 (dashed lines included for reference), only for viewing angles in excess of sixty degrees (the extreme limbs of the scan for the AVHRR) does 6 LOG REFLECTMTiES FOR AVH RR CHANNELS 0.5 1.0 > 0 -j - Lii 0 0 2.0 2.5 3.OL 0 20 40 60 ANGLE tN DEGREES 80 100 Figure 1 Reflectivities for Water as a Function of Angle for AVHRR Channels the emissivity differ from unity (as represented on this graph by non-zero reflectivity) by more than three percent for any of the wavelengths, and for viewing angles below forty-five degrees (fifty degrees for channels 4 and 5), the emissivity is unity to within one percent or better. For small temperature deviations, the derivative of the Planck function with respect to temperature can be approximated such that (7) ()To where /TA is defined as the brightness temperature deficit due to the radiance deficit LXI), caused by the intervening atmosphere [the brightness temperature, such that BA(T,) = IA(s1) and the resulting deficit as LT To is defined T)]. Typical 7 deficits (measured and modeled) are on the order of five percent or less for both temperature and radiance, and the Planck function is sufficiently linear when evaluated at climatological temperatures that (7) results in negligible error in treating the finite difference ratio as a derivative. This allows the integral equation for radiance deficit to be rewritten in terms of a temperature deficit. Using the definition of radiance deficit, and substituting for the radiance seen by the satellite using (6), (7) becomes sl B,(To) B( To)tA(sl, 0) f B,(T(3))dtA(S1, 0) aB (8) (-a)m Employing again the fact that t,(s1, sl) = 1 (for optical depth = 0), and therefore B(To) = B(To)t,(s1, sl), to take the surface term inside the integral, leaving sl f (B(To) - BA(T(s)))dt(sl, s) (9) ()T Finally, a first order expansion of the Planck function about the SST gives BA(TO) B(T(s)) ()TO(To T(s)) (10) which is valid for atmospheric temperatures which are not drastically different from the surface temperature (i.e., relatively near the surface, where the significant absorption by water vapor is). Figures 2 and 3 show for AVHRR channels 4 & 5, at nadir views, that the brightness temperature deficits are not significantly affected by changes (restricted to realistic values) in the water vapor profile above .-.s6km for all profiles. In fact, it can be seen that the regions with significant moisture content are found, not surprisingly, where the atmospheric temperature is nearly as warm as the surface, and thus the 8 NADIR BRIGHTNESS TEMPERATURE DEFICITS '[I] 8 0 0 w 6 I- 0 uJ c I 0 2 5 10 15 20 AL11TUDE ABOVE WHICH WATER NEGATED (KM) Figure 2 Effect of Negating Water Vapor Above Indicated Altitude - Channel 4 temperature condition imposed upon (10) is met. These figures were generated by using a band-type model for atmospheric transmission, and comparing the effects of negating all water vapor above the indicated altitudes. The band model used in this study utilizes the standard Goody Random Model with line strengths reported by Kyle (1975) and treats absorption by the water vapor continuum using extinction coefficients determined by Roberts et. al. (1976). The Planck-expansion substitution of (10) allows the partial derivative to be taken out of the integral, simplifying the entire expression to = J(To T(s))dtA(s1,$) (11) 9 NADIR BRIGHTNESS TEMPERATURE DEFICITS i1i 8 0 0 i.i 0 6 I- 0 w 04 IC) I 0 TITUDE 2 ARCTIC 5 10 15 20 ALTITUDE ABOVE WHICH WATER NEGATED (KM) Figure 3 Effect of Negating Water Vapor Above Indicated Altitude - Channel 5 where the brightness temperature deficit is a function of only the surface temperature and atmospheric temperature profile, and the transmissivity as a function of height through the atmosphere. 10 Section 4: The Thin Approximation The traditional approach to simplifying (11) has been to assume that the atmos- phere is 'thin' in the window region; i.e., that transmission is near unity for the full depth of the atmosphere. This assumption allows (5) to be simplified to give dtA(sl,$) = tAdT(s1,$) di-(s1,$) = kAdU(sl,$) (12) where U is absorber amount integrated over the path. Note that, for the case of continuum absorption, a pressure weighted absorber amount is defined as U(sl, .$) = sl f p,eds, where Pu is the density of the absorbing gas, in this case, water vapor, and e is the vapor pressure. The definition of U chosen here is dependent on the satellite zenith angle, 0, since ds = dz/(cos0), and 0 may be considered constant in all of the above integral equations. Subsequently the approximation allows (11) to be rewritten as kA J(T(s) - To)dU(sl, s) (13) which shows that the brightness temperature deficit is a function of the absorption coefficient (wavelength dependent) and a universal function (i.e., independent of wavelength within the window region) of temperature and absorber amount. For two wavelengths which are affected by the same absorber, this simplification allows determination of T0 using two such equations, where the two unknowns are T0 and the integral term in (13), whose numerical value is not of immediate importance to the SST problem. The two brightness temperatures, T, are measured by the satellite instrument. temperatures. This method is in effect a linear combination of brightness In practice, regression is used to determine the coefficients which 11 multiply the brightness temperattires in linear combination (McClain, 1983) resulting in an equation of the form ao + aT (14) where T is the SST retrieved by the algorithm and i represents the channel number. The coefficients (a's) are determined by regressing measured ship and/or buoy SSTs (thus neglecting skin/bulk differences in SST) with (14) using coincident measurements of the (T's) from satellites. These coefficients are termed Multichannel Sea Surface Temperature (MCSST) coefficients, and were, until recently, utilized by the NOAA National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service (NESDIS) to generate and distribute global SST fields. 12 Section 5: Model Analysis of the Thin Approximation The decision to resort to regression was originally motivated by the questionable validity of the two assumptions pointed out by Deschamps and Phulpin (1980): 1) that the thin approximation holds; and 2) that the absorption coefficient, kA is independent of temperature and thus may be taken outside of the integral over the height of the atmosphere, as is done to obtain (13). Analysis of each of these assumptions is possible from any number of data sets, but Prabhakara et. al. (1974) gave perhaps the best evidence for direct comparison of the importance of these two assumptions. Prabhakara et. al. (1974) showed that the effect of two differing mean absorberweighted temperatures representing a broad range of climatic conditions give rise to little difference in transmissivity as a function of absorbing water vapor amount. Plots of transmissivity versus water vapor path, however, make it clear that for precipitable water contents in excess of a few centimeters, the thin approximation breaks down for wavelengths corresponding to AVHRR channels at 11 and 12 m. These investigators modelled water vapor transmission as the product of e- type (dependent on vapor pressure), p-type (dependent on total pressure), and I-type (from water vapor lines) transmissivities. Stephens (1990) showed that the climatological distribution of precipitable water exceeds this threshold nearly everywhere in the tropics, and when the effect of increased air mass due to non-nadir viewing angles is taken into effect, one finds that the thin approximation may hold only for midlatitude/low-view-angle and other combinations which further minimize the water vapor path. The thin approximation evidently deserves closer attention. 13 Further evidence exists in previous literature that the thin approximation is inappropriate for some atmospheric profiles. McMillin (1975) presented the results of radiative transfer calculations using a subset of the atmospheric profiles (SST, temperature and humidity soundings) given by Wark et. aL (1962). Table 1 has been adapted from the tabulation of radiance values reported by McMillin (1975). Using the transmissivities reported by the model, optical depths may be determined using (5), and 'approximate transmissivities' calculated using the thin approximation (12), which may be expressed as t, = 1 T), when known boundsry conditions are applied. Table 1 shows the transmissivity errors introduced by making the thin approximation for this data set. In this table as defined by McMillin, the atmosphere number corresponds to the profile from the set defined by Wark, Qtot is the total amount of precipitable water vapor, and airmass denotes the secant of the viewing angle. The column headed 't (approx)' lists the approximate transmissivities. Here, the atmospheres have been ordered in terms of increasing humidity, so as to show the importance of water vapor amount for the error in making the thin approximation. For brevity, some of the cases displayed by McMillin have been omitted, since they represent near duplication of the presented data. Liewellyn-Jones et. al. (1984) used a line-by-line model to calculate atmospheric absorption, and reported transmissivities consistent with those from the above mentioned models. Likewise, here, a band-type model has been used to examine the relative importance of each of the two terms on the right-hand side of (4), and has shown that the integral term makes a significant contribution, overwhelming the surface term in the case of tropical profiles, even for nadir viewing angles. This too suggests an error in maldng the thin approximation 14 Table 1 Transmissivity Errors Resulting from the Thin Approximation Atmc.phuc Qtoc (cm) Ainnug 18 0.134 1.0 17 0.258 2.0 1.0 8 0.404 _____________ 2.0 1.0 2.0 20 0.559 1.0 15 0.687 2.0 1.0 2.0 13 0.956 1.0 19 1.083 4 1.187 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.275 1.0 2.0 6 1.546 11 1.745 3 2.500 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 60 2.725 2 2.882 1.0 57 3.244 2.0 1.0 2.0 30 3.655 10 3.864 71 4.024 68 4.224 2.0 1.0 2.0 59 4.312 1.0 58 4.628 56 5.072 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 __j.0 __.0 69 5.169 55 5.486 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 (model) 0.99521 0.99074 0.98746 0.97690 0.97161 0.94784 0.95881 0.92559 O.93300 0.87901 0.90195 0.82509 0.86492 0.76128 0.85989 0.75437 0.83925 0.71975 0.83017 0.70514 0.74156 0.56913 0.70939 0.53012 0.57846 0.35195 0.65087 0.44647 0.58649 0.36115 0.46243 0.22970 0.45003 0.21727 0.43771 0.20482 0.47248 0.24045 0.35623 0.13636 0.35921 0.14013 0.29444 0.09455 0.28201 0.08694 0.28851 0.09705 t (appmx) % cnor 0.9952 0.9907 0.9874 0.00 0.00 09166 0.03 0.9712 0.9464 0.9579 0.9227 0.9306 0.8710 0.8968 0.8077 0.8549 0.7272 0.04 0.8491 0.7181 0.8248 0.6712 0.8139 0.6506 0.7010 0.4364 0.6567 0.3654 0.4526 -0.0443 0.5706 0.1936 0.4664 -0.0185 0.2287 -0.4710 0.2016 -0.5266 0.1738 -03856 0.2502 -0.4253 -0.0322 -0.9925 -0.0239 -0.9652 -0.2227 -1.3587 -0.2658 -1.4426 -0.2430 -13996 0.01 0.15 0.09 0.31 0.25 0.91 0.57 2.10 1.16 4.47 1.26 4.80 1.73 6.75 1.96 7.73 5.47 23.33 7.43 31.08 21.76 11238 12.34 56.64 20.48 105.11 50.53 306.04 55.21 342.37 60.29 385.91 47.04 276.86 109.03 827.82 106.64 788.75 175.62 1537.00 194.25 1759.31 184.24 1642.22 Still other studies have suggested the need for MCSST-like coefficients particular to specific regions (which would provide more, local information about the water vapor content of the atmosphere), and viewing angle dependencies in the regression models utilized (e.g., Minnett, 1990). Indeed, the MCSSTs distributed by NOAA NESDIS as of April 1992 (Duda, personal communication) include relatively strong dependencies in zenith angle, but are meant for global use. The equation for NOAA 11 daytime retrievals is written as T8 = l.02015T4 + 2.320(T4 1'5) + O.489(secO - 1)(T4 - T5) - 278.6 (15) 15 The apparent problem with such an approach (relying heavily on regression), is that the dependence on satellite zenith angle is physically incorrect. Accounting for a dependence on zenith angle in linear models should not be necessary in very dry regions. In the tropics, however, it may be quite important, even for modest, nonnadir viewing angles. Examples of the disparity between dry and moist regions are seen in Table 1. Wark's eighteenth atmosphere would be well-approximated by the thin limit, even for a doubled pathlength. In such conditions, zenith angle effects on pathlength could well be neglected. On the other hand, atmospheres with more than 4.0 cm of precipitable water will be poorly represented by the thin limit (e.g., number 71), even at nadir viewing angles. Further, in the intermediate range of a few cm of precipitable water (e.g., number 57), the thin limit seems adequate for nadir views, but gives poor results on the limbs of the scan. Walton (1988) argued for a nonlinear approach to the problem, citing inadequacies in the theory of MCSSTs, based upon the thin approximation. He used the radiative transfer model of Weinreb and Hill (1980), to show that the parameter -y, which McMillin and Crosby (1984) had shown to be constant when the thin limit holds, was actually dependent on water vapor amount (this -y is used to linearly relate the SST to radiative quantities measured from satellite, akin to an MCSST relationship, and will be defined and examined in more detail later). Here, this conclusion is supported by plotting -y (determined using the band-type model to calculate transmissivities) as a function of the secant of the viewing angle through three climatological atmospheres, in Figure 4. Note that the secant of the viewing angle is a multiplicative factor on the pathlength. The result is similar to Walton's findings. As can be seen in the figure, y 16 8 7 )IE 6 = )IE * , A TROPICAL MIDLATITUDE ARCTIC 4 3 A 0 A 0 A 0 A 0 A 0 A p 0 A A 21- 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 SECANT OF VIEW ANGLE 1.8 2.0 Figure 4 Gamma versus Pathlength for 3 Model Atmospheres is most sensitive to view angle in the tropics, where the water vapor content is high. Walton then provided a graphical, nonlinear method of retrieving SST, but made use of a disguised version of the thin approximation in the 'Physical Justification and Derivation' for the method. Using the results of Prabhakara et. al. (1974), he assumed that transmission was linear in absorber amount, which, as previously noted, is equivalent to making the thin approximation, and is only valid for low water vapor paths. Specifically, Walton (1988) began with an equation of the form T=T5+(T3)(li) (16) 17 where the symbols have been converted from Walton's notation to be consistent with the preceding developments; this is Walton's equation number (A2). Here, T is a weighted mean atmospheric temperature. The next equation (A3) is T, =2's /c,U(T3). This succession of equations implies t = 1 (17) kAU, which is a reiteration of (12). 18 Section 6: Empirical Analysis of the Thin Approximation The previously mentioned theory of McMillin and Crosby (1984) makes use of the approximate equality of sea-surface temperatures and effective radiating atmo- spheric temperatures. From (11), it can be seen that the magnitude of the difference between these two quantities can, as an alternative to the thin approximation, explain the observed magnitudes of brightness temperature deficits. The Planck function for one channel is expanded in terms of the Planck function for another channel within the window region to arrive at a predictive equation for surface emittance of the form B4(T) = 14(81) + 7(14(81) I(s)) (18) In this equation, I is the radiance found when applying the channel 4 Planck function to the channel 5 brightness temperature, and 'y is the ratio defined by = (1 t4(si3O))/(14(si3O) t5(si3O)) (19) When the thin limit holds (in relatively dry atmospheres), this y is a constant equal to k4/(k4 k5), which is found using (12) in integrated form, i.e., t, 1 kAU. As an alternative, McMillin and Crosby (1984) show that if temperature is expanded in terms of the Planck function, again using two channels, then the following is obtained to predict SST T3=T4-i-7(T4T5) (20) which if7 is constant) is identical in form to (14), the MCSST equation, with MCSST coefficients ao = 0, a = (1 + 'y), and a5 = 'y. The ao term is generally included 19 in the MCSST regression to account for skin/bulk SST differences and possible lack of calibration accuracy in the instrument. As mentioned before, however, has been found to have a dependence on total water vapor path, when model calculations are used to evaluate (19). A method will now be introduced for attempting to evaluate using satellite data, rather than relying on the accuracy of models to support or detract from McMillin's claim for constant . 1 Spatially Uniform Sea Surface Temperature For a small region of the ocean, it is assumed that the SST is spatially uniform and statistically stationary over some small scales. The time scale is determined by the rate of the satellite as it passes over and scans the scene. The spatial scale must be small enough to permit the uniform SST condition to hold, and yet large enough to permit significant variations in the satellite view angle. In this case, as the satellite passes over the region, variations in water vapor path will be due only to variations in view angle and to variations in absolute humidity in the clear-sky portions of the scan, assuming that all cloud contamination (including that of the sub-pixel scale) has been removed. Equation (18) can then be applied to the measured radiances for the small region, where T8 is constant if unknown, and a plot of 14(sl) versus 14(31) I(s1) will thus yield a straight line with a slope of 7. Extrapolation of this straight line (on such a plot) to the point where 14(81) I(s1) = 0 would theoretically result in 14(s1) equalling the surface emitted radiance, via (16), from which the SST may be directly determined. This method has been applied to 50 by 50 (latitude x longitude) regions of the larger Atlantic Stratocumulus Transition Experiment (ASTEX) region in the Eastern Atlantic Ocean. The initial data set consists of NOAA 11 and NOAA 12 daytime overpasses (nighttime cloud masking proved to be an intractable problem) collected and graciously provided by Dr. Phil Durkee's group from the Naval Postgraduate School, during ASTEX in June of 1992. This set occupies the region from 28° North to 44° North and 13° West to 33° West. A second set of NOAA 7 overpasses from May, June, and July of 1983 and 1984 have been included in the analysis to provide some data for tropical regions (made available by the Data Services and Support group at NCAR); this second set occupies the region from 5° North to 45° North and 10° West to 40° West. In this analysis, as in any satellite infrared SST analysis, it is imperative that cloud contamination be identified and removed from the data. For this reason, the 'Spatial Coherence' method of Coakley and Bretherton (1982) has been employed. The current version of this method reports cloud-free radiances for (64km)2 'subframes' (16 x 16 scan line x scan spot pixel arrays for the 4km GAC data). These cloud-free radiances are the average of pixels which are determined to be associated with the warmest spatially homogeneous layer in the scan (the 'cloud-free foot' of a spatial coherence 'arch': these terms are defined in Coakley and Bretherton, 1982). The pursuant analysis will thus be based on 'subframe statistics' rather than raw radiance data. Figure 5 shows a plot of subframe statistics { 14 (s 1) versus 14(s 1) - I (si) } in a 5° by 5° region from the Eastern Atlantic. The southwest and northeast corners of the region are denoted at the top of the graph, as will be the case for all of the subsequent 'Gamma plots'. These data were from a NOAA 7 overpass on May 14, 1984. In this particular case, the points define a straight line, modeled here with a 21 99.5% as significance level on the hindcast sample skill which is denoted on the plot 0.901. The skill is the square of the sample correlation coefficient, and represents variance explained by the regression model. The negative of the slope of the regression line is also indicated, here, as 4.82 (this would be the estimate of 'y for this plot). Such plots have been created, each with regression analysis and estimate of the skill, for a subset of the 50 by 50 regions in the larger analysis scene over the ASTEX experiment. In order to be included in the analysis, a 50 by 50 region must have at least twenty subframes which have cloud-free statistics (typically, there are about 40 to 50 total subframes in an analysis region). All of the plots are not necessarily as 'cooperative' as the one shown in Figure 5, however. It was assumed that the 'uncooperative' cases represented scenes for which the assumption of a uniform SST was violated. For 5by 5Box with SW corner 25.N,35.W 101 SKILL = 0.90 1 SLOPE = 4.823 100 99 - 98 - E E 3 E '-a .- 97 96 - 95 1.6 A I I 1.8 2.0 I4 Figure 5 2.2 2.4 2.6 I (mW m's('cm) Gamma Plot Displaying Skillful Regression 2.8 22 It became obvious that some objective method of identifying the uncooperative cases was needed. Figure 6 shows data from June 2, 1984. In this case, the skill of the regression was significant at the 99.5% level, but it is obvious from inspection that the regression is tainted by the fact that the data are from two distinct groups, with very different SSTs. Initially, cases such as this one were eliminated by simply boosting the cutoff value for the skill/correlation coefficient, but this proved to be an inadequate method of objectively eliminating regressions that were presumed to be affected by SST gradients. For 5by 5Box with SW corner 15.N,3O.W 1i II SKILL = 0.760 SLOPE = 3.386 102 - -o E - 100 98 0.6 0.8 1.0 I4 I 1.2 1.4 1.6 (mW m'srcm) Figure 6 Gamma Plot Displaying Clustering Problem As can be seen in figure 7, which includes data from both sides of the Northwest African coast from an overpass on July 3, 1984, a skill cutoff is not sufficient for 23 eliminating meaningless regressions of data from obviously different climates. In this plot, the tight grouping of the oceanic data points (lower-right cluster) couples with but a single high-leverage point from the African continent (with corresponding large radiant intensity in Channel 4) to yield a regression line that describes 95% of the variance in the data (i.e., a correlation coefficient of greater than 0.97). The gradient in surface temperature defines the slope of the regression line. While this is not indicative of a meaningful linear relationship between the 14(s1) and 14(31) - I(s1) variables, it is representative of among the strongest correlations that could be found in Gamma plots by utilizing regression. As an extreme case, this demonstrates the effect of non-uniform SST on the technique of retrieving 'y. Obviously, a method of eliminating regressions due to clustering from SST gradients is needed. 1 6C 1 4C F E .t° 12C E E 1 OC 80 3.0 2.5 2.0 I4 1.5 I 1.0 0,5 0.0 (mW m'sr'cm) Figure 7 Gamma Plot Displaying High Skill in Meaningless Regression 24 To eliminate this clustering problem, another statistical test was applied to all of the plots. Bendat and Piersol (1966) described a Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit test that can be applied to determine whether the frequency distribution of a sample data set is consistent with a theoretical frequency distribution (e.g., a normal distribution, a uniform distribution, etc.) over the domain of the variables. Here, in order to avoid the problem of statistically different groups, cases where there was at least 90% confidence that the data from either variable (14(s1) OR 14(s1) - I(s1)) were not uniformly distributed over the domains of the variables have been excluded. This is a conservative selection criteria, allowing retention of only those regressions for which the data were well distributed along the regression line. The test was applied by dividing the domain of the variable into four bins, and comparing the resultant frequency distribution with a uniform distribution using the Chi-Square criteria with three degrees of freedom. In the end, a low correlation coefficient threshold of 0.6 (i.e., where the regression line describes 36% of the variance in the Gamma plot) was applied to eliminate the least skillful regressions, mostly for the sake of computational conservation. Further analysis will be presented later with selection of a better threshold in mind, keeping several values of skill cutoff in order to test sensitivity of the results to the threshold. Nevertheless, regardless of the choice of the skill cutoff, the Gamma plots remaining after application of this cutoff and the Goodness- of-Fit for uniformity test are still found to contain cases that do not agree with the theory and assumptions applied here. Figure 8 shows an example of such an incongruous Gamma plot, created from an overpass on June 13 of 1983. Since the absorption due to water vapor in channel 25 10 E 'p I- 'In F: E9 92 0.4 LJ.'P (mW mrcm) Figure 8 Incongruous Gamma Plot with High Skill and Uniformity 5 is greater than the absorption in channel 4, figure 8 and all those like it which result in positive slopes must be interpreted as resulting from some form of gradient in the SST field. This claim can be proven by considering the null hypothesis that SST is everywhere constant in the plot. Under such conditions, only a decrease in water vapor could lead to an increase in 14(sl). But, as water vapor decreases, the channel 5 brightness temperature should increase faster than the channel 4 brightness temperature (stronger absorption in channel 5). Thus, 14(sl) I(s1) must decrease. Hence, this null hypothesis is rejected. 2 Empirical Determination of Gamma The initial data set including overpasses from NOAA 11 and 12 in June of 26 1992 proved to have too few suitable estimates of -y. Due to differences in instrument spectral filter functions, data from different instruments were kept separate. For both the NOAA 11 and 12 overpasses in June of 1992, only seven of the Gamma plots met the two criteria of Chi-Square uniformity and at least 36% variance explained by the Gamma linear model. The NOAA 7 data set from May, June, and July of 1983 and 1984 is spatially and temporally more extensive than the 1992 data set. The following analysis includes this NOAA 7 data, and the number of Gamma plots meeting the two criteria are shown as a function of higher skill thresholds. jofcovnmos- 53 SKILLCUT= 0.65 1: -2 0 2 4 0 ofGomrnoi SKILLCUT = 0.75 I 0.0:- Av . 0.I p Sty. I 04' -2 0 2 1.80 S 10 34 3.61 0ev. - rL.r,: 4 4 5 II y or liammos - = 0.85 Avg. = 3.74 Std. Dev. = 1.68 () I 0 2 4 Figure 9 Frequency Distributions for Gamma Using Different Skill Thresholds Figure 9 shows three frequency distributions for 'y, each with a different skill 27 threshold for selecting Gamma plots. The average and standard deviation of the 's that passed the uniformity and skill cut-offs are also shown, as is the number of Gamma plots that survived the indicated threshold. In every case of skill threshold, Gamma plots with positive slopes (implying negative y's) are not included in the distribution, since these plots are obviously indicative of a breakdown in the SST uniformity criteria. It seems from this figure that the skill threshold is not too important, as long as it is chosen sufficiently high to eliminate the completely unskillful regressions from the analysis, and that a choice of -y = 3.7 ± 1.7 is probably adequate in defining a mean and a range for the empirically-determined y. It is quite reassuring to note that this range is in accord with what the models predict (see figure 4), for low to middle latitudes such as those in the ASTEX analysis region. One disappointing (and surprising) result that fell out of the analysis was the need for more data, considering the large analysis region and time frame. For example, if the skill threshold for 'good' Gamma plots is placed at 065 (the first cut-off from figure 9), there are still only fifty-three plots which satisfy the cloud-free, uniformity, and skill conditions. In other words, the sea surface as seen from satellites is not very often sufficiently uniform for the technique to work. The number of Gamma plots included in the analysis decreases as the skill threshold for selection is increased. Despite the lack of a large pool of Gamma plots that might be necessary to analyze dependencies in such factors as view angle and latitude, it may still be useful to look at these relationships. Figure 10 shows, for the three values of skill threshold, the empirical relationship between 'y and satellite zenith angle (roughly equal to the viewing angle from nadir the small difference is due to the curvature of the earth, and is not very large for the orbital altitudes and scanning limits of the AVFIRR 28 instrument). For each level of skill cutoff, the linear trend is included using a dashed line, and the slopes are indicated for comparison. ciuuu - SLOPE = -0.01 I. H I 0 20 40 00 ULLCUI - U.I I SLOPE = -0.00 - --- 2 0 20 WN - 40 00 40 II S$QU.CLJT - 0.05 SLOPE = O.O7 :- 2 C.' 0 -----h- -------A 20 tWM4G Figure 10 Gamma Versus View Angle Here, it is seen that the selection of skill cutoff does affect conclusions about the possible relationship between 'y and viewing angle (effectively, pathlength) for this set of data. Unfortunately, it is only at the highest level of skill that the anticipated increase in Gamma with viewing angle is found, and here there are very few observations. This highlights the need for a large data set when applying this empirical technique, since the highest skill values may be needed but are relatively infrequent. Note that, based on the model calculations, the sensitivity of y to view angle is not expected to be global. On the contrary, it should have almost no dependence 29 on pathlength for atmospheres that are very dry, i.e., nearer the poles (these are the atmospheres that would satisfy the thin approximation of constant 'y); while in regions of very high water vapor, the dependence should be more pronounced. Due to the lack of a large set of 7's and view angles, the trend for y to increase with increasing pathlength is not statistically significant. It is suggestive, however, and consistent with what the models have predicted. The relationship between and geographic position is even less tenable for the selected region and data. In general, throughout the globe, one would expect to find an increase in the total water vapor loading as the equator is approached. For the eastern North Atlantic in the summer, however, the water vapor distribution is governed more by the global-scale circulation pattern which brings subsiding, dry air from the North and West, with a low-level return flow through the South-Easterly trade winds. Figure 11 shows the distribution of water vapor for July of 1988 for the entire globe. This figure was generated by Esbensen et. al. (1993) using water vapor fields from Wentz (1989), inferred from the Special Scanning Microwave/Imager (SSM/I). According to Esbensen (personal communication, 1992), the broad, dry regions to the west of major continents at subtropical latitudes, where gradients of water vapor are not directed toward the poles, are a consistent feature of the global scale water vapor distribution for the summer months. Much of the ASTEX region is engulfed in just such a thy subsidence area. Due to this dependence on large-scale circulation, gradients of total water vapor with latitude are not nearly what might be expected from zonally-averaged temperature profiles via the Clausius-Clapeyron equation (Rogers and Yau, 1989). Thus, the model prediction for based on tropical climatology is not applicable to the tropical portions 30 SSM/I Columnar Water Vapor Analysis 90N ON 30N 0 30S 'Os 'Os 0 GOE flOE 180 120W SOW 0 Figure 11 Distribution of Total Water Vapor for July, 1988 (cm) of the ASTEX region, and the plot of versus latitude (figure 12), which is generated empirically from the Gamma plots, does not agree with the model results depicted in figure 4. It is somewhat disturbing to find that y increases with increasing latitude. If the gradient of water vapor is not significant with latitude across the region (as figure 11 would predict), then one would expect to find virtually no dependence of y with latitude. Thus the trend apparent in figure 12 would seem to detract from the previous 31 - u.o SLOPE = 0.10 A I 4 A - ___4---1 A 2: A 0 20 40 10 SLOPE = 0.08 A 8 A A ___-;1i 0 20 40 LLCUI I I 80 V.5 SLOPE = 0.12 A ____--A - __A-A A Figure 12 Gamma Versus Latitude conclusions about 'y versus viewing angle. However, should a non-physical correlation exist between the view angle and the latitude (due to coincidence perhaps, or possibly complex factors including any number of related possibilities such as cloud detection or perceived SST uniformity as determined by the Goodness-of-Fit test), then figure 12 would lose meaning. Figure 13 shows just such a correlation. Evidently the number of Gamma plots included in the analysis is probably not adequate for drawing conclusions about the dependence of y with latitude for this region. However, regardless of this result, pathlength increases with view angle, with a secant dependence, and this dependence dominates latitudinal effects on pathlength for the ASTEX region. 40 2O-a Figure 13 View Angle Versus Latitude 40 SLOPE O.5o 33 3 Empirical Evaluation of the Homogeneity Assumption With -y determined from the distribution in figure 9 (i' = 3.7), attention can then be returned to some selected cases of Gamma plots with very high skill values, to evaluate the assumption that positive slopes (negative -y) imply a large SST gradient. Since it would be unwieldy to examine all of the Gamma plots (incongruous or otherwise), the analysis is limited to those with skill in excess of 0.9, that is, where at least 90% of the variance in the Gamma plot was explained by the linear regression. For the six months of analyzed data, only four Gamma plots resulted in such high values of skill (representing excellent agreement between the linear model and the data), including both of the Gamma plots shown in figures 5 and 8, as well as two other Gamma plots, each of which displayed negative slopes (positive y) in agreement with the criteria for uniform SST. Figures 14 through 17 show the retrieved SST field images for these high skill cases, derived from equation (18) using -y = 3.7 in every case. The latitude and longitude ranges covered by the field are indicated on the plots. Blackened areas are indicative of regions where the Spatial Coherence Algorithm was unable to detect a cloud-free foot; whiter regions denote warmer SSTs, and darker denote colder SSTs. Retrieved SSTs are written into the images for clarity, especially in the homogeneous cases where the plotted gradients are too weak to be seen by inspection of the image. The first case (figure 14) is for the same data that created the incongruous Gamma Plot in figure 8, and a strong gradient in the SST field is evident. The gradient has a strong meridional component (orthogonal to the scan), which suggests that the effect of the selected versus retrieved -y (from figure 8, 'y 6.7) is not LAT 35 34 33 32 31 30 LON -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 Figure 14 Retrieved SST Field for Incongruous Gamma Plot entirely responsible for the retrieved SST gradient. Figure 15 shows the SST field for the selected cooperative Gamma plot from figure 5. It is quite obvious that, relative to the gradients present in figure 14, the SST field is uniform for this 5° by 5° region. Finally, the remaining two cases where the skill exceeded 0.9 are presented. Representing an overpass on June 1, 1984 is the SST field for a Gamma plot which yielded a slope of 3.83 is figure 16. Figure 17 is from an overpass on June 14, 1983 where the slope of the Gamma plot was 1.41. Both of these remaining 'cooperative' cases (Gamma plots not shown) have y's which fall within the range identified from figure 9, and have quite uniform SST fields relative to the strong gradients shown in figure 14. 35 LAT 30 22.8 22.8 22.5 22.5 23.3 23.0 22.5 22.6 29 23.2 22.9 22.6 23.1 23.0 22.8 23.4 23.0 22.7 23.4 23.2 22.8 23.2 23.2 23.0 28 27 26 23.6 23.3 23.7 23.0 23.3 23.3 23.2 23.5 25 LON -35 -34 -33 -32 -31 -30 Figure 15 Retrieved SST Field for 'Cooperative' Gamma Plot 36 LAT 30 29 28 27 26 25 LON -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 Figure 16 Retrieved SST Field for 'Cooperative' Gamma Plot 37 LAT 10 LON -40 -39 -38 -37 -36 -35 Figure 17 Retrieved SST Field for 'Cooperative' Gamma Plot 38 4 Larger Scale Gamma-Derived SST Fields As a further check on the Gamma method of deriving SST, the large scale SST field for the ASTEX region is compared with the climatology of Esbensen and Kushnir (1981, hereafter referred to as E-K) for the same region. The E-K climatology is composed of in situ observations. On the following page, figure 18 shows the E-K climatological SST contours for the month of May. Following it are figures 19 and 20 which show the SST fields for May of 1983 and 1984 which was retrieved using the Gamma method with y determined above to be 3.7. Likewise, figures 21-23 display the comparison for the month of June, and figures 24-26 show the case for July. All of the plots have contouring intervals of 1°C. 39 Esbenun Xushnir Climatology SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE MAY GL: 21.553 SST NH: 21 .553 SH: IE1O NIH: 12.52 MAX: 28.1 5 OI 4 5I 4 Ot 3 5N 3 ON 2 5N 2 ON 1 5N iON Fl I 4 lW CON= 14 30W 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 20W 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 Figure 18 May SST Climatology lOW 40 SST(°C) for may83 50 LAT 16 30 F20 20 10 01- 40 -25 I 25 Figure 19 Retrieved SST Field for May 1983 LON1° 41 SST(° C) for may84 50 LAT 40 19 30 18 ---- 22 -21 23 20 2 10 27 0 40 25 Figure 20 Retrieved SST Field for May 1984 LON1° 42 Esbensen Kushnir Climatology SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE JUN SST GL: 22.546 NH: 22.546 514: 1E1O MIN: 13.97 MAX: 27.67 5 ON 4 5N 40N 3 SN 3 ON 2514 2 ON 1 5N iON 5N 40W CON= 14 30W 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 20W 22 23 24 25 26 27 Figure 21 June SST Climatology lOW 43 SST(UC) for june83 50 - LAT -1516 19 18- 30L n 20 10 H ------ 28 0. 40 -25 Figure 22 Retrieved SST Field for June 1983 LON1° 44 SST(UC) for june84 50 LAT -18 -2040 /9 30 20 10 27 iI 40 25 Figure 23 Retrieved SST Field for June 1984 LON1° 45 Esbensen Kushnir Climatology SEA SURFACE TEUPERATURE JUL SST CL: 23.538 NH: 23.538 SH: 1E1O MIN: 16.74 MAX: 27.56 5 ON 4 5N 4 ON 3 5N 3 ON 2 5N 2 ON 1 5N 1 ON 5N 40W CON= 17 30W 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 20W 25 26 27 Figure 24 July SST Climatology lOW 46 SST(°C) for july83 50 LAT 40 20 30 20 10 7.- .-.-.-.--- j)., -40 25 Figure 25 Retrieved SST Field for July 1983 LON1° 47 SST(°C) for julv84 50 LAT 40 30 I:: 19 JEEII'7 20 20 21 23 2 10 -29 0 40 25 Figure 26 Retrieved SST Field for July 1984 LO N 10 48 The key point from these figures (18-26) is that SST retrievals using the empirically-determined -y agree quite well with the E-K climatology in terms of absolute values of SST and also in terms of the relative features (gradients), with the notable exception of the region off the Western coast of Africa. It is believed that this exception may be explained in terms of contamination by Saharan dust. May et al. (1992) studied the effects of desert silicates in the lower and middle troposphere for precisely this region during the summer of 1990. They found a typical situation with a dust optical depth maximum just off the African coast, decreasing westward (due to advection by the prevailing easterlies) in the subtropical Atlantic. These investigators found that dust contamination- led to cold biases in satellite-derived SSTs of greater than 1°C for both the MCSST and cross-product (CPSST, Walton, 1988) retrieval algorithms. Apparently, the Gamma method suffers from a contamination bias of the same source and magnitude. 49 Channel 4 deficit (°C) for may83 50 LAT 30 10 L:- 6 -_ or 40 25 LO N Figure 27 Applied Channel 4 Temperature Correction for May of 1983 To demonstrate that the corrections applied to measured brightness temperatures are non-trivial, one example is shown of a contour of the correction field. Figure 27 shows the retrieved channel 4 brightness temperature deficit (LTA, channel 4) for the entire ASTEX region, averaged over the month of May, 1983. Since this deficit is generally a function of water vapor path, it is not surprising that the majority of the contour plot is similar to the water vapor contour shown in figure 11. Again, disagreement is found off the Western coast of Africa, due presumably 10 50 to dust contamination. 51 5 Variability in Gamma Finally, focus is returned to the band-type radiative transfer model to explore possible explanations for the variability that was found in the empirically-derived -y. The satellite viewing geometry is recreated in the model. The method is tested first for the 'ideal' case. No SST gradient is applied, and pathlength changes are due solely to viewing angle. The result is unanticipated. -r - - - - IWF)IL.J1 iMil r-. - - I WIII Retreved7=6.130 125 110 Dashed line represents 7line retrieved by the method 1051 Solid liges represçnt true 7-line reloionships fpr individ 0 2 4 ( (mW m1srcm) Figure 28 Model recreation of a Gamma Plot for the Tropical climatology atmosphere In figure 28, calculated radiances from each viewing angle from a typical procession of subframes are plotted and connected to the surface emittance (and corresponding value of 14(81) I(s1) = 0) with a line of slope -y. Variations in -y are due to the different pathlengths and hence water vapor amounts. When the 52 individual points are regressed as a straight line, the slope of that line is not very close to any of the values of y. Worse, the value of surface emittance that would be retrieved using the method exceeds the true surface emittance greatly, resulting in an SST error of more than 5°C. The problem with the method appears to be that, in the moist tropical climatology, -y varies with water vapor nearly as much as does the 14(31) 1(s1) variable. m,u 7 = 3.570 Midlatitude Profile 98 : S.. S.. H 'S 97 j96 : 95 E * 94 93 Dashed line represents 7line retrieved by the method 92 0.0 pild )ine represent frue,7ljne ielaionhip for, indjv 0.5 ll 1.0 1.5 2.0 (mW m's('cm) Figure 29 Model recreation of a Gamma Plot for the Middle-Latitude climatology atmosphere In drier atmospheres, this problem is less pronounced. The error in retrieved SST for the Middle-Latitude climatology atmosphere (shown in figure 29) is less than 1°C. For the Arctic case (figure 30), the SST error is negligible. 53 Arctic Profile 48.70 Retrieved 7 = 4.230 48.60 48.50 ... E -Q 48.40 E E 48.30 48.20 48.10 0.00 Dashed line represents 7line retrieved by the method oli liges repfesnt ,tru 7-lige rIa1iionhips fpr idiyidaI 0.02 0.04 I4 0.06 I 0.08 0.10 0.12 (mW msr1rn) Figure 30 Model recreation of a Gamma Plot for the Arctic climatology atmosphere In terms of water vapor profiles, the ASTEX region falls somewhere between the tropics and middle latitudes. This is evident from geography, but is supported as well by measured values of 14(81) - I(s1) in comparison with the model results. Thus, it is likely that the estimate of 'y from figure 9 is too high due to variations in 'y with viewing angle, and the retrieved SST fields are likely too warm. From the comparisons with the E-K climatology, it seems that the warm bias in SST is probably more similar to the middle latitude case (#.il°C) than to the tropical case ("-5°C). With the note that y is quite sensitive to changes in viewing angle, the model is then used to test the sensitivity of the method to gradients in SST. The middle latitude atmosphere is used. As in the above plots, five successive viewing angles are included which span approximately four degrees of longitude across the satellite 54 swath. The viewing angles are 17.72°(defined as near-nadir), 27.83°, 32.94°, 38.19° and 43.54°(near-limb). The applied SST gradient is linear in distance. The gradient is chosen to be in the same direction as the scan, to maximize the effect of the gradient on the retrieved value of y. Midlotitude Profile 93.6 5.100 Retrieved 93.4 93.2 E L) I- r' 93.0 E E - 92.8 92.4L. 1.30 1.35 1.40 I4 I 1.45 1.50 1.55 (mW mrcm) Figure 31 Model Gamma Plot, Middle-Latitude climatology, SST Gradient Figure 31 shows the effect of an SST which increases by a total of 0.1°C from near-nadir to near-limb. Here, the retrieved value of y would be overestimated by about one half, relative to the zero-gradient case. The SST error would be more than 2°C. For the plot in figure 32, the gradient is reversed (warmest at near-nadir). Relative to the zero-gradient case, the value of would be underestimated by about one third, and the retrieved SST would be cold by roughly 1°C. 55 93.60 I Midlatitude Profile I II,II1IJIIIIlII.1J.II1lI..I Retrieved y = 2.290 93.50 93.40 E 93.30 E E 93.20 93.10 93.00 1.30 ,I, 1.35 .. I 1.40 I4 1.45 1 1.50 1.55 1.60 (mW mrlcm) Figure 32 Model Gamma Plot, Middle-Latitude climatology, Reversed SST Gradient Compared to the gradients observed in figures 18-26, it seems that the gradients required to cause the observed variability in the retrieved y are not very large at all. However, the gradients applied in the model were perpendicular to the sub-satellite path (i.e., the gradient were in the direction of the scan, roughly east to west), which is not typical of large-scale SST fields. Note the bias toward overestimating SST. Since the satellite scans in both directions, over six months worth of data, it is reasonable to assume equal frequencies of positive and negative gradients with regard to scan angle. Again, 'y would tend to be overestimated by the method. 56 Section 7: View Angle as an Independent Variable Obviously, view angle is a very important variable for the method employed here. The preceding statistical analysis treats view angle as an independent variable. Thus, it seems wise to verify that this variable is not systematically dependent on the geometry of the orbital relationship between the satellite and geographic location. In other words, if there is a systematic relationship between view angle and geographic position, then certain regions of the ocean with persistent SST gradients might yield incongruous gamma plots, making the method inappropriate for such regions. Figure 13 suggests that just such a relationship may exist between view angle and latitude. The figure, however, shows only a small sampling of view angles and geographic positions, as restricted by the criteria imposed by the method. To ascertain that view angle is not systematically dependent on geographic position for the 1983/84 ASTEX data set, all of the cloud-free observations for individual sub&ames have been gathered into a single data file, recording the view angle, latitude, and longitude. Over 300,000 subframes had cloud-free radiances. A random sampling of ten positions (defined as 1° by 1° latitude x longitude regions) has been selected, for which the frequency histogram of view angles has been computed. The results are presented in figures 33-42. 57 k4.....,.... 4... 1.0 Afll lc.w I 0.8 r 0.S 0.4 0.2 I -40 -40 _____________ -20 0 20 40 00 Figure 33 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, First Geographic Position. I F -40 -40 -20 0 M41. 20 40 00 Figure 34 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Second Geographic Position. , Figure 35 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Third Geographic Position. 58 I -40 -40 -20 0 20 40 40 Figure 36 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Fourth Geographic Position. I I I -40 - Figure 37 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Fifth Geographic Position. I E I I Figure 38 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Sixth Geographic Position. 59 I E I .-. _.,_ Figure 39 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Seventh Geographic Position. I I I Figure 40 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Eighth Geographic Position. I I I -40 -20 0 20 40 SO Figure 41 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Ninth Geographic Position. I I - -40 20 0 Ms Figure 42 Frequency Histogram of View Angles, Tenth Geographic Position. 61 From figures 33-42, it seems that, when there are more than a few cloud-free observations for a particular location, the distribution of view angles from which the location is observed is not systematically exactly predictable. Neither however, is it obvious that there is no bias toward certain view angles for particular geographic locations. The number of observations is not sufficient to make statistical conclusions about the lack of such a bias. Certainly, as figures 33 and 42 attest, some locations are rarely identified as having cloud-free pixels over the observed months. However, this is particular to either the location (frequently cloudy during the season of the observations) or the cloud retrieval algorithm, and is not indicative of a systematic dependence in the view angle variable on geographic location. Note that the locations for the two sparsely populated histograms are nearly adjacent. For the purpose of this analysis, it does not seem inappropriate to treat view angle as an independent variable. 62 Section 8: Conclusion and Recommendations Many radiative transfer models have shown that the "thin approximation" made in the derivation of linear regression models for SST retrievals is invalid for moist atmospheres such as those found in the tropics. Walton (1988) did this by showing a dependence of 'y on water vapor amount McMillin and Crosby (1984) defined 'y and showed that it is constant when the thin approximation holds. This model result has been reproduced here by using satellite zenith angles to modify the total water vapor path (y depending on zenith angle, especially in the tropics). Further, the dependence of y on zenith angle has been shown here using just satellite data and the condition of a uniform SST over small regions. For the relatively few 5° by 50 latitude-longitude regions where there were sufficient cloud-free observations over a uniform SST field, the empirically-derived value of y 3.7 ± 1.7 for the ASTEX region is in agreement with model predictions for similar latitudes/total water vapor paths. Also, since variations in the secant of the viewing angle dominate the variations in total water vapor paths, a dependence of y on total water vapor path has been found that agrees qualitatively with what the models have predicted. This dependence is only evident when the most restrictive regression skill cutoff has been applied in rejecting non-uniform SST fields. Unfortunately, despite the accumulation of six months of data from the NOAA 7 polar orbiter over a region spanning 40° of latitude and 30° of longitude, the number of cases where a value of y could be determined was small (figure 9). The samples of 'y were too small to constitute a statistical data set from which zenith angle, geographical, or seasonal dependence could be confidently determined. Also, the 1992 data set for 63 NOAA 11 and 12 was nearly useless in terms of such an analysis, due to the few cases which met the prescribed criteria. Nevertheless, the trends in the data for the highest skill cases suggest that the models' results are supported by the satellite observations. An evident drawback of the method applied here is that no in situ observations were used to confirm assumptions that were inferred from satellite measurements about the underlying SST fields; i.e., was the SST field truly uniform when the method objectively determined it to be so? The attempt to show the dependence of on water vapor path using satellite data only was motivated by the problems associated with satellite/ship 'match-ups' of SST, including skin/bulk temperature differences, and the problem of defining 'coincident' measurements. This approach brought about the necessity for assuming that the SST field was sufficiently uniform to apply the method described above, and the lack of significant statistical conclusions is apparently due to the relative scarcity of such uniform SST fields. The use of in situ observations in conjunction with the method would alleviate the restrictions placed on the data by the uniform SST criterion, and likely make statistical analysis more meaningful. Within the limitations of the data analyzed, the assumption of uniformity has been shown self-consistent, considering gradients in the retrieved SST field for the accepted cases (figures 15-17) versus that found in data rejected due to presumed nonuniformity (figure 14). The monthly mean SST fields retrieved using the empirically-derived 7 compare favorably to the in-situ climatology, except in the same region where other satellite infrared SST methods also fall due to dust contamination (the dust problem is a separate one, relative to the at-hand issue of correcting for water vapor). The sensitivity of y to changes in water vapor path exceeded expectations, however. Application of the method to radiative transfer model-simulated radiances yielded the result that -y would tend to be overestimated, particularly in the most moist atmospheric conditions. The sensitivity of the method to gradients in SST was also explored. It was found that even relatively slight SST gradients could cause significant errors in the estimation of -y, with a bias toward overestimation. Both of these effects on the value of 'y retrieved by the method could be eliminated by the use of in situ data. Simple linear and non-linear methods of regression to predict brightness temperature deficits based on differences in brightness temperatures from different wavelengths may be valuable in terms of operational efficiency and root mean square error for sampled regions. However, these regression relationships are representative only of the regions in which buoy or ship data have been collected for model 'truth', and the most humid regions of the globe (e.g., western tropical Pacific) may not fit these models very well at all. Future attempts to 'match-up' satellite observations with surface-based SST measurements should consider direct application of equation (18), from which may be determined. This y is more physically meaningful than regression coefficients, and appears to be functionally related to the total water vapor burden of the atmospheric path through which the sensor measurements are attenuated. 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