Agenda
• Introduction
• Project Development
• Service Development
Plans
• Next Steps
• Discussion and
Comments
Project Development
The NNEIRI study area
includes 470 route miles
on 3 segments
SPG-MTL: 309 miles
Partnership between
MassDOT, VTrans, and
FRA with Support and
Coordination from other
Agencies and
Stakeholders
BOS-SPG: 99 miles
SPG-NH: 62 miles
Project Development
NNEIRI is two Corridors:
BM
HSR
Boston-Montreal
High Speed Rail
(BMHSR)
Inland
Route Inland Route
Project Development
Purpose
• Providing additional
regional travel options
through quality passenger
rail
• Connecting major cities in
the Northeast and Quebec
with smaller cities and
rural areas
• Creating a competitive rail
transportation alternative
to automobile, bus, and
air options
Project Development
• 18 preliminary options with
variations of Speed,
Equipment, Track
Engineering
• Stakeholder, Public, and
Agency Coordination for
Alternatives Evaluation
• 3 Build Alternatives and a No
Build Alternative
• Recommended Alternative
Project Development
Alt
NB
Alt
2
Project Development
Alt
NB
No Build
No Additional
Capital Costs
No Additional
Operating Support
71,000
Annual Riders
Corridor Service
$615-785 Million
Capital Costs
Alt
2
$24 Million
Operating Support
597,000
Annual Riders
Corridor Service with Speed Improvements
$1,065–1,350 Million
Capital Costs
$39 Million
Operating Support
1,052,500
Annual Riders
Corridor Service with Speed and Equipment
Improvements
$1,255-1,590 Million
Capital Costs
$48 Million
Operating Support
1,170,700
Annual Riders
Project Development
Alternative
1
Alternative
3
Alternative
2
Recommended Alternative
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Project Development
Recommended Alternative
• Existing Services
• Inland Route Corridor Service
• Added 8 Daily Boston-New Haven
Roundtrips
• Boston-Montreal HSR
Corridor Service
• Added 1 Daily Boston-Montreal
Roundtrip
• Added 1 Daily New HavenMontreal Roundtrip
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Project Development
Recommended Alternative
• Sample Run Times
• BOS-SPG: 2 Hours
• BOS-NHV: 3 Hours 38
Minutes
• SPG – MTL: 6 Hours 55
Minutes
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Project Development
Recommended Alternative
• Infrastructure Improvements
• Worcester to Springfield Second Mainline
Restoration
• Added Worcester Union Station Platform
• Vermont Siding Extensions
• Signal and Track Improvements
• Provision for a Potential Palmer Station
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Service Development Plans Overview
• Process
• Independent but coordinated plans developed for each Corridor.
• The plans provide the blueprint for the development of service in each
Corridor.
• The SDPs establish a policy for the implementation of service on the
NNEIRI Corridor.
• The SDPs include:
• Methodology and Plan Development
• Operations Modeling
• Demand and Revenue Forecasts
• Conceptual Engineering
• Operating and Maintenance Costs
• Investment Options
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Service Development Plans Overview
• NNEIRI (Full Project)
$1.263 – 1.350 Billion
Capital Costs
$39 Million
Operating Support
875,700
Annual Riders
• Inland Route Corridor
$612 – 648 Million
Capital Costs
$29 Million
Operating Support
428,600
Annual Riders
• Boston to Montreal HSR Corridor
$900-984 Million
Capital Costs
$10 Million
Operating Support
447,100
Annual Riders
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Demand and Revenue Forecasts
• Demand Forecasts
• An intercity passenger rail ridership forecasting model was
utilized to provide details on ridership.
• The model consists of regional travel market data, historical
rail ridership data and trends, and demographic data.
• Revenue Forecasts
• Related to ridership and service frequency
• Average fares, which reflect current average fare values for
intercity rail service in the Northeast and extrapolated for
new markets based on mileage, were used as the basis for
revenue estimation.
Total NNEIRI Ridership
875,700
Total NNEIRI Revenue
$33.3 Million
Inland
Route
Service Development Plans
Demand and Revenue Forecasts
Ridership by Segment
Daily Added
Roundtrips
Annual Ridership
Within BOS-SPG
Segment
8
44,610
Between BOS/SPG –
SPG/NHV Segments
8
384,032
Total Ridership
-
428,642
Total Revenue
-
$17.6 Million
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Demand and Revenue Forecasts
Ridership by Segment
Daily Added
Roundtrips
Annual Ridership
Within BOS-SPG
Segment
1
5,576
Between BOS/SPG –
SPG/MTL Segments
1
23,782
Within SPG-MTL
Segment
2
149,139
Between NHV/SPG –
SPG/MTL Segments
1
268,561
Total Ridership
-
447,058
Total Revenue
-
$15.8 Million
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Conceptual Engineering
Methodology for Conceptual Engineering Needs
•
Assessment of Infrastructure Needs
•
Testing of Infrastructure Needs with Operation Scenarios
1. 2015 Base Case
2. 2035 Baseline Infrastructure with existing passenger and 2.2% freight growth
3. 2035 Baseline Infrastructure with proposed passenger operations and 2.2% freight
growth
4. 2035 Proposed Infrastructure with proposed passenger operations and 2.2%
freight growth
5. Randomization of 2035 Scenario - Dwell Extension, Initial Departure Times, Train
Operating Handling, and Information Gathering
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
NNEIRI (Full Build) Conceptual Engineering
Improvement
Cost
Worcester to Springfield Second
Mainline Restoration
$120-139 Million
Worcester Union Station Second
Platform
$17 – 19 Million
Vermont Siding Extensions
$102-117 Million
Signal and Track Improvements
$485-533 Million
Provision for Palmer Station
$12 – 14 Million
Total NNEIRI Infrastructure Cost
$736-821 Million
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Worcester to Springfield Second Mainline Restoration
• 37.2 miles Restored Second Mainline
• 25 Undergrade bridge second track restorations
• 3 grade crossings
• Estimated Cost: $120.2-138.8 million
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Worcester Union Station Platform
•
New Platform
– Connects to Union Station via vertical access to existing tunnel. Retains
Existing Platform.
– Serves 9 Car Train Sets
• New switches Installed
• New platform will service two mainline tracks
• Designed to avoid conflicts with Worcester Intermodal Terminal
freight operations
• Estimated Cost: $17-19 million
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Vermont Siding
Extensions
• 29.5 miles of Extended
Sidings
• 28 Grade Crossing
Improvements
• Estimated Cost: $102-117
Million
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Signal and Track Improvements
• Proposed train control signal system as needed on the
Corridor
• All grade crossings will be brought into a state of good
repair.
• Grade crossings that have reached end of useful life
will be replaced
Section
Signals
Intermediate Signal
Improved Grade
Crossing Warning
Devices
CSX
8
-
13
NECR
20
57
161
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Provision for Potential Palmer Station
• Three feasible sites identified in Palmer for a potential station
• Final station design and location to be determined by
Commonwealth and local partners.
• Concepts for a station site include:
• New Platform to Support 9 Car Trains
• 100 Space Parking Lot and Bus/Taxi Stand
• Dedicated Station Track
• Estimated Cost: $12-14 million
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Rolling Stock
• Rolling stock refers to the number of train sets, inclusive of
a locomotive and five coach cars.
• Capital cost for each trainset is based on the recent
purchase price for PRIIA Fleet design train sets plus 30%
contingency.
• Anticipated capital cost $35.1 Million per Trainset
Train Sets
Cost
BMHSR Rolling
Stock
5
$175 Million
Inland Route
Rolling Stock
10
$351 Million
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Operating and Maintenance Costs
• To generate operating costs for the Corridor a flexible OM cost model was
developed and based on comparable operating costs for intercity services in
the Northeast United States and Canada.
• The model considers the following operating characteristics:
• Level of service
• Peak fleet requirements
• Operating speed
• Revenue operating hours
• Route length
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Annual Operating and Maintenance Costs
Segment
Annual O+M Costs
(Exclusive of Revenue)
Inland Route
$46 Million
BMHSR
$26 Million
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Investment Options
• Investment Options are utilized to describe a series of steps in infrastructure
and service investments to reach full NNEIRI Service.
• BMHSR and Inland Route Investment Options were developed in tandem in
order to properly understand the impact of service on the Corridor as a
whole.
• Investment Options are organized based on an understanding of maximum
ridership benefits, rational service levels, and minimal infrastructure
investments to reach the desired service.
• Alternative Investment Options could be developed due to changes in
funding, financing, governance, construction, or other causes.
Inland
Route
Service Development Plans
Investment Option I
•
3 Inland Route Roundtrips
(off peak arrival/departure from
Boston)
•
Convenient Transfer to
Vermonter Services in SPG
•
Central Massachusetts Siding
Extension to Support Services
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Investment Option II
•
One NHV-MTL Roundtrip
•
Full Vermont Infrastructure
Capital Costs
•
Assumes US Customs and
Immigration Facility at Montreal
Central Station
Inland
Route
Service Development Plans
Investment Option III
•
One additional Inland Route
Roundtrip (Service to include
shoulder-peak arrival/departures
from Boston)
•
Assumes improvements at Boston
South Station and Springfield
Union Station
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Investment Option IV
(Full Build)
•
Four Additional Inland Route
Roundtrips
•
BOS-MTL Roundtrip
•
Restoration of Second Mainline
between WOR and SPG
•
Completion of WOR Second
Platform
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Capital Costs
Investment Option
Inland Route
BMSHR
NNEIRI Total
Investment Option I
$190-192 Million
N/A
$190-192 Million
Investment Option II
N/A
$553-600 Million
$553-600 Million
Investment Option III
$35 Million
N/A
$35 Million
Investment Option IV
$387-421 Million
$346-383 Million
$485-523 Million
$900-984 Million
$1.263 – 1.350
Billion
Total
$612-648 Million
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
Annual Ridership
Investment Option
Inland Route
BMHSR
NNEIRI Total
Investment Option I
160,700
N/A
160,700
Investment Option II
N/A
343,131
343,131
Investment Option III
214,322
N/A
214,322
Investment Option
IV (Full Build)
428,642
447,058
875,700
Inland
Route
Service Development Plans
Inland Route O+M and Revenue Comparison
Investment Option
Estimated
Annual Cost
Estimated Annual
Operating Support
Revenue
Investment Option I
$16,759,095
$6,615,763
$10,143,332
Investment Option II
NA
NA
NA
Investment Option III
$22,361,554
$8,821,017
$13,540,537
Investment Option IV
$46,746,390
$17,642,033
$29,104,357
BM
HSR
Service Development Plans
BMHSR O+M and Revenue Comparison
Investment Option
Estimated
Annual Cost
Estimated Annual
Operating Support
Revenue
Investment Option I
NA
NA
NA
Investment Option II
$13,075,752
$12,825,650
$250,102
Investment Option III
NA
NA
NA
Investment Option IV
$26,203,358
$15,757,967
$10,445,391
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Environmental Analysis
National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA)
• Programmatic Tier 1 Environmental Assessment (EA)
currently under MassDOT, VTrans, and FRA Review
• Assessment based on work done in the Alternatives
Analysis
Inland
Route
BM
HSR
Next Steps
• Completion of Service Development Plans
• Completion of EA with Any Additional Stakeholder Input
• NEPA Process Completion – Finding of No Significant
Impact (FONSI) issued by FRA for Tier 1 EA
Discussion & Comments
Contact Information
Vermont: scott.bascom@state.vt.us
Massachusetts: ammie.rogers@state.ma.us
Project Website: www.mass.gov/massdot/northernnewenglandrail