OUR YEAR “e true voyage of discovery lies not in seeking new landscapes, but in having new eyes.” Marcel Proust Jonathan Grant, President RAND Europe jgrant@rand.org RAND Europe is an independent not-for-profit research organisation. Our mission is to help improve policy and decision making through research and analysis. 2007 has been an outstanding year for us. We have carried out many challenging research assignments across a wide range of issues – all with the potential to affect the lives of citizens in Europe. Our research has informed thinking in areas as diverse as road and water charging, EC ‘healthy living’ initiatives, privacy implications of new technologies, health research funding and female migrant workers, to name but a few. In fact, diversity is a theme which has run through our year and also a quality that we encourage and nurture within RAND Europe. I believe our mix of clients, skills and research interests, combined with our not-for-profit status, uniquely equips us to provide European policy makers with objective, high-quality research to inform their decisions. Diversity of experience RAND Europe staff are an astonishingly varied group, spanning 15 nationalities, 15 languages and many different disciplines. This mix of backgrounds and experience allows us to fit our teams precisely to project needs – staffing a French-speaking tax analyst, say, or an expert 2 on Swedish welfare systems. Our people are our greatest asset; smart, dedicated and willing to tackle any challenge. Give them a problem and they will find an effective solution. Intellectually nimble The difficulty is working out what the next problem will be. Europe faces many challenges, including low fertility, an obesity epidemic, new migration patterns and uncertain security threats. We need to stay intellectually nimble, and constantly push the boundaries of what we know or think we know. We recently created an Emerging Areas team to lead research in areas of social significance, which we see as an ‘ideas incubator’ to anticipate emerging trends and catalyse inquiry across different areas and research disciplines. RAND’s own self-financed research also allows us to get ahead of current thinking on nascent or unpopular policy issues that otherwise might not be funded. Breadth + depth = superior insights Diversity without analytical depth has little practical value. We have reshaped our research teams this year to focus and catalyse our expertise in key areas, notably our deep sector knowledge in transport, defence, healthcare and biomedical science, and leading-edge skills in discrete choice modelling, economic analysis ACADEMIC DISCIPLINES Economics Maths Political sciences Engineering Natural sciences LANGUAGES (other than English) Social sciences History Other and other techniques. e chemistry between the teams is also important. I’m excited by our ability to blend know-how in different areas and disciplines to generate superior insights – for example, combining health policy knowledge and transport modelling techniques to build a robust model of patient choice behaviour. We have also combined defence and social science perspectives to analyse whether prison creates opportunities to indoctrinate potential terrorists, adapted a medical research payback model to a social science context, and modified transport forecasting approaches to assess the likely behaviour of water consumers. Diversity of client work We strengthened many client relationships, giving us greater insight into their needs. Many of our most stimulating projects in 2007 came from existing clients such as the UK National Audit Office, Department of Health and Ministry of Defence, and the European Commission (EC) Arabic Bangladeshi Dutch French German Greek Hindi Korean Malayalam Polish Russian Spanish Swahili Tamil Directorate-General for Health and Consumer Affairs. I am delighted that so many clients continue to seek our support on new challenges. Last year also saw us work with several new clients, including the Carnegie UK Trust and the Olympic Delivery Authority. We currently have relationships with some 54 organisations including UK and EC government agencies, non-government organisations (NGOs), charities, foundations and private sector bodies. Europe’s most trusted think tank Over 60 years, the RAND Corporation has built a towering reputation in the US for rigorous, independent policy research. I hope to see RAND Europe achieve the same impact here. I like to think that we are increasingly the first choice research partner for European governments, NGOs and other policy makers, providing them with objective, informed ‘new eyes’ on the particular challenges of our region – in effect, Europe’s most trusted think tank. 3 Images: Opposite Joanna Anthony, Tom Crawley, Joanna Anthony, Tom Crawley EVALUATION & AUDIT Tom Ling, Director of Evaluation & Audit tling@rand.org Tom’s research interests include work on assessing public policy for pharmacogenetics and genetic testing, the governance of health research, and diversity in public services. Prior to joining RAND Europe, Tom was Senior Research Fellow at the National Audit Office and Chair of Public Policy at Anglia Ruskin University. Increasingly, public services are to be shaped by the needs of users, creating new demands for providers. At the same time, the public sector faces regular scrutiny through value-for-money evaluations and performance audits, with providers expected to show the benefits they deliver and account for the money they spend. is can create problems of its own; as Peter Drucker famously observed, “What gets measured gets done”, and by extension, what is not measured might be ignored. e difficulty lies in knowing whether the right things are being measured. ‘Performance’, ‘public benefit’ and measurement sit together in complex ways and highlight issues such as fairness, cost savings and culture change. Our team seeks to bring clarity and focus to these and other questions. We provide our clients with systematic, independent data and evaluation to support policy decisions. We also work with them to identify what will make the greatest difference to outcomes. Over the last few years RAND Europe has developed a particularly strong working relationship with the UK National Audit Office (NAO), and in 2002 we were invited to become an NAO strategic partner. e NAO evaluates the activities of many UK government departments, and this allows us to support evidence-based decision making across a broad swathe of public “RAND’s commitment to objective research and analysis parallels our work, making for an effective meeting of minds.” Jeremy Lonsdale, Director-General Performance Audit, National Audit Office services. We are now working closely with the NAO to establish best practice counter-fraud policies and practices in the areas of welfare and taxation (see case study, right). is work is creating considerable interest internationally. We are also using our skills to help not-forprofit organisations make evidence-based judgements. We recently completed a project with the Papworth Trust, a Cambridgeshire charity that supports disabled people to have greater independence. e work helped to simplify and focus management information systems on key areas to support Papworth’s five-year strategy. Ultimately our work succeeds when we provide a clear practical framework for decision makers who might otherwise drown in superfluous data. In the words of the poet: Upon this gifted age, in its dark hour, Rains from the sky a meteoric shower Of facts . . . they lie unquestioned, uncombined. Wisdom enough to leech us of our ill Is daily spun; but there exists no loom To weave it into fabric...1 4 1. Edna St Vincent Millay, ‘Make Bright the Arrows’, 1940. TACKLING FRAUD AND ERROR The UK Department of Work and Pensions (DWP) administers a wide range of incomerelated benefits to a diverse population. This complexity increases the chance of customer or staff error, and may facilitate fraud. In 2004–05, overpayments were estimated at £2.6 billion. The NAO subsequently qualified the DWP’s annual accounts for the 16th year running, citing ‘unacceptable’ levels of fraud and error. RAND Europe was asked to benchmark DWP performance internationally against other social security agencies. is took some effort, given different benefit structures, measurement systems and definitions. e research changed perceptions of the DWP’s performance, revealing that the UK had the best overall measuring systems, and a lower total fraud and error rate (2.3%) than other OECD countries with comparable data. We are now working with the NAO to design a portfolio for DWP of cost-effective prevention, detection and deterrence systems aimed at reducing overpayment to below 1%. e research showed that data-matching and compliance visits are both cost-effective approaches. We are also helping DWP to establish appropriate systems to measure overpayment costs and isolate the impact of different interventions. A further UK project is underway to assess the performance of different tax administrations in pursuing tax revenue from the ‘hidden economy’. e World Bank has also asked for our input on fraud and error prevention in developing countries. MAKING AN INTERNATIONAL COMPARISON We found that total fraud and error rates range between 2% and 5% of expenditure in countries where comparable data is available. With an overall rate of 2.3%, the UK was, in fact, at the low end of this spectrum. Total fraud and error as a percentage of benefit expenditure 2.3% UK 3–5% 2.7% NZ CAN 5 Images: Opposite Joanna Anthony, Lynne Saylor, Department for Work and Pensions HEALTH & HEALTHCARE Evi Hatziandreou, Director of Health & Healthcare evih@rand.org Evi has a medical doctorate from Athens Medical School and a Dr.PH from Harvard School of Public Health. She has worked extensively in the US, for the Centre for Diseases Control, Office of Technology Assessment, BATTELLE and AstraZeneca, and spent three years as Deputy Governor of IKA, the Greek Social Security Administrator. Healthcare systems across Europe are under enormous strain as they seek to deliver quality healthcare at an affordable cost. Demand is growing due to factors such as ageing populations, the increasing prevalence of chronic diseases, the obesity epidemic, drug and alcohol abuse, and the rising expectations of patients. There are still pockets of great deprivation, even in more affluent countries, and significant health inequalities. Technology innovation and rising technology costs are making new demands on budgets, while health authorities are under increasing pressure to demonstrate value from health expenditure. e Health & Healthcare team provides health policy makers with the objective, practical data they need to make effective decisions. e Director General of the World Health Organisation recently referred to “the strategic and persuasive power of evidence”. 2 Our goal is to advance evidence-based health policy at both national and European levels. At a national level, we completed a study into GP prescribing behaviours for the UK National Audit Office (NAO) to understand the reasons why family doctors adopt – or ignore – best practice guidance when prescribing. e results will inform practical initiatives to increase GP awareness of new treatments and provide them with accessible cost information. We are “RAND Europe offers a range of approaches to support effective policy development at a European level. ese provide new ways to look at complex problems and find creative solutions to emerging issues.” Jonathan Back, DG SANCO also working with The Health Foundation, an independent charity, on its ‘Engaging with Quality’ initiative. is is a long-term project to improve the quality of healthcare in both acute and primary care, by fostering clinician-led quality improvements. RAND Europe is helping to evaluate the impact of initiatives, for example, ensuring that the right data is analysed, and that effective systems are in place for sharing and publicising effective practices. At a European level, there is a commitment to sharing data and best practice to improve health and patient safety across Europe. We are working on a number of EC initiatives involving both public and private stakeholders (see right). e EU’s recent adoption of Health in All Policies (HiAP) also recognises the fact that population health is affected by policies in areas beyond the health sector – for example, employment, school meals, urban design or the application of new technologies such as wireless tracking devices (see case study, page 15). 6 2. Address to the Regional Committee for Europe, Belgrade, 18 September 2007. SUPPORTING A EUROPE-WIDE HEALTH AGENDA We have conducted projects for DG SANCO (the EC Directorate-General for Health and Consumer Affairs) on a range of health priorities: Healthy living. The EU Platform on Diet, Physical Activity and Health brings together stakeholders to compare initiatives to improve the health of European citizens. RAND Europe is evaluating members’ monitoring practices across the spectrum of activity to identify possible improvements. In another project, we are measuring the cost-benefit of various measures to reduce alcohol consumption. Food labelling. Information is vital for consumers buying food; for example, those allergic to certain ingredients or seeking healthy choices. RAND Europe has analysed the information needs of different groups, and the impact of content and format on consumer behaviour. is work has influenced current thinking on this topic. Healthy Life Years. Common measures make it possible to compare the effect of different health interventions. One metric in use is the Healthy Life Year (HLY). We are currently assessing the prevalence and effectiveness of HLYs across Europe. Future scenarios. With the health landscape changing so quickly, fixed assumptions about the future are risky. RAND Europe has developed a set of alternative scenarios describing feasible future policy environments. ese are being used to test existing strategies and inform new thinking. KEY DRIVERS FOR CHANGE IN EUROPE e futures project identified four focus areas and key uncertainties for each – e.g. what information sources will be most trusted by consumers? Will governments or markets drive social and corporate responsibility? How will globalisation affect standards? RAND Europe used these to develop three alternative future scenarios. CHANGING SOCIETY GOVERNANCE Accountability with delivery in a multilevel world Influencing standard setting and managing risks CONSUMER CONFIDENCE Communicating knowledge, risk and science with citizens GLOBALISATION Multiple divides in an informationdriven context 7 Image: Opposite Joanna Anthony MODELLING Charlene Rohr, Director of Modelling crohr@rand.org Charlene specialises in building discrete choice models to understand consumer behaviour in areas such as transport, health and communication. She holds an MSc in Civil Engineering from the University of Alberta, Canada. 8 One of the biggest challenges for policy makers is anticipating how people will respond to new interventions. In an ideal world, every possible initiative would be trialled and the effects observed. In practice, policy makers often need to make an informed guess – complicated by the likelihood that some groups will respond differently to others. Our goal in the Modelling team is to replace guesswork with evidence-based prediction, drawing on our skills as mathematicians, econometricians and engineers. By building ‘discrete choice’ models based on quantitative data, we can forecast the choices people will make when faced with specific alternatives. We also use qualitative techniques to dig deeply into the reasons behind choices, to really understand why certain groups act as they do. This year a major focus has been road pricing, an important topic in the transport policy debate given rising traffic levels and growing environmental concerns. London is one of a select group of cities with a charging policy, which has provided us with real practice to evaluate. RAND Europe has also worked with West Midlands planners to develop a traffic demand model for assessing the possible impact of road pricing in the region (see right). We are also working with the Department of Transport to recalibrate the UK National Travel Model, “RAND Europe provides customers with extremely high level statistical and modelling skills, along with a professional manner that is second to none... the level of service over the past few years has been truly outstanding.” Soterios Soteri, Senior Economist, Royal Mail which informs national policy on transport demand. We are finding new ways to apply discrete choice techniques in other areas, building on earlier work in the area of patient choice which utilised RAND’s health policy expertise. The Royal Mail has asked us for in-depth help to assess the potential impact of competitor offers on postal volumes and profitability. Also in the postal sector, we are working with Postwatch to assess whether current postal service obligations meet the needs of UK citizens. Understanding customer priorities is an important issue for local utilities as well. We are working with the Office of Gas and Electricity Markets (Ofgem) and several water companies to quantify the value that consumers attach to different service options. e outcomes from these studies will help to shape water companies’ investment programmes for the next five years. ANALYSING THE IMPACT OF ROAD PRICING Road pricing is high on the transport policy agenda in the UK at present, as it offers a way to reduce congestion and emissions while generating useful revenue to support other initiatives. A number of local authorities are investigating ways to combine creative local transport packages with road pricing. RAND Europe has been providing analytical support to planners in the West Midlands, a congested region with many problems typical of major conurbations. Transport policy for a large and complex region contains many strands, including public transport improvements, road schemes and enhancements for walkers and cyclists. To assess the potential success of a package we need to predict how travellers will respond to each component when road pricing is introduced into the policy mix. Will they pay the charge and continue to drive or alter their behaviour by switching to another mode of travel, another destination, or by deciding to travel at another time? Some people may choose not to travel at all. A key factor is sensitivity to travel costs. Evidence from our work for the West Midlands is that travel cost sensitivity varies substantially across the travelling population, depending on the reason for travelling, the income of the traveller and the length of the journey. This variation needs to be taken into account in predicting the impact of road pricing. COST SENSITIVITY – THE VALUE OF AN HOUR SAVED 12 10 Commuting Other non-business travel 8 Value of Time (£/hr) e figure shows how much West Midlands travellers are prepared to pay to save an hour of travel time (their ‘value-of-time’). is figure varies significantly according to income band and journey purpose for journeys of average length. 6 4 2 0 Up to £9,999 £10,000 - £29,999 £30,000 - £49,999 Income band £50,000 + 9 Images: Opposite Joanna Anthony, Lynne Saylor DEFENCE & SECURITY Hans Pung, Director of Defence & Security hpung@rand.org Hans’ research interests include industrial base analysis, cost estimation, and military personnel issues. Before joining RAND Europe, Hans served as an engineer officer in the United States Army and holds advanced degrees in both Mathematical Modelling and British History from Oxford University. 10 e global security environment is unpredictable and volatile, characterised by emerging asymmetric threats and complex emergencies that require thoughtful, well-executed responses. Increasingly, government and non-government bodies need to share information and integrate capabilities within and across borders to meet these challenges successfully. The RAND Corporation has long been recognised for its expertise in defence and security policy. The RAND Europe Defence & Security team builds on that tradition by providing insightful research and analysis to policy makers in Europe and beyond, based on a thorough understanding of local needs. Where appropriate, we leverage the contacts and knowledge of other RAND offices worldwide. Our defence work for the year falls into three broad areas: acquisition, personnel and wider policy issues. Acquisition is an area of growing importance, with governments increasingly concerned to ensure that they have the right policies and skills in place to meet longerterm strategic needs. This year we supported an independent financial review (IFR) of the planned purchase by the UK Ministry of Defence (MOD) of two new aircraft carriers. ese will be the largest ships ever to be commissioned by the Royal Navy. e IFR was a key component in gaining “RAND provided the best-value piece of research that we have ever procured. ey actually answered the question!” Senior MOD Official MOD approval for the project to proceed. We also conducted a major study on UK maritime skills, looking at the ability of the UK industrial base to support future naval needs. On the personnel front, we researched the views of new recruits in the Armed Forces (see case study, right), while our policy work included a strategic review of small arms ammunition needs and sources of supply. Our security work has covered a comparably broad range of issues. is year we have assessed domestic security needs for one of the largest European events on the horizon, the London 2012 Olympic Games. With governments increasingly concerned about terrorism, we have analysed the security structures of different European countries to gauge their ability to respond to terrorist threats. We have also combined security expertise and sociological perspectives to assess the role of prisons in indoctrinating terrorists. Last but certainly not least, we have been advising the EC on the significant security opportunities and challenges inherent in new technologies. DETERMINING A REMUNERATION STRATEGY FOR RECRUITS A key issue for any government with a volunteer military is how to attract, motivate and retain people in its Armed Forces. To inform its future policy in this area, the UK MOD has launched an effort to understand the motivations and attitudes of personnel across all three service branches on a range of issues relevant to recruitment and retention. Following an earlier study of serving personnel, RAND Europe was asked to investigate the perceptions and motivations of new recruits. The project required us to create a series of relaxed, confidential focus group environments where recruits could give candid responses. We combined this with a tightly structured agenda and process to give consistency across groups, drawing on a tested methodology developed by colleagues in the US. We then applied rigorous analytical techniques to identify and rank key themes arising from the groups. We found that recruits were generally positive about their chosen occupation and the prospect of a military career. Financial considerations were rarely the primary factor in the decision to join up or remain. Family priorities, quality of life, job satisfaction and career opportunities were at least as important in convincing service personnel to stay for the long haul. CAREER ASPIRATIONS AND SATISFACTION WITH REMUNERATION New recruits were asked how long they expected to remain in the Armed Forces, and their satisfaction with pay levels. While a majority of recruits indicated that they wished to serve at least 11 years, the recruits who were satisfied or very satisfied with pay were considerably more willing to commit to a long-term career (22+ years). Participants satisfied/very satisfied with pay Participants dissatisfied/very dissatisfied with pay Intend to serve 0–5 years Intend to serve 6–10 years Intend to serve 22+ years Intend to serve 11–21 years Don’t know 11 Images: Opposite Joanna Anthony, Courtesy of BAE Systems SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Steven Wooding, Head of Science & Technology wooding@rand.org Steve’s research interests are research evaluation, science policy and public engagement with science. He also has a particular interest in the quantification and visualisation of qualitative information. He has an MA in Natural Sciences from Cambridge University and a doctorate in Cell Biology. 12 European countries invest billions in publiclyfunded scientific research. In the UK alone, the combined research budgets of the Department of Health (DH) and the Medical Research Council (MRC) total well over £1 billion. Independent and charitable research bodies contribute more than a further £700 million. e Science & Technology team aims to understand how research benefits society and give research funders the information they need to spend their money effectively. Essentially, we conduct research into research: putting scientists themselves under the microscope to assess the impact of their work in academia, on patients and on society. By evaluating practice we can help our clients to develop research strategies, funding processes and performance measures to achieve the impact they want, be that top-rated international research or immediate impact on patient care. Last year the DH awarded RAND Europe a five-year grant to become a Health R&D Policy Research Unit. We are also collaborating with the Health Economics Research Group (HERG) and the Office of Health Economics on a ground-breaking project to both value the contribution of health research to the UK economy, and understand in more detail the caveats of such an approach. is work was jointly commissioned by the Academy of Medical Sciences, “I continue to be impressed by the novelty and quality of RAND Europe’s work.” Professor Sally C. Davies, Director General for Research and Development, Department of Health MRC and e Wellcome Trust. One important tool for quantifying research impact is bibliometric analysis where we have an ongoing collaboration with the Centre for Science & Technology Studies in Leiden. is approach gauges the importance of a researcher or institution by analysing the research papers they publish and the number of citations they receive from subsequent research. is year we have combined bibliometric and qualitative techniques in an international study of the outcomes of cardiovascular research over the last 15–20 years in the UK, Australia and Canada. We are also helping the Health Research Board of Ireland to investigate the economic impacts of work they have funded over the last 15 years. We also had the opportunity to extend our research evaluation work into the social sciences. Working for the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) we adapted a biomedical Payback model of research evaluation to assess the diverse impacts of their ‘Future of Work’ research on policy making and knowledge. 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6 4.7 3.9 1.7 2.6 2.5 2.5 9.9 2.5 1.6 2.4 1.6 6.3 10 4 5.7 1.1 2.3 3.8 4.8 4.9 2.7 1.8 2.5 1.9 2.1 0.7 2.1 2.5 1.9 2.4 2.8 4.4 1.2 1.6 0.4 2.3 3.1 6.7 0.6 4.3 1.1 3.6 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.4 2.2 3.2 10 3.1 0.6 4.3 8.4 1.9 3.5 2.9 4.8 5.7 3.2 3.5 2.4 2 1.8 1.5 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.7 2 3.2 2.6 1.9 5.8 0.6 1.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 3.3 0.3 2.7 3.7 0.7 2.3 2.7 3 1.1 2 2.3 3 3.9 3.6 7.9 2.6 2.2 5.3 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.5 0.8 3.4 3.1 2.8 1.2 2.1 3.1 2.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 2.5 4.3 1.1 1.7 3.5 2.4 3 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.5 6.2 7.7 1.5 1.2 0.2 2.5 7.1 4.9 2.7 2.4 5.9 0.1 0.9 4.6 5.1 1.2 7.8 2.7 0.8 1.7 5.8 1.7 2.5 2 6.1 14 6.5 2.9 3.3 1.5 1.8 1.2 1.1 2.2 0.8 2.2 2.2 4 2.4 4.4 6.1 2 1 0.3 2.7 1.6 0.8 2.7 0.4 6.2 5.5 4.7 3.7 1.8 1.8 0.7 0.5 0.2 2.2 1 0.6 0.6 8.8 1.9 0.6 0.9 4.4 0.3 1.6 0.8 2.1 3.9 1.2 0.8 4.3 5.4 7.4 23 3.6 9.8 4.9 2.9 1.1 3.9 4 0.6 3.4 3.4 1.9 2.2 1.7 0.8 0.8 7.4 3.4 3.6 4.4 7.2 1.7 5.6 2.5 2.1 1.7 2.5 1.9 2.7 5.4 1.4 1.2 3.7 1.6 3.5 3.7 4.5 2 7.9 1.3 6.5 3.2 0.6 6.1 6.2 1.6 3.6 2.6 4.3 3.1 1.8 4.4 2.1 3 2.9 2.5 1.3 0.8 5 6.2 0.7 1.7 0.5 4.6 5.6 15 12 0.8 2 1.7 3.9 4 1.6 4.1 2.7 2.1 3.5 1 2.4 4.3 2.4 1.8 0.8 2 1.7 5 0.6 1.6 2.9 4.4 1.1 13 4.7 2 2.4 4.5 0.9 1.8 5 5.5 8 8.3 0.8 1.4 1.5 33 1.7 5.5 1.1 3.6 2 2.6 0.9 0.6 2.7 4.3 2.5 1.2 4 1.1 2.6 3.2 0.6 3 2.4 1.1 2.4 1.5 3.2 2.9 0.3 9.2 1.5 0.9 1 2.5 4.1 1.8 1.9 3.4 0.8 5.7 2.4 2.7 1.3 1.8 2 3.4 0.8 1.5 4.5 1.4 1.4 6.4 2.2 1.8 3.7 1.8 3.3 0.9 2.5 6.8 1.3 2 5.1 6.6 2.4 3.4 2.7 2.1 3.6 1.6 1 10 4.6 2.3 3 1.3 0.6 5.8 15 2.6 4.4 0.6 3.8 4.5 2 5.5 1.1 6.2 3 1.4 0.5 12 2.9 5.9 0.4 3.4 6.1 3.8 5.7 2.4 0.8 25 1.8 2.8 3.3 4.3 3.7 3.3 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.4 6.6 0.6 0.5 4.7 2.3 11 1.1 1.5 4.3 4.9 3 2 2.2 33 2.5 1.6 0.6 4.7 2.6 4 3.6 4.7 0.4 3.4 3.1 1.7 2.7 5.1 1.9 6.6 1.1 3.2 2.6 5.3 7.5 3 5.2 1 1.5 3.7 2.3 6.8 2.5 4.1 2.8 2.2 5.1 0.8 1 1.7 14 2 0.2 2.1 20 22 4.7 1.1 13 3.4 14 8.4 5 15 13 4.9 5.7 10 19 2.4 7.5 4.1 3.9 5.4 1.2 5.1 5.8 2.8 0.4 12 8.7 2.9 4.9 5.6 3.2 1.4 2.7 3.1 10 5.3 3.3 3.2 3.3 1.9 5.8 9.6 3.8 1.7 2.5 6.8 0.7 0.7 13 1.8 2.5 9.1 36 9.6 2.9 1.6 8 5.8 4.6 8.5 8.5 1.1 1.1 8 3.4 12 17 2.4 22 0.6 6.3 0.6 8.5 7.8 10 6.2 13 5.6 4.1 3.2 5.6 11 11 2.8 10 6.5 14 4.3 13 9.2 12 6.9 15 7.4 11 3 8.1 17 2.2 3.9 4.9 7 13 3.1 12 2.9 6.6 7.4 8.3 3 8.5 10 8.6 30 0.7 5 1.1 0.3 16 0.8 1 0.8 8.1 2.2 2 20 12 7.9 3.3 6 2.1 3.6 4.9 1.8 1.1 11 11 7.5 9 2.9 2.5 2.7 15 8.6 3 4.6 8.1 2.2 5.5 5.5 6.4 7.7 5 8 3.8 3.8 3.8 2.7 5.8 16 5.7 3.9 4.3 5.4 2.3 1.8 3.5 14 0.9 2.7 3.6 6.3 2.6 5.2 4.7 5.8 3.1 2.8 5.6 4.4 6.7 2.3 2.1 3.1 5.7 1.5 19 0.8 5.8 8.7 2.3 4.8 11 6.5 7.4 0.6 2.9 0.7 2.2 4.4 3 0.9 3.2 5 5.5 5.1 4 8.5 5.3 21 6.7 14 0.7 6.2 5.4 5.9 4 3.2 3.2 9.9 6.8 3.2 4.9 6.6 9.5 8.9 4.5 3.7 1.5 10 1 1 0.8 1.7 5.7 6.3 4.1 2.5 3.3 13 12 13 8.7 5.6 1.7 3.1 3.2 1.3 11 3 3.7 5.4 3.1 4.7 13 7.2 4.8 9.8 5.3 3.6 2.9 30 5.1 3.3 2.4 5.9 1.5 3.1 4.7 5.2 24 5.1 2.4 4.6 4.1 0.8 12 27 2.3 2.6 4.8 4.1 3.2 5.4 1.1 5.4 4.4 2 10 3.4 0.4 6.6 2.7 0.8 2.5 1.8 2.1 2.7 2.6 4.1 10 1.7 0.9 8.8 9 0.9 University College London University of Oxford University of Cambridge Kings College London University of Manchester Imperial College London Science, Technology & Medicine University of Liverpool 1 6.7 2.9 1.7 5.9 4.2 1.4 4.3 10 3.4 3.3 2.3 1.3 2.4 2.9 3.1 1.5 2.3 3.4 2.4 4.9 9.7 5.4 2.3 1.6 University of Bristol University of Newcastle upon Tyne University of Birmingham 1 7.7 1.9 1 0.8 1.7 1.7 0.8 2.5 0.7 0.7 0.4 2.2 3.2 10 1 2 3.5 2.7 1.1 1 0.5 0.8 4.8 2.9 5 4.8 0.8 2.3 7.7 9.2 1.1 8 6.8 2.4 15 4 5.7 0.6 0.6 1.6 9.3 3.9 0.8 6.3 25 3.2 3.8 2.7 3.2 0.9 0.6 0.5 2.5 2.5 0.5 2.8 2.3 0.5 0.9 1 0.7 2.2 2.5 0.5 1.6 1.4 1.4 2.9 3.9 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.9 1.8 2 4.4 2.4 1.9 12 1.9 1.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.4 1.5 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.2 0.8 13 1.4 3.2 1.5 1.3 1 0.7 5.4 2.9 4.3 0.4 1.1 14 6.1 0.3 0.3 1.3 5.1 3 4.7 3.4 2 2.8 2 0.5 0.2 1.6 0.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 1.6 8.7 1.4 2.1 1.9 7 2.3 2 1.7 1.7 7.2 2.6 0.4 16 2 6.2 6.6 1.7 3.3 2.1 0.9 2.2 0.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.8 0.6 6.7 1.8 0.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 3 6 3.8 4.5 7.8 5.9 2.1 3 0.9 3.1 5.4 1.6 0.4 1.9 3.1 2.5 10 1.3 2.2 1.8 Guy's and St Thomas' Hospital NHS Trust Hammersmith Hospitals NHS Trust University of Nottingham London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine Oxford Radcliffe University of Leeds University of Sheffield St George's Healthcare NHS Trust Barts and the London NHS Trust Royal Free Hampstead NHS Trust University of Southampton 1.9 1 1 3.8 11 0.8 1.7 24 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 4.7 2.2 0.4 4.7 0.4 2.8 0.7 1.9 1.6 1.5 2.3 2.4 3.7 0.5 1.9 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 3.7 1.9 0.5 3.2 0.8 0.8 3.1 1.5 3.8 1.1 1.1 2.3 2.3 1.1 3.4 2.4 4.9 13 1.1 7.4 1.1 1.7 1.7 14 0.8 2.3 0.8 1.6 0.8 0.8 2.3 0.8 1.6 6.3 0.6 1.2 3.2 1.8 0.9 2.1 5.3 0.3 2.7 2.9 1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 2.3 0.3 2 0.5 7.5 1.8 0.3 1 0.4 0 0.8 0.4 2.8 0.3 0.7 9.7 0.4 2.3 3.1 0.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 1.8 0.3 0.3 3 6.1 2.2 0.4 1.3 0.2 0.4 0.9 0.3 1.7 0.3 1.2 3.8 0.9 1.3 1.4 0.2 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.7 1 0.2 14 1.6 0.6 1.1 3 1.8 1.2 0.5 0 0.6 0.4 4 0.5 0.7 16 0.2 1.3 2.6 0.3 0.8 0.4 17 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.5 0.4 5.4 1.5 2.3 2.5 1.7 0.1 0.1 1.6 0.1 1.5 0.3 1.2 2.9 1.5 2.2 0.7 0.4 0.7 14 0.7 0.4 2.5 0.4 0.7 1.4 12 0.8 2.4 0.3 2.7 0.3 0.3 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.4 0.6 0.8 2 2.6 6.7 0.2 1.2 1.8 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 2 0.2 0.5 14 0.2 7.3 2.4 15 9.8 2.4 1.3 1.2 1.6 1.9 0.4 0.4 2.1 1 0.7 1.3 1 1.3 2.5 0.3 1.4 0.3 0.3 4.9 1.1 1.1 3.7 1.4 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.4 2.1 1.1 0.7 1.3 4.8 1.2 0.5 0.8 0.1 3.6 2.9 6.6 1.2 1.3 3.2 1.3 0.5 3 2.5 4.2 0.3 1.6 7.7 1.8 0.7 3 1.3 0.6 0.6 3.7 1.8 0.6 3.7 11 1.8 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.4 16 2.3 0.4 1.1 1.6 1 2.6 2 3.1 3.7 1 1.8 2 0.1 1.8 0.7 0.6 2.2 0.8 1.3 1.3 0.4 1.5 1.5 4.7 0.8 0.2 1.4 0.4 2.3 0.3 0.9 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.1 1 33 5.8 0.8 0.8 1.7 0.8 0.8 4.7 9.4 5.5 1.6 1.7 1.1 2.9 0.6 1.1 0.6 2.9 0.6 2.3 1.7 1.1 1.6 2.4 1.1 1.7 0.8 2 2.1 1.7 2.1 2.5 2 1.7 3.4 2.1 0.4 2 0.7 0.7 1.1 0.4 1.7 1 2.1 4.9 1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.5 1.5 1.2 2 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.5 2.5 0.2 0.8 6.9 0.3 2.8 1.6 0.9 1.2 1.2 0.6 2.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.5 1.3 0.4 0 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.5 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 4.7 2.2 0.4 4.7 1.2 1.5 0.3 1.2 1.5 0.3 0.6 12 1 8 0.6 2.2 0.5 3 0.1 4 0.9 1.8 0.9 1.7 1.7 0.7 1.6 1.1 11 0.5 1.3 9.1 2.8 0.7 3 1.6 1 1.8 0.9 4 4.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.6 3.8 0.6 0.6 2.6 2.6 0.6 1.9 1.9 1.9 5.2 3.2 0.6 0.6 1.9 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.6 4.5 0.3 0.3 2.5 0.8 1.7 1.9 0.5 1.5 1.1 2.4 1.2 1.8 6.5 3.1 0.1 2.7 1.9 2.6 3.6 2.4 1.7 3.8 0.1 2.2 1.5 0.1 4.6 0.4 1.6 3.8 2.6 1.3 1 1.9 1.3 0.1 5.6 1.9 1 1.8 0.1 5.7 0.4 1.9 0.3 0.6 1 0.2 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.9 0.7 3.6 0.4 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.4 1.1 3.4 0.2 1.1 0.6 2.8 1.1 1.8 1.8 0.4 1.3 1.6 2.6 2.8 0.4 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.3 1.4 1.7 0.1 2 1.3 0.4 2.1 0.7 2.3 2.1 0.8 6.5 1.9 0.9 0.9 2.7 0.1 1.1 1.6 0.2 3.1 1.5 1.5 3.1 12 0.7 3 3.2 3.7 0.2 5.2 2.2 1 0.7 1.7 2.7 1.5 0.3 0.6 16 0.9 0.1 1.3 1 0.8 7.3 2 2.4 2 2.4 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.2 2.7 1.5 1 1.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 2.5 0.8 1.7 0.8 2.5 2 2 8.2 1.5 2.5 2.5 2.7 0.4 2.8 2.3 0.2 5 0.2 2 2.4 1.3 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.5 3.2 0.3 0.5 2.4 3 9.1 0.8 1.6 0.3 4.4 3.4 7.5 0.3 2.4 2 5.4 1.7 3.4 0.7 0.4 0.8 0.8 3.9 1.6 4.9 0.4 0.2 1.6 5.5 0.2 2.3 4.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.2 1 0.5 0.4 0.9 1.3 0.2 8.4 0.2 3.4 1.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.7 University College London Hospitals NHS Trust University of Leicester Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Trust University of York Cancer Research UK Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust Royal Brompton & Harefield Hospitals NHS Trust St Mary's NHS Trust Central Manchester and Manchester Childrens University Hospitals NHS Trust Institute for Cancer Research King's Consortium Addenbrookes Southampton University Hospitals NHS Trust Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust University of Exeter National Institute for Medical Research Central Public Health Lab University of London Queen Mary Royal Marsden NHS Trust South Manchester University Hospitals Trust University of Surrey University of Sussex North Bristol Nhs Trust University Hospital Birmingham NHS Trust Christie Hospital NHS Trust Great Ormond Street Hospital NHS Trust University of Kent University of Bath 2.3 South London and Maudsley NHS Trust 1.9 4.8 1.7 1.7 3.4 3.4 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.9 5.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.6 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.3 0.8 0.8 2.3 2.3 4.9 0.6 Brunel University 1.1 University of Keele Royal Liverpool & Broadgreen University Hospitals NHS Trust Nottingham City Hospitals NHS Trust University of Warwick Salford Royal Hospitals NHS Trust Oxford Brookes University University of East Anglia University of Hull University of Bradford University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 2.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 1.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.6 0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.4 1.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.6 4 University of Plymouth Sandwell & West Birmingham Hospital NHS Trust University of Durham Plymouth Hospitals Nhs Trust 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 2.3 2.4 0.6 0.5 United Bristol Healthcare Nhs 0.8 0.6 North West London Hospitals NHS Trust 1.3 Birmingham Heartlands & Solihull NHS Trust West Hertfordshire Hospitals NHS Trust University of London School of Pharmacy Walton Centre for Neurology & Neurosurgery NHS Trust University of Salford Manchester Birmingham Children's Hospital NHS Trust Papworth Sheffield Childrens Hospital NHS Trust Birckbeck College London 1 0.8 0.7 2.3 0.7 0.1 0 2.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.2 0 0.1 0.1 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.3 1.2 1.8 0.8 0.3 0 0 0 0.1 1.8 0.3 0.4 0.1 3 2.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.7 0.4 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0 0 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.7 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.1 1.8 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 4.9 0 0.4 0 Oxford Mental Health 1 0.7 0.3 0.6 Chelsea & Westminster Healthcare NHS Trust 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.4 0.3 0.1 Royal Liverpool Children's NHS Trust Royal Berkshire & Battle NHS Trust 1 3.8 0.7 0.2 1.1 0.1 North Staffordshire Hospitals Consortium NHS Trust West Middlesex University Hospital NHS Trust Hampshire Partnership NHS Trust University of London Institute for Education Mayday Healthcare NHS Trust Birmingham and Solihull Mental Health Trust Whittington Hospital NHS Trust Cardiothoracic Centre Liverpool NHS Trust Lewisham Hospital NHS Trust South West London & St George's Mental Health NHS Trust East London & the City mental Health NHS Trust 1 0.1 Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Trust * GERONTOLOGY * HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES * NURSING * PSYCHIATRY * PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH * REHABILITATION * SOCIAL WORK * SUBSTANCE ABUSE ALLERGY ANATOMY & MORPHOLOGY ANDROLOGY ANESTHESIOLOGY BIOCHEMICAL RESEARCH METHODS BIOCHEMISTRY & MOLECULAR BIOLOGY BIOPHYSICS BIOTECHNOLOGY & APPLIED MICROBIOLOGY CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS CELL BIOLOGY CHEMISTRY, MEDICINAL CLINICAL NEUROLOGY CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE DENTISTRY, ORAL SURGERY & MEDICINE DERMATOLOGY DEVELOPMENTAL BIOLOGY EMERGENCY MEDICINE ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM ENGINEERING, BIOMEDICAL FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY GENETICS & HEREDITY GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES HEMATOLOGY IMMUNOLOGY INFECTIOUS DISEASES INTEGRATIVE & COMPLEMENTARY MEDICINE MATERIALS SCIENCE, BIOMATERIALS MEDICAL INFORMATICS MEDICAL LABORATORY TECHNOLOGY MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL MICROBIOLOGY MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES NEUROIMAGING NEUROSCIENCES NURSING NUTRITION & DIETETICS OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY ONCOLOGY OPHTHALMOLOGY ORTHOPEDICS OTORHINOLARYNGOLOGY PARASITOLOGY PATHOLOGY PEDIATRICS PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY PHYSIOLOGY PSYCHIATRY PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH RADIOLOGY, NUCLEAR MEDICINE & MEDICAL IMAGING REHABILITATION REPRODUCTIVE BIOLOGY RESPIRATORY SYSTEM RHEUMATOLOGY SPORT SCIENCES SUBSTANCE ABUSE SURGERY TOXICOLOGY TRANSPLANTATION TROPICAL MEDICINE UROLOGY & NEPHROLOGY VETERINARY SCIENCES VIROLOGY Homerton Hospital NHS Trust Epsom & St Helier NHS Trust e graphic shows the number of highly cited publications for each institution (columns) in each research field (rows). Increasing numbers of publications in the top 20% of publications worldwide are shown by darker shading from white to red. Royal United Hospitals Bath NHS Trust MAPPING THE CENTRES OF EXCELLENCE Queens Medical Centre, University Hospital Nottingham NHS Trust The Department of Health’s new National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) is investing some £500 million over five years to fund eleven new Biomedical Research Centres. e intention is for these to be internationally competitive centres of excellence, conducting leading-edge research into new technologies and techniques for improving health. NIHR asked RAND Europe to help it create a shortlist of NHS institutions which should be invited to apply for Centre status. e candidate institutions needed to be generating a substantial volume of high-quality research output; demonstrating world-class expertise in University of Reading the fields of health and biomedical research; and have a strong track record of research collaboration. We identified the top 20% of publications in each of 74 research fields by counting citation numbers. We then looked to see how many of these publications came from each institution. Institutions with an average of 30 or more papers per year were highlighted as candidates for Centre status. We also measured levels of co-publication, as an indicator of collaboration. The project provided NIHR’s selection panel with information on top performing collaborative institutions. It was a critical input to NIHR’s funding allocation decisions. 13 4.2 0.4 12 16 6.9 1.1 12 2.3 19 9.1 6.8 12 9 9.6 7.7 12 12 31 2.5 9.6 4.2 14 6 8 3.4 9.5 1.1 9.3 16 8.6 4.9 14 8.8 10 3.2 15 6.7 9.8 6.7 13 8.4 4.1 14 9.7 12 11 2.6 14 53 30 0.4 11 9.3 6.2 27 7.1 11 1.7 12 18 13 9.2 19 14 10 18 3.1 6.4 3.8 10 4.1 10 5.2 11 1.6 3.5 6.5 7.1 18 0.8 5.1 11 6.5 1.2 15 12 6.3 4.6 9.3 14 8.3 16 12 14 1.8 5.6 4.9 6 8.8 21 1.3 12 9.9 2.8 6.3 4.6 15 9.7 10 3.9 6.2 5.9 3.1 3.4 9.1 13 Images: Opposite Joanna Anthony, Tom Crawley EMERGING AREAS Jennifer Rubin, Head of Emerging Areas jkrubin@rand.org Jennifer specialises in crosscutting research in the social sciences, in areas such as crime and violence, immigration, participation and community. She has a PhD in Social and Political Sciences from the University of Cambridge, and a first-class BA in European Politics. Jennifer’s previous work includes lecturing and research in psychology, sociology and politics. 14 Emerging Areas is a new RAND Europe team with a remit to identify and research policy challenges on the horizon, develop cutting-edge analysis and perspectives on these, and incubate new teams from emergent clusters of research activity. We apply a multidisciplinary approach, often working at the intersection of different areas. Information Policy & Economics is our first spin-off team (see case study, right). Some highlights of our year include: Crime & violence. Antisocial behaviour (ASB) is a topic of growing public concern. Vandalism alone is estimated to cost £1.3 billion a year in the UK. The National Audit Office asked us to review the costs and benefits of known ASB interventions to help in assessing possible initiatives. e work has led to further projects on violent crime and community sentencing. Democracy and community. e Carnegie UK Trust is leading a major initiative to understand the distribution of power and influence in the UK and Ireland. We helped Carnegie to define the scope and methodology for this work and we are conducting one of the first case studies. Immigration & demography. The European Union has 20 of the 25 lowest-fertility countries in the world. Drawing on our earlier work in this area, we have assessed the possible value of Assisted Reproductive Technology as part of a population policy mix. On immigration, “e Carnegie UK Trust is delighted to collaborate with RAND Europe. ey share our values as a learning organisation, and we benefit greatly from their extensive research experience.” Raji Hunjan, e Carnegie UK Trust we have conducted a recent project on the role of migrant women in the labour force for the European Commission. Education. From September 2008 UK schools will be able to allocate places by lottery, to promote equal access to educational opportunities. We have reviewed the international use of such lotteries for the Sutton Trust. We have also conducted research for the NAO on student retention in higher education, and on potential barriers and facilitators to the implementation of forthcoming curriculum changes for 14–19 year olds. Arts & Culture. We are analysing the impact of a community-based arts intervention taking place across the Cambridgeshire region. We have also created a database of over 750 research projects commissioned by the English Museums, Libraries and Archives Council (MLA). In addition, we conducted an innovative qualitative review of a selection of these research projects to inform the MLA’s partnership strategy. DOES EUROPE WANT RADIO CONTROL? Changing information and communication technologies (ICT) are creating new opportunities and challenges for policy makers, NGOs, businesses and citizens. Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) allows a wide range of information to be stored on tags, such as tracking devices and identity cards. It has potential benefits for governments and business, for example, in inventory control, logistics support, and combating counterfeiting, smuggling and theft. However, RFID also raises privacy issues – tags allow individual users to be identified, while readers and transmitters can operate over increasing distances. With tag numbers forecast to multiply 450 times by 2016, the European Commission is consulting widely on RFID policy options. RAND Europe organised a series of workshops with experts and stakeholders to understand the implications of greater use. We identified several areas where RFID could be beneficial, e.g. combating document forgery, speeding up public sector processes and allowing greater integration across different transport systems. In healthcare, RFID could improve patient safety, offering the potential to monitor patients throughout their care, track blood, improve workflows and reduce medication errors. However, privacy law and guidelines will need review to ensure they are flexible enough to accommodate new applications while providing adequate or sufficient protection for individuals. STAKEHOLDER VIEWS ON RFID International organisation 60% Telecommunications 50% RFID industry 40% Academic 30% Interested citizens 20% 10% International organisation Telecommunications RFID industry Academic l e ow kn ya gr n’t Do gl on Interested citizens ee re ra Ne ut Ag Di sa gr ee Str on gl yd isa gr ee 0% Str An online public consultation of 2,190 citizens and stakeholders asked whether ‘e application of RFID offers great potential for improving the life of European citizens’. We found citizens are more sceptical about the potential of RFID than industrial, academic and international organisation respondents. Source: European Commission, in cooperation with RAND Europe 15 Image: Opposite Joanna Anthony THE RAND STORY Approximately 1,600 people work for RAND around the world. is provides great depth of expertise. For 60 years, decision makers in the public and private sectors have turned to the RAND Corporation for objective analysis and effective solutions. e challenges include such critical social and economic issues as education, poverty, crime, and the environment, as well as a range of defence and national security issues. RAND has established a reputation for leading-edge thinking and intellectual rigour – we are proud of our Nobel Prize winners. The Nobel Prize and RAND irty-one Nobel Laureates have been affiliated with RAND as employees or consultants. Two were awarded prizes in 2007. Robert Lempert, RAND Senior Physical Scientist, and Claudia Tebaldi, now a RAND Senior Statistician, were contributors to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. is panel was awarded the Nobel Prize for Peace along with former Vice President Al Gore in October. HERE ARE SOME HIGHLIGHTS OF RAND’S 60 YEARS 2005: Building a Successful Palestinian State studies the issues surrounding the establishment of an independent state 2003: Individual Preparedness and Response to Chemical, Radiological, Nuclear, and Biological Terrorist Attacks provides a strategy for how individuals can protect themselves in terrorist attacks 1994: Universal Access to Email looks at how to close the gap between information ‘haves’ and ‘have nots’ 1986: Evaluating the Quality of US Medical Care: RAND’s medical outcomes study continues research going back to the early 1970s involving one of the largest controlled social experiments ever conducted 1975: Controlling the Oosterschelde Storm-Surge Barrier is a joint effort between RAND and the Dutch government, leading to the creation of the world's largest permeable dam 1964: On Distributed Communications conceives digital packet switching and the Internet data communications technology 1954: Selection and Use of Strategic Air Bases shifts the US from a first-strike to a second-strike posture 1949: RAND builds the JOHNNIAC, one of the first digital computers. In 1954, JOHNNIAC became the first operational computer with core memory 1948: Project RAND separates from the Douglas Aircraft Company, and becomes an independent, not-for-profit organisation – adopting its name from a contraction of the term ‘research and development’ 1948 16 1960 1970 1980 1990 2007 RAND EUROPE In 1992 RAND Europe opened its doors to pursue RAND’s mission on a global scale. As the European Union grows, and European countries face new challenges, RAND Europe has grown and evolved to meet new needs, with the Emerging Areas team, and our new Information Policy & Economics team. We continue to provide local, national and pan-European decision makers with our trademark products: objective, high-quality research and analysis. Looking to the future, our vision is to double in size over the next five years and to further diversify our work and client base. We will continue to collaborate with our colleagues in other offices to bring the best of RAND to our European clients. As an independent, not-for-profit research provider, we aspire to be Europe’s most trusted think tank. RAND EUROPE BUILDS ON THE TRADITION 2007: RAND Europe’s Brussels-based activity grows with the creation of a new research team 2006: UK Department of Health designates RAND Europe as a Health R&D Policy Research Unit 2004: RAND Europe undertakes a novel evaluation of the UK’s Arthritis Research Campaign to inform funding decisions by comparing the value-for-money of different types of grants, and identifying success factors 2004: Low Fertility and Population Ageing: A ground-breaking study provides the foundation for a growing body of RAND Europe work 2002: RAND Europe’s working relationship with the UK’s National Audit Office is strengthened by the establishment of a strategic partnership, renewed in 2005 2001-2005: UK Ministry of Defence commissions a series of studies to examine key aspects of the UK's future naval shipbuilding programme 1999: RAND Europe’s pioneering work widens discrete choice analysis from traditional transport issues to broader applications 1992: RAND Europe is established 1992 1997 2002 2007 17 MORE INFORMATION BOARD OF TRUSTEES SELECTED PUBLICATIONS James A. omson (Chairman) President and CEO RAND Corporation, United States Publicly available RAND Europe reports can be accessed at http://www.rand.org/randeurope/ publications/ Sir John Boyd Retired Master, Churchill College University of Cambridge, United Kingdom Professor Sir Lawrence Freedman Professor of War Studies and Vice Principal (Research) King’s College London, United Kingdom Jonathan Grant President RAND Europe, United Kingdom ISO certification ISO is a network of national standards institutes. RAND Europe was awarded ISO9001 certification in 2007, in response to client expectations that professional service providers can demonstrate robust and high-quality business processes. 18 Philip Lader Chairman, e WPP Group Former US Ambassador to the Court of St James Trustee, RAND Corporation, United States Lord Renwick of Clifton Vice Chairman, Investment Banking JPMorgan Europe, United Kingdom e Right Honourable Michael Portillo Broadcaster and political commentator Former Member of Parliament and Secretary of State for Defence, United Kingdom (from January 2008) Accounting for the future: International examples Addressing the uncertain future of preserving the past: Towards a robust strategy for digital archiving and preservation An evaluation framework for “Foundations for Living”: Supporting disabled people to live independently in the community Assessing indirect impacts of the EC proposals for video regulation Benchmarking of the use of personal advisers in Jobcentre Plus Bibliometric analysis of highly cited publications of health research in England, 1995–2004 Creating the evidence base for the MLA Partnership Developing transport demand models: Stateof-practice tools to enable detailed assessment of transport policy Evaluating progress in tackling benefit fraud Evaluating the uptake of the Healthy Life Years Indicator – final report German introduction of Single Farm Payments Interim evaluation of the Public Health Programme 2003–2008: Final report Intermediate evaluation of DirectorateGeneral Health and Consumer Protection non-food scientific committees Interventions to reduce anti-social behaviour and crime: A review of effectiveness and costs Isles of Scilly: Travel demand study Motivations and attitudes of new recruits regarding remuneration issues: Focus group investigation and analysis Policy and practice impacts of research funded by the Economic and Social Research Council: A case study of the Future of Work programme, approach and analysis Prescribing in primary care: Understanding what shapes GPs’ prescribing choices and how might these be improved Remuneration and its motivation of service personnel: Focus group investigation and analysis Responsibility in the global information society: Towards multi-stakeholder governance Securing host nation success at London 2012: Measuring success and building for the future Security challenges to the use and deployment of disruptive technologies Student retention in higher education courses: International comparison e EU Platform on Diet, Physical Activity and Health Second Monitoring Progress Report e PRISM model: Evidence on model hierarchy and parameter values Understanding patients’ choices at the point of referral Westbrook Centre Milton Road Cambridge CB4 1YG United Kingdom Tel.: +44 1223 353 329 Fax: +44 1223 358 845 Email: reinfo@rand.org Web: www.rand.org/randeurope 19 OUR CLIENTS OUR 2007 CLIENTS AND COLLABORATORS ACADEMIC Brunel University Danmarks TransportForskning Imperial College King’s College London Leiden University (CWTS) Potsdam University PUBLIC SECTOR UK British Library Buckinghamshire County Council Cambridgeshire County Council Department for Transport Department of Health Economic and Social Research Council Highways Agency Leicestershire County Council Medical Research Council Ministry of Defence National Museum Directors’ Conference Office of Gas and Electricity Markets (Ofgem) Olympic Development Authority Postwatch Transport for London West Midlands Local Government (Consortium) Audit bodies Cour des Comptes National Audit Office European Commission Directorate-General for Information Society and Media Directorate-General for Employment Directorate-General for Energy 20 and Transport Directorate-General for Health and Consumer Affairs Directorate-General for Justice, Freedom and Security Other Centraal Plan Bureau CVZ Dienst Infrastructuur Verkeer & Vervoer Forfás Koninklijke Bibliotheek Ministerie van Binnenlandse Zaken Ministerie van Defensie Ministère de l’Ecologie, du Développement et de l’Aménagement durables Ministerie van Economische Zaken Ministerie van Verkeer & Waterstaat Ministerie van VROM Régie Autonome des Transports Parisiens (RATP) Syndicat des Transports d’Ile-deFrance (STIF) World Bank ZonMw FOUNDATIONS AND NOT-FORPROFIT ORGANISATIONS Academy of Medical Sciences Arthritis Research Campaign Association of Medical Research Charities Bertelsmann Stiftung Carnegie UK Trust Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung King’s Fund Office of Health Economics Papworth Trust Real Instituto Elcano Reumafonds e Health Foundation e Sutton Trust Tommy’s the Baby Charity e Wellcome Trust PRIVATE SECTOR ABP Accent Amazon Ask.com Atkins British Telecom Centra Technology Deloitte & Touche LLP eBay Ferring Pharmaceuticals GHK Consulting Google Halcrow Microsoft Mid Kent Water Mott MacDonald Northumbrian Water NTP Organon Royal Mail Scottish Water Severn Trent Water Significance Stratec Tetraplan AS WIK-Consult WSP Group Yahoo CP-531 (2007) Spotlight team Lynne Saylor, Head of Communications, RAND Europe Business Literacy Ltd, Riverside, Cambridge