Dial ‘Mobile’ for Monitoring: Using Technology to Increase Sisir Debnath

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Dial ‘Mobile’ for Monitoring: Using Technology to Increase
Transparency in Public Service Delivery ∗
Sisir Debnath†
Sheetal Sekhri ‡
July 18, 2015
This is a preliminary draft.
Abstract
This paper studies the role of technology in improving transparency and accountability
in public service delivery. Using the roll-out of a technology enabled monitoring mechanism (the Interactive Voice Response System or the IVRS) in the Mid Day meal provision
in Bihar, we find that a simple mechanism that aids in cross tallying the information provided by the middle tier of the delivery chain in welfare programs can reduce leakages
and increase the efficacy of the programs. Using independently collected data by an NGO
Pratham, we find that the technology enabled policy change increases the likelihood of
meal provision in a school in Bihar by 21 percentage points, and the likelihood of meal
being cooked on the day of surprise visit to school by 15 percentage points. These results are robust to a number of specifications which include matching based difference-indifference specifications, and control district specific trends. The increase in the take-up
of the program by beneficiaries is also accompanied by an improvement in the quality and
sufficiency of meals. Using central government commissioned audits data, we find an increase of 47 percentage points in fraction schools serving good quality of meals in Bihar
schools post IVRS and an increase of 48 percentage points in fraction of schools serving
sufficient quantity meals. In contrast, using state official records, we find that number of
children availing MDM per school reduces post IVRS and percentage of schools providing meals is trending down. Surprisingly, the amount of rice consumed and cooking costs
per school within district increase. Our results provide evidence that the IVRS resulted in
reduction in leakage in the delivery system.
Key Words: Welfare programs, Mid-Day meals, ICT, Leakages
JEL Codes: D73, I38, O31, H53, H51
∗ We
would like to thank Mr R. Lakshmanan (former director of MDM Bihar) for generously giving us time to
discuss the operational details of the IVRS program. We are also grateful to the directorate of Mid Day Meals in
Bihar for sharing the IVRS data and answering our numerous queries and the staff of e-Horizon Private Limited
for technical help with the extraction of the data. Funding by International Growth centre (grant number 1-VCGVINC-V2106-35139 ) is greatly appreciated. Anup Tiwari provided excellent research support.
† Indian
School of Business, Email:sisir debnath@isb.edu
‡ University
of Virginia, Email: ssekhri@virginia.edu
1
1
Introduction
Social welfare programs in developing countries are infamous for poor administration and
“leakages” from the distribution networks. Large swathes of benefits do not reach the intended
beneficiaries (World Bank, 2003). In many countries, institutional capacity to implement safety
net programs successfully is diminutive to the point of being deemed “failing” (Pritchett, 2009).
Development outcomes tied to the public institutions that deliver them are undermined as a result of this failing. Yet, there is little empirical evidence uncovering what can improve the
efficacy of public service delivery and importantly, reduce leakages in the delivery system.
Finding low cost ways in which social program implementation can be improved remains
an important constraint in improving development outcomes. Devolving the power of the government machinery by contracting delivery to private vendors (Galiani et al., 2005), involving
NGOs in distribution (Bloom at el, 2006), encouraging community participation in monitoring (Björkman and Svensson, 2009) and incentivizing public delivery agents (Debnath, 2014)
have been demonstrated as effective strategies in certain contexts. But these approaches are not
policy-driven mechanisms that strengthen the public institutions so delivery can be improved
across a broad range of services. In this study, we focus on a state driven technology enabled
reform and show that information and communication technologies (ICT)can be harnessed to
improve transparency and accountability in public delivery systems. We demonstrate that technology enabled improvements in delivery system enhance the efficacy of the system leading to
significant increase in the delivery to the beneficiaries.
Our paper uses the statewide roll-out of Interactive Voice Response System (IVRS) introduced by the state of Bihar in India to improve the functioning of the Mid Day Meal Program
to establish that ICT technologies can improve service delivery in developing countries. Even
though India is one of the top three global producers for wheat, rice, and pulses, the incidence
of malnutrition among children in India is very high. By one estimate, India accounted for 40
percent of malnourished children in the world (von Braun, Ruel, and Gulati, 2008). In order
to combat mal-nutrition, the Indian government launched the National Program of Nutritional
Support to Primary Education (popularly known as the Mid-day Meal or MDM Scheme) in
1995. The scheme entitles each enrolled child to a meal on the school premises each school
day. The program currently benefits 120 million primary school children across the country making it one of the largest school feeding programs in the world (Ministry of Human
Resource Development, India). However, this program is fraught with corruption and inefficiencies.1 Improving the effectiveness of this program can potentially induce better nutritional
and educational outcomes for children.2 A key challenge faced by the top tier administration
is that they have to rely on the take-up estimates provided by the middle level delivery machin1 See for example http://www.dnaindia.com/india/1866691/comment-lack-of-monitoring-corruption-plaguemid-day-meal-scheme
2 Figlio and Winicki (2005) show that improving accountability in US schools leads to better nutritional outcomes. But this study does not address how best to improve accountability.
2
ery to determine the future allocations and performance of the program. This leaves room for
rigging the statistics, siphoning off from the system, and inaction or shirking by the middle tier
monitors of the system. As a result, a first order policy goal is to ascertain how to improve
information flow from the grass root level to the top tier. To this end, in 2012 the state of
Bihar side lined take-up information provision by middle tier of the delivery machinery and
introduced a fully automated platform that calls the school teachers in every school every day
to record whether the meal was provided by the school.
There are two ways in which this system can curtail leakages and improve the efficacy
of the delivery system. First, the IVRS provides a way to cross tally information provided
by the middle tier of the distribution system. Second, since beneficiary take-up information
is available at much disaggregated level under the new system, it is possible to identify the
schools that are not providing meals consistently. The middle tier bureaucrats are then held
accountable for the performance of the school there by inducing them to increase their effort to
implement the MDM effectively.
We use state government reports for MDM and independent assessments of MDM by central government and an independent NGO that monitors schooling outcomes in India every year
to analyze the impact of this policy reform. We utilize the introduction of the program in 2012
in Bihar and compare the outcomes in districts of Bihar to comparable districts in its neighboring states before and after the introduction of the program. We find evidence of malfeasance
in reporting. As per the government data, before the program the number of children availing
the MDM per school was trending upwards in Bihar and the increase was statistically significant. However, after the program there was a substantial significant decline. This event study
evidence is mirrored in our Difference-in-Difference estimates using district and time fixed effects, where we find a decline in the number of children availing MDMs per school post IVRS
in Bihar. Analogously, the percent of schools providing MDM also declined. In Bihar, we find
over reporting of the number of schools prior to the program.
In independent assessment of the program where we employ Annual Status of Education
Report (ASER) data collected by Pratham, a national NGO of repute, we find significant improvement in delivery. ASER team visits 30–40 schools in a district randomly every year and
assesses a number of schooling outcomes. Using this data, we find improvements in the percentage of schools providing MDM, the likelihood of whether MDM was cooked on the day of
surprise visit, and the likelihood of evidence that MDM was observed in schools in Bihar over
time. Our DID estimates echo these event study results and show that the percentage of schools
providing MDM increased by 21 percentage points, the likelihood that MDM was cooked by
15 percentage points and the likelihood that evidence of MDM being cooked was observed by
22 percentage points all significant at conventional levels of significance. These results are robust to a number of alternate specifications including controls for school characteristics, district
specific trends, and a generalized DID where we match districts based on observables before
implementing the DID estimates.
3
Although government estimates show a decline in number of children availing meals per
school, surprisingly, amount of rice consumed and cooking cost which includes cost of other
materials added to meals increased. The delivery system that delivers MDM is also responsible
for providing Vitamin A and deworming tablets in schools and periodically conducting health
check-ups in schools. Although these services were not targeted by IVRS, we find evidence
that provision of these services also improved after the IVRS introduction in Bihar over time.
In addition, in our DID specifications, we find large and economically significant effects on
these outcomes.3
Finally, we examine the effects on quality of meals using independent assessment conducted
by the central government who routinely audits the schools for quality. We find that quality of
good meals went up dramatically and the quality of bad meals dropped commensurately. Also,
provision of sufficient quantity of meals went up and insufficient quantity meals declined in our
DID specifications.
Using school level administrative data and IVRS data, we find that the improvements accrue due to changes in the middle tier machinery’s operations. Using school and year fixed
effects, we compare changes in MDM provision by school before and after the policy change
in Bihar employing (i) annual school administrative data alone for pre- and post- policy change
periods, and (ii) using administrative data for pre-period and IVRS for post period. Since, head
masters reporting in these specifications is no different in the post policy period, we interpret
this as evidence that head masters do not change behavior post IVRS. We also geo-referenced
the administrative data of approximately 70,000 schools in Bihar and examined if the improvements in Bihar accrued in schools closer to the district head quarters and do not find evidence
of such heterogeneity. This further casts doubt on changes in head masters behavior.
Our paper extends two strands of literature. The first strand has focussed on establishing
low cost monitoring or other mechanisms to improve the provision of public service delivery. Technology based monitoring by beneficiaries coupled with non-linear incentives has been
demonstrated in inducing agents to exert effort (Duflo et al., 2012), but this mechanism may not
work so well where agents can also be co-opted to steal from the system. Encouraging communities to hold service providers more accountable may improve accountability in public service
provision (Björkman and Svensson, 2009). Informal networks may facilitate monitoring and
enforcement (Nagavarapu and Sekhri, 2015). But when large swathes of data and information
are required to facilitate such empowerment, ICT technologies can reduce costs and be useful.
More importantly, we show that ICT technologies can also reduce the level of bureaucratic
involvement in information flows within the systems, and thus reduce possibilities of malfeasance and shirking. Another salient contribution of our paper is to isolate a technology based
policy change that can increase state capacity in delivering services. Using an experiment,
Muralidharan et al (2014) show that payment infrastructures can be improved using biometric
3 In
contrast, when health services were contacted out to NGOs in Cambodia, only those outcomes improved
which were targeted (Bloom et al, 2006).
4
payment cards. Complementing this new evidence, our paper shows that technology can be
used to design simple mechanisms that can increase state capacity to monitor agents in welfare
delivery programs so that agency problems can be curtailed.
Our paper also extends the burgeoning literature examining the effects of ICT enabled platforms on development outcomes. ICT enabled technologies have been demonstrated to improve
producer surplus and reduce price dispersion in markets in India (Jensen, 2007; Goyal, 2010).
Mobile phones have been demonstrated to increase access to credit, financial services like banking, information, and have served as reminders in health care provision.4 However, role of ICT
technologies in improving transparency and public service delivery is not well established. Our
study addresses this gap.
Rest of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 provides a background highlighting
the features of the MDM program and the IVRS reform in Bihar. Section 3 discusses our data
sources. In section 4, we provide a discussion of our estimation strategy. Section 6 discusses
the results, and Section 7 concludes.
2
Background
2.1
MDM Program and Subsidies
The National Program of Nutritional Support to Primary Education, commonly known as the
Mid-Day Meal Program, was launched in India in 1995. The program entitled each school
going child with a free meal each school day. Initially the program was introduced in 2,408
blocks but was extended nationwide in 1997, to cover all primary-school (grade 1 through 5)
going children in government and local body public schools. The original program provided
100 grams of take home food grains per child per day including summer breaks. In September
of 2004, the program transitioned from raw grains to cooked meals, that provided a minimum
of 300 calories and 8-12 grams of protein per child. In 2006 the provisions under the program
were changed again requiring 450 calories and 12 grams of protein per child per day with
special stipulations to provide iron, folic acid, and other essential micronutrient. The 2006
revision also entailed subsidies to states for cooking and preparation costs. 5 The coverage of
the program now includes upper primary classes in Government and Government aided schools.
The meals are supposed to provide 700 calories and 20 grams of protein for children in upper
primary grades.
Under the program the central government provides free grains, while state governments
are responsible for financing cooking costs. States that were unable to finance the costs were
4 Aker
and Mbiti (2010) provide an excellent overview.
subsidies consisted of 1.80 rupees per child per school day for States in the North Eastern Region,
conditional on the state governments contributing 0.20 rupees per child per school day, and 1.50 rupees per child
per school day for all other states, conditional on these other state governments contributing 0.50 rupees per school
day.
5 These
5
initially allowed to distribute raw grain conditional on attendance. However, a Supreme Court
judgement in 2001 mandated that all public schools must provide cooked meals within six
months. In order to comply with this, the state provides subsidies to the schools in forms of
financial grants. These financial grants, given to schools to provide meals, can be broadly
classified as recurring and non-recurring grants. Recurring grants include cooking costs and
salaries for the cooks and helpers. While non-recurring grants include infrastructure costs such
as kitchen devices and kitchen sheds. These grants vary by school and are based on school
level consumption. Schools estimate and report their annual requirement based on the number
of students consuming meals and the number of working days. These data are aggregated at the
block, district, and state levels. Based on these aggregated reports, state governments prepare
an Annual Work Plan and Budget (AWP&B) and submit them to the Project Approval Board
(PAB) of the Ministry of Human Resource Development (MHRD) for review and approval.
Actual allocations and release of funds are based on the PAB approvals.
2.2
Monitoring and Allocation Disbursal
This program is extensively monitored by states and the central government authorities. Some
of the monitoring mechanisms for the implementation of the program are uniform across the
states. For example the Government of India (GOI) has empaneled several Monitoring Institutes that are responsible to assess the progress and quality of the midday meal program at the
district level. These institutes are required to cover 5 percent of total schools that serve midday
meals in a period of two years. States submit their Quarterly Progress Reports (QPR) to the
GOI that is used to assess performance. States may also have their own monitoring systems. 6
Under the system of manual monitoring, which was prevalent in India in 2012, schools
submitted monthly reports to the Block Resource Person (BRP), a government functionary
responsible for assisting the implementation of the mid day meal (MDM) at the block level.
These reports measure the performance of the MDM provision and report the number of beneficiaries, details of meals served, and the status of funds and food grains supplied. Monthly
requisitions for funds were collected by the BRPs from schools and were submitted to district
offices. Based on school specific requirements, cheques were prepared manually. This entire
process involved to 15-20 man days. School head masters deposited the cheques in bank accounts after receiving them from the BRPs. The process of requisitioning funds and crediting
it to the schools account, took somewhere between 2 to 3 months.
The monthly progress reports were not available and quarterly progress reports were compiled with a delay. Capability to take preemptive actions was also limited as monthly reports
allowed only post facto analysis and could not adequately predict upcoming supply chain bottlenecks. BRPs were also required to inspect certain number of schools randomly each month
6 For
example the state of Orissa has opened a control room and installed toll free telephones for students
as a measure for grievance redressal. To promote compliance, all schools are also required to publicly display
information on the meals and to expect periodic visits by State Government officials.
6
in order to audit the school records. However, there was no overall system for tracking number
of inspections, inspections with adverse remarks that required additional action, and the status
of any follow-up actions.
Under manual reporting, late submission of reports by schools was typically the norm.
These delays in turn led to shortage of funds and foodgrain. There was also a significant scope
for siphoning both funds and food grains from this system. Data provided by the intermediary
officials on the number of requisitions submitted and processed, student attendance, number
of beneficiaries, number of meals served, and infrastructure provided (such as kitchen devices)
were routinely inflated and reported inaccurately as there were no means to authenticate the
data.
2.3
IVRS Reform
The state government used the IVRS system in several ways to improve the provision of MDM
in the state. First they hired district coordinators to monitor the implementation of the MDM
program using the IVRS data. They are are hired on a contract basis and given an unique
username and password. Coordinators periodically visit schools
Bihar streamlined the requisitions and allocations by making use of an Management Information System (MIS) for the requisition and transfer of funds and food grains. The middle tier
machinery of the system was still the main conduit of beneficiary take-up data to the top tier
adminstration. Thus to better assess and monitor school level provision of meals on real time
basis, Bihar MDM authority implemented Dopahar, an Interactive Voice Response System
(IVRS) that collected real time data directly from the head masters.
Prior to this system, monitoring authorities had to rely on complaints by the public and audit
inspections by BRPs to asses MDM performance. Although, audit inspections are supposed
to cover roughly 8-9 percent of all schools, these are not conducted frequently as BRPs are
severely time constrained owing to the large number of other duties. Also, it was easy to
siphon off from the distribution system. As a result, figures of expenditure, beneficiaries served,
number of days the school was open, and other performance indicators were not very accurate
or reliable and often were inflated.
IVRS was a simple technology enabled mechanism that would allow to cross tally the reports of the BRPs. Under the IVRS, each school had to register 5 points of contact (cellular
numbers) including one head master, 2 teachers, and 2 para-teachers. The IVRS calls any
one of the five teachers in each school at random and collects data on the numbers of meals
served in each school every day. If no meals were served the teacher is supposed to press 0 and
provide reason for the same. All the responses are categorical and pre-coded for the ease of
data collection through mobile phones. In 2012, there were about 70,000 schools in Bihar that
were supposed to serve meals to students. Table A.1 shows the cell phone penetration of the
head masters collected from the ‘Dopahar’ records. Over 99 percent of the head masters had
7
a mobile phone and were contacted every day. After completing the calls to all of the schools,
the IVRS system summarizes the data and generates reports at the district, block, village, and
school level on attributes such as number of attendees, meals served, adherence to menu etc.
The district level reports are e-mailed and sent to the District Magistrate as an SMS, while the
block level reports are sent to the Block Education Officer (BEO).
The mid-day meal department hires District Coordinators (DC) on a contract basis to monitor the implementation of the MDM program. They are given a unique username and password
to log into the Dopahar website and monitor the implementation of the program. The system
counts the number of times these coordinators log into the system during a particular period.
These coordinators visit schools and check the veracity of the data.
Later several add on features were added to the IVRS to increase the efficiency of data
collection.7 Since IVRS collected data from all schools it was possible to identify the schools
that are not providing meals consistently. The middle tier bureaucrats could be held accountable
for the performance of the school inducing them to exert more effort. Dopahar data is also
used to crosscheck the MIS data. It, therefore, acts as a supplement to existing monitoring
systems. IVRS data is shared freely with the public through a web-interface. Thus making
the headmaster’s report open to public scrutiny. Complaints or grievances from the public are
recorded and followed up.
3
Data
We use three primary sources of data for carrying out our analysis. The independent assessment
is based on the Annual Status of Education Report (ASER), carried out by an NGO Pratham to
primarily collect information about the educational achievement of primary and upper primary
school children in every rural district in India. Each year the survey roughly covers 570 districts, 15,000 villages, 15,000 government schools, 300,000 households and 700,000 children
between 5-16. We use ASER survey data to estimate the effects of the IVRS on provision of
Midday meals. These surveys are available from 2005 onward but the survey instruments are
uniform and variables of interest are readily comparable for the period 2009–13. Therefore,
we restrict our estimation sample to this period. Furthermore, we restrict our analysis to five
states in India which are similar to the state of Bihar in terms of many socio-economic aspects
and geographical proximity. Our sample includes: Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Orissa,
and Madhya Pradesh.8 The estimation sample is a representative repeated cross section at the
school and household level.
7 These included miss call facility and increased call response time. If a headmaster could not receive the call
from IVRS she could received it at a convenient time by dialing a particular number.
8 Uttar Pradesh is also comparable and is an immediate neighbor. We do not include Uttar Pradesh in our
sample as it introduced IVRS in 2010. However, we do not have access to the government records for the state.As
a result, we are not able to include it in our sample.
8
For each village surveyed under ASER, one government school (if any) is inspected randomly. For each of the inspected schools between 2009-13, ASER collected information on
three vital variables: whether MDM was served in a school on the date of interview, whether
the interviewer found any evidence of meals being served to the students on that day such as
used utensils and meals bought from outside, and whether the interviewer found food being
cooked in the school premises. Other than these observations on MDM, ASER also collects
information on physical school infrastructure such as source of drinking water, provision of
toilets, whether the school has a boundary wall; and questions regarding teaching staff such as
the number of teacher appointed and the number of teacher present on the day of interview. The
sample includes 5041 schools for Bihar and 19771 schools for the entire sample of five states.
Our second dataset comes from government records. We use district level Annual Work
Plan Budgets (AWPB) that are submitted by the state midday meal authorities to the Government of India for review of their performance and approval of their budget for the period
2009-13. Each state has a district wise annual target of number of children that they want to
serve MDM. In addition to these targets, these reports include total number of schools serving
midday meals, children availing meals, total amount of rice consumed, total amount of cooking cost, expenditure on cook’s wages. The MDM distribution channel is also responsible for
school health program that distributes vitamins and deworming tablets in schools. This AWPB
data also provides total number of schools and children under school health programme, total
number of schools where vitamin A and deworming tablets were distributed, and total number
of children who consumed vitamin A and deworming tablets. These data are provided for both
primary and upper primary schools at district level. Our Bihar data has 38 districts and 189
district-year observations. Our event study analysis are based on this sample. Overall, there are
157 districts and 785 district-year observations in our sample of five states. For the health care
program, we have 152 district-year observations for Bihar and 632 in the overall sample.
In order to shed light on the quality of meals provided, we make use of data collected by
the central government’s independent auditing of the state MDM programs. The Government
of India has appointed several independent institutes to monitor the government and aided
schools. Each district is assigned to one of the empaneled monitoring institutes and within
a period of two years, 5 percent of the elementary schools in the district are inspected by
them using surprise visits. Most of these institutes are headed by tenured professors at state
universities. Post monitoring the institutes submit half yearly reports to the authorities. Apart
from inspecting the daily operations of a schools, these reports assess the quality and quantity
of midday meals on the day of their visit. These assessments are qualitative and the reports
publish the number of schools where the quality and quantity of the meals are found to be
good, satisfactory, or bad. We use these reports to create a panel dataset that entails information
about fraction of the inspected schools that serve good and bad quality meals, and sufficient and
insufficient quantity meals.9 We have 180 district-year observations in this sample.
9 These
reports are available at http://mdm.nic.in/#. While it is possible that these data are not accurate
9
As described previously, the IVRS system in Bihar introduced in year 2012 collects data
on the numbers of meals served for every school day using a technology enabled reporting
system. We use this data in conjunction with another administrative data discussed below to
asses the discrepancy between reporting of midday meal status by the school headmaster to
the local authorities vis-a-vis IVRS.10 This data consist of information at a monthly level on
number of days the system attempted to call the headmaster, number of days calls were actually
received by the headmaster, attendance and number of student availing mid day meal. Using
this monthly data for the period between April 2012 to November 2014 we calculate status of
midday meal at the school level for the academic years 2012 to 2014, which is a binary variable
taking the value one if any student availed midday meal in a school in a given academic year
and zero otherwise.
Finally, we also use school level administrative data from the District System for Education
(DISE) reports for the states of Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh,Orissa and Madhya Pradesh.
DISE is published annually by the National University of Education Planning and Education
(NUEPA). Each year the report roughly covers 662 districts, 1.4 million schools, 199.71 million
students, and 7.35 millions teachers. We use this data for the period 2009 to 2013 to cross tally
the status of midday meals reported by the headmasters to the IVRS and to the DISE authorities.
Like with IVRS data, the status of midday meals is a binary variable taking the value one if
meals are served in a school in a given academic year and zero otherwise.
4
Estimation
In order to assess the effect of the IVRS on provision of midday meals, we estimate two types
of empirical models. First, we use a event study framework to investigate the effects of the
program on outcomes in Bihar before and after the introduction of the IVRS examining how
the outcomes trend over years, and whether changes in outcomes occur precisely after the
policy change. The three outcomes are: percent of schools serving meals, average number
of children availing meals, and a measure of performance defined as the ratio of actual meals
served against the target. The empirical model is specified as:
ydt = α0 +
∑
αk × IVRS operational for k periods + αX Xdt + δd + εdt ,
(1)
−3≤k≤1
where ydt is an outcome variable measuring provision of meals in district d in year t. IVRS
operational for k periods is an indicator variable equal to one if IVRS is in effect since k years
and zero otherwise. A negative value of k implies it is a pre-IVRS period. Xdt is a vector
due to co-opting of monitors, these data were used to flag non-compliance and quality issues to Bihar government
in 2010 preceding an accident where due to poor storage, school food rations got mixed with fertilizers and caused
the death of several students who consumed the food.
10 IVRS data is obtained from e-Horizon Private Limited, the company responsible to maintain the IVRS technology in Bihar.
10
of schools characteristics at the district level.11 The specification also includes district fixed
effects (δd ). We estimate equation 2 after restricting data to the state of Bihar. The parameters
of interest are αk s.
Second, in order to allay the concern that secular trends over time may be responsible for
the changes that we are attributing to the IVRS, we estimate a difference-in-difference model.
We compare the effects of the IVRS on meals provision across the districts of Bihar and control
states before and after the policy change.12 The empirical model is as follows:
ydt = β0 +
∑
βk × Bihar × IVRS operational for k periods + βX Xdt + δd + εdt ,
(2)
−3≤k≤1
While other control variables remain the same as in the event study, here we interact the indicator for IVRS operational for k years with an indicator for treatment which is equal to 1 for
Bihar and 0 for the other control states. Thus, the parameter of interest, βk is the treatment on
treated DID estiamte which shows the effect of IVRS on outcomes in districts of Bihar after the
program has been implemented. Any secular unobserved changes in outcomes are controlled
for under the standard difference-in-difference identifying assumption.
Our other auxiliary outcome variables, for which we estimate analogous empirical models,
are rice consumed, cooking costs, cook’s wages, health checkups, distribution of vitamin A,
and deworming tablets.
5
Results
5.1
Main Results
We show our main results using three different datasets. The first two aid in understanding if
there are any discrepancies in the assessment of beneficiary take-up based on state’s official
and independently collected data. The third sample is used to determine the impact on quality metrics based on independent assessments conducted by institutes engaged by the central
government.
5.1.1
Independent Data Based Assessment
In Table 2, we use school level ASER data for Bihar with district fixed effects to conduct an
event study analysis. In column 1, we estimate whether a school provides MDM or not. In the
pre-policy years, this estimate is negligible and statistically insignificant. In 2012, there is a 17
percentage point increase in the likelihood of a school serving MDM. This effect is statistically
11 School
level characteristics include fraction of schools with separate girls toilet, drinking water, playground;
number of head teachers, total appointed teachers.
12 Districts are the administrative unit under the state. Our control states are in close proximity of Bihar and
have a comparable poverty profile.
11
significant at the 1 percent significance level and persists in the first post policy year 2013. The
pre-post comparison indicates an improvement of 18 percentage points. On a baseline average
of 0.562, this is a 9.5 percent increase. This is robust to inclusion of school level controls
reported in column 2.13
In column 3, we examine the effect on whether MDM was cooked on the day of the surprise
visit by the survey team. Prior to the policy change, this estimate was also close to 0. This
jumps to 0.19 in 2012 and and persists at 14 percentage points in 2013 both significant at the 1
percent significance level. Comparison of pre-post coefficients indicate an improvement of 12
percentage points. This is an 6 percent increase over a base of 0.503. Again, the estimates are
robust to including school level controls in column 4. An analogous estimations for whether
the team observed evidence of MDM served in the school on the day of the visit is presented
in columns 5 and 6 without and with school level controls respectively. The results echo the
previous findings. The estimates jump from nearly 0 in 2011 to around 0.20 in 2012 and
0.14 in 2013 significant at the 1 percent significance level. The pre-post comparison reveals
an improvement of 10 percentage points. This is a 4 percent increase over a base of 0.425.
Overall, we find consistent evidence that MDM provision in treatment schools improved after
the policy was implemented.14
Next, we focus on our DID estimation and report the results in Table 3. Here, our sample
includes 19,771 schools.15 Our DID estimates are remarkably similar to the event study estimates reported in Table 2. For the first outcome whether a school provides MDM or not, the
estimates in column 1 indicate interaction coefficients of 0 prior to the policy change, and an 18
percentage points increase in the likelihood of serving MDM in 2012 in Bihar districts, which
persists at 16 percentage points in 2013. Both these estimates are statistically significant at the
1 percent level. Results are robust to inclusion of school level controls in column 2. A pre-post
difference in coefficients of 23 percentage points, on a baseline average of .562, indicates an
improvement of 13 percent in the likelihood of provision of MDM in schools in Bihar.
Similarly, we find evidence of an increase in the likelihood of MDM being cooked on the
day of the surprise visit by the survey team in the school in districts of Bihar. Point estimates
in columns 4 reveal that the interaction coefficient for 2011 is negative -0.08, statistically significant at the 10 percent significance level. Then it changes sign and is estimated to be 0.16,
significant at the 1 percent significance level in 2012. Subsequently, it is 0.14 and statistically
significant at the 1 percent significance level in 2013. A comparison of the interaction effects
for the pre and post IVRS years indicate that the likelihood of MDM being cooked on the day
of inspection increased by 20 percentage points. On a baseline of .503, this is a 10 percent increase. For whether the team observed evidence of MDM served in the school on the day of the
13 These
controls include indicators for blackboards in grade 2, drinking water facilities, toilets for girls and
boys, and school type fixed effects.
14 The number of observations is different in columns 1,3, and 5 because of missing values of outcome variables
and further reduced in columns 2, 4, and 6 due to missing values of control variables in the data.
15 The data is a repeated cross section of schools in a district level panel data.
12
visit, as seen in columns 5 and 6, there is a negative and statistically significant trend in Bihar
prior to the policy change. The 2010 interaction coefficients are -0.13 and -0.15 in columns 5
and 6 respectively (both significant at the 1 percent significance level), and the 2011 are -0.12
and -0.14, significant at conventional levels of significance. There is a change in this trend in
2012, and the interaction coefficients are now positive 0.11 and 0.08 in columns 5 and 6, significant at the 1 and 10 percent significance levels respectively. The pre-post comparison of the
interaction coefficients corroborates the findings in the event study analysis reported earlier.
5.1.2
Official (State Government) Data Based Assessment
We present the results of our event study, where we compare outcomes related to MDM provision before and after the policy change in Bihar, in Table 4. In column 1, the number of
children availing MDM per school for primary schools was trending upwards in a statistically
significant manner in 2010 and 2011 relative to 2009. In 2011, one year before the policy
change, there was an increase of 57 children availing MDM per school and the estimate is statistically significant at 1 percent significance level.In 2012, the year IVRS was introduced, this
was still positive but statistically indistinguishable from 0. In the first post year, this dropped
precipitously to 74 fewer children per school availing MDM. The estimate is significant at the
1 percent significance level. A comparison of the pre-post coefficients reveals that on average
130 fewer children were availing meals per school one year after the IVRS was introduced. On
a baseline of 353 children per school this translates to a decline of 37 percentage points. In
upper primary schools (column 2), the estimates for 2010 to 2012 are small and statistically insignificant. However, in the first year after the policy change, almost 57 fewer children availed
MDM per school. On a baseline of 177 children per upper primary school this was a decline of
28.5 percent.
In rest of columns we turn to examining what happens to other inputs such as rice and
cooking costs which include costs of other materials used in the meal preparation. Results are
provided separately for primary and upper primary schools. For primary schools in column 3,
rice consumed in 2010 relative to 2009 was 342.7 higher but imprecisely measured. In 2011,
the estimate was -76.2 statistically indistinguishable from 0. In 2012, it was 289 but statistically insignificant. This jumped to 1182 in 2013, a year after the policy change, and is now
statistically significant at 1 percent significance level. For upper primary schools, this estimate
is small and statistically insignificant in the pre years and jumps to 460, significant at the 5 percent significance level. It dramatically increases to 1284, significant at 1 percent significance
level in the same year when the number of children availing MDM per school decline. A prepost comparison of these coefficients indicate that consumption of rice increased by 1258 and
1180 metric tonnes at primary and upper primary schools, significant at 1 percent level. Given
the baseline average consumption levels this was an increase by 52 and 117 percent. Cooking
costs show a similar pattern. For primary schools, in column 5, one year before the policy
13
change the coefficient was 8.04 statistically indistinguishable from 0. One year after, in 2013
it jumped to 61.4, statistically significant at the 1 percent significance level. For upper primary
schools, in column 6, the estimates are similar.
In Table 5, we document the results for the DID analysis in which we use as controls,
districts from 4 states from the same geographical area that have comparable poverty profile as
Bihar. In column 1, we see that relative to 2009, there was a statistically significant increase
of 61 in the number of children availing the MDM per school in 2011, a year before the policy
change. This estimate dropped to 30 in 2012 but was still positive and statistically significant at
the 5 percent significance level. In the first post year in 2013, the number dropped to 68 fewer
children availing MDM per school. The coefficient is significant at the 1 percent significance
level. The difference-in-difference estimate between 2011 and 2013 is 129 fewer children
reported at bottom, and is significant at the one significance level. In column 2, for upper
primary schools, the estimate for 2011 is 2 and statistically insignificant. This drops to -17.5 in
2012 but again statistically indistinguishable from 0. In 2013, 52 fewer children availed MDM
per school, significant at 1 percent significance level. The difference-in-difference estimate
between 2011 and 2013 is suggests that 54 fewer students availed MDM in Bihar, and it is
precisely estimated.
The rest of the columns in Table 5 show the DID estimates for other inputs used to prepare
meals. The results mirror the event study evidence reported earlier. The interaction coefficient
for 2011 is -12.1 for primary schools and statistically insignificant. This jumps to 670 for 2012,
and 1530.6 for 2013 both significant at the 1 percent significance level. The analogous interaction coefficients for upper primary schools are -25.1 in 2011 (statistically insignificant) and
268.8 in 2012 and 1082 in 2013 both significant at conventional levels of significance. The coefficients for cooking costs increase from statistically insignificant -3.75 in 2011 to 19.3 in 2012
and 53 in 2013 both significant at the 1 percent significance level. In upper primary schools,
the estimated interaction coefficient is -14 in 2011, statistically significant at 1 percent level.
It dropped to -5.03 in 2012 but not distinguishable from 0, and jumped to 22.7, statistically
significant at 1 percent significance level. The difference in the pre-post interactions are similar
to the estimated differences in the event study analysis and they are statistically significant at 1
percent level.
5.1.3
Improvements in Other Services Using the Official Data
The MDM machinery is also responsible for running another health program ongoing since
2010, where health check-ups are done for children in school, and vitamin A and deworming
tablets are distributed for consumption by the school going children. IVRS did not directly
target these services. By examining the impact of IVRS on the delivery of these services, we
want to shed light on whether the overall system efficacy improved.
In Table 6, we report the results for health check-ups, vitamin A take-up, and de-worming
14
take-up with 2010 as reference year. Specifications in columns 1, 3, and 5 control for total number of schools within each district, and 2, 4, and 6 control for enrollment in primary schools.
Column 1 shows that number of schools providing health check-ups dramatically improved
from 93.7 in 2011 to 1113 in 2013. Number of children who were provided health check-ups
increased from 31522.2 to 88809.8. Number of schools distributing vitamin A went from -54.4
(statistically significant at the 5 percent significance level) to a positive 218.2, significant at the
1 percent significance level. Number of children receiving vitamin A went from -488 in 2011
to 78864.1. The latter estimate is statistically significant at the 1 percent significance level. The
number of schools providing deworming tablets increased from 134 to 454 and and number of
children receiving deworming tablets went from 21242 in 2011 to 123244 in 2013. Our DID
estimates are reported in Table 7. The interaction coefficient on number of schools providing
health check-ups went up from a statistically insignificant -401.2 in 2011 to 1182.3 in 2013 significant at the 5 percent significance level. The number of children who were provided health
check-ups also shows such patterns although estimates are imprecisely estimated (column 2).
The estimate for the interaction coefficient for children receiving vitamin A in column 3, is
-26526 (statistically insignificant) in 2011 relative to 2010, but changes to 83773.1 in 2013,
significant at the 10 percent significance level. In case of deworming tablets, the interaction
coefficient for the number of schools for 2011 is -419.5 statistically indistinguishable from 0
but jumps to 540 for 2013 (column 4), significant at the 5 percent significance level. The interaction coefficient for number of children (reported in column 5) receiving deworming tablet
went from -34844 (statistically insignificant) to 107288, significant at the 5 percent significance
level.
5.1.4
Central Government Commissioned Audits Data Based Quality Assessment
The quality audit data contains an unbalanced panel of districts from 2010 to 2013 for the
states in our sample and has a total of 180 district year observations. Hence, we are not able to
estimate an event study empirical model due to the small number of observations per year. We
show our condensed DID estimates in Table 8. Fraction of schools among the audited schools
that served good quality meals increased post IVRS policy change increased in Bihar relative
to other states. The point estimate is 0.47 implying a 47 percentage points improvement in
Bihar (column 1). The coefficient is significant at the 1 percent significance level. This is
commensurate with a decline in bad quality meals. 16 In column 2, bad quality meals declined
by 67 percentage points. In column 3, we report the estimate for fraction of audited schools
providing sufficient quantity of meals. This went up by 48 percentage points, statistically
significant at the 5 percent significance level. The fraction providing insufficient meals declined
by 60 percentage points. The interaction coefficient is significant at the 1 percent significance
level.
16 Since
these measures in the reports are conducted from qualitatively assessments, both good and bad quality
schools are reported.
15
5.2
Selection and Endogeneity Concerns
One of the main empirical concerns might be that the districts of Bihar are trending differently
and the results are confounded by these trends. We allay this concern for our independent assessment based results shown in Table 3 in two ways. First, we include district specific trends in
our specifications. On inclusion of district specific trends, the results remain remarkably similar. Second, we match districts on observable school characteristics and estimate a generalized
DID model on this sample.
We provide results in Table 9. In the first panel, we show our baseline specification results
condensing years into pre (2009, 2010, and 2011) and post (2012, 2013) policy change. We
include a state specific trend in this specification in addition to the district and year fixed effects. Standard errors are clustered at the district level. Additionally, we control for average
district school characteristics.17 We find a 23 percentage points increase in the likelihood that
the schools in the treated areas serve MDM post treatment (column 1), 29 percentage points
increase in the likelihood that MDM was cooked on the day of the surprise visit (column 2), and
33 percentage points increase in the likelihood that the enumerators saw evidence of MDM being cooked in the school on the day of the visit (column 3). All three estimates are statistically
significant at the 1 percent significance level.
In the Panel B, we include the district specific trends. The results remain remarkably similar
to the estimates reported in Panel A.
In addition, we match the districts using propensity scores which we calculate using the
above mentioned control variable. We trim the observations which are outside the common
support of the propensity score distribution. Figure A.1 shows the relative distributions for
treated (Bihar) districts and the control (other states) districts and highlights the common support. In the third panel, we restrict the sample to this common support and estimate a DID
model.18 Our results, shown in the third panel, are very similar to the results documented in
the first panel. In the last panel, we use a generalized DID method proposed by Heckman (reference) to estimate the treatment effect. We use a kernel based matching algorithm and employ
a gaussian kernel for the procedure. We present bootstrap standard errors. Our previous results
are confirmed using this specification as well.
6
Underlying Mechanisms and Alternate Hypothesis
Our hypothesis is that there is less leakage from the MDM delivery machinery because the
intermediate tier of the delivery system now has incentives to siphon off and shirk less. here,
we investigate if the school headmasters change their reporting behavior as well. We rely on the
17 We
include district level school infrastructure such as fraction of schools in a district with tap or hand-pump
for drinking water, common toilet, separate toilet for boys and girls, and boundary wall; and average number of
appointed teachers, teachers present during the survey as controls.
18 We show covariate balance in Table A.2.
16
fact that the head masters and the staff report the MDM provision to two different sources after
the policy change but not necessarily at the same time. IVRS collects data on MDM provision
every day from a randomly chosen teacher among the 5 designated teachers, and the school
headmasters also manually report MDM take-up to the DISE authorities every year.
We compare the effect of the policy change on MDM provision in Bihar pre and post policy
change using the DISE data controlling for school and year fixed effects. Results are reported
in the top panel of Table 10. There is an 11 percentage points increase in the likelihood that
schools provides MDM in this sample and this is statistically significant at the 1 percent significance level (column 1). In column 2, we compare pre and post school level MDM provision in
Bihar, except here we use school specific IVRS data for the post period. The effect is identical
to what we reported in column 1. We infer from this that the school head masters do not change
their reporting pattern after the policy change. 19
We carry out an additional test to shed light on this question. If headmasters expect more
vigilance and monitoring after the policy change consonantly, change their reporting then the
reporting chnage might be more pronounced in schools closer to district head quarters as these
are relatively easy to physically audit. We geo-coded all 70,000 schools in Bihar and calculated
their distance from the district headquarters. We then interact our post indicator with this
distance measure. Bottom panel of Table 10 shows the results for the interaction effects for
both the specifications used in the top panel described above. The double interaction with
distance is negligible and statistically insignificant. The post indicator is identical to the top
panel. Hence, results for schools closer to the district headquarters are no different than those
farther from the district headquarters.
7
Future Directions
We did not find any available observational data to investigate the impact of this policy reform
on malnutrition or anthropometry of children. Most data sets such as the RCH focus on children
between the ages of o to 5 years when they do not attend schools. There is a general need to
conduct surveys which can help us to identify how nutritional status of children is changing in
schools. With the help of IGC funding, we are conducting a survey to shed light on this aspect
for IVRS.
8
Conclusion
This paper studies the role of IT technology in improving transparency and accountability in
public service delivery. We use the roll-out of a technology enabled monitoring mechanism
19 Although
it is possible that school headmasters and the staff that IVRS calls keep extensive diaries so that
they report consistently to each system. A very large number of headmasters would have to do this to get identical
results here across samples and yet generate the improvements we observe using the ASER data.
17
(the Interactive Voice Response System or the IVRS) in the Mid Day Meal provision in Bihar,
and show that a simple mechanism that aids in cross tallying the information provided by the
middle tier of the delivery chain in welfare programs can reduce leakages and increase the
efficacy of the programs. Using independently collected data, we find that the technology
enabled policy change increases the likelihood of meal provision in a school in Bihar by 21
percentage points, and the likelihood of meal being cooked on the day of surprise visit to school
by 15 percentage points. These results are robust to a number of specifications which include
matching based difference-in-difference specifications, and control district specific trends. The
increase in the take-up of the program by beneficiaries is also accompanied by an improvement
in the quality and sufficiency of meals. Using central government commissioned audits data,
we find an increase of 47 percentage points in fraction schools serving good quality of meals
in Bihar schools post IVRS and an increase of 48 percentage points in fraction of schools
serving sufficient quantity meals. In contrast, using state official records, we find that number
of children availing MDM per school reduces post IVRS and percentage of schools providing
meals is trending down. Surprisingly, the amount of rice consumed and cooking costs per
school within district increase. Our results provide evidence that the IVRS resulted in reduction
in leakage in the delivery system.
Our findings have important policy implications. This study demonstrates that a policy
driven reform initiated by a state government succeeded in improving the delivery in of a very
important public service. Hence, state capacity can be increased by reforming the existing
public institutions. Second, these improvements might be portable to other arenas of public
service delivery which have similar delivery channels such as the public distribution system.
18
References
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Galiani, S., Gertler, P., and Schargrodsky, E. (2005). Water for Life: The Impact of the Privatization of Water Services on Child Mortality. Journal of Political Economy, 113(1):83–120.
Goyal, A. (2010). Information, direct access to farmers, and rural market performance in central
india. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 2(3):22–45.
Jensen, R. (2007). The digital provide: Information (technology), market performance,
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Pritchett, L. (2009). Is India a Flailing State?: Detours on the Four Lane Highway to Modernization. Technical report.
19
FIGURE 1: Percentage of Primary Schools Serving Mid-Day Meals.
Average Provision of
Mid-Day Meals
1
.75
.5
.25
2009
2010
2011
Year
Bihar
2012
2013
Other States
Notes: We use school level data from the Annual Status of Education Report (ASER) for the years 2009–13. Other states include Jharkhand,
Madhya Pradesh, Orissa and Chhattisgarh.
20
TABLE 1: Summary Statistics
Bihar
Obs
All states
Mean
S.D.
Obs
Mean
329.86
165.83
2761.03
1311.24
82.37
40.66
417.83
38682.31
92.04
19082.27
247.11
43128.94
78.13
67.25
1345.87
800.89
43.38
26.24
858.32
83445.68
186.71
62615.61
487.28
99892.44
785
785
668
668
785
781
789
789
789
789
789
789
146.48
96.41
1898.54
1096.59
62.73
36.56
940.81
70803.31
631.80
29478.30
737.47
41069.79
S.D.
Panel A: AWPB Data.
Children Availing MDM per School (Primary)
Children Availing MDM per School (Upper Primary)
Rice Consumed Primary (MTs)
Rice Consumed Upper Primary (MTs)
Cooking exp. Primary
Cooking exp. Upper Primary
Schools under Health Check -ups
Childrens under Health Check -ups
Schools Distributed Vitamin A
Childrens Consumed Vitamin A
Schools Distributed Deworming tablets
Childrens consumed Deworming tablets
189
189
189
189
189
185
190
190
190
190
190
190
115.35
58.12
1280.78
774.53
34.81
22.21
1329.94
106954.92
2908.37
74343.83
1083.52
78969.68
Panel B: ASER School Level Data.
School provides meals
MDM cooked
MDM observed
Tap or handpump for drinking water
No. of Teachers appointed
No. of Teachers present
Common toilet in the school
Separate boys toilet in the school
Separate girls toilet in the school
School has boundary wall
5041
5009
4882
5083
3847
3847
4031
4185
4299
5034
0.64
0.56
0.50
0.92
2.92
2.38
0.55
0.61
0.64
0.48
0.48
0.50
0.50
0.27
2.91
2.33
0.50
0.49
0.48
0.50
19771
19587
19064
20009
14663
14663
16015
16429
16742
19764
0.84
0.74
0.66
0.88
2.68
2.23
0.51
0.60
0.63
0.41
0.37
0.44
0.47
0.33
2.59
2.12
0.50
0.49
0.48
0.49
Notes:District level annual data used for Panel A and Panel B for the years 2009–13. ASER school and household survey used for Panel C and
Panel D for the year 2009-13. Other states include Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Orissa and Chhattisgarh.
21
TABLE 2: Effect of Interactive Voice Response System (IVRS) on Mid Day Meal provision in
Schools in Bihar using ASER Data
Dependent Var.
Baseline average
MDM Cooked
School Provides
Meal
MDM Observed
.562
.562
.503
.503
.425
.425
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
Two years before IVRS
-0.0067
(0.04)
-0.0058
(0.04)
0.036
(0.04)
0.049
(0.04)
-0.036
(0.03)
-0.053
(0.03)
One year before IVRS
-0.035
(0.04)
-0.058
(0.04)
0.024
(0.04)
0.0051
(0.04)
0.026
(0.05)
-0.0012
(0.04)
IVRS year
0.17***
(0.03)
0.14***
(0.04)
0.19***
(0.04)
0.15***
(0.04)
0.20***
(0.04)
0.16***
(0.04)
One year after IVRS
0.15***
(0.04)
0.10**
(0.04)
0.14***
(0.05)
0.10**
(0.05)
0.14***
(0.04)
0.083*
(0.04)
Post IVRS - Pre IVRS
School Characteristics
R Squared
No. of Observations
.18***
No
0.081
5041
.12**
Yes
0.084
3896
.11**
No
0.081
5009
.16***
Yes
0.089
3874
.1*
No
0.078
4882
.08
Yes
0.080
3783
Notes: : We use school level data from the Annual Status of Education Report (ASER) for the years 2009–13.
The sample is restricted to schools in the state of Bihar. All specifications control for district fixed effects. School
characteristics include indicators for black boards in grade 2, tap or handpump for drinking water, availability of
toilets for boys and girls and school type fixed effects. Standard errors are robust and clustered at the district level.
22
TABLE 3: Diff-in-Diff Estimate of Interactive Voice Response System (IVRS) on Mid Day
Meal provision in Schools using ASER Data.
Dependent Var.
Baseline average
School Provides
Meal
.562
(1)
.562
(2)
MDM Cooked
MDM Observed
.503
.503
.425
.425
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
Bihar × 2010
-0.023
(0.04)
-0.028
(0.04)
-0.057
(0.04)
-0.059
(0.04)
-0.13***
(0.04)
-0.15***
(0.04)
Bihar × 2011
-0.048
(0.04)
-0.064
(0.04)
-0.061
(0.04)
-0.084*
(0.04)
-0.12**
(0.05)
-0.14***
(0.05)
Bihar × 2012
0.18*** 0.16***
(0.04)
(0.04)
0.19***
(0.05)
0.16***
(0.05)
0.11***
(0.04)
0.080*
(0.04)
Bihar × 2013
0.16*** 0.14***
(0.04)
(0.05)
0.17***
(0.05)
0.14***
(0.05)
0.033
(0.05)
-0.0047
(0.05)
Post IVRS - Pre IVRS
School Characteristics
R Squared
No. of Observations
.21***
No
0.164
19771
.15**
No
0.124
19587
.2***
Yes
0.130
14898
.22*
No
0.098
19064
.13
Yes
0.103
14579
.23***
Yes
0.161
15016
Notes: We use school level data from the Annual Status of Education Report (ASER) for the years 2009–13. The
sample is restricted to schools in the states of Bihar, Chattisgarh, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, and Orissa. All
specifications control for district and year fixed effects. School characteristics include indicators for black boards
in grade 2, tap or hand pump for drinking water, availability of toilets for boys and girls, and school type fixed
effects. Standard errors are robust and clustered at the district level.
23
24
35.0
(25.14)
-73.9***
(23.07)
-130.84***
0.775
189
IVRS year
One year after IVRS
Post IVRS - Pre IVRS
R Squared
No. of Observations
-50.5***
0.376
189
-57.6**
(23.42)
-9.83
(19.83)
-7.12
(24.43)
1258.56***
0.707
189
1182.4**
(462.60)
288.9
(384.62)
-76.2
(225.25)
342.7
(229.16)
(3)
2417.44
Primary
1179.76***
0.747
189
1284.1***
(252.92)
460.2**
(214.88)
104.3
(157.83)
75.6
(99.07)
(4)
1003.52
Upper Primary
Rice Consumed
(in M.T.)
53.36***
0.741
189
61.4***
(12.97)
26.5**
(10.12)
8.04
(6.39)
14.6**
(6.89)
(5)
66.69
Primary
42***
0.758
185
44.8***
(6.41)
15.6***
(4.80)
2.78
(4.52)
-0.049
(3.46)
(6)
29.37
Upper Primary
Cooking Cost
(in Million Rs.)
Notes: District level annual data used from the Ministry of Human Resource Development for the years 2009–13. The sample is restricted to the state of Bihar. All specifications control for district level fraction of schools with separate girls toilet, drinking water, playground, number of headteachers, total appointed teachers and district fixed effects.
Total number of primary/ upper primary schools in a district is obtained from the District Information System for Education (DISE). Standard errors are robust and clustered at
the district level.
57.0***
(12.74)
One year before IVRS
-18.6
(16.51)
(2)
(1)
19.0***
(6.44)
176.87
Upper Primary
353.38
Primary
Children Availing MDM per
School
Two years before IVRS
Baseline average
Dependent Variable
TABLE 4: Effect of Interactive Voice Response System (IVRS) on Mid Day Meal provision for Schools in Bihar
25
30.3**
(13.73)
-67.9***
(13.16)
-128.68***
0.943
785
Bihar × 2012
Bihar × 2013
Post IVRS - Pre IVRS
R Squared
No. of Observations
-54.13***
0.689
785
-52.2***
(17.93)
-17.5
(15.99)
1.91
(21.83)
1542.73***
0.872
668
1530.6***
(298.30)
669.9***
(205.54)
-12.1
(211.75)
207.4
(240.26)
(3)
2417.44
Primary
1107.13***
0.879
668
1082.0***
(187.91)
268.8**
(113.67)
-25.1
(136.17)
-73.3
(101.02)
(4)
1003.52
Upper Primary
Rice Consumed
(in M.T.)
56.73***
0.859
785
53.0***
(8.87)
19.3***
(5.62)
-3.75
(5.58)
1.12
(6.79)
(5)
66.69
Primary
36.65***
0.866
781
22.7***
(6.06)
-5.03
(3.47)
-13.9***
(4.10)
-15.4***
(3.74)
(6)
29.37
Upper Primary
Cooking Cost
(in Million Rs.)
Notes: District level annual data used from the Ministry of Human Resource Development for the years 2009–13. The sample is restricted to the states of Bihar, Chattisgarh,
Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, and Orissa. All specifications control for district level fraction of schools with separate girls toilet, drinking water, playground, number of headteachers, total appointed teachers and district and year fixed effects. Total number of primary/ upper primary schools in a district is obtained from the District Information
System for Education (DISE). Standard errors are robust and clustered at the district level.
60.8***
(11.53)
Bihar × 2011
-15.9
(17.91)
(2)
(1)
11.1
(9.17)
176.87
Upper Primary
353.38
Primary
Children Availing MDM per
School
Bihar × 2010
Baseline average
Dependent Variable
TABLE 5: Diff-in-Diff Estimate of Interactive Voice Response System (IVRS) on Mid Day Meal provision for Schools in Bihar
26
439.8
(344.45)
1112.9***
(244.84)
0.509
152
IVRS year
One year after IVRS
R Squared
No. of Observations
0.372
152
88809.8***
(14280.34)
61533.1*
(31910.88)
31522.2**
(12705.00)
(2)
0.517
152
218.2***
(60.08)
-5.53
(53.48)
-54.4**
(25.73)
(3)
# Schools
8722.2
(5499.81)
-488.0
(4819.45)
(4)
# Children
0.409
152
78864.1***
(23548.48)
Vitamin A
0.402
152
450.0***
(125.62)
183.8
(193.58)
133.9***
(40.03)
(5)
0.399
152
123244.1***
(20260.26)
72507.0**
(33636.18)
21241.6**
(9028.93)
(6)
Deworming Tablets
# Schools
# Children
Notes: District level annual data used from the Ministry of Human Resource Development for the years 2010–13. The sample is restricted to the states of Bihar. All specifications control for district fixed effects and time trends. In Column (1), (3), and (5) we control for total number of schools, while in Columns (2), (4) and (6) we control for total
enrollment in primary with upper primary schools. Standard Errors are robust and clustered at the district level. IVRS was introduced in Bihar in the year 2012.
93.7**
(42.17)
(1)
Health Check-ups
# Schools
# Children
One year before IVRS
Dependent Variable
TABLE 6: External Benefits of Interactive Voice Response System (IVRS)
27
1182.3**
(269.67)
Bihar × 2013
0.430
632
68449.0
(52913.30)
18967.5
(69861.50)
-48777.2
(65010.02)
(2)
0.294
632
-856.6
(944.23)
59.8
(466.21)
-367.9
(593.75)
(3)
# Schools
Vitamin A
0.405
632
83773.1*
(30523.46)
31078.0
(22960.93)
-26526.2
(21467.04)
(4)
# Children
0.634
632
539.4**
(162.90)
247.5
(539.54)
-419.5
(436.70)
(5)
0.449
632
107287.7**
(25991.86)
72334.3**
(20487.37)
-34843.7
(33221.02)
(6)
Deworming Tablets
# Schools
# Children
Notes: District level annual data used from the Ministry of Human Resource Development for the years 2010–13. The sample is restricted to states of Bihar, Chattisgarh,
Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, and Orissa. All specifications control for district and year fixed effects. In Column (1), (3), and (5) we control for total number of schools, while
in Columns (2), (4) and (6) we control for total enrollment in primary with upper primary schools. Standard Errors are robust and clustered at the district level. IVRS was
introduced in Bihar in the year 2012.
0.478
632
546.8
(527.14)
Bihar × 2012
R Squared
No. of Observations
-401.2
(485.16)
(1)
Health Check-ups
# Schools
# Children
Bihar × 2011
Dependent Variable
TABLE 7: External Benefits of Interactive Voice Response System (IVRS)
TABLE 8: Effect of the Interactive Voice Response System on Meal Quality and Quantity
Dependent Variable
treatment
R Squared
No. of Observations
Fraction of Schools Observed Serving
Good Quality
Meals
(1)
Bad Quality
Meals
(2)
Sufficient
Quantity Meals
(3)
Insufficient
Quantity Meals
(4)
0.47***
(0.02)
-0.67***
(0.03)
0.48**
(0.11)
-0.60***
(0.07)
0.339
180
0.576
180
0.562
180
0.610
180
Notes: We use district level monitoring data from the Ministry of Human Resource Development for the period
2010-13. The sample is restricted to the state of Bihar, Jharkhand, Orissa, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh.
All specifications control for state and quarter fixed effects, district level school characteristics such as fraction of
schools with toilet for boys and girls, drinking water facility, a boundary wall; and average number of teachers by
gender. Standard Errors are robust and clustered at the state level. IVRS was introduced in Bihar in the year 2012.
28
TABLE 9: Robustness Check: Effect of IVRS on Mid Day Meals
Dependent Var.
School Provides
Meal
(1)
MDM Cooked
MDM Observed
(2)
(3)
Panel A: Diff-in-Diff with all Districts
Bihar × Post
R Squared
No. of Observations
0.23***
(0.05)
0.29***
(0.06)
0.33***
(0.07)
0.701
740
0.622
740
0.555
740
Panel B: Diff-in-Diff with Districts with District Specific Trends
Bihar × Post
R Squared
No. of Observations
0.24***
(0.06)
0.29***
(0.07)
0.33***
(0.08)
0.793
740
0.739
740
0.679
740
Panel C: Diff-in-Diff with Districts on the Common Support
Bihar × Post
R Squared
No. of Observations
0.26***
(0.06)
0.29***
(0.07)
0.33***
(0.08)
0.742
454
0.677
454
0.676
454
Panel D: Kernel based Propensity Score Matching Diff-in-Diff
Bihar × Post
R Squared
No. of Observations
0.20***
(0.02)
0.23***
(0.03)
0.15***
(0.03)
0.507
740
0.321
740
0.254
740
Notes: We use school level data from the Annual Status of Education Report (ASER) collapsed at the district level,
for the years 2009–13. The sample is restricted to the states of Bihar, Chattisgarh, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh
and Orissa. All specifications in Panel A and B control for the variables as in Table A.1. and state specific time
trends, district and year fixed effects. Standard errors are robust and clustered at the district level. In Panel C we
use the gaussian kernel and the standard errors are bootstrapped.
29
TABLE 10: Heterogeneity in the Effects of IVRS by schools’s distance from District Headquarters
Dependent variable
MDM Status: DISE
(1)
MDM Status: IVRS
(2)
Panel A: Effect of IVRS on midday meal provision in Bihar
Post IVRS
0.11***
(0.02)
0.11***
(0.02)
R Squared
No. of Observations
0.624
281163
0.535
281163
Panel B: Effect of IVRS on midday meal provision in Bihar by schoolss distance from District Headquarters
Post IVRS
0.11***
(0.02)
0.11***
(0.02)
Post × Schools closer to Dist. Hqrts.
-0.0049
(0.01)
-0.0018
(0.01)
R Squared
No. of Observations
0.624
281163
0.535
281163
Notes: We use data for the state of Bihar for academic years between 2010-11 to 2013-14. Post IVRS takes the
value one for the state of Bihar after academic year 2012-13 and zero otherwise. MDM Status DISE is a binary
variable measuring school level midday meal status from the DISE data while MDM Status IVRS measures the
same but it is constructed using headmaster reported status of midday meal in a school from the IVRS data. Both
the variables take the value one if a school provides midday meals and zero otherwise. We calculate distance of
each school from the district head-quarters. dist takes the value one if the euclidian distance between the school
and the district head-quarters is below the median and zero otherwise. All specifications control for school, academic year fixed effects. Standard errors are clustered at the district level.
30
0
.2
Density
.4
.6
.8
FIGURE A.1: Common Support in Predicted Probability of Use of IVRS
-3
-2
Bihar
-1
Predicted Use of IVRS
0
Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, M.P. and Orissa
Notes: .
31
1
FIGURE A.2: School Locations and District Headquarters in Bihar
Notes: District town refers to the location of the railway station of the district town. The figure plots the location of all schools (about 69,000)
in the state of Bihar.
32
TABLE A.1: Percentage of Headmasters with Mobile Phones in Bihar.
District
Fraction of Headmasters with Mobiles
Araria
Arwal
Aurangabad
Banka
Begusarai
Bhagalpur
Bhojpur
Buxar
Darbhanga
Gaya
Gopalganj
Jamui
Jehanabad
Kaimur (Bhabua)
Katihar
Khagaria
Kishanganj
Lakhisarai
Madhepura
Madhubani
Munger
Muzaffarpur
Nalanda
Nawada
Pashchim Champaran
Patna
Purnia
Purvi Champaran
Rohtas
Saharsa
Samastipur
Saran
Sheikhpura
Sheohar
Sitamarhi
Siwan
Supaul
Vaishali
0.99
1
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.97
0.99
0.99
0.98
1
0.9
0.99
0.99
0.9
0.98
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99
1
0.9
0.99
0.99
1
0.99
Notes: We use school level data from the Bihar Mid-Day meal Department.
33
TABLE A.2: Covariate Balance
Control Districts
No. of
Obs.
(1)
Tap or hand-pump for drinking water
No. of Teachers appointed
No. of Teachers present
Common toilet in the school
Separate boys toilet in the school
Separate girls toilet in the school
School has boundary wall
Tap or hand-pump for drinking water
No. of Teachers appointed
No. of Teachers present
Common toilet in the school
Separate boys toilet in the school
Separate girls toilet in the school
School has boundary wall
Treatment Districts
Average
No. of
Obs.
(3)
(2)
Average
Difference
t-stat
p-values
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
0.008
0.229
0.133
0.037
-0.004
-0.011
0.028
0.86
1.6
1.06
1.38
0.14
0.38
1.38
0.3883
0.1105
0.2887
0.1681
0.8883
0.7053
0.1689
-0.003
0.339
0.231
0.028
0.009
0
0.02
0.28
2.73
2.32
1.2
0.35
0.02
1.05
0.7772
0.0068***
0.0210**
0.2321
0.7246
0.9865
0.2934
Panel A: Districts on the Common Support
122
0.904
80
0.912
122
2.863
80
3.092
122
2.39
80
2.523
122
0.596
80
0.633
122
0.512
80
0.508
122
0.531
80
0.521
122
0.461
80
0.489
Panel B: Propensity Score Weighted Covariate Balance
331
0.905
111
0.902
331
2.766
111
3.105
331
2.28
111
2.511
331
0.59
111
0.618
331
0.509
111
0.518
331
0.53
111
0.53
331
0.448
111
0.467
Notes: We use school level data from the Annual Status of Education Report (ASER) collapsed at the district level, for the years 2009–13.
The sample is restricted to the states of Bihar, Chattisgarh, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh and Orissa.
34
35
0.177
67279
R Squared
No. of Observations
0.179
60495
0.19***
(0.06)
4
(2)
No restriction
0.284
196551
0.18***
(0.05)
≤3
(3)
0.151
33223
0.29***
(0.07)
5
(4)
0.157
30791
0.24***
(0.07)
4
(5)
Below Median
0.266
104152
0.20***
(0.06)
≤3
(6)
0.202
33620
0.11
(0.16)
5
(7)
0.205
29351
-0.015
(0.15)
4
(8)
Above Median
0.308
91475
0.020
(0.09)
≤3
(9)
Notes: We use school and household level data from the Annual Status of Education Report (ASER) for the years 2009-13. The sample is restricted to children in grade 15 in
the states of Bihar,Chattisgarh, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh and Orissa enrolled in schools eligible for midday meals. All specifications control for childrens age, gender, year
and district fixed effects. Standard errors are robust and clustered at the district level.
0.26***
(0.06)
5
(1)
Post × Bihar
Grade
Baseline average mid-day meal
TABLE A.3: Diff-in-Diff Estimate of Interactive Voice Response System (IVRS) on Arithmetic Test using Linear Probability Model
36
0.115
67535
R Squared
No. of Observations
0.127
60849
0.089
(0.06)
4
(2)
No restriction
0.279
198036
0.12**
(0.05)
≤3
(3)
0.097
33355
0.19***
(0.07)
5
(4)
0.112
31007
0.15*
(0.08)
4
(5)
Below Median
0.258
105004
0.13**
(0.07)
≤3
(6)
0.132
33743
0.058
(0.12)
5
(7)
0.142
29488
-0.090
(0.14)
4
(8)
Above Median
0.300
92109
-0.00032
(0.09)
≤3
(9)
Notes: We use school and household level data from the Annual Status of Education Report (ASER) for the years 2009–13. The sample is restricted to children in grade 15
in the states of Bihar,Chattisgarh, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh and Orissa in schools eligible for midday meals. All specifications control for childrens age, gender, year and
district fixed effects. Standard errors are robust and clustered at the district level.
0.15***
(0.05)
5
(1)
Post × Bihar
Grade
Baseline average mid-day meal
TABLE A.4: Diff-in-Diff Estimate of Interactive Voice Response System (IVRS) on Reading Test using Linear Probability Model
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