Po Basin Case study status report (Deliverable D32) Author Date Meri Raggi, Davide Ronchi, Laura Sardonini and Davide Viaggi April 4th Contact information AquaMoney Partners Colophone This report is part of the EU funded project AquaMoney, Development and Testing of Practical Guidelines for the Assessment of Environmental and Resource Costs and Benefits in the WFD, Contract no SSPI-022723. General Deliverable D32 Po Basin Case study Report Deadline Month 13 Complete reference Raggi M., Ronchi D., Sardonini L. and Viaggi D. (2007). Po Basin Case study Report, DEIAGRA, Università di Bologna, Italy Status Author(s) Date Comments Date Approved / Released Reviewed by Pending for Review Second draft First draft for Comments Under Preparation Confidentiality Public Restricted to other programme participants (including the Commission Service) Restricted to a group specified by the consortium (including the Advisory Board) Confidential, only for members of the consortium X Accessibility Workspace Internet Paper X Copyright © 2006 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise without the prior written permission of the copyright holder. Content 1. General case study characteristics 1.1 Location of this area 1.2 Geographical characteristics 1.3 Water system characteristics 1.4 Characterisation of water use 1.5 Major water quality and environmental problems 2. Pressure impact, and risk analysis with regards to the WFD environmental objectives 2.1 Significant pressures impacting on water status 2.2 Impacts on surface and groundwater bodies 2.3 Water bodies at risk of not achieving a good status 2.4 Diagnosis of water quality and ecological issues 2.5 General trends and future pressures 3. Policy issues 3.1 Water management framework and major issues 3.2 Information sources and stakeholder involvement 4. ERC analysis and methodological issues 4.1 Proposed methods and tools for the valuation of ERC 4.2 Methodological issues 1 1 1 2 3 4 5 5 6 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 I II Summary This document reports the Po basin description. Po basin is one of the most large basins in Europe, covering an area of 74000 Km2. Total water resources in the basin amount at 80 billions of m3/year. Surface water quality is affected by various problems. Both in Appenines river basins (mainly irrigation use) and Alps river basins (mainly hydroelectric use) a flow reduction of the natural capacity is caused by a great number of water derivations influencing the autodepurative abilities and increasing pollution problems. The surface water pollutions is mainly due to the excessive organic flow breaking in and that provokes eutrophication problems in rivers with weak recharge, in lakes and in the Adriatic sea (the most important among environmental problems). Locally, superficial water quality is influenced by toxic substances of industrial, agriculture or livestock origin (for example: chemical products and heavy metals). Groundwater quality is affected by emissions of pollutant substances (the most important are nitrates). Presently, the WFD is not implemented in Italy. The Italian government approved the decree 152/2006 that implemented the WFD, but it was basically suspended at the end of 2006 (decree 284/2006), that established to maintain the previous situation. The present government plans to deal with the implementation of the WFD in late 2007. Presently water issues are regulated by a number of laws, but mainly by decree 152/1999. Main responsibilities are centralised and delegated to regions. Each region may produce its own laws and provinces have their responsibilities in local implementation. In parallel, basin authorities exist, that deal mainly with flood control. There is not a hierarchy between regional administration and basin authorities. ATO are in charge of water distribution for human consumption and industrial use. Reclamation and irrigation boards are responsible for land reclamation, (local) flood control and distribution of irrigation water. Given the shortage of economic studies coupled with the variety of water uses, the Po basin could in principle be suitable benefit/require any methodologies and tools. III AquaMoney Po Basin Case study status report (Deliverable D32) 1. General case study characteristics 1.1 Location of this area The Po river basin is located in the North-West of Italy. Fig. 1.1 Po Basin Area. 1.2 Geographical characteristics Climate is influenced by the orography of the basin. The climate is typically alpine in the mountain zone, continentalwarm in the flat basin area and Mediterranean on the coast. (Fig. 2.2 annual rainfall mean in RB) Average annual temperature is around 5°C on high Alps, 5-10°C in medium mountains, 10-15°C in the other zones. Variability of the temperature is also due to lakes mitigation effects. Average rainfall value is 1.200 mm, unevenly distributed both in space and time. In fact the higher quantity of rainfall is concentrated in the lake zone, close to higher mountain over 2.000-2.500 msl. About temporal distribution, the maximum rainfall is reached in the spring season. ET is 31 billion m3. (Tab. 2-3 in RB). Lithology in the river basin is started from the alpine rocks (end of the third period). The flat area is featured from sedimentary rocks and alluvional soils. Po river starts from Monviso mountain at 2100 msl. Po length is 650 km; its basin covers an area of about 74000 km2; of which 70000 km2 are in Italy (see table 1.1). The basin contains 141 affluents; the most important are Adda and Ticino, and 450 lakes, though only a few of them have an important area. The slope of the river goes down gradually from 0.35% to 0.14%. Navigation area is limited (see section 2.2 in RB). Table 1.1 Value of surface in km2 for the total Basin area. 1 Po Basin Case study status report (Deliverable D32) Po Basin 73.997 Surface in Italy 69.979 Mountain Plain 40.606 29.372 The main land uses are: urban, agro-forests and uncultivated. Two-thirds of the basin are covered by mountain and hill and only one-thirds by plain (see Table 1.1). Related to the agro-forest use we could divide the basin in three areas: a) plain where agriculture is the main activity and relevant areas are characterised by intensive cultivation (rice, grapes, cereals, vegetables, fruits) and livestock production; b) mountains, the pre-Alps areas are covered by forests, pasture and grassland; Alps is characterized by wide ice valleys, some of them cultivated; c) reclaimed lands include the province of Ferrara, Rovigo, Ravenna, Parma. Water-related ecosystem in the Po basin could be divided in three main groups: High Po, Medium Po e Low Po. High Po: - Crenon (springs vegetation and other zoocenosis) - Epi and metarhithron (hydrophilic vegetation and ichthyic fauna) - “Torbiera” (altitudinal vegetation and fauna composed by insects, shellfishes, nematodes) - Risorgive, fontanili and marcite (springs) (vegetation derived by ice and ichthyic fauna) Medium Po (from Torino to Ticino): - Cave (igrophilic vegetation and wetland essence, fishes, amphibians, reptiles, etc.) - Risorgive, fontanili and marcite (springs) and epipotamon (igrophilic forest, bed vegetation, shellfishes and green frogs) Low Po (from Ticino to Pontelagoscuro): - Cave (quiet water vegetation, sponges, polyps, etc.) - Risorgive, fontanili and marcite (springs) and metapotamon (quiet water vegetation, sponges, polyps, etc.). 1.3 Water system characteristics Total water resources in the basin amount at 80 billions of m3/year. Water abstraction from surface water bodies is about 25,1 billion cubic meters per year and 5,3 billion cubic meters from groundwater. A detailed water balance is proposed in the following figure 1.2. (in million m3). Urban runoff is unmeasured, but important in drought seasons in some areas for irrigation. It goes only partially through wastewater treatments and can cause water quality problems. Wastewater treatment is compulsory in principle, but is actually absent or hardly working in many important towns. Desalinisation is not relevant. A big emphasis is given now to water reuse (through incentive policies), though it is almost irrelevant in practice. The flow rivers are feed by glaciers on the Alps and by rainfall and groundwater on the Appennines Lakes have an important role in particular in Lombardia where the main lakes of the basin are located. Delta length is 25 km and its structure is variable in time and in space. In this area there are wetlands as the dominant feature. Groundwater is an important source throughout the plain area. The river flow is characterised by important pieces of artificial tracts, for about 375 km (from Tanaro to Po di Goro). Some sub-basins are used for energy. Artificial reservoirs along all rivers are exploited for several uses (flood control, etc.). The hydrographic network is affected by flows from treatment facilities in Emilia Romagna. CER canal transports water to the neighbouring Reno basin. There are 32 water bodies, not all of them have good or sufficient water quality. Pollution problems affect mainly Lambro, Olona, Parma and Panaro rivers. According to the WFD definition, the Lambro-Olona basin could be considered HMWB (Section 1.5 pag. 27 RVEBP conclusion). 2 Po Basin Case study status report (Deliverable D32) Fig. 1.2 Water Balance in million m3. Groundwater Abstraction: 5.300 Surface water Abstraction: 25.100 16000 2300 8000 187 0.4 2000 Capt./ distribution NACE 41 29 700 267 Agricultural and livestock NACE 01 1470 Industry Extraction and manifacture industries NACE 10-39 Electricity, gas, etc…NACE 40 Other industrial uses NACE 02, 42-99 Civil NACE 70 1537 lost Other uses 1470 Fonts 75 AdBPo Depuration NACE 90001 Urban run.off ISTAT IEFE estimate Surface water 1.4 Characterisation of water use In table 1.2 water uses and services are reported, divided by socio-economic sector. Sector Table 1.2 Uses and services of water by sector. Uses & services Household Drinking, cooking, washing and other household uses Industry Manufacturing, thermoelectric cooling and others industrial uses Agriculture Irrigation of crops, livestock watering, aquaculture Energy Hydroelectric generation power 3 Po Basin Case study status report (Deliverable D32) Recreation Irrigation of parks and golf courses, swimming, boating, maintenance of biodiversity, etc. 816 areas of different kinds are considered protected under EU and/or Italy law (national or local park, etc.) (Tab. 7-2 in RB for a complete summary). The surface of protected areas is about the 15% of the basin. Many protected areas are characterised for their aquatic environment (e.g. the Po delta). Environmental flow requirements (EFR) are not well defined in Italy. In fact, the decree 152/99 underlines the importance of EFR but there isn’t a unique criteria: For example, in Lombardia region the EFR is taken equal to 10% of annual average natural capacity (SPL sec 4.1.4 ). In general there is a EFR deficit between May and September in Emilia Romagna. Planning documents provide for assuring the EFR in 2008 for all basin rivers. Given the weak definition and uniformity, EFR tends to be an important source of conflicts. Key planning documents are PTA (Water Protection Plan) made by the region and PB (Basin Plan) made by basin authorities. The existing laws already mention cost-benefit studies as a desirable option, particularly for very important issues. On this basis and anticipating the WFD, some regions are including economic studies within their planning documents, mainly in relation to very specific and localised problems. References are informally made to WFD-related documents (e.g. WATECO). However, to date, a comprehensive economic analysis of water use related to the Po basin has not been done yet. There are some specific and local analyses done by some regions and reported in their PTA. The available economic analyses are usually based on an analysis of cost for water provision and treatment. In some areas, e.g. Lombardia region, a “full” cost for water has been calculated taking into account depreciation costs of new infrastructures. This information is generally used to allow a rough evaluation of cost recovery. Resource and environmental costs are mentioned in some documents (e.g. PTA Piemonte), though the origin of their calculation is unclear. Population has decreased in the last years, about -1,5% each year. In many areas, people move from mountains to urban area, that gives rise to concentration of human pressure. At the same time, in other areas population flows from city centres to surrounding settlements. Industry sector is more or less stable; while the total farms number decreases, but those remained increase their dimension. Irrigable agricultural area is increasing, while irrigated area is decreasing. 1.5 Major water quality and environmental problems Surface water quality is affected by various problems. Both in Appenines river basins (mainly irrigation use) and Alps river basins (mainly hydroelectric use) a flow reduction of the natural capacity is caused by a great number of water derivations influencing the autodepurative abilities and increasing pollution problems. The surface water pollutions is mainly due to the excessive organic flow breaking in and that provokes eutrophication problems in rivers with weak recharge, in lakes and in the Adriatic sea (the most important among environmental problems). Locally, superficial water quality is influenced by toxic substances of industrial, agriculture or livestock origin (for example: chemical products and heavy metals). Groundwater quality is affected by emissions of pollutant substances (the most important are nitrates). Another problem is the subsidence, caused by excessive abstraction of groundwater. 4 Po Basin Case study status report (Deliverable D32) 2. Pressure impact, and risk analysis with regards to the WFD environmental objectives 2.1 Significant pressures impacting on water status The main pollutants are phosphorous (P) and nitrogen (N). In the next table (2.1) the sources of pollution are showed, agriculture is the main non-point pollution source, while the others are mainly point (livestock is point/diffuse). Agriculture represents the most important source of pollution in Po river basin (table 2.2). Table 2.1 Contribution in tons per year of N and P for each sector. Underground contribution Surface contribution (t/year) (t/year) Source N P N P Household 6.202 427 1.251 94 Industry 1.382 6 Livestock 5.668 351 4.605 12 Agriculture 32.875 1.708 24.223 114 Total 46.127 2.492 30.080 219 Table 2.2 Contribution in percentual of N and P for each sector. Surface contribution Underground contribution Sector N P N P Household 13,45% 17,15% 4,16% 42,74% Industry 3,00% 0,24% Livestock 12,29% 14,09% 15,31% 5,34% Agriculture 71,27% 68,52% 80,53% 51,92% Agriculture is by far the main sector abstracting water (table 2.3). Table 2.3 Abstraction of water for each sector. User groups Volumes derivated in Abstraction from millions of m3/year Surface water Groundwater Household 2.500 20% 80% Industry 1.537 20% 80% Agriculture+livestock 17.700 83% 17% Total 63% 37% 21.737 However, most water is unmeasured and its contribution to water abstraction is largely an uncertain estimate (particularly for groundwater). On the other hand, it is claimed that the distribution of water through irrigation also produces environmental benefits. The energy sector is not included in table 2.3, as it does not cause additional abstraction. However it severely affects water flows, particularly during summers. It can become a problem when water left to flow is insufficient to guarantee the EFR. The total abstraction in Po basin is 21.737 millions of m3/year, about 25% of total water available in the basin. In both mountainous and plain areas water flow is largely regulated through stream maintenance, artificial canals, water drainage and water lift to the sea level from the lower areas. The water management is regulated by Reclamation and Irrigation Boards. They manage various morphological-related facilities such as expansion ponds, canals’ 5 Po Basin Case study status report (Deliverable D32) waterproofing, and flood activities needed for irrigation use, etc.. Expansion cases in the basin are addressed to control a river flow to prevent flooding. An important issue is the impact of urbanization on the speed of runoff that leads to growing problems in flood control. Measures are being taken to compensate with small ponds attached to new building areas. Fig. 2.1 shows the groundwater quantity situation in Po river basin, derived both natural availability and human uses. Fig. 2.1 Groundwater classification: quantitative state. A.I. = Anthropic Impact. class A (A.I. null/negligible; balance of hydrogeologic assessment, sustainable use on along period), class B (A.I. reduced; light unbalance of assessment, sustainable use on along period), class C (A.I. significant; unsustainable use on along period), class D (A.I. null/negligible; insufficient natural water potentiality). 2.2 Impacts on surface and groundwater bodies Water bodies in the Po basin are classified according to five classes. Most of the municipalities rest in the intermediate level and only a minor number are in the upper class (tables 2.4-2.7). Table 2.4 Distribution of nitrogen pollution in surface water. Water quality for nitrogen pollution Class N° municipalities % on total 1 156 5% 2 957 29% 3 1136 35% 4 755 23% 5 247 8% Table 2.5 Distribution of phosphorous pollution in surface water. Water quality for phosphorous pollution Class N° municipalities % on total 1 97 3% 2 1063 33% 3 1205 37% 6 Po Basin Case study status report (Deliverable D32) 4 607 19% 5 279 9% Table 2.6 Distribution of nitrogen pollution in groundwater. Water quality for nitrogen pollution Class N° municipalities % on total 1 101 8% 2 303 23% 3 485 36% 4 385 29% 5 68 5% Table 2.7 Distribution of phosphorous pollution in groundwater. Water quality for phosphorous pollution Class N° municipalities % on total 1 78 6% 2 314 23% 3 570 42% 4 272 20% 5 108 8% The general pattern is common to all the main pollutants. In fig. 2.2 there is represented the surface water classification by macro-characteristics pollutant level. Fig. 2.2 Surface water classification: macro-characteristics pollutant level (MPL). MPL: z very poor z poor z sufficient z good very z good 7 Po Basin Case study status report (Deliverable D32) 2.3 Water bodies at risk of not achieving a good status Water bodies with a “very poor” quality status risk of not achieving a good status. This bodies (SECA = 5, ecological state of water body) are: -Borbore (Vezza d’Alba) Boriacco, Naviglio Canal, Canalazzo Tassone, Chisola (Volvera), Cinghio (Gaione-Parma), La Grua (Borgomanero), Lagna, Lambro, Lovassino, Mella (Castelmella), Olona (Rho), Tepice e Terdoppio novarese (Cerano). 2.4 Diagnosis of water quality and ecological issues Water quality standards and objectives in the perspective of WFD have not been established. However, a classification of water bodies and some water management objectives are established. Water quality conditions are critical especially in some areas. Only two regions, close to mountains, have all the rivers in a sufficient or good condition (i.e. Valle D’Aosta and Trentino). In several areas in other regions the actual situation differs from the standard. A quality standard classification is given also for groundwater; many qualitative problems can be found near by big cities and industries in the north plain area. 2.5 General trends and future pressures See 1.4. In addition to human pressures, an important concern is climate change. In the recent years, poor rainfall and snowfall in winter have become an issue, as they do not allow recharge, with consequences during summer. The predicted un-availability of water worsens scarcity problems due to strategic storage in the upper areas (big lakes, and Piemonte), particularly to guarantee availability for production of electricity during summer. 3. Policy issues 3.1 Water management framework and major issues Presently, the WFD is not implemented in Italy. The Italian government approved the decree 152/2006 that implemented the WFD, but it was basically suspended at the end of 2006 (decree 284/2006), that established to maintain the previous situation. The present government plans to deal with the implementation of the WFD in late 2007. Presently water issues are regulated by a number of laws, but mainly by decree 152/1999. Main responsibilities are centralised and delegated to regions. Each region may produce its own laws and provinces have their responsibilities in local implementation. In parallel, basin authorities exist, that deal mainly with flood control. There is not a hierarchy between regional administration and basin authorities. ATO are in charge of water distribution for human consumption and industrial use. Reclamation and irrigation boards are responsible for land reclamation, (local) flood control and distribution of irrigation water. The issue of water rights touches several levels in the Po basin. At the interregional scale, there is an issue of quantitative water rights, as a larger amount of water is used by upstream regions (Piemonte, Lombardia). In analogy, Lombardia is responsible of a large share of pollution, which affects downstream regions and the Adriatic sea. Along rivers streaming from the alps, the right to retain water in dams for electricity is an important issue, particularly during summer. A property right issue is water abstraction from wells. Though in principle groundwater should be public property subject to concession, in practice a large number of wells is unregulated. 8 Po Basin Case study status report (Deliverable D32) Scarcity problems follow seasonality: in the summer a lot of areas suffer droughts; the lack of snow and rainfall during winter and/or autumn increases this problem. Policies under consideration include artificial reservoirs. Flood risk issues are historically of paramount importance in the basin. Traditionally they include flood defence in the lower Po valley, during exceptional rainfall event. However, also floods in the bottom part of mountain valley have become an issue following urbanisation. Several disasters mark the area. Main quality problems appear in between two regions: Emila-Romagna and Lombardia, due to the bad quality of Lambro-Olona river. Downstream effects of pollution along the coast are a cause of major concern due also to the touristic relevance of the Adriatic sea area. The area of the delta is deeply affected by the problem of subsidence. This is partly related to the gas abstraction made around ’40-’50. Presently the main cause is groundwater abstraction. Subsidence produced problems related the reclamation actions, flooding and harbour infrastructures. (Subsidence sec. 5.5 of the RB) Water efficiency is an issue, also in relation to water scarcity problems. Main concerns regard in house misuses, percolation and evaporation from canals and leakage from pipes. Policy actions concerns information as well as infrastructure renovation. 3.2 Information sources and stakeholder involvement Information are produced by several stakeholders, that create a large heterogeneity in standard and timing of data related to the different information source: Basin Authority, Reclamation and Irrigation Boards,, Local institutions, Regions, ATO (Ambiti Territoriali Ottimali - Optimal local place), ARPA (Agenzia Regionale Protezione Ambiente – Regional Agency Protection Eviromental), Mountains Communities and the National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT). 4. ERC analysis and methodological issues 4.1 Proposed methods and tools for the valuation of ERC Given the shortage of economic studies coupled with the variety of water uses, the Po basin could in principle be suitable benefit/require any methodologies and tools. On the basis of existing knowledge and policy agenda, likely priorities would be: • Evaluation of perceived benefits of water quality improvements; given the scale and the complexity of analysis, stated preferences methods (CVM, choice experiments, etc.) would be preferred, while revealedpreferences methods (travel cost, hedonic methods, etc.), though feasible, would produce very partial and locally related info on value. CVM exercise should be designed in order to be adapted to support value transfer; existing CVM exercise are too localised and peculiar to support any intra-basin transferability. • Agricultural math programming economic models to assess impact related to agriculture; in this field many localised experiences have been made and the issue of upscaling, value transfer or territorial model should be dealt next; • Inter-basin benefit transfer would have a lot of interest for short term response to decision making problems; however, at the present state of knowledge, testing the reliability of transfer would be very difficult. • Hydrological models and meteo info are relatively well developed; however connection to economic info is weak and not always trustable. Given to the complexity of the basin, such a task may be thought of only for smaller basins. • Avoidance cost are the most common information used up to now in economic analysis of water uses, derived from municipal wastewater treatments 9 Po Basin Case study status report (Deliverable D32) 4.2 Methodological issues The main methodological issues are: • Lack of legal framework for the application of WFD in the area; this makes the policy agenda, commitments and info flow substantially disconnected from the issues to be studied. • The complexity and variety of the basin in terms of sub-basin, different environmental conditions etc. • Different distribution (areas, population) of costs and benefits (e.g. Lombardia polluting Adriatic see) that also reflects in areas out of the basin • Poor basis for economic information and discrepancies with administrative boundaries • Population, economic sustainability of the main sectors and technologies are changing dramatically • As a consequence of the above, there will be at least three sources of uncertainty: o Poor information basis (technical and economic) o Dynamics of sectors and trends depending on a variety of scenario variables o Quality and quantity objectives 10 Po Basin Case study status report (Deliverable D32) References ARPA Emilia-Romagna, 2005. Valsat, valutazione della sostenibilità ambientale e territoriale. All’interno del piano di tutela e uso delle acque. (VER) Autorità di Bacino del Po, 2006. Caratteristiche del bacino del fiume Po e primo esame dell’impatto ambientale delle attività umane sulle risorse idriche (Characteristics of the river basin of the Po river and first examination of environmental impact of the human activities on the water resources). Italy. (RB) Massarutto, A., Basoni, A., De Carli, A., Lodi, A., Paccagnan, V., 2007. Studio di fattibilità concernente lo sviluppo dell’analisi economica dell’utilizzo idrico a scala di bacino del fiume Po così come prevista dalla Direttiva 2000/60/CE (Feasibility study concerning the development of the economic analysis of water use to scale of Po river basin like previewed from Directive 2000/60/EC). IEFE, istituto di economia e politica dell’energia e dell’ambiente, Università commerciale Luigi Bocconi, Italy. (RVEBP) Massarutto, A., Basoni, A., De Carli, A., Lodi, A., Paccagnan, V., 2007. Studio di fattibilità concernente lo sviluppo dell’analisi economica dell’utilizzo idrico a scala di bacino del fiume Po così come prevista dalla Direttiva 2000/60/CE, attività integrativa (Feasibility study concerning the development of the economic analysis of water use to scale of Po river basin like previewed from Directive 2000/60/EC, integration activity). IEFE, Istituto di economia e politica dell’energia e dell’ambiente, Università Commerciale Luigi Bocconi, Italy. (RVEI) Regione Emilia-Romagna, 2005. Piano di tutela e uso delle acque. (RER) Regione Lombardia, 2005. Piano di tutela e uso delle acque. (SPL) 11