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RAND Middle East Research
CENTER FOR MIDDLE EAST PUBLIC POLICY
I n te r n a ti o n a l P r o gr a m s a t R A N D
R A N D Ce nter for Mid dle E a st Pu blic Polic y
T
he RAND Center for Middle East Public Policy (CMEPP) brings together
analytic excellence and regional expertise from across the RAND Corporation
to address the most critical political, social, and economic challenges facing
the Middle East today. We focus not only on near-term challenges but also on
critical long-term trends and solutions.
Our goal is to inform policy in order to help improve the security and well being of
people living in the region. RAND’s work in the region helps decisionmakers better
understand how to tackle their domestic challenges and build capacity in ways
that will make their societies safer, smarter, and more prosperous.
As part of a nonprofit and nonpartisan organization, RAND’s Middle East experts
are committed to high-quality, objective research and analysis. They hold advanced
degrees in an array of disciplines and specialize in a uniquely broad range of
capabilities, including long-range planning and forecasting, risk assessment, and
program evaluation. Many of our Middle East experts have advanced regional
language skills and were born or have lived in the region.
RAND’s Middle East work is funded by governments, private foundations, and
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For more information about the RAND Center for Middle East Public Policy, visit
www.rand.org/cmepp or contact its director, Dalia Dassa Kaye at dkaye@rand.org.
P o l i t i ca l Tran si t i o n s
Democratization
in the Arab World
Prospects and Lessons
from Around the Globe
Laurel E. Miller, Jeffrey Martini,
F. Stephen Larrabee, Angel
Rabasa, Stephanie Pezard, Julie E.
Taylor, Tewodaj Mengistu
Internet Freedom
and Political Space
Olesya Tkacheva, Lowell H.
Schwartz, Martin C. Libicki,
Julie E. Taylor, Jeffrey Martini,
Caroline Baxter
This report examines how Internet
freedom may transform statesociety relations in nondemocratic
regimes and includes case studies
of Egypt and Syria.
Daunting challenges lie ahead for
Arab countries where revolutions
have upended longstanding authoritarian regimes. This monograph aims to help policymakers understand the challenges ahead, form well-founded
expectations, shape diplomatic approaches, and take
practical steps to foster positive change.
286 pages, 2013, www.rand.org/t/RR295
434 pages, 2012, www.rand.org/t/MG1192
As a means of helping U.S. policymakers and Middle
East watchers better understand voting patterns in Egypt
since the 2011 revolution, R AND researchers identified
regional voting trends, where Islamist parties run strongest, and where non-Islamists are most competitive. The
report found that Egypt was heading toward a much more
competitive political environment in which Islamists were
increasingly challenged to maintain their electoral edge
before the ouster of President Morsi.
An updated summary is available in English and Arabic.
www.rand.org/t/MG1192z2 (English),
www.rand.org/t/MG1192z1 (Arabic)
Building
Democracy on
the Ashes of
Authoritarianism
in the Arab World
Workshop Summary
Laurel E. Miller, Jeffrey Martini
Regime changes in the Arab world
have presented challenges related to building new, more
open political systems and responding to popular expectations of improved living conditions. The RAND Corporation and the Ankara-based International Strategic Research
Organization convened a workshop in Istanbul where
a range of authorities from Arab countries could reflect
collaboratively in a private setting on how to overcome
obstacles to democratization.
8 pages, 2013, www.rand.org/t/CF312
Voting Patterns in
Post-Mubarak Egypt
Jeffrey Martini, Stephen Worman
16 pages, 2013, www.rand.org/t/RR223
Eco n o m i c s and D e v e lo pmen t
Knowledge-Based Economies
and Basing Economies on
Knowledge
Skills a Missing Link in GCC Countries
Krishna B. Kumar, Desiree van Welsum
In addition to an Information and Communication Technology infrastructure, a skilled labor force and a supportive environment are necessary to the balanced development of a knowledge-based economy. Without sufficient
human capital and policies in place to promote the use
of adopted technologies, their full potential may not be
realized. This paper uses a cross-country perspective and
various economic indicators to assess the development of
Gulf Cooperation Council countries in the dimensions of
a knowledge economy.
49 pages, 2013, www.rand.org/t/RR188
www.rand.org/cmepp
Building the Future
Summary of Four Studies
to Develop the Private
Sector, Education, Health
Care, and Data for
Decisionmaking for the
Kurdistan Region—Iraq
C. Ross Anthony, Michael L.
Hansen, Krishna B. Kumar,
Howard J. Shatz, Georges Vernez
This report summarizes the approaches, findings, and
recommendations of four studies intended to help the
Kurdistan Regional Government expand access to highquality education and health care, increase private-sector
development and employment for the expanding labor
force, and design a data-collection system to support
high-priority policies. The detailed findings appear in
four separate reports. Published in English/Kurdish and
English/Arabic versions.
108 pages, 2012, www.rand.org/t/MG1185z1-2 (English/Kurdish)
108 pages, 2012, www.rand.org/t/MG1185-2 (English/Arabic)
Recommended
Research Priorities
for the Qatar
Foundation’s
Environment and
Energy Research
Institute
Nidhi Kalra, Obaid Younossi,
Kristy N. Kamarck, Sarah
Al-Dorani, Gary Cecchine, Aimee
E. Curtright, Chaoling Feng, Aviva Litovitz,
David R. Johnson, Mohammed Makki, Shanthi Nataraj,
David S. Ortiz, Parisa Roshan, Constantine Samaras
The Qatar Foundation is establishing a national research
institute to conduct and collaborate on applied research
in energy, environment, and water issues, the Qatar
Environment and Energy Research Institute. This book
recommends research priorities for the new institution
and reports on a survey of relevant research institutions in
the region.
296 pages, 2011, www.rand.org/t/MG1106
www.rand.org/cmepp
Future Challenges for the
Arab World
The Implications of Demographic and
Economic Trends
Keith Crane, Steven Simon, Jeffrey Martini
This report assesses likely demographic and economic
trends in the Arab world through 2020, focusing on
changes that are likely to affect U.S. defense planning and
U.S. policy in the region.
118 pages, 2011, www.rand.org/t/TR912
Facing Human
Capital Challenges
of the 21st Century
Education and Labor
Market Initiatives in
Lebanon, Oman, Qatar,
and the United Arab
Emirates: Executive
Summary
Gabriella C. Gonzalez, Lynn A.
Karoly, Louay Constant, Hanine Salem,
Charles A. Goldman
This book summarizes the education and labor market
initiatives implemented or under way in four countries in
the Arab region—Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, and the United
Arab Emirates—to address the human resource issues
they each face as they prepare their countries for a place in
the 21st century global economy. Together, these countries highlight the variety of challenges faced by countries
in the region and responses to those challenges. Published
in both English and Arabic.
154 pages, 2008, www.rand.org/t/MG786z1
Pl ann i n g f o r t h e Fu t u re
Effective Policing
for 21st-Century
Israel
Jessica Saunders, Steven W.
Popper, Andrew R. Morral,
Robert C. Davis, Claude Berrebi,
Kristin J. Leuschner, Shira Efron,
Boaz Segalovitz, K. Jack Riley
Israel has changed dramatically in
the past two decades. The Israel
Police is transforming itself to
meet the needs of modern Israel. The Ministry of Public
Security, the Ministry of Finance, and the Israel Police
asked R AND to conduct a study to address issues of
public perceptions and trust in the police, benchmarking
the police against other police organizations, performance
measurement, and deterrence and crime prevention.
110 pages, 2013, www.rand.org/t/RR287
Natural Gas
and Israel’s
Energy Future
Near-Term Decisions from
a Strategic Perspective
Steven W. Popper, Claude Berrebi,
James Griffin, Thomas Light,
Endy M. Daehner, Keith Crane
This book discusses the opportunities and risks Israel faces in shifting
to a greater reliance on domestic and imported natural
gas. By applying newly developed methods for strategic
planning and decisionmaking under deep uncertainty,
the analysis seeks to help the Israeli government engage
in managed change by choosing robust strategies that
minimize potential consequences of relying more heavily
on natural gas. Published in both English and Hebrew.
The Arc
A Formal Structure for a
Palestinian State
Doug Suisman, Steven Simon,
Glenn Robinson, C. Ross Anthony,
Michael Schoenbaum
An examination of options for
strengthening the housing and
transportation infrastructure of
a potential future independent
Palestinian state in the context of a
large and rapidly growing Palestinian population. The book includes initial cost estimates
for improving and expanding infrastructure to facilitate
successful development.
106 pages, 2005, www.rand.org/t/MG327-2
Building a
Successful
Palestinian State
The RAND Palestinian State
Study Team
An examination of how an independent Palestinian state, if
created, can be made successful.
The authors describe options for
strengthening governance, security,
economic development, access to water, health and health
care, and education, and estimate the financial resources
needed for successful development over the first decade of
independence.
452 pages, 2007, www.rand.org/t/MG146-1
186 pages, 2009, www.rand.org/t/MG927
Helping a Palestinian State Succeed
Key Findings
The RAND Palestinian State Study Team
A summary of two R AND studies on options for facilitating successful Palestinian development,
MG-146-1-DCR and MG-327-1-GG. The former examines options for strengthening governance,
security, economic development, access to water, health and health care, and education. The latter
examines options for addressing housing, transportation, and related infrastructure needs. Both
studies estimate the financing needed for successful development.
86 pages, 2007, www.rand.org/t/MG146z1-1
www.rand.org/cmepp
E d u cat i o n
Qatar’s School
Transportation
System
Supporting Safety,
Efficiency, and Service
Quality
Keith Henry, Obaid Younossi,
Maryah Al-Dafa, Shelly
Culbertson, Michael G. Mattock,
Thomas Light, Charlene Rohr
In consideration of the many challenges associated with
Qatar’s continued growth and demographic changes, the
government of Qatar is interested in updating its school
transportation system (STS). This volume assesses parents’
and school administrators’ perspectives on Qatar’s STS,
identifies a vision and goals for the STS, and discusses
strategies to achieve the vision and better align Qatar’s
STS with international norms. Published in both English
and Arabic.
154 pages, 2012, www.rand.org/t/MG1136 (English),
www.rand.org/t/MG1136z1 (Arabic)
Implementation
of the K–12
Education Reform
in Qatar’s Schools
Cu lt u re and t h e A r t s
Artists and the
Arab Uprisings
Lowell H. Schwartz, Dalia Dassa
Kaye, Jeffrey Martini
Regional artists can play a positive
role in shaping public debate and
supporting democratic transition
in the Middle East. This report
explores the challenges artists have
faced since the Arab uprisings, U.S.
government programs to support
arts in the region, and the wide array of nongovernmental
activities to engage Arab artists, offering recommendations to improve support for these artists.
100 pages, 2013, www.rand.org/t/RR271
RAND Review
Vol. 36, No. 3,
Winter 2012–2013
Cultural Oasis: For Arab
Children, Collected Works
Offer Roads to Tolerance,
Critical Thinking
Gail L. Zellman, Jeffrey Martini,
Michal Perlman
Gail L. Zellman, Gery W. Ryan,
Rita Karam, Louay Constant,
Hanine Salem, Gabriella C.
Gonzalez, Charles A. Goldman,
Hessa Al-Thani, Kholode
Al-Obaidli
The cover story discusses the promotion of tolerance and
critical thinking in the Arab world through books and
other media targeted toward children.
To assess progress made in the first years of Qatar’s implementation of its K–12 education reform, R AND analyzed
data from school-level observations, national surveys, and
national student assessments. Findings reveal that the
new, Independent schools had implemented many elements of the reform, that students in these schools were
performing better than students in Ministry of Education
schools, and that much work was still needed to enable
students to meet the new, higher standards.
Original source for RAND Review story:
196 pages, 2009, www.rand.org/t/MG880
6 pages, 2013, www.rand.org/t/CP22-2013-01
Identifying Arabic-Language
Materials for Children
That Promote Tolerance and
Critical Thinking
Gail L. Zellman, Jeffrey Martini, Michal Perlman
Describes the creation of developmentally appropriate
criteria used to identify and screen Arabic-language works
for children that promote tolerance and critical thinking
and the characteristics of the materials that were found.
The authors present several examples of works that met
the criteria, discuss barriers that prevent the development
and dissemination of more such works, and suggest ways
to address and overcome these barriers.
84 pages, 2011, www.rand.org/t/TR856
www.rand.org/cmepp
www.rand.org
Barriers to
the Broad
Dissemination of
Creative Works in
the Arab World
Lowell H. Schwartz, Todd C.
Helmus, Dalia Dassa Kaye, Nadia
Oweidat
A growing body of creative works
by Arab authors and artists counters the intellectual and ideological underpinnings of
violent extremism. Unfortunately, many of these works
are not widely disseminated, marginalizing the influence
of these alternative voices. This monograph examines the
barriers to the broad dissemination of such works, with a
focus on Arabic literature, and suggests ways to overcome
these barriers.
58 pages, 2009, www.rand.org/t/MG879
Iran and i t s reg i o na l re l at i o n s h i p s
Turkish-Iranian
Relations in a
Changing
Middle East
F. Stephen Larrabee, Alireza
Nader
Turkey and Iran tend to be rivals
rather than close partners, despite
sharing certain economic and security interests. For instance, Turkey supports the opposition in Syria, while Iran supports the regime. Turkey is
further concerned about a possible nuclear arms race in
the Middle East. U.S. and Turkish interests in the region
closely overlap, but the United States should not expect
Turkey to follow its policy toward Iran unconditionally.
58 pages, 2013, www.rand.org/t/RR258
Iran After the Bomb
How Would a Nuclear-Armed Tehran
Behave?
Alireza Nader
This study explores how a nuclear-armed Iran would
behave and what this would entail for the United States
and its main regional allies. It analyzes the Islamic Republic’s ideology, motivations, and national security doctrine;
examines a nuclear-armed Iran’s potential policies toward
Saudi Arabia and the Gulf Cooperation Council; discusses
its potential behavior toward Israel; explores its relations
with terrorist groups; and presents key findings.
50 pages, 2013, www.rand.org/t/RR310
China and Iran
Economic, Political, and Military Relations
Scott Warren Harold, Alireza Nader
The partnership between the Islamic Republic of Iran
and the People’s Republic of China presents a unique
challenge to U.S. interests and objectives, including dissuading Iran from developing a nuclear weapons capability. This paper examines factors driving Chinese-Iranian
cooperation, potential tensions in the Chinese-Iranian
partnership, and U.S. policy options for influencing this
partnership to meet U.S. objectives.
46 pages, 2012, www.rand.org/t/OP351
Coping with a
Nuclearizing Iran
James Dobbins, Alireza Nader,
Dalia Dassa Kaye, Frederic
Wehrey
Some time in the coming decade,
Iran will probably acquire nuclear
weapons or the capacity to quickly
produce them. This monograph
provides a midterm strategy for
dealing with Iran that neither
begins nor ends at the point at which Tehran acquires a
nuclear weapon capability. It proposes an approach that
neither acquiesces to a nuclear-armed Iran nor refuses
to admit the possibility—indeed, the likelihood—of this
occurring.
154 pages, 2011, www.rand.org/t/MG1154
www.rand.org/cmepp
Iran’s Nuclear
Future
What Do Iranians Think?
Lynn E. Davis, Jeffrey Martini,
Alireza Nader, Dalia Dassa
Kaye, James T. Quinlivan, Paul
Steinberg
Sara Beth Elson, Alireza Nader
Critical U.S. Policy Choices
As Iran’s nuclear program evolves,
U.S. decisionmakers will confront
a series of critical policy choices
involving complex considerations
and policy trade-offs. These policy choices could involve
dissuading Iran from developing nuclear weapons; deterring Iran from using its nuclear weapons, if it were to
acquire them; and reassuring U.S. regional partners. The
U.S. Air Force will need to prepare to carry out whatever
policies are chosen.
152 pages, 2011, www.rand.org/t/MG1087
The Next
Supreme Leader
Succession in the Islamic
Republic of Iran
Alireza Nader, David E. Thaler,
S. R. Bohandy
As the commander in chief and
highest political authority in Iran,
the current Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has played a
critical role in the direction of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
This monograph identifies three key factors that will shape
succession of the next Supreme Leader and outlines five
alternative scenarios for the post-Khamenei era. It situates
all of this within the context of the June 2009 election.
124 pages, 2011, www.rand.org/t/MG1052
A Survey of Attitudes on the United States,
the Nuclear Program, and the Economy
A phone survey of Iranian public opinion revealed considerable opposition to the reestablishment of U.S.-Iranian
ties and significant support for development of nuclear
weapons. Negative attitudes toward the Iranian economy
were less prevalent than expected, and many respondents
did not consider sanctions to have had a significant negative impact on the economy.
123 pages, 2011, www.rand.org/t/TR910
Israel and Iran
A Dangerous Rivalry
Dalia Dassa Kaye, Alireza Nader,
Parisa Roshan
Israel and Iran have come to view
each other as direct regional rivals.
The two countries are not natural
rivals; they have shared geopolitical interests, which led to years of
cooperation both before and after
the 1979 Islamic revolution. But
their rivalry has intensified recently, particularly with the
rise of fundamentalist leaders in Iran and the prospect of a
nuclear-armed Iran posing grave strategic and ideological
challenges to Israel.
116 pages, 2011, www.rand.org/t/MG1143
Mullahs, Guards,
and Bonyads
An Exploration of Iranian
Leadership Dynamics
David E. Thaler, Alireza Nader,
Shahram Chubin, Jerrold D.
Green, Charlotte Lynch, Frederic
Wehrey
The U.S. ability to “read” the Iranian regime and formulate appropriate policies has been weakened
by lack of access to the country and by the opacity of
decisionmaking in Tehran. To improve understanding of
Iran’s political system, the authors describe Iranian strategic culture; investigate Iran’s informal networks, formal
government institutions, and personalities; assess the
impact of elite behavior on Iranian policy; and summarize
key trends.
168 pages, 2010, www.rand.org/t/MG878
www.rand.org/cmepp
The Rise of
the Pasdaran
Assessing the Domestic
Roles of Iran’s Islamic
Revolutionary Guards
Corps
Frederic Wehrey, Jerrold D.
Green, Brian Nichiporuk, Alireza
Nader, Lydia Hansell, Rasool
Nafisi, S. R. Bohandy
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) has
evolved well beyond its origins as an ideological guard for
the regime. Today, in addition to wielding military force,
its influence extends into virtually every corner of Iranian
political life and society. Wehrey et al. assess the IRGC
less as a traditional military entity and more as a domestic
actor, emphasizing the variety of roles it plays in Iran’s
economy and political culture.
152 pages, 2009, www.rand.org/t/MG821
Saudi-Iranian
Relations Since the
Fall of Saddam
Rivalry, Cooperation, and
Implications for U.S. Policy
Frederic Wehrey, Theodore W.
Karasik, Alireza Nader, Jeremy
J. Ghez, Lydia Hansell, Robert A.
Guffey
This book surveys how SaudiIranian relations have unfolded in the Persian Gulf,
Iraq, Lebanon, and Palestine since 2003, identifying the
sources of rivalry and cooperation between the two powers. Understanding and leveraging this relationship will
be a critical part of U.S. efforts to promote stability after
the drawdown of U.S. forces in Iraq and to manage the
regional impact of Iran’s nuclear ambitions.
156 pages, 2009, www.rand.org/t/MG840
R eg i o na l Secu r i t y
Airpower Options for Syria
Assessing Objectives and Missions for
Aerial Intervention
Karl P. Mueller, Jeffrey Martini, Thomas Hamilton
Without presuming that intervening in the Syrian civil
war is the right course, this report considers the goals a
U.S.-led aerial intervention might pursue and examines
the requirements, military potential, and risks of five principal missions that intervening air forces might be called
on to carry out: negating Syrian airpower, neutralizing
Syrian air defenses, defending safe areas, enabling opposition forces to defeat the regime, and preventing the use of
Syrian chemical weapons.
20 pages, 2013, www.rand.org/t/RR446
Ending the
U.S. War in Iraq
The Final Transition,
Operational Maneuver,
and Disestablishment of
the United States Forces–
Iraq (USF-I)
ENDING
THE U.S.
WAR IN
IRAQ
C O R P O R AT I O N
THE FINAL TRANSITION,
OPERATIONAL MANEUVER,
AND DISESTABLISHMENT OF UNITED STATES FORCES-IRAQ (USF-I)
Richard R. Brennan, Jr., Charles
P. Ries, Larry Hanauer, Ben
Connable, Terrence K. Kelly,
Michael J. McNerney, Stephanie Young,
Jason Campbell, and K. Scott McMahon
Richard R. Brennan, Jr.,
Charles P. Ries, Larry Hanauer,
Ben Connable, Terrence K. Kelly,
Michael J. McNerney,
Stephanie Young, Jason Campbell,
K. Scott McMahon
Ending the U.S. war in Iraq required redeploying 100,000
military and civilian personnel; handing off responsibility
for 431 activities to the Iraqi government, U.S. embassy,
U.S. Central Command, or other U.S. government entities; and moving or transferring ownership of over a million pieces of property in accordance with U.S. and Iraqi
laws, national policy, and Department of Defense requirements. This book examines the planning and execution of
this transition.
560 pages (approximate), forthcoming
Syria as an Arena of Strategic
Competition
Jeffrey Martini, Erin York, William Young
Since the beginning of the uprising in Syria, localized protests have morphed into full-blown civil conflict, and external actors have become involved as well. R AND conducted
an analytic exercise to generate a greater understanding
of the parties and issues in play, including the actors, their
motivations, and potential impact of their activities.
12 pages, 2013, www.rand.org/t/RR213
www.rand.org/cmepp
Libya’s Post-Qaddafi Transition
The Nation-Building Challenge
Christopher S. Chivvis, Keith Crane, Peter Mandaville,
Jeffrey Martini
Since Qaddafi’s death, the light-footprint approach
adopted for Libya’s postwar transition is facing its most
serious test. Security, the political transition, and economic development all present challenges. But if Libya’s
transitional authorities and the international community
handle this issue set adroitly, Libya could still emerge as a
positive force for democratic stability in North Africa and
a valuable partner against al-Qaeda.
20 pages, 2012, www.rand.org/t/RR129
Resolving Kirkuk
Lessons Learned from Settlements of Earlier
Ethno-Territorial Conflicts
Larry Hanauer, Laurel E. Miller
Past efforts to resolve ethno-territorial conflicts in BrČko,
Mostar, Northern Ireland, and Jerusalem provide insights
that could facilitate a negotiated settlement regarding the
disputed Iraqi city of Kirkuk. The case studies show that
Arabs, Kurds, and Turkomen must emphasize governance
over symbols of sovereignty, develop adaptable powersharing mechanisms, marginalize spoilers, empower local
leaders, and create multi-ethnic security forces.
88 pages, 2012, www.rand.org/t/MG1198
Troubled Partnership
U.S.-Turkish Relations in an Era of Global
Geopolitical Change
F. Stephen Larrabee
U.S.-Turkish relations, long a vital element of U.S. policy,
have seriously deteriorated in recent years. Priority should
be given to harmonizing policy toward Iraq and the
Middle East as well as Central Asia and the Caucasus.
162 pages, 2010, www.rand.org/t/MG899
Terr o r i s m
The Terrorist Threat from Syria
Seth G. Jones
Testimony presented before the House Homeland Security Committee, Subcommittee on Counterterrorism and
Intelligence, on May 22, 2013.
10 pages, 2013, www.rand.org/t/CT388
www.rand.org/cmepp
The Long Shadow
of 9/11
America’s Response to
Terrorism
Edited by Brian Michael Jenkins,
John Godges
This book provides an array of
answers to the question, In the
years since the 9/11 attacks, how
has America responded? In a series
of essays, R AND authors lend a farsighted perspective to
the national dialogue on 9/11’s legacy; assess the military,
political, fiscal, social, cultural, psychological, and moral
implications of U.S. policymaking since 9/11; and suggest
options for effectively dealing with the terrorist threat in
the future.
222 pages, 2011, www.rand.org/t/MG1107
How Terrorist Groups End
Lessons for Countering al Qa’ida
Seth G. Jones, Martin C. Libicki
All terrorist groups eventually end. But how? Most modern groups have ended because they joined the political
process or local police and intelligence agencies arrested
or killed key members. This has significant implications
for dealing with al Qa’ida and suggests fundamentally
rethinking post-9/11 U.S. counterterrorism strategy:
Policing and intelligence, not military force, should form
the backbone of U.S. efforts against al Qa’ida.
250 pages, 2008, www.rand.org/t/MG741-1
Ungoverned
Territories
Understanding and
Reducing Terrorism Risks
Angel Rabasa, Steven Boraz,
Peter Chalk, Kim Cragin,
Theodore W. Karasik, Jennifer
D. P. Moroney, Kevin A. O’Brien,
John E. Peters
Using a two-tiered framework
applied to eight case studies from around the globe, the
authors of this ground-breaking work seek to understand
the conditions that give rise to ungoverned territories and
make them conducive to a terrorist or insurgent presence.
They also develop strategies to improve the U.S. ability to
mitigate their effects on U.S. security interests.
396 pages, 2007, www.rand.org/t/MG561
Ad ditio n al Mid dle E a st T it les
Political Transitions
The Muslim Brotherhood, Its Youth, and
Implications for U.S. Engagement
Jeffrey Martini, Dalia Dassa Kaye, Erin York
96 pages, 2012, www.rand.org/t/MG1247
More Freedom, Less Terror? Liberalization and
Political Violence in the Arab World
Dalia Dassa Kaye, Frederic Wehrey, Audra K. Grant,
Dale Stahl
226 pages, 2008, www.rand.org/t/MG772
The Rise of Political Islam in Turkey
Angel Rabasa, F. Stephen Larrabee
134 pages, 2008, www.rand.org/t/MG726
Economics and Development
Sustaining the Qatar National Research Fund
Gary Cecchine, Richard E. Darilek, Margaret C.
Harrell, Michael G. Mattock, Shelly Culbertson,
David S. Ortiz, Nicholas C. Maynard, S. R. Bohandy,
Edward Balkovich, Bruce R. Nardulli
98 pages, 2012, www.rand.org/t/TR1125
Launching the Qatar National Research Fund
Shelly Culbertson, Michael G. Mattock, Bruce R.
Nardulli, Abdulrazaq Al-Kuwari, Gary Cecchine,
Margaret C. Harrell, John A. Friel, Richard E. Darilek
104 pages, 2012, www.rand.org/t/TR722
The Impact of Information and Communication
Technologies in the Middle East and North Africa
Flavia Tsang, Ohid Yaqub, Desiree van Welsum, Tony
G. Thompson-Starkey, Joanna Chataway
82 pages, 2011, www.rand.org/t/TR1163
Education
Developing a School Finance System for K–12
Reform in Qatar
Cassandra M. Guarino, Titus Galama, Louay
Constant, Gabriella C. Gonzalez, Jeffery C. Tanner,
Charles A. Goldman
136 pages, 2009, www.rand.org/t/MG839
Lessons from the Field: Developing and
Implementing the Qatar Student Assessment
System, 2002–2006
Gabriella C. Gonzalez, Vi-Nhuan Le, Markus Broer,
Louis T. Mariano, J. Enrique Froemel, Charles A.
Goldman, Julie DaVanzo
92 pages, 2009, www.rand.org/t/TR620
Education for a New Era: Design and
Implementation of K–12 Education Reform in
Qatar
Dominic J. Brewer, Catherine H. Augustine, Gail L.
Zellman, Gery W. Ryan, Charles A. Goldman,
Cathleen Stasz, Louay Constant
216 pages, 2007, www.rand.org/t/MG548
Post-Secondary Education in Qatar: Employer
Demand, Student Choice, and Options for Policy
Cathleen Stasz, Eric R. Eide, Paco Martorell
158 pages, 2007, www.rand.org/t/MG644
Iran and its regional relationships
Rouhani’s Election: Regime Retrenchment in the
Face of Pressure
Alireza Nader
9 pages, 2013, www.rand.org/t/CT394
Iran’s 2013 Presidential Election: Its Meaning and
Implications
Alireza Nader
19 pages, 2013, www.rand.org/t/PE109
RAND Review: Vol. 36, No. 1, Spring 2012
How to Defuse Iran’s Nuclear Threat: Bolster
Diplomacy, Israeli Security, and the Iranian
Citizenry
James Dobbins, Dalia Dassa Kaye, Alireza Nader,
Frederic Wehrey
7 pages, 2012, www.rand.org/t/CP22-2012-04
Using Social Media to Gauge Iranian Public
Opinion and Mood After the 2009 Election
Sara Beth Elson, Douglas Yeung, Parisa Roshan, S. R.
Bohandy, Alireza Nader
108 pages, 2012, www.rand.org/t/TR1161
Containing Iran: Strategies for Addressing the
Iranian Nuclear Challenge
Robert Reardon
206 pages, 2012, www.rand.org/t/MG1180
Iran’s Human Rights Abuses
Alireza Nader
7 pages, 2011, www.rand.org/t/CT369
Iran’s Balancing Act in Afghanistan
Alireza Nader, Joya Laha
30 pages, 2011, www.rand.org/t/OP322
Understanding Iran
Jerrold D. Green, Frederic Wehrey, Charles Wolf, Jr.
166 pages, 2009, www.rand.org/t/MG771
Withdrawing from Iraq: Alternative Schedules,
Associated Risks, and Mitigating Strategies
Walter L. Perry, Stuart E. Johnson, Keith Crane,
David C. Gompert, John Gordon IV, Robert E.
Hunter, Dalia Dassa Kaye, Terrence K. Kelly, Eric
Peltz, Howard J. Shatz
206 pages, 2009, www.rand.org/t/MG882
Occupying Iraq: A History of the Coalition
Provisional Authority
James Dobbins, Seth G. Jones, Benjamin Runkle,
Siddharth Mohandas
410 pages, 2009, www.rand.org/t/MG847
After Saddam: Prewar Planning and the
Occupation of Iraq
Nora Bensahel, Olga Oliker, Keith Crane, Rick
Brennan, Jr., Heather S. Gregg, Thomas Sullivan,
Andrew Rathmell
312 pages, 2008, www.rand.org/t/MG642
Turkey as a U.S. Security Partner
F. Stephen Larrabee
48 pages, 2008, www.rand.org/t/MG694
Talking to the Enemy: Track Two Diplomacy in the
Middle East and South Asia
Dalia Dassa Kaye
166 pages, 2007, www.rand.org/t/MG592
Terrorism
Regional Security
New Challenges to U.S. Counterterrorism Efforts:
An Assessment of the Current Terrorist Threat:
Addendum
Brian Michael Jenkins
10 pages, 2012, www.rand.org/t/CT377z1
All Glory Is Fleeting: Insights from the Second
Lebanon War
Russell W. Glenn
119 pages, 2012, www.rand.org/t/MG708-1
Simple Models to Explore Deterrence and More
General Influence in the War with al-Qaeda
Paul K. Davis
48 pages, 2010, www.rand.org/t/OP296
Managing Arab-Kurd Tensions in Northern Iraq
After the Withdrawal of U.S. Troops
Larry Hanauer, Jeffrey Martini, Omar Al-Shahery
38 pages, 2011, www.rand.org/t/OP339
Would-Be Warriors: Incidents of Jihadist Terrorist
Radicalization in the United States Since
September 11, 2001
Brian Michael Jenkins
32 pages, 2010, www.rand.org/t/OP292
Assessing Living Conditions in Iraq’s Anbar
Province in 2009
Audra K. Grant, Martin C. Libicki
134 pages, 2010, www.rand.org/t/TR836
How Insurgencies End
Ben Connable, Martin C. Libicki
268 pages, 2010, www.rand.org/t/MG965
The Iraq Effect: The Middle East After the Iraq War
Frederic Wehrey, Dalia Dassa Kaye, Jessica Watkins,
Jeffrey Martini, Robert A. Guffey
216 pages, 2010, www.rand.org/t/MG892
Security in Iraq: A Framework for Analyzing
Emerging Threats as U.S. Forces Leave
David C. Gompert, Terrence K. Kelly, Jessica Watkins
96 pages, 2010, www.rand.org/t/MG911
The Impact of U.S. Military Drawdown in Iraq
on Displaced and Other Vulnerable Populations:
Analysis and Recommendations
Olga Oliker, Audra K. Grant, Dalia Dassa Kaye
40 pages, 2010, www.rand.org/t/OP272
Regime and Periphery in Northern Yemen:
The Huthi Phenomenon
Barak Salmoni, Bryce Loidolt, Madeleine Wells
410 pages, 2010, www.rand.org/t/MG962
Deradicalizing Islamist Extremists
Angel Rabasa, Stacie L. Pettyjohn, Jeremy J. Ghez,
Christopher Boucek
242 pages, 2010, www.rand.org/t/MG1053
In Their Own Words: Voices of Jihad—
Compilation and Commentary
David Aaron
348 pages, 2008, www.rand.org/t/MG602
Sharing the Dragon’s Teeth: Terrorist Groups and
the Exchange of New Technologies
Kim Cragin, Peter Chalk, Sara A. Daly, Brian A.
Jackson
136 pages, 2007, www.rand.org/t/MG485
Beyond al-Qaeda: Part 1, The Global Jihadist
Movement
Angel Rabasa, Peter Chalk, Kim Cragin, Sara A. Daly,
Heather S. Gregg, Theodore W. Karasik, Kevin A.
O’Brien, William Rosenau
226 pages, 2006, www.rand.org/t/MG429
Beyond al-Qaeda: Part 2, The Outer Rings of the
Terrorist Universe
Angel Rabasa, Peter Chalk, Kim Cragin, Sara A. Daly,
Heather S. Gregg, Theodore W. Karasik, Kevin A.
O’Brien, William Rosenau
214 pages, 2006, www.rand.org/t/MG430
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To learn more about the RAND Center for Middle East Public Policy, visit
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Front cover photo credits, clockwise from top left: REUTERS/Tamara Abdul Hadi; image shared by Ziad Abdellatif Salah via Wikimedia Commons (in public domain, CC by 1.0); REUTERS/Azad Lashkari;
REUTERS/Morteza Nikoubazl; REUTERS/Amir Cohen; REUTERS/Kareem Raheem.
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