Abe Doctrine Marks a Radical Shift in Japanese Security Policy | original | 東洋経済オンライン | 新世代リーダーのためのビジネスサイト
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Abe Doctrine Marks a Radical Shift in
Japanese Security Policy
A conversation with professor Chris Hughes
Peter Ennis ：Dispatch Japan
Past Reports
July 23,2015
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Professor Hughes says a key element of the "Abe Doctrine" is the notion of breaking free from the
postwar regime, both domestically and internationally. (Toru Hanai/Reuters)
Professor Chris Hughes is Head of the Department of Politics and
International Studies at the University of Warwick, in the United
Kingdom. He is also an associate in research at Harvard's Reischauer
Institute of Japanese Studies. He recently published a monograph entitled
Japan’s Foreign and Security Policy Under the ‘Abe Doctrine’: New
Dynamism or New Dead End? We talked to professor Hughes about
Japan’s new security legislation passed by the Lower House, and where
T
Japan goes from here.
a
T h e n e w s e c u r i t y l e g i s l a t i o n h a s p a s s e d t h e L o w e r Ho u s e , b u t
g e n e r a t e d a g r e a t d e a l o f c o n t r o v e r s y, a n d n o w m o v e s t o t h e
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U p p e r Ho u s e . A r e y o u s u r p r i s e d b y t h e b a c k l a s h a g a i n s t t h e n e w
i:
l e g i s l a t i o n?
I was not especially surprised at the backlash, given that the LDP and
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3
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New Komeito submitted to the Diet such a wide range of complex
legislation that it was bound to raise suspicions among the opposition
parties and the general public. The proposed legislation is so intricate
http://toyokeizai.net/articles/-/77951
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Abe Doctrine Marks a Radical Shift in Japanese Security Policy | original | 東洋経済オンライン | 新世代リーダーのためのビジネスサイト
29/07/2015 01:45
that it seems even some LDP members did not understand it.
b
That all said, I’ve been most surprised by the quite limited extent of the
backlash. The proposed legislation, in my view, is pretty radical in the
way it opens up the possibility, longer term, for many scenarios for
a
i
collective self-defense.
:
:
But the LDP-New Komeito coalition has gotten away with it quite lightly.
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i
The opposition has been reasonably determined, and caused a few
wobbles for the coalition. But if it could not coalesce to make a
reasonable case of countering the government on security issues, it
V
would be truly hopeless rather than just hopeless. And in the end, it did
not hurt the LDP that much. The LDP-New Komeito position has
remained pretty solid, and that was enough for them to have the
ed
confidence to push it through the Lower House.
The LDP and New Komeito probably have been taken aback somewhat by
the public disquiet. But that did not stop them from ramming the
legislation through in any case. And I suspect they think support may
recover somewhat after September, once the legislation is finally passed
in the Upper House. The public still supports the LDP well above any
other party.
Washington's special treatment of Abe
What accounts for the red carpet treatment he received in
Wa s h i n g t o n? It w a s o n l y l a s t y e a r t h a t Wa s h i n g t o n w a s q u i t e
'(
Y
b
b
u p s e t w i t h A b e b e c a u s e o f h i s v i s i t t o Ya s u k u n i S h r i n e .
The U.S. rebuked Abe for the Yasukuni visit. Abe managed to do some
repair work during Obama’s visit to Tokyo in April 2014. He has kept quiet
on history issues, keeping it off the bilateral agenda. The U.S. needs Japan
for its strategic rebalance toward Asia. There remain misgivings in
Washington about Abe’s belief in historical revisionism, but he is the best
option the U.S. has right now.
Much of the motivation for the summit was concern about the rise of
China. The strategic imperative is there for the U.S. and Japan to get even
closer, to deal with that. When you put all of these factors together, it
becomes clearer why the U.S. decided to put its misgivings about Abe to
the side for now.
Yo u a r g u e t h a t t h e f o r e i g n a n d s e c u r i t y p o l i c i e s p u r s u e d b y A b e
r e p r e s e n t a “r a d i c a l ” s h i f t t h a t o n e d a y m i g h t e v e n b e c a l l e d t h e
“A b e D o c t r i n e .” W h a t w o u l d c o n s t i t u t e a n “A b e D o c t r i n e” ?
When we use the term “doctrine,” we are using a reasonably broad-brush
term. For example, there has long been talk of a “Yoshida Doctrine,” after
former Prime Minister Shigeru Yoshida. But when you look at the
content, it evolved over time.
The three components of the Yoshida Doctrine were: 1) low military
posture; 2) a security treaty, and later alliance, with the U.S., with the
caveat that Japan would heavily hedge so as to extricate itself when
possible from commitments to the U.S., while focusing on economic
revival and growth; 3) a gentle, quiet reintegration of Japan into the East
Asia region, including engagement with China.
With some variations, these have been the principles of Japan’s foreign
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Abe Doctrine Marks a Radical Shift in Japanese Security Policy | original | 東洋経済オンライン | 新世代リーダーのためのビジネスサイト
policyーthe Yoshida Doctrineーfor most of the postwar period.
ツイート
LDP leaders have had this intent. Abe comes from the Kishi faction of the
LDP, which has captured control of the party. It is very revisionist and
radical in nature.
role in Asia, and warrior status in the Cold War against communism. That
ideological bent is part of the Abe Doctrine, and gives it energy and
33分
「住宅ローンの繰り上げ返済はできるだけ急い
だほうがいい」。そんな俗説がありますが、は
たして本当でしょう
か。toyokeizai.net/articles/-/785…
概要を見る
東洋経済オンライン
@Toyokeizai
Nobusuke Kishi (former Prime Minister and grandfather of Abe) regularly
talked about restoring Japan to great power status, including a leadership
フォローする
東洋経済オンライン
@Toyokeizai
The Abe Doctrine is a radical departure from that 3-part stance. Much of
what Abe is promoting has been in the LDP manifesto for years, and many
29/07/2015 01:45
37分
【中堅企業版｢年収トップ200社｣ランキング】
ジャスダック市場には高年収企業がズラリ：
bit.ly/1JtkAkk pic.twitter.com/sogv68xoOy
dynamism.
On the military side, Abe is clearly pushing hard to make Japan a more
capable military power, crossing a watershed to allow Japan to use
military power for national security interests. That is quite radical.
A key element of the Abe Doctrine is the notion of breaking free from the
postwar regime, both domestically and internationally, which Abe
believes is rooted in Japan’s defeat in World War II. In his view, the
Yoshida doctrine is a regime of defeat. Until the postwar regime is cast
off, Japan cannot be an autonomous great power. Until then, Japan
cannot take its rightful place alongside the U.S. and other developed
countries.
開く
東洋経済オンライン
@Toyokeizai
37分
【大逆風のベネッセと学研を分析する】 教育産
業は2018年問題を乗り越えられるのか：
bit.ly/1JtkA3D pic.twitter.com/SFbDUZVGWI
Abe won't apologize to China or Korea
I s t h e n o t i o n o f Ja p a n a s a n a u t o n o m o u s g r e a t p o w e r j u s t a
d r e a m? W h a t w o u l d t h a t l o o k l i k e?
I think it is just a dream, or mirage. Japan is never going to be an
@Toyokeizaiさん宛にツイートする
autonomous great power, in part because it will never be able to defend
itself, by itself, unless it acquires nuclear weapons, which is unlikely and
地下鉄 駅工事 (南砂町駅 ) / 土
木施工管理の求人
is laden with risk. It would be counterproductive. And Japan’s national
capabilities are shrinking, relative to China. In reality, it is fairly unlikely
給与
that Japan will emerge into an autonomous great power.
月約58万円
Ho w d o y o u a s s e s s U S -Ja p a n r e l a t i o n s ?
地下鉄工事に伴う現場施工管理、
書類作成
The alliance is proceeding fairly well. But there are a lot of problems
lurking in the background that are going to slow down progress if they
華麗なる施工管理の【転…
are not sufficiently addressed. Japan-China relations are a little bit
詳しく見る
better, a little more stable. Both sides have stepped back from the worst
risks over the disputed territory. But there remains a stalemate in that
O
dispute.
The United States has tied itself to a Japanese leader and regime in Japan
i
that is always going to be problematic with respect to history, and with
:
respect to what really are contending values. If Abe’s foreign policy were
generating good results consistent with US interests, the problems Abe
J
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causes could perhaps be managed. But the results of Abe’s foreign policy
are not great.
b
The August 15 statement planned by Abe concerning the 70th
( '
anniversary of the end of W WII seems likely to be the next
watershed. What do you expect?
a
I expect it will be a missed opportunity. I don’t think Abe will challenge
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Abe Doctrine Marks a Radical Shift in Japanese Security Policy | original | 東洋経済オンライン | 新世代リーダーのためのビジネスサイト
29/07/2015 01:45
the Murayama or Kono statements, but he will do his best to marginalize
them. He simply won’t talk about them. He will not apologize to China or
Korea. He’ll try to keep the focus on the future, and talk about all of the
great things Japan has done in the postwar period.
Abe will not feel obliged to seize the opportunity to try and ease some of
the suspicions his government has generated in China and Korea. And in
the wake of his visit to Washington, he thinks he will get away with this
approach. He probably will get away with it.
No one will be helped by this; certainly not the U.S., which has tied itself
to Abe. In turn, Abe generates suspicions within China and Korea, which
puts the U.S. in an awkward position.
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Abe Doctrine Marks a Radical Shift in Japanese Security Policy | original | 東洋経済オンライン | 新世代リーダーのためのビジネスサイト
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