Snowcover interaction with climate, topography & vegetation in mountain catchments DANNY MARKS Northwest Watershed Research Center USDA-Agricultural Research Service Boise, Idaho USA RCEW (239 km2): • 32 climate stations • 36 precipitation stations • 5 EC systems • 14 weirs (nested) • 6 soil microclimate stations • 4 hill-slope hydrology sites • 4 instrumented catchments • 3 instrumented headwater basins: USC (0.25 km2, 186m relief) ephemeral, groundwater dominated, annual precipitation 300-500mm RME (0.38 km2, 116m relief) perennial, surface water dominated, annual precipitation 750-1000mm Johnston Draw (1.8 km2, 380m relief) ephemeral, rain-snow boundary, annual precipitation 500-600mm Climate Trends from 45 Years of Monitoring at Reynolds Creek Experimental Watershed DANNY MARKS PhD project, ANURAG NAYAK (Utah State University) Northwest Watershed Research Center USDA-Agricultural Research Service Boise, Idaho USA Annual Precipitation 1800 1600 Elevation: 2097 m (176) 176 Elevation: 1652 m (127) 127 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 600 400 300 200 100 0 500 Elevation: 1207 m (076) 076 400 300 200 100 2005 2003 2001 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1987 1985 1983 1981 1979 1977 1975 1973 1971 1969 1967 1965 0 1963 No Significant Trend 500 Annual Stream Discharge 0.5 RME (2023 m, Drainage: 39 ha) 0.4 0.3 0.2 Tollgate (1410 m, Drainage: 5,468 ha) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 50 45 Outlet (1099 m, Drainage: 23,828 ha) 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2004 2002 2000 1998 1996 1994 1992 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 1980 1978 1976 1974 1972 1970 1968 0 1966 Trend 0.0 35 1964 No Significant Streamflow (km 3) 0.1 % Annual Stream Discharge, by Month March, April, May & June (78-95% of Annual Flow) 70 Headwater Catchment: March +3% April +14% May ------June -11% RME (2023 m, Drainage: 39 ha) 60 Summer Flow: Reduced from 9% to 3% 50 40 30 67% Reduction 20 10 0 70 Mid-Elevation Drainage: March +1% April +12% May +1% June -5% 60 50 Tollgate (1410 m, Drainage: 5,468 ha) MAR Summer Flow: Reduced from 21% to 10% APR MAY JUN 40 30 52% Reduction 20 10 0 70 Basin Outlet: March ------April +4% May +12% June -1% Outlet (1099 m, Drainage: 23,828 ha) 60 Summer Flow: Reduced from 27% to 12% 50 40 30 20 56% Reduction 10 0 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 + 2.5: -0.6 to +1.9 + 2.4: +7.9 to +10.3 + 2.7: +2.5 to +5.2 + 0.9: +11.8 to +12.7 + 1.4: +1.7 to +3.1 + 0.9: 15.4 to 16.3 Snow: -16%: 80% to 62% Snow: -17%: 55% to 38% Snow: -22%: 41% to 19% Still Snow Dominated Now Rain Dominated Almost Never Snows • Annual precipitation & discharge are unchanged – However, early spring flows are increased – Summer flows are significantly reduced • Climate is warming – All temperatures have increased – Minimum temperatures increased the most • More precipitation falls as rain – Smaller change at high elevation – Large change at low elevation • Strong elevation effect – Effects availability of water in summer – More area at lower elevation – Increase in winter ROS events Reynolds Creek Experimental Watershed Tollgate Basin Area: 54.6 km2 Elev: 1410 - 2241 m Scaling up to Tollgate Snow & Hydrologic Modeling: Simulation of terrain and forest shelter effects on wind fields, patterns of snow redistribution, snowmelt and runoff DANNY MARKS PhD project, ADAM WINSTRAL (University of Reading, UK) Northwest Watershed Research Center USDA-Agricultural Research Service Boise, Idaho USA Snow Redistribution and Drifting Drifts and Forest Cover, RCEW Forest Canopy- Snowcover Interaction Reynolds Mountain East Study Catchment (0.38 km2, 118 m relief) The Ridge Site The Grove Site The Grove Site Four Snow Seasons Selected for Simulation 1986, 1987, 1989 for SCA Data 1997 for ROS Event I. Verify Simulated Snow Distributions * Time-series AP II. Evaluate Terrain & Vegetation Shelter Effects on * Simulated Snow Cover Energy Balance * Snow Melt * Runoff Modeled and Observed SWE (Point Comparison) 1986 Simulated Snow Distribution Aerial Photos Modeled SWE 1986 Simulated Snow Distribution Aerial Photos Modeled SWE: spatially constant wind and precipitation inputs 1986 Simulated Surface Water Inputs Spatially Distributed Wind and Precipitation Inputs Spatially Constant Wind and Precipitation Inputs 1987 Simulated Snow Distribution Aerial Photos Modeled SWE 1987 Simulated Surface Water Inputs 1989 Simulated Snow Distribution Aerial Photos Modeled SWE 1989 Simulated Surface Water Inputs 1997 Simulated Surface Water Inputs and SWE Mid-winter ROS: Sensible + Latent Heat dominated Early spring wind event: Sensible Heat dominated Typical spring melt event: Radiation dominated Simulated Daily SWE 1986 Snow Season View movie at http://www.usask.ca/ip3/download/presentations/swe_movie.avi Boise River Basin (2150 km2) 1998 Water Year DANNY MARKS and DAVID GAREN* * National Water and Climate Center USDA-Natural Resources Conservation Service Portland, Oregon, USA • • • • Large Area Climate Data Distribution Canopy Corrections Satellite Derived Snow Covered Area for Verification Streamflow Simulation 9-Oct 0 700 600 500 Observed Simulated 400 300 200 100 0 26-Jun 800 6-Jun 900 800 17-May 900 27-Apr 1000 900 7-Apr Jackson Peak (2155 m) 18-Mar 1000 26-Feb 1000 6-Feb 26-Jun 6-Jun 17-May 27-Apr 7-Apr 18-Mar 26-Feb 6-Feb 17-Jan Mores Creek Summit (1859 m) 17-Jan 200 8-Dec 300 28-Dec 400 28-Dec Observed Simulated Snow Water Equivalent (mm) 600 18-Nov 800 8-Dec 800 18-Nov 900 800 29-Oct 500 9-Oct 26-Jun 6-Jun 17-May 27-Apr 7-Apr 18-Mar 26-Feb 6-Feb 17-Jan 700 Snow Water Equivalent (mm) 8-Dec 1000 900 9-Oct 100 28-Dec 1000 900 29-Oct 200 26-Jun 300 6-Jun Simulated 17-May 400 27-Apr Observed 7-Apr 600 18-Mar Graham Guard Station (1734 m) 26-Feb 700 18-Nov 200 29-Oct 1000 Snow Water Equivalent (mm) 300 6-Feb 500 9-Oct 26-Jun 6-Jun 17-May 27-Apr 7-Apr 18-Mar 400 17-Jan 6-Feb 26-Feb Atlanta Town (1649 m) 28-Dec 0 17-Jan Simulated 8-Dec 0 8-Dec Observed 18-Nov 100 0 28-Dec 500 29-Oct 100 18-Nov 600 Snow Water Equivalent (mm) 9-Oct 100 29-Oct Snow Water Equivalent (mm) 700 9-Oct 26-Jun 6-Jun 17-May 27-Apr 7-Apr 18-Mar 26-Feb 6-Feb 17-Jan 28-Dec 8-Dec 18-Nov 29-Oct Snow Water Equivalent (mm) Boise River Snow Water Equivalent Water Year 1998 Atlanta Summit (2310 m) 700 600 500 400 Observed Simulated 300 200 Trinity Mountain (2368 m) 800 700 600 500 400 Observed Simulated 300 200 100 0 Simulated and Satellite Snow Covered Area (SCA) Boise River Basin, Water Year 1998 100 90 Snow Covered Area (%) 80 70 60 Satellite Simulated 50 40 30 20 10 0 1-Apr 16-Apr 1-May 16-May 31-May 15-Jun 30-Jun 15-Jul Boise River Simulated Snow Water Equivalent and Satellite Snow Covered Area (SCA) 21 April 1998 Boise River Simulated Snow Water Equivalent and Satellite Snow Covered Area (SCA) 7 May 1998 Boise River Simulated Snow Water Equivalent and Satellite Snow Covered Area (SCA) 21 May 1998 Boise River Simulated Snow Water Equivalent and Satellite Snow Covered Area (SCA) 29 June 1998 Boise River Streamflow Simulation Water Year 1998 Comparing sensible and latent heat fluxes over snow along a North American Cordilleran Transect DANNY MARKS & John Pomeroy Students: Michele Reba (U of I) Warren Helgason (U of S) Dan Bewley (U of Wales) Northwest Watershed Research Center USDA-Agricultural Research Service Boise, Idaho USA GAPP North American Cordilleran Transect WCRB WCRB WCRB: Wolf Creek MCRB MCRB Research Basin, Yukon Territory, Canada MCRB: Marmot Creek RCEW LSOS Research Basin Alberta, Canada RCEW RCEW: Reynolds Creek Experimental Watershed, Idaho, USA LSOS: Local Scale Observation Site Colorado, USA LSOS RME Study Site Reynolds Mountain East The Grove The Protected Site The Ridge The Exposed Site Exposed Site Protected Site WY 2005 Monthly EC-Measured H & LvE Over Sage and Below Aspen: WY 2005 Monthly EC-Measured CO2 & ET Over Sage and Below Aspen: Preliminary Conclusions • First full-year measurements of evaporation/transpiration – ~33% (211 mm) of 2005 deposition (630 mm) lost to ET over sage – ~10% (90 mm) of 2005 deposition (879 mm) lost to ET below aspen • First measurements of Carbon flux – Sage site close to balance, but lost carbon to atmosphere – Below aspen site took carbon from the atmosphere – Critical to get Above Aspen Data • Data only for 2005 water year; add 2004 & 2006 data Scale effects on snowcover accumulation and melt modelling: Determining the minimum complexity required to capture essential features of snowmelt over large regions with complex terrain DANNY MARKS PhD project, ADAM WINSTRAL (University of Reading, UK) Northwest Watershed Research Center USDA-Agricultural Research Service Boise, Idaho USA Scaling Issues • Distributing Forcing Data Over Large Areas • Orography (Pacific NW & BC - ROS events) • Mixed phase precipitation events: Rain vs Snow • Dew point temperature as an indicator of phase • Terrain & canopy-induced variability • Linkages between forcing & energy state • Measurement & Validation Johnston Draw Study Catchment (1.8 km2 , 380 m relief) Preliminary Conclusions • Dew Point Temperature is a reliable predictor of precipitation phase. • Need second year of data, and additional events for validation • Need data from additional sites (Klamath River basin, Oregon; BC?) • Summer Precipitation (Kananaskis, Wolf Creek) A Scalable Shading Model for Radiation at the Forest Floor, using LiDAR-derived Canopy Parameters RICHARD ESSERY (University of Wales, Aberystwyth) DANNY MARKS (USDA-ARS Northwest Watershed Research Center) See: Essery, Bunting, Hardy, Link, Marks, Melloh, Pomeroy, Rowlands and Rutter, 2007, in review, Journal of Hydrometeorology; Pomeroy, Rowlands, Hardy, Link, Marks, Essery, Sicart and Ellis, 2007, in review, Journal of Hydrometeorology Geometric shading model dc l + + θ h cbh Tall Shrubs, Wolf Creek Marmot Creek level forest Solar Radiation to Snow beneath Shrubs and Trees 1000 400 300 2 SW(W/m ) 2 SW (W/m ) 800 600 400 200 200 100 0 0 123 124 125 74 D a y (2 0 0 3 ) 75 Day (2005) See: Pomeroy, et al., in review, 2007, Journal of Hydrometeorology; Bewley et al., 2007, in press, Arctic, Antarctic and Alpine Research; Link, Marks and Hardy, 2004, Hydrological Processes 76 Inventory map LiDAR + tree map 100 m Stand Scale Modelling of Solar Radiation Simulated sky view Simulated sky view Clear Overcast 600 Measured 500 2 SW (W/m ) Modelled 400 300 200 100 0 84 85 Day (2003) Essery et al. (2007). In review for Journal of Hydrometeorology. 86 Fine Scale Modelling of Sub-alpine Solar Radiation Essery et al. (2007). In review for Journal of Hydrometeorology. LiDAR Forest CSM & DEM Characterization Pomeroy, et al., in review, 2007, Journal of Hydrometeorology; Essery et al. (2007). In review for Journal of Hydrometeorology Sky view From hemispherical photographs From LiDAR shading model Essery et al. (2007). In review for Journal of Hydrometeorology The Longwave Radiation Problem: Hot Canopy and Trunks Increase Forest Longwave Radiation 14:20 11.40 17.00 JD86 Cloudy JD87 Sunny Temperature (TC) C 50 CLPX LSOS Open Canopy IOP1 40 Canopy North 30 Trunk Snow Surface 20 Canopy South 10 0 -10 -20 -30 50 50.5 51 51.5 52 52.5 Julian Day 2002 53 53.5 Pomeroy, Marks, Ellis, et al., 2007, in prep, Hydrological Processes 54