DBRS Confirms Gaz Métro inc. at A and R-1 (low),... Partnership at STA-2 (middle)

Société en commandite Gaz Métro
Cause tarifaire 2008, R-3630-2007
Date of Release: April 5, 2007
DBRS Confirms Gaz Métro inc. at A and R-1 (low), Gaz Métro Limited
Partnership at STA-2 (middle)
Industry: Energy
DBRS has today confirmed the ratings of Gaz Métro inc.’s (GMi) Commercial Paper at R-1 (low)
and its First Mortgage Bonds at “A,” both with Stable trends, and confirmed the stability rating of
Gaz Métro Limited Partnership (GMLP) at STA-2 (middle). This removes the First Mortgage Bond
and stability ratings from Under Review with Developing Implications where they were placed
November 1, 2006, following the announcement of proposed changes to the tax rules for income
trusts scheduled to take effect in 2011.
The confirmation of the stability rating reflects DBRS’s belief that GMLP will evaluate strategies to
mitigate the impact of any new taxes, within the context of maintaining the capital structure of its
regulated utility business in accordance with regulatory approved levels. However, as DBRS stated in
its November 2006 press release, any reduction in future distributions due to the imposition of new
taxes would be viewed as a one-time event, with subsequent analytical focus on the stability and
sustainability of the revised distributions.
The confirmation of GMi’s First Mortgage Bonds is based on the continued strong business profile
and credit metrics of the guarantor, GMLP, whose regulated gas distribution business remains the
core component of its business operations (84% of net income). GMLP also continues to generate
cash flows from operations that are sufficient to internally finance both its capital expenditures and
distributions to GMi and public unitholders. DBRS expects this trend to continue over the medium
term pending resolution of the tax issue and as GMLP continues to operate in accordance with current
business and financial strategies. The confirmation of GMi’s Commercial Paper rating is based on the
credit strength of GMi, as well as the credit facility backing the commercial paper program, as this
credit facility is also guaranteed by GMLP.
GMLP has experienced some weakness of earnings in its domestic gas distribution business over the
last two years, which remains sensitive to lower return on equity due to interest rates and volume
throughputs. In addition, short-term profitability remains a challenge at its 38.3% owned Portland
Natural Gas Transmission System (PNGTS). As a result of earnings pressure from these factors,
management reduced distributions by 9% in May 2006 in order to preserve the equity base of GMLP.
This near-term weakness is expected to be partially offset with the completion of the 550 MW
Bécancour cogeneration plant. Representing GMLP’s largest customer, this facility will contribute to
both earnings and cash flow as deliveries are expected to increase by 15%.
Copyright © 2007, DBRS Limited, DBRS, Inc., and DBRS (Europe) Limited (collectively, "DBRS"). All rights reserved. The information upon which DBRS ratings and reports
are based is obtained by DBRS from sources believed by DBRS to be accurate and reliable. DBRS does not perform any audit and does not independently verify the accuracy
of the information provided to it. DBRS ratings, reports and any other information provided by DBRS is provided "as is" and without warranty of any kind. DBRS hereby
disclaims any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, timeliness, completeness, merchantability, fitness for any particular purpose or
non-infringement of any of such information. In no event shall DBRS or its directors, officers, employees, independent contractors, agents, and representatives (collectively,
"DBRS Representatives") be liable for: (i) any inaccuracy, delay, interruption in service, error, or omission, or for any resulting damages, or (ii) any direct, indirect, incidental,
special, compensatory, or consequential damages with respect to any error (negligent or otherwise) or other circumstance or contingency within or outside the control of DBRS
or any DBRS Representatives in connection with, or related to, obtaining, collecting, compiling, analyzing, interpreting, communicating, publishing, or delivering any
information. Ratings and other opinions issued by DBRS are, and must be construed solely as, statements of opinion and not statements of fact as to credit worthiness or
recommendations to purchase, sell, or hold any securities. DBRS receives compensation, ranging from US$1,000 to US$750,000 (or the applicable currency equivalent), from
issuers, insurers, guarantors and/or underwriters of debt securities for assigning ratings. This publication may not be reproduced, retransmitted, or distributed in any form
without the prior written consent of DBRS.
Original : 2007.06.29
Gaz Métro - 7, Document 12
(2 pages en liasse)
GMLP continues to explore ways to diversify its operations by implementing its strategy in becoming
an integrated energy provider. Strategic diversification should improve GMLP’s overall business
profile, as both geographical and operational diversification benefits are expected from the proposed
acquisition of Green Mountain Power Corporation (Green Mountain), expected to close shortly. Other
projects under consideration include the Rabaska LNG terminal and Seigneurie de Beaupré wind
farm. DBRS notes that while an increase in leverage is anticipated as the Green Mountain acquisition
is expected to be financed with debt at closing, we expect this increase to be temporary as GMLP has
already indicated that it will finance the acquisition with a mix of debt and equity.
DBRS will publish separate GMi and GMLP reports shortly that will provide additional analytical
detail on these rating actions. If you are interested in receiving this report, contact us at
info@dbrs.com.
Issuer
Gaz Metro Limited
Partnership
Gaz Metro inc.
Gaz Metro inc.
Debt Rated
Income Fund
Rating Action
Confirmed
Commercial Paper
Confirmed
First Mortgage Bonds Confirmed
Rating
Trend
STA-2 (middle) --
Latest Event
Apr 5, 2007
R-1 (low)
A
Apr 5, 2007
Apr 5, 2007
Stb
Stb
Jade Freadrich
Senior Financial Analyst
+1 416 597 7351
jreadrich@dbrs.com
Adeola Adebayo
Assistant Vice President - Canadian Utilities
+1 416 597 7421
aadebayo@dbrs.com
Copyright © 2007, DBRS Limited, DBRS, Inc., and DBRS (Europe) Limited (collectively, "DBRS"). All rights reserved. The information upon which DBRS ratings and reports
are based is obtained by DBRS from sources believed by DBRS to be accurate and reliable. DBRS does not perform any audit and does not independently verify the accuracy
of the information provided to it. DBRS ratings, reports and any other information provided by DBRS is provided "as is" and without warranty of any kind. DBRS hereby
disclaims any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, timeliness, completeness, merchantability, fitness for any particular purpose or
non-infringement of any of such information. In no event shall DBRS or its directors, officers, employees, independent contractors, agents, and representatives (collectively,
"DBRS Representatives") be liable for: (i) any inaccuracy, delay, interruption in service, error, or omission, or for any resulting damages, or (ii) any direct, indirect, incidental,
special, compensatory, or consequential damages with respect to any error (negligent or otherwise) or other circumstance or contingency within or outside the control of DBRS
or any DBRS Representatives in connection with, or related to, obtaining, collecting, compiling, analyzing, interpreting, communicating, publishing, or delivering any
information. Ratings and other opinions issued by DBRS are, and must be construed solely as, statements of opinion and not statements of fact as to credit worthiness or
recommendations to purchase, sell, or hold any securities. DBRS receives compensation, ranging from US$1,000 to US$750,000 (or the applicable currency equivalent), from
issuers, insurers, guarantors and/or underwriters of debt securities for assigning ratings. This publication may not be reproduced, retransmitted, or distributed in any form
without the prior written consent of DBRS.