C : \ P r o g r a m F ile s \ C R H M \ Q d ro D Q d fo D Q d ro Q d fo SunM ax g lo b a l C a lc H r Q si c a lc s u n h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h t rh ea u p ppt Q si Q so Q n Q ln SunAct f o rm _ d a t a ru ru ru ru ru ru ru ru ru ru ru ru ru ru ru _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ t rh ea u p r a in sn o w SunAct tm a x t m in tm e a n eamean umean rh m e a n n e w sn o w obs n e t _ r a in n e t_ s n o w in t c p _ e v a p in t c p net c um_net n e t a ll R n Q g Q s n e t _ rn h ru _ e v a p t ra n s p _ o n evap pb Cold Regions Hydrological Model Platform, CRHM: The Course John Pomeroy Centre for Hydrology University of Saskatchewan Saskatoon Objectives of Course Familiarisation with basic hydrological principles necessary for modelling Introduction to CRHM platform Review of components and features of CRHM Familiarisation with examples of hydrological models using CRHM Ability to create a purpose built hydrological model using CRHM Everyone becomes a modeller Structure of Course Review philosophy of modelling, model structure, processes, model components Review of model modules and features using Help File and model examples Review of example projects Lab – YOU make a hydrological model from scratch. Models and Reality in Hydrology The Hydrological Cycle is manifested with strong regional variations around the world. Hydrologists have created a vast number of models (assumptions) to describe some aspects of this cycle. It is generally not necessary or likely that one hydrological model approach is applicable to all environments, scales or predictive interest Physically-based models attempt to describe reality faithfully (but do not completely succeed) Hydrological models predict most successfully in catchments near where they were derived Logical selection and design of model strategy, structure and their inherent assumptions are governed by local problems and local hydrology – this is not just parameter selection. Hydrological Cycle – elsewhere…. Cold Regions Hydrological Cycle Bergeron Process Snowfall Sublimation Ice Blowing Snow Evaporation Snowmelt Infiltration Frozen Ground EvapoRainfall transpiration Runoff Interflow Saturated Porous Media Flow Distinctive Aspects Snow storage, redistribution, melt Infiltration to frozen ground Thick organic soils, sometimes frozen Poorly defined drainage areas Cool surface for evaporation Frozen rivers and lakes Seasonality of energy inputs Sparse(r) data network Why Physically-based Hydrological Modelling? Robust - can be more confidently extrapolated to different climates and environments and performs better in extreme situations (floods, droughts). Scientifically Satisfying - represents a compilation of what is understood about hydrology. Can interface with chemistry and ecology aquatic chemistry and hydroecological modelling require a sound hydrophysical base. Elevates hydrological practice to hydrological science. What field information can help us design models? Identification of the principles governing the primary physical processes responsible for most water movement in basin (structure and processes). Fundamental boundary and initial conditions that affect these processes (parameters). Length scales for self-similarity and variability associated with the properties affecting these processes (scale). Process observation and modelling Understanding of hydrological processes results from observing at multiple scales. Modelling in hand with observations provides a way to test and anticipate algorithms, gaps & assumptions Different processes are important in different environments No universal algorithm scale, structure, approach Necessary Elements of Cold Regions Hydrological Modelling consideration of the following: 1. Transport of water in liquid, vapour and frozen states (runoff, percolation, evaporation, sublimation, blowing snow); 2. Coupled mass and energy balances; 3. Phase change in snow & soils (snowmelt, infiltration in frozen soils, soil freezing and thawing); 4. Snow and rain interception in forest canopies; 5. Episodic flow between soil moisture, groundwater and base flow. Hydrological Response Units A HRU is a spatial unit in the basin that has 3 groups of attributes biophysical structure - soils, vegetation, slope, elevation, area (determine from GIS, maps) hydrological state – snow water equivalent, snow internal energy, intercepted snow load, soil moisture, water table (track using model) hydrological flux - snow transport, sublimation, evaporation, melt discharge, infiltration, drainage, runoff (determine using fluxes from adjacent HRU) HRU need not be spatially continuous but must have some approximate geographical location or location in a hydrological sequence Hydrological Response Units Sequential HRU – landscape connectivity HRU 1 HRU 2 HRU 3 outlfow Grouped HRU – must drain to stream Rationale for CRHM Platform Frustration with adding process algorithms to existing hydrological models Frustration with trying to fit inappropriate structure of existing models to basins Frustration with inability to fit gridded or other conceptual spatial representations to reality. Frustration with models that only focus on streamflow response to precipitation Frustration with attempts to teach modelling to hydrologists using older computer languages, no user interface, limited documentation of models Frustration with the lack of a graphical system to evaluate model inputs and outputs CRHM Objectives To develop a hydrological cycle simulation system that: is spatially distributed such that the water balance for selected surface areas can be computed; uses natural landscape units that have hydrological importance; is physically based so that the results contribute to a better understanding of basin hydrology and are robust and so that process parameters can be transferred regionally; is sensitive to the impacts of land use and climate change; Reflects landscape sequencing (e.g. catena) in natural drainage basins; does not require the presence of a stream in each land unit; is flexible: can be compiled in various forms for specific needs; is suitable for testing individual process algorithms. is easy to use for all hydrologists and useful for teaching IS NOT DEPENDENT UPON CALIBRATION! Cold Regions Hydrological Model Platform (CRHM) Started in late 1990s as NWRI land use hydrology model. BEERS Attempted to write Canadian modules for USGS MMS 1999 Tom Brown developed CRHM platform in windows environment Development of modules from MAGS, PAMF, NERC, Quinton-CFCAS, IP3 and other research Multiple developers: Brown, Gray, Granger, Hedstrom, Pomeroy The Cold Regions Hydrological Model Platf orm 2003 C:\Program Files\CRHM\Examples\badlakef low 7475.prj g b c d e f b c d e f g b c d e f g b c d e f g b c d e f g b c d e f g b c d e f g 220 210 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 (m3/s) 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 28/10/1974 27/11/1974 27/12/1974 26/01/1975 25/02/1975 27/03/1975 26/04/1975 26/05/1975 basinf low (1) outf low (1) outf low (2) outf low (3) SWE(1) SWE(2) SWE(3) Building Physically-based, Distributed Hydrological Models with CRHM uses a library of physically-based hydrological and energy balance process modules; handles the following aspects of the modelling process: data pre-processing, module and model building, results analysis is easy to use: employs a Windows environment with pull-down menus. has an extensive HELP file and open module code DLL version permits creating your own module and linking it into CRHM – community model development Cold Regions Hydrological Model DATA COMPONENT Preparation of spatial and meteorological data. Spatial data (e.g. basin area, elevation, cover type) is analyzed using a Geographic Information System (GIS) that assists the user in basin delineation, characterization and parameterization of Hydrological Response Units (HRU). CRHM takes in ArcGIS files with this information. The user can also simply enter this information in a menu for less complex basins Time-series meteorological data include air temperature, humidity, wind speed, precipitation and radiation. Adjustments for elevation (lapse rate), snowfall versus rainfall, interpolation between input observations (stations) Filters permit adjustment to data, changing time interval, creating synthetic data using mathematical functions, interpolating data Unit conversions to consistent SI units Visualization of input data allows checking for quality Observation Files Created using weather station or other outputs Sets model time step interval Possible to have observations with varying time steps Interpolation, synthesis tools to fill in missing data or create synthetic data Observations are interpolated onto HRU Visualization tools useful in assessing reliability of observations Parameters Parameters describe basin, define HRU and set operation of process modules (examples: tree height, soil type, fresh snow albedo) Parameters set based upon understanding of basin and HRU (limits imposed in model) Assumption that substantial transferability of process parameters exists for similar HRU If not known from basin then can be looked up or guessed at No facility to calibrate parameters exists in CRHM (but some have figured it out anyway) CRHM GIS Interface The interface automates the parameterization of CRHM. UseTOPAZ and ARC/INFO AML coding to divide the watershed into sub-basins. Each sub-basin is defined as a polygon with drainage information, ID, and can be assigned other parameters. The next step is to link the sub-basin to other spatial information (land cover, fetch, etc.) in order to derive relevant HRU’s. Cold Regions Hydrological Model MODEL COMPONENT Utilizes Windows-based series of pull-down menus linked to the system features. Modules, (process algorithms) are selected from the library and grouped together by the CRHM processor. Modules have a set order of execution with a common set of variables and parameters. Modules are created in C++ programming language. Macro modules can be created from within the model using a simple macro language. CRHM Routing HRU routing conceptualizes more complex reality in characteristic sequences HRU to HRU Can include lake, wetland Groundwater routed separately from near surface and surface water Flexible – HRU can route sequentially or accumulate in an outflow HRU HRU2 HRU5 HRU3 HRU4 HRU1 HRU0 Groups and Structures to Adapt to Real Basin Hydrology Group. A collection of modules executed in sequence for all HRUs. collection of modules which can be used in place of specifying the individual modules. if groups are defined with same modules, then can execute modules in parallel using different parameters or driving observations. If groups are defined as different ‘models’, it is possible to execute the models in parallel using identical parameters and driving observations to check different responses. Structure. A parallel collection of modules or Group assigned to an HRU and run in sequence. Comparison of algorithms Customization of model to HRU characteristics - diverse sets modules to be representative of the HRU and basin. Dynamic structural change due to excess water or lack of it. Groups A collection of modules executed in sequence for all HRUs. Define group: Model incorporation: Groups Group application: 1. If groups are defined with the same modules, it is possible to execute the models in parallel using different parameters or driving observations. 2. If groups are defined as different modules, it is possible to execute the models in parallel using identical parameters and driving observations to check different responses. Groups E.g. estimate sub‐canopy SWE for forests of differing leaf‐area‐index Structures Running similar modules in parallel e.g. snowmelt Structures Structure application: 1. Algorithm comparison. Intercomparison of algorithms with similar driving data and parameters 2. Mixed Land Use in Basin. Permits differing model structure for differing HRU (e.g. forest versus farmland 3. Dynamical Structural Change. Permits change in model structure in response to changing hydrological state (e.g. change grassland to a slough when leaving a drought). The decision about which module to use would be made by a preceding module based upon the availability of moisture. New Capabilities: Structures e.g. comparison of SWE estimation by EBSM and SNOBAL: Able to give structures meaningful names Representative Basins (RB) RB1 RB1 RB2 RB3 RB2 RB4 RB1 Permits upscaling of CRHM to large, complex basins using groupings of sub-basins RB sub-basins determined in detail as assemblies of HRU RB types repeated with identical module structure, similar parameters but differing geometry Many RB types allowed in the larger basin Muskingum routing module routes RBs through streams, lakes, wetlands Basin model is a network of RBs linked by a routing module. Cold Regions Hydrological Model ANALYSIS COMPONENT Used to display, analyze and export results (Excel, ASCII, Obs). Statistical and graphical tools are used to analyze model performance, allowing for decisions to be made on the best modelling approach. Sensitivity-analysis tools are provided to optimize selected model parameters and evaluate the effects of model parameters on simulation results. Mapping tools use ArcGIS files to map ouputs for geographical visualization. CRHM Modules PROCESSES DATA ASSIMILATION Data from multiple sites Interpolation to the HRUs SPATIAL PARAMETERS Basin and HRU parameters are set. (area, latitude, elevation, ground slope, aspect) Infiltration into soils (frozen and unfrozen) Snowmelt (open & forest) Radiation – level, slopes Wind speed variation – complex topo Evapotranspiration Blowing snow transport Interception (snow & rain) Sublimation (dynamic & static) Soil moisture balance Pond/depression storage Surface runoff Sub-surface runoff Routing (hillslope & channel) Radiation α, Ts Diffuse and Direct Slopes Longwave Forest canopy Albedo estimation Limited data requirements References: Brunt, Brutsaert, Garnier & Ohmura, Granger & Gray, Gray and Landine, Pomeroy et al., Satterlund, Sicart et al. Shortwave Radiation Direct and diffuse Uses lat/long, sunshine hours or measured incoming shortwave to estimate direct and diffuse radiation to a level plane Correction for slope, aspect, self-shading using Garnier and Ohmura A variety of albedo routines Forest canopy transmissivity model Longwave Radiation Can be estimated as part of net radiation from shortwave using Granger and Gray algorithm Incoming longwave can be estimated from Brutsaert relationship modified by Sicart et al. – requires incoming shortwave, air temperature, humidity Outgoing longwave from surface temperature of vegetation or snow Forest canopy and surrounding topography effects on longwave Blowing Snow – ‘water’ transport Blowing snow modelling Saltation and suspension transport Sublimation loss Threshold condition of snowpack Vegetation, horizontal fetch effects Links to windflow module for complex terrain Full PBSM or simplified version available Blowing Snow ⎡ E B ( x) dx ⎤ dS ∫ ⎥−E−M , ( x) = P − p ⎢∇F ( x) + dt x ⎢ ⎥ ⎣ ⎦ P wind direction zb EB Fsusp Fsusp suspension layer h* dS/dt Fsalt Fsalt saltation layer snowpack M Fetch = x References: Pomeroy & Gray, Pomeroy & Male, Li & Pomeroy, Pomeroy & Li Distribution of Blowing Snow over Landscapes Blowing snow transport, and sublimation relocate snow across the landscape from sources to sinks depending on fetch, orientation and area. Source Sink Fallow Field Stubble Field Grassland Brush Trees Interception: snow and rain Sublimation Evaporation Rainfall Snow Snowfall interception Rainfall Interception Storage Throughfall Throughfall Unloading Drip References: Rutter et al., Granger & Pomeroy, Hedstrom & Pomeroy, Parviainen & Pomeroy, Pomeroy et al 1998 Interception Efficiency I/P Controlled by Leaf + stem area index (surface to collect snow) Air temperature (elasticity of branch, adhesion and cohesion of snow) Wind speed (particle trajectory, impact rate, branch bending, scouring) Weekly Snow Interception Weekly Interception (mm SWE) 14 12 Snow Interception by Pine 10 8 6 4 2 Measured Modelled 0 0 5 10 15 20 Weekly Snowfall (mm SWE) 25 Interception Efficiency - model 1 1 T= -1.0 °C T= -5.0 °C T= -30.0 °C 0.8 I/P 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0 0 2 4 6 1 LAI 0 0 5 P=2.0 m m SWE P=10.0 m m SWE P=20.0 m m SWE 0.8 0.6 I/P I/P 0.6 Lo = 1.0 m m SWE Lo = 3.0 m m SWE Lo = 5.0 m m SWE 0.8 10 15 20 P (mm SWE) 0.4 0.2 0 0 2 4 6 L 0 (mm SWE) 8 10 25 30 Annual Sublimation Losses Sublimation (mm) 60 50 Sublimation loss as a percent of annual snowfall. 40 30 20 10 0 Mixedwood 93-94 Pine 94-95 Spruce 95-96 Spruce 38% to 45% Pine 30% to 32% Mixed-wood 10% to 15% Snowmelt Degree Day Method has problems in open environments, slopes & forests. Energy Balance CAN be estimated using reliable methods M=[QN+Qh+Qe+Qg+Qp-du/dt]/(ρ Lf B) Snowmelt dU Qm + Qn + Q H + Q E + QG + Q D = , dt α Qm , M= ρw B hf -Daily EB -Hourly EB -Advection -SCA Depletion -Meltwater Flow -Degree Day -Radiation Index References: Gray & Landine, Kustas et al., Essery, Shook, Marks et al. 1999 Snow cover depletion is not even! South Face North Face Melt Energy Variability on Slopes 120 Melt + Internal Net Radiation Ground Heat Sensible Heat Latent Heat 100 80 Mean Energy 60 2 (W/m ) 40 20 0 -20 Valley Bottom South Face North Face Forest Snowmelt (Pomeroy & Dion, ’96) Sensible and latent heat fluxes very small Snowmelt rate under mature forests 3 times less than in open sites. Cumulative Melt Energy (kJ) Snow Melt Rate in Forests 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Pine Mixed-wood Clear-cut Regenerating 94 96 98 100 102 104 Julian Day - April 1996 106 108 110 Forest Cover Modules Forest Canopy Effects on Radiation Shortwave irradiance: The transmissivity (τ) of the canopy layer to abovecanopy shortwave irradiance (K↓) is estimated as a function of the effective-leaf-area index (LAI`) and solar elevation angle (θ) by: τ= exp[-1.081 (θ) cos(θ) LAI`/sin(θ)] Sub-canopy longwave irradiance (Lsc↓) is determined as the sum of abovecanopy longwave irradiance (L↓) and forest emissions weighted by the relative proportions of canopy-cover (1- ν) and open sky (ν) of the overhead forest scene: Lsc↓= L↓ (v) + (1-v)εσT4 where ε is the emissivity of the forest (~0.98) , σ is the Stephan-Boltzmann constant (W m-2 K-4) and T is the physical temperature of the forest (K). Snow Interception and Sublimation Interception : Intercepted snow and rain by the canopy is subject to sublimation and evaporation back to the atmosphere, respectively. The amount of snowfall, P (kg m-2) that may be intercepted by the canopy prior to unloading is related to the (i) antecedent intercepted load, Lo (ii) the maximum intercepted load, I* (which is related to LAI` and the density of falling snow) and the ‘canopy-leaf’ contact area, Cp via (Hedstrom and Pomeroy, 1998): I= (I*-Lo)(1-exp[-Cp P/I*])` Sublimation: estimated by a multi-scale model approach: ice-sphere to branch to canopy Duration of Melt, T Controls runoff, infiltration, snow-covered period, contributing area Can be simply described as a function of SWE, S and melt rate, M. SWE T= M Infiltration into Frozen Soils Snowmelt Water Restricted Infiltration Limited Infiltration INF = (1 − θ p ) SWE 0.584 or Parametric Equation Unlimited Infiltration Soils References: Granger et al., Gray et al., Zhao & Gray Runoff Infiltration to Frozen Soils Frozen soils can be permeable, but show reduced infiltration compared to unfrozen conditions ‘Frozen’ means a frost depth of at least 0.5 m Simple grouping of soil types and physically-based equations Empirical Model of Infiltration into Frozen Soils - Prairie Environment 120 Unlimited Restricted 100 1:1 80 Saturation 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 Infiltration 60 (mm) 40 20 0.9 0 0 30 60 90 120 150 Snow Water Equivalent (mm) 180 Infiltration to Frozen Soils Heat Flux 0 Saturation . Q (kW/hm2) 50 100 150 Ice Content θi S 200 0.2 0.4 0.6 0 0.8 0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 Z (m) 0.3 0.4 t =2h t =8h 0.5 t = 12 h t =2h 0.4 t =8h 0.5 t = 24 h 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.4 t = 12 h t = 2h t = 8h 0.5 t = 12 h t = 24 h t = 24 h 0.6 0.1 Z (m) 0 Z (m) 0 0.05 0.6 0.15 Infiltration Rate and Ground Heat Flux during Snowmelt Infiltration 0.4 140 Transient 0.3 Quasi-steady state 100 80 0.2 60 40 0.1 dINF/dt 20 dQ/dt 0 0 5 10 0 15 Time (h) 20 25 dQ/dt (kJ/hm2) dINF/dt (cm/h) 120 Parametric Equation for Infiltration to Frozen Soils INF = C ⋅ S 2.92 0 ⋅ (1 − S I ) 1.64 ⎛ 273.15 − TI ⎞ ⋅⎜ ⎟ ⎝ 273.15 ⎠ C is a coefficient So is surface saturation SI is saturation in the top 40 cm TI is initial soil temperature to is infiltration opportunity time −0.45 ⋅ t0 0.44 Infiltration into Unfrozen Soils Green Ampt Infiltration Depends on Ponding Time Iterative Solution References: Green & Ampt, Ogden and Saghafian, Pietroniro in Pomeroy et al Evaporation Empirical models fail in spring (cold soils), over permafrost and with changing land use Penman-Monteith energy balance hard to implement & parameterise Granger extension of Penman offers a physically based, practical solution (Granger ‘90) Evaporation Modelling – Land cover effects Granger & Pomeroy ‘97 Evapotranspiration (mm) 400 350 300 250 200 Pine 150 Mixed-wood 100 Regenerating Cleared 50 0 120 140 160 180 200 220 Julian Day 1996 240 260 280 Evaporation Granger-Gray QN or Priestly-Taylor or Penman-Monteith or ShuttleworthWallace QE G [ s (Q * − Q G ) + C vdd = sG + γ a / ra ] Ta, ea, uz QE QH QA=QN-QG es = f (ea, Ta-Ts) Ts, es, z0 Surface Vegetation & Soil QG Water drawn from 1) canopy 2) recharge zone 3) deep soil 4) groundwater References: Granger & Gray, Granger & Pomeroy, Priestly & Taylor Soil Moisture Balance (SMBAL) Interception Snowmelt Evapotranspiration Snowmelt Infiltration Mass balance and flow from 2 soil layers & groundwater Green-Ampt Infiltration Runoff Recharge Zone Soil Column Sub Surface Discharge INF − GW − SSR − E SURFACE − Trans − Δθ = 0 Alternative is SOIL, better for northern soils and sub surface flow generation References: Leavesley et al. Dornes et al Groundwater Groundwater Discharge New Modules Soil- Depressional storage - sub-HRU - can form subsurface runoff or ground water recharge or fill and spill. - transfer of flows between HRUs - Pond storage all of HRU water covered. - parameterization of maximum pond storage. - possible to: (i) leak to subsurface flow or groundwater recharge (ii) fill and spill. Interflow between HRU - subsurface flow can enter downhill HRU as surface or subsurface flow. - - Routing – Clark Lag and Route Clark (1945) showed that routing a flood wave through a reach of a stream channel could be done by shifting the wave a time equal to the travel time of the reach, and then routing it through an amount of reservoir storage that gives the equivalent "action" as the channel storage in the reach. The practice visualises a reservoir that has storage characteristics, S = KO, at the outlet of a watershed. Substituting this relation for storage into the continuity equation gives: I1 + I 2 O1 − O2 k (O2 − O1 ) − = 2 2 Δt Where I1, I2, O1 and O2 are respectively inflow and outflow rates at the beginning and end of routing interval, Δ t. k, the storage constant can be obtained from the hydrograph or other analyses. Baker Creek, NWT • • Sub‐arctic shield lakes Parameterized CRHM with 16 HRU’s ‐ 8 trunk lakes and their contributing areas • The storage interaction between HRU’s was manipulated within the model to evaluate effect on water budget CRHM Test - Yukon Modular structure HRU based INF = 5 ⋅ (1 − θp ) ⋅ SWE 0.584 INF = C ⋅ S 2.92 0 ⋅ (1 − S I ) 1.64 ⎛ 273.15 − TI ⎞ ⋅⎜ ⎟ ⎝ 273.15 ⎠ −0.45 ⋅ t0 0.44 Modelling Approach Aggregated vs. Distributed Basin Areal SWE NF, SF, and VB 2002 2003 180 250 160 Obs SWE Aggregated Distributed 120 200 SWE [mm] SWE [mm] 140 100 80 Obs SWE Aggregated Distributed 150 100 60 40 50 20 0 4/17/02 4/24/02 0 5/1/02 5/8/02 5/15/02 5/22/02 5/29/02 Time [days] 6/5/02 4/17/03 4/26/03 5/05/03 5/14/03 Time [days] 5/23/03 6/01/03 Basin discharge 2002 2003 1.0 Obs Aggregated Distributed 0.4 Q [m3/s] Q [m3/s] 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.4 Obs Aggregated Distributed 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 5/01/02 5/09/02 5/17/02 5/25/02 6/02/02 6/10/02 0.0 4/17/03 4/26/03 5/05/03 5/14/03 5/23/03 6/01/03 Time [days] Time [days] CRHM Evaluation – open environment snow dynamics and spring runoff Modules: radiation, blowing snow, energy balance snowmelt, evaporation, infiltration to frozen soils, soil moisture balance, hillslope flow, routing Parameters: from local scale observations HRU structure: based on observed landscape units for processes Parameter Estimation Blowing snow: fetch, vegetation height Radiation: land surface albedo Snowmelt: initial snow albedo Infiltration: fall soil moisture content, cracking Evaporation: vegetation type, height Soil moisture balance: soil type, vegetation type, groundwater connection Hillslope flow: porosity, bulk density, thermal conductivity, initial frost table depth Routing: lag time, storage Sub-arctic alpine tundra Water Balance Wolf Creek-Alpine 1998/99 250 200 mm 150 CRHM Runo ff CRHM Sno wfall CRHM Infiltratio n CRHM M elt CRHM Gro und SWE M easured M elt M easured SWE 100 50 0 -50 -100 22-Sep 11-Nov 31-Dec 19-Feb 10-Apr 30-May Boreal forest clearing mm Water Balance Bittern Creek-Clearcut 1996/97 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 -50 -100 -150 -200 -250 12-Oct CRHM Runo ff CRHM Sno wfall CRHM Infiltratio n CRHM M elt CRHM Gro und SWE M easured M elt M easured SWE 1-Dec 20-Jan 11-Mar 30-Apr Prairie wheat field Water Balance Creighton-Stubble 1981/82 200 150 mm 100 50 CRHM Runo ff CRHM Sno wfall CRHM Infiltratio n CRHM M elt CRHM Gro und SWE M easured M elt M easured SWE 0 -50 -100 -150 10-Nov 20-Dec 29-Jan 10-Mar 19-Apr Effect of forest cover on snow accumulation and melt SnowMIP2 runs: Alptal, Switzerland: 2002-03 open site forest site 2003-04 SnowMIP2 runs: BERMS, Sask Snow Accumulation, Melt & Runoff Simulation in Prairies 180 Fallow Runoff Stubble Runoff Grass Runoff Fallow SWE Stubble SWE Grass SWE Snowfall 160 140 100 80 60 40 21-M ay-75 21-Apr-75 21-M ar-75 21-Feb-75 21-Jan-75 21-Dec -74 0 21-Nov -74 20 21-O ct-74 mm 120 Basin Hydrograph – no calibration 4 3.5 M o de lle d Flow O bse rve d Flo w 3 2 1.5 1 26-May 19-May 12-M ay 05-May 28-Apr 21-Apr 14-Apr 07-Apr 31-M ar 24-Mar 0 17-Mar 0.5 10-Mar 3 m /s 2.5 0 2 6 -M ay 1 9 -M ay 1 2 -M ay 0 5 -M ay 28-A pr 21-A pr 14-A pr 250 07-A pr 300 31-M ar 24-M ar 17-M ar 10-M ar 3 m Water Export Simulation – no calibration used 350 Modelled Flow Observed Flow 200 150 100 50 Evaporation – summer testing 550 500 Boreal fen site, BERMS, Saskatchewan 450 400 350 mm 300 250 200 150 Cum ulative Rainfall 100 Eddy Correlation Evaporation 50 CRHM Modelled Evaporation 0 -50 01/05/2004 Cum ulative Qn-Qh-Qg 05/06/2004 10/07/2004 14/08/2004 18/09/2004 23/10/2004 Prairie Basin Water Balance With 30% Summer Fallow Fallow Stubble Coulee Basin 500 mm water equivalent 400 300 200 100 0 -100 -200 -300 -400 -500 Snowfall Rainfall Runoff Sublimation Drifting Snow Evaporation Stubble Basin 500 400 mm water equivalent Changed to Continuous Grain Cropping Coulee 300 Snowfall 200 Rainfall 100 Runoff Sublimation 0 Drifting Snow -100 Evaporation -200 -300 -400 ru n o ff in filt ra t io n s n o w m e lt s u b lim a t io n d rift e va p o ra t io n s n o w fa ll ra in fa ll -4 0 -2 0 0 20 % Change 40 60 Conclusions Process algorithms can form the basis for physicallybased hydrological model structure and parameter selection Flexible model structure and physically based components can lead to appropriate and robust hydrological simulation Errors in simulation identify gaps in understanding of processes, structure or parameters A process based modular model is able to simulate key components of the cold regions hydrological cycle from an understanding of principles, and without calibration of parameters except for routing Modular models are relatively simple to update as our science advances. Problem Set Using an observation file provided Develop a process hydrology project that Calculates snow accumulation, snowmelt, infiltration, evaporation and runoff over at least three HRU (land types) Set parameters for this project Show the sensitivity of the runoff to changes in paramters