THE ROLE OF MODELING IN GEOTECHNICAL EARTHQUAKE ENGINEERING ** by I. M. Idriss, Professor Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering University of California, Davis, CA 95616-5294 e-mail: imidriss@aol.com Numerical models, as well as physical models, have always played a strong role in all aspects of geotechnical engineering, including geotechnical earthquake engineering. Certainly, numerical modeling was the cornerstone of geotechnical earthquake engineering in its early development in the late 1950's and early to mid 1960's. The ongoing "physical modeling" in geotechnical earthquake engineering at that time was mostly derived from observations during actual earthquakes where only "after-the-fact" information could be obtained. That is, very little, if any, instrumentation had been placed to monitor and record the performance during or following the earthquake. The need for "controlled" physical modeling became apparent in the 1960's and several experiments were initiated to: (a) provide data to calibrate (if not validate) numerical models; and (b) provide insights about the phenomenon under investigation. Most of the initial experiments were conducted on small shaking tables. It was not long thereafter that centrifuge tests were initiated followed by large shaking tables and more recently field tests involving mobile shakers or explosions. At this time (2001), there are several large shaking tables in the US and in Japan and numerous small shaking tables in several countries, and several large to medium and numerous small centrifuge facilities in several countries. Field tests have been recently completed in the US and in Japan. Instrumentation of some existing and many recently completed structures (e.g., earth and rockfill dams) will also provide very useful data during future earthquakes. The installment of downhole arrays in Japan, the USA and other parts of the world is among the most useful activity to be undertaken. It is hoped that many more downhole arrays will be installed in the coming years. The state of physical modeling appears healthy. Numerical modeling has also continued to flourish in geotechnical earthquake engineering, and numerous approaches & computer codes have been developed over the past 35 or so years. I should note that I am including empirical approaches as part of the numerical modeling space. The state of numerical modeling appears possibly healthy (some may even say it is bloated!). Presented at the NSF International Workshop on Earthquake Simulation in Geotechnical Engineering, Case Western University, November 8 – 10, 2001 Researchers today find themselves at a very unique juncture. The computational ability available today is several orders of magnitude greater and faster than it was in the early stages of geotechnical earthquake engineering. The past decade has been the most prosperous period in history, and, as a result, many new and improved physical modeling facilities have been completed in the past few years, are under construction, or are in the final planning stages with significant funding already allocated to them. (We will be hearing about several of these facilities during this workshop). That is why this Workshop is so timely and hopefully will provide the means for the participants to share and discuss the latest developments in modeling techniques in geotechnical earthquake engineering, including 1g shaking table tests, centrifuge tests, field simulation, numerical simulations, instrumentation of selected full scale earth structures, foundation elements and special soil-foundation-structure systems, and installation of downhole arrays. It is hoped that the Workshop participants will see value in initiating and completing collaborative research activities between, or among, researchers using different approaches and techniques. In addition, there is a need to discuss the future directions of research utilizing the latest technology. In particular, I trust that we will come away from this gathering with some concrete recommendations regarding utilization of the best and most useful technology in collecting and analyzing the data. As we move forward, it is important that we strive to conduct physical as well numerical simulations that are needed to satisfy the objectives noted above for vital and pressing issues. I hope that we strive to avoid conducting a research just because "we can". I trust that all research will be conducted because "we should". In reading many of the reports and articles that have appeared in the past few years, I have noted some serious deficiencies. Quite often (possibly because of page number limitations in many technical journals), the authors provide us with the results of their simulations and a great deal of analysis of the results forgetting to tell us how these results were obtained. It is essential to know how the results were obtained in order to appreciate their meaning and usefulness. Therefore, I trust that we will all strive to provide such information to remove the deficiencies I have noted in recent reports and articles. Finally, I want to raise a question to the participants from the academic institutions. Are we preparing our graduate students (i.e., the future researchers) adequately in the field of engineering mechanics, particularly in vibration theory? I believe that we are not doing enough; we certainly can do more. I am very grateful to Professor Zeng and the other members of the Organizing Committee to have given me this opportunity to share some of these thoughts with you during the opening talk at this Workshop.