University of Saskatchewan and Federated Colleges Non-Academic Pension Plan Investment Review AGM Presentation – November 2014 Prepared by Aon Hewitt Presentation to University of Saskatchewan Agenda Investment Objectives Role of Pension Committee Role of Asset Mix Total Plan Performance – Year-to-date Change in Market Value Market Update – Current Investment Trends Appendix - Asset Class Overview Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 2 Investment Objectives Plan Objectives “The purpose of the Non-Academic Pension Plan is to provide for the accumulation of pension assets on behalf of the Plan’s participants and provide members of the Plan with retirement benefits prescribed under the terms thereof.” Guiding Risk Philosophy “Plan assets should be prudently managed to assist in managing funding volatility and excessive volatility in annual rates of return. The Plan uses a number of investment strategies to achieve the relative and absolute performance objectives set by the Non Academic Pension and Benefits Committee.” Dual Investment Objectives Benchmark Portfolio(s) Inflation Targeting (Performance, net of fees, relative to capital market indices that reflect target asset mix) (CPI + 4.25% over 10+ years) Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 3 Role of Pension Committee Establish and maintain investment policy • • • Investment objectives Asset mix / manager structure Permitted investments Monitor investment performance versus Plan objectives • • • Overall fund Individual managers Compliance with investment policy Replace investment managers as required Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 4 Role of Asset Mix Fund Purpose - Provide Pension Benefits • • Ensure safety of capital Adequate return to support pension promise • Target long-term return of CPI + 4.25% Components Bonds – provide stable and predictable income • Low risk vehicle to help fund pension benefit payments • But projected returns are well below the Plan’s long term objective Equities – provide potential for higher returns, but with greater risk • Diversification by region helps reduce risk Real Estate – provides diversification benefits and some inflation protection Asset Mix – designed to balance the two competing objectives: ** Safety of capital ** ** Adequate returns ** Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 5 Asset Mix Target Asset Mix Target Asset Mix: Equities Balancing Growth with Stability & Income Diversifying “Narrow” Canadian Market $298 million as of Sep 30, 2014 Canadian Equities, 20% Fixed Income, 35% Equities, 60% Real Estate, 5% Global Equities, 40% Bonds help hedge impact of interest rate changes on liabilities. 30-Sep-14 Policy Short-term Fixed Income Real Estate Canadian Equities Global Equities 0% Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 6 45% Total Portfolio Performance Strategy Summary Performance Commentary Active management across all asset classes Fixed income and real estate mandates broadly diversified and with scope to include value-added strategies when appropriate Long-term return target of CPI + 4.25% (6.1%) has been matched on a post-fee basis over 10 years Performance versus the capital markets has been matched on a pre-fee basis Long-term performance has been driven by the Canadian equity managers Annual fee is based on assets, currently about 0.50% Dual manager structures in Canadian and Global equities provide diversification by firm and investment approach Performance (gross of fees) 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% 11.6% 12.7% 15.1% 9.4% 7.8% 0.0% -15.9% 17.2% 8.6% 6.1% -1.5% 2005 2006 2007 2008 Plan 2009 2010 Blended Benchmark 2011 2012 10-Year CPI + 4.25% 2013 10-year annualized return is 6.6% * 2% 91-day FTSE TMX Canada T-Bill, 33% FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond, 5% REALpac / IPD Canada Property Index, 20% S&P/TSX Composite, 40% MSCI World (net withholding tax) (CAD) Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 YTD 7 Total Portfolio – Change in Market Value (2014 YTD) 297,638,000 $300,000,000 $295,000,000 $290,000,000 $285,000,000 $280,000,000 275,658,000 $275,000,000 $270,000,000 $265,000,000 $260,000,000 31-Dec-13 Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 Contributions Distributions Fees / Expenses Income Gains / Losses 8 30-Sep-14 Market Update Bond Managers Still In “Party” Mode Government of Canada Average Bond Yields 60 months to September 2014 4.5% 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% Gov Canada 5-10 Yr Avg Yield Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 Gov Canada 10+ Yr Avg Yield 9 Market Update (cont’d) Equity Markets Getting Choppy MSCI World Index (CAD) iShares MSCI World Index (XWD.to) daily price change Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 10 Market Update (cont’d) Economic Headwinds Continue • • • Russia sanctions affecting trade China weakening Europe – another recession? China GDP Annual Growth Rate Percent Change in Gross Domestic Production Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 11 Current Investment Trends De-Risking • • • • More bonds, longer-term bonds Most common for ‘closed’ plans Current low interest rates are a deterrent Many plans developing strategies to be implemented when: • Interest rates rise, or • Funded status improves Diversification into Alternative Asset Classes • • • Real Estate, Infrastructure, Private Equity Potential to enhance returns and reduce risk May also offer inflation protection Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 12 Appendix – Asset Class Overview Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 13 Canadian Fixed Income Allocation Manager Structure Sprucegrove, 20% PH&N, 35% Harding Loevner, 20% CC&L, 10% Phillips, Hager & North (PH&N) Strategy Summary Burgundy 10% Greystone 5% An active strategy that aims to exceed a broad measure of the Canadian bond market PH&N has achieved this goal on a post-fee basis PH&N utilizes multiple strategies: security and sector selection, rate anticipation, mortgage investing PH&N is a large and well resourced manager Annual fee is based on assets, currently about 0.24% Performance (gross of fees) 15% 10.7% 12% 9% 6% 3% 7.7% 7.3% 4.5% 0% 3.0% 3.9% 2007 2008 8.8% 6.9% 4.8% -0.3% 2012 2013 -3% 2005 2006 PH&N Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 2009 2010 2011 FTSE TMX Canada Universe YTD 10-year annualized return is 6.0% 14 Real Estate Allocation Manager Structure Sprucegrove 20% Greystone Strategy Summary PH&N 35% Harding Loevner 20% CC&L 10% Burgundy 10% Greystone 5% An active strategy that aims to exceed a proxy for the Canadian real estate market Greystone has not achieved this goal on a pre- or post-fee basis, but the REALpac / IPD Property index is not ideal for pooled fund investors Greystone primarily invests in income-producing properties, but does have limited exposure to “value-add” and development properties The portfolio is well diversified by region and property type Annual fee is based on assets, currently about 0.90% Performance (gross of fees) 20% 15% 9.7% 10% 13.7% 5% 8.5% 12.5% 11.7% 4.3% 0% -1.6% -5% 2005 2006 2007 2008 Greystone Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 REALpac / IDP Property Index 2013 YTD 5-year annualized return is 10.3% 15 Canadian Equity Allocation Manager Structure Burgundy Strategy Summary PH&N 35% Sprucegrove 20% An active, high conviction, buy-and-hold strategy that focuses on valuation and quality factors Hired in 2012; the two-year post-fee return has exceeded the benchmark Annual fee is based on assets, currently about 0.60% Connor, Clark & Lunn (CC&L) Strategy Summary Harding Loevner 20% An active, broadly diversified strategy that aims to consistently exceed the market return in all environments Burgundy Hired in 2012; the two-year post-fee return has exceeded the benchmark 10% Annual fee is based on assets, currently about 0.40% Greystone 5% CC&L 10% 32.2% 6.8% 9.0% 13.9% 16.1% 9.9% 24.4% 23.1% (gross of fees) 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% 22.5% Performance 12.9% -8.6% -30.8% 2005 2006 2007 2008 Burgundy 2009 2010 CC&L S&P/TSX 2011 2012 YTD Aggregate 10-year annualized return is 9.1% Total Canadian Equity performance (in oragne) shown prior to 2013. Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 2013 16 Global Equity Allocation Manager Structure Sprucegrove, 20% Harding Loevner (HL) Strategy Summary PH&N 35% An active strategy that invests in growing, high quality companies at reasonable prices Hired in 2012; the two-year pre-fee return is below the benchmark Annual fee is based on assets, currently about 0.70% Sprucegrove (SG) Strategy Summary Hired in 2012; the two-year pre-fee return is below the benchmark Annual fee is based on assets, currently about 0.60% 29.5% Performance (gross of fees) 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% -50% 15.8% 21.6% 14.0% 3.0% -7.7% 2005 2006 2007 -39.9% 2008 15.3% -7.6% 2009 HL SG 2010 MSCI World (net) 2011 2012 2013 YTD Aggregate 10-year annualized return is 4.0% Total Global Equity performance (in orange) shown prior to 2013. Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 8.3% Burgundy 10% 10.6% CC&L 10% Greystone 5% An active, high conviction, buy-and-hold strategy that focuses on valuation and quality factors 32.6% Harding Loevner 20% 17 Legal Disclaimer © 2014 Aon Hewitt Inc. All Rights Reserved. This document contains confidential information and trade secrets protected by copyrights owned by Aon Hewitt. The document is intended to remain strictly confidential and to be used only for your internal needs and only for the purpose for which it was initially created by Aon Hewitt. No part of this document may be disclosed to any third party or reproduced by any means without the prior written consent of Aon Hewitt. Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 18