University of Saskatchewan 1999 Academic Pension Plan Investment Review AGM Presentation – November 2014 Prepared by Aon Hewitt Presentation to University of Saskatchewan 1999 Academic Pension Plan Agenda Investment Objectives Role of Pension Committee Role of Asset Mix Total Plan Performance – Year-to-date Change in Market Value Market Update – Current Investment Trends Appendix - Asset Class Overview Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 2 Investment Objectives Plan Objectives “The purpose of the Fund is to provide for the accumulation of pension benefits to eligible members and to provide members of the Plan with retirement benefits prescribed under the terms thereof. Guiding Risk Philosophy “Plan assets should be prudently managed to assist in managing funding volatility and excessive volatility in annual rates of return. The Plan uses a number of investment strategies to achieve the relative and absolute performance objectives set by the Committee.” Dual Investment Objectives Benchmark Portfolio Inflation Targeting (Performance, net of fees, relative to capital market indices that reflect target asset mix) (CPI + 3.85% over 10+ years) Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 3 Role of Pension Committee Establish and maintain investment policy • • • Investment objectives Asset mix / manager structure Permitted investments Monitor investment performance versus Plan objectives • • • Overall fund Individual managers Compliance with investment policy Replace investment managers as required Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 4 Role of Asset Mix Fund Purpose - Provide Pension Benefits • • Ensure safety of capital Adequate return to support pension promise • Target long-term return of CPI + 3.85% Components Bonds – provide stable and predictable income • Low risk vehicle to help fund pension benefit payments • But projected returns are well below the Plan’s long term objective Equities – provide potential for higher returns, but with greater risk • Diversification by region helps reduce risk Asset Mix – designed to balance the two competing objectives: ** Safety of capital ** ** Adequate returns ** Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 5 Asset Mix Target Asset Mix Target Asset Mix: Equities Balancing Growth with Stability & Income Diversifying “Narrow” Canadian Market $174 million as of Sep 30, 2014 Equities, 60% Int’l Equities, 20% Fixed Income, 40% Canadian Equities, 20% U.S. Equities, 20% Bonds help hedge impact of interest rate changes on liabilities. 30-Sep-14 Policy Short-term Canadian Bonds Canadian Equities U.S. Equities International Equities 0% Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 6 40% 45% Total Portfolio Performance Strategy Summary Performance Commentary Low cost passive management in bonds and U.S. equities, where adding value has proven difficult Long-term return target of CPI + 3.85% (5.7%) has been exceeded by 1.7% net of fees over 10 years Active global equity portfolio of about 150 stocks with a Canadian focus, value-tilt, and moderate active positioning versus the capital market indices Performance versus capital market indices has also been positive (net of fees), but by a smaller margin Long-term performance has been superior in down markets, as expected given the manager structure Majority of value-added performance has come from International equities Annual fee is based on assets, currently about 0.30% Active International equity manager with a fairly concentrated deep value approach, small cap and emerging market exposure, and a track record of superior downside protection Performance (gross of fees, periods ending Sep 30) 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% 13.4% 18.5% 11.8% 9.8% 7.2% 3.4% 9.8% 8.6% 5.7% -0.9% 2005 2006 2007 -9.7% 2008 Plan 2009 2010 Blended Benchmark 2011 2012 10-Year CPI + 3.85% YTD 10-year annualized return is 7.4% * 1% 91-day FTSE TMX Canada T-Bill, 39% FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond, 20% S&P/TSX Composite, 20% S&P500 (CAD), 20% MSCI EAFE (net withholding tax ) (CAD) Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 2013 7 Total Portfolio – Change in Market Value $200,000,000 $190,000,000 $180,000,000 173,982,000 169,852,000 $170,000,000 $160,000,000 $150,000,000 $140,000,000 31-Dec-13 Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 Contributions Distributions Fees / Expenses Income Gains / Losses 8 30-Sep-14 Market Update Bond Managers Still In “Party” Mode Government of Canada Average Bond Yields 60 months to September 2014 4.5% 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% Gov Canada 5-10 Yr Avg Yield Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 Gov Canada 10+ Yr Avg Yield 9 Market Update Equity Markets Getting Choppy MSCI World Index (CAD) iShares MSCI World Index (XWD.to) daily price change Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 10 Market Update Economic Headwinds Continue • • • Russia sanctions affecting trade China weakening Europe – another recession? China GDP Annual Growth Rate Percent Change in Gross Domestic Production Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 11 Current Investment Trends De-Risking • • • • More bonds, longer-term bonds Most common for ‘closed’ plans Current low interest rates are a deterrent Many plans developing strategies to be implemented when: • Interest rates rise, or • Funded status improves Diversification into Alternative Asset Classes • • • Real Estate, Infrastructure, Private Equity Potential to enhance returns and reduce risk May also offer inflation protection Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 12 Appendix – Asset Class Overview Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 13 Canadian Bond Allocation Manager Structure JF (Int'l Eq), 10% BlkRck (Bonds), 40% TwBr (Int'l Eq), 10% JF (U.S. Eq), 10% BlackRock Strategy Summary Index strategy aims to match the broad Canadian bond market BlackRock has achieved this goal on a pre-fee basis BlackRock is a large and well resourced manager Yield is approximately 2.4% BlkRck (US Eq), 10% Annual fee is 0.15% JF (Cdn Eq), 20% Performance (gross of fees) 12% 9% 6% 3% 9.7% 6.5% 4.1% 6.2% 3.6% 5.5% 6.8% 6.0% 3.6% -1.2% 0% -3% 2005 2006 2007 2008 BlackRock Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 FTSE TMX Canada Universe 2013 YTD 10-year annualized return is 5.3% 14 Canadian Equity Allocation Manager Structure JF (Int'l Eq), 10% TwBr (Int'l Eq), 10% BlkRck (Bonds), 40% JF (U.S. Eq), 10% Jarislowsky Fraser Strategy Summary Active mandate part of a global equity portfolio, allowing tactical geographic shifts between Canada, U.S. and overseas Approach is “growth at a reasonable price” and countercyclical (due to cap on resource stocks) BlkRck (US Eq), 10% Dividend yield is approximately 2.8% JF (Cdn Eq), 20% Blended fee based on assets is approx. 0.3% per annum Performance (gross of fees) 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% 23.2% 11.2% 7.9% 29.2% 11.8% 10.4% 27.2% -5.9% 15.5% -23.2% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Jarislowsky Fraser Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 2010 2011 2012 S&P/TSX 2013 YTD 10-year annualized return is 10.5% 15 U.S. Equity Allocation Manager Structure BlkRck (Bonds), 40% TwBr (Int'l Eq), 10% JF (Int'l Eq), 10% BlackRock Strategy Summary JF (U.S. Eq), 10% Index strategy aims to match the large cap S&P500 index BlackRock has achieved this goal on a pre-fee basis Annual fee is 0.15% Jarislowsky Fraser (JF) Strategy Summary Approach is “growth at a reasonable price” Blended annual fee based on assets is approximately 0.3% 2005 2006 2007 2008 BlackRock Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 14.6% 13.4% 3.9% 4.7% 6.5% 9.1% 7.4% 7.4% -17.0% -21.1% -11.1% -10.5% 16.5% 15.4% 1.0% 2.1% (gross of fees) 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% 12.6% 41.3% Performance 13.9% JF (Cdn Eq), 20% Active mandate part of a global equity portfolio, allowing tactical geographic shifts between Canada, U.S. and overseas 42.9% BlkRck (US Eq), 10% 2009 2010 Jarislowsky Fraser 2011 S&P500 2012 2013 YTD Combined 10-year annualized return is 6.8% 16 International Equity Allocation Manager Structure BlkRck (Bonds), 40% JF (U.S. Eq), 10% Active mandate part of a global equity portfolio, allowing tactical geographic shifts between Canada, U.S. and overseas Approach is “growth at a reasonable price” Similar return to MSCI EAFE over 10 years but with lower volatility Blended annual fee based on assets is approximately 0.3% Tweedy Browne (TB) Strategy Summary Active mandate with a “deep value” focus; small cap and emerging markets capabilities provide diversification and value-add opportunity Annual fee of 1.5% 2005 2007 2008 Tweedy Browne Aon Hewitt Proprietary & Confidential | November 2014 2009 2010 Jarislowsky Fraser 2011 MSCI EAFE (net) 2012 2013 3.1% 20.5% 18.2% -1.0% -1.7% 1.9% 6.1% 14.8% -26.1% -22.2% -8.9% -2.0% 2006 17.9% (gross of fees) 23.5% 26.3% 5.5% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% 4.0% Performance 7.0% JF (Cdn Eq), 20% 28.5% BlkRck (US Eq), 10% 30.3% JF (Int'l Eq), 10% TwBr (Int Eq), 10% Jarislowsky Fraser (JF) Strategy Summary YTD Combined 10-year annualized return is 7.7% 17 Legal Disclaimer © 2014 Aon Hewitt Inc. 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