Statistical Press Release | Lisboa, 22nd October 2012 | Banco de Portugal publishes a Supplement on General Government Statistics and releases additional quarterly data Banco de Portugal publishes, with the Statistical Bulletin of October 2012, a Supplement on general government statistics compiled by Banco de Portugal, explaining its concepts, methodologies and data sources. This publication includes a presentation on the main results for the second quarter of 2012. The English edition of the Supplement will be released in the website of Banco de Portugal in the next days. Simultaneously, chapter E.3 of the Statistical Bulletin on the net lending / net borrowing and debt of general government includes for the first time quarterly data, in addition to the annual data which were until now disseminated. In particular, this chapter includes statistical series on: • Net lending (+) / net borrowing (-) of general government (table E.3.1); • Public debt (tables E.3.2 and E.3.3); • Deficit-debt adjustment (table E.3.4); • General government revenue and expenditure (tables E.3.5 e E.3.6). These series are also made available in BPstat | Statistics online. Main results for the second quarter of 2012 In the second quarter of 2012, public debt reached 117.6 per cent of GDP (Chart 1). In this quarter, the net lending (+) / net borrowing (-) of general government was –5.9 per cent of GDP. Considering the sum of the four last quarters, the net lending (+) / borrowing (-) was –3.7 per cent of GDP. In the first half of 2012, the net lending (+) / borrowing (-) of general government was –6.8 per cent of GDP which compares with –8.2 per cent of GDP in the first half of 2011. Chart 1 - Public Debt and General Government Net Lending(+) / Net Borrowing (-) Public debt (left hand scale) As a percentage of GDP 120 Net lending (+) / Net borrowing (-) - four-quarter moving averages (right hand scale) 0 -2 100 -4 80 -6 60 40 -8 20 -10 0 -12 As a percentage of GDP 140 1 | Statistical Press Release | Lisboa, 22ndOctober 2012 | In the second quarter of 2012, the deficit-debt adjustment, i.e. the difference between change in debt (7.7 billion euro) and deficit (2.4 billion euro) is mainly explained by the increase in financial assets, which result, by and large, of the subscription of contingent capital instruments and shares issued by banks in the context of their recapitalisation process (6.2 billion euro). Chart 2 pictures the quarterly deficit-debt adjustment since 2007. The unusually high deficit-debt adjustment shown for the second quarter of 2011 is mainly explained by the accumulation of general government deposits in monetary and financial institutions, due to the funds not yet used received in the framework of the Economic and Financial Assistance Programme to Portugal, which began in this quarter. These data can be found in table E.3.4 of the Statistical Bulletin. Chart 2 – Deficit-Debt Adjustment Net acquisition of financial assets Transactions in liabilities not included in debt 18 Other adjustments Deficit-debt adjustment 15 EUR billion 12 9 6 3 0 -3 -6 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Debt of the non financial public sector in August 2012 The Maastricht debt reached 198.8 billion in the end of August 2012, which represent an increase of 0.7 billion euro compared with June 2012. The debt of public corporations not included in general government reached in August 2012, 18.9 billion euro, which represents a slight decrease of around 0.1 billion euro compared with June 2012. The total consolidated debt of the non financial public sector, including trade credits was 221.5 billion euro in August 2012. These data are available in Chapter K of the Statistical Bulletin of Banco de Portugal, on the non-financial sector indebtedness. The Supplement on general government statistics presents the delimitation of the general government and the public sector. Table 1 presents a summary of the main concepts and respective results for December 2011 and June 2012, including the limit of public debt for Economic and Financial Assistance Programme (EFAP) to Portugal assessment purposes. 2 | Statistical Press Release | Lisboa, 22ndOctober 2012 | Table 1 Unit: billion euro Dec / 11 Jun / 12 (1) Non-consolidated debt of non-financial public sector 236.7 249.8 (2) Debt of public non-financial corporations not included in general government 22.9 19.0 Non-consolidated general government debt 213.8 230.8 200.4 13.5 217.2 13.6 Debt between entities of the general government 25.6 28.9 Consolidated general government debt 188.2 201.9 3.5 3.8 Maastricht debt 184.7 198.1 (8) Maastricht debt net of deposits of the central government 170.4 182.0 (9) Exclusions for the purpose of the EFAP performance criterion 15.8 27.2 (10)= (7-9) General government debt for the EFAP performance criterion 168.9 170.9 Ceiling on the EFAP performance criterion 175.9 175.0 -7.0 -4.1 (3)= (1-2) of which: non-consolidated debt of central government of which: non-consolidated debt of local government (4) (5)= (3-4) (6) (7)= (5-6) (11) (12)= (10-11) Trade credits obtained by the general government Difference from the ceiling 3 | Statistical Press Release | Lisboa, 22ndOctober 2012 | Annex: Charts available in the Supplement on General Government Statistics General Government Debt Public Debt and General Government Net Lending (+) / Net Borrowing (-) 0 Net lending (+) / Net borrowing (-) - four-quarter moving averages (right hand scale) -2 100 -4 80 -6 60 -8 40 As a percentage of GDP 120 Public debt (left hand scale) Maastricht Treaty Limit 120 As a percentage of GDP 140 As a percentage of GDP 140 Public debt (left hand scale) 100 80 60 40 20 -10 20 0 -12 0 General Government Debt by Institutional Sector 140 General government Regional and local government Consolidation Debt of Regional and Local Government Central government Social security funds 12 117.6 111.5 120 Regional and local government Regional government of Azores Regional government of Madeira Other local government 10 108.1 83.2 80 60 61.9 56.8 59.4 50.7 53.8 67.7 69.4 68.4 71.7 In billion euro As a percentage of GDP 93.5 100 8 6 4 40 20 2 0 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2012 Q1 Q2 -20 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2012 Q1 Q1 General Government Liabilities (Transactions) Debt by Financial Instrument 100% 25 80% 20 Currency and deposits Securities other than shares Loans Other accounts receivable and payable Total liabilities 18.1 15 60% EUR billion 10 40% 20% 5.8 5.3 5 6.1 0 -4.4 0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2012 Q1 Q2 Currency and deposits Securities other than shares, exc. financial derivatives - short-term Securities other than shares, exc. financial derivatives - long-term Loans - short term Loans - Long term -5 -10 -15 2011|Q2 2011|Q3 2011|Q4 2012|Q1 2012|Q2 4 | Statistical Press Release | Lisboa, 22ndOctober 2012 | General government net financial assets by institutional sector General Government Financial Assets (Transactions) Currency and deposits Securities other than shares Loans Shares and other equity Other accounts receivable and payable Total financial assets 15.0 14.3 EUR billion 10.0 5.0 2.8 4.2 2.9 0.0 -3.5 -5.0 Central government Regional and local government Social security funds General government 20 As a percentage of GDP 20.0 0 -20 -40 -60 -80 -10.0 2011|Q2 2011|Q3 2011|Q4 2012|Q1 2012|Q2 Currency and deposits Other assets / liabilities Shares and other equity 200 150 Change in Net Financial Assets of General Government Loans Securities other than shares Net financial assets 20 Transactions - financial assets Net lending (+) / borrowing (-) Changes in net financial assets Transactions - liabilities (-) Other volume and price changes 15 100 10 50 EUR billion Liabilities Financial assets EUR billion General Government Net Financial Assets by Financial Instrument 0 -50 -100 -150 5 0 -5 -10 -200 -15 -250 -20 2011|Q2 General Government Net Lending (+) / Net Borrowing (-) 4.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -4.0 -6.0 -8.0 -10.0 Accumulated over the last four quarters 2011|Q4 2012|Q1 2012|Q2 Central Government Net Lending (+) / Net Borrowing (-) Maastricht Treaty Limit Quarterly As a percentage of GDP As a percentage of GDP Quarterly 2011|Q3 Accumulated over the last four quarters 4.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -4.0 -6.0 -8.0 -10.0 -12.0 -12.0 -14.0 -14.0 5 | Statistical Press Release | Lisboa, 22ndOctober 2012 | Regional and Local Government Net Lending (+) / Net Borrowing (-) Quarterly Social Security Funds Net Lending (+) / Net Borrowing (-) Quarterly Accumulated over the last four quarters 1.0 3.0 As a percentage of GDP As a percentage of GDP Accumulated over the last four quarters 4.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 -1.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -2.0 -3.0 -4.0 -5.0 Deficit-Debt Adjustment General Government Financing and Deficit Net acquisition of financial assets Transactions in liabilities not included in debt Other adjustments Deficit-debt adjustment 18 15 Financing (accumulated over the last twelve months) 20 16 12 14 9 EUR billion EUR billion Deficit 18 6 3 12 10 8 6 0 4 -3 2 -6 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Public Corporations Debt Public Debt by Financing Sector Public corporations included in the general government 60 250 Public corporations not included in the general government Financial corporations Households Rest of the world 200 40 30 20 EUR billion EUR billion 50 Non-financial corporations 150 100 10 50 0 0 6 | Statistical Press Release | Lisboa, 22ndOctober 2012 | Public Debt and Deficit by Country | 2007 Public Debt and Deficit by Country | 2011 180 180 160 GR 160 140 100 BE PT 80 Euro Area DE FR MT 60 CY AT NL 40 ES IE SI SK 20 EE -15 -10 -5 0 LU 0 IT BE 100 Euro Area DE FR ES CY SI NL 80 AT MT 60 FI SK 40 20 LU EE -10 -15 5 120 PT IE Deficit as a percentage of GDP -5 Deficit as a percentage of GDP 0 0 5 Public Debt by Country | 2011 Estonia Luxembourg Slovakia Slovenia Finland Netherlands Spain Chipre Malta Austria Germany France Euro area Belgium Portugal Ireland Italy Greece 0 30 60 120 90 150 180 As a percentage of GDP Deficit, change in debt and deficit-debt adjustment | 2011 Estonia Luxembourg Slovakia Slovenia Finland Netherlands Spain Cyprus Malta Austria Germany France Euro area Belgium Portugal Ireland Italy Greece Deficit Deficit-debt adjustment Change in debt -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 As a percentage of GDP 7 Public debt as a percentage of GDP IT GR 140 Public debt as a percentage of GDP 120