Math 6010 Solutions to homework 2 3, p. 15. Recall that Pn − x̄)2 = x0 Ax for every x, where − n1 1 − n1 − n1 · · · − n1 .. .. .. . .. A := ... . . . . 1 1 1 −n − n · · · − n 1 − n1 i=1 (xi Pn 2 Therefore, E(Q1 ) = tr(AΣ) + µ0 Aµ. Because µ0 Aµ = i=1 (µi − µ̄) 0 and the µi ’s are allPthe same it follows that µ Aµ = 0 and therefore P E(Q1 ) = tr(AΣ) = i j Ai,j Σi,j . Because Σi,j = 0 when j > i + 1, and since Σ and A are both symmetric, E(Q1 ) = XX i j = Ai,j Σi,j = 1− n X Ai,i Σi,i + 2 i=1 1 n X n n X Ai,i+1 Σi,i+1 i=1 n Σi,i − i=1 2X Σi,i+1 . n i=1 This does the job for Q1 . As regards Q2 , we appeal to Example 1.8 (p. 10) to see that Q2 = 2 n X Xi2 − X12 − Xn2 − 2 i=1 =2 n X n−1 X Xi Xi+1 + (X1 − Xn )2 i=1 Xi2 − 2 n−1 X i=1 Xi Xi+1 − 2X1 Xn . i=1 Because E(X1 Xn ) = E(X1 )E(Xn ) = µ2 [I am assuming that n > 3; otherwise the result is silly], it follows that E(Q2 ) = 2 n X E(Xi2 ) − 2 i=1 E(Xi2 ) n−1 X E(Xi Xi+1 ) − 2µ2 . i=1 Now, = Var(Xi )+(EXi ) = Σi,i +µ2 , and E(Xi Xi+1 ) = Σi,i+1 +µ2 similarly. Therefore, E(Q2 ) = 2 n X i=1 2 Σi,i +2nµ2 −2 n−1 X Σi,i+1 −2(n−1)µ2 −2µ2 = 2 i=1 n X i=1 1 Σi,i −2 n−1 X i=1 Σi,i+1 . Therefore, " # " n # n n n−1 X X 1 X 2X E(3Q1 − Q2 ) = 3 1 − Σi,i+1 − 2 Σi,i − Σi,i − 2 Σi,i+1 n i=1 n i=1 i=1 i=1 n n−1 6 X 3 X Σi,i + 2 − Σi,i+1 = 1− n i=1 n i=1 n=1 n n−3 X n−3X Σi,i + 2 = Σi,i+1 . n i=1 n i=1 Divide both sides by n(n − 3) in order to see that E 3Q1 − Q2 n(n − 3) = n n−1 1 X 2 X Σ + Σi,i+1 . i,i n2 i=1 n2 i=1 Finally, recall that Var(X1 + · · · + Xn ) = n X n X Cov(Xi , Xj ) = i=1 j=1 n X i=1 Σi,i + 2 n−1 X Σi,i+1 . i=1 [The sum is the sum of the diagonal entries plus twice the sum of the entires that lie above the diagonal, by symmetry.] Therefore, Var(X̄) = n n−1 1 2 X 1 X Σ + Σi,i+1 , Var(X + · · · + X ) = i,i 1 n n2 n2 i=1 n2 i=1 which as we have seen is equal to the expectation of (3Q1 − Q2 )/n(n − 3). 4, p. 16. The matrix of the quadratic form (x1 − x2 )2 + (x2 − x3 )2 + (x3 − x1 )2 is 2 −1 −1 A := −1 2 −1 . −1 −1 2 According to Theorem 1.6 (p. 10), the variance of (X1 − X2 )2 + (X2 − X3 )2 + (X1 − X3 )2 = X 0 AX is (µ4 − 3µ22 )a0 a + 2µ22 tr(A2 ), because the means [i.e., the θ’s in that theorem] are all zero. Here, a := (2 , 2 , 2)0 is the diagonals-vector of A, µ2 = E(Xi2 ) = Z 1 −1 2 1 2 1 x dx = , 2 3 and µ4 = E(Xi4 ) = Z 1 −1 1 4 1 x dx = . 2 5 24 Therefore, (µ4 − 3µ22 )a0 a = − 15 = − 58 . Since A is symmetric, tr(A2 ) = 3 X 3 X Ai,j Ai,j = 3 X 3 X i=1 j=1 A2i,j = 18. i=1 j=1 Therefore, the answer to this question is − 85 + 4 = 12 5 . 5, p. 16. Observe that X0 AX and X0 BX are 1-dimensional random variables. Consequently, 0 0 X AX · X BX = = n X n X Xi Ai,j Xj i=1 j=1 n X n X n X n X · n X n X Xk Bk,l Xl k=1 l=1 Ai,j Bk,l Xi Xj Xk Xl . i=1 j=1 k=1 l=1 Take expectations to see that E [X0 AX , X0 BX] = E (X0 AX · X0 BX) n n X n X n X X Ai,j Bk,l E (Xi Xj Xk Xl ) . = i=1 j=1 k=1 l=1 Because the Xi ’s are independent and have mean and third moment zero, all of these terms are zero except in the following cases: (i) When i = j = k = l; (ii) i = j 6= k = l; (iii) i = k 6= j = l; (iv) i = l 6= j = k. In case (i), E(Xi Xj Xk Xl ) = E(X14 ) = 3σ 4 . In the remaining cases (i)–(iv), E(Xi Xj Xk Xl ) = |E(X12 )|2 = σ 4 . Therefore, E [X0 AX , X0 BX] = 3σ 4 n X Ai,i Bi,i + σ 4 n X n X Ai,i Bk,k i=1 k=1 k6=i n X n n X n X X σ4 Ai,j Bi,j + σ 4 Ai,j Bj,i , i=1 j=1 i=1 j=1 j6=i j6=i i=1 + considering each case separately in order from (i)–(iv). Because A and B are symmetric, the last two quantities are equal. This reduces the computation to the following: E [X0 AX , X0 BX] = 3σ 4 n X Ai,i Bi,i + σ 4 i=1 + 2σ 4 n X n X i=1 j=1 j6=i 3 n X n X i=1 k=1 k6=i Ai,j Bi,j . Ai,i Bk,k Now, n X n X i=1 j=1 j6=i Ai,j Bi,j = n X n X Ai,j Bi,j − i=1 j=1 = tr(AB) − n X Ai,i Bi,i i=1 n X Ai,i Bi,i . i=1 Consequently, E [X0 AX , X0 BX] = σ 4 n X Ai,i Bi,i + σ 4 i=1 n X n X Ai,i Bk,k i=1 k=1 k6=i + 2σ 4 tr(AB) n X n X = σ4 Ai,i Bk,k + 2σ 4 tr(AB) i=1 k=1 4 = σ tr(A)tr(B) + 2σ 4 tr(AB) = E (X0 AX) E (X0 BX) + 2σ 4 tr(AB), thanks to Theorem 1.5. This shows readily that Cov [X0 AX , X0 BX] = 2σ 4 tr(AB). 4