Math 6010 Solutions to homework 1 2, p. 15. (a) We may notice that X1 − 2X2 + X3 = a0 X, where a := (1 , −2 , 1)0 . Therefore, Var (X1 − 2X2 + X3 ) = a0 Var(X)a, which is 1 4 5 2 3 (1 , −2 , 1) 2 3 0 −2 = (1 , −2 , 1) −4 = 18. 1 6 3 0 3 (b) We may write Y = AX, where 1 A := 1 1 1 0 . 1 Therefore, Var(Y ) = AVar(X)A0 , which is 5 2 3 1 1 12 1 1 0 2 3 0 1 1 = 15 1 1 1 3 0 3 0 1 15 . 21 Pn − x̄)2 = x0 Ax for every x, where − n1 1 − n1 − n1 · · · − n1 .. .. .. . .. A := ... . . . . 1 1 1 −n − n · · · − n 1 − n1 Pn Therefore, E(Q1 ) = tr(AΣ) + µ0 Aµ. Because µ0 Aµ = i=1 (µi − µ̄)2 , it follows that µ0 Aµ = 0 in this particular case, because the µi ’s are all the same. P P Next, we recall that tr(AΣ) = i j Ai,j Σi,j . Because Σi,j = 0 when j > i + 1, and since Σ and A are both symmetric, 3, p. 15. Recall that i=1 (xi E(Q1 ) = XX i j = Ai,j Σi,j = 1− n X Ai,i Σi,i + 2 i=1 1 n X n i=1 n Σi,i − i=1 1 n X 2X Σi,i+1 . n i=1 Ai,i+1 Σi,i+1 This does the job for Q1 . As regards Q2 , we appeal to Example 1.8 (p. 10) to see that Q2 = 2 n X Xi2 − X12 − Xn2 − 2 i=1 =2 n X n−1 X Xi Xi+1 + (X1 − Xn )2 i=1 Xi2 − 2 n−1 X i=1 Xi Xi+1 − 2X1 Xn . i=1 Because E(X1 Xn ) = E(X1 )E(Xn ) = µ2 [I am assuming that n > 3; otherwise the result is silly], it follows that E(Q2 ) = 2 n X E(Xi2 ) i=1 −2 n−1 X E(Xi Xi+1 ) − 2µ2 . i=1 Now, E(Xi2 ) = Var(Xi )+(EXi )2 = Σi,i +µ2 , and E(Xi Xi+1 ) = Σi,i+1 +µ2 similarly. Therefore, E(Q2 ) = 2 n X Σi,i +2nµ2 −2 i=1 n−1 X Σi,i+1 −2(n−1)µ2 −2µ2 = 2 i=1 n X Σi,i −2 i=1 n−1 X Σi,i+1 . i=1 Therefore, # " n # n n n−1 X X 2X 1 X Σi,i − Σi,i+1 − 2 Σi,i − 2 Σi,i+1 E(3Q1 − Q2 ) = 3 1 − n i=1 n i=1 i=1 i=1 n n−1 6 X 3 X Σi,i + 2 − Σi,i+1 = 1− n i=1 n i=1 n=1 n n−3 X n−3X Σi,i+1 . Σi,i + 2 = n i=1 n i=1 " Divide both sides by n(n − 3) in order to see that n n−1 3Q1 − Q2 1 X 2 X E = 2 Σi,i + 2 Σi,i+1 . n(n − 3) n i=1 n i=1 Finally, recall that Var(X1 + · · · + Xn ) = n X n X Cov(Xi , Xj ) = i=1 j=1 n X i=1 Σi,i + 2 n−1 X Σi,i+1 . i=1 [The sum is the sum of the diagonal entries plus twice the sum of the entires that lie above the diagonal, by symmetry.] Therefore, Var(X̄) = n n−1 1 1 X 2 X Var(X + · · · + X ) = Σ + Σi,i+1 , 1 n i,i n2 n2 i=1 n2 i=1 which as we have seen is equal to the expectation of (3Q1 − Q2 )/n(n − 3). 2 4, p. 16. The matrix of the quadratic form (x1 − x2 )2 + (x2 − x3 )2 + (x3 − x1 )2 is 2 −1 −1 A := −1 2 −1 . −1 −1 2 According to Theorem 1.6 (p. 10), the variance of (X1 − X2 )2 + (X2 − X3 )2 + (X1 − X3 )2 = X 0 AX is (µ4 − 3µ22 )a0 a + 2µ22 tr(A2 ), because the means [i.e., the θ’s in that theorem] are all zero. Here, a := (2 , 2 , 2)0 is the diagonals-vector of A, µ2 = E(Xi2 ) = Z 1 −1 and µ4 = E(Xi4 ) = Z 1 −1 Therefore, (µ4 − 3µ22 )a0 a tr(A2 ) = = 24 − 15 3 3 X X 1 1 2 x dx = , 2 3 1 1 4 x dx = . 2 5 = − 58 . Since A is symmetric, Ai,j Ai,j = 3 3 X X A2i,j = 18. i=1 j=1 i=1 j=1 Therefore, the answer to this question is − 85 + 4 = 12 5 . 5, p. 16. This is a direct, but long, computation; the methods of Chapter 2 will clarify things a great deal, but we do not need them [strictly speaking]. First recall that E(X 0 AX) = σ 2 tr(A), E(X 0 BX) = σ 2 tr(B). Therefore, Cov(X 0 AX , X 0 BX) = E (X 0 AXX 0 BX) − σ 4 tr(A) tr(B). Therefore, we need to compute the expectation of the random “quartic form” X 0 AXX 0 BX = (X 0 AX) (X 0 BX) n X n n X n X X = Xi Ai,j Xj Xk Bk,` X` = i=1 j=1 n X n X n X n X i=1 j=1 k=1 `=1 3 k=1 `=1 Ai,j Bk,` Xi Xj Xk X` . That is, we want to find E (X 0 AXX 0 BX) = n X n X n X n X Ai,j Bk,` E(Xi Xj Xk X` ). i=1 j=1 k=1 `=1 Because the X’s are i.i.d. mean-zero random variables, E(X14 ) if i = j = k = `, 2 2 if i = j 6= k = `, E(X1 ) E(Xi Xj Xk X` ) = or if i = k 6= j = `, or if i = ` 6= j = k, 0 otherwise. Simple computations for normal distributions show that E(X14 ) = 3σ 4 and E(X12 ) = σ 2 .1 Therefore, 4 3σ if i = j = k = `, σ 4 if i = j 6= k = `, E(Xi Xj Xk X` ) = or if i = k 6= j = `, or if i = ` 6= k = j, 0 otherwise. Consequently, E (X 0 AXX 0 BX) = 3σ 4 n X Ai,i Bi,i + σ 4 i=1 n X n X Ai,i Bk,k + σ 4 i=1 k=1 k6=i + σ4 n X n X n X n X Ai,j Bi,j i=1 j=1 j6=i Ai,j Bi,j i=1 j=1 j6=i = σ4 n X i=1 Ai,i n X k=1 Bk,k + 2σ 4 n X n X Ai,j Bi,j i=1 j=1 = σ 4 tr(A)tr(B) + 2σ 4 tr(AB). 1 Indeed, the second moment ought to be well known to you. And the fourth moment can be computed as follows: Without loss of generality, σ = 1; else you consider Y1 := X1 /σ instead of X1 . When σ = 1, we have Z ∞ Z ∞ 2 2 1 2 E(X14 ) = √ x4 e−x /2 dx = √ x4 e−x /2 dx (by symmetry) 2π −∞ 2π 0 Z ∞ 2 dy = √ (4y 2 )e−y √ (y := x2 /2) 2y 2π 0 Z ∞ 4 4 5 4 3 3 4 3 1 1 = √ y 3/2 e−y dy = √ Γ = √ · ·Γ = √ · · ·Γ =3 π 0 π 2 π 2 2 π 2 2 2 √ since Γ(1/2) = π. Alternatively, we can compute the fourth moment by taking four derivatives of the MGF of N(0 , σ 2 ). 4 This does the job. 5