Review • lurking variable: a variable, usually unobserved, that influences the association between the variables of primary interest. • A lurking variable may be a common cause of both the explanatory and response variable. • experiment: assigning subjects to certain experimental conditions and then observing outcomes on the response variable. • treatments: the experimental conditions, which correspond to assigned values of the explanatory variable. • observational study (nonexperimental studies): observing values of the response variable and explanatory variables for the sampled subjects, without anything being done to the subjects (such as imposing a treatment) Data Types in Observational Studies • anecdotal evidence • sample survey: selecting a sample of subjects from a population and collects data from them • census: a survey for the whole population — expensive, time consuming or impossible • sampling frame: the list of subjects in the population from which the sample is taken Ideally, the sampling frame lists the entire population. In practice, it’s usually hard to identify every subject in the population. • sampling design: the method for selecting subjects from the sampling frame • simple random sample: a simple random sample of n subjects from a population is one in which each possible sample of that size has the same chance of being selected • Use Random Numbers to Select a Simple Random Sample Methods of Collecting Data in Sample Surveys • personal interview • telephone interview • self-administered questionnaire Measuring the Accuracy of the Results from Surveys with Random Sampling • margin of error 1 approximate margin of error = √ × 100% n where n is the sample size. • bias: certain outcomes will occur more often in the sample than they do in the population due to the inappropriate way of the survey sampling bias occurs from using nonrandom samples or having undercoverage nonresponse bias occurs when some sampled subjects cannot be reached or refuse to participate or fail to answer some questions response bias occurs when the subject gives an incorrect response (perhaps lying), or the question wording or the way the interviewer asks the questions is confusing or misleading • convenience sample & volunteer sample