,. .. . ICES C.M. 1994 ... C.M. 1994/L:19 , . Bi~logical Oceanography Co~ttee .SUSTAiNABILITY, niOMASS YiELDS, AND I-IEALTI-I OF COASTAL ECOSYSTEMS: AN ECOLOGICAL PERSPECfIVE by' . " It" Sherman _ Natiormi Marine Fisheries service Northeast Fisheries SCience Center . Narragansett Laboratory ,. Narragansett; RI 02882~1199 ABSTRACf • Tbe sustainabiIitY, heaIth, and bioinäss yields of marine resources cari ,be eIthanced by the implementation of a more holiSticand ecologically baSed strategy for aSsessing, morutonng, and nianaging coastal ecosysiems than haS been generally practiced dui-irig most of this century. A major milestone waS reached iri advandng toward a more ecologicaIly based management practice when the majoritY of co3.5tal nationS cif tne world endorsed the declaration made at the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development ,(UNCED) in 1992, to prevent, reduce, arid control degradation of the marine environment, so as to maintain and ,iinprove its life-support and produCiive capacities; develop arid', increase the potential of marine Iiving resources to meet hum~m nutritional needs, as weIl as social, econoffiic, and development goals; and promote the integrated mamlgenierit and sustriiriable development coastal areaS and the marine erivircirirrient. Marine resource problems underscored by UNCED are bCing addressed. ' Post-UNCED Iarge marine ecosystem-scale progr3.ms for advanceriIent toward resotirce sustainabiIity, ecosystem healtn, and econörilicaIly' viable bioniass yields are now being implemented. Tbe prograins are being supported by iriternational agencies aS part of an effort to couple recent advances in ecological monitoririg, management, and' stress mitigaÜon strategies betWeen, developed '... countries, ari~ Iesser develope~ countries ar<?und the margirn of the' ocean basins. of .. ~'... ,. . , ECOSYSTEM SUSTAINABILITY Human intervention and dimate change are sources of additional vaiiabiIit}i in the natural productivity of coastal marine ecosystems.. "Within the near shore areas and extending seaward riround the margins of the global huid 'maSses, cOaStal ecosystems -are being' subjeCted to increased stress from toxic effluents, habitat degradation, excessive , _.....- ...... .' :", ..... ,. " : ',' " 2 1 . i ..~ nutrient loadings, h3.rmful aIgal. blooms, emergent diseases, fallout trom! aerosol containinants, and episodic losses of living manne resources from pollution effects, and overeXploitation. Tbe lang-term sustairiability of cOaStal ecosystems as sources for healthy economies appears to be diritinishing. A groWing awareness that the quality of th.e global cmistal ecosystt~ms are being adversely impacted by multiple driving forces has acceleräted cfforts to assess, monitor, and mitigaie coastal stressors froman ecosystem perspeC:tive. The Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commissiori (IOC) of the United l'fations EducationaI, Scicntific, andCultural Organization (UNESCO) is encouraging coastal nations to establish national programs for assessing arid riioriitoring coastal ecosystems, so as to enhance the ability of national and regional management organizations to develop and iinplement effective remedial programs for irriproving the quality of degraded ecosystemS (IOC, 1992). This encouragement follows from,thc significant milestone richieved in July 1992 With the adoption by a majority of cOaStal countries of f611ow-on ac.tions· to the United Nations Conference on Environment and pevelopment (UNCED). The UNCEDdeclaratioriS on the OCeall explicitly recommended that nations of thc globe: (1) preVent, reduce, alul control degradation 01 the manne enviromnent so as to inairitain and iniprove its lile-suppOrl iuul productive capadties,' (2) develop and increase the potential 01 marine living resources to meet human nutritional needs, as weil as sodal, economic, and development goals,' und (3) promote the ititegrated management and sustainable' development 0/ coastal areas iuul the marine environment. UNCED aIso recognized the general importance of capacity building, as \\Tell ris' the importrint linkagc betwceri momtoring the changing "states or "h'ealth" of coastal cco'syst~ins und the achieve~entof marine resmlrce sustainabilit}r and developmentril goals. • • ' . ,,' .'1 I . " .'- . ' • " Tlle conceptof sustmnability äS applh~d to marine' resources and ecosystems hris been the subject' of recent debate. In anärticl~ puhlished in Sde1l:ce, Ludwig et al~ (1993) argue . that basic research in ecology to be coriducted in support· of the Sustainable Biosphere . Iri~tiative of the Ecological Socieij of AIrierica (LuDchenco et al., 1991) may. be leäding to complacency, .as the most pressing issues ,being addressed to avoid further degradation of . global renewable resources are increasing human populations and excessive use of resources, ' not necessarily more scieritific research. They support their argumerits ,vith dtationS of: (1) theapparerit faHures infisheries management to' inairitain ecologicaIly balanced stock viability in the face of increasing fishing ,dfort, and (2) tha~ clainis of sustairiability were suspect as populations are overexploited because scientific consensus on resource status is difficult to obtairi. Rosenbcrg et al. (1993) dispute the Ludwig ct al. (1993):assertions and mairitain that "fisheries management provides positive examples of sustainable resource use ririd Iessoris fcir future improvemeiits."They arguc that "there is asound, theoretical and empirical basis, for su'stairiablc' use of marine resources, tliat overexploitatiOIl is not irieVitable, or the result of inadeqmite scientific advice, and that sustainable: use of , reriewable resources is an obtainable nmnagement objective." In the development of a sustainablc harvesting mariagemerit regime, Rosenberg ci a1.(1993) emphasize the need for . taking into account, erivironmental conditions and exploitation rates by implementirig appropririic moriitoririg prograrns to, ideritify änd track thc' shirts inpopulaÜon responses. TheY' conclude that sustairiable developrrient marine resources is achievable if sCientific advice hased on biologieal, social, arid econonllc cörniderätionS is an integraI part of -thc or , 'I. I I I I I I I : ~ ~ .• .~.; ,'! " 3 development of poÜcies for renewable resource use. This conclusion is in agreemerit with Mangel et aI. (1993), who afgric that "sustainable use" of rencwable resolJrces is achievable when humans use living compone#ts of ecosysieins in ways thut allow natural processes to replace what is used. Under these conditions, the ecosystem "will renew itself indefinitely and human use \vill be sustainable." , ' '. ' ' An ecosysterns approach for ecologists interested in contributing toward a scientifically based· strategy for resource sustainability is giveri by Holling (1993). He emphasizes the need to recognize that there is emerging science that is muItidiscipIinary and focused on populations and ecosystems on large spätial scales tliat incIude socioeconoffiic considerations in plaiuiing arid iinplementation appropriate to the issue of resource sustairiability. . Tbe more traditiorial, but nonetheless important, disciplinary oriented ecological studies can ,coritribute more' to resource sustainability when they are conducted within a framework of science at ,the level of orgaruzation that is rriultidisciplinriry and focused on issues affeCting populations ,Within .an ecosysierriS perspective. ,The international GLOBEC regional programs (Skjoldal ei al., 1993), the International Geosphere-Biosphere, Program on the Land-Ocearis Interaction in the cciastal Zone Program (IGBP, 1994) arid Joint Global Ocean FluX Study (IGBP, 1994) are examples of the newly emerging large-scale multidisciplinary marine ecosystem scierice. Linkages between these process-oriented studies and the more applied studies that are focused on supporting the sustainribility of manne resources are being encouraged by national and international funding agencies concerned with the sustainability ofnatural resources: In this regard, ' the' .defiriition of süStainabilitY .used by' HoIIing arid' camed forwärd in tbis perspective fOCuses Oll. ecosystem studies in support of "the social and economic development· of a region with the goals to invest in the maintenarice and restöration of critical ecosystem furictioris, to synthesize arid make accessible kiiowledge imd uriderstanding for economies, and to. develop and communicate the understariding that provides a foundation of trust for citizens" (HoIIing, 1993). an . , ,in practice, therefore, it would be important to establish insÜtuticinaJ.arrangements ' for ensudng that äppropriate soeioeconomic consideratiorui are exercised in the application of science in support of regimes aimeo at the stistainability. öf ,reriewable resources. Regional exarnples of this approach to ecosystem sustainability can be found in the objectives of the Coriveniion for the Conservation of Antarctic Living Marine Resources (ScuIly, 1993), and the lniriisterial declarationS for the prcitection of the Black Sea (Hey & Mce, 1993), and the North Sea (North Sea TaSk Force, 1991). Tbe Black Sea Declaration refers specifically to the objectives of ,UNCED Agenda 21, .Chapter 17, that. calls for integrated management and sustainable development of coastal areris, marine enviromriental protection, sustainable use and conservation of living resources under national jurisdiction; and the need for addressing critical uncertainties for the management of the. marine enviroriment and strengtheriing of international arid regional cooperation rind coordiniltion (Hey & Mee, 1993).' AIi effort to develop a mariagement system for the Barents Sea Ecosystem that provides stronger linkS between science and socioecononUc considerations ' froin an ecosysteins perSpective is under corisideration (Eikeland, 1992). " ! 4 I Large Marine Ecosystems (LME) Concept an . ! . All essential component of ecosystem management regime ·is the inclusion of a scientifically based sirategy that monitors arid assesses the changing staÜ~s and health of the ecosystem by tracking key biological and environmenial parameters. From this perspective, marine ecosystem assessment and monitoring is defined as a component of a management system that includes: (1) regulaiory, (2) institutional, and (3) decision-makirig Iaspects relating to marine ecosystems, and therefore, would include a range of activities ne'eded to provide mamigeinerit information about ecosystem conditions, contaminarits, and resources at risk. Based on experiences in' North America, Europe, and elsewhere, the core comp<ment of a comprehensive coastal ecosysteni assessment und momtoring system that corisists of conceptual and numerical rriodelling capabilit}r, laboratory and field research, time-series measurements, data analysis, synthesis and interpretation, arid a capacity.. for initiating the effort with preliminary or scoping studies is most likely to be successful (NRC, 1990). The priricipal characteristie of a corriprehensive ecosysteni assessment arid monitoring program is the integration and coordiriation of the comporient parts of the effor! into a total ecosystenis approach designed to produee scientifie information iri support of coastal resources management. . . . " , . This strategy is consistent With the conclusion that monitoring efforts at the regional seale need to be strengthened to improve understanding of broader-seale trends in marine . ecosystein qualit}'. Several recerit reports that address these issues have been corisulted in the prejlaration oi this perspective, including the United Nations' report on the status of the global marine environment (GESAMP, 1990), the IOC's,report on tlie Global.Oeean Observing System (GOOS) presented to the UNCED in 1992 (IOC, 1992), the reports of several internatiOIlal commissions; including the. Helsinki Commission (HELCOM), the Oslo-Paris,Commission (OSPARCOM), the North Sea Task Force (NSTF, 1991), and the report of the International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES) \Vorking Group on Environmental Assessments and Moriitoring Strategies (\VGEAMS, 1992), MÜigating actions' to reduce stress on marine ecosystenis are required to ensure the long-term sustainability of marine resources. Tbe principles adopted by coastal states under the terms of the United Nations Converitiori for the Law of tbc Sea (UNCLOS) have,been inierpreted as supportive of the management of living marine resources and coastal habitats from an ecosysterns perspeetive (Belsky, 1986, 1989). However, at present single internatiorial inStitutioIl has beeri empowered to monitor the changing ecological states of rriaririe ecosystems arid to reconcile the needs of iridividual nations with .those: of the communitY of nations in taking appropriate rnitigation actions (IUCN, 1990; Myers~ 1990). In this regard, the need for a regional approach to implement research, monit6drig, ~ and stress .mitigation in support of marine resources development and sustairiability at less than . the global level has been recognized from a strategie perspective (Taylor & Groorrl, 1989; Malone, 1991; Hey, 1992). Achieveriü~ni of UNCED goals will require the implementaiicin of a new paradigm aimed at greater integration of the highly sectorized approach to solving . problems of coastal habitat degradation, marine pollutiori, and, the overexploitaiion of no I I I I ~ .. I e . \' ~ . >.,' I, . ... ,t.' 5 nsherü~s than haS been practiced in ocean inonitorIng and management by coastal nations also dudrig most of this, centUIY~, It Will require a working partnership betWeen the developed and developing nations of the world. Such an approach; if aided by external ftinding sources and based on principles of ecology and sustairiable development would represent a significant advance to efforts of limited scope rind application presently aimed in this dircction in developing countfies. ' . . An ecological framework that may be useftil iri a~hieving the UNCED objectives is the large marine ecosystem concept (LME).. LMEs are areas which are being subjeeted to increasing stress fram growing exploitation of fish and other renewable resourees, eOaStal zone damage, habitat losses, river bashi runoff, dumping of urban \vasies, and fallout from aerosol contaminarits.. The LMEs are regions of ocean space encompässing coastal areas from river basins and estuaries on out to the sea\vard boundary of continental sheIves and the seaward margins of coastal crirrent systems. Tbey are relatively large ocean regions characterized by distind, bathymetry, hydrography, productivity, and trophically dependent . populations. (Tbe theory, measurement, arid modelling relevant to monitonng the changing states of LMEs are imbedded in reports On ecosystemS With multiple steady states, rind on the pattern formation arid spatial diffusion withinecosystems (Hollirig, 1973, 1986, 1993; Piilun; 1984; AAAS, 1986, 1989, 1990, 1991, 1993; Beddington, 1986; Mangel, 1991; LeViri, 1993). . '. • From the ecologieaI perspective, the concept that 'critical processes controlling the structure and function of biologicäI coirnitimities can best be 'addressed on a regional basis ' (Rieklefs, 1987) has been applied to ocean space in the utilizatiori of marine ecosysterns as distirict global UIuts for marine research, monitoring, and management. Tbe coricept of monitoring and inanaging reriewable resources from an LME perspective has beeri the topiC of a senes of national rind international syrilposia and \vorkShops initiated iri 1984, wherein the geographic extent of each region is defined on the basis of ecologieal cdteria (Table 1). Tbe spawning and feeding migrations of fish communities within the LMEs have evolved in response to the distinct bathymetry, hydrography, productivitJ, and trophodynamies of the system. As the spatial dimension of biologieal and physicril processes directly infltiencing the success of populatiori renewals within the regions lmder consideration are,large, the term large marine ecosystem iS used to characterize thein. Several LMEs are semi-enclosed, . including the Black Sea, the Baltic Sea, the Mediterrrinean Sea, and the Criribbeari Seä. \Vithin the extent of LMEs, domairis 01- subsystems cari be characterized. Forexample, the Adriritic Sea is a subsystem 0[. the Mediterranean Sea LME. In other LMEs geographie limits are defined by the scope of continental shelves. Among these are the U.S. NortheäSt Continental Shelf arid its four subsystems-the Gulf of Maine, Georges Bank, Southern New England, and the Mid-Atlantie Bight (Sherman et al., 1988), the Icelandie Shelf arid the Northwestern Australian Shelf. For LMEs with narrow shelf areas and well-defined , currents, the seaward b01.indaries are limited to the areas affeeted bycoastal currents, rather thari relying on the 200-mile EXclusive Economie Zone (EEZ) limits. Aniorig the coastriI current LMEs are the Hriinboldt CUrrent, California Current, Calmry CUrrent, Kuroshio Current, and Benguela Currerit. It the cOaStal ecosystems adjacent to the land niasses tliat is 6 , i are being stressed from, habitat degradation, pollution, and overeXpI?itation of 'manne resources. Nearly 95% of the usable annual global biomaSs )rield of fish and other living marine resources is produced in 49 LMEs identified within, and in same cases ex~ending beyond, the boundaries of the EEZs of coastal nationS located arourid the margins of the ocean basins (Figiire 1).' ) t , . ." I . Levels of primary productiori are persistently higher around the margins of the ocean . basins than for the open-ocean pelagic areas of the globe. It is \vithin niese coastal ocean areas that polltition has its greatest impact on natural prodtictivity cycles~ incltiding eutfophication from high nitrogen and phosphorus effluent froin estuaries; The presence of toxins in poorly treated sewage discharge, harmful algaI blooms, ririd lass of wetland nursery areas. to coastal development. are also ecosystem-Ievel problems that need to oe addressed (GESAMP, 1990). Within several of the coastal LMEs;overfishing has,catised biomriss flips rimong the dominant pelagie componerits of fish coriunimities resultirig in multimillion metrie ton lasses in potential biomass )rield (Fogarty et al:, 1991). The oiomass flip, wherein adaminant species rapidly drops to a lciw level to be succeeded by another .. species, can generate caseading effects ~miong other important components of the ecosystem, including marine birds (Powers· & Brown, 1987), manne mammals, and zooplankton. (Overholtz & Nicohis, 1979; Payrie et al.; 1990). Recent studies implicate climate .arid naturaI environmental changes ris prime dfiving forces of variability in fish populatiori levels (Kawasaki et al., 1991; Bakun, 1993; Alheit & Bemal, 1993). The growing awareriess that biomass yields are being influeneed bymultiple drivirig forces in marine ecosystenis arourid the globe has. accelerated effoftS to broaden riloriitoring strategies ta encompass food cham dynamies and the effects of enViionrnental perturbations and pollution on living marine' resources from an ecosystem perspective. , , . , PERTURBATIONS AND DRIVING FORCES IN LMEs The LMEs that tagether produ~e approxiniately.95% cif theannual global fisheries . biomass yield are listed in Table 2. Although the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) world fishery statistics have shown an upward trend in annual bioIriass yields for the past three decades (1960 through 1990), it is largely the C!upeoids that are increasing in abundance (FAO, 1?92). A large number of stockS have been and continüe to be fished at levels aoove ,lang-term sustllinability. The variations in abimdarice levels among the species constittiting the annual global biomass yields are iridicative of chänging ..regional ecosystem states ca~sed by natural environrnental perturbationS, overexploitation, arid pollution. Although the sp~itial dimensions of LMEs. preclude a strletly eontrolled eXperimental approach to ,their study, they are perfectly anienable to the comparative method o'f science as described by Bakuri (1993). :. ..' ~ , " ' An effort was initiated in 1984 to convene aseries of symposia and coriferences to provide an internatiorial forum for bringing forWard the results of multidisciplinary syniheses of available information on the principal driving forees of. change in biomass yields for I ; ..... 7 selected LMEs.', Sirice 1984, case studies investigating t~e major causes of large-scale perturbations in biomass yields of 29 LMEs have been completed (Table 1). Tbe principal driving forces for biomass changes .vary among ecosystems. Results of the ease stridies, including generalizations on principal, secoridary, arid tertiary driving forces, are given iri five volumes published in cooperation with the American ASsociation for the Advanceinerit of Science. A list of the priricipal investigators and contributors to the volumes is given iri Table 1. In same systems, natural, erivirorimental perturbation is the principal driver of charige in fisheries biorriass production (e.g.; Oyashio, Kuroshio, ßeriguela, and Humboldt Current Ecosystems)." In'several shelf ecosystems, overexploitation is the principal ~;ource of changes in the stmcture of the fish community and biomass yields (e.g., Gulf of Thailand, Nürtheast Shelf of the U.S., Yellow Sea Ecosysterns). And iri other ecosystems, the pfincipal cause for· structural change in the fish coriimunity is the, effect of coastal eutrophication (e.g., ßlack Sea, riorthwest AdriatiC Sea EcosYstems).· For several other systems, the evidence for causes of obserVed chäriges in biomass )rieId are inconclusive (e.g., East ßering Sen, Nofth Sea EcosystemS). , '. Gulf of Mexico, . .' CORE ASSESSMENT AND MONITORING MODULES FOR LMEs : Considerati~n sh~uld be given" to the use of standard and intercalibrated protocols for measuring changing ecological states of the watersheds, bays, estuaries, coastal waters arid biomass yields of· LMEs. Long-term historical time series data on living maririe resources (some up tri 40 years), coupled with nieasured or inferred long-terrii pollutarit loading histones, have proven useful for relating the results of intensive monitoring to the quaritification of "cause and effect meehanisins affecting the ehanging ecological staies of LMEs. Tempor3.1· and spaHal seales influencing biological. production . arid changing ecological sÜltes in marine ecosystems have been the topic of a nuffiber of theoretical and empirical studies.' The selectiori of seale in any study is reläted to the proeesses urider ... investigation. An excellent treatment of this topic ean be found in Steele (1988). He indieates thai in relatiori to general ecology of the sen, the best krioWn work iri imiriiie population dynairiics iricludes' studies by, Schaefer (1954), and Beverton & Holt (1957), folIoWing the earlier pioneering approach ofLindemann (1942). Hriwever, Us noted by models is unsuitable for, eonsideration oftemporal or spatial . Steele (1988), this array variability iIi the rieeari~' A heuristic projeetion waS produeed by Steele (1988) to illustrate seales of irriportance in monitoring pelagic components of the ecosystem iricluding phytoplarikton; zooplaOkton,fish, frontal processes, and short-term but hirge-area episodic effects (Figure 2). Tbe LME approach defines a spatial domain based on ecologic3.1 . prindples arid, thereby, proVides a basis for focused temporal rind spathil scieritific research and morutoring efforts in support of management aimed at the long:term productivit}r and .. sustäiriability of marine habitatS arid resources. 1t • of A inonitoi-irig strategy for measuring the changing states of· LMEs sUitable for . impleinentaticiri on the coasts of. developing countries was recominended by a pane.l·Of international experts that met at Cornell University iri July 1991 (Sherinan & Laughlin; 8 -, II 1992). Tbe strategy included: (1) f(~gular trawling using a straiiried random shmpling design to' measure ehanges in the fish coriUnunity; (2) plankton suiveys to meaSure biofeedback 'to perturbations at the phiriktonic trophic level;,and (3) measurements on the cffccts of pollution. I Trawling Module .' , \ . ' II Changes i~' the biodlversity, abundance, rind distribution of the fish populdticins of thc North Sea arid the Northeast Coritinental Shelf of the United States havc beeri assessed using tra\vling techniques for several decades (AZarovitz & GrossIein, 1987). Tbc' surveys have beeil eondueted by relatively large research vessels. However, staridardized sampling , procedures, wheri deployed from srriall ,:calibrated trawlers, ean provide important information on diverse chariges in fish species. Tbe fish catch proVides biological sampies for population demographics arid irophic interaciionS involving studies of age arid growth, fecundity, and predator-prey dynamics (leES, 1991), data and the eollection of sampies to monitor coastal pollution. Sampies of trawl-caught fish can be used iri studies of contamiriant burdens and to monitor pathologieal eonditioris that may be associated with coasial pollution. Tbe trawlers ean also be used ri.s platfofmS for obtriining water, sediment, and benthic sampies for monitoring han11fu1 algal bloomS, virus vecicirs of disease, eutrophicati?nj anoXia, arid changes in benthic community studies. Plankton Module " The plankton ofLMEseun be measured by deployirig Continuous Plarikton Recorder (CPR) systems from commercial vessels' of opportullitY (Glover, 1967).The advanced plankton recorders can be fitied with sensors for temperatilre" salinity, chlorophyll, nitrate/nitrite, petroleum hydrocarbcins, light, bioluminescence, und prirriary productivity (Aiken, 1981; Aiken & Bellan, 1990; 'Villiains & Aiken, 1990; UNESCO, 1992; \VilIiams, 1993), providing the means to monitor changes in phytoplankton, zooplailkion, pdmary' productivity, species corriposition and dominance, and long-term changes in the physical and nutrient characterisiics of the LME, as well as longer te'rm changes relating to the biofeedback of the plankton to the stress of climate change (Colebrook, 1986;,. DiekSon et aL, 1988; Jossi & Smith, 1990; Hayes et aL, 1993; Jossi & Goulet, 1993; Williams, 1993). Plankton monitoring using the CPR system is at preserit eXpanding in the North Atlriritic ' (Colebrook ei al., 1991). . , ' Polltition arid Ecosystem Health Effeets Module . ~', " .'," , . , . The i~~i~~entationof the protocols for International Mussei \Vateh, Status rind Trends of Contaminant Loading in Fish Tissues rind Sediments (White arid Robertson, in press), and methods for monitoring the frequency and extent of harrIlful algal blooms (Smayda, 1991; IGC, 1993a) arid emergerit veetors of diseuse (Epstein; 1993) provides the ecosystem health module of the balanced LME cOre" monitoring effort. . \. .' l I I I .I. . . • " 9 ,SOCIOECONOMIC COMPONENTS A distiriguishing feature of, the LME approacll is its emphasis on practical applications of its scientific findings .in managing the LME and,on the explicit integratiori _ of economic analysis witll the scientific research to assure that prospective management -measures rirecost-effective~ Economists rind policy analysts will need to work closely with ' ecologists and other scientists to identify and evaluate management options that are both . '. .. scientifically credible and economically practical. ,e • TheeconomIc and mariagement information is to be closely integrated with the endosed science throughorit, and is designed to respond ridaptively to enhanced scientific information. This component of the LME approachto manne resources management, developed by James Broadus~ Director, of the Marine Policy Center, \Voods Hole Oceanographic Institution. It consists of six interrelated elements: \vas (1) Humanforcingfwlctions--The natural stärÜng poirit is ageneraÜzed cllaracterization of the ways iri which human activities affect the natural marine system rind the exPected sensitivity of these forcing functions to various types and levels of human activitY. Population dynamics, cOaStal development, and land-use practices in the system's drainage basin are clear examples. Workintegraiing the efforts ofnatural and social scientists should concentrate further on resolving apparent effects (such as eutrophicatioil-associated red tide events oi changing fish popuhition structures) that are confounded by Cyc1es oi- complex dynamics in the natural system itself. Progress is possible, too, in achieving better characterizations of the way in which human forcing . is rilediated ,by alternate management optionS. Emphasis should be on isolatirig and quantifying those forcing activities (sewage discllarge, agriculturaI runoff, fishing effort) likely to be expressed most prominently in effectS on the natural system. . - (2) 'A;sessing Impacts-Another natural ,element in the systemIc approach is to estirilate imd even predict the ecoriomic impacts of unrnanaged degradation in the natural system rind, obversely, the expected beriefits of management ineaSures. Such assessment is a form of standard benefit-cost analysis, but it requires scientific information to describe the effects of human forcirig so they may be quantified in econoniic termS. lriitial analysis should focus on the social and econorriic. sectors likely to experience the largest impacts: .fishing, aquaculture, public health, recr~ation, an~ tourism~ ,', ' . (3) Feedbackr-7Collaborative effort should' aiso :be . devoted to identifying and estimating the feedbackS of economic impacts into the human forcing funetion: Extensive coastal eutrophication, for example, associated 'with cOuStal development and runoff, might reduce the süitability of coastal rireas. for aquaculture prodtiction arid increase its exposure to red tide , . I I 10 damage, thereby putting a premium on capture fishery and increasing pressur~ on wild stocks. .SiriUlar feedbackS, both negative arid positive, should be adrlressed and expressed in eeo~omie terms ror all the major seetors; . I . " . (4) Ecosystem Service/I'lze Value ojBioqiversity--Special eonsideration should be given to improved knowledge of hmv the natural system generates economic values. Many valuable services provided by natural systems are not traded in markets or included iri plannirig evaluations, so extra eare must be made to assure that they are not sacrifieed through ignorance. The serVices provided by eoastal wetlands as nurseries for fisheries, natural pollution filters~ .' .. and storm Duffers is a well-known example that has partieiI1ar relevance to coastal reclarimtion activities. Other examples' are more subtIe, iricluding the . , importance' of predator-prey, relationships and the possibilitj' of 105ing unrecognized "keystone" species in a valuable ecosystem. Experienee suggests that gro\ving eeonomicvalues on aesthetie and reereational/tourism amenities inay be, expeeted in the LME setting ris .weIl. A variety of sourees of econonlle value ririsingfrom the natural diversity of the LME should be identified and assessed in regard to existing uses and potential manageineIlt· innovations.. . ' .. ' (5) Environmental Economies--Many of theelerrients deseribed in this section eomprisetopics in Environmental Economics. SpecialistS in that field 'attempt to estimate the econoriUe values (both use and iion-use) assoda.ted with' environmental resourees and to identify the coriditionS aSsociated with . their optimal management (to derive the greatest net benefitS for society). Ari 'important elem~nt is' the collaboration betWeen scholars from developing. riations and those from the developed countries to transfer and adapt to the , needs and techniques of Environmental Economics. ' , . . ' , (6) Integrated AsseSslnent--The ultimate objective is the integration of . aIl the results achieved above, With scientifie characterizations of the LME, into a comprehensive analytie framework (decision support enviroriment) that will permit integrated. rissessment of human praetices,. effeets, and management optionS in the region. ,Such work is at the forefrorit of recent research on the human dimensions of globalerivironmental change as weIl as ' research on human interactions with natural coastal/marine systems.' ',' ; s;ste~ appro~ch män~gement' LME~ de~i~ted Th~ A to the of is in Table3. LMEs represent the link between loeal events (e.g.~ fishing, pollution, environmental disturbance) oCcUri-ing on the daily-to-seaSonal temporal scale and tbeir effects on living marine resources arid the more ubiquitous global effectS ofclimate ehanges,on the multideeadal timescaIe. ,The regional and temporal foeus of season io decade is eonsistent wiih the, evolved spawrnng rind feedirig migrations of thc fishes. ,These migrations are seasonal and oCcUr over hundreds to thousands of kilometers within tbe unique physieal and biological eharaet'eristies ,I I l I, • .. .~ 11 of the regional LME to ,which,they have adapted. As'the fisheries repres~ni most cif the usable. biomass yiel~ ?f the LMEs and fish populations cornist of several age classes, it follows that measiIres of variability in .growth, recruitment, and mortality should be conducted over multiyear timescales. Similarly, changes in populations of marine mammals rind marine bird spedes will require multiple-year iime-series observations. Consideration of ihe naturally occurring enviranmental events and. the human-induced perturbations, iriduding coastal pollution, affecting demography of the populations within the ecosystem is riecessaiy. Based on sch~ritific iriferences of the principal causes of variability in abundance arid with due consideration to socioeconomic needs, mariagemerit options fram an ecosysterris perspective can be considered for implementation. Tbe final elemeilt in the , system, with regard. to the concept of resource maintenance and sustairied yield, is the feedback loop that allows for evaluation of the effects of management actionS that consider' both fisheries and ecosystem health. PRESENT AND FUTURE ECOSYSTEM SUSTAINABILITY EFFORTS Tbe "core;' assessment and ritonitodng approach to LME research arid moriitoring pravides a conceptual framework for collaboration in process-oi-iented studies coriducted by . the National Science Foundation (NSF)-NOAA sponsored GLOBal acean ECosysteins dyriamics (GLOBEC) program in. the United States arid, the Iriternational GLOBEC Prograin. Developing LME rrionitaring strategies are. cairijmtible With the proposed Global . Ocean Observing System (GOOS) of the IOC arid those modules to be focused on liVing marine resources and ecosystein health (IOC, 1993b). • Efforts are underway to place greater foeus on the lirikage betWeen scientific arid societal .rieeds and the utility of lang-term, broad-area cOaStal' ocean aSsessment and monitoring studies aimed at enhancing the lang-term sustairiability of madne resources. If the proposition for tiine-series monitoririg of changing ecosysteni staÜ~s is to be realized in this period of shrinking budgets, it would be in the best iriterests of scierice and socio~. economic interests to be. tightly liriked in the erideavar. The basis for the lirikage eniphasi~ed not orily iri the UNCED declaratiorn on the oceariS, but also iri aseries of recent developments revolving around: (1) global climate change; (2) legal precedent for intenüitional cooperation implicit in the Law of the Sea; (3) a grawing interest in nüuine ecosystems as regional units for marine research, monitoring, and management; (4) the effort of the IOC to encourage the implementation of a GOOS; arid (5) rene~.ved national iriterestS in improVing the health of degraded cOaStal ecosystems. In the United Stätes, this interest has resulted iri the enactinent of recerit legishition mandating the establishment of . a naticinal coastal monitoring program for assessing the changing states of "coastal ecosystem health" and reporting the findings to the U.S. Congress a recurring biannuiU resporiSibilitY. NOAA arid EPA (NCMA; 1992). was· as of I A more holistic approach to cOaSt~l ecosystems assessment arid inonltodrig ris a means far fostering international cooperaticin in achieving sustainabilÜy objectives for iI I 12 I marine resOlirces between the more developed and less developed countries is presently underway; The 49 hirge marine ecosystems that have been identified for comparaÜve sustainabiIit)r stiIdies are located around the margins of the ocean basins and extend over the coastlines of several countries. Theyare in regions of the wodd ocean most affected by overexj>loitation, polhition, and habitat degradation, and collectively represent target areas for Il1itigation effort, particularly in the stressed coastal ecosystems adjacent to centers of population de~ities in developing countries. The, Global Environment Facility (qEF) of the \Vorld Bank, in collaboration \vith NOAA, IOC, UNEP, FAO, Natural Environment Research Council (NERC), the Sir Alister I-Iardy Fouridation for Ocean Science, and scientists from nationai marine resource agencies cif severaI of the more developed couritries (e.g., Belgium, Cririada, Denmark, France, Germany, The Netherlands, Norway,and the United Kirigdoin). are prepared to assist developing nations in impleinenting coastal ecosystem assessment, monitonng, and mitigation, programs aimed at providing a scientific basis for improving the prospects for the long-term sustainable development of marine resources (Shenrian et al., 1992). Two of these programs are iri the advanced planning stage, one for the Gulf of Guinea Ecosystem, that brings together into a single program effort five coririiries of the region--Ivory Coast; Ghana, Nigeria; Benin, and Cameroon. Tbe other prograIl1 is being developed jointly by marine specialists from China rind Korea for the Yellow Sea large marine ecosystem (\Vu & Qiu, 1993). Tbe first of these projects is scheduled to be implemerited in the Gulf of Guinea LME in summer, 1994. \ • • c l · .' A cOIl1prehensive regional project to assess, monitor, and Initigatestresses on the Black Sea Ecosystem is being supported by the GEF (Mee, 1992). 1t appears,that marine resource managers and scientists are being responsive to implementing mitigaticin actions for marine resources at risk from overexploitation and habitat degradation arid that initiatives iri support of a more comprehenSive systems approach for ensudng thc long-term sustainability.of madne resoufces are likely to be underway in marine ecosysteIlls of Mrica, . and A S i a . · The growing partnership . among. funding agencies, marine ecologists, and socicieconomic interests marks an important step toward realizrition of the UNCED dedaration aimed at reversing the declining condition of coastal ecosystems, and enhancing thc long-term sustainability of marine resources. . REFERENCES AAAS [Americim Association for tbe Advimcerrient ofSciences]. 1986. VariabiHty and management of large marine ecosysterris. 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NATO advanced research workshop evaluatingand nionitoring the health of large-scale ecosystems. SpringerVerlag, Berlin (in'press) . . \Villiri.ins, R. and J. Aiken. 1990. Optical rrieasurementS from undenYaier towed vehicles deployed from ships-of-opporturuty in the North Sea.· In H. O. Nielseri (Ed.) Environment and pollution measurement, serisor'and systems. Proc. SPIE 1269, pp. 186-194. ' \Vii, B.; 'and J. Qiu. i993.' Yellow Sea Fisheries: From singl~ arid multi-species management towards ecosysteins managemerit. J. Oeeanogr. Huanghai and Bohai Seas 11(1):13-17. . • 19 Table 1. List of 29 Large Marine Ecosystems and sub-syst~r.ns for which syntheses relatirig' to principal, secondary, or tertiary driving forces controlling variability in biomass yields have been completed by February 1993. Large Marine Ecosystem V.S. Northeast Continental Shelf D.S. Southeast Contiriental Shelf Gulf of Mexico California Current e Eastern Bering Shelf \Vest Greenland Shelf Norwegian Sea Barents Sea Volume No.* 1 4 4 2 4 1 4 5 1 3 3 2 4 '. North Sea Baltic Sea Iberian Coastal Mediterranean-Adriatic Sea Canary Current Gulf of Guinea Benguela Current Patagonian Shelf Caribbean Sea South China Sea-Gulf of Thailand Yellow Sea Sea of Okhotsk Humboldt Current Indonesia Seas-Banda Sea Bay of Bengal Antarctic Marine Weddell Sea Kuroshio Current Oyashio Current Great Barder Reef South China Sea 1 1 2 5 5 5 2 5 3 2 2 5 5 3 5 1&5 3 2 2 2 5 5 Authors M. Sissenwine P. Falko\vski J. Yoder W~ J. Richards and M. F. McGowan B. E. Brown et aI. A MacCaIl M.MuIIin D. Bottom L. Incze and J. D. Schumacher H. Hovgaard and E. Buch B. EIIertsen et al. H. R. Skjoldal and F. Rey V~ Borisov N. Daan G. KuIIenberg T. Wyatt and G. Perez-Gandaras G. Bombace C. Bas D. Binet and E. Marchal RJ.M. CraWford et al. A Bakun W. J. Richards arid J. A Bohnsack T. Piyakarnchana Q. Tang V. V. Kusnetsov J. Alheit and P. Bemal J. J. Zijlstra and M. A Baars S. N. Dwivedi R. T. Scully et al. , G. Hempel M. Terazaki T. Minoda R. H~ Bradbury and C. N. Mundy G. Kelleher D. Pauly and V. Christensen ·Vol.l, Variability and Management ofLarge Manne Ecosystems, AAAS Seieeted Symposium 99, Westview Press. Boulder, 1986. 319 pp. Vol. 2,.Biomass Yields and Geography oC Large Marine Ecosystems, AAAS Seleeted Symposium 111, Westview Press, Doulder, CO, 1989. 493 pp. ' " • Vol. 3, Large Marine Ecosystems: Patterns, ProcesSeS. and Yields, AAAS Symposium, AAAS Press, w8shin&ton, Oe. 1990. ' 242 pp. , '. ,'" , ' " Vol. 4, Food Chains, Yields, Models, and Management oe Large Marine Ecosystems, AAAS Symposium, Westview Press, Boulder, CO. 1991.320 pp. : Vol. 5, Stress, Mitigation, and Sustainability oe Large Marine Ecosystems, AAAS Press, Washington, oe, 1993. 376 pp. 20 Table 2. Contributions by countryt and large marine ecosystem (LME) representing 95 percent of the annual global catch in 1990. I Country Percentage of" world marine nominal catch LMEs producing annual biomass yield Japan 12.25 Oyashio Current, Kuroshio Current; Sea of Okhotsk, Sea of Japan, Yellow Sea, East China Sea, W. Bering Sea, E. Bering Sea, and Scotia Sea USSR 11.37 Sea of Okhotsk, Barents Sea, Norwegian Shelf, W. Bering Sea, E. Bering Sea, and Scotia Sea China 8.28 W. Bering Sea, Yellow Sea, E. China Sea, and S. China Sea Peru 8.27 Humboldt Current USA 6.76 Northeast US Shelf, Southeast US Shelf, Gulf of Mexico t California Current, Gulf of Alaska, and E. Bering Sea Chile 5.98 Humboldt Current Cumulative percentages 52.91 -----_.----------------.--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Korea Republic 3.28F* Yellow Sea, Sea of Japan, E. China Sea, and Kuroshio Current Thailand 2.96F South China Sea, and Indonesian Seas India 2.78 Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea Indonesia 2.76 Indonesian Seas Norway 2.11 Norwegian Shelf and Barents Sea Korea D. P. Rep. 1.98F Sea of Japan and Yellow Sea Philippines 1.96 S. China Sea, Sulu-Celebes Sea Canada 1.90 Scotian Shelf, Northeast U.S. Shelf, Newfoundland Shelf IPercentages based on fish catch statistics from FAO 1990 Yearbookt vol. 70, FAOt 1992. Söme fraction of the catch made by fishing operations of long-distance trawlers may be actually caught in other LMEs. *F = Percentage calculated using FAO estimate from available sources of information. • 21 Table 2 continued. Country • Percentage of world marine nominal catch LMEs producing annual biomass yield Cumulative percentages Ieeland 1.82 Icelandic Shelf Denmark 2.07 Baltic Sea and North Sea Spain 1.73 Iberian Coastal Current and Canary Current Mexico 1.46 Gulf of California, Gulf of Mexico, and California Current France 1.03F North Sea, Biscay-Celtic Shelf, Mediterranean Sea Viet Nam 0.74 South China Sea Myanmar 0.72 Bay of Bengal, Andaman Sea Brazil O.71F Patagonian Shelf and Brazil Current Malaysia 0.71F Gulf of Thailand, Andaman Sea, Indonesian Seas, and S. China Sea UK-Scotland 0.70 North Sea New Zealand 0.68 New Zealand Shelf Ecosystem Morocco 0.68 Canary Current Argentina 0.66 Patagonian Shelf Italy 0.57 Mediterranean Sea Netherlands 0.52 North Sea Poland 0.52 Baltic Sea Ecuador 0.47 Humboldt Current Pakistan 0.44 Bay of Bengal 76.25 80.47 !Percentages based on fish catch statistics from FAD 1990 Yearbook, vol. 70, FAD, 1992. Same fraction oi the catch made by fishing operations of long-distance trawlers may be actually caught in other LMEs. *F = Percentage calculated using FAD estimate from available sources of information. 22 Table 2 continued. Country Turkey Percentage of world marine nominal catch 0.41 Germany (F.R. and N.L.) 0.41 LMEs producing annual biomass yield Cumulative percentages Black Sea, Mediterranean Sea Baltic Sea and Scotia Sea Ghana 0.40 Gulf of Guinea Portugal 0.39 Iberian Shelf and Canary Current Venezuela 0.38 Caribbean Sea Namibia 0.35 Benguela Current Faeroe Islands 0.34 Faeroe Plateau Senegal 0.34 Gulf of Guinea and Canary Current Sweden 0.31 Baltic Sea Bangladesh 031 Bay of Bengal Ireland 0.28 Biscay-Celtic Shelf Hong Kong 0.28 S. China Sea Nigeria 0.26 Gulf of Guinea Australia 0.25 N. Australian Shelf and Great Barrier Reef Iran, I.R. 0.24F Arabian Sea UK Eng., Wales 0.21 North Sea Cuba 0.20 Caribbean Sea Panama 0.19 California Current and Caribbean Sea Greenland 0.17 East Greenland Shelf, West Greenland Shelf 90.20 IPercentages based on fish catch statistics from FAO 1990 Yearbook, vol. 70, FAO, 1992. Same fraction of the catch made by flShing operations of long-distance trawlers may be actually caught in other LMEs. *F = Percentage calculated using FAO estimate from available sources of information. • 23 Table 2 continued. Country e Percentage ofl world marine nominal catch LMEs producing annual biomass yield Sri Lanka 0.19 Bay of Bengal Greece 0.16 Mediterranean Sea Oman 0.15 Arabian Sea Angola 0.12 Guinea Current, Angola Basin United Arab Ern. 0.11 Arabian Sea Cumulative percentages 95.01 Ipercentages based on fish catch statistics from FAO 1990 Yearbook, vol. 70 FAO, 1992. Some fraction of the catch made by fishing operations of long-distance trawlers may be actually caught in other LMEs. *F = Percentage calculated using FAO estimate from available sources of information. 24 Table 3. Key spatial and temporal scales and principal elements of a systems approach to the research and management of large marine ecosystems. 1. Spatial-Temporal Scales SpatiaI 2. 3. 4. Temporal Millennia-Decadal 1.1 Global (World Ocean) 1.2 Regional Decadal-Seasonal (Exclusive Economic Zones) Large Marine Ecosystems 1.3 Local Subsystems SeasonaI-Daily Pelagic Biogeographie Research Elements 2.1 Spawning Strategies 2.2 Feeding Strategies 2.3 Productivity, Trophodynamics 2.4 Stock FluctuationsfRecruitmentfMortality 2.5 Natural Variability (Hydrography, Currents, Water Masses, Weather) 2.6 Human Perturbations (Fishing, Waste Disposal, Petrogenic Hydrocarbon Impacts; Toxic Effects, Aerosol Contaminants, Eutrophication Effects, Pollution Effects, Viral Disease Vectors) Management Elements--Options and Advice--International, National, Local 3.1 Bioenvironmental and Socioeconomic Models 3.2 Management to Optimize Sustainable Fisheries Yields 3.3. Mitigation of Pollution Stress; Improvement of Ecosystem "HeaIth" Feedback Loop 4.1 Evaluation of Ecosystem "HeaIth" 4.2 Evaluation of Fisheries Status 4.3 Evaluation of Management Practices • 25 ". 40 "SOUlh Pacific OCC4n SOIlIIi. .:t,{a",ic Oc,o" WORLD MAP OF LARGE MARINE ECOSYSTEMS " 1. 2. , .. , e Eastem Bering Sea Gulf o(Alaska 3. California Current 4. Gulf of California MeXico 5. Gulf 6. Southeast US. Continental Shelf 7. Northeast U.S. Continental Shelf 8. Scotian Shelf NeWfoundland . Shelf 9. 10. West Greenland Shelf ~ 11. Insular Pacific--HaWaiian 12. Canbbean "Sea 13. Humboldt. Current 14. Patagonian Sbelf 15. ßrazil euITent , 16. Northeast Brazil Sbelf 17. East GreeDlaiid Sbelf 18. Iceland Shelf 19. ßarcnts Sea , 20. " Norwegian Shelf 21. North Sea 22. ßaltic Sea. .' Celtic-ßiscay . Shelf 23. Iberian Coastal 24. o( Figure L 25. 26. 27. 28. "29. 30: 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. " .36. 37. 38. 39. 40. 41. 42. 43. .. 44. 45. 46. 47. 48. 49. Boundarles of 49 large marine ecosystems. Meclltcrranean Sea ßlaCk Sea Canary euITent Guinea cUrrent Bengue1a Current Agllihäs CUITent Somali COaStal CUrrcnt Arabian Sea Red' Sea . ßay of Bengal South China Sea Sulu-eelebes Seas IndoneSian Seas Northem Austrwati Sbelf Great Barrier Reef New ZCaland Shelf East China Sea Yellow Sea Kuroshio Current. Sc"li of Japan OyasWo Current Sea of" Okhotsk West ßerUig Sea Faroe Plateau AIitärctic 26 1000 MM, F, B 100 - (f) >« o z 10 p 1.0 1.0 10. 100 1000 KILOMETERS Figure 2. A simple set of scale relations for the food web P (phytoplankton), Z (zooplankton), F (fish), MM (marine mammals), and B (birds). Two physical processes are indicated by X, predictable fronts with small cross-front dimensions and (Y) weather events occurring over relatively large scales. (Adapted from Steele, 1988.)