World
Unmanned
Aerial
Vehicle Systems
Market Profile and Forecast
__________
2013 Edition
Steven J. Zaloga, Senior Analyst - Missiles & UAVs
(410) 676-7698
email: s.zaloga1@comcast.net
Dr. David Rockwell, Senior Analyst - Military Electronics
(703) 385-1992 ext. 106
email: drockwell@tealgroup.com
Philip Finnegan, Senior Analyst - Defense & Aerospace Companies
(703) 385-1992 ext. 105
email: pfinnegan@tealgroup.com
homepage: www.tealgroup.com
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Table of Contents
Executive Overview..................................................................................................1 The Market Outlook ................................................................................................................................................ 1 World UAV Budget Forecast ............................................................................................................................ 2 World Production Forecast by Type ................................................................................................................. 2 World Production Forecast by Region .............................................................................................................. 3 Study Parameters .............................................................................................................................................. 3 Forecast Assumptions ....................................................................................................................................... 4 Cost Evaluation ................................................................................................................................................. 5 Military UAVs .......................................................................................................................................................... 7 Civil UAVs .............................................................................................................................................................. 11 The Numbers .......................................................................................................................................................... 17 Mini-UAV Production Forecast by Region .................................................................................................... 17 Small Tactical UAV Production Forecast by Region ..................................................................................... 17 Tactical UAV Production Forecast Summary by Region ............................................................................... 17 Naval UAVs Production Forecast Summary by Region ................................................................................. 18 MALE UAV Production Forecast Summary by Region ................................................................................. 18 HALE UAV Production Forecast Summary by Region ................................................................................. 19 UCAV Production Forecast Summary by Region .......................................................................................... 19 Civil UAVs ..................................................................................................................................................... 19 The US UAV Market .............................................................................................21 Military Market Overview .................................................................................................................................... 21 Past as Prologue .............................................................................................................................................. 22 Impact of FY14 Budget and Sequester on US UAV Programs....................................................................... 24 US DoD UAV Funding History ...................................................................................................................... 25 US DoD UAV Budget Forecast ...................................................................................................................... 27 US UAV Production Forecast ......................................................................................................................... 28 Civil Market Overview .......................................................................................................................................... 28 US Civil UAV Production Forecast Summary ............................................................................................... 32 Program Profiles .................................................................................................................................................... 32 US Micro/Mini UAVs..................................................................................................................................... 32 US Navy/Marine Corps RQ-21 Integrator STUAS......................................................................................... 38 RQ-7A Shadow Tactical UAV ....................................................................................................................... 39 RQ-8 Fire Scout VTUAV ............................................................................................................................... 42 US Navy UAV Programs ................................................................................................................................ 44 RQ-1 Predator /MQ-9 Reaper ......................................................................................................................... 45 Air Force Next Generation UAS (NGUAS) ................................................................................................... 49 RQ-4 Global Hawk ......................................................................................................................................... 49 UCAVs ........................................................................................................................................................... 52 ©Teal Group Corporation
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Customs and Border Protection ...................................................................................................................... 56 Coast Guard .................................................................................................................................................... 59 Other Federal Government UAV Users .......................................................................................................... 60 The European UAV Market .................................................................................65 Market Overview ................................................................................................................................................... 65 Current European Military Programs .............................................................................................................. 65 European UAV Production Forecast by Type................................................................................................. 66 Country Profiles ..................................................................................................................................................... 66 Armenia .......................................................................................................................................................... 66 Austria............................................................................................................................................................. 67 Azerbaijan ....................................................................................................................................................... 67 Belgium........................................................................................................................................................... 67 Belarus ............................................................................................................................................................ 68 Bulgaria........................................................................................................................................................... 69 Croatia............................................................................................................................................................. 69 Czech Republic ............................................................................................................................................... 70 Denmark ......................................................................................................................................................... 70 Estonia ............................................................................................................................................................ 71 European Union/NATO .................................................................................................................................. 71 Finland ............................................................................................................................................................ 72 France ............................................................................................................................................................. 73 Georgia ........................................................................................................................................................... 83 Germany ......................................................................................................................................................... 83 Greece ............................................................................................................................................................. 89 Hungary .......................................................................................................................................................... 90 Ireland ............................................................................................................................................................. 90 Italy ................................................................................................................................................................. 90 Netherlands ..................................................................................................................................................... 94 Norway ........................................................................................................................................................... 96 Poland ............................................................................................................................................................. 96 Portugal ........................................................................................................................................................... 98 Romania .......................................................................................................................................................... 98 Russia .............................................................................................................................................................. 99 Serbia ............................................................................................................................................................ 104 Slovakia ........................................................................................................................................................ 104 Slovenia ........................................................................................................................................................ 105 Spain ............................................................................................................................................................. 105 Sweden .......................................................................................................................................................... 106 Switzerland ................................................................................................................................................... 108 2013 Edition
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Turkey ........................................................................................................................................................... 109 Ukraine ......................................................................................................................................................... 112 United Kingdom ........................................................................................................................................... 113 Rest of the World UAV Market ..........................................................................121 Market Overview ................................................................................................................................................. 121 Middle East .......................................................................................................................................................... 122 Middle East UAV Production Forecast by Type .......................................................................................... 122 Bahrain .......................................................................................................................................................... 122 Egypt ............................................................................................................................................................. 122 Iran ................................................................................................................................................................ 123 Iraq ................................................................................................................................................................ 125 Israel ............................................................................................................................................................. 125 Jordan ............................................................................................................................................................ 131 Kuwait........................................................................................................................................................... 132 Lebanon ........................................................................................................................................................ 132 Qatar ............................................................................................................................................................. 133 Saudi Arabia ................................................................................................................................................. 133 Syria .............................................................................................................................................................. 134 United Arab Emirates ................................................................................................................................... 135 Africa .................................................................................................................................................................... 136 African UAV Production Forecast by Type.................................................................................................. 136 Algeria .......................................................................................................................................................... 137 Angola........................................................................................................................................................... 137 Botswana....................................................................................................................................................... 137 Ethiopia ......................................................................................................................................................... 138 Ivory Coast.................................................................................................................................................... 138 Libya ............................................................................................................................................................. 138 Morocco ........................................................................................................................................................ 139 Nigeria .......................................................................................................................................................... 139 South Africa .................................................................................................................................................. 139 Sudan ............................................................................................................................................................ 141 Yemen ........................................................................................................................................................... 142 Asia-Pacific ........................................................................................................................................................... 142 Asia-Pacific UAV Production Forecast by Type .......................................................................................... 142 Australia ........................................................................................................................................................ 142 China ............................................................................................................................................................. 145 India .............................................................................................................................................................. 150 Indonesia ....................................................................................................................................................... 153 Japan ............................................................................................................................................................. 153 ©Teal Group Corporation
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Kazakhstan .................................................................................................................................................... 155 Korea, North ................................................................................................................................................. 156 Korea, South ................................................................................................................................................. 156 Malaysia ........................................................................................................................................................ 158 New Zealand ................................................................................................................................................. 159 Pakistan ......................................................................................................................................................... 159 Philippines .................................................................................................................................................... 161 Singapore ...................................................................................................................................................... 162 Sri Lanka ....................................................................................................................................................... 164 Taiwan .......................................................................................................................................................... 164 Thailand ........................................................................................................................................................ 165 Vietnam......................................................................................................................................................... 165 The Americas ....................................................................................................................................................... 166 Americas UAV Production Forecast by Type............................................................................................... 166 Argentina ...................................................................................................................................................... 166 Brazil............................................................................................................................................................. 167 Canada .......................................................................................................................................................... 168 Chile .............................................................................................................................................................. 171 Colombia....................................................................................................................................................... 171 Dominican Republic ..................................................................................................................................... 172 Ecuador ......................................................................................................................................................... 172 Mexico .......................................................................................................................................................... 172 Panama .......................................................................................................................................................... 173 Venezuela...................................................................................................................................................... 173 UAV Munitions ....................................................................................................175 Overview ............................................................................................................................................................... 175 USAF UAV Missile Funding History ........................................................................................................... 175 Electro-Optical/Infrared Sensors .......................................................................181 Overview ............................................................................................................................................................... 181 Sequestration and Intelligence, Surveillance & Reconnaissance (ISR) ........................................................ 181 UAV Electro-Optic/Infrared Sensors ............................................................................................................ 183 UAV EO/IR Funding Forecast Summary ..................................................................................................... 184 Market Shares ............................................................................................................................................... 185 UAV EO/IR Market Shares by Company ..................................................................................................... 185 Endurance UAV EO/IR Sensors ........................................................................................................................ 186 USAF Global Hawk Basic & Enhanced Integrated Sensor Suite ................................................................. 186 Navy MQ-4C Triton (BAMS) AN/DAS-1(V) MTS-B Sensor Suite ............................................................ 189 Coast Guard Deepwater Endurance UAV EO/IR Sensor ............................................................................. 190 USAF SensorCraft ISR UAV EO/IR Sensors 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SYERS Multi-Spectral Sensor (MALE/HALE UAV) .................................................................................. 190 Predator B/Reaper RAPTOR/DB-110 .......................................................................................................... 191 USAF MQ-X Next Generation ISR UAV EO/IR Sensor ............................................................................. 192 Predator & Predator B/Reaper AN/AAS-52(V) MTS-A & AN/DAS-1(V) MTS-B..................................... 194 Navy Predator B ISR Suite (Star SAFIRE 380HD) ...................................................................................... 198 US CBP/USCG Guardian/Predator B AN/DAS-1(V) MTS-B (Multi-Spectral Targeting System) ............. 198 Army Gray Eagle AN/DAS-2(V) Common Sensor Payload (CSP) ............................................................. 199 Predator XP Star SAFIRE 380HD ................................................................................................................ 201 Predator MX-15 HD ..................................................................................................................................... 202 Recce-U (RecceLITE) .................................................................................................................................. 202 Predator Imaging Laser Radar (LADAR) ..................................................................................................... 202 Wide FOV (WFOV) EO/IR Sensors .................................................................................................................. 203 USAF Reaper Gorgon Stare.......................................................................................................................... 203 Predator C Avenger Wide Field of View (WFOV) Sensor ........................................................................... 205 US Army A160 Hummingbird FCS Class II UAV ARGUS-IS ................................................................... 206 USAF ARGUS-IR ........................................................................................................................................ 207 US Marine Corps RQ-7 Shadow Wide Focal Plane Array Camera (WFPAC, or “Wolfpack”) ................... 207 US Marine Corps RQ-7 Shadow WASPS (Wide Area Surgical and Persistent Surveillance) ..................... 208 AWARE (Advanced WFOV Architectures for Image Reconstruction and Exploitation) ............................ 209 Hyperspectral EO Sensors .................................................................................................................................. 209 Global Hawk SPIRITT & USAF Hyperspectral Systems ............................................................................. 209 USAF Predator ACES Hy Hyperspectral Imager ......................................................................................... 211 US Army RQ-7 Shadow AURORA & Navy/Army Hyperspectral Imagers................................................. 212 UCAV EO/IR Sensors ......................................................................................................................................... 213 USAF Classified ISR/SEAD UCAV EO/IR Sensors .................................................................................... 213 Navy UCLASS & UCAS-D EO/IR Sensors ................................................................................................. 214 Tactical UAV EO/IR Sensors.............................................................................................................................. 216 MRMUAS & MRMP EO/IR Sensors ........................................................................................................... 216 US Navy MQ-8B/C Fire Scout EO/IR Sensors ............................................................................................ 216 SWIR (Short-Wave IR) UAV Sensors.......................................................................................................... 220 US Army RQ-7 Shadow POP 200/300 ......................................................................................................... 220 US Marine Corps Shadow POP 200/300 ...................................................................................................... 221 US Army Hunter Raven Eye II ..................................................................................................................... 221 Small Tactical UAV EO/IR Sensors ................................................................................................................... 222 US Navy/Marine Corps Integrator STUAS/Tier II Multi 8000 EO/IR Sensor ............................................. 222 US Marine Corps ScanEagle Alticam EO and IR Sensors ........................................................................... 223 US Special Operations Command NightEagle EO/IR Sensor ...................................................................... 225 Mini-UAV EO/IR Sensors ................................................................................................................................... 225 RQ-11B Raven Mantis i23 EO/IR Sensor .................................................................................................... 225 ©Teal Group Corporation
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RQ-11 Raven Photon IR Sensor ................................................................................................................... 226 US Navy & US Army FCS Class I RQ-16A T-Hawk MAV EO and IR Sensors (DRS) ............................. 227 Air Force Desert Hawk (was Sentry Owl) EO Sensors................................................................................. 228 US Marine Corps Dragon Eye ThermoVision Micron IR Sensor ................................................................. 229 US Mini-UAV EO/IR Sensors ...................................................................................................................... 229 Nano Air Vehicle (NAV) EO/IR Sensors ........................................................................................................... 230 Nano Air Vehicle (NAV) EO/IR Sensors ..................................................................................................... 230 Synthetic Aperture Radars .................................................................................233 Market Overview ................................................................................................................................................. 233 SAR Technology........................................................................................................................................... 233 SAR Market .................................................................................................................................................. 234 UAV SAR Funding Forecast Summary ........................................................................................................ 234 SAR Programs .............................................................................................................................................. 235 Market Shares ............................................................................................................................................... 238 UAV SAR Market Shares by Company........................................................................................................ 238 Endurance UAV SARs ........................................................................................................................................ 238 USAF Global Hawk AN/ZPY-2 MP-RTIP................................................................................................... 238 NATO Global Hawk AGS/MP-RTIP ........................................................................................................... 243 USAF Global Hawk “HISAR” ..................................................................................................................... 246 US Navy BAMS Multi-Function Active Sensor (MFAS) ............................................................................ 248 USCG Deepwater Endurance UAV ISAR .................................................................................................... 252 USAF Reaper AN/APY-8 Lynx SAR ........................................................................................................... 252 US Navy Predator B ISR Suite (Lynx SAR) ................................................................................................ 256 US CBP Predator B AN/APY-8 Lynx SAR ................................................................................................. 256 Predator/US Army Sky Warrior ER/MP Lynx II SAR ................................................................................. 257 US Army Grey Eagle ER/MP AN/ZPY-1 Starlite SAR ............................................................................... 258 US Army Grey Eagle ER/MP VADER Radar .............................................................................................. 259 US Army Grey Eagle TRACER ................................................................................................................... 261 MB SAR (Multi-Band Synthetic Aperture Radar) ........................................................................................ 261 USAF Predator TESAR ................................................................................................................................ 262 US CBP Guardian SeaVue SAR ................................................................................................................... 262 SensorCraft ISR UAV SAR .......................................................................................................................... 263 Vulture SAR ................................................................................................................................................. 264 Penetrating High Altitude Endurance (PHARE) UAV SAR ........................................................................ 265 UCAV Programs .................................................................................................................................................. 265 US Air Force Classified UCAV Radars ........................................................................................................ 265 US Navy UCLASS Radars ........................................................................................................................... 265 US Navy UCAS-D Radars ............................................................................................................................ 266 Tactical UAV Programs ...................................................................................................................................... 266 2013 Edition
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MRMUAS & MRMP Radars........................................................................................................................ 266 US Navy MQ-8B Fire Scout Multi-Mode Radar (MMR) ............................................................................. 267 US Army MQ-8B FCS Class 4A (Fire Scout) Lynx II SAR ........................................................................ 269 Coast Guard Vertical Takeoff and Landing UAV (VUAV) Surveillance Radar .......................................... 269 Army Shadow 200 TUAV SAR.................................................................................................................... 270 MiniSAR ....................................................................................................................................................... 271 Army A160 FORESTER FOPEN SAR ........................................................................................................ 272 Air Force PENRAD GPEN SAR .................................................................................................................. 273 ScanEagle NanoSAR .................................................................................................................................... 273 miniSAR ....................................................................................................................................................... 274 microSAR ..................................................................................................................................................... 274 Major International UAV SAR Programs ........................................................................................................ 274 I-Master......................................................................................................................................................... 274 SIMCLAIRS ................................................................................................................................................. 275 PicoSAR ....................................................................................................................................................... 275 MiSAR .......................................................................................................................................................... 276 EL/M-2055.................................................................................................................................................... 276 EL/M-2022U ................................................................................................................................................. 276 Recent SAR Solicitations and RDT&E Programs ............................................................................................ 276 SIGINT & Electronic Warfare Systems ............................................................283 Market Overview ................................................................................................................................................. 283 SIGINT & EW: Fastest-Growing UAV Electronics Market......................................................................... 283 Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) ...................................................................................................................... 284 Electronic Attack (EA) ................................................................................................................................. 286 Self-Defense/Countermeasures ..................................................................................................................... 287 International Markets .................................................................................................................................... 288 Market Shares ............................................................................................................................................... 289 UAV SIGINT & EW Market Shares by Company ....................................................................................... 289 Endurance UAV SIGINT & EA Programs ....................................................................................................... 290 USAF Global Hawk & Predator ASIP (Airborne Signals Intelligence Payload).......................................... 290 USAF Global Hawk Hyperwide COMINT................................................................................................... 294 USAF Global Hawk LR-100 RWR/ESM/ELINT......................................................................................... 295 Navy BAMS SIGINT Suite .......................................................................................................................... 295 USAF DEACON Electronic Attack Pod....................................................................................................... 296 USAF Predator SIGINT (non-ASIP) ............................................................................................................ 297 Army Grey Eagle QRC SIGINT T-Pod (Traveler-Pod) ............................................................................... 297 Army Tactical SIGINT Payload (TSP)/Enhanced TSP (ETSP).................................................................... 298 UCAV SIGINT & EA Programs ........................................................................................................................ 301 USAF Classified UCAV Electronic Attack (EA) ......................................................................................... 301 ©Teal Group Corporation
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USMC UCAV Electronic Attack (EA) ......................................................................................................... 301 Navy UCLASS SIGINT ............................................................................................................................... 302 Navy UCAS-D SIGINT ................................................................................................................................ 302 Early US Air Force/Navy UCAV Electronic Warfare Systems .................................................................... 303 Tactical UAV SIGINT & EA Programs ............................................................................................................ 303 USMC Group 4 UAV EA Standoff Jammers (AN/ALQ-99 & NGJ) ........................................................... 303 Navy/Army MRMUAS & MRMP SIGINT .................................................................................................. 305 RQ-7B Shadow SIGINT Pod ........................................................................................................................ 305 Navy SPICE .................................................................................................................................................. 306 Army Integrated EW System (IEWS) ........................................................................................................... 306 Army Green Dart .......................................................................................................................................... 307 USAF Lightweight Modular Support Jammer (LMSJ)................................................................................. 307 USAF/Army Adaptive Joint C4ISR Node (AJCN)....................................................................................... 309 Army FCS Class III & IV ESM Warning Systems ....................................................................................... 309 Battlefield Helicopter Emulator (BHE) (DARPA) ....................................................................................... 309 Navy Dragonfly COMINT ............................................................................................................................ 310 UAV Self-Protection/Countermeasures Programs ........................................................................................... 310 USAF Global Hawk EW Self-Protection Systems ....................................................................................... 310 Navy LAIRCM Advanced Threat Warning (ATW) Sensors [UAV] ............................................................ 310 Army/Navy CIRCM (Common IRCM) [UAV] ............................................................................................ 311 Army Counter Unmanned Aerial System (CUAS) Interceptor..................................................................... 312 International UAV SIGINT & EA Programs ................................................................................................... 312 Euro Hawk Wide Area SIGINT System ....................................................................................................... 312 UK Watchkeeper SIGINT: Soothsayer ......................................................................................................... 314 TRC 274 & TRC 6200 .................................................................................................................................. 314 Top Scan ....................................................................................................................................................... 315 Skyfix SIGINT Suite..................................................................................................................................... 315 EL/K-7071 COMINT/DF & EL/L-8385 ESM/ELINT ................................................................................. 315 Skyfix COMINT/DF ..................................................................................................................................... 316 C4I Systems ..........................................................................................................317 Market Overview ................................................................................................................................................. 317 Market Definition ......................................................................................................................................... 317 UAV C4I Funding Forecast Summary .......................................................................................................... 318 System Type Overview ................................................................................................................................. 318 Data Link Programs ............................................................................................................................................ 319 Global Hawk Battlefield Airborne Communications Node (BACN)............................................................ 319 JTIDS and MIDS .......................................................................................................................................... 320 Joint Tactical Radio System (JTRS) ............................................................................................................. 321 USAF Tactical Data Links (TDL)/Link-16................................................................................................... 322 2013 Edition
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US Navy Tactical Data Links (TDL)/Link-16 .............................................................................................. 323 US Army Tactical Data Links (TDL)/Link-16 ............................................................................................. 325 EPLRS & SADL ........................................................................................................................................... 326 Improved Data Modem (IDM) ...................................................................................................................... 327 CEC (Cooperative Engagement Capability) ................................................................................................. 328 Interim Airborne Gateway (USAF) .............................................................................................................. 330 Airborne Communications Suite (US Navy) ................................................................................................ 331 Common Data Link (CDL) & Tactical Common Data Link (TCDL) .......................................................... 332 Tactical Common Data Link-Network (TCDL-N) ....................................................................................... 335 Communications Data Link System (CDLS) ................................................................................................ 336 VUIT-2 (Video from UAS for Interoperability Teaming – Level 2) ............................................................ 336 Tactical Networked Sensor Suite (TNS2) ..................................................................................................... 337 Forward Airborne Secure Transmissions and Communications (FASTCOM)............................................. 337 Tactical Control System (TCS) & UAV Operating Systems ........................................................................ 337 New Technology Developments ................................................................................................................... 340 Networking and Data Fusion .............................................................................................................................. 342 New Technology Developments ................................................................................................................... 342 CBRN Sensors ......................................................................................................347 Market Overview ................................................................................................................................................. 347 UAV CBRN Funding Forecast Summary ..................................................................................................... 348 DoD CBRN RDT&E Program Elements ........................................................................................................... 348 PE# 0602384BP ............................................................................................................................................ 348 PE# 0603384BP ............................................................................................................................................ 348 PE# 0603884BP ............................................................................................................................................ 349 PE# 0604384BP ............................................................................................................................................ 349 PE# 0605384BP ............................................................................................................................................ 350 PE# 0607384BP ............................................................................................................................................ 350 Chemical & Biological Programs ....................................................................................................................... 350 TACTIC: Aerosol/Vapor Cloud Detection and Countermeasures ................................................................ 350 Joint Biological Point Detection System Contract to GD ............................................................................. 351 IPDS Systems for Navy Ships ...................................................................................................................... 351 ACTD Selections .......................................................................................................................................... 351 Biological Assessment Mobile Laboratory ................................................................................................... 351 JBAIDS Toxin Sensors ................................................................................................................................. 352 FLIR GasFindIR Camera .............................................................................................................................. 352 Chemical Alarm/Detector Contract............................................................................................................... 352 JBPDS Biological Detection Contracts......................................................................................................... 352 Biological Agent ID Contract ....................................................................................................................... 352 Bright Onyx UAV Chemical Sensor Contract .............................................................................................. 352 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FY06 Chemical/Biological Initiative Solicitation ......................................................................................... 353 ScanEagle UAV Biological Agent Detection Program................................................................................. 353 $1 Billion for Chemical Agent Disposal Facility Closure ............................................................................ 353 Handheld Bio Aerosol Detection Solicitation ............................................................................................... 353 Battelle Gets $500 Million for DHS Biodefense Center ............................................................................... 354 TACTIC Solicitation ..................................................................................................................................... 354 Joint Material Decontamination System Solicitation .................................................................................... 354 Chem/Bio Solicitation ................................................................................................................................... 354 JBPDS Contracts........................................................................................................................................... 355 Chemical Agent Alarm Systems ................................................................................................................... 355 ScanEagle Chem-Bio Testing ....................................................................................................................... 355 Chemical Agent Detection Production.......................................................................................................... 355 Chem/Bio Detector Technology Development ............................................................................................. 355 JBPDS Production Continues ....................................................................................................................... 356 Chem/Bio Defense BAA............................................................................................................................... 356 Chem Vapor Sampler Production Continues ................................................................................................ 356 Intercellular Bio Threat Research Contract................................................................................................... 356 Chemical Standoff Detection Market Survey ............................................................................................... 356 JCAD Procurement ....................................................................................................................................... 357 Chemical/Biological Technologies New Initiatives ...................................................................................... 357 JBTDS Biological Cloud Detection .............................................................................................................. 357 CB Defense Support ..................................................................................................................................... 358 Chemical Agent Detectors ............................................................................................................................ 358 Innovative CBR R&D ................................................................................................................................... 358 Radiological & Nuclear Programs ..................................................................................................................... 358 Alternative Nuclear Detection Technologies Sought .................................................................................... 358 Nuclear Radiation Detectors ......................................................................................................................... 359 Radiological & Nuclear Countermeasure System Architectures .................................................................. 359 Radioactive Liquid ID System Contract ....................................................................................................... 359 Radiological Collection UGV ....................................................................................................................... 360 Radiation identiFIERS .................................................................................................................................. 360 Detecting Special Nuclear Materials at Standoff Ranges ............................................................................. 360 Radiation Detection by Alternative Signatures Solicitation.......................................................................... 361 WMD Defeat and Nuclear Technology RFI ................................................................................................. 361 General and Other Programs ............................................................................................................................. 361 Combating Terrorism Technology ................................................................................................................ 361 J-UCAS Revolutionary Technologies Solicitation ....................................................................................... 362 CBRNE Non-Intrusive Detection Technologies ........................................................................................... 362 CBRN Unmanned Ground Reconnaissance (CUGR) ................................................................................... 362 2013 Edition
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CUGR MARS ............................................................................................................................................... 363 Fox NBC Vehicle Contract ........................................................................................................................... 363 CBRN Detection & Remediation Contract ................................................................................................... 363 CBRN Services Contract .............................................................................................................................. 364 CBRN Medical Science Solicitation ............................................................................................................. 364 Fox NBC Recon Vehicle Upgrades .............................................................................................................. 364 Counter Terrorism CBRN BAA ................................................................................................................... 364 Combating Terrorism Research .................................................................................................................... 364 WMD Aerial Collection System (WACS) for UAVs ................................................................................... 365 Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction Solicitation ................................................................................ 365 CBRNE Technologies Solicitation ............................................................................................................... 366 FLIR Systems Enters CBRN Market ............................................................................................................ 366 Army NBC Sensor Processing Group Solicitation ....................................................................................... 366 CBRN Support to Battelle ............................................................................................................................ 366 RQ-7B Shadow CBRN Pod .......................................................................................................................... 367 UAV Companies ...................................................................................................369 Overview ............................................................................................................................................................... 369 Company Profiles ................................................................................................................................................ 372 AAI Corporation ........................................................................................................................................... 372 Aeronautics Ltd............................................................................................................................................. 377 AeroVironment Inc. ...................................................................................................................................... 379 Aeryon Labs Inc............................................................................................................................................ 386 Aurora Flight Sciences .................................................................................................................................. 387 BAE Systems ................................................................................................................................................ 388 Bell Helicopter .............................................................................................................................................. 390 The Boeing Co. ............................................................................................................................................. 390 CAE Inc. ....................................................................................................................................................... 393 Computer Sciences Corp............................................................................................................................... 394 Dassault Aviation .......................................................................................................................................... 394 Denel Pty. Ltd. .............................................................................................................................................. 395 Diehl BGT Defence GmbH & Co. KG ......................................................................................................... 397 Elbit Systems Ltd. ......................................................................................................................................... 397 EMT Ingenieurgesellschaft ........................................................................................................................... 401 European Aeronautic Defence and Space Co. .............................................................................................. 403 Finmeccanica ................................................................................................................................................ 407 General Atomics Aeronautical Systems, Inc................................................................................................. 409 Griffon Aerospace......................................................................................................................................... 415 Honeywell International Inc.......................................................................................................................... 415 Insitu ............................................................................................................................................................. 417 ©Teal Group Corporation
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Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd..................................................................................................................... 419 Kaman Corp. ................................................................................................................................................. 423 L-3 Communications Corp. .......................................................................................................................... 424 Lockheed Martin Corp. ................................................................................................................................. 425 Northrop Grumman Corp. ............................................................................................................................. 429 Prioria Robotics ............................................................................................................................................ 434 Proxy Aviation Systems ................................................................................................................................ 434 Raytheon Co. ................................................................................................................................................ 435 Rheinmetall AG ............................................................................................................................................ 436 Rockwell Collins Inc..................................................................................................................................... 437 Safran ............................................................................................................................................................ 438 Schiebel Elektronische Geraete GmbH ......................................................................................................... 439 Sikorsky Aircraft Co. .................................................................................................................................... 440 Stark Aerospace ............................................................................................................................................ 441 Swift Engineering Inc. .................................................................................................................................. 442 Teledyne Technologies Inc. .......................................................................................................................... 443 Thales ............................................................................................................................................................ 444 VT Group ...................................................................................................................................................... 446 Appendix 1 ............................................................................................................447 US DoD 10-Year UAV Funding History Summary .......................................................................................... 447 RDT&E by Service .............................................................................................................................................. 447 Army RDT&E............................................................................................................................................... 447 Navy RDT&E ............................................................................................................................................... 448 Marine Corps RDT&E .................................................................................................................................. 449 Air Force RDT&E......................................................................................................................................... 449 Defensewide RDT&E ................................................................................................................................... 450 Procurement by Service ...................................................................................................................................... 451 Army Procurement ........................................................................................................................................ 451 Navy/Marine Corps Procurement ................................................................................................................. 451 Air Force Procurement .................................................................................................................................. 452 Defensewide Procurement ............................................................................................................................ 452 Appendix 2 ............................................................................................................455 US DoD UAV Prime Contracts........................................................................................................................... 455 2013 Edition
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Executive Overview
The Market Outlook
UAVs have been the most dynamic growth sector of the aerospace
industry this decade. This Teal Group
market study estimates that the market will more than double by the end
of the next decade from current
worldwide UAV R&D and procurement expenditures of about $5.2 billion to $11.6 billion. If operations
and maintenance expenditures are
they are expanding into other missions as well with the advent of
hunter-killer UAVs. This study suggests that the US will account for
65% of the RDT&E spending on
UAV technology over the next decade, and about 51% of the procurement (this latter percentage does not
take into account potential UCAV
procurement later in the decade,
edge technologies, and the marked
lag-time in such research and procurement elsewhere, especially major aerospace centers such as Europe.
This follows trends in other cuttingedge technologies observed over the
past decade by Teal Group analysts
in such areas as precision guided
weapons, information and sensor
technology, and military application
added, these totals would be even
greater.
The most significant catalyst to
this market has been the enormous
growth of interest in UAVs by the US
military, tied to operations in Iraq
and Afghanistan as well as the general trend towards information warfare and net-centric systems. UAVs
are a key element in the intelligence,
surveillance, and reconnaissance
(ISR) portion of this revolution, and
which is highly speculative at this
point and would drive this number
much higher). These represent higher
shares of the market than for defense
spending in general, with the US accounting for about 64% of total
worldwide defense RDT&E spending and 38% or procurement spending according to Teal Group’s International Defense Briefing forecasts.
These discrepancies are due to the
heavier US investment in cutting-
of space systems.
Teal Group expects that the sales
of UAVs will follow recent patterns
of high-tech arms procurement
worldwide, with the Asia-Pacific
area representing the second largest
market, followed by Europe. Indeed,
the Asia-Pacific region may represent an even larger segment of the
market, but several significant players in the region, namely Japan and
China are not especially transparent
©Teal Group Corporation
World Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Systems
2013 Edition
Executive Overview
Page 2
about their plans compared to Europe. As in the case of many cutting
edge aerospace products, Africa and
Latin America are expected to be
very modest markets for UAVs.
Some warnings are needed when
viewing the summary charts here.
There appear to be wide swings and
dips in unit acquisition over the forecast decade that is not matched by
similar swings in the production
value. This is primarily due to the
volatile mini-UAV market which
represents very large numbers of air
vehicles even though unit costs are
extremely low compared to other
capture other costs than the acquisition costs alone such as modification
programs, and acquisition of system
components such as sensors, ground
control stations and support equipment. The US lines are derived from
the US budget procurement forecast
found in the US section, but adapted
to match calendar vs. fiscal year, as
well as time-shifted to recognize the
time lag between appropriations and
actual production. The "Rest of the
World" procurement line is based on
the production forecast plus a fractional addition to account for the
other UAV costs.
UAVs, especially the endurance
types. This forecast expects a drop in
US mini-UAV acquisition as combat
operation wind down in Iraq and Afghanistan, which has a significant effect on unit numbers though not on
dollar values.
The summary tables below include a budget forecast, as well as a
production forecast based on the various program unit forecasts. As can
be seen, the procurement aspect of
the budget forecast is higher than the
production forecast (by value). The
procurement forecast is an attempt to
World UAV Budget Forecast
R&D ($ Millions)
USA
Rest of World (RoW)
Total R&D
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Total
1,161 1,585 1,471 1,722 1,992 2,162 2,620 2,470 2,303 2,416 19,902
725
770
805
850
910 1,100 1,300 1,400 1,475 1,550 10,885
1,886 2,355 2,276 2,572 2,902 3,262 3,920 3,870 3,778 3,966 30,787
Procurement ($ Millions)
USA (less UCAV)
RoW (less UCAV)
Total Procurement
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Total
1,649 2,066 1,821 2,245 3,424 3,750 3,777 3,797 3,706 3,711 29,945
1,710 2,165 2,135 2,438 2,681 2,663 3,484 3,754 3,825 3,910 28,765
3,359 4,231 3,956 4,683 6,105 6,412 7,261 7,551 7,531 7,621 58,710
($ Millions)
World R&D
World Procurement
Total
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Total
1,886 2,355 2,276 2,572 2,902 3,262 3,920 3,870 3,778 3,966 30,787
3,359 4,231 3,956 4,683 6,105 6,412 7,261 7,551 7,531 7,621 58,710
5,245 6,587 6,232 7,255 9,007 9,674 11,181 11,421 11,309 11,587 89,497
World Production Forecast by Type
(Units, Air Vehicles)
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Total
Mini-UAVs
1,855
1,855
1,572
1,012
1,568
1,931
2,526
2,655
3,259
3,777
22,010
STUAVs
231
304
272
264
233
209
165
174
185
222
2,259
TUAVs
145
150
117
127
117
143
206
241
210
239
1,695
9
6
16
47
61
70
63
51
50
63
436
MALE
93
80
77
93
74
63
74
71
101
102
828
HALE
4
2
3
7
8
13
14
14
20
20
105
UCAVs
1
3
2
--
--
4
10
20
22
25
87
2,338
2,400
2,059
1,550
2,061
2,433
3,058
3,226
3,847
4,448
27,420
Total
Naval UAVs
Total
($ Millions)
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Mini-UAVs
108.7
105.8
92.1
58.4
90.4
114.2
148.1
154.5
189.0
218.6 1,279.8
STUAVs
108.1
141.6
126.0
126.1
112.9
99.7
70.5
74.7
85.1
103.3 1,047.8
TUAVs
438.0
462.5
364.0
391.5
347.5
423.5
625.0
728.5
612.5
718.5 5,111.5
Naval UAVs
120.0
65.0
179.0
486.0
581.0
700.0
616.0
524.0
520.0
634.0 4,425.0
MALE
1,839.0 1,514.0 1,443.0 1,799.0 1,394.0 1,163.0 1,324.0 1,303.0 1,847.0 1,862.0 15,488.0
HALE
420.0
150.0
225.0
645.0
UCAVs
100.0
340.0
200.0
--
Total
2013 Edition
760.0 1,135.0 1,290.0 1,290.0 1,740.0 1,740.0 9,395.0
--
440.0 1,200.0 2,300.0 2,500.0 2,800.0 9,880.0
3,133.7 2,778.8 2,629.1 3,506.0 3,285.8 4,075.4 5,273.5 6,374.7 7,493.6 8,076.4 46,627.1
World Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Systems
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