Feedbacks and transitions linking climate change, hydrologic partitioning, and carbon cycling in continental montane forests Paul D. Brooks, Marcy Litvak, Adrian Harpold, Jennifer McIntosh, Joel Biederman, Noah Molotch, Peter Troch, Xavier Zapata, and many others Focus on the role of variability in snow cover Why focus on snow? Snowmelt is the primary renewable water resource in western North America Research has demonstrated that snowmelt is critical for sustaining net carbon uptake throughout the summer and fall The amount and timing of snow cover is changing in much of the west Figure from Schimel et al. 2002 How Will Climate Change Affect Seasonal Snow Cover? Need to Consider Natural Spatial and Temporal Heterogeneity Seasonal snow cover exhibits reproducible spatial patterns related to redistribution and to local energy balance August 8, 1995 July 1, 1996 Net snow water input (SWE:P) is variable in space and time Snow cover radically changes surface energy balance (albedo, longwave radiation, and latent energy fluxes) Development of snow cover has a positive feedback increasing the duration of snow cover July 1, 1997 From Dozier et al. The Big Questions: How much precipitation? When is it available? and What fraction is available to vegetation? How does variability in vegetation structure affect the spatial heterogeneity and hydrologic partitioning of seasonal snow cover? Carbon Flux NEE g C m-2 How do changes in precipitation, especially in the amount and timing of seasonal snow, affect ecosystem carbon balance? Data from Monson et al. JSC Critical Zone Observatory/ SAHRA Ecohydrological Observatory: Valles Caldera National Preserve, NM Colorado SWE New Mexico SWE • Southern margin of cold, temperate snowpacks • Sensitive indicator for climate change in mountain forests How does variability in vegetation structure influence the development and partitioning of seasonal snow cover? 40 40 40 40 35 35 SWE [cm] 30 30 35 35 30 30 25 25 25 25 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 12-Feb 12-Feb 12-Feb 14-Mar 14-Mar 10 10 55 16-Apr 00 10 10 55 00 44 33 22 0.5 00 0.5 0.5 11 11 0.5 22 33 44 Distance From From Tree Tree Bole Bole [m] [m] Distance 1. Vegetation shading increases snow depth and delays spring melt 2. Modeling suggests that this vegetation shading increases snowpack water storage approximately 25% Shading Interception How does variability in vegetation structure influence the development and partitioning of seasonal snow cover? Mean Open Large-scale field survey to evaluate the effects of forest density on SWE Mean Forest n = 40 11 0 = n = n n • Approximately 20% more net water input than if there were no trees = 65 13 0 • SWE peaks in moderately dense forests • Tracers confirmed that the differences are due to spatially variable sublimation related to vegetation controls on local energy balance (Gustafson et al. 2010) How does variability in vegetation structure influence the development and partitioning of seasonal snow cover? N Confirms that these patterns in net SWE input are widespread High 1.1 Largely match energy balance model predictions Low 0.0 Because vegetation changes on short time scales changes in vegetation structure can have a major impact on net water input (Harpold et al. 2012; Broxton et al. 2012; Rinehart et al. 2009) Take home points #1 • Snow cover is highly heterogeneous; A large and variable fraction of winter snowcover sublimates before melt season • Vegetation structure strongly controls spatial (and temporal) variability in snowpack development, ablation, and net water balance • Moderately dense forest canopies increase net snow water input relative to open areas or closed canopies by minimizing sublimation How does spatial and temporal variability in snow cover affect ecosystem carbon balance? Address this question using five years continuous eddy flux observations from our mixed conifer forest site Snow cover Melt Precip Tave SWE 2007 274 340 -4 2008 262 359 -5 2009 188 232 -2 2010 330 473 -5 2011 102 51* -11 Oct Dec Feb Apr Broad range of climate • T varied by a factor of 5 • SWE varied by a factor of 3 • Snow cover duration by 1.6 How does spatial and temporal variability in snow cover affect ecosystem carbon balance? • Directly through the amount of water released from seasonal snow cover SWE (mm) • Indirectly through timing of snowpack development Reduced infiltration Soil frost % % '% )% *% '% )% *% ,% &%% "% !2" ! " " !% ! % 4%%,-*3&&*%( .4%+- + %( '&" )+ (% # $ % & Summary Water balance: A large and variable fraction of winter snow sublimates before melt Vegetation Controls: These sublimation fluxes are minimized in moderately dense forests Energy Balance: Snow changes local energy balance and has a positive feedback on the persistence of snow cover Climate Sensitivity: There is more climate sensitivity in the start date of snow cover than in melt initiation Carbon Linkages: Both the amount and especially the timing of snow cover are strongly related to winter carbon efflux and growing season carbon uptake