Category taken-for-grantedness as a strategic opportunity: The case of light cigarettes, 1964-1993 Greta Hsu Graduate School of Management University of California, Davis Davis, California 95616, USA grhsu@ucdavis.edu Stine Grodal Boston University School of Management 595 Commonwealth Ave., Room 639-A Boston, MA 02215, USA !grodal@bu.edu Abstract Theories within organizational and economic sociology that center on market categories often equate taken-for-grantedness with increased constraint on the features of category members. In contrast, we develop a novel perspective that considers how market participants’ changing category-related attributions decrease their scrutiny of category offerings, opening up strategic opportunities for firms. We further argue that whether or not producers should be expected to take advantage of these opportunities depends on the extent to which they are incentivized to do so. We use the case of the light cigarette category to test this thesis. We argue and find evidence that increasing taken-forgrantedness of the light cigarette category created greater opportunity for tobacco firms to strategically manipulate category features. ! In the mid-1960’s, a new cigarette type emerged in the U.S. designed to address increasing concerns among smokers about the relationship between cigarette smoking and lung cancer. Brands marketed under this new type touted significantly reduced deliveries of tar and nicotine compared to existing brands on the market, which subsequently became labeled “full flavor” brands. Producers of early “light” category entrants emphasized a variety of innovative features, including technologically advanced filters, new tobacco blends, and enhanced paper porosity, all designed to reduce tar and nicotine deliveries. Over the next few decades, attention to the negative health-related consequences of smoking mounted (Kluger, 1997; Brandt, 2007). Public focus was mainly directed at tar and nicotine as the components commonly associated with the harms of cigarette smoking, and information about brands’ tar and nicotine content became publicized and widely available in the U.S. (Glantz et al., 1996). As a result, producers decreased deliveries of both components substantially among full flavor cigarettes from 1964 to 1993. Yet, a very different pattern emerged within the light cigarette category. Average tar deliveries for cigarettes marketed as light increased 7% (from 9.6 mg in 1964 to 10.3 mg tar in 1993), while nicotine deliveries increased 74% (from 0.46 mg to 0.80 mg). What led to this distinct pattern among light cigarettes—a market category specifically defined around low levels of tar and nicotine? One explanation points to the forces of market competition. Light cigarettes may have increased tar and nicotine deliveries because, as the category developed, competition heated up among light cigarettes brands, pushing firms to stake out higher, previously unoccupied positions along the tar/nicotine spectrums. Relatedly, the addictive nature of cigarettes may have been a driving force. Consumers may have preferred safer alternatives to full flavor cigarettes, but continued to crave a strong flavor and nicotine-derived “kick.” Tobacco firms accordingly ! "! increased tar and nicotine deliveries of light cigarettes in an effort to meet consumer demand. Historical records indicate that such demand- and competition-driven dynamics certainly played a role in this context. Yet, what is missing from these accounts is an adequate explanation for why an industry that was heavily scrutinized by regulators, anti-tobacco activists, and consumers could significantly increase the deliveries of highly salient components such as tar and nicotine without negative repercussion. In other words, the interesting question posed by this case is not what led tobacco firms to increase tar and nicotine deliveries among cigarettes marketed as light, but what enabled firms to do so in the midst of intense attention towards these core product characteristics? Why weren’t these increases censured for a market category defined around low deliveries of tar and nicotine? The answers to these questions require consideration of how market actors perceived and evaluated brands claiming membership in the light cigarette category. More broadly, they relate to fundamental issues within economic and cognitive sociology about the way social categories influence perception (Durkheim, 1912; Douglas, 1986; Zerubavel, 1997; DiMaggio, 1997) and how market producers are both subject to and influencers of evolving categorical expectations (e.g. Zuckerman, 1999; Lounsbury and Glynn, 2001; Rao, Monin, and Durand, 2005; Hsu, Hannan, and Koçak, 2009; Kennedy, 2008). In this study, we use evidence from tobacco firm internal documents to gain insight into how producers attempted to both understand and influence the way consumers perceived the light cigarette category. Such records call into question the generalizability of existing perspectives that equate taken-for-grantedness with increasing constraint on the features of category members (DiMaggio and Powell, 1983; Ruef and Patterson, 2009; Negro, Hannan, and Rao, 2010; Kovács and Hannan, 2010). Those studies find that, as categorical understandings ! #! becomes increasingly taken-for-granted, market participants exact stronger penalties on producers who explicitly deviate from a category’s expected features. As a result, producers become more constrained in their choice of features. In contrast, the grounded view provided by our historical investigation suggests one important way in which the constraint imposed on producers’ choice of features lessens rather than increases as categorical understandings evolve. We find evidence that the extent to which consumers scrutinized the actual features of light cigarette category claimants decreased as their category understandings become increasingly taken-for-granted. This is consistent with theoretical work proposing that, as their category understandings develop, people increasingly rely on category schemas as cognitive shortcuts to infer rather than directly perceive members’ features (DiMaggio, 1997; Hannan, Pólos, and Carroll, 2007; Hsu, Hannan, and Pólos, 2011). Working from this insight, we develop a novel perspective that considers how market participants’ changing category-related attributions decrease their scrutiny of category offerings, opening up strategic opportunities for firms. We further argue that whether or not producers should be expected to take advantage of the opportunities presented by market participants’ increasing reliance on category shortcuts depends on the extent to which they are incentivized to do so. For example, producers may face cost-based incentives, such as when adopting category-relevant features entails significant production costs or difficulty (e.g. “organic” versus conventional produce). Producers who can successfully claim membership while using less expensive category-inconsistent methods may benefit from enhanced profitability. We find particularly interesting the incentives presented by a class of market categories for which consumers are conflicted in their evaluations of category members along category- ! $! relevant dimensions. Such categories have not to our knowledge, received attention in sociological literature on market categorization. Researchers have typically classified categories as either positively valenced, where greater fit with category expectations leads to greater appeal, or negatively valenced categories (e.g., “sweatshop”), where greater fit leads to more negative valuations (Hannan et al., 2007). Yet, consumers experience conflict in their evaluations for a number of market categories. For example, many consumers find ethical products such as fair labor clothing appealing due to their socially responsible nature, but simultaneously assume such products to be inferior in quality or design (Ehrich and Irwin 2005). In the light cigarette case, many smokers were both attracted to the health benefits of light cigarettes and turned off by their presumed weak, unsatisfying taste (e.g. Brand, Gruber, and Co., 1976). As we explain below, such conflict presents strong incentives for producers to relax their fit with categoryrelevant features in order to increase the overall appeal of their offerings. This makes producers particularly likely to capitalize on the opportunities presented by the changing patterns of perception that accompany category taken-for-grantedness. We begin with a brief overview of the evolution of the light cigarette category in the U.S., 1964 – 1993. We then examine evidence retrieved from the Legacy Tobacco Documents Library (http://legacy.library.ucsf.edu), a database maintaining internal tobacco firm documents made public through litigation between 46 U.S. States and the major tobacco companies in 1994, to gain insight into the firms’ perspectives and actions with regards to this category over the period studied. We integrate these insights with related theorization on category schemas and their evolution to form hypotheses regarding the impact of changing taken-for-grantedness on producers’ strategic positioning of their light cigarette brands. We test our hypotheses by examining cigarette brands sold in the U.S. from 1964 to 1993. We conclude by considering ! %! how our results clarify basic dynamics underlying category taken-for-grantedness and contribute to multiple subfields within sociology that use categories as a tool for understanding organizational-environmental relationships, including the sociology of markets, organizational ecology, institutional theory, cognitive sociology, and cultural sociology (see Baumann, Dowd, and Janssen, 2008; Cerulo, 2010; Negro, Hsu, and Koçak, 2010 for reviews). The Evolution of Light Cigarettes The seeds of the light cigarette category were planted during the early-to-mid 1950s, when several landmark studies led to widespread support among physicians, scientists, and public health professionals for a causal relationship between cigarette smoking and lung cancer (Brecher et al., 1963; Kluger, 1997). Prior to this, health-related concerns with cigarettes focused mainly on minor issues such as throat irritation (Kluger, 1997), and moderate levels of smoking were generally considered acceptable by physicians (Brandt, 2007; Glantz et al., 1996). High-profile media articles reporting cigarettes’ link to cancer and comparing the tar and nicotine deliveries of major cigarette brands generated concerns among the broader public in the 1950s (Ippolito et al., 1979). In response, tobacco companies developed and introduced new “filtered” brands marketed as healthier than traditional cigarettes (Kluger, 1997). During the latter part of the 1950s, the marketplace was flooded with unsubstantiated advertising claims about the efficiency of brands’ filters in reducing tar and nicotine (Pollay and Dewhirst, 2002; Glantz et al., 1996). This frenzy spiraled until 1960, when cigarette manufacturers met with the FTC in closed-door negotiations and voluntarily agreed to refrain from making any claims regarding filter effectiveness in their promotions (Brecher et al., 1963; McAuliffe, 1988). ! &! Over the next decade, public awareness of the hazards of smoking increased. Dr. Luther L. Terry, the U.S. Surgeon General, played a pivotal role through his widely publicized 1964 report which concluded smoking to be a cause of lung cancer (Brandt, 2007). Later that same year, a Gallup poll survey found that 62% of U.S. adults believed smoking to be one of the causes of lung cancer, compared to 39% in 1954 (The Gallup Organization, 1964). Regulatory pressures on cigarette producers also increased. In 1965, the U.S. Congress enacted the Original Federal Cigarette Labeling and Advertising Act requiring all cigarette packages to carry messages linking smoking and health (Brandt, 2007). In 1966, the FTC reversed its policy discouraging tar and nicotine statements in advertisements, and in 1967 began testing and publishing lists of cigarette brands’ tar and nicotine deliveries (FTC news release, 1967). In 1971, the FTC reached an agreement with tobacco firms whereby all cigarette ads would explicitly state brands’ tar and nicotine deliveries (Ippolito et al., 1979). The same year, health warnings also became required on all cigarette print ads and Congressional ban on television broadcast cigarette ads went into effect (McAuliffe, 1988). In the midst of these mounting pressures, tobacco firms turned once again to product innovation to reassure and retain health-concerned smokers. The mid-1960s marked the advent of a new breed of cigarettes marketed as “low in tar and nicotine”. Early entrants were brands belonging to new “freestanding” low tar/nicotine brand families such as True and Carlton. The names given to these brands often implied “state-of-the-art technology and/or a virtuous product, e.g. Life, Merit, Now, True, or Vantage” (Pollay and Dewhirst, 2001: 232). These early entrants were followed in the early-to-mid 1970s by low tar/nicotine extension brands of existing full flavor brand families such as Marlboro Lights and Winston Lights. Our data show that, by 1975, all of the major tobacco manufacturers (American Tobacco Co.; Brown & Williamson Tobacco ! '! Corp.; Liggett Group, Inc.; Lorillard, Inc.; Philip Morris, Inc.; & R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Co., Inc) produced both freestanding and extension light brands for the U.S. market. Manufacturers fought to establish footholds in this growing category by devoting a disproportionate amount of their total advertising budgets to light brands (Pollay and Dewhirst, 2001). Growth was also fueled by continual increases in the proportion of Americans who believed smoking to be a cause of lung cancer (The Gallup Organization, 1981) as well as by tobacco firms’ efforts to court influential “political and scientific friends” who could credibly endorse light cigarettes as a lowered health risk (e.g. Wells, 1982). As Figure 1 shows, the rate of increase in light sales was relatively gradual until the mid1970s, when sales began a sharp increase. In 1976, 81 billion units were sold; by 1985, this had increased to 320 billion units (source: Annual Maxwell Reports). Over this same time period, sales of full flavor cigarettes declined significantly, indicating a general shift of many new and existing smokers towards the light cigarette category as well as increasing public awareness of the negative health-related consequences of smoking (Brandt, 2007). After 1985, light cigarettes also joined this downwards trend with a gradual decline in sales. In the next section, we integrate historical evidence with theoretical insights to consider how the light cigarette category emerged to cue health-concerned smokers as to which types of cigarettes they could safely consume. Instead of attending to individual brands’ tar and nicotine deliveries, consumers came to rely on the light cigarette category label as a cognitive shortcut denoting health and safety. ! (! Evolving Perceptions of the Light Cigarette Category Extant theory holds that market actors during the early period of category emergence tend to lack a clear category schema. They may perceive some similarities among a set of offerings and even regard them as members of a common set, but understandings of what determines membership in that set are generally vague (Hannan et al., 2007). As actors compare the characteristics of claimants to the newly emerging category with one another, they begin to form category beliefs based on perceived similarities. These patterns are shaped by factors such as actors’ goals and existing knowledge (Murphy, 2002). For example, prior knowledge about a market domain channels actors’ perceptions towards particular feature dimensions thought to be relevant to category membership (Rehder, 2003; Durand and Paolella, 2012). In line with this, studies suggest that actors compare their newly forming schema with schemas for related preexisting categories (Rosa et al., 1999; Pontikes, 2013) to inform their understandings of whether offerings are the “same or different” (Weick, Sutcliffe, and Obstfeld, 2005: 414; Weick, 1995). Market actors’ goals can also influence the development of new categories (Barsalou, 1983; Durand and Paolella, 2012; Etzion 2013), as the existence of specific goals (such as consuming a cigarette that is safer) focuses actors’ attention on dimensions relevant to those aims. These accounts aptly characterize the early process of light category development from the perspective of tobacco firms. Early on, there was considerably ambiguity about the light category. Although the earliest members of the light cigarette category entered the U.S. market in 1964, it took several years for firms to begin to recognize the emergence of a distinct type. Firms continued to demarcate the cigarette market into filtered versus non-filtered cigarettes, with what now are regarded as the earliest light category members slotted into the filtered ! )! category (e.g. Foote, Cone & Belding Advertising, Inc., 1966). The growing importance of health-related goals to smokers, and evolving understandings of tar and nicotine as harmful components of cigarette smoke, increased the salience of these particular feature dimensions. As a result, early perceptions of light cigarettes largely focused on individual brands’ rankings along tar and nicotine deliveries. For example, a 1966 Kent sales analysis for Lorillard Co. described the cigarette market as a spectrum with non-filtered, high tar and nicotine brands on one end, and “high filtration” brands on the other (Grey Marketing and Research Department, 1966). Philip Morris, which conducted monthly analyses of the tar and nicotine delivery of competitors’ cigarettes, started grouping brands under the term “Low Delivery Cigarettes” in 1967 based on tar and nicotine deliveries (Ikeda, Sanderson, and Wickham, 1967). When a category is emerging and ambiguity is high, different market actors often vary in who they regard as category members and what their proposed criteria for membership are (Rosa et al., 1999; Granqvist et al., 2013). Evidence of this could be seen during the early 1970s, as firm insiders actively tried to figure out who the members of the light category were. A 1973 Brown and Williamson report summarizes the company’s efforts to study which brands consumers regarded as “hi-fi” and how these diverged from what the company considered to be members of the high filtration category (Brown and Williamson, 1973). Similarly, a 1973 Philip Morris report (Eichorn and Tindall, 1973) notes that “[t]he low delivery segment is not well defined. If other people were asked to list brands in the low delivery segment they would probably choose other brands.” During this time, a number of different labels for this emerging category could be seen in different companies’ internal documents, including “high-filtration”, “super-fi”, “low delivery”, “low tar and nicotine”, “light,” and “health” cigarettes. ! *! The absence of formal standards regarding which brands could be marketed under labels indicating low deliveries contributed to this ambiguity. Cigarettes advertising referencing tar or nicotine deliveries were subject to FTC testing and public disclosure of delivery numbers (FTC press release, 1967); there were no regulations, however, on the maximum deliveries for brands claiming to be members of the light cigarette category. Research suggests that early category producers expend considerable effort sensegiving about their proposed category and its collective membership in order to both influence market participants’ category understandings and gain their attention and resources (Aldrich and Fiol, 1994; Lounsbury and Glynn, 2001; Kennedy, 2008; Santos and Eisenhardt, 2009; Navis and Glynn, 2010; Dobrev and Gotsopoulos, 2010; Khaire and Wadhwani, 2010). Such explication is a central component in the creation of category taken-for-grantedness (Colyvas and Powell, 2006). In the cigarette case, product advertisements were a key medium through which producers established light cigarettes as a distinct, safer cigarette type. Producers marketed early light brands through ads that emphasized their low tar and nicotine deliveries and explicitly described scientific breakthroughs in the technology and methods used to produce these (Pollay and Dewhirst, 2002). As noted in an internal Philip Morris document, a key aim was to convey “scientific substance and validity…The ads were written in a journalistic, repertorial [sic] style to be precise, pointed, and absolutely believable.” (Wakeham, 1977). Figure 2, a 1964 print ad for the light brand Carlton, provides an example of this, referencing test samples analyzed by “an independent research laboratory” and technological advancements such as “high porosity paper” and a filter with “precision air vents”. A qualitative examination of light cigarette ads over the study period (see the Appendix for sampling and coding details) reveals systematic changes in the explicitness of discourse ! "+! establishing the scientific basis for light cigarettes. The solid line in Figure 3 shows the proportion of light cigarette ads that explicitly described scientific techniques designed to reduce tar and nicotine deliveries and/or explanations of key components within cigarettes such as tar, nicotine, and carbon monoxide. This reflects the extent to which firms explicitly drew attention and explained to consumers the features that enabled low tar and nicotine deliveries and distinguished light from full flavor cigarettes. Prior to 1970, almost all cigarette ads included explicit scientific discourse. There was a sharp drop over the first half of the 1970s, a slight leveling off, and then another sharp drop during the late 1970s and early 1980s. By 1985, only approximately 1 in 10 ads included any reference to scientific techniques or methods. Firms also enhance the taken-for-granted status of a category through references to within-category competitors. Co-mentions in public stories (such as press releases and product advertisements) render similarities between category members salient to market participants, helping to clearly define an emerging category in the public’s eyes (Kennedy, 2008). In Figure 3, the dotted line indicates the proportion of light cigarette ads with prominent references to competitor light brands. There was a sharp increase from 1964 to 1970 in the proportion of ads referencing competitor brands. This coincides with our earlier observation of a several year lag between the first cigarettes marketed as light and producers’ realization that a new category type was emerging. Over the 1970s, the proportion of ads mentioning competitors hovered in the 0.5 range, then sharply declined over the 1980s. By that period, studies suggest references to rival brands became less advantageous due to higher levels of taken-for-grantedness for the category as a whole (Kennedy, 2008; Lounsbury and Glynn, 2001; Navis and Glynn, 2010). To measure the evolving taken-for-grantedness of the light cigarette category, we sampled media accounts from 1964 – 1993 that included references to the light cigarette ! ""! category. When ambiguity over a category is high, category-related discussions must include explicit definition and explanation of the category and what it represents. A decrease in such explanatory discourse provides a visible marker of category taken-for-grantedness (see Colyvas and Powell, 2006). Accordingly, we coded media accounts for the extent to which references to light cigarettes included explicit definition of the category’s features and membership criteria.1 This consists of, among other things, the specific techniques and raw materials used to produce light cigarettes, the health effects associated with a reduction in tar/nicotine deliveries, and results from FTC testing of brands’ tar/nicotine deliveries. Figure 4 shows the trend in our measure of the extensiveness of light cigarette category explanations in media accounts. As this figure shows, there was a gradual decline in this measure from 1964 to 1970, sharper declines over the 1970s, followed again by a period of more gradual decline over the 1980s. Together with the sales data (which indicated a sharp increase in light cigarette sales starting in the mid-1970s), this suggests that light cigarette taken-forgrantedness developed most noticeably over the 1970s, although development continued to be seen over the 1980s. Strategic Positioning of Tar and Nicotine Deliveries As noted earlier, competition- and demand-driven factors played a role in the increases in the tar and nicotine deliveries of light cigarette brands seen as the category developed. Market research studies conducted by the firms suggest that smokers interested in healthier cigarettes often regarded cigarettes lower in tar/nicotine as unsatisfying in taste (e.g., Udow, 1973). !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! "!More details on the construction of this measure are provided in our empirical section.! ! "#! Tobacco producers also found light cigarette smokers to be particularly prone to switching brands as they searched for a better tasting health-conscious brand (e.g., Grabowsky, 1972; Dunn and Johnston, 1966). Clearly, many smokers preferred the flavor and “kick” of full flavor cigarettes, while they were attracted to the health benefits of lights. This tension posed a dilemma for tobacco firms trying to positively differentiate their brands by satisfying consumers’ taste desires while simultaneously assuaging their fears of the health risks of smoking. Producers thus had clear incentive to increase the tar and nicotine deliveries of cigarette brands marketed as light. However, since cigarette smokers specifically chose light brands for the health benefits associated with low tar and nicotine, salient increases in deliveries may have raised alarm among consumers. They may also have elicited scrutiny from the FTC, who had intervened in the late 1950’s when it perceived tobacco firms as advancing unsubstantiated advertising claims regarding the tar/nicotine deliveries and filter efficiency of filtered brands (McAuliffe, 1988). Company memos indicate that producers were attuned to this issue of scrutiny. As noted in a 1973 Philip Morris correspondence (Gray, 1973): Government, scientists, and cigarette manufacturers are all interested in the tar and nicotine deliveries of various brands of cigarettes. The answer to the question marketing people are most interested in determining is the extent to which the smoker is aware and reacts to these figures. In the U.S.A. tar and nicotine numbers are printed in every cigarette ad, and the total list of brands is systematically reported by the Federal Trade Commission. During the 1970s and 1980s, producers assessed how carefully consumers scrutinized brands’ actual tar and nicotine deliveries through market research studies. For example, a 1975 report for Lorillard found the group of smokers actively comparing numbers to be “large and growing” and consequently advocated reducing tar and nicotine deliveries for the brand Kent ! "$! (Foote, Cone, and Belding Advertising, Inc. 1975). By the early 1980s, however, a number of different studies found that the great majority of consumers did not pay attention to specific tar and nicotine numbers but were aware of the general tar category to which brands belonged (for examples, see Medicus, 1982 and Daniel, Rowe, and Tindall, 1981a). Choice of brand names (such as including terms like “light” or “mild” in a name) played a significant role in perceptions of category membership. For example, a 1983 Brown and Williamson study found: …it appears that consumers have a general impression of how category identifiers (i.e.: “lights”, “ultra”, “milds”) relate to tar levels. When given a “family of brands” (i.e.: KOOL), most consumers can correctly arrange them from highest tar (KOOL full-taste) to lowest tar (KOOL Ultra). (Woods, 1983) A 1980 Philip Morris document (Tindall, 1980) reached a similar assessment: “Smokers’ perceptions of the tar deliveries of low-tar brands appear to be more strongly influenced by the brands’ general classification than by FTC tar” measurements. This suggests producers’ choice of label influenced smokers’ perceptions of how healthy a cigarette was regardless of its underlying properties. Formal theory on category perceptions suggests that a decrease in direct scrutiny of membership features is a natural by-product of increasing category taken-for-grantedness, and thus generalizable beyond the cigarette case (DiMaggio, 1997; Hannan et al., 2007; Hsu et al, 2011). In the early stages of a category’s development, market participants must attempt to determine which membership claims they regard as valid even as they are still making sense of and updating their category-level beliefs. As a result, the process of evaluating potential category members is likely to require considerable time and effort, with careful attention to the various features of category claimants (Hannan et al, 2007). ! "%! As market participants develop a clearer sense of which characteristics are relevant for category membership, the speed and sense of confidence with which participants evaluate membership claims increases (Lurigio and Carroll, 1985; Clark and Wilkes-Biggs, 1986; Vygotsky, 1987). As opposed to earlier developmental stages, when participants scrutinize claimants carefully for all of the characteristics that indicate category belonging before granting membership, participants for categories with greater taken-for-grantedness assume more category-consistent characteristics by default (Hannan et al., 2007). In the extreme, participants automatically fill in an entire category schema (that is, assume by default that a claimant has all the characteristics representative of a category member) based on the mere application of a category’s label. For such highly taken-for-granted categories (Jepperson, 1991; Suchman, 1995), recognition of members becomes rapid and automatic, as participant’s well-formed category schemas “provide default assumptions about their characteristics, relationships, and entailments under conditions of incomplete information” (DiMaggio, 1997: 269). When objects are commonly linked to a highly taken-for-granted category, differences between them are largely ignored or dismissed as inconsequential (Zerubavel, 1991; Weick, 1995; DiMaggio, 1997). Such perceived homogeneity within the light category was observed in a 1976 study conducted for Philip Morris (Brand, Gruber, and Co., 1976): There appear to be only two classes of cigarettes in the minds of most consumers – regular and low tar. Whatever variations there are truly in the market are perceptually subsumed within these classes…Any cigarette that makes any kind of low tar claim belongs in the low tar class...For most people looking for a low tar cigarette, almost any low tar cigarette will suffice.” This quote indicates that perceptions and evaluations of light cigarettes were becoming categorical (rather than continuous along the dimensions of tar and nicotine) around this time. ! "&! This general shift towards categorical evaluations allowed producers to focus less in their claiming efforts on the characteristics that make them or their offerings part of a category (since these are assumed to be homogeneous among category members) (Lounsbury and Glynn, 2001; Navis and Glynn, 2010). In keeping with this, our coding of light cigarette ads shows that producers decreasingly coupled public claims regarding a brand’s light category membership with specific tar and nicotine deliveries as the category developed. Figure 5 reports the proportion of light cigarette ads listing tar and nicotine deliveries numbers in their main body. This figure shows a steady decline in proportion of ads listing tar information from 1.0 in 1964 to around 0.63 in the mid-1970’s. Starting in the late 1970’s, there was another sharp decline. By 1990, approximately 1 in 18 ads listed tar numbers in their main body. This figure shows a slightly different pattern for nicotine discourse in light cigarette ads. While there was also a major decline in nicotine discourse over the period studied, an interesting divergence in patterns between tar and nicotine ad discourse can be seen during the latter part of the 1970’s. The decline in reporting of nicotine deliveries was sharp starting in the mid-1970s while it leveled off for tar deliveries over this time period; as a result, while over half of ads sampled reported tar deliveries in 1980, only about 1 in 13 reported nicotine deliveries that same year. The main focus of our empirical investigation is whether increasing taken-forgrantedness of light cigarettes as a safer cigarette type (and the associated decrease in scrutiny of tar and nicotine deliveries) was a major factor driving producers’ adjustments in tar/nicotine deliveries. Internal documents provide some indication of this. A 1981 report for Philip Morris (Daniel, Rowe, and Tindall, 1981b) concluded that: ! "'! If, in attempting to switch to lower-tar brands, smokers are in fact guided by their perceptions of tar rather than by actual tar numbers, the best strategy for a company should, be to have the highest tar brands in each perceived tar delivery segment. And a 1979 Brown and Williamson product development proposal for a new cigarette codenamed “Brand B” argues that (Tighe, 1979: 2): An entry into the low ‘tar’ sub-segment can be gained by positioning the brand strongly as a low ‘tar’. No specific numbers need to be highlighted to support this claim, just firm mention of low ‘tar’. This, therefore, allows for the optimum development of the product as long as it is under 10 mgs., i.e., a single digit ‘tar’ level (this is a judgment). As the above quote highlights, Brown and Williamson sought to strongly invoke the low tar category label for this proposed brand while simultaneously increasing its tar delivery in an effort to increase consumer taste satisfaction. More generally, this proposal suggests efforts by producers to understand and experiment with how high they could set tar and nicotine deliveries for products marketed as light without attracting negative reactions. The idea that taken-for-grantedness provides producers with the opportunity to strategically manipulate core category features is consistent with the formal theory proposed by Hannan et al. (2007). If market participants fill in more and more of a category schema by default, this means they reduce the number of actual features that they match against the category schema before granting membership. As a result, participants will tend to perceive claimants to be better fits with a category schema than they would have in earlier stages when they scrutinized claimants more thoroughly (Hsu, Hannan, and Pólos, 2011). One implication (which is both theoretically and empirically unexplored) of this lower scrutiny is greater ability for producers to manipulate category-related features without being detected. Together, the empirical evidence and formal arguments lead us to expect that the decrease in consumers’ scrutiny of membership criteria associated with increasing category ! "(! taken-for-grantedness opened up the opportunity for tobacco firms to inconspicuously increase tar and nicotine deliveries for light cigarettes. This encouraged firms to focus on positively differentiating their products through enhanced taste delivery, while avoiding negative consumer and public official reactions to the increase in unhealthy components that enabled this. Hypothesis 1: As the taken-for-grantedness of the light cigarette category increases, producers increase tar and nicotine deliveries of brands marketed as light. We next refine our theory by considering variation in producers’ incentives to weaken fit with particular membership features. Company memos suggest a key difference in tobacco firms’ incentives for tar versus nicotine. At a 1967 research conference, scientists working for the tobacco producers asserted that “smoking is an addictive habit attributable to nicotine” (Glantz et al., 1996: 80). The following 1963 Brown and Williamson memo (Griffith, 1963) also attests to early recognition of nicotine’s importance as well as the ability of tobacco manufacturers to manipulate nicotine deliveries: Nicotine is by far the most characteristic single constituent in tobacco, and the known physiological effects are positively correlated with smoker response…I think that we can say even now that we can regulate, fairly precisely, the nicotine…levels to almost any desired level management might require. Of this I am confident.” Thus, although significant removal of nicotine from cigarettes was technologically possible, tobacco producers worried that it would eliminate cigarettes’ addictive properties and erode demand (Glantz et al., 1996). Firms dedicated considerable effort to determining the minimal dosage of nicotine necessary for maintaining cigarette’s addictive properties (Hurt and Robertson, 1998). As S. J. Green (1980: 2), a research director at British American Tobacco held: ! ")! Nicotine is an important aspect of “satisfaction,” and if the nicotine delivery is reduced below a threshold “satisfaction” level, then surely smokers will question more readily why they are indulging in an expensive habit. Green goes on to state the following: It is advocated that every opportunity is taken to separate tar and nicotine in the minds of consumers and legislators, and that we should be aware of the long-term dangers of following the crowd into ultra-low nicotine deliveries. This sentiment is echoed in a 1980 Philip Morris memo regarding the production of cigarettes with high nicotine to tar ratios (Dunn, 1980: 1): If even only some smokers smoke for the nicotine effect (I personally believe most regular smokers do), then in today’s climate we would do well to have a low [tar delivering cigarette] that can supply adequate nicotine. Producers believed that continued success of light cigarettes would depend on diverting scrutiny away from nicotine and towards the other core membership feature of tar. This was reflected in Figure 5, which showed mentions of specific tar deliveries in light cigarette ads to be more prevalent relative to nicotine delivery mentions after 1970. Differences between mentions of tar versus nicotine are even more apparent in Figure 6, which reports the yearly proportions of light cigarette ads with any reference to the terms “tar” or “nicotine” in their main body. In the early period, the proportion of light cigarette ads mentioning the term nicotine is actually greater than those mentioning tar during the earliest period of the category’s development. However, mentions of tar increase from 1964 to the early 1970s, while they decrease gradually for nicotine until 1975, when there is a sharp drop-off in mentions. In 1980, all light cigarette ads included a mention of tar while approximately 0.15 ads mentioned nicotine. Mentions of tar begin to drop off sharply after 1980, but remain substantially higher than nicotine mentions throughout the rest of the study period. ! "*! Internally, confidential memos capture efforts by producers to decouple tar from nicotine deliveries in the production of light cigarettes. Since conventional techniques for reducing tar (like adding a filter) reduced tar and nicotine proportionally, producers sought to develop sophisticated techniques to maintain tar levels while increasing nicotine (Brandt 2007). A number of company memos document interest in the development of light cigarettes with higher nicotine-to-tar ratios, which could be marketed as health oriented yet still guarantee addiction among smokers (e.g., Dunn, 1980; Spears and Jones, 1981; Fisher, 1983). Overall, this suggests that producers had greater incentive to manipulate brands’ nicotine relative to tar deliveries and worked to decrease scrutiny of nicotine deliveries. Accordingly, as the light cigarette category became more taken-for-granted and opened up opportunity for producers to weaken fit with membership features, we expect the following: Hypothesis 2: As the taken-for-grantedness of the light cigarette category increases, producers increase nicotine deliveries disproportionately more than tar deliveries for cigarette brands marketed as light. In a final hypothesis, we consider the implications of light cigarette brand increases in tar and nicotine for the boundaries demarcating different types of cigarettes. Research on category blending processes in market contexts suggests that perceived similarity of features (Hannan, 2010; Negro, Hannan, and Rao, 2010) or salient acts of borrowing between categories (Haveman and Rao, 2006; Rao, Monin, and Durand, 2005) weaken category boundaries. In the cigarette case, since tar and nicotine deliveries were the central distinctions between light and full flavor cigarettes, increases in tar and nicotine deliveries among light brands had the potential to weaken the boundary between these two categories. ! #+! Further contributing to this potential was the trend in tar/nicotine deliveries among full flavor cigarettes. Just as health concerns with smoking propelled growth of the light cigarette category, they also exerted downward pressure on full flavor cigarettes deliveries. In a Philip Morris internal correspondence, Daniel et al. (1981b) cite the potential threat from regulatory bodies to tax cigarettes in proportion to tar levels and potential negative publicity generated by FTC tar/nicotine listings as potential reasons for the systematic decline in full flavor brands. This decline made any salient increase in light cigarette tar/nicotine more apt to blur the distinctions between the two categories. Given the positive health-related attributions associated with light cigarettes and the increasing importance of light cigarette sales to the industry as light category market shares increased, such a blurring was not likely to be in firms’ interests. Studies of boundary work reveal a diversity of practices used by social actors to create and institutionalize conceptual distinctions between categories (Gieryn, 1999; Lamont and Molnár, 2002). In the cigarette case, producers created and promoted the symbolic boundary between light and full flavor brands through advertisement discourse as well as through advertising imagery (for example, emphasizing high tech imagery to highlight the scientific progress associated with light cigarettes) (Pollay and Dewhirst, 2002). Differences between light and full brands were also accentuated through package design choices (Wakefield et al., 2002). For example, as noted in 1986 British-American Tobacco Co. report (Miller, 1986): Lower delivery products tend to be featured in blue packs. Indeed, as one moves down the delivery sector then the closer to white a pack tends to become. This is because white is generally held to convey a clean, healthy association. Internal memos also suggest firms worked to distinguish light cigarettes from full flavor brands by soliciting credible endorsements from politicians and scientists for light cigarettes as a safer type of cigarette (e.g. Wells, 1982). ! #"! Zerubavel (1997) proposes that taken-for-grantedness not only promotes perceptions of homogeneity among category members, but also increases perceived social distances between members of different categories. Categorization thus transforms gradual distinctions into discrete divisions. For example, hotels designated to be three versus four-star come to be viewed as “qualitatively different”, even though membership within these categories can more accurately be characterized as a “matter of degree” (Zerubavel, 1997: 66). Similarly, smokers came to perceive cigarettes as either “full flavor” or “light”, perceiving these as qualitatively different classes of cigarettes (Brand, Gruber, and Co., 1976). This suggests that, in periods of lower taken-for-grantedness, maintaining a distinction between full flavor and light cigarette categories required significant differences in tar and nicotine deliveries. This placed an upper bound on the possible delivery levels for light cigarettes. However, as the taken-for-grantedness of light cigarettes increased, the perceptual (but not the actual) gap between full flavor and light categories widened. This clear distinction between the two categories opened up opportunities for firms to increase light cigarette tar and nicotine deliveries into their full flavor tar/nicotine spectrums without concern for a blurring of category boundaries. Hypothesis 3: As the taken-for-grantedness of the light cigarette category increases, the tar/nicotine of producers' light brands will increasingly blend into the tar/nicotine delivery spectrum of their full flavor brands. Quantitative Analyses To test our hypotheses, we collected trademark and basic type (filtered or non-filtered, menthol, etc.) information on all cigarette brands manufactured and marketed in the U.S. from 1963-1993 from the Tobacco Merchants Association’s (TMA) Directory of Cigarette Brands (4th edition). This directory also provides a complete listing of the FTC’s tar and nicotine ! ##! measurements, regularly conducted on all nationally available cigarettes as well as all cigarettes marketed as light since 1967 (FTC news release, 1967). The major manufacturers also provided the FTC with tar and nicotine measurements for generic, private labels, and other brands not widely available through a compulsory process. To complement this data, we collected monthly internal Intelligence Reports conducted by Philip Morris on the tar and nicotine deliveries of its competitors’ brands from 1960 to 1993 (http://legacy.library.ucsf.edu/). Both Philip Morris and the FTC use a standardized smoking machine test known as the Cambridge Filter Method. In total there are 757 brands with tar/nicotine information in our dataset, produced across 7 different cigarette firms. Measures: Dependent Variables: To test the hypothesis that increases in tar and nicotine deliveries as light category taken-for-grantedness increases (H1), our first two dependent variables are the yearly tar and nicotine deliveries of light cigarette brands. To test whether there was a disproportionate increase in nicotine relative to tar (H2), we calculated the nicotine-to-tar ratio for cigarette brands from this data. For interpretability, nicotine deliveries are multiplied by 10 and nicotineto-tar ratios by 100 in our models. To test whether light brands increasingly blended into the full flavor spectrum as light category taken-for-grantedness increases (H3), we calculated the yearly count of a manufacturer’s light brands whose tar and nicotine deliveries exceed the lower boundary of that manufacturer’s full flavor tar/nicotine delivery spectrum. Independent variable. Our main independent variable is the taken-for-grantedness of the light cigarette category. As noted earlier, we follow Colyvas and Powell (2006) in treating a decrease in explanatory discourse regarding a category as a visible marker of its taken-for-grantedness. To generate this measure, we collected media articles that referenced the light cigarette category ! #$! and/or its members from each year of our study period and coded them for the extent to which they included detailed explanation of the category’s features and membership criteria. Our sample consisted of three articles per year from each of four sources: The New York Times, Los Angeles Times, Washington Post, and Wall Street Journal (360 articles total). To construct our coding scheme, we started with a subsample of media articles from across the different years of our study to determine the features of the light cigarette category explicated through media accounts. We built the coding scheme iteratively in this fashion. We first coded a small set of articles separately, compared and contrasted our codes, and used these comparisons to make refinements to the coding scheme. After we converged on a stable set of codes, we applied it to the entire sample of media reports. Our final coding scheme consisted of the following dimensions: 1. explication of the components that constitute a light cigarette like tar, nicotine, or related gas/smoke components relevant to cigarette smoking and/or its physiological consequences, 2. explication of amount of tar/nicotine deliveries, 3. description and/or depiction of the brand’s filtration method, and 4. description of other methods (besides filtration) which constitute a light cigarette, such as tobacco blend or paper porosity. 5. how the light category and its members were referenced in the article (such as “cigarettes with reduced tar and nicotine deliveries” versus “light cigarettes”), 6. references to scientific research or testing involving light cigarettes, and 7. explication of the health gains associated with light cigarettes. We then applied this coding scheme to each of the articles in our sample, with each coauthor coding roughly half of the total sample of articles. To assess inter-rater reliability, we tasked a third individual without any exposure to the purpose of the study to apply the coding ! #%! scheme to the entire set of articles. The inter-rater agreement on each of the dimensions was high (93.1% codes matched; kappa = 0.71). To create our main light category taken-for-grantedness we summed values across the seven dimensions2. We also created a nicotine-specific taken-for-grantedness measure reflecting the extent to which media report explanations of the light category included references to nicotine (as opposed to both tar and nicotine) for supplementary analyses presented in Models 1.4 and 3.4. Other control variables. We included lagged controls for total firm sales and media visibility (t-1) since larger and more visible producers may have attracted greater scrutiny from regulators and anti-tobacco groups, causing them to be more conservative in tar and nicotine deliveries. Sales data came from John C. Maxwell, Jr.’s industry surveys, which reported yearly sales for brands produced by the major tobacco firms (http://legacy.library.ucsf.edu/).3 Firm media visibility was calculated as the yearly counts of articles referencing each firm in our sample in The New York Times, Wall Street Journal, and Washington Post. We also control for firm’s R&D investments in the tobacco industry, since increases in tar and nicotine deliveries may have been driven by enhancements in firms’ ability to manipulate the physical design of cigarettes. We gathered patent data for all producers in our database from !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! #!In supplementary analyses (available upon request), we examined several alternative measures of category taken-for-grantedness, including i. the light category’s share of total U.S. cigarette market sales, ii. density of brands within the light cigarette category, and iii. degree to which producers explicated the light category to consumers in light cigarette print advertisements. These measures are highly correlated with our main independent variable and produce consistent findings in our main models. ! $!While we do not have sales data for non-major firms, the tobacco industry’s status as a six-firm oligopoly makes this bias somewhat less problematic (Barnett, Keller, and Hu, 1995). Among the majors’ brands, we are not able to determine sales for brand families with non-significant market share, which Maxwell grouped under the category of ‘Others’. Brand families for which we lack sales data were assigned the lowest sales observed by the Maxwell surveys in their respective year.! ! #&! the NBER U.S. Patent Citation Database (see Hall, Jaffe, and Trajtenberg, 2001) and computed each firm’s yearly stock of patents using the number of patents applied for, weighted by the number of received patent citations (the lagged natural log of this measure is used in our models) (see Hall, 1990; Hall and Mairesse, 1995). We include several macroeconomic controls that might affect producers’ choices regarding tar and nicotine deliveries. First, we control for changes in U.S. smokers’ demographics through measures of the estimated consumption per person for females and individuals under 40 years of age, updated at five-year intervals throughout our study period (source: IMASS Database, 2009). Various company market research reports found that female smokers exhibited a greater preference for lower tar offerings than males and constituted a core demographic of this new category (e.g., Oglesby, 1976). There was also some evidence that younger smokers were an important demographic to the light category and had different taste preferences relative to older smokers (e.g. Marcial, 1977). Changes in both demographics might have thus prompted changes in cigarettes’ tar/nicotine deliveries. We also control for the lagged count of new U.S. state legislation passed regarding tobacco excise taxes (source: National Cancer Institute, http://www.cancer.gov). Such legislation may have presented an incentive for producers to increase tar and nicotine deliveries in order to retain existing smokers in the face of increasing economic threat. At the brand level, we control for whether a brand was marketed as “ultra light,” since targeting this subsegment within the light category likely resulted in lower tar and nicotine deliveries.4 In models including established brands, we include a control for brand age (number !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 4 Supplementary analyses excluding the control for whether a brand was marketed as “ultra light” produce results consistent with our main findings. ! #'! of years since a brand’s first trademark use) to allow the possibility that the likelihood of increases in tar/nicotine change as a brand matures. Competition-related control variables. We introduce a number of market-, firm-, and brand family-level controls to examine the extent to which our story is attributable to taken-forgrantedness versus factors related to competitive positioning. We first address the possibility that tar/nicotine deliveries may have increased simply because consumers demonstrate a preference for higher tar/nicotine offerings by controlling for the average tar and nicotine of the five light brands with the largest market share (one- and threeyear moving average, lagged by one year). The higher the most popular light brands are in tar and nicotine deliveries, the higher the rest of the market is likely to move. We also control for the role rivalry may have played in influencing producers’ tar and nicotine positioning by controlling for the average tar and nicotine of all light brands produced by rival firms, lagged by one year. Increases in rivals’ tar and nicotine deliveries may have encouraged a firm to increase the deliveries of its own brands. We control for the possibility that rivals’ positioning in the full flavor category may have affected the focal firms’ light positioning by including average tar/nicotine of rivals’ full flavor brands in our models. In supplementary models (available upon request) we introduce into our models controls for variation in the tar and nicotine deliveries of rivals’ brands (standard deviation of rivals’ brands, lagged by one year), since greater variation may encourage the focal firm to experiment with increases in tar and nicotine deliveries. Results for our main variables are consistent with those presented here. To further assess the possibility that firms increased tar and nicotine deliveries in response to competitive pressures, we include a Herfindahl!index reflecting the amount of ! #(! competition among firms in the light cigarette category. This is calculated as the sum of squares of firms’ market share within the light cigarette category. At the firm-level, we introduce a number of controls to account for the impact of firms’ attempts to differentiate light brands from other offerings in their overall portfolio. These include the yearly average tar and nicotine deliveries of full flavor brands (higher deliveries among a producer’s full flavor brand deliveries may have encouraged higher tar and nicotine deliveries among its light brand offerings), the count of brands marketed as light (increases in tar/nicotine deliveries may have resulted from firms’ attempting to differentiate their light offerings from other light offerings), and the count of brands marketed as ultra light (increases may have been the result of producers trying to differentiate light brands from offerings in the ultra light sub-category). To control for differentiation pressures at the brand family level, we include a measure reflecting the yearly counts of brands marketed as light and ultra light in our models5. Estimation. We examine the impact of light cigarette category taken-for-grantedness on producers’ adjustments to the tar and nicotine deliveries of brands marketed as light in several ways. First, we examine the initial tar/nicotine positioning of new brands marketed as light. We isolate our analyses first to new brands since market offerings are presumably under higher scrutiny when they are first released onto the market. We next examine changes in the tar/nicotine deliveries of established brands to assess whether changing levels of category takenfor-grantedness affected producers’ likelihood of adjusting the features of existing offerings. !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 5 We do not include a control for full flavor tar and nicotine at the brand family level because a number of brand families do not have any full flavor offerings. ! #)! Finally, we examine changes in the tar/nicotine differences between producers’ light and full flavor brands. Changes in new brands’ tar and nicotine deliveries are estimated using multilevel models which account for nesting within firms and within brand families (Bryk and Raudenbush, 1992; Snijders and Bosker, 1999). This allows us to investigate firm- and brand family-level factors that may affect choices in the initial positioning of new cigarette brands. This analysis does not include brands whose earliest FTC tar and nicotine measurement occurred more than three years after its first trademark use since such brands can no longer be regarded as ‘new’. We analyze changes in established light brands’ tar/nicotine deliveries through two approaches. First, we examine whether category taken-for-grantedness influenced the speed by which producers moved to increase established brands’ tar and nicotine deliveries. In these models, we used r(t), the instantaneous rate of increasing tar/nicotine deliveries beyond the initial deliveries reported for each brand, defined as ! ! ! ! !"#!"!! !"!!!!!!!!!"!!!!! !" . After experimenting with several classes of parametric and semiparametric models, we found the hazard rate exhibited a monotone function that is well fitted by a Weibull specification. In these models, unobserved heterogeneity at the firm level is accounted for through a gamma shared frailty specification (Gutierrez, 2002). In a second set of models involving established brands, we analyzed the degree to which producers adjusted brands’ tar/nicotine deliveries through multilevel models which account for clustering at three levels: within firm, within brand family, and within brand. Both sets of models are presented and discussed in the results section below. We examine changes in how firms position their light versus full flavor offerings through fixed effects negative binomial models estimating yearly variations in the counts of each ! #*! manufacturer’s light brands that exceed its minimum full flavor brand in tar and nicotine deliveries. Results In Table 1, we estimate changes in the initial tar and nicotine deliveries of new cigarette brands marketed as light as light category taken-for-grantedness increases. Model 1.1 estimates initial nicotine and Model 1.2 estimates initial tar deliveries. A number of control variables have significant effects on initial tar and nicotine deliveries. Among the noteworthy effects, we find that initial tar and nicotine deliveries increase with greater under-40 cigarette consumption and with greater average tar/nicotine of a firm’s full flavor brands, while they decrease with greater female cigarette consumption and with the marketed of a new cigarette brand as “ultra light”. Tar/nicotine deliveries also decrease with greater count of light brands at the firm level, greater ultra light brands at the brand family level, and greater average tar among the top five light brands in terms of market share decreases expected tar for new light brands. Finally, greater light category competition (sum of squares of firms’ market share in the category) increased tar deliveries. Net of these controls, we find significant positive main effects of light category taken-forgrantedness on both initial tar and nicotine deliveries for new brands (Hypothesis 1). To examine Hypothesis 2, we standardized the coefficients from Models 1.1 and 1.2 and compared the relative magnitudes. In our estimates of tar deliveries, the standardized coefficient for light category legitimation is 0.737; for our estimates of nicotine deliveries, it is 1.071. This suggests that new brands’ nicotine deliveries increase more with increases in light category taken-forgrantedness relative to their tar deliveries. ! $+! To further investigate Hypothesis 2, we estimate models with the initial nicotine-to-tar ratio as the dependent variable. The results in Model 1.3 find the effect of light category takenfor-grantedness on this ratio to be positive but not statistically significant (p>0.10). As a last examination of the relationship between category taken-for-grantedness and nicotine versus tar deliveries, we estimate the effect of a measure of light cigarette taken-for-grantedness that focuses on discourse related to nicotine in Model 1.4. This allows us to better isolate the impact that decreased scrutiny of nicotine-related features of the light cigarette category may have had on firms’ nicotine delivery positioning. When this alternative measure of light category takenfor-grantedness is included in the model, we see a significant effect on initial nicotine-to-tar ratios. In the next set of models, we estimate producers’ rate to increasing tar/nicotine deliveries beyond an established light brand’s initial levels. Models 2.1 (nicotine) and 2.2 (tar) show that increasing light cigarette category taken-for-grantedness had a positive effect on the rate for nicotine but not for tar. This difference is consistent with the idea that nicotine deliveries were influenced more by changing light category taken-for-grantedness relative to tar. The rate of increases to both tar and nicotine deliveries decreased with brand age but increased with higher full flavor average tar/nicotine of a firm’s brands. We also estimate the extent of changes in brands’ nicotine and tar deliveries through multilevel models that include all brands, new and established. Models 3.1 and 3.2 suggest that increasing light category taken-for-grantedness increased tar and nicotine deliveries among all brands. In our standardized estimates for tar deliveries, the coefficient for light category takenfor-grantedness is 0.064 while the coefficient for nicotine is 0.177. This suggests, in support of Hypothesis 2, that nicotine deliveries increase more with increases in light category taken-for- ! $"! grantedness relative to tar deliveries. Model 3.3, which estimates the nicotine-to-tar ratio as the dependent variable, shows the effect of light category taken-for-grantedness on this ratio is positive and significant. The effects of control variables in Models 3.1 and 3.2 are generally consistent with their effects on initial tar and nicotine deliveries, described earlier. There are a few noteworthy differences. In multilevel models with all (not just new) brands, we see significant effects of intensity of light category competition on both tar and nicotine deliveries, with greater competition pushing tar and nicotine deliveries higher. We also find that, while firm-level ultra light and brand-level light brand counts decrease tar and nicotine deliveries, greater brand family ultra light brand counts increase tar deliveries. Our last set of models estimate the yearly count of a firm’s light brands that exceed its minimum full flavor brand tar/nicotine deliveries.6 In Model 4.1, we see increasing light cigarette category taken-for-grantedness has a positive effect on the counts for nicotine but not for tar. Among the control variables, we see that increased firm sales decrease the counts of light brands exceeding the minimum full flavor tar/nicotine deliveries, while greater count of light brands for the firm increases this count for nicotine. Overall, our models present support for all three of our hypotheses. Net of a variety of controls designed to address demand- and competition-based alternative explanations we find a positive, significant effect of light category taken-for-grantedness on i. the initial positioning of new light brands in terms of tar and nicotine, ii. the speed and extent of adjustments to established light brands, and iii. the proclivity of producers to increase deliveries of their light brands into their full flavor nicotine spectrum. Further, the effect of light category taken-for!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 6 The count of firms in this sample drops from 7 to 6 due to insufficient number of observations for one firm (U.S. tobacco). ! $#! grantedness on nicotine deliveries was stronger and more robust across the different models, in line with our expectation that nicotine deliveries increased disproportionately more with light category taken-for-grantedness relative to tar. Discussion Our paper presents an alternative perspective to sociological studies of markets and institutional approaches that equate taken-for-grantedness with increasing constraint on the features of category members (DiMaggio and Powell, 1983; Lamont and Molnar, 2002; Ruef and Patterson, 2009; Negro, Hannan, and Rao, 2010; Kovács and Hannan, 2010). We advance the idea that the salience of product features to market participants plays a key role in whether increasing taken-for-grantedness leads to increased constraint or flexibility in producers’ actions. Departures from expected features only meaningfully affect category evaluations when they are scrutinized by and salient to relevant participants. Existing studies largely focus on salient departures such as the explicit adoption of features from multiple categories or producers’ claims to membership in multiple categories. Our unique mix of historical insider documents and product characteristic information allows us to study the alternative case in which departures go under the radar. Our study links current theorization on market categorization with the literature on categorization more generally that highlights how schemas distort perception of category members (Durkheim, 1912; Douglas, 1986; DiMaggio, 1997; Zerubavel, 1997). We thereby extend the few existing studies within organizational sociology which recognize the gap between expected and actual features of producers as a strategically important issue (Waguespack and Sorenson, 2010; Granqvist, Grodal, and Woolley, 2013; Phillips and Kim, 2009). In their study ! $$! of the U.S. brewing industry, for example, Carroll and Swaminathan (2000) observe that contract brewers often concealed the origin of their products (many of which were produced by mass production breweries at lower cost) and deceptively marketed them as small production microbrews in order to appeal to the lucrative microbrew market. We contribute to this issue by highlighting how the opportunity for producers to depart from market participants’ expectations without eliciting negative scrutiny systematically shifts as a category develops. More broadly, our study points to the need to better unify ideas regarding categorical constraint and producers’ strategic manipulation of category expectations. Studies investigating how categorization schemes shape producer outcomes tend to portray market producers as passive bystanders in categorization processes (e.g. Zuckerman, 1999; Hsu, et al., 2009; Ruef and Patternson, 2009). Other studies, on the other hand, focus on how producers actively work to advance their strategic interests through categorization. Strategic concerns have been found to shape which categories firms choose to claim membership within (Porac, Wade, and Pollock, 1999; Phillips and Kim, 2009). Studies also suggest the way categorization schemes are created and used by market intermediaries is influenced by powerful producers (Lounsbury and Rao, 2004; Waguespack and Sorenson, 2010) as well as by the nature of the exchange relationships between intermediaries and producers (Fleischer, 2009). Increasingly, researchers have noted that producers’ category-related claims differ according to the development of their relevant market categories. Multiple studies suggest the taken-for-grantedness of a category shapes how producers define their category and categorical identities to other market participants (Lounsbury and Glynn, 2001; Kennedy, 2008; Navis and Glynn, 2010; King, Clemens, and Fry, 2011; Granqvist, Grodal, and Woolley, 2013). A recent study by Pontikes (2013) further suggests that the extent to which a category is clearly ! $%! demarcated from others in its domain shapes a producer’s decision to claim membership within it versus advance a new market category. Such studies shed light on the way producer’s categoryrelated claims change with the different strategic needs presented by different types of shared categorical understandings. Our study extends this literature by demonstrating that not only strategic claims, but also the relationship between what producers claim and what features they actually adopt, systematically co-evolve with the cognitive constraints imposed on them by category systems. Our findings also draw conceptual links between the study of categories and new institutional research on decoupling, subfields within organizational sociology that have remained largely disconnected. Accounts of decoupling generally incorporate notions of strategic agency by considering variation in actors’ responses to institutional pressures (e.g., Oliver, 1991; Greenwood and Hinings, 1996; Davis and Greve, 1997; Lounsbury, 2001; Bromley and Powell, 2012). While traditional accounts usefully connect variation in responses to individual-level interests and power dynamics, less is known about the broader conditions driving the proclivity to engage in decoupling, with two notable exceptions. First, studies of temporal variation in the adoption of practices suggest that early adoption tends to be driven by technical or efficiency motives, while later adoption is largely driven by concerns with legitimacy (Tolbert and Zucker, 1983; Westphal et al., 1997). This is consistent both with the notion that pressures for conformity increase with taken-for-grantedness and that taken-for-grantedness may drive the ceremonial adoption of category features. Our account sharpens understanding of the cognitive microprocesses enabling these decoupling dynamics to unfold and highlights the importance of attending to evolution in perceptions. ! $&! A second exception is accounts of institutional recoupling, which suggest that increased attention and pressures from external stakeholders may drive an increase in the substantive linkage between policies and practices (see Bromley and Powell, 2012 for a review). Studies have linked recoupling to pressures from internal power dynamics (Tilcsik, 2010), commensuration (Espeland, 1998) and social movements (Hallet, 2010). We believe these various pressures could be commonly connected to changes in market participants’ understandings and scrutiny. A productive area for future research would be to integrate processes of coupling with accounts of behaviors which decrease category taken-for-grantedness such as salient acts of non-conformity by high-status actors (Rao et al., 2005) and the number of perceived category violations (Hannan et al., 2007). Tying these various fragments into a cohesive theory would likely provide a useful foundation for integrative insights. It may also be useful to incorporate insights from related work within cultural sociology on commensuration—the transformation of different qualities of objects into common, simplifying metrics such as price, risk, and quality rankings (Espeland and Stevens, 1998). Scholars studying commensuration observe that such metrics have been increasingly adopted across a variety of social contexts in response to a growing demand for accessibility of information and accountability (Espeland and Sauder, 2007). Like categories, commensuration can be viewed as a tool for facilitating information processing, as multiple uncertain qualities are reduced to simple, easily comparable metrics. Even more, categorization plays a central role in commensuration; a common product of commensuration is the creation of categories of value that, once adopted, become imbued with “meaning, consequence and objectivity” (Espeland and Stevens, 1998: 325). ! $'! In the case of cigarettes, actors’ health-based goals drove the creation of a simplifying hierarchy based on tar and nicotine numbers that formed the backdrop of the creation of categories such as “full flavor” and “light”. These categorical distinctions became cognitive shortcuts that consumers could easily digest. By integrating insights from cognitive work on categories, we are able to explain why, as these simplifying categorical distinctions became taken-for-granted, attention to the actual numbers they were based on disappeared. This observation highlights a need for a greater integration between the literatures on commensuration and categorization in order to understand the complete process of categorical evolution. In particular, a successful commensuration process might paradoxically lead quantification to disappear giving rise to new opportunities for category manipulation by interested actors. Finally, we conclude with a note on the scope conditions of our proposed theory. First, while one may be tempted to regard cigarettes as an extreme case due to its links with addiction, we believe this kind of widespread manipulation of shared categorical understandings takes place in a variety of markets where adherence to core category membership criteria imposes either considerable cost or difficulties in production, or decreased appeal along key competitive dimensions. We expect, for example, that as categories such as “low fat” and “low sugar” became increasingly taken-for-granted shortcuts for the notion of “healthy” food, firms increasingly manipulated underlying product characteristics to make them more palatable (for example, adding additional sugar, salt or fat to products that claim membership in these categories and adjusting reported serving sizes to mask the increase). Indeed, researchers and media outlets have noted the potential for manipulation in a number of growing market categories, including organic produce (Lee, 2009), “green” products such as hybrid cars and energy-saving appliances (Bonini and Opponheim, 2008), non-toxic beauty products (Guo et al., ! $(! 2012), and categories defined around craft techniques, personnel and/or ingredients such as microbrews, wild fishing, and Greek yogurt (Carroll and Wheaton, 2009; Charles, 2012). Even more, similar dynamics can be observed not just in product but also service markets. For example, at the brink of their creation, executive and part-time MBA programs were intensively scrutinized by business schools, companies, and potential students to determine whether they provided knowledge and skills equivalent to traditional MBA programs. However, as these programs have become taken-for-granted, we have informally observed business schools to be increasingly manipulating core features of these programs in order to increase their convenience and appeal to busy professionals. Across these varied examples, we commonly observe production- and/or appeal-based incentives for producers to decouple the actual features of their offerings from those embodied in the category schemas. In such cases, while we expect that it is competitive- and demand-driven pressures that motivate producers to strategically depart from core membership features, it is category taken-for-grantedness that enables them to do so without negative repercussion. The difficulty market participants face in directly scrutinizing category members’ features may also be a factor in whether producers attempt to manipulate these features. In such cases, without the presence of regulatory watchdogs setting and upholding clear standards, the opportunities for and likelihood of manipulations are expected to increase with greater category taken-for-grantedness. As these examples highlight, sociological theory could benefit from more research into how strategic actions vary as market categories develop. Given the importance of categories to the functioning of markets, this study marks but one step towards better understanding of how market categories constrain and enable the actions of market participants as they evolve. ! $)! References Aldrich, H. E. and C. M. Fiol. 1994. “Foods rush in? The institutional context of industry creation.” Academy of Management Review, 19: 645-70. Alex Gochfeld Associates, Inc. 1969. “The present competitive position of Pall Mall Gold 100s and Silva Thins.” American Tobacco. http://legacy.library.ucsf.edu/tid/xsb70a00/. Barnett, P. G., T. E. Keeler, and T.-W. 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The historical cigarette print ads available through this library come from internal company documents from the major US tobacco industry companies, made available through the Master Settlement Agreement (1988), as well as from the Pollay Advertising Collection, collected by Prof. Richard W. Pollay. To develop a coding scheme, we used a subsample of 40 ads across the different years to determine the various features of light cigarette membership explicated through print ads. Each of the two study authors coded all the ads separately, before we compared and contrasted our codes. We discussed our coding of each ad until we reached agreement on the important dimensions of the ad. This process led us to create a coding scheme with the following dimensions: 1. explication of the components that constitute a light cigarette like tar, nicotine, or related gas/smoke components relevant to cigarette smoking and/or its physiological consequences, 2. description and/or depiction of the brand’s filtration method, 3. description of other methods (besides filtration) which constitute a light cigarette, such as tobacco blend or paper porosity, 4. explication of amount of tar/nicotine deliveries, 5. frequency of the use of the terms tar and nicotine, and 6. references to competitor brands within the light cigarette category. We then applied this coding scheme to each of the ads in our larger sample. Each of the two study authors coded approximately half of the total print ad sample. To assess inter-rater reliability, a third individual without any exposure to the purpose of the study used the coding scheme to code the entire set of ads. The inter-rater agreement on each of the dimensions was high (89% codes matched; kappa = 0.71). ! &"! Figure 1: U.S. annual sales of cigarettes marketed as light, 1964-1993 )!!" (!!" '!!" &!!" ,-./0" %!!" 0102," 34,,"52617" $!!" #**$" #**!" #*++" #*+(" #*+&" #*+$" #*+!" #*)+" #*)(" #*)&" #*)$" #*)!" #*(+" #*((" !" #*(&" #!!" ! 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" !" ' ' ' ' !"#$%&'9)'*&+%,-'&:0&12";&1&22'/3'8&6"+'&:.,"5+0"/1'/3',"#40'5"#+%&00&2' (" '#$" '" $#$" $" &#$" &" %#$" %" !#$" !" )*'&")*''")*'+")*(,")*(!")*(&")*('")*(+")*+,")*+!")*+&")*+'")*++")**," ' ' ' !"#$%&'()'*&+%,-'.%/./%0"/12'/3',"#40'5"#+%&00&'+62'7"04'0+%'8&%2$2'1"5/0"1&'+9/$102' (#$" (" !#'" !#&" +,-./01" 234" !#%" !#$" () &% () " && () " &' () " *! () " *$ () " *% () " *& () " *' () " '! () " '$ () " '% () " '& () " '' () " )! " !" ' ' ' ' !"#$%&':)'*&+%,-'.%/./%0"/12'/3',"#40'5"#+%&00&'+62'9&10"/1"1#'0&%92';0+%<'8&%2$2' ;1"5/0"1&<'' (#$" (" !#'" !#&" +,-./01" 234" !#%" !#$" () &% () " && () " &' () " *! () " *$ () " *% () " *& () " *' () " '! () " '$ () " '% () " '& () " '' () " )! " !" ' ' ' ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! Appendix A. Qualitative Coding of Light Cigarette Print Advertisements and Newspaper Articles reference Light Cigarettes We collected data on advertisements of light cigarettes through The Legacy Tobacco Documents Library. The historical cigarette print ads available through this library come from internal company documents from the major US tobacco industry companies, made available through the Master Settlement Agreement (1988), as well as from the Pollay Advertising Collection, collected by Prof. Richard W. Pollay. Data on newspaper articles referencing light cigarettes comes from The New York Times, Los Angeles Times, Washington Post, and Wall Street Journal. To compile our samples, we drew 20 print ads per year and 3 articles per year from each of the four media outlets (12 total per year).1 Our database searches included terms such as “light”, “mild”, “low tar”, “low nicotine”, or “low yield” in conjunction with the terms “tobacco” or “cigarette”. Our second step was to develop appropriate coding schemes for advertisements and for the media reports. For the ad coding, we first used a subsample of 40 ads across the different years to determine the various features of light cigarette membership explicated through print ads. Each of the two study authors coded all the ads separately, before we compared and contrasted our codes. We discussed our coding of each ad until we reached agreement on the important dimensions of the ad. This process led us to create a coding scheme with the following five dimensions: 1. explication of the !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! "!We ended collection of print ads at 1990, after which the shifting focus of cigarette producers from traditional print advertising to other promotional forms (e.g., direct mail and point-of-sale advertising, sponsorships, etc.) (National Cancer Institute, 2008) made it difficult to gather a representative sample of ads. ! components that constitute a light cigarette like tar, nicotine, or related gas/smoke components relevant to cigarette smoking and/or its physiological consequences, 2. explication of amount of tar/nicotine deliveries, 3. frequency of the use of the terms tar and nicotine,.4. description and/or depiction of the brand’s filtration method, and 5. description of other methods (besides filtration) which constitute a light cigarette, such as tobacco blend or paper porosity. We then applied this coding scheme to each of the ads in our larger sample. Each of the two study authors coded approximately half of the total print ad sample. To assess inter-rater reliability, a third individual without any exposure to the purpose of the study used the coding scheme to code the entire set of ads. The inter-rater agreement on each of the dimensions was high (89% codes matched; kappa = 0.71). For media reports on the light category, we again started with a subsample of media articles from across the different years of our study to determine the features of the light cigarette category explicated through media accounts. We first coded a small set of articles separately, compared and contrasted our codes, and used these comparisons to make refinements to the coding scheme. We built the coding scheme iteratively in this fashion, refining it multiple times before applying our coding scheme to the entire sample of media reports. Our final coding scheme consisted of 8 dimensions: the five dimensions referenced above for the light cigarette print ad coding, plus 6. how the light category and its members were referenced in the article (such as “cigarettes with reduced tar and nicotine deliveries” versus “light cigarettes”), 7. references to scientific research or testing involving light cigarettes, and 8. explication of the health consequences of smoking and/or the health gains associated with light cigarettes. Our goal was to develop a scheme that would allow us to capture the extent to which media accounts referencing the light cigarette category included a detailed explanation of the category’s features and membership criteria. We then applied this coding scheme to each of the articles in our sample, with each co-author coding roughly half of the total sample of articles. To assess inter-rater reliability, we again tasked a third individual without any exposure to the purpose of the study to apply the coding scheme to code the entire set of articles. The inter-rater agreement on each of the dimensions was high (93.1% codes matched; kappa = 0.71). To create an aggregated measure of the extent to which media reports explained the light category and membership within it by summing values across the 8 dimensions. This is our main light category taken-for-grantedness measure. We also created a nicotine-specific taken-for-grantedness measure reflecting the extent to which media report explanations of the light category included references to nicotine (as opposed to both tar and nicotine) for Models 1.4 and 3.4.