Downloaded from rspb.royalsocietypublishing.org on May 26, 2014 PROCEEDINGS OF Proc. R. Soc. B (2012) 279, 1017-1026 doi: 10.1098/rspb.2011.1496 Published online 7 Septem ber 2011 ' THE ROYAL SOCIETY A large population of king crabs in Palmer Deep on th e w est Antarctic Peninsula shelf and potential invasive im pacts C ra ig R . S m i t h 1 *, L a u r a J. G r a n g e 1, D a v id L. H o n ig 2, L ie v e n N a u d ts 3^ , B r u c e H u b e r 4, L io n e l G u id i1 a n d E u g e n e D o m a c k 5 1Department o f Oceanography, University o f H aw aii a t M anoa, 1000 Pope Road, Honolulu, H I 96822, U SA 2M arine Laboratory, Nicholas School o f the Environment, D uke University, 135 M arine Lab Road, Beaufort, N C 28516, U SA 3Renard Centre o f M arine Geology, G hent University, Krijgslaan 281 s8, G ent 9000, Belgium 4D ivision o f Ocean and Climate Physics, Lam ont-D oherty Earth Observatory o f Columbia University, Palisades, N Y 10964, U SA 5Department o f Geosciences, H am ilton College, 198 College H ill Road, Clinton, N ew York, N Y 13323, U SA L ith o d id crabs (and o th e r sk eleton-crush in g p red ato rs) m ay have b e e n excluded from cold A n tarctic co n tin en tal shelf w aters for m o re th a n 14 M yr. T h e w est A n tarctic P en in su la shelf is w arm in g rapidly an d has b e e n hypothesized to be soon in v ad ed b y lithodids. A rem o tely o p erated vehicle survey in P alm er D eep, a b asin 120 km on to th e A n tarctic shelf, revealed a large, rep ro d u ctiv e p o p u la tio n o f lith o ­ dids, providing the first evidence th a t king crabs have crossed th e A n tarctic shelf. D N A seq u en cin g an d m orphology indicate th e lith o d id is Neolithodes yaldw yni A hyong & D aw son, previously re p o rte d only from Ross Sea w aters. We estim ate a N . yaldw yni p o p u la tio n d ensity o f 10 600 k m ~ 2 an d a p o p u la tio n size o f 1.55 X IO6 in P alm er D ee p , a density sim ilar to lith o d id p o p u latio n s o f co m m ercial in terest aro u n d A laska an d S o u th G eorgia. T h e lith o d id o cc u rre d at d ep th s o f m o re th a n 850 m an d te m p eratu re s o f m o re th a n 1.4°C in P alm er D eep , an d was n o t fo u n d in extensive surveys o f th e co ld er shelf a t d ep th s o f 4 3 0 - 7 2 5 m . W here N . yaldw yni o ccu rred , crab traces w ere a b u n d a n t, m egafaunal diversity red u ced an d ech in o d erm s absent, suggesting th a t th e crabs have m ajo r ecological im pacts. A n tarctic P eninsula shelf w aters are w arm in g at approxim ately 0 .0 1°C y r-1 ; if N . ya ld w yn i is cu rren tly lim ited b y cold te m p ­ eratures, it could spread u p o n to th e shelf (4 0 0 -6 0 0 m d ep th s) w ith in 1 - 2 decades. T h e P alm er D ee p N. yaldw yni p o p u la tio n provides an im p o rta n t m o d el for th e p o te n tia l invasive im p acts o f cru sh in g p red ato rs on vulnerable A ntarctic shelf ecosystem s. K e y w o rd s: lithodids; invasion; A n tarctic; clim ate w arm ing; b io tu rb a tio n ; biodiversity loss 1. INTRODUCTION It has recently b een argued th a t lithodid crabs, an d m any other large durophagous (crushing) p redators, have b een excluded from th e cold w aters o f th e high A ntarctic conti­ n ental shelf (less th a n 600 m depths) for m ore th a n 14 M y r [1,2]. It is hypothesized th a t the L ithodidae have failed to colonize th e A ntarctic shelf due to low er th erm al lim its o f 0 .4 -2 ° C for adults and/or larvae [ 1 - 3 ] . It is fu rth e r specu­ lated th a t th e absence for m illions o f years o f lithodids an d other durophagous pred ato rs (e.g. sharks, brachyuran crabs, a variety o f bony fish) from A ntarctic shelf eco­ systems has allowed th e developm ent o f diverse epifaunal com m unities th a t are likely to b e highly vulnerable to invasion by crushing pred ato rs [1,2,4]. M a rin e ecosystem s o f the w est A n tarctic P eninsula (WAP) are w arm in g rapidly, w ith sea surface te m p era­ tu res o n th e WAP shelf rising b y approxim ately 1°C since 1950 [ 5 -7 ] . S u ch w arm in g m ay allow the en try of *A u th o r fo r c o rre sp o n d e n c e (craigsm i@ haw aii.edu ). ^P resent address: M U M M , Royal Belgian Institute o f N atu ral Sciences, 3 d e e n 23ste L inieregim entsplein, B -8400 O ostende, Belgium . E le ctro n ic su p p le m e n ta ry m aterial is available a t h ttp ://d x .d o i.o rg / 1 0 .1 0 9 8 /rsp b .2 0 1 1 .1 4 9 6 o r via h ttp ://rsp b .ro y also ciety p u b lish in g .o rg . Received 15 Ju ly 2011 Accepted 18 A u g u st 2011 te m p eratu re -lim ited taxa o n to th e A n tarctic shelf [1]. A t least 14 species o f lithodids are k now n from th e S o u th ern O cean n o rth o f 60° S, a n d significant n u m b e rs o f lith o ­ dids have recently b ee n rec o rd e d at shelf an d slope d ep th s from A n tarctic Islands as far so u th as 67.5° S in th e B ellinghausen Sea an d 75° S in th e Ross Sea [2,8,9]. In ad d itio n , tw o lith o d id species (Neolithodes capensis an d Paralomis birsteini) have b e e n re p o rte d from th e W AP co n tin en tal slope itself, in clu d in g 13 specim ens (and one juvenile) o f P. birsteini at d ep th s o f 1 1 2 3 1304 m n o rth w est o f A delaide Islan d (figure 1) [2,4,9]. T h ese rec en t reco rd s o f N . capensis an d P. birsteini are h y p o th esized to in d icate an ongoing lith o d id invasion up th e WAP slope an d o n to th e shelf effected b y seafloor im m ig ratio n o f ad u lts or dispersal o f d em ersal larvae [1,2]. H ow ever, th e rep ro d u ctiv e status an d p o p u la tio n densities o f N. capensis, P birsteini an d o th e r lith o d id s on th e W AP slope are u n k n o w n (no ovigerous fem ales have b ee n collected o n th e W AP slope), a n d th e ecosystem im pacts o f these an d o th e r lith o d id species rem ain u n d o c u m e n te d in A n tarctic w aters. H ere, we re p o rt th e p resen ce o f an ap p aren tly large, rep ro d u ctiv e p o p u la tio n o f th e lith o d id crab Neolithodes yaldw yni in P alm er D eep , a 1440 m deep b asin on the 1017 T h is jo u rn a l is © 2011 T h e R oyal S ociety Downloaded from rspb.royalsocietypublishing.org on May 26, 2014 1018 C . R. S m ith et al. K ing crabs crossing the Antarctic S h elf (b) ( a) 60° S -5000 -4000 -5000 -2000 -1000 70°W King George island 68°W 66°W 0 64°W 63° S 63° S 64° S 64° S 65° S 65° S 62° S Palm er Deep 64° S Bellingshausen Sea i 66° S Adelaide Island W eddell Sea 68° S 66° S 66° S 70° S 80° W 72°W 64° W 56°W 70°W 68°W Palmer _Deep 66°W 64°W (c) 48° S 56.6° 52°S 56.8° 56°S 57.0° 65° S 4° S 65°W 48°W 36°W 24°W 12°W 64°W Figure 1. (a) West A ntarctic Peninsula region, including Palm er D eep and stations where ROV surveys, seafloor imaging sur­ veys and bottom trawls were conducted betw een 1998 and 2010. C ontours are in m etres. Red dots, locations where Thajte et al. [4] observed Paralomis birsteini at depths of 1 1 2 3 -1 3 0 4 m. G reen dots, locations where Thatje et al. [4] failed to find lithodids during ROV surveys (depths approx. 5 0 0 -6 0 0 m ). Blue dots, station locations AA, B, E, F and G of trawls and yoyo camera surveys conducted in 2 0 0 8 -2 0 0 9 during F O O D B A N C S2 cruises, at depths of 5 7 8 -5 9 7 m , with no crabs detected (see elec­ tronic supplem entary m aterial, table S2). Boxes, locations of trawls and/or yoyo camera surveys conducted in 2010 during the LARISSA cruise at depths of 4 3 0 -7 2 5 m , with no crabs detected (see electronic supplem entary m aterial, table S2). 1, Barilari Bay; 2, Flandres Bay; 3, Andvord Bay; 4, H ughes Bay; 5, Lockyer Station and Admiralty Sound. (b) Swath and G EO SA T sea­ floor bathym etry (depths in metres) in the vicinity of Palm er D eep (box), illustrating the typical depth (5 0 0 -6 0 0 m) of the WAP shelf, and the sill depth (approx. 450 m) of Palm er D eep (bathym etric data from [10]). (c) Swath bathym etry of Palm er D eep showing ROV transect (solid black line indicates portion of transect m ore th an 850 m , red line indicates portion of transect less than 850 m). Red vertical lines indicate positions of crabs (double length indicates crab pairs), yellow line indi­ cates location of collected individual, black line indicates dead lithodid. Red stars, locations of seabed photographs from 1998. in n e r WAP co n tin en tal shelf 120 km from th e op en slope. T h is is th e first evidence th a t lithodids can cross th e A n t­ arctic co n tin en tal shelf, an d th e first re p o rt o f N . yaldw yni b ey o n d th e Ross Sea. We p re se n t d ata on th e d e p th distri­ b u tio n , ecosystem effects an d evidence o f rep ro d u ctio n for N . yaldw yni, b ased o n a rem otely o p erated vehicle (ROV) survey a n d crab collection. O u r d ata indicate th a t this king crab has m ajo r im pacts on sed im en t tex tu re, b io tu rb a tio n an d diversity o f epib en th o s in P alm er D eep below 950 m , a n d th a t lithodids are likely to have b een p rese n t in P alm er D ee p at least since 1998. 2. STUDY A REA , MATERIALS AND M ETHODS (a) S tu d y a rea P alm er D eep is a m ud-floored basin located approxim ately 120 km southeast o f the WAP continental shelf-slope break Proc. R. Soc. B (2012) w ith a m axim um d ep th o f approxim ately 1440 m (figure 1) [10]. T h e basin is approxim ately 14 x 8 km an d is em bed d ed in a continental shelf w ith a m ean regional d ep th of 4 0 0 - 6 0 0 m (figure 1) [11]. S edim entation rates in P alm er D eep are 0 .1 - 0 .4 cm yr 1 [12], an d oxygen con­ centrations exceed 4 m l 1 1 at all d epths (Palm er L T E R 1 9 9 4 -2 0 0 8 , unpu b lish ed data). A ny w ater m ass or plank­ tonic larvae crossing the WAP shelf from the S o u th ern O cean into P alm er D eep m u st pass over sill depths less th a n or equal to 450 m on the shelf (figure 1) [10]. W ater m ass characteristics o f the WAP shelf an d P alm er D eep are com plex. T h e to p approxim ately 200 m o f the w ater colu m n is characterized b y A ntarctic Surface W ater (AASW ), w hich w arm s seasonally n ear th e surface b u t rem ains colder th a n 1°C below 1 0 0 m [6,7,13,14]. Below approxim ately 200 m d ep th , th e WAP shelf an d P alm er D eep are influenced by U p p e r C ircu m p o lar D eep Downloaded from rspb.royalsocietypublishing.org on May 26, 2014 K in g crabs crossing the Antarctic S h elf C . R. S m ith et al. 1019 W ater (U C D W ), w hich floods an d m ixes eastw ard onto th e shelf driven by the A ntarctic C ircum polar C u rren t [6,14,15]. T h e U C D W is typically w arm er (m ore th a n 1.0°C) an d m ore saline th a n the deep A A SW im m ediately above [13]. W arm ing since 1990 in th e W AP region is rep o rted to have increased th e h ea t co n ten t o f the U C D W influencing the WAP shelf in th e P alm er D eep region, potentially w arm ing the u p p er 300 m o f the U C D W by approxim ately 0.7°C [7]. (b) R e m o te ly o p e r a te d veh icle s u r v e y We u sed Genesis, a Cherokee (Sub A tlantic) rem otely o per­ ated vehicle (ROV) operated by the R enard C en tre o f M arin e Geology, deployed from th e R V IB N. B. Palmer to co n d u c t a 5.2 h survey along th e floor o f P alm er D eep at approxim ately 1419 m an d up its eastern slope to a d ep th o f 600 m (figure 1; see electronic supplem entary m aterial, table S I). M etre-scale positioning o f th e RO V was achieved w ith an IX S E A u ltra-sh o rt baseline positioning (U SBL) system. T h e RO V carried forw ard-looking colour digital video an d digital still cam eras o n p an -an d -tilt m ountings, parallel laser scalar beam s (10 cm separation), a stan d ­ alone m em ory C T D (Sea & S un Technology C T D 9 0 M ; accuracy 0.005°C ), a sm all m an ip u lato r arm an d a sam ple drawer. T h e RO V was low ered to the P alm er D eep floor, an d th e n driven eastw ard at approxim ately 0.5 knots an d an altitude o f 0 .5 - 1 m (figure 1). T h e RO V generally m oved in a straight line, occasionally stopping to obtain video an d still im ages o f m egafauna an d b o tto m features, to collect m egafaunal specim ens an d to obtain video o f crab activities. A single lithodid crab was collected by the m an ip u lato r and recovered in th e RO V draw er (figure 2; see electronic supplem entary m aterial, table S I). (c) D e n sity e s tim a te s o f c ra b s a n d o th e r m eg a fa u n a T h e ab u n d an ce a n d 9 5 p e r cent confidence lim its (C L ) of lithodids an d o th e r m egafauna along th e R O V tran sect w ere evaluated using line-transect sam pling m eth o d s [ 1 6 , 1 7 ] an d th e softw are D i s t a n c e v . 6 . 2 . L in e-tran sect sam pling is widely u sed for estim ating the ab u n d an ce of biological p opulations along linear transects, su ch as o u r RO V survey [ 1 7 ] . F o r line-tran sect analysis, th e digital RO V video w as replayed, an d lithodids an d o th e r identifi­ able m egafauna (m ore th a n or equal to 5 cm in m in im u m dim ension) w ere co u n ted as th e RO V m oved in a straight line at an altitude o f approxim ately 0 . 5 m w ith good visi­ bility; no counts were m ad e w hen the R O V deviated from a linear course or w hen sedim ent was stirred u p by RO V thru sters. L ith o d id positions along th e tran se ct are b ased on G P S fixes from th e RO V U S B L system. T h e distance o f each m egafaunal individual from th e centreline o f the transect, as the anim al cam e into RO V view, was m easu red using the laser scale. T h e RO V field o f view (average 2 5 0 cm w idth) w as also m easu red w ith th e laser scale. E rrors in distance m easures from th e centreline w ere esti­ m a ted to be + 5 cm , b ased o n replicate m easurem ents. We th e n u sed th e pro g ram D i s t a n c e v . 6 . 2 to select the b est m o d el (from four alternatives) for th e d istrib u tio n of anim als from th e tran se ct centreline b ased on th e Akaike in form ation criterion [ 1 7 ] : th e uniform key with cosine adjustments m odel best fitted th e crab data; th e h azard rate simple polynomial m odel best fitted th e n o n -crab m ega­ fauna. F o r estim ates b ased on lin e-transect sam pling to Proc. R. Soc. B (2012) Figure 2. (a) ROV photograph of two N. yaldwyni at 1411 m in Palm er Deep. C rab in foreground is foraging in the sedi­ m ent with its chelipeds. N ote the crab traces (gashes and punctures) covering the sedim ent surface. (b) D orsal view of the collected specim en of N. yaldwyni, (c) Ventral view of N. yaldwyni with brood pouch closed and (d ) brood pouch open to expose developing eggs. b e u n b iased , th e follow ing assum ptions m u st b e m e t [17]: (i) objects o n th e survey centreline can b e d etected w ith a p robability o f 1.0, (ii) objects do n o t m ove in response to th e RO V p rio r to m e asu rem en t an d (iii) dis­ tances are m easu red w ith little o r n o error. T h ese assu m p tio n s are reasonably well m e t in o u r dataset. T h e ap p ro x im ate ab u n d a n ce o f lith o d id b io tu rb a tio n traces on th e seab ed was also evaluated along th e RO V survey using th e laser scale. T h e ab u n d a n ce o f crab b io ­ tu rb a tio n features w as classified as h ig h (m ore th a n 100 crab traces m ~ 2, w ith m an y traces overlapping), m o d erate (n u m ero u s isolated traces visible) or low /absent (few to no lith o d id traces recognizable). To d eterm in e w h eth e r th e diversity o f ep ifau n a on drop stones differed in d ep th zones w ith a b u n d a n t lith o ­ dids (i.e. at d ep th s m o re th a n 950 m ) co m p ared w ith Downloaded from rspb.royalsocietypublishing.org on May 26, 2014 1020 C . R. S m ith et al. K ing crabs crossing the Antarctic S h elf d ep th s w ith o u t lith o d id crabs (less th a n 850 m ), w e eval­ u a te d species density (i.e. n u m b e r o f species p e r u n it area) on drop stones resting on th e seafloor. U sin g the laser scale, we estim ated the p la n areas o f drop stones vis­ ible as th e R O V m oved along its survey line an d co u n ted th e n u m b e r o f distinguishable epifaunal species o n each dro p stone. T h e overlapping d istrib u tio n o f anim als on densely covered drop stones p rec lu d ed co u n ts o f individ­ u al ab u n d a n ce . We only in c lu d ed species co u n ts for drop stones ranging in size from 200 to 1000 cm 2, to avoid biases resulting from th e effects o f d ro p -sto n e size (i.e. h ab itat-islan d area) on species diversity. Species richness p e r drop stone was n orm alized to 500 cm 2, th e approxi­ m ate m ean size o f drop stones studied. D ifferences in m e an dro p -sto n e size an d species density b etw een d ep th zones w ere assessed w ith t-tests, an d differences in the p ro p o rtio n o f ‘clean’ drop stones (devoid o f co u n tab le epifauna) w ere evaluated w ith F ish e r’s exact test. S tatisti­ cal tests w ere c o n d u c te d in M i n i t a b v . 15. F o r sedim entdw elling epibenthic m egafauna, diversity com pariso n s w ere m ade w ith rarefaction diversity curves for to tal m eg afauna from m o re th a n 950 m a n d less th a n 850 m , u sin g th e softw are P r i m e r v. 6 . (d) S e a b e d p h o to g r a p h s Still p h o to g rap h s o f the P alm er D eep seafloor were o b ta in ed in 1998 from th e R V L . M . Gould d u rin g cruise L M G 9 8 -0 2 , w ith a vertically dow nlooking B enthos 372 C a m e ra an d S trobe system deployed o n a C T D fram e w ith a 3 m b o tto m -c o n ta c t sw itch. T h e b o tto m area p h o to g ra p h e d in each fram e (5.3 m 2) w as calculated from cam era view angles an d elevation. (e) H is to r ic a l h y d ro g ra p h ic d a ta W ater-colum n profiles o f in situ te m p eratu re an d salinity for th e P alm er D ee p vicinity from 1 9 8 0 -2 0 0 9 were o b ta in ed from th e N atio n al O ceanographic D a ta C e n tre, from th e P alm er L T E R P ro g ram (courtesy of D. M a rtin so n an d R. Iannuzzi), an d u n p u b lish ed (b u t calibrated) data from cruise L M G 9 8 -0 2 . (f) D N A id e n tific a tio n o f th e lith o d id A 650 b ase-p air region o f the m ito ch o n d rial gene for cy to chrom e oxidase c su b u n it I (CO I) was seq u en ced to identify th e lith o d id collected in P alm er D eep using accep ted sequencing p rotocols (details pro v id ed in elec­ tro n ic su p p le m e n tary m aterials). A consensus sequence w as p ro d u c e d in S e q u e n c h e r v. 4.7 an d co m p ared against G en B an k an d th e B arcode o f Life databases. 3. R E SU LT S (a) L ith o d id a b u n d a n c e , d e p th d is tr ib u tio n a n d e s tim a te d p o p u la tio n s iz e T h e RO V survey ran g ed from 1419 to 600 m d ep th s, along a to ta l distance o f approxim ately 3.3 km (figure 1; see electronic su p p le m e n tary m aterial, table S I). D u rin g th e survey, we observed 42 live lith o d id crabs an d one d ead specim en (or exuvium ) along the 2.0 2 km o f th e survey b etw een 1419 an d 850 m d ep th s (i.e. w ith in th e d e p th zone w here crab traces w ere presen t; figures 1 - 3 ; see discussion o f traces below ). All lithodids o cc u rre d o n the flat, m u d d y seafloor. E ig h teen crabs were ex am ined in close-up video or digital still im ages (e.g. Proc. R. Soc. B (2012) figure 2a) an d th ey closely resem b led th e collected speci­ m e n in m o rp h o lo g y an d size (w ith carapace w id th s of approx. 8 - 1 0 cm ); th e rem ain in g 24 crabs also resem b led th e collected specim en, b ased on visible features. T h u s, all 42 o bserved live lith o d id s ap p e ar to b e in th e genus Neolithodes, a n d m o st are p ro b ab ly a single species, id e n t­ ified below as N . yaldw yni (figure 2). C rab s w ere d istrib u ted b ro ad ly along o u r tran se ct below a d e p th o f 950 m , o ccu rrin g m ostly as single individuals, b u t th ree tim es in pairs w ith in 2 m o f one an o th er. We estim ate crab a b u n d a n ce w ith in th e 8 5 0 - 1 4 1 9 m d e p th range to b e 10 600 k m -2 (95% C L s 8 0 3 0 - 1 3 900 k m -2 ), b ased on lin e -tran sect sam p lin g [16] (table 1). T h e area o f P alm er D eep b elow 950 m (i.e. th e d ep th zone w here crabs a n d crab traces w ere m o st a b u n d a n t) is 146 km 2; if we assum e th a t th e m e an a b u n d a n ce (95% C L ) of crabs p e r km 2 on o u r tran se ct are representative o f th e entire P alm er D eep area below 950 m , th e n this yields a N. yaldw yni p o p u la tio n size o f 1.55 x IO6 individuals w ith in P alm er D eep (95% C L o f 1.17 to 2 .04 x IO6). (b) L ith o d id id e n tifica tio n A single ovigerous fem ale crab (carapace w id th = 103.6 m m , carapace length = 117.3 m m , po sto rb ital cara­ pace length = 103.2 m m ), carrying nearly m atu re eggs an d larvae, was collected at a d ep th o f 1154 m (figure 2; see electronic supplem entary m aterial, table S I). A 650 nucleotide region o f th e C O I gene for this fem ale specim en was identical to C O I sequences o f tw o N. yaldw yni speci­ m ens identified by S. A hyong, a co-describer o f th e species [18] (see electronic supplem entary m aterial, figure S I). T h e P alm er D eep N. yaldw yni C O I sequences are sub stan ­ tially distinct from those o f th e closely related species N. brodiei, N. asperrimus an d N. duhameli (see electronic supplem entary m aterial, figure S I). M orphologically, the collected specim en keys o u t to N. yaldw yni [19] an d m atches th e diagnosis o f Aí yaldw yni [18,19]. We are therefore co n ­ fident th a t this gravid fem ale is N . yaldwyni. (c) L ith o d id lo c o m o tio n , fe e d in g a n d b io tu rb a tio n N u m e ro u s king crabs w ere o bserved w alking across th e P alm er D eep seafloor, creating p u n c tu re m arks w ith leg tips a n d gashes in th e sed im en t as leg tips w ere dragged th ro u g h th e sed im en t (figures 2 a n d 3; see elec­ tro n ic su p p le m e n tary m aterial, videos S I an d S2). P u n c tu re m arks from leg tips w ere approxim ately 1 cm in d ia m eter an d gashes w ere up to approxim ately 1 cm w ide, approxim ately 0.5 cm deep a n d u p to 20 cm long. In ad d itio n , crabs w ere o bserved to forage by repeatedly p ro b in g th e sed im en t to 3 - 4 cm d epths w ith o p en chelipeds, closing th e chelipeds w hile th e tips w ere su b m erg ed in th e sed im en t, an d th e n scooping th e c a p tu re d sed im en t b o lu s in to o p en m o u th p a rts for pro cessin g (figure 2a; see electronic su p p lem en tary m aterial, videos S I an d S2). T h is p ro b in g an d scooping activity created sed im en t p u n c tu re m arks an d clum ps 2 3 cm across (figure 3). M u c h o f th e sed im en t scooped to th e m o u th p a rts fell th ro u g h th e m o u th p a rts d u rin g p ro ­ cessing (see electronic su p p le m e n tary m aterial, video S I). T h is lo co m o tio n an d foraging activity created a dense fabric o f gashes, p u n c tu re s an d sed im en t clum ps, p ro d u c in g a characteristic gash ed /lu m p y tex tu re to th e s e d im e n t-w a te r interface (figures 2a an d 3). T h e crab Downloaded from rspb.royalsocietypublishing.org on May 26, 2014 K in g crabs crossing the Antarctic S h elf C . R. S m ith et al. 1021 Figure 3. (a) ROV photograph of N. yaldwyni traces in seafloor sediments at 1418 m depth in Palm er D eep. Brackets, gashes in sedim ent form ed by N. yaldwyni walking. Arrows, paired puncture marks and clumps form ed during lithodid foraging in the sedim ent with chelipeds (see figure 2a; see electronic supplem entary material, videos SI and S2). N ote that fresh traces cross over older traces. (b) Palm er D eep seafloor at 836 m depth, illustrating the absence of N. yaldwyni traces, (c) Vertical p hoto­ graph of Palm er D eep seafloor at 1425 m in 1998 (southern red star in figure le). Brackets, apparent lithodid walking gashes (straight and V-shaped); arrows, puncture marks and sedim ent clumps similar to those form ed during lithodid foraging. (d) Exam ple of a drop stone from the N. yaldwyni depth zone (more th an 950 m) with only hexactinellid sponges and serpulid w orm tubes visible (1360 m ). N ote crab traces in the sediments around the stone, (e) Exam ple of a drop stone from above the N. yaldwyni depth zone (less than 850 m ), with brisingid asteroids, ophiuroids, an echinoid, hexactinellid sponges and serpulid w orm tubes visible (811 m). Table 1. Estim ated population densities (and 95% CLs) for N. yaldwyni and other (non-crab) sediment-dwelling epibenthic m egafauna along the ROV transect in Palm er Deep. Neolithodes yaldwyni density was calculated over the depth interval where crabs were observed and crab bioturbation traces evident (8 5 0 -1 4 1 9 m). Densities of other sedim ent dwelling megafauna were calculated for depths of more than 950 m (N. yaldwyni present and crab traces abundant) and less than 850 m (N. yaldwyni and crab traces absent) to evaluate lithodid influence. taxon depth zone (m) density (km 2) Neolithodes yaldwyni cerianthid anemones cerianthid anemones non-crab megabenthos w ithout cerianthid anemones non-crab megabenthos w ithout cerianthid anemones >850 <850 >950 <850 >950 10 600 15 000 47 800 4670 4290 (8 5 0 -1 4 1 9 ) (6 0 0 -8 5 0 ) (9 5 0 -1 4 1 9 ) (6 0 0 -8 5 0 ) (9 5 0 -1 4 1 9 ) lower 95% C L (km -2 ) upper 95% C L (km -2 ) 8030 3710 43 300 13 900 60 500 52 700 a a 3070 6010 aS am p le size to o sm all to calcu late C L s. loco m o tio n an d foraging activities in P alm er D eep ap p eared to substantially m ix sedim ents to d ep th s o f 3 - 4 cm . Proc. R. Soc. B (2012) T h e ab u n d a n ce o f lith o d id w alking an d feeding traces was h ig h (approx. 1 0 0 - 3 0 0 lith o d id traces p e r m 2) an d th e gash ed /lu m p y sed im en t tex tu re w as co n tin u o u s from Downloaded from rspb.royalsocietypublishing.org on May 26, 2014 1022 C . R. S m ith et al. K ing crabs crossing the Antarctic S h elf d ep th s o f 1419 to approxim ately 950 m along th e tran se ct (figures 2a an d 3). F ro m depths o f approxim ately 950 m to approxim ately 850 m , the lith o d id trace ab u n d an ce g radually dim in ish ed from high to low /absent u n til there w as n o evidence o f crab activity o n the sed im en t shallow er th a n approxim ately 850 m (figure 3). A t dep th s o f less th a n 850 m , th e texture o f soft sedim ents was relatively sm o oth, an d characterized b y w orm tubes an d sm all b io ­ genic m o u n d s (features m issing at d ep th s m o re th a n 950 m ), indicatin g th a t w alking an d foraging N . yaldw yni w ere rare o r ab sen t shallow er th a n approxim ately 850 m in P alm er D ee p (figure 3). A t dep th s o f 8 5 0 - 6 0 0 m in P alm er D eep, sed im en t tex tu re an d b io tu rb a tio n features w ere sim ilar to tho se o f th e m u d d y seafloor observed over w ide areas o f th e W AP shelf at d ep th s o f 4 3 0 - 7 2 5 m at latitu d es from 63 to 68° S, w here lith o d id crabs have n o t b ee n rec o rd ed d u rin g extensive b o tto m p h o to g rap h ic surveys an d traw l sam pling (figure 1; see electronic su p p le m e n tary m aterial, table S2; [20]; C . R. S. S m ith, L. J. G ran g e & C . C lark 2 0 0 8 - 2 0 1 0 , u n p u b lish ed d ata). All th ree p h o to g rap h s o f th e P alm er D eep floor from 1998 (cruise L M G 9 8 -0 2 ), tak en at tw o locations 1 - 4 km from th e R O V tran se ct (figure 1), show a sedi­ m e n t surface covered w ith a gashed/lum py texture (figure 3). T h is sed im en t surface tex tu re is essentially id en tical to th a t along the RO V tran se ct b etw een dep th s o f 1419 an d 950 m (figure 3), an d suggests th a t foraging lith o dids w ere p rese n t at approxim ately 1400 m d ep th s in P alm er D eep in 1998, 12 years p rio r to o u r RO V survey. A lth ough no crabs were observed in the p h otograp h s, at th e density o f crabs estim ated from o u r RO V survey (approx. 0.01 m 2), the probability o f seeing a lithodid in th ree p hotographs covering a total area o f approxim ately 16 m 2 was very sm all (less th a n 2% ). (d) A b u n d a n c e a n d d iv e r s ity o f o th e r b en th ic m eg a fa u n a T h e ab u n d a n ce o f sedim ent-dw elling, epib en th ic m ega­ fau n a co u n tab le in the R O V video w as approxim ately th reefold g reater w ithin the crab zone at d ep th s m ore th a n 950 m th a n at dep th s w ith o u t crabs (i.e. less th a n 850 m ; table 1); how ever, 90 p e r ce n t o f m egafaunal ab u n d a n ce at d ep th s o f m o re th a n 950 m consisted o f a single species o f cerian th id anem one, w hile cerian th id s co n stitu ted 76 p e r cent o f ab u n d a n ce at dep th s o f less th a n 850 m . T h e a b u n d a n ce o f n o n -ce ria n th id , sedi­ m en t-dw elling m egafauna was th u s roughly sim ilar at d ep th s o f m o re th a n 950 m an d less th a n 850 m (approx. 4290 k m -2 a n d approx. 4670 k m -2 , resp ect­ ively; table 1). R arefaction diversity o f the sedim entdw elling m egafauna was substantially higher at dep th s o f less th a n 850 m th a n at d ep th s o f m o re th a n 950 m (figure 4). T h is was a co n sequence o f b o th greater tax o ­ n o m ic richness (curve endpoints) an d m u c h g reater evenness (initial curve slopes) at th e shallow er dep th s (less th a n 850 m ) w here N. yaldw yni was absent. E chinod erm s w ere ab sen t from th e sedim ent-dw elling epibenthic m eg afauna at dep th s o f m ore th a n 950 m , w hile fo u r species o f ec h in o d e rm (three asteroids an d a cidaroid u rch in) occu rred on sedim ents at d ep th s o f less th a n 8 50 m . Tw o species o f d em ersal fishes (a n o to th e n iid a n d a zoarcid) o cc u rre d on sedim ents at dep th s o f m ore th a n 950 m , a n d only th e n o to th e n iid species occu rred Proc. R. Soc. B (2012) 8 7 05 ^ « 6 5 § 4 _o 3 u a, ? xra z 1 0 50 100 150 no. individuals 200 250 Figure 4. Rarefaction diversity curves for the sedim entdwelling m egafauna in Palm er D eep at depths of m ore than 950 m (where N. yaldwyni and its traces were abundant; dashed line) and less th an 850 m (where N. yaldwyni and its traces were absent; solid line). at d ep th s o f less th a n 850 m . F ish densities w ere h igher at m o re th a n 950 m th a n at less th a n 850 m d ep th s (3700 versus 1900 k m -2 ), b u t sm all sam ple sizes (« = 20 an d 1, respectively) p rec lu d ed statistical significance u sing lin e-tran sect analysis. Species richness an d species density o f epifauna on d ro p stones w as substantially higher, an d th e p ercen tag e o f clean d ro p stones substantially low er, at d ep th s o f less th a n 850 m (i.e. above th e d ep th zone o f Aí yaldwyni) th a n w ith in th e lith o d id d ep th zone at d ep th s o f m o re th a n 950 m in P alm er D ee p (figure 3, table 2). In p a rti­ cular, m e an species d ensity (i.e. n u m b e r o f species p e r 500 cm 2) was fourfold low er (tw o-sam ple t-test, p = 0 .0 0 6 ), an d th e p ercen tag e o f d ro p stones devoid o f epifauna 3 .5-fold h ig h er (F ish er’s exact test, p < 0 .0 0 3 ), in th e p resen ce o f N . yaldw yni. E ch in o d erm s w ere w holly ab sen t from d ro p stones at d ep th s o f m o re th a n 950 m , w hile fo u r species (a b risin g id asteroid, tw o species o f o p h iu ro id s an d an echinoid) o cc u rred on d ro p stones at d ep th s o f less th a n 850 m. (e) P a lm e r D eep h y d ro g ra p h y D u rin g th e RO V dive, in situ seafloor tem p eratu res declined from 1.53°C at 1419 m d e p th to 1.45°C at 600 m (figure 5). Since th e lith o d id an d its traces d isap ­ p ea red at d ep th s o f less th a n 850 m , N. yaldw yni ap p eared to b e restricted to w ater te m p eratu re s m o re th a n o r eq u al to 1.48°C w ith in P alm er D eep. B o tto m te m p eratu re s in P alm er D eep have exhibited a w arm in g tre n d from 1982 to 2 0 1 0 , w ith th e te m p eratu re m in im u m increasin g from 1.20°C to 1.47°C below 800 m d ep th s (i.e. increasing at a rate o f approxim ately 0.01 C y r '; figure 5). In 1998, w h en crab traces w ere p resen t, th e P alm er D eep b o tto m tem p eratu re was approxim ately 1.4°C . D u rin g th e tim e interval 1 9 9 0 2 005, co m p o site su m m er a n d w in ter h y d ro g rap h ic sec­ tions across th e WAP shelf in to P alm er D eep suggest th a t b en th ic o r larval stages o f lithodids dispersing n ear th e seafloor across th e sill d ep th o f approxim ately 450 m in to P alm er D ee p w o u ld p ro b ab ly have ex perienced te m ­ p eratu res no co ld er th a n approxim ately 1.0°C (figure 5; see electronic su p p le m e n tary m aterial, figure S2). M in im u m te m p eratu re s w ith in th e d e p th range o f 4 0 0 - 6 0 0 m in P alm er D eep (i.e. at th e m e an d e p th of Downloaded from rspb.royalsocietypublishing.org on May 26, 2014 K in g crabs crossing the Antarctic S h elf (b) (a) C . R. S m ith et al. 400 ,2010 600 2005 64.6° S 800 65.0° S 1000 1023 2000 1995 1990 65.4° S 1200 66°W 65° W 64° W 63°W 1985 ' 1400 1.1 (c) 1.2 1.3 1.4 temperature ( °C ) 1.5 1980 ( d ) r=0.0101 xyear-18.7157 0 -0 .9 2 ) 1.4 ^ ü 1.4 O 3 r— 03 <U B S 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 year (station date) 1 .0---------------------------------------------1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 year (station date) Figure 5. Tem perature-profile data from Palm er D eep from 1982 to 2010. (a) Locations of hydrographic profiles indicated by blue dots. (b) Profiles of in situ water tem perature versus depth in Palm er D eep. Colours (see scale bar) indicate tim e of data collection, (c) In situ w ater tem perature over the 8 0 0 -1 4 0 0 m depth interval versus tim e in Palm er Deep. T he linear regression equation at the top indicates a w arm ing trend of approxim ately 0 .0 1°C yr- 1 . (d ) In situ w ater tem perature over the 4 0 0 -6 0 0 m depth interval in Palm er D eep versus time. Table 2. M ean size and epifaunal species diversity for drop stones 2 0 0 -1 0 0 0 cm 2 in plan area at depths > 9 5 0 m (N.. yaldwyni and crab traces abundant) and < 8 5 0 m (N.. yaldwyni and crab traces absent) in Palm er Deep. ‘C lean’ drop stones had no identifiable epifauna. s.e., standard error. depth zone (m) > 950 (9 5 0 -1 4 1 9 ) < 8 5 0 (6 0 0 -8 5 0 ) no. of stones 33 17 m ean stone plan area (cm -2 ) 478 493 s.e. total no. of species in zone 35 8 40 14 th e co n tin en tal shelf in the region; figure 1) exhibit su b ­ stantial seasonal an d in te r-a n n u a l variability, b u t ap p ear to have risen from approxim ately 1.04 to 1.36°C since 1992 (i.e. at a rate o f approxim ately 0 .0 1 -0 .0 2 ° C y r-1 ; figure 5). 4. D ISCU SSIO N O u r R O V survey indicates th a t large, ad u lt lithodids, m o st p ro b ab ly N . yaldw yni, w ere a b u n d a n t over large areas o f th e P alm er D ee p seafloor at d ep th s o f 9 5 0 1419 m in F e b ru a ry 2010. T h e p o p u la tio n density o f N. Proc. R. Soc. B (2012) m ean species density (per 500 cm -2 ) 0.488 2.09 s.e. proportion of clean drop stones 0.142 0.64 0.505 0.18 yaldw yni estim ated for P alm er D eep (10 600 k m -2 , 95% C L o f 8 0 3 0 - 1 3 900 k m -2 ) is g reater th a n th e m e an d en ­ sity (5100 k m - 2 ) o f th e com m ercially im p o rta n t red king crab Paralithodes camtschaticus in an A laskan fjord, an d sim ilar to th e ab u n d a n ce o f th e lith o d id Paralomis formosa b ein g co n sid ered for co m m ercial exp lo itatio n at d ep th s o f 7 1 9 - 1 5 1 8 m on th e S o u th G eorgia slope (m ean = 8313 k m - 2 ) [21]. T h e b io m ass o f N . ya ld w yn i in P alm er D eep is also po ten tially large; if we apply th e lith o d id b ody-w eight m o d el o f C ollins et al. [21] to ad u lt N . ya ld ­ wyni, each N. ya ld w yn i has a w eight o f approxim ately 500 g, yielding an estim ated crab b iom ass in P alm er Downloaded from rspb.royalsocietypublishing.org on May 26, 2014 1024 C . R. S m ith et al. K ing crabs crossing the Antarctic S h elf D ee p o f approxim ately 5000 kg k m - 2 . O u r R O V tran se ct only crossed a p o rtio n o f th e P alm er D ee p seafloor d eep er th a n 950 m , b u t king crabs an d crab traces w ere bro ad ly d istrib u ted along this approxim ately 2 km tran sect; if we assum e th a t th e estim ated N . yaldw yni ab u n d a n ce was representative o f th e entire P alm er D ee p m ore th a n 9 50 m in d ep th , the p o p u la tio n size o f N . yaldw yni in P alm er D ee p exceeded 1.55 x IO6 individuals an d the b io m ass w as substantial (approx. 800 to n n es). Som e lithodids are know n to aggregate d u rin g certain life stages [21,22]. Is it conceivable th a t th e high densities o f N . yaldw yni rec o rd e d along the R O V tran se ct reflect a rec en t lith o d id aggregation in th e process o f dispersing? T h e b ro a d d istrib u tio n o f lithodids an d a b u n d a n t crab traces th ro u g h o u t o u r approxim ately 2 km RO V tran se ct below 950 m , as w ell as th e ab u n d a n ce o f traces in w idely spaced b o tto m p h o to g rap h s from 1998, are n o t co n sisten t w ith an aggregation in the process o f dispersing. T h u s, we th in k it very p ro b ab le th a t lithodids are bro ad ly d isp ersed across the floor o f P alm er D eep below 950 m. T h ere is evidence th a t N. yaldw yni exerts substantial im pacts o n bioturbation, ichnofabric, and the diversity an d taxonom ic structure o f m egabenthos in P alm er D eep. W alking an d feeding activities o f lithodids in P alm er D eep created a high abundance o f traces and a gashed/ lum py sedim ent texture covering the seafloor at depths of m ore th a n 950 m (figures 2 a an d 3; see electronic sup­ p lem entary m aterial, videos S I and S2). T h is gashed/ lum py texture closely resem bles th e sedim ent texture of ‘digging pits an d tracks’ created by invasive red king crabs {Paralithodes camtschaticus) in the B arents Sea in the Arctic [23]. We cannot directly calculate a b io turb atio n rate from the activities o f N. yaldw yni in P alm er D eep, b u t th e sedim entation rate of approxim ately 0 .1 - 0 .4 cm y r-1 [12] indicates th a t the centim etre-scale lithodid traces should b e obscured by sedim ent accum u­ lation (i.e. b uried b en e ath 0 .5 - 1 .0 cm o f sedim ent) in less th an 10 years. In addition, the fresh appearance an d overlap o f m any lithodid traces (figures 2a and 3; see elec­ tronic supplem entary m aterial, videos S I and S2) indicate th a t crab retracking is causing trace turnover at m u ch sh o rter tim escales th a n sedim ent accum ulation [24]. T h u s, the heavy cover o f lithodid traces at depths o f m ore th a n 950 m (figure 3) suggests th a t the particle-displacem e n t an d p redatory activities o f king crabs are influencing m u c h o f the sedim ent to depths o f 1 - 4 cm over tim escales m u c h less th a n 10 years. O th er studies have show n th a t the walking, resting an d foraging activities o f epifaunal crabs (including lithodids) can m ix surface sedim ents to depths o f several centim etres [25], disru p t infaunal tubes an d b u r­ rows (i.e. alter ichnofabric), and change rates an d pattern s o f bio-irrigation by rem oving infauna perform ing im p o rta n t ecosystem functions [23,26]. T h u s, N. yaldw yni is likely to be acting as a m ajor ecosystem engineer [26,27] by substantially m odifying the biotu rb atio n regim e, sedim ent stratigraphy and sedim ent geochem istry (e.g. the location o f labile organic m a tte r decom position an d th e d ep th of th e redox potential discontinuity o f P alm er D eep sedi­ m en ts), an d by rem oving habitat-form ing echinoderm s (see below). T hese sedim entological alterations could prove useful for reconstructing the history o f king crabs in P alm er D eep from sedim ent stratigraphy. T h e diversity o f epibenthic m egafauna, b o th on sedi­ m e n ts an d on drop stones, was substantially low er in Proc. R. Soc. B (2012) th e lith o d id d ep th zone (m ore th a n 950 m ) th a n at d ep th s lacking lith o d id s in P alm er D ee p (less th a n 850 m ). In p articu la r, ech in o d erm s, w h ich are co m m o n p rey item s for lith o d id s [1,26], w ere ab sen t on soft sedi­ m en ts a n d d ro p stones w ith in th e lith o d id d e p th zone, yielding su b stan tial declines in biodiversity. M eg afau n a on sed im en ts an d o n d ro p stones w ere d o m in a te d by tu b icolous ce rian th id an em o n es a n d sponges, respectively; b o th th ese taxa ap p e ar to b e lightly p reyed u p o n by lith o ­ dids in o th e r regions [26]. T h e diversity a n d taxonom ic stru ctu re o f m eg ab en th o s in th e P alm er D ee p lith o d id zone w as also m arkedly different from sim ilar d ep th s on th e n earb y o p en slope lacking crabs; in ph o to su rv ey s at 8 0 0 - 1 0 0 0 m d ep th s off K in g G eorge Islan d , P iep en b u rg et al. [28] fo u n d n o lithodids, relatively h ig h m egafaunal diversity ( 1 7 - 2 4 species versus 8 in o u r P alm er D eep data) an d a b u n d a n t ech in o d erm s ( 3 .8 - 6 .0 m -2 ). T h ese d ata are highly co n sisten t w ith th e h ypothesis th a t p re d a ­ tio n b y th e d u rap h ag o u s p re d a to r N . yaldw yni red u ces th e diversity a n d alters th e co m m u n ity stru ctu re o f A n tarctic m eg ab en th o s below d ep th s o f 950 m in P alm er D eep , as p red ic ted for lith o d id invasions o f A n tarctic co m m u n ities [1,2,4]. Sim ilar su b stan tial red u ctio n s in epifaunal diver­ sity have b ee n associated w ith king crab invasions in A rctic fjords [23,26]. N o n eth eless, b ecau se o u r results on th e im p acts o f N . ya ld w yn i on b en th ic diversity in P alm er D eep are correlative, th ey n ee d to b e confirm ed by ad d itio n al studies (e.g. g u t-c o n te n t an d b io m ark er analyses, an d crab-exclusion experim ents). B ased on o u r RO V survey, N . yaldw yni an d its traces were ab sen t from d ep th s o f less th a n 850 m in P alm er D eep. Extensive p h o to g rap h ic an d traw l surveys from 2 0 0 8 - 2 0 1 0 at n in eteen stations at dep th s o f 4 3 0 - 7 2 5 m along th e W AP shelf a n d in fjord basins from 63° to 68° S also failed to d etect lithodids o r th eir traces (figure 1; see electronic su p p lem en tary m aterial, table S 2). T h e total area surveyed an d traw led (approx. 238 000 m 2) at the n in eteen stations is approxim ately 40-fold g reater th a n th e area surveyed by th e R O V in P alm er D eep, providing strong evidence th a t N. yaldw yni or o th er lithodids did n o t o ccu r at d ep th s shallow er th a n 725 m o n m u d d y h ab i­ tats on the W AP shelf from 2008 to 2010. Similarly, T h atje et al. [4] failed to find lithodids on th e co n tin en tal shelf at dep th s o f 5 0 0 - 6 0 0 m in M arg u erite Bay in 2007, an d extensive video an d traw l surveys o f th e WAP shelf w est o f P alm er D ee p at dep th s o f 5 0 0 - 6 0 0 m failed to d etect lithodids betw een 1999 an d 2001 [11,20]. We conclude th a t lith o d id crabs, in clu d in g N. yaldw yni, were ab sen t or extrem ely rare o n th e W AP shelf at d ep th s o f less th a n 725 m at least u p to 2010. I t is n o tew o rth y th a t m egab en th ic ab u n d an ce an d diversity in these lithodid-free, soft-sedim ent W AP co m m u n ities at 4 3 0 - 7 2 5 m d ep th s were d o m in ated by echinoderm s, w hich are ab sen t from th e lith o d id zone in P alm er D eep ([20]; C . R. S. S m ith, L. J. G range & C. C lark 2 0 0 8 -2 0 1 0 , u n p u b lish ed data). T h e a b u n d a n ce , large b o d y sizes, ap p a ren t isolation an d extensive b io tu rb a tio n effects o f N . yaldw yni in P alm er D eep suggest th a t this p o p u la tio n h a d b ee n estab ­ lished for years. T h e ab u n d a n ce o f a p p a re n t crab traces at th e P alm er D eep floor in 1998, 12 years p rio r to o u r RO V survey, is co n sisten t w ith this conclusion. It seem s unlikely th a t N . yaldw yni in P alm er D ee p is m a in tain ed by co n tin u o u s m ig ratio n o f w alking life stages across th e shelf b ecau se o f th e ap p a ren t absence o f b en th ic life Downloaded from rspb.royalsocietypublishing.org on May 26, 2014 K in g crabs crossing the Antarctic S h elf stages from th e shallow er d ep th s su rro u n d in g P alm er D eep over the p e rio d 1 9 9 9 -2 0 1 0 (see electronic su p ­ p le m en tary m aterial, table S2) [20]. Similarly, th e p o o r dispersal abilities o f dem ersal, lecithotrophic lith o d id larvae [29,30] suggest th a t co n tin u o u s tra n sp o rt of N . yaldw yni larvae over distances m o re th a n 120 km across th e shelf is unlikely. T h e recovery o f an ovigerous N . yaldw yni fem ale from P alm er D eep indicates th a t this lith o d id p o p u la tio n is capable o f rep ro d u ctio n ; th u s, th e p o p u la tio n m ay be self-sustaining. A lternatively, th e hig h ab u n d a n ce o f king crabs in P alm er D eep co uld have resu lted from one o r a few large re c ru itm e n t events m e d iated by b en th ic im m igration, or, p erh ap s m o re p ro b ­ ably, by p u lse d larval tra n sp o rt from th e co n tin en tal slope across th e shelf in U C D W [14]. D em o g rap h ic, rep ro d u c­ tio n an d genetic studies o f th e P alm er D eep N . yaldw yni p o p u la tio n are n e e d ed to resolve its o cc u p atio n history. T h e ab u n d a n ce o f N . yaldw yni in P alm er D eep below 950 m , a n d its ap p a ren t absence at d ep th s o f less th a n 850 m an d w ater te m p eratu re s below 1.4°C , has in te rest­ ing im plications for th e invasion o f WAP shelf w aters by this species. I f th e d istrib u tio n o f lithodids in A n tarctic w aters is lim ited by a low er te m p eratu re thresh o ld , as argued by a n u m b e r o f au th o rs [ 1 - 4 ] , o u r results suggest th a t the P alm er D ee p p o p u la tio n o f N . yaldw yni ca n n o t disperse an d /o r rep ro d u ce in te m p eratu re s co ld er th a n approxim ately 1.4°C . In 1982, P alm er D eep b o tto m te m p eratu re s w ere significantly colder th a n 1.4°C , at approxim ately 1.25°C (figure 5), an d w ere likely to have b ee n w arm in g for som e decades [5]; th u s a low er te m p ­ erature lim it o f approxim ately 1.4°C w ould suggest th a t N . yaldw yni invaded P alm er D ee p w ithin th e last app ro x i­ m ately 50 years. A low er lim it o f 1.4°C is significantly w arm e r th a n th e 0.5 °C w aters from w hich individual ad u lt N . yaldw yni have b ee n re p o rte d from th e Ross Sea [2,19], so different p o p u latio n s o f N . yaldw yni m ay have different te m p eratu re tolerances. A lternatively, o th e r u n k n o w n environm ental factors m ig h t exclude N . ya ld ­ w yni from d ep th s o f less th a n 850 m in P alm er D eep; how ever, fish p re d a tio n on crab larvae an d juveniles [26] is unlikely to be im p o rta n t since dem ersal fishes are, if anything, m ore a b u n d a n t in th e lith o d id zone of P alm er D eep th a n ju st above. I f te m p eratu re s o f less th a n 1.4°C are in d e ed lim iting for th e P alm er D eep p o p u ­ lation, N . yaldw yni m ay n o t long b e excluded from th e W AP shelf. C o n sid erin g th e rate at w hich P alm er D eep w aters are w arm in g (approx. O .O L C y r-1 ) an d th e fact th a t W AP shelf w aters (i.e. at 4 0 0 - 6 0 0 m depths) aro u n d P alm er D eep now have te m p eratu re m inim a aro u n d 1.35°C (figure 5; see electronic su p p le m e n tary m aterial, figure S 2), th e P alm er D eep N . yaldw yni co uld m ove u p o n to th e W AP shelf w ithin 1 - 2 decades. T h u s, th e p o p u la tio n size, d e p th d istrib u tio n an d ecological im pacts o f the P alm er D ee p N . yaldw yni p o p u la tio n m e rit careful study in th e n ea r futu re to elucidate th e rates an d co nsequences o f WAP shelf invasion by d u rap h agous lith o d id p red ato rs. T h e P alm er D eep lith o d id p o p u la tio n is likely to serve as an im p o rta n t m o d el for th e p o te n tia l invasive im pacts o f crush in g p red ato rs, especially king crabs, on A ntarctic shelf ecosystem s du e to clim ate w arm ing. We are very grateful to the extraordinary support at sea provided by R PSC , the captain and crew of the R V IB Proc. R. Soc. B (2012) C . R. S m ith et al. 1025 N. B. Palmer, and our colleagues in the LARISSA Project during cruise N B P10-01. D ata collection occurred as parts of the LARISSA and FO O D B A N C S2 Projects, and was generously supported by N S F -O P P grant num bers 0732711 and 0636806 to C.R.S, 0732467 to E.D ., 0732450 to C. 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