Demand response and energy efficiency analytics An Intelligent Utility Reality Webcast 10/15 August 2, 2012 Join the conversation on Twitter using #IUWebcasts and follow Intelligent Utility on Twitter @IntelUtil 10/29 1/28 Demand response and energy efficiency analytics Jeff Reed Sr. Program Manager - Energy Efficiency Oncor Donny Helm Director - Technology Strategy and Architecture Oncor Join the conversation on Twitter using #IUWebcasts and follow Intelligent Utility on Twitter @IntelUtil Demand response and energy efficiency analytics H. Christine Richards Director Utility Analytics Institute Join the conversation on Twitter using #IUWebcasts and follow Intelligent Utility on Twitter @IntelUtil Agenda Introduction • Overview of energy efficiency and demand response • An analytics review • Examples of how analytics can serve energy efficiency and demand response efforts The discussion • Utility experiences with energy efficiency and demand response analytics • Q&A Join the conversation on Twitter using #IUWebcasts and follow Intelligent Utility on Twitter @IntelUtil Energy efficiency and demand response Program development Participant recruitment Join the conversation on Twitter using #IUWebcasts and follow Intelligent Utility on Twitter @IntelUtil Program participation Program results Utility analytics defined Collected data Grid analytics Customer analytics Other analytics ANALYTICS Hardware Software Services Process 10/15 10/29 1/28 People Actionable insights Join the conversation on Twitter using #IUWebcasts and follow Intelligent Utility on Twitter @IntelUtil Customer analytics Customer operations Customer engagement Meter data analytics Demand response programs Credit and collections Energy efficiency programs Fraud detection Distributed generation programs Campaign management 10/15 10/29 Customer segmentation 1/28 Pricing optimization Join the conversation on Twitter using #IUWebcasts and follow Intelligent Utility on Twitter @IntelUtil Examples of analytics that can support energy efficiency and demand response Analytics to understand utility, regulatory, partner and community needs, and identify the most cost-effective program options Analytics to segment customers based on energy usage, demographics, lifestyles and so forth Analytics available to customers/program participants; real-time analysis and automation Analytics to evaluate the effectiveness and value of programs Program development Participant recruitment Program participation Program results Analytics to simulate program impacts on communities and the utility company Analytics to determine which customers will respond best to different programs, and measure enrollment rates Real-time analysis and coordination of program events and participants Join the conversation on Twitter using #IUWebcasts and follow Intelligent Utility on Twitter @IntelUtil Management/Demand Response Programs Jeff Reed Sr. Program Manager - Energy Efficiency 9 Summary The terms Load Management and Demand Response are used interchangeably in discussions about energy efficiency in Texas. Oncor has offered several Standard Offer Load Management programs. These programs employ the following elements: • The programs are only offered during the Peak Season, June excluding federal holidays September, week days • The programs are offered to Service Providers which can include the end use customer, REPs, ESCOs and aggregators • Oncor requests a curtailment and the Service Provider implements the curtailment • Only sites that have an Interval Data Recorder (IDR) meter installed can participate in the commercial programs so that Oncor can validate the performance of each Service Provider for each curtailment • In the commercial programs a Service Provider must apply for a minimum of 100 kW of curtailable load • A scheduled event is held at the start of each peak season to validate that a Service Provider can curtail the contracted amount of kW and adjusted based on performance 10 Load Management for Commercial Customers (2012 numbers are budgeted numbers) kW Achieved 60,000 50,000 Cost per kW 40,000 $70 30,000 $60 $50 20,000 $40 10,000 $30 0 $20 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 $10 $0 Incentives paid $2,500,000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 $2,000,000 $1,500,000 $1,000,000 $500,000 $0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 11 Load Management for Residential Customers Cost per kW $3,000 $2,500 $2,000 kW Achieved 4000 $1,500 3000 $1,000 $500 2000 $0 1000 2008 2009 2010 2011 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 Amount of kW achieved by year for LM (Achieved kW is measured in a one hour increment) Total Incentive Dollars to Aggregators $1,000,000 $500,000 $0 2008 2009 2010 2011 12 Donny Helm Director – Technology Strategy and Architecture Oncor Electric Delivery August 1, 2012 Demand Response (DR) Potential in ERCOT FERC estimates >18 GW of DR potential in Texas by 2019 Attributed to high peak demand This would represent 20-25% of total ERCOT peak! Source: FERC 2009 National Assessment of DR, page 42 14 Texas Competitive Electricity Market 15 Advanced Metering System (AMS) – The Players Daily 15 Minute Settlement Transactions and Market Transactions Retail Electric Providers & Third-Parties TDSP IT System ERCOT Optional Path for Retail Electric Provider HAN Services ( Monthly Meter Readings and Daily 15 Minute VEE Data ) Market Transactions Meter / HAN Services ( Daily and 15 Minute Meter Data) Meter / HAN Services (thru Oncor system) and Daily 15 Minute VEE Meter Data Historic Daily 15 Minute VEE Meter Data and limited Meter / HAN Services SMART METER TEXAS Host (IBM) Daily and 15 Minute Meter Data Consumers (X 3 million) Perform HAN Transactions 16 Demand Response Challenges Daily 15 Minute Settlement Transactions and Market Transactions TDSP IT System Retail Electric Providers & Third-Parties D e m a n d R e s p o n s e Demand Response ERCOT ( Monthly Meter Readings and Daily 15 Minute VEE Data ) Market Transactions Demand Response Meter / HAN Services ( Daily and 15 Minute Meter Data) SMART METER TEXAS Host (IBM) Daily and 15 Minute Meter Data Optional Path for Retail Electric Provider HAN Services Meter / HAN Services (thru Oncor system) and Daily 15 Minute VEE Meter Data Historic Daily 15 Minute VEE Meter Data and limited Meter / HAN Services Demand Response Perform HAN Transactions Consumers (X 3 million) 17 ERCOT Perspectives – Demand Response • 15-minute data and settlement should be a catalyst for expansion of DR opportunities for residential & small commercial customer aggregations • Direct load control enabled thru AMI/HAN or third-party products • DR could be activated by customer, REP or third party, or automated • Price Responsive Demand – Critical peak pricing or other signals tied to real-time LMPs • ISO-administered DR products – Represented in ERCOT markets by DR-enabled QSE – EILS today, potentially Ancillary Services in the future • AMI data will also assist ERCOT in Load forecasting – More granular meter data will assist ERCOT planning activities via improved mid-term and long-term Load forecasting 18 Oncor Components Supporting Demand Response Analytics • 3+ million AMI meters providing 15-minute interval data • Transmission & Distribution SCADA data • Weather data • Transactional and Aggregated Data Values • Distribution Network Analysis application • Operational Time-Series Data Stores for current analytics • Relational & Time-Series Data Warehouse for historical analytics • Integrated Transmission & Distribution Asset Model • Business Intelligence Tool for End-Use Analytics • Predictive Analytics and Business Rules Engine • AIX Infrastructure 19 Q&A To submit a question . . . 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