Health Care Governance, Leadership and Ethics: A Physician’s View Roy M. Poses MD President Foundation for Integrity and Responsibility in Medicine Clinical Associate Professor Alpert School of Medicine, Brown University Original Session Description • Governance of health care organizations is increasingly unrepresentative of key constituencies, unaccountable, opaque, and independent of ethical standards. The leadership of health care organizations is increasingly illinformed, incompetent, self-interested, and corrupt. The results include suppression and manipulation of clinical research, transformation of medical education into marketing, and distortion of health policy discussion. Yet it has become politically incorrect to address these issues, which are doubtless major causes of increasing health care costs, and declining access, quality, and professional morale. Outline • • • • • • • • Why are we miserable? – qualitative study Case-study: AHERF Conceptual model of health care dysfunction Historical background Conflicts of interest Bad leadership Case studies What can be done? A Continuous Health Care Crisis • “Aura of inevitability” about health care reform in 80’s and 90’s in the US • Reasons for reform then: cost, quality, access • In the new century, after failed attempt at legislative reform – Costs still rising, e.g., increased costs of insurance, new deductibles and co-pays – Quality no better, e.g., IOM “Crossing the Quality Chasm” – Access worse, e.g., increasing numbers of uninsured, Medicare fee cuts leading to physicians dropping Medicare Health Professional Dissatisfaction • Unlike in 80’s and 90’s, physicians and other health care professionals are increasingly dissatisfied • Proportion of physicians who felt they make the wrong career choice: – 1973 - 15%, – 1995 - 40% (1) • US Physicians 2006 (2) – Low morale – 35% – Depressed – 32% – Burned out – 67% – Considering leaving practice – 60% 1. Zuger A. NEJM 2004; 350: 69. 2. Steiger B. Phys Exec Nov 2006. Introduction to the ABIM/ ACP-ASIM/ ESIM New Physician Charter • “Physicians today are experiencing frustration as changes in the health care delivery systems in virtually all industrialized countries threaten the very nature and values of medical professionalism.” – But the changes and how they threaten professionalism not further defined • “We share the view that medicine’s commitment to the patient is being challenged by external forces of change within our societies.” – But the external forces not otherwise described ABIM Foundation. Ann Int Med 2002; 136: 243 Background: A Qualitative Study of Physicians’ Concerns about Health Care • In 2002, motivated by a sense that health care was going very wrong, but no one could quite their fingers on the cause • Asked physicians open-ended questions about their concerns • Compiled and described their major themes in “A Cautionary Tale: The Dysfunction of American Health Care” • Physicians raised many striking cases suggesting a dysfunctional health care system was threatening physicians’ core values Poses RM. Eur J Int Med 2003; 14: 123. Outline • • • • • • • • Why are we miserable? – qualitative study Case-study: AHERF Conceptual model of health care dysfunction Historical background Conflicts of interest Bad leadership Case studies What can be done? The Allegheny Health Education and Research Foundation (AHERF) Case: Background • From Allegheny General Hospital in Pittsburgh (1968) to largest health care system in Pennsylvania (1997) • CEO was Sherif Abdelhak, called a “visionary,” “genius,” • By 1995, Abdelhak earned $1.2 M, 3 times the median for a health system CEO • Abdehak gave John D. Cooper Lecture at AAMC (1996), published in Academic Medicine – “We will need to create new forms of organization that are more flexible, more adaptive, and more agile than before” – “Unleash the creativity and productive potential of every individual and provide an environment that encourages teamwork” The AHERF Case: Events • In 1997, although Abdelhak was still publicly announcing expansion plans, debt was soaring • Losing $1 M / day, Abdelhak raided restricted endowments • In 1998, Abdelhak fired, AHERF declared Chapter 11 bankruptcy, $1.2 billion in debt – second largest bankruptcy in US at that time • Allegheny University of Health Sciences downsized, multiple hospitals closed, multiple lay-offs • Multiple lawsuits filed – Securities and Exchange Commission settled civil fraud charges against AHERF ex-CFO McConnell and two Vice Presidents – SEC filed suit against AHERF auditors • Abdelhak sought plea bargain, sentenced to 11-23 months The AHERF Case: Revelations and Responses • Abdelhak revealed to have ruled by intimidation: – Dominated board, forced admission of his wife to medical school and had dean who protested fired – Speech to faculty, “Don’t cross me or you’ll live to regret it.” – “Most faculty realized this was a dictatorship…. It was an organization run by fear and reprisal.” • Outrage by ex-AHERF Doctors: – “colossal disaster that could have been avoided,” “obscene,” “an atocity,” “repugnant” – Abdelhak “never took responsibility for bringing the system down” • Uwe Reinhardt, health economist: “the lunacy that is acceptable would make you throw up” • Tepid response of national organizations: – CEO of AAMC: “unprecedented for a medical school to be caught up in this type of bankruptcy” – LCME: would help place students if AUHS bankrupt – JCAHO: Hahnemann Hospital “not cited for any deficiencies” – AMA, ACP, AAFP, other specialty organizations, ACGME, ABIM, other boards, DHHS -? The AHERF Case: in the Literature • Burns et al article in Health Affairs, covered events through mid-1999, but not outcome of most legal proceedings, and concentrated on debt financing issues[1] • Nothing in any large-circulation journal (including news sections) • Nothing in Academic Medicine since Abdelhak’s paper – which has never been cited • First article that mentioned Abdelhak’s conviction: Poses in Euro J Int Med in 2003[2] 1. Burns LR. Health Affairs 2000; 19: 7. 2. Poses RM. Eur J Int Med 2003; 14: 123 AHERF Key Points • Small group of insulated leaders, largely unaccountable – put their self-interest first – intimidated professionals, suppressed dissent • The organization’s governance structure failed to inhibit them • Bad results for patients, professionals, students, the community,… • Why did everyone believe the hype? • Where was the outrage? • Why is there still silence? Outline • • • • • • • • Why are we miserable? – qualitative study Case-study: AHERF Conceptual model of health care dysfunction Historical background Conflicts of interest Bad leadership Case studies What can be done? Hypothesized Causes of Dysfunction: Organizational Process and Structure • Health care is increasingly dominated by large organizations • The organizations’ leadership may be: – – – – – – – Autocratic, “imperial” Insulated Uninformed about health care context, indifferent to health care values Incompetent Self-interested Conflicted Corrupt • The organization’s governance structures enable such leadership • The organization may use tactics including: – Deception, delusion, disinformation – Intimidation, coercion, perverse incentives, conflicts of interest Organizational Structure and Process Organizational Tactics Poor Governance: Unrepresentative Unaccountable Delusion Disinformation Outcomes Increased Cost Decreased Access Deception Opaque Not Subject to Ethical Standards Medical DecisionMaking, Health Care Process Threats to EvidenceBased Practice Poor Quality Demoralized Professionals Poor Leadership: Autocratic Isolated Uninformed, Indifferent Incompetent Self-Interested Conflicted Corrupt Intimidation Coercion Perverse Incentives Conflicts of Interest Threats to Core Values, Ethical Practice Suffering Disability Disease Death Conceptual Model Outline • • • • • • • • • Why are we miserable? – qualitative study Case-study: AHERF Conceptual model of health care dysfunction Historical background Conflicts of interest Anechoic effect Bad leadership Case studies What can be done? Historical Background • From professional ethics and the missions of not-for-profit organizations to laissez faire (robber baron?) capitalism Health Care Not a Free Market • Arrow (1963) “argued that medical care cannot conform to market laws because patients are not ordinary consumers and doctors are not ordinary vendors. He said that sick or injured patients must rely on physicians in ways fundamentally different from the price-driven relation between buyers and sellers in an ordinary market. This argument implied that, contrary to the assumptions of antitrust law, market competition among physicians cannot be expected to lower medical prices. And since physicians influence decisions to use medical services far more than patients do, the volume and types of services provided to patients—and hence total health costs—need to be controlled by forces other than the market, such as professional standards and government regulation.” Relman A. NY Rev Books, July 2, 2009 Professional Ethical Standards Through the 1970s • Through the 1970s, the ethical code of the AMA said: – “in the practice of medicine a physician should limit the source of his professional income to medical services actually rendered by him, or under his supervision, to his patients” – “the practice of medicine should not be commercialized, nor treated as a commodity in trade” The Demise of Professional Ethical Standards • Health care economists regarded “professional norms as monopolistic constraints on contractual possibility.”(1) • “The 1975 Supreme Court ruling that the professions were not protected from anti-trust law undermined the traditional restraint that medical professional societies had always placed on the commercial behavior of physicians….”(2) • “In 1980, after medical organizations lost some costly antitrust trials, in which they were accused of such offenses as limiting doctor fees or denying staff privileges, the AMA changed its ethical guidelines, declaring medicine to be both a business and a profession. This lowered the AMA's barriers to the commercialization of medical practice….”(3) 1. Bloche MG. J Health Politics Policy La2 2001; 26:1099. 2. Relman AS. JAMA 2007; 298: 2668. 3. Relman A. NY Rev Books, July 2, 2009 Breaking the Medical “Guild” • Enthoven, the architect of “managed competition,” one of the leaders of Jackson Hole, published a book in Europe in which he – identified physicians as members of a tightly-knit guild that was responsible for high health care costs – so to control health care costs, his main goal was “to break up the guild,” and transfer physicians’ supposed power to managers Enthoven A. Theory and Practice of Managed Competition in Health Care Finance. Amsterdam: North-Holland, 1988. A Plague of Managers 2500 2000 1500 1983 1990 2000 in K 1000 500 0 Physicians Nurses Managers Health Care Not-for-Profits Become Like Businesses • First, in the time of Enron, Worldcom, Global Crossing, etc – which were run by “morally challenged executives,” (1) – from a culture of “infectious greed,” (2) 1. Sen. John McCain 2. Alan Greenspan, Chair, Fed Reserve Health Care Not-for-Profits Become Like Businesses • Now, in the time of AIG, Bear Stearns, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, etc, etc, etc Health Care Not-for-Profits Became Like Businesses • Now, in the time of Bernie Madoff, Alan Stanford, etc, etc, Health Care Not-for-Profits Became Like Businesses • “The filthy rich … are different. It is not just that they’re rich but that there’s something about being extremely rich that blurs ordinary perspective in all but the most exceptional people. Power may corrupt, but extreme wealth blinds and deafens.”(1) • “Much of the financial engineering, the fancy new derivatives and balance-sheet legerdeman, was part of a bubble that would one day burst…. Many of these hustlers, gamblers and pugilists were helping to misallocate capital on a fantastic scale…. They were telling America just what they thought of it.”(2) 1. Marrin M. Times (UK), March 1, 2009. 2. Frank T. Wall Street Journal, Feb 11, 2009 How Academic Medicine’s Leaders Forgot Its Mission • Academic health centers (AHCs) became dependent on huge cash inflows from Medicare and commercial insurance • Cost rises lead to cost containment • In response, medical schools and AHCs “were content to go where the money was....” • So, “financial success, the measure of the marketplace, has become the dominant standard of measurement of ‘value’ for most academic medical centers.” Ludmerer KM. Time to Heal. New York: Oxford University Press, 1999 Academic Medicine’s Leaders Forgot Its Mission II • Furthermore, “hospital administrators increasingly had M.B.A degrees.... assumed business titles..., demanded and received corporate levels of compensation, and retained hordes of management consultants.” • Thus, “medical school and hospital officials approached academic medical centers much as if those institutions were making cars or breakfast cereals. They applied the same management strategies to medical centers that were widely being used in other ‘industries.’” Ludmerer KM. Time to Heal. New York: Oxford University Press, 1999 AAMC Redefines the Academic Mission • Research universities must respond to “societal demands that they become engines of economic development….” • “Academic medicine… finds itself struggling to create a precarious equipoise between the world and values of commerce and those of traditional public service….” • “In our capitalistic economy the pathway by which research invention becomes beneficial application is often totally dependent on venture capital, the availability of which commonly demands the active participation of academic inventors in the commercial venture; put simply, no participation, no money. It is this demand … that has driven the dramatic increase in medical faculty entrepreneurship.” Korn D. JAMA 2000; 284: 2234. Academic Medical Centers: “Show Me the Money” • The medical school mission is to teach medicine, and in doing so, provide excellent patient care and perform excellent research, but… • Lee Goldman (interview in April, 2007, SGIM Forum) divided faculty into: – “Taxpayers” who generate more than they cost – “Hired workers” who get paid to do a job – “Loss leaders” who get short-term investments in the expectations they will become taxpayers – “Welfare recipients” - faculty with more tenuous status. • “Bottom line, you should strive to be a 'taxpayer.‘” • The primary criterion of success in academic medicine is now how much money faculty bring in, from clinical practice or external grants, not quality of teaching or academic work Goldman L et al. SGIM Forum, April, 2007. Academic Medical Centers As “Cash Cows” • At Virginia Commonwealth University: – Approximately 1/8 of students are in health sciences – Approximately 2/3 of university president’s salary comes from health sciences and “private” sources VCU News, Feb 20, 2009 Summary per Dr Arnold Relman • “Endangered are the ethical foundations of medicine, including the commitment of physicians to put the needs of patients ahead of personal gain, to deal with patients honestly, competently, and compassionately, and to avoid conflicts of interest that could undermine public trust in the altruism of medicine.” • Threats arise from the “growing commercialization of the US health care system.” • We have come a long (and the wrong) way from an era (1980) when the AMA said, “the practice of medicine should not be commercialized, nor treated as a commodity in trade.” Relman AS. JAMA 2007; 298: 2668. Outline • • • • • • • • • Why are we miserable? – qualitative study Case-study: AHERF Conceptual model of health care dysfunction Historical background Conflicts of interest Anechoic effect Bad leadership Case studies What can be done? Conflicts of Interest • The web that holds it all together Background: Conflicts of Interest in Academic Medicine • Increasing concern about conflicts of interest • Most attention to small gifts to physicians: pens, coffee mugs, free lunches, reimbursement for travel to educational meetings • Brennan et al suggested banning even such small gifts from pharmaceutical/ biotechnology/ device companies • Ban to be enforced by medical school leadership Brennan TA et al. JAMA 2006; 295: 429-433 Conflicts of Interest – the Prevailing Dogma (Brown U version) • “[Conflicts of interest] are not unusual; they do not imply wrong-doing or inappropriate activities. Rather, research universities encourage interactions and the establishment of relationships between faculty and business and industry. The experience and knowledge gained through outside consulting and service on advisory committees is valued for its synergistic return to both research and student training. Commercialization of faculty inventions and discoveries through technology transfer brings the benefits of university research to the public good. Faculty often play an important role in successful commercialization efforts as scientific consultants and in continuing research development projects. The Prevailing Dogma - II • “[There is] increasing collaboration between industry and research universities, the expectation that the universities can and should be involved in the economic development of their region and state, and the increasing interest of the faculty in participation in entrepreneurial endeavors….” • “Conflicts of interest often arise at the intersection of two fundamental missions: to push the boundaries of knowledge and to transfer that knowledge to the private sector for the benefit of the public. With pro-active technology transfer comes increasingly close relationships between industry and university The Prevailing Dogma – Conflicts of Interest as Inevitable • Interest of faculty in entrepreneurial activities • Synergies between commercial and educational activities • Need for technology transfer and commercialization of discoveries • Regional economic development Alternative Definition – Individual Conflict of Interest • A individual conflict of interest occurs when a person with entrusted responsibility has another interest that may conflict with the proper exercise of that authority. – Examples of people with entrusted responsibility: • Physician responsible for putting the care of individual patients before all other interests • Teacher responsible for honestly imparting information, skills, judgment • Researcher responsible for searching for and disseminating the truth • Administrator responsible for fulfilling the mission of the organization Compare and Contrast – Transparency International’s Definition of Corruption • Abuse of entrusted power for private gain What Individuals Have Conflicts? • Physicians • Other health care professionals • Medical and health sciences school faculty, staff, administration, leadership • Staff and leadership of not-for-profit (NGO) organizations – – – – Medical and health care societies Health related charities Research institutions Disease advocacy groups, etc • Staff and leadership of government agencies • Employees and leaders of for-profit health care corporations Alternative Definition – Institutional Conflict of Interest • A institutional conflict of interest exists when an organization has an interest that conflicts with its fundamental mission. What Institutions Have Conflicts? • • • • • Medical and health science schools Medical and health care societies Health care charities Research institutions Disease advocacy groups Who Are the Counter-Parties? • • • • • • • • Pharmaceutical companies Biotechnology companies Medical device companies Contract research organizations Medical education and communication companies Health insurers/ managed care companies Health care information technology companies Consulting firms Grading Physicians’ and Medical Faculty Conflicts of Interest • Low level, most common – small gifts, meals, trips to students, house-staff, faculty from industry • Mid level, common – speaking fees, consulting fees, royalties, advisory board memberships (grants?) to “thought-leaders” • High level, less common – service on for-profit health care corporations’ boards of directors (plus fees and stock options) for senior faculty, medical school and university leaders Prevalence of Conflicts of Interest: Campbell Physician Study • Surveyed random sample of US physicians in primary care (GIM, family practice, pedi) and cardiology, general surgery, and anesthesiology • Asked about financial interactions with “drug, device, or other medically related companies” – – – – Drug samples Gifts (food or beverages in the workplace, event tickets Reimbursements (meeting admission or expenses) Payments (consulting, speakers’ honoraria, advisory board, trial enrollment) • Response rate = 52% Campbell EG et al. NEJM 2007; 356: 1742 Prevalence of Conflicts of Interest: Campbell Physician Study 90 80 70 60 % 50 40 30 20 10 0 Samples Gifts Meetings Payments Prevalence of Conflicts of Interest: Campbell Physician Study • Odds ratio for university or medical school practice as predictor of receiving payments – 3.31 (95% CI 1.56- 7.05) • This suggests that majority of academic physicians are drug, biotech, or device consultants, speakers, advisors, etc Prevalence of Conflicts of Interest: Campbell Department Chair Survey • Surveyed chairs of medicine, psychiatry, two other clinical departments, microbiology, one other nonclinical department at all medical schools and 15 largest independent teaching hospitals • Asked about specific kinds of industry relationships of individual chairs – – – – – – Executive of company Member of board of directors Paid consultant Member of scientific advisory board Member of speakers’ bureau Founder of company Campbell EG et al. JAMA 2007; 298: 1779-1786. Prevalence of Conflicts of Interest: Campbell Department Chair Survey Percentage 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 un er r de k ea ry iso dv Non-Clinical Fo Sp t A ic n lta t if ie n Sc u ns Co or ct re Di e iv ut ec Ex Clinical Prevalence of Conflicts of Interest: Campbell Department Chair Survey • “60% of department chairs had some form of personal relationship with industry” Selling Them the Rope: Prevalence of For-Profit Health Care Corporate Directors Among Academic Medical Leaders Roy M. Poses(1), Wally R. Smith(2), Robert Crausman(3), Russell Maulitz(4) 1. Foundation for Integrity and Responsibility in Medicine; 2. Virginia Commonwealth University; 3. Brown University; 4. Drexel University Methods • Cross-sectional prevalence study • Population of corporations: 164 “pure” public for-profit health care corporations among the Standard & Poors (S&P) 1500 • Data: public biographies of board members from proxy statements, annual reports or web-sites, end of 2005 Results: Number of Corporate Directors at Individual Schools • Schools with any corporate directors: 65/125 (52%) • Schools with 1-2 directors: 34 • Schools with 3-5 directors: 19 • Schools with 6-10 directors: 9 • Schools with >10 directors: 3 Results: Corporate Directors As Top Operational Medical School Leaders • 7 schools’ parent university presidents • 11 university vice-presidents of health affairs • 5 medical school deans • 11 academic medical center CEOs • 22 (17.6%) of 125 schools had health care corporate directors as top leaders Results: Corporate Directors On Medical School and University Boards • 36 (28.8%) medical schools’ parent universities’ boards of trustees included at least one for-profit corporate health care director • 12 medical schools’ own boards of trustees included at least one for-profit corporate health care director Psychology of Conflicts of Interest • Conflicts of interest create mental confusion, obscuring what we ought to talk about • Fear of offending your conflicted colleagues or supervisors “People who have conflicts of interest often find giving clear advice (or opinions) particularly difficult.” – Joe Collier, “The Price of Independence” Collier J. BMJ 2006; 332: 1447. Psychology of Board of Directors Level Conflicts • Service as a director requires “a duty of care,” that is, “unyielding loyalty” to the corporation’s stockholders • Directors of a for-profit corporation have legally enforceable fiduciary responsibilities to its stock-holders for the corporation’s direction and financial viability, including its profitability Monks RAG, Minow N. Corporate Governance, 3rd Ed. Blackwell: 2003 Effects of Conflicts of Interest • • • • Practice, Clinical Decision Making Medical Education Clinical Research Health Care Policy Outline • • • • • • • • Why are we miserable? – qualitative study Case-study: AHERF Conceptual model of health care dysfunction Historical background Conflicts of interest Bad leadership Case studies What can be done? Ethics and Leadership Issues: 2008 • Drugs, devices, biotech – Neurosurgeon pleaded guilty to accepting kickbacks from device manufacturers – Pfizer pulls Lipitor advertisements after “Dr” Jarvik found not to have medical license – Merck pays more than $600M to settle case alleging health care fraud and that it bribed doctors – Kyphon (Medtronic) submits to corporate integrity agreement – Biovail pleads guilty to kickbacks and conspiracy – GlaxoSmithKline and Novartis convicted of Medicaid fraud in Alabama – Pfizer accused of suppressing and manipulating results of Neurontin studies • Insurance / Managed Care – HealthNet ordered to pay $9M damages for cancelling coverage after patient got cancer – Amerigroup settles charges of Medicaid fraud – Anthem BC/BS and Wellpoint pay fines for revoking insurance policies after policy-holders became ill, filed claims – UnitedHealth settles lawsuit alleging it backdated stock options to benefit its former CEO Ethics and Leadership Issues II: 2008 • Academic Medicine – West Virginia University leaders ousted after reports they gave pharma executive degree without fulfilling requirements – University of Florida Dean ousted after admitting politically connected, but dubiously qualified medical school applicant – Virginia Commonwealth University President retires early after secret grant from Philip Morris, and his membership on tobacco wholesaler Universal Corp board revealed – UCLA put Japanese Yakuza leaders at head of liver transplant line after they donated money, journalist who reported story got death threats – Stanford Chair of Psychiatry removed as PI of federal grant after his large stock holdings in Corcept, the manufacturer of the drug the project was studying, revealed – St Louis University settled case alleging its public health school overcharged federal grants – Dean of UMDNJ, politician who had part-time job there convicted of fraud, bribery – Partners Healthcare denied knowledge that drug company funded research center was created for marketing purposes – Bernie Madoff resigns from Yeshiva University board, university admits large losses from investments in his “Ponzi scheme” – Flordia based fund raiser for Dana-Farber Cancer Center revealed to have marketed Madoff funds – Yale University settles charges it mismanaged federal grant funds Ethics and Leadership Issues III: 2008 • Hospitals – Financial director of Shriners Hospital for Children (St Louis) pleads guilty to mail fraud – FBI raids Los Angeles hospitals, arrests CEO, alleging scheme that recruited homeless as fake patients – Memorial Regional Hospital (FL) resigns after his time in Navy brig revealed – Staten Island University Hospital (NY) settles fraud charges • Government – Allegedly conflicted institute director leaves NIH – Maryland outsourced cancer registry to Macro International, whose employees fabricated data – NIH reprimanded adminstrator who advocated transparency about conflicts of interest • Not-for-profit – Former financial director of Institute for Cancer Prevention pleaded guilty to lying to federal investigators • Other – National Century Financial (health care financing company) CEO convicted of fraud Ethics and Leadership Issues: 2nd Quarter 2009 • Bernie Madoff, former member of Yeshiva U board, convicted • Quest Diagnostics settles case alleging sale of misbranded test kits • NJ legislator guilty who lobbied for Hackensack Medical Center found guilty of fraud • Merck hired Elsevier to create fake “peer-reviewed” journals • Wellcare accepts deferred prosecution for defrauding Florida Medicaid • Synthes settles, will stop paying clinical trial investigators with stock shares • Novo Nordisc settles charges it paid kickbacks to Saddam Hussein • Medtronic consultant found to have falsified study results • Sanofi Aventis settles charges it cheated Medicaid • Chair of Partners board failed to disclose he owned medical education and communications company which hired Partners faculty • Lilly provided handbook for Zyprexa ghost-writers • CVS pharmacy benefit manager helped to market Zyprexa • Former HealthSouth CEO owes $2.88 billion in damages American College of Physician Executives Survey How concerned are you about: Gifts to executives Conflicted executives Gifts to board members Conflicted board members Unethical business practices 0 10 20 30 40 % Slightly Moderately Weber DO. Physician Executive, March-April, 2005. Very 50 60 American College of Physician Executives Survey Who is Involved in Unethical Business Practices in Your Organization? Physician Executive Board member 0 5 10 15 20 % 25 30 35 Transparency International’s Global Corruption Report • Corruption - alongside poverty, inequity, civil conflict, discrimination and violence - is a major issue that has not been adequately addressed.... It leads to the skewing of health spending priorities and the leaching of health budgets, resulting in the neglect of diseases and those communities affected by them; it also means that poor people often decide against life-saving treatment, because they cannot afford the fees charged for health services that should be free. Corruption in the health care sector affects people all over the world. • Corruption might mean the difference between life and death for those in need of urgent care. It is invariably the poor in society who are affected most by corruption Transparency International’s Global Corruption Report II • But the scale of corruption is vast in both rich and poor countries. Corruption deprives people of access to health care and can lead to the wrong treatments being administered. • Corruption in the health sector is not exclusive to any kind of health system. It occurs in systems whether they are predominantly public or private, well funded or poorly funded, and technically simple or sophisticated. No other sector has the specific mix of uncertainty, asymmetric information and large numbers of dispersed actors that characterise the health sector. As a result, susceptibility to corruption is a systemic feature of health systems Outline • • • • • • • • Why are we miserable? – qualitative study Case-study: AHERF Conceptual model of health care dysfunction Historical background Conflicts of interest Bad leadership Case studies What can be done? Examples: Case Studies • Distortion of the clinical evidence-base • Pay for what sort of performance? The Evidence Based Medicine Process • Pick important clinical problem that affects defined population • Identify possible management options, and their possible outcomes • Systematic search for the best possible evidence • Critical review of each study • Assess outcome probabilities (for each option) • Assess values (utilities) of possible outcomes • Combine probabilities and values to determine option with most favorable benefit vs harm, or highest expected utility Threats at Each Stage of the EBM Process • Pick important clinical problem that affects defined populations – Stealth marketing • Identify possible management options, and their possible outcomes – Stealth marketing • • • • • Systematic search for the best possible evidence Critical review of each study Assess outcome probabilities (for each option) Assess values (utilities) of possible outcomes Combine probabilities and values to determine option with most favorable benefit vs harm, or highest expected utility Stealth Marketing Campaigns • Pharma and other organizations orchestrate elaborate marketing campaigns to sell products or services • Goals include: – – – – Increasing awareness of the relevant disease or problem Making the problem appear more salient or more important Emphasizing short-comings of existing approaches and treatments Then, emphasizing advantages of the new product or service • Often executed in part by medical education and communication, or medical information companies (MECCs or MICs) • Elements of these campaigns may be covert, failing to identify the sponsoring organization Wyeth Fenfluramine-Phenteramine (Fen-Phen) Stealth Marketing Campaign Case • Marketed obesity as a serious health issue using slogans like: – “Obesity – the Public Health Crisis” – “Obesity – a Chronic Disease” • Gave grants to – Professional organizations, e.g., American Academy of Family Physicians, American Society of Bariatric Physicians – Disease-oriented not-for-profit organizations, e.g., American Diabetes Association, North American Society for the Study of Obesity, Shape Up America • Established Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs) and an advisory board: – JoAnn Munson (Harvard) and Gerald Faich (U Penn) wrote favorable opinion articles that did not reveal their conflicts of interest[2] – George Blackburn (Mass Med Soc) helped lift state ban on Fen-Phen – Louis Lasagna (Tufts) testified on behalf of Fen-Phen to FDA 1. Elliott C. Hastings Center Rep 2004; 34: 18. 2. Manson JE et al. NEJM 1996; 335: 659. Wyeth Fenfluramine-Phenteramine (FenPhen) Stealth Marketing Campaign Case II • Hired Excerpta Medica, a subsidiary of Reed Elsevier, to ghost-write 10 articles in Reed Elsevier journals – Only two published before Fen-Phen withdrawn, did not reveal true authors – Authors did not disclose payments from Excerpta Medica • After fen-phen withdrawn, spent another $100 million to minimize the fallout – Expert panel of cardiologist KOLs – “Very Important Visiting Professor” program Elliott C. Hastings Center Report 2004; 34: 18 Pfizer Sertaline (Zoloft) Stealth Marketing Campaign Case • Pfizer engaged Current Medical Directions (CMD) to orchestrate marketing of sertaline (Zoloft) • CMD drafted 85 articles by 1998, of which 55 were published – Topics included depression, dysthymia, panic disorder, posttraumatic stress disorder, differentiation between selective serotonin reputake inhibitors (SSRIs), use of sertaline in children, etc – Appeared in J Clin Psychiatr, J Psychopharmacology, Am J Psych, JAMA, Arch Gen Psych, etc – CMD ghost-written articles outnumbered conventionally written articles in medical literature, and had five times as many citations Healy D. Br J Psych 2003; 183: 22. Parke-Davis Neurontin Stealth Marketing Campaign Case • “Medical education drives this market!” • Speakers bureaus to “identify and train strong Neurontin advocates and users to speak locally….” • Lecture series to increase “the volume of Neurontin new prescriptions.” • Use of Medical Education and Communication Companies (MECCs) to develop “educational” programs to support “growth opportunities” for off-label use. • Consultants’ meeting attendees told “we would like to develop a close business relationship with you.” • Publications strategy so that “all articles submitted will include a consistent message … with particular interest in proper dosing and titration as well as emerging [off-label] use” Steinmann MA et al. Ann Intern Med 2006; 145: 284 Parke-Davis Neurontin Stealth Marketing Campaign Case: Structure Steinman, M. A. et. al. Ann Intern Med 2006;145:284-293 Key Opinion Leaders • “Key opinion leaders were salespeople for us….” • 'There are a lot of physicians who don’t believe what we as drug representatives say. If we have a KOL [key opinion leader] stand in front of them and say the same thing, they believe it.' • They become an integral part of the company’s marketing, education, and research strategies. 'When these people are receiving a fee, they are in one sense in the employment of the company,…’ • "These people are paid a lot of money to say what they say. I’m not saying the key opinion leaders are bad, but they are salespeople just like the sales representatives are." Moynihan R. BMJ 2008; 336: 1402 “Dr. Drug Rep” • NY Times article by Dr Daniel Carlat, a physician who used to give lectures for pharma • Recruited by Wyeth rep to “give talks to other doctors about using Effexor XR for treating depression” at $500 each (excluding travel) • “Faculty development program” he attended (and was paid for) included “officially sanctioned slide deck” – “I knew this was hardly impartial medical education, and that we were being fed a marketing line. But when you are treated like the anointed, wined and dined in Manhattan and placed among the leaders of the field, you inevitably put some of your critical faculties on hold.” Carlat D. NY Times, November 25, 2007. “Dr Drug Rep” II • “The drug rep who arranged the lunch was always there, usually an attractive, vivacious woman with platters of gourmet sandwiches….” • “The day after my talks, I would get a call … from the drug rep saying that I did a great job….” • “As the reps became more comfortable with me, they began to see me more as a sales colleague.” • After some doctors criticized his talks, “I realize… I was blithely minimizing the hypertension risks….” • Revised his talks to become more balanced, then district manager said “you weren’t as enthusiastic about our product at your last talk,” and asked “Have you been sick?” • That’s when he quit Summary: Stealth Marketing Key Elements • Recruitment of “key opinion leaders” – via speakers’ bureaus, consulting arrangements, etc • Marketing message injected into “educational” programs • “Publication strategy” involving manipulation of journal articles, including ghost-writing and guest-authorship Threats at Each Stage of the EBM Process • Pick important clinical problem that affects defined populations • Identify possible management options, and their possible outcomes – Traditional Advertising and Marketing • • • • • Systematic search for the best possible evidence Critical review of each study Assess outcome probabilities (for each option) Assess values (utilities) of possible outcomes Combine probabilities and values to determine option with most favorable benefit vs harm, or highest expected utility Is Detailing Just Advertising? – Built on False Friendship • “Drug reps are selected for their presentability and outgoing natures, and are trained to be observant, personable, and helpful.” • “Trained to assess physicians' personalities, practice styles, and preferences, and to relay this information back to the company.” • “Reps scour a doctor's office for objects … that can be used to establish a personal connection with the doctor” • “Drug reps provide respite and sympathy; they appreciate how hard doctor's lives are, and seem only to want to ease their burdens.” • “Every word, every courtesy, every gift, and every piece of information provided is carefully crafted, not to assist doctors or patients, but to increase market share for targeted drugs.” Fugh-Berman A et al. PLoS Medicine 4(4):e150. Is Detailing Just Advertising? – Buying Friendship • “Gifts create both expectation and obligation.” • “Pharmaceutical gifting, however, involves carefully calibrated generosity.” • Many prescribers receive pens, notepads, and coffee mugs, all items kept close at hand, ensuring that a targeted drug's name stays uppermost in a physician's subconscious mind.” • “High prescribers receive higher-end presents….” • “'The essence of pharmaceutical gifting is ‘bribes that aren't considered bribes’” The Life of a Drug Rep: per Shahram Ahari • His fellow reps “were the beautiful people,” including former models, cheerleaders and athletes, usually without a science or health care degree • His meal allowance exceeded $60K/ year • His job was “rewarding physicians with gifts and attention for their allegiance to your product and company….” • “The nature of this business is gift-giving.” • “We were taught to minimize the side effects and how to use conversational ploys to minimize it or change the topic.” • “Physicians can be influenced just like anyone else” Are You Ready for Some Football? Are You Ready for Some Football: Cheerleaders as Drug Reps • NY Times “Gimme an Rx! Cheerleaders Pep Up Drug Sales” – Former cheerleader Penny Otwell Saul S. NY Times, November 28, 2005 Threats at Each Stage • Pick important clinical problem that affects defined populations • Identify possible management options, and their possible outcomes • Systematic search for the best possible evidence Suppression of research • • • • Critical review of each study Assess outcome probabilities (for each option) Assess values (utilities) of possible outcomes Combine probabilities and values to determine option with most favorable benefit vs harm, or highest expected utility Suppression of Research Examples • 6% of faculty admitted delaying publication of undesirable results[1] • Anonymous cases of articles withdrawn because results “ran counter to financial interests and strong beliefs.”[2] • Other older famous cases – Betty Dong, UCSF, “thyroid storm” – David Kern, Brown, flock lung – Nancy Olivieri, U of Toronto, defirapone 1. Blumenthal D et al. JAMA 1997; 277: 1224. 2. Bodenheimer T. NEJM 2000; 342: 1539. Suppression of Research: Recent Examples • Celebrex (celecoxib,Pfizer) – 12-month CLASS trial data showing no benefits suppressed • Vioxx (rofecoxib, Merck) – adverse cardiovascular event data from VIGOR suppressed • Ventak Prism ICD (Guidant) – data on failures due to short circuits suppressed • Famvir (famcyclovir, Novartis) – data possibly unfavorable to drug suppressed • Traysylol (aprotinin, Bayer) – observational study showing increased adverse event rate suppressed • Avandia (rosiglitazone, GlaxoSmithKline) – trials whose combined data suggested increased cardiovascular risk suppressed • SSRIs – 31% of pharma supported registered trials, mainly negative, never published Threats at Each Stage • Pick important clinical problem that affects defined populations • Identify possible management options, and their possible outcomes • Systematic search for the best possible evidence • Critical review of each study – Manipulation of study design • Assess outcome probabilities (for each option) – Manipulation of study design • Assess values (utilities) of possible outcomes values • Combine probabilities and values to determine option with most favorable benefit vs harm, or highest expected utility Who Supports Clinical Research? • Formerly, government agencies (e.g., NIH), foundations, academic institutions • Increasingly pharmaceutical, biotechnology, device and other companies – Approximate corporate total investment in biomedical research rose from 32% in 1980 to 62% in 2000 (1) • Commercial sponsors obviously have vested interests in having studies provide results favorable to their products – Stereotypically, fostered by marketing and finance people • Commercial sponsors also have vested interests in maintaining their reputations for honesty and the support of good patient care, and honest, valid science – Stereotypically, supported by scientific and medical people 1. Bekelman et al. JAMA 2003; 289: 454-465 Bias in Commercially Sponsored Research? • Multiple studies of how commercial sponsorship relates to results favoring the sponsors’ products • Two systematic reviews showed commercial sponsorship predicted positive results • Pooled odds ratios of sponsorship as predictor of positive results: – 3.60 (95% CI 2.63, 4.91)(1) – 4.05 (2.98, 5.51)(2) 1. Bekelman JE et al. JAMA 2003; 289: 454-465. 2. Lexchin J et al. BMJ 2003; 326: 1167- Tactics to Increase Likelihood of Favorable Results • Study Population – Select a study population unlikely to have adverse outcomes, but unrepresentative of patients who might use the treatment – Keep the trial too small to detect adverse effects of treatment • Alternative Treatment – Compare the treatment to one known to be inferior – Use a dosage of the comparison treatment that is too low (so it won't work), or too high (so it will have side effects) Smith R. PLoS Medicine 2005; 2: 364. Brophy JM. JAMA 2005: 294: 2633 Tactics to Increase Likelihood of Favorable Results II • Measurement – Use multiple endpoints in the trial, but pick the one that shows a favorable result – Use composite endpoints related to possible benefits to increase the likelihood of finding a statistically significant effect – Use individual endpoints related to possible harms to decrease the likelihood of finding a statistically significant effect – Use intermediate outcomes (e.g., laboratory tests) rather than clinical outcomes • Analysis – Do multi-center trials, but use only results from the centers with favorable outcomes for the product – Do multiple sub-group analysis, but only publish those with favorable results – Do “on-treatment” rather than intention-to-treat analysis of adverse events, thus omitting events that occur after treatment stops Smith R. PLoS Medicine 2005; 2: 364. Brophy JM. JAMA 2005: 294: 2633. Psaty BM et al. JAMA 2008; 299:1813. Mechanisms to Facilitate Influence of Vested Interests • Research by contract research organizations (CROs) may lack safeguards against bias – CROs perform increasing proportion (28% of drug trials in 1993, 64% in 2003) of commercially sponsored clinical research (1) – CROs report directly to sponsors, advertise speed and responsiveness to clients – CROs supervised by for-profit “institutional review boards” who also report directly to sponsors Schuchman M. NEJM 2007; 357: 1365. Mechanisms to Facilitate Control of Research by Sponsors • Much clinical research still done in academic settings • Medical schools/ academic medical centers increasingly focused on funding rather than what they have to do to get it – Goldman: “Bottom line, you should strive to be a ‘taxpayer.’” (1) • Medical school faculty investigators often have individual conflicts of interest Goldman L et al. SGIM Forum, April, 2007. The Contractual Basis of Sponsors’ Influence on Research Done in Academia: the Mello Study • Surveyed 107/122 medical school research administrators • Asked about acceptability of a variety of research contract provisions, especially about control of the sponsor (external funding organization, including industry, pharma, device manufacturing, biotech etc) over aspects of the research Mello Study: Proportion of Research Administrators Finding Contract Provisions Acceptable Contract confidential Investigators cannot discuss while ongoing Sponsor writes up results Sponsor may do statistical analysis Sponsor can alter study design Investigators cannot alter study design Sponsor will own the data 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Threats at Each Stage • Pick important clinical problem that affects defined populations • Identify possible management options, and their possible outcomes • Systematic search for the best possible evidence • Critical review of each study Manipulation of study reporting • Assess outcome probabilities (for each option) Manipulation of study reporting • Assess values (utilities) of possible outcomes values • Combine probabilities and values to determine option with most favorable benefit vs harm, or highest expected utility Manipulation of Research Reporting: Ghost Writing of Reviews and Editorials • Reports going back to 1993 that pharmaceutical companies may pay for medical education companies to ghost write review articles which favor their products, or disfavor competitors, then lure academics to be front authors (also called guest authors) Anon. Lancet 1993;342: 1498. AstraZeneca RxComm Ximelagatran Case • Adriane Fugh-Berman approached by RxComm to author a review of herb-warfarin interactions, sponsored by AstraZeneca • RxComm sent her complete draft of article, with title page stating Dr. Fugh-Berman was author • RxComm said “whilst there is no promotion of any drug within this paper, AstraZeneca is keen to set the scene for new anticoagulants that are not subject to the numerous limitations of warfarin” • A new oral anticoagulant, ximelagatran, made by AstraZeneca, had been licensed in France, and a US New Drug Application was pending • Fugh-Berman refused to “author” the article • The same article, somewhat revised, with a new “author,” was submitted to the Journal of General Internal Medicine, and sent to Fugh-Berman for review, who then blew the whistle Fugh-Berman A. J Gen Intern Med 2005; 20: 546. AstraZeneca RxComm Ximelagatran Case: Editorial Comments • “Publishing biased literature is not simply ‘getting the message out’ for the pharmaceutical client of the medical education company.” • “It injects bias and untruth into the scientific dialogue in order to enhance corporate profits.” • “How much is sullying the medical literature worth in market share?” • “What are the long-terms effects on scientific discourse and the bond of trust among the scientific and clinical communities, pharmaceutical manufacturers, and the public?” • “What is the ultimate effect on market share if that trust is breached?” Tierney WM et al. J Gen Intern Med 2005; 20: 550. Ross et al Study of Rofecoxib Publications • Based on documents from Vioxx litigation • Searched for documents related to authorship (of clinical trials or review articles) • Using grounded theory, reviewed for broad themes by one investigator • Then negotiated consensus of all investigators • Searched for relevant published articles Ross JS et al. JAMA 2008; 299: 1800-1812. Ross et al: Rofecoxib Clinical Trials • For 20 trials, Merck author prepared first draft • For 16/20 articles reporting these trials, first author of published version was academic external to Merck • For these 16, all had two or more academic affiliated authors, mostly as first-third listed authors • 22/24 clinical trials disclosed Merck sponsorship of research Ross et al: Rofecoxib Clinical Trial 78 Example • Draft version had “external author?” as first author, all other nine authors from Merck • Published version had three academics as first three authors • Only one of these three listed as being in Trial 78 study group prior to publication of paper Ross et al: Review Papers • Merck contracted with medical education and communication companies (MECCs) to write review papers, and handle publication process • Then external academics identified to pose as authors • 50/72 published review articles each had only one author who was an academic external to Merck • 36/72 review articles disclosed Merck financial support of paper or of author Ross et al: Conclusions • “Merck used a systematic strategy to facilitate the publication of guest authored and ghost written medical literature.” • “Articles related to rofecoxib were frequently authored by Merck employees but attributed first authorship to external, academically affiliated investigators who did always disclose financial support from Merck, although financial support of the study was nearly always provided.” • “Similarly, review articles related to rofecoxib were frequently prepared by unacknowledged authors employed by medical publishing companies and attributed authorship to investigators who often did not disclose financial support from Merck.” Flanagin Survey: Ghost Writing in Major Journals 30 25 20 Total Research Review Editorial % of Articles 15 Ghostwritten 10 5 0 Am J Card Am J Am J Ann Int JAMA NEJM Med Ob Gyn Med Misuses of EBM – Montori and Guyatt • “An analogy can be made between EBM and nuclear fission: it can be very powerful when used appropriately and dangerous when used inappropriately. The term evidencebased precedes many recommendations, guidelines, and algorithms that are not transparently linked to the underlying evidence base and do not represent the results of a systematic and critical appraisal of that evidence. It sometimes appears as if using the term obviates the need to describe the quality of underlying evidence, the magnitude of effects, or the applicability of any of the results in the context, values, and preferences of the patients.” Montoria VM, Guyatt GH. JAMA 2008; 300: 1814-1816. Misuses of EBM – Montori and Guyatt II • “This is particularly problematic because the EBM era has coincided with a dramatic increase in the for-profit funding of research. Researchers funded by industry interpret their results differently and in favor of the industry product relative to not-for-profit funding. Problems associated with industry funding include use of inappropriate control interventions, surrogate outcomes, publication and reporting bias, and misleading descriptions and presentations of research findings—all forms of corrupting the evidence base. Unsophisticated users of the medical literature, assuming that medical editors, peer reviewers, and topic experts have now become familiar with the tenets of EBM, may trust these corrupted research reports and advocate for their application in practice.” Distortion of the Evidence Base: Summary • The clinical evidence base is likely severely distorted due to a variety of deceptive practices driven by leadership of pharmaceutical, biotechnology and device companies focused on marketing and short-term profits, with considerable cooperation from academic medical leadership focused on “external funding” Examples: Effects of Bad Leadership • Distortion of the clinical evidence-base • Pay for what sort of performance? Problems with P4P • Pay for performance based on guidelines which in turn were based on distorted evidence base Example: Guidelines for Management of Depression in Primary Care • Agency for Health Care Policy and Research (AHCPR) – 1993 • US Preventive Services Task Force – 1996 • US Preventive Services Task Force – 2002 • Ambulatory Care Quality Alliance Recommended Starter Set AHCPR 1993 Guidelines: Pharmacologic Treatment • “Guideline: Medications have been shown to be effective in all forms of major depressive disorder. Barring contraindications to these agents, antidepressant medications are first-line treatment for major depressive disorder when: – The depression is moderate to severe. – There are psychotic, melancholic, or atypical (overeating, oversleeping, weight gain) symptom features – The patients requests medication – Psychotherapy by a trained, competent psychotherapist is not available – The patient has shown a prior positive response to medication – Maintenance treatment is planned” AHCPR 1993 Guidelines: Pharmacologic Treatment • “Guideline: No one antidepressant is clearly more effective than another” • “If the patient is a candidate for maintenance therapy, the long-term side effects are key considerations in maximizing adherence, and they should be minimal. The newer antidepressants (e.g., bupropion, fluoxetine, paroxetine, sertraline, trazadone) are associated with fewer long-term side effects, such as weight gain, than are older tricylic medications.” • “First- and second-line choices: – – – – – – Secondary amine tricyclics (e.g., nortriptyline, desipramine). Bupropion Fluoxetine Paroxetine Sertraline Trazadone” USPSTF 2002 Guideline • “The U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommends screening adults for depression in clinical practices that have systems in place to assure accurate diagnosis, effective treatment, and follow-up. This is a grade B recommendation.” Based on: – “Ten trials measured the effect of screening and feedback on depression outcomes from 1 month to 2 years after the intervention. Five of these 10 studies reported significant improvements in the clinical outcomes of depressed patients, and 3 others reported improvements that did not reach statistical significance.” Recommended Starter Set: The Ambulatory Care Quality Alliance • Two measures of quality for “antidepressant medication management: – Acute Phase: Percentage of adults who were diagnosed with a new episode of depression and treated with an antidepressant medication and remained on an antidepressant drug during the entire 84-day (12week) Acute Treatment Phase. – Continuation Phase: Percentage of adults who were diagnosed with a new episode of depression and treated with an antidepressant medication and remained on an antidepressant drug for at least 180 days (6 months).” The Guidelines • In plain language: Primary care physicians should look out for depression, and treat nearly all depressed patients, preferably with new, usually SSRI anti-depressants Do Physicians Follow the Guidelines? • No • Primary care physicians don’t adequately diagnose depression • Primary care physicians don’t adequately treat depression, and particularly don’t use new, mainly SSRI anti-depressants often enough – And as a primary care physician, but one who did not have a special interest in depression, I felt worse and worse about my inadequacies in this area Update: Benefits of Pharmacologic Treatment • Underlying guidelines were meta-analyses and systematic reviews of controlled trials of antidepressant medications – These suggested that newer pharmacologic treatments for depression were very safe and effective • What if these really did not include all the relevant evidence from all relevant trials? Was Evidence About Efficacy of Paxil Suppressed? – CMAJ Report • CMAJ reported in 2004 that internal GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) document showed how company suppressed findings of Study 329 of paroxetine (Paxil) in adolescents: – Efficacy results “insufficiently robust” to support indication for adolescent depression in the UK – While “a full manuscript … will be progressed,” – However, “It would be commercially unacceptable to include a statement that efficacy had not been demonstrated, as this would undermine the profile of Paxil.” Kondro W. Can Med Assoc J 2004; 170: 783. Was Evidence About Efficacy of Paxil Suppressed? – Spitzer Suit Against GSK • In 2004, Eliot Spitzer, then NY state attorney general, sued GSK for suppressing data unfavorable to Paxil • GSK settled within 3 months, agreed to put summaries of data from all its drug trials, including unpublished ones, on a public web-site Benefits of Pharmacologic Treatment: Including the Suppressed Studies in the Meta-Analysis • Turner et al. Selective publication of antidepressant trials and its influence on apparent efficacy. N Engl J Med 2008; 358:252-260. • Kirsch I, Moore TJ. The emperor’s new drugs: an analysis of antidepressant medication data submitted to the US Food and Drug Administration. Prevention Treatment 2002; 5: Turner et al MetaAnalysis: Publication According to Direction of Results Turner et al Meta-Analysis: Apparent Effect Size, Published vs All Studies • Overall mean weighted effect size: – FDA analysis of all studies = 0.31 – Published studies = 0.41 Small = 0.2, Medium = 0.5 Turner et al Meta-Analyis: Apparent Effect Size for Different Drugs Turner et al Meta-Analysis: Conclusions • “We found a bias toward the publication of positive results. Not only were positive results more likely to be published, but studies that were not positive, in our opinion, were often published in a way that conveyed a positive outcome.” • “We found that the efficacy of this drug class is less than would be gleaned from an examination of the published literature alone. According to the published literature, the results of nearly all of the trials of antidepressants were positive. In contrast, FDA analysis of the trial data showed that roughly half of the trials had positive results.” Kirsch and Moore Meta-Analysis: HRSD Score Results Drug Fluoxetine Improvement post Drug 8.30 Improvement post Placebo 7.34 Paroxetine 9.88 6.67 Sertraline 9.96 7.93 Venlafaxine 11.54 8.38 Nefzodone 10.71 8.87 Citalopram 9.69 7.71 Clinically important difference per NICE = 3 Kirsch and Moore Meta-Analysis: Conclusions • When combining all, not just published, trials’ results – Effect size of SSRIs for acute treatment of moderate-severe depression is barely clinically significant Was Evidence About Efficacy of SSRIs Manipulated? • Turner et al meta-analysis review of equivocal studies’ methods • Study 329 example Turner et al: Methodologic Problems of Questionable or Negative Studies Published as Positive • Of 11 studies: – 2 did not clearly report FDA primary outcome variable results – 4 reported a principal outcome variable which had not been reported to FDA – 2 presented data from only one site of multi-site study – 4 reported data of “efficacy subset” of intention to treat analysis – 6 changed method of handling drop outs Design of Study 329 • Proposed by Dr Martin Keller, Chair of Psychiatry at Brown University • RCT of paroxetine (Paxil, Seroxat) vs TCA or placebo in adolescent major depression • Funded by SmithKline Beecham (later GSK) • Primary outcome measures: change in total HAM-D, proportion with HAM-D < 8 or reduced by > 50% • Six secondary outcome measures Keller MB et al. J Am Acad Child Adolesce Psychiatr 2001; 40: 762 Manipulation of Study 329: Efficacy • Jureidini et al reviewed internal papers, emails, memos disclosed in litigation • Initial analysis showed no advantage of paroxetine on two primary or six secondary measures • Authors post-hoc assessed drugs with 19 other measures, found four on which paroxetine showed an advantage • Authors replaced four original outcome measures with four post-hoc measures – – – – HAM-D < 8 HAM-D depressed mood item K-SADS-L depressed mood item CGI 1 or 2 • One original primary outcome measure (change in HAM-D) not reported Was Evidence About Harms Suppressed? – Systematic Data • Fergusson et al meta-analysis of published studies • Khan et al re-analysis of data submitted to FDA Fergusson et al Meta-Analysis: Methods • All published randomized controlled trials of SSRIs, regardless of condition or age of patients • Trials found by Medline and Cochrane Collaboration searches • Crossover trials excluded • Primary outcome considered was suicide attempts • Found 702 trials: 411 vs placebo, 220 vs TCA, 159 vs other treatments Fergusson D et al. Br Med J 2005; 330: 396. Fergusson et al Meta-Analysis: Results • OR for suicide attempts (95% CI) – SSRI vs Placebo = 2.28 (1.14, 4.55) – SSRI vs TCA = 0.88 (0.54, 1.42) – SSRI vs other = 1.94 (1.06, 3.57) • But, SSRIs are meant to treat depression, and suicidal ideation, attempts and completion are generally thought to be consequences of suicide • So, all things being equal, one would expect treatment of depression should lessen suicide attempt rates, if not statistically significantly Manipulation of Study 329: Adverse Effects • “Subsequently SKB senior scientist McCafferty composed a paragraph on SAEs (severe adverse events) that appeared for the first time in the draft of July, 1999. It disclosed that 11 patients on paroexetine, compared to two on placebo, had SAEs, but did not mention that statistical significance….” (which was p=0.01) • “Subsequently McCafferty’s disclosures of overdose and mania were edited out, and SAEs on paroxetine were attributed to other causes.” • Paper concluded, “Paroxetine is generally well tolerated in this adolescent population, and most adverse effects were not serious.” • Promotion of Paxil using Study 329 by GSK: “Paxil demonstrates REMARKABLE efficacy and safety in the treatment of adolescent depression.” How Reliable Was the Evidence on Which the Guidelines Were Based? • Studies which showed low or no efficacy were suppressed, or reported as if they were positive • Studies had flaws in design, data collection, or analysis seemingly intended to maximize apparent efficacy and minimize apparent harms • SSRIs are not as efficacious for depression in adult patients as they seemed • SSRIs may have higher risk of adverse effects for such patients than was previously appreciated Guidelines Based on Pseudo-Evidence • Guidelines for treatment of depression seem more based on Pseudo-Evidence than Evidence – “Pseudo-Evidence” – falsehood disseminated as truth • It is likely that most guidelines are similarly based on a distorted clinical evidence base, – Hence may cause perverse incentives if used as the basis for P4P Other Problems with P4P • As advocated by payers, may be based more on “efficiency,” i.e., cost control than quality • May be based on guidelines influenced by vested interests, so which push products or services supplied by those interests • Based on most easily measured factors, may be an incentive to decrease quality in unmeasured spheres • Guidelines written for simple patients do not apply to complex patients, may be incentive to avoid sicker patients • Outcome measures may not be controlled for severity and complexity, again may be incentives to avoid sicker patients Outline • • • • • • • • Why are we miserable? – qualitative study Case-study: AHERF Conceptual model of health care dysfunction Historical background Conflicts of interest Bad leadership Case studies What can be done? A Start Toward Solutions • Put core values first • Empower patients and health care professionals • Re-organize, regulate, sometimes disband large organizations • Make governance representative, transparent, accountable, bound by ethical rules • Licensing of health care organizational leaders • Full and detailed disclosure of conflicts, ?ban conflicts affecting physicians and health care leaders? • Ban those with vested interests in particular results from running clinical research AMA, 1980 • In the practice of medicine, a physician should limit the source of his professional income to medical services actually rendered by him, or under his supervision to his patients • The practice of medicine should not be commercialized, not treated as a commodity in trade Possible Solutions: Lancet on Transparency International’s Global Corruption Report • Any cure should start with maximum transparency. • Codes of conduct need to be adopted by health workers and private sector companies. • Any transgressions have to be rigorously prosecuted. • Whistleblowers from all sectors should be protected. Anonymous. Lancet 2006; 367: 447. Better Understanding: A Plug • Health Care Renewal Blog: http://hcrenewal.blogspot.com/ • Foundation for Integrity and Responsibility in Medicine: http://www.firmfound.org/