Using Indirect (& Direct) Race/Ethnicity Data to Target Disparities in Community Settings Academy Health Methods Workshop Allen Fremont, MD, PhD June 28, 2009 Co-Investigators (Partial List) • Marc Elliot, PhD • Alexandria Felton, MPH • Nicole Lurie, MD, MSPH • Philip Pantoja, MA • Mark Hanson, MA • Spencer Jones, PhD • Lisa Miyashiro, MA • Aaron Kofner, MA • Adrian Overton, MA • Stephanie Chan, MA • Malcolm Williams, PhD Fremont, 2009 2 New indirect estimates of R/E composition very accurate Proportion of Race/Ethnicity by Estimation Method 100% Proportion of Race/Ethnicity 90% 80% 52% 52% 70% White 60% Hispanic 50% Black Asian 40% 26% 26% 18% 18% 4% 4% State Indirect Estimate American Indian 30% 20% 10% 0% Fremont, 2009 3 Indirect R/E estimates providing QI decision makers with clearer picture of populations served… NORTHERN Region MRA A WESTERN RegionMRA B American Indian / Alaskan Native 2% 11% 13% 28% 12% Asian / Pacific Islander 31% Black 49% 53% White Hispanic SOUTHERN Region MRA C GREATER RegionBOSTON D MRA 2% 11% 9% 12% 24% 36% 31% 74% Fremont, 2009 4 Indirect R/E measures can be used to assess disparities at plan or market level Fremont, 2009 5 Newer Indirect R/E estimates are also accurate enough to assess disparities at provider group level Fremont, 2009 6 Obtaining R/E data & linking to quality measures necessary, but not sufficient for reducing disparities • “Awash in a sea of data”, “…Where to begin?” • Current infrastructure does not support efficient targeting of disparities & effective interventions • Available knowledge does not translate easily into cost-effective changes • Tremendous variation in patterns & contributing factors across different markets and local areas Fremont, 2009 7 GIS mapping and decision can help plans use their data more efficiently and effectively • Map distribution of patient subgroups nationally, regionally, locally • Rapidly identify and characterize populations and areas for potential interventions • Clarify contributing factors and cost-effective interventions • Can act as Disruptive Innovation* *Health Affairs 26, no.3, 2007 Fremont, 2009 8 Exploratory work revealing ways in which salient data and tools can help plans and providers see the problem more clearly: • Reveal local patterns of care not apparent with current approaches • Increase understanding of social determinants • Learn ways to target interventions more effectively • Recognize possibilities for shared action Fremont, 2009 9 Data and GIS tools are providing plans with more accurate view of populations they serve Without race/ethnicity With race/ethnicity With GIS tools Fremont, 2009 10 Mapping health data to clarify factors contributing to health problems & how to address them not new idea Cluster of Cholera cases,1853 Broad Street Pump John Snow used mapping to clarify Cholera spread in London Fremont, 2009 11 Distribution of members can be shown to some extent with tables and charts but … 30000 100% 80% 80% p 15000 60% 40% 10000 20% LUFFS ESTER THOL VERLY UCKET BURN EHAM RHILL EANS ALEM OUTH RIDGE THAM WELL HBURG OUTH DAMS VILLE TABLE NFIELD LDEN BORO LYNN ESTER GHAM UINCY PTON FIELD NTON ENCE FIELD RIVER KTON DFORD EVERE YOKE 0 MARY 5000 FIELD Members 20000 % Hispanic Members 25000 0% Pareto chart of diabetic members without LDL control by service area Fremont, 2009 12 Maps can highlight service areas where minority group members are concentrated Non-White Communities of Plan Area Fremont, 2009 13 Other information, e.g., distribution of members served by different providers or plans can be shown Non-White Communities of Plan Area Type A Provider Group Members Fremont, 2009 14 Different spatial patterns can inform interpretation of quality metrics and targeting of interventions Non-White Communities of Plan Area Type B Provider Group Members Fremont, 2009 15 For example, GIS Tools are Helping Target Potential Opportunities for Intervention Diabetic Members with and without LDL Test GIS Tools can help highlight “Hotspots” or areas with clusters of members with worse than expected rates Fremont, 2009 16 Region 12 Provider Group Performance: LDL Test B C Regional Average A Fremont, 2009 17 Mapping distribution of diabetics served by different provider groups can help assess performance Provider Group C Provider Group A Ellipses show where 95% of group’s diabetic members live Fremont, 2009 18 Knowing that a given provider group’s service area overlaps with hotspot can be instructive Ellipses show where 95% of group’s diabetic members live Fremont, 2009 19 Adding spatial perspective can increase understanding of contributing factors Fremont, 2009 20 Provider A’s Diabetics & % LDL Test by Ethnicity Fremont, 2009 21 Provider A & B Diabetic Patients Fremont, 2009 22 Individual plans may find targeting hotspots alone relatively ineffective unless dominate market 11% 89% % Diabetics not covered % Diabetics covered by Plan A Fremont, 2009 23 The cost-effectiveness of community interventions may improve when plans pool efforts 24% 53% 13% 10% % Diabetics not covered % Diabetics covered by Plan A % Diabetics covered by Plan B % Diabetics covered by Plan C Fremont, 2009 24 Emerging web-based GIS & social networking tools will also facilitate multi-stakeholder QI efforts Fremont, 2009 25 Allowing stakeholders to interact with the data and maps always instructive to them & researchers Fremont, 2009 26 New Directions • Indirect estimates of health literacy • Regional multi-stakeholder, community-based initiatives, e.g. California Right Care Initiative • Facilitating cooperative efforts between health plans and public health initiatives in community • Using optimization and simulation techniques to help decision makers choose intervention approach at community level Fremont, 2009 27 Fremont, 2009 28