Available online at www.sciencedirect.com Journal of Banking & Finance 33 (2009) 171–181 www.elsevier.com/locate/jbf Does the type of ownership control matter? Evidence from China’s listed companies q Gongmeng Chen a,1, Michael Firth b,*, Liping Xu c,2 b a Antai School of Management, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China Department of Finance and Insurance, Lingnan University, Tuen Mun, New Territories, Hong Kong c Department of Accounting, School of Business, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China Received 12 February 2006; accepted 11 December 2007 Available online 1 January 2008 Abstract By tracing the identity of large shareholders, we group China’s listed companies into those controlled by state asset management bureaus (SAMBs), state owned enterprises (SOEs) affiliated to the central government (SOECGs), SOEs affiliated to the local government (SOELGs), and Private investors. We argue that these distinct types of owners have different objectives and motivations and this will affect how they exercise their control rights over the firms they invest in. In particular, we contend that private ownership of listed firms in China is not necessarily superior to certain types of state ownership. To test our arguments we investigate the relative efficiency of state versus private ownership of listed firms and the efficiency of various forms of state ownership. The empirical results indicate that the operating efficiency of Chinese listed companies varies across the type of controlling shareholder. SOECG controlled firms perform best and SAMB and Private controlled firms perform worst. SOELG controlled firms are in the middle. The results are consistent with our predictions. Ó 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. JEL classification: G32; G34 Keywords: State versus private ownership; Large shareholders; Ownership structure 1. Introduction China’s economy has undergone a significant transformation in the past quarter-century. Large swathes of industry have been reorganized as corporations and the profitable operating arms of many state owned enterprises (SOEs) have been privatized and listed on the stock market. Today, there are more than 1500 listed firms and Chi- q This paper was reviewed and accepted while Professor Giorgio Szego was the Managing Editor of The Journal of Banking and Finance and by the past Editorial Board. * Corresponding author. Tel.: +852 2616 8950. E-mail addresses: cgm@sjtu.edu.cn (G. Chen), mafirth@ln.edu.hk (M. Firth), xuliping@mail.sysu.edu.cn (L. Xu). 1 Tel.: +86 21 5230 1150. 2 Tel.: +86 20 8411 3648. 0378-4266/$ - see front matter Ó 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.12.023 na’s market capitalization is the sixth largest in the world. Many companies are becoming world leaders; as one example, PetroChina is now the largest listed company in the world in terms of market capitalization. In many ways the economic reforms can be regarded as a major success. Annual economic growth has averaged 10% in the past decade, exports have increased many-fold, foreign reserves are the largest in the world, and the marginal productivity of labor has increased substantially. Despite these successes, the profitability of listed firms has been poor (Chen et al., 1998, 2006a) and this raises concerns about firms’ sustainability and financial distress. Some studies have suggested that the state’s retained shareholdings in listed firms have been responsible for their poor profitability. However, these studies have shortcomings as they fail to properly identify and distinguish among the different types of owners (Wang, 2003). In particular, 172 G. Chen et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 33 (2009) 171–181 prior research uses share type as a proxy for owner type but we demonstrate that this assumption is not valid and can lead to erroneous conclusions. The aim of this paper is to remedy the shortcomings in prior research by providing an in-depth examination of the relations between ownership structures and firms’ performance in China. A key feature of many of China’s privatized state owned enterprises is that the state retains a significant ownership stake after listing; in this sense privatized firms are actually partiallyprivatized. Although the state often retains substantial ownership in listed firms, this ownership is scattered among various agencies and each of these have different motivations and incentive structures. We argue that the different forms of state ownership lead to different performance outcomes for the firms they have invested in. Thus the lumping of all types of state ownership into one group, as has been done in prior studies, obscures the real impact of the state as a shareholder. We also argue that it is imperative to determine who the real share owners are (i.e., go behind nominee names), and what their motives are, rather than rely on the legal definition of shares as a proxy for ownership type. A distinct characteristic of Chinese listed firms is that they have a single dominant shareholder whose ownership far exceeds that of the second largest shareholder. We classify the dominant shareholder into those that are state owned and those that are private. State ownership of firms is frequently criticized because of political intervention and the need to help achieve government objectives (Boycko et al., 1996). These studies implicitly assume there is just one type of state owner. However, in China, the state’s ownership of firms is undertaken by different types of agencies and we argue that the objectives of these agency-types dictate the extent of political intervention and the degree of commercialization of the listed companies they invest in. We classify state owners in China’s listed companies into three major types based on their political and economic interests: SAMBs (state asset management bureaus), SOECGs (SOEs affiliated to the central government), and SOELGs (SOEs affiliated to the local government). We argue that these three types of state owners have very different objectives when it comes to the listed firms they control. We find that SOECG controlled listed firms excel in almost every way when compared to other ownership types. By contrast, listed firms controlled by SAMBs do badly in almost every respect. SOELG controlled firms are in the middle. We also find that Private investors, as the dominant shareholders of public firms, are not much better than SAMBs in terms of their associations with firm performance. The performance of Private controlled listed firms casts doubts on the claims that firms perform best when the state is completely absent from ownership (Dewenter and Malatesta, 2001; Green, 2004; Megginson and Netter, 2001; Shleifer, 1998), at least in the case of China. This study contributes to the literature in several ways. First, it contributes to the literature on state versus private ownership. As we have Private controlled firms in our sam- ple we can directly examine this issue in the context of China.3 In a transitional economy with a weak legal environment, the governance mechanisms of state and private ownership are different from those in either a planned economy or a developed market economy. We find that commercialized state ownership has its advantages in these circumstances. Thus, certain types of state ownership can be superior to private ownership when the institutional environment is relatively underdeveloped and when law enforcement is capricious and weak. Second, our study supplements the literature on transition economies. The type of privatization and the form of state ownership are major concerns in these economies (Stiglitz, 1999). We provide empirical evidence that certain types of state ownership help improve firm performance. Finally, our study contributes to the literature on ownership and control. Numerous studies address the relations between ownership structure and firm performance (see Denis and McConnell, 2003, for a review). We find that the relation between large shareholders and firm performance depends on who the large shareholders are. We document an alignment effect where higher ownership of the dominant shareholder is associated with better firm performance. The rest of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 identifies the types of large shareholders in China’s listed companies and describes firms’ ownership structures. Section 3 discusses the motivations and objectives of the different types of large shareholders. Section 4 explains the research design and Section 5 reports the empirical results. Section 6 tests reverse causality and Section 7 reports tests for robustness and investigates the association between ownership concentration and firm performance and the role of outside blockholders. Section 8 concludes the study. 2. Ownership structure of China’s listed companies According to China’s laws, a listed firm has six types of shares: state, legal person, foreign, management, employee, and individual shares. These shares have the same cash flow rights (e.g., they are entitled to the same dividends) and voting rights. Management, foreign, and employee shares represent less than 2% of the outstanding shares and so they do not constitute major voting blocks. State and legal person shares are not tradable on the stock exchange and they have concentrated ownership.4 In contrast, domestic individual shares are tradable and widely held. Prior studies have generally focused on the relations between state shares, legal person shares, individual shares, 3 Prior studies that use data from the 1990s and early 2000s do not have Private controlled firms in their samples. 4 China has recently undergone a share reform program where state and legal person shares will become tradable after the end of a lock-up period. For most firms the lock-up period will end in 2007/8 and the shareholders can then sell up to 5% of their shares in the following six months. G. Chen et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 33 (2009) 171–181 173 and firm performance (Sun and Tong, 2003; Wei et al., 2005). However, placing reliance on the legal definition of shares to infer investor type is very simplistic and ignores institutional realities (Green, 2004; Wang, 2003). Most importantly, legal person shares can be owned by a number of heterogeneous entities, ranging from solely state owned enterprises to private firms. These entities have different objectives and incentives and so grouping them together, as done in previous studies, distorts the results and leads to erroneous conclusions. Similarly, state shares can be owned by different types of investors. Another problem that has plagued prior research is the failure to identify the dominant shareholder and who that entity (or person) is. In this study, we investigate the ownership of China’s listed companies based on the real identity of the large shareholders. Our detailed investigation uncovers four main types of controlling shareholders in China’s listed companies. They are state asset management bureaus (SAMBs), SOEs affiliated to the central government (SOECGs), SOEs affiliated to the local government (SOELGs), and Private investors. All of these investors exercise their control through the ownership of state or legal shares. SOE. SOELGs and SOECGs operate as profit-making entities and they can invest in the ‘state’ and ‘legal person’ shares of listed firms. 2.1. The state asset management bureaus (SAMBs) Firms that have a Private investor as their dominant shareholder are actively monitored by that shareholder. Indeed, the Private investors often install themselves or their representatives as the CEO and the chairman of the listed firm. A Private investor typically has detailed knowledge of the industry in which the firm operates and so they can more easily enter into the management function or more effectively monitor the hired managers. A Private investor receives the cash dividends paid by the listed firm and the investor (if it is a company) uses consolidated or equity accounting to incorporate the listed firm’s earnings into its own income statement. Agency problems associated with the separation of ownership and management will be small when a Private investor is the dominant shareholder. A much bigger concern for the minority shareholders of listed firms that are controlled by a Private investor is that their income and assets could be diverted or expropriated away by the dominant investor6 (Shleifer and Vishny, 1997). Unlike SAMBs and SOEs, Private investors are not subject to monitoring by the state and so it is easier for a controlling Private investor to expropriate (or tunnel) the income and assets of the listed firm away from the minority shareholders. Private controlled listed firms are therefore subject to a greater risk of diversion of assets by large shareholders. Given these conflicting influences, we do not know a priori whether firms controlled by Private investors perform better than those controlled by state entities. While SAMBs and SOEs are ultimately owned by the state, they are different in many respects. First, SAMBs SAMBs typically own the state shares and sometimes the legal person shares of the listed firms they invest in. In most provincial cities, a state asset management bureau, or the state asset operating company, has been established to manage state assets. SAMBs are shareholding institutions that belong to the state. 2.2. SOEs affiliated to the central government (SOECGs) SOECGs refer to the 157 SOEs controlled by the central government under the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC). Branches of the central government established these SOEs. Administratively, these SOEs belong to and are closely monitored by the central government, but they are located across the country and are involved in various industries. These companies are usually big and/or nation-wide companies, such as Sinopec Corp., the China Merchants Group, and so on.5 They are subject to strict monitoring. 2.3. SOEs affiliated to local governments (SOELGs) SOELGs are SOEs controlled directly by a local government. These SOEs constitute the largest group of controlling shareholders of listed companies in China. The listed companies they control are typically spin-offs from the 5 These SOEs are owned by the state although they have substantial autonomy over their activities. They are able to invest in listed firms and in many cases they have a substantial shareholding that gives them outright or de facto control. 2.4. Private investors This group of large shareholders includes both private firms and individuals. However, listed firms directly controlled by individuals only appear after 2001 when the ‘Tian Tong Corp.’ was listed, since prior to 1998 Chinese laws prohibited natural persons from directly holding more than 0.5% of the shares of a listed company. In most cases a Private investor becomes the largest controlling shareholder through the acquisition of non-tradable shares of the former large state shareholders either at the time of the IPO or subsequently. More recently, there are cases where a Private investor has built up a company and then listed it on the stock exchange. The shares held by controlling Private investors are usually legal person shares and at the time of our study they could not be traded on the stock market. 3. Motivations of controlling shareholders 6 Recent publicized cases of expropriations by dominant Private investors include the listed firms Beer Flower, Top Software, Jiangsu Qionghua, Xinjiang Tunhe, ST Chundu, Yi’an Tech, and Hongzhi Tech. 174 G. Chen et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 33 (2009) 171–181 and SOEs differ as owners of listed companies in terms of the risk borne and benefits shared. Officials of SAMBs have the right to select the boards of directors and managers of SOEs, but bear no risks of the consequences of their selections (Zhang, 1998). Therefore, voting rights in their hands are typically ‘cheap vote rights’ (Harris and Raviv, 1988). The promotion of SAMB officials depends largely on how well they execute the instructions of the central or local government rather than on how much they contribute to creating firm value and dividend revenues. Political intervention is more likely if a listed firm is controlled by a SAMB. SAMB officials are civil servants paid by the government and their remuneration and rewards have nothing to do with the performance of the listed companies they oversee. The SAMBs collect the dividends distributed by listed firms and deliver them to the state treasury. The officials have no right to use these dividend revenues. Therefore, the officials’ well-being is not tied to the performance of the firms they are delegated to control. The SAMB officials typically have no relevant industry experience and so they lack the necessary skills to effectively monitor a firm’s managers and they lack the knowledge to provide strategic advice. This problem is exacerbated as the officials have to look after the state’s shareholdings in many firms and these firms are in a diverse set of industries. In addition, SAMBs are prohibited from being very close to the listed companies they control and this increases information asymmetry. Of all the ownership types, SAMBs are the least likely to expropriate wealth away from the minority shareholders (Deng et al., 2007). SOEs have both the motives and the expertise to monitor managers of the listed spin-off firms and to provide strategic advice. Cash flows (dividends) and earnings (via consolidated and equity accounting) of listed firms flow through to the SOE investors and so they have incentives to appoint good managers and to monitor them. The motivations of SOEs to expropriate assets from a listed firm, and their ability to do so, lie somewhere between those of SAMBs and Private investors. While SOEs can benefit from expropriations, these investors are subject to monitoring by government ministries and state regulators. In summary, compared with SAMBs, SOEs have better risk bearing and benefit sharing mechanisms, exercise better monitoring, and are subject to less political intervention. Distinctions should be made among SOEs affiliated to the central government (SOECGs) and those affiliated to local governments (SOELGs). First they differ as to the extent of the monitoring to which they are subject. SOECGs belong to the central government and are subject to strict supervision and monitoring from a number of departments under the central government including the National Audit Office (NAO). The chairmen of SOECGs are carefully chosen for their ability and many of them eventually become Vice Ministers of the state. It is important that these chairmen do well in their jobs so that they do not jeopardize their move up the state hierarchy. Local govern- ments manage the state’s assets (via SOELGs) according to national law and regulations although they can also make their own policies, especially in terms of designing the organization’s hierarchy. SOELGs are subject to the supervision and management either of the local government directly, or of state asset management bureaus at the local government level. SOECGs and SOELGs also differ in how well they observe the laws and regulations of China. Laws and regulations are more difficult to enforce the further away the parties are from the center of power and so SOELGs are subject to weaker supervision and management. Based on the motivations of SOEs and the degree of monitoring they face (by the government) we argue that SOECGs are more effective as dominant shareholders of listed firms than are SOELGs. 4. Research design 4.1. Sample For each listed firm in our sample we identify the major shareholder and the other top 10 shareholders. We take great care to identify the true owner of the shares (i.e., we go behind the nominee names) and to classify them into shareholder types (SAMB, SOECG, SOELG, and Private). The sample period is 1999–2004.7 We exclude firms for which operating performance data are not available. The final sample consists of 6113 firm-year observations. SOELG is the major controlling shareholder for 3065 (50.14%) firm-year observations. Then follow Private with 1241 (20.3%) observations, SAMB with 968 (15.84%), and SOECG with 839 (13.72%). The industry distributions of the sample firms are similar across the four ownership types. Table 1, Panel A, shows the exact holdings by each of the three largest shareholders. We find that the largest shareholder contributes most to the concentrated ownership in China’s listed companies. Overall, the median of the largest shareholder’s holding is 42.61%, but the median of the second largest investor’s holding is just 5%, and the third is 1.89%. If we define blockholders as shareholders who own 5% or more of the shares of a company, we conclude that a typical Chinese firm has a single blockholder (see Panels B and C, Table 1). This holds true for companies with SAMBs, SOECGs and SOELGs as the largest shareholders. However, companies with a Private investor as the largest shareholder typically have two blockholders, although the second blockholder has only about one-third the shares of the largest blockholder (means of 11.96% and 32.14%, respectively). 7 We choose 1999 as the starting year because in 1998 China’s listed companies adopted new generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). Thus, prior to 1999, financial statement data are less consistent across firms and across time. Chinese GAAP applies to all listed firms regardless of who the dominant shareholder is. G. Chen et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 33 (2009) 171–181 175 Table 1 Ownership concentration for sample firm years Panel A: Top three shareholdersa Pct by largest shareholder Pct by second largest shareholder Pct by third largest shareholder Combined ownership by top three shareholders SAMB (Obs. 968) SOECG (Obs. 839) SOELG (Obs. 3065) Private (Obs. 1241) ALL (Obs. 6113) Mean Mean Mean Mean Mean 41.28 6.99 2.75 51.02 Median 38.56 4.46 1.75 51.23 Median 49.62 7.13 3.01 59.75 51.79 3.96 1.38 60.59 47.62 7.27 2.76 57.64 Median 49.18 3.55 1.40 59.31 32.14 11.96 5.13 49.24 Median 28.99 11.36 4.19 49.91 43.75 8.16 3.27 55.18 Median 42.61 5.00 1.89 56.31 SAMB (Obs. 968) SOECG (Obs. 839) SOELG (Obs. 3065) Private (Obs. 1241) ALL (Obs. 6113) Mean Mean Mean Mean Mean Median Median Median Median Median b Panel B: Ownership concentration after combining affiliated shareholders Sum of ownership by all blockholdersc Number of blockholders Ownership by largest shareholder Ownership by outside blockholders Panel C: Number of blockholders 1 2 3 4 or above Total 49.28 1.63 41.99 7.29 49.39 1.00 39.37 0.00 59.11 1.52 52.61 6.49 60.43 1.00 54.87 0.00 56.36 1.58 49.03 7.33 58.17 1.00 50.89 0.00 49.33 2.21 34.57 14.77 49.51 2.00 29.43 13.68 54.19 1.71 45.47 8.72 55.73 1.00 45.20 0.00 SAMB (Obs. 968) SOECG (Obs. 839) SOELG (Obs. 3065) Private (Obs. 1241) ALL (Obs. 6113) N Pct N Pct N Pct N Pct N Pct 553 271 98 46 968 57.13 28 10.12 4.75 100 539 200 68 32 839 64.24 23.84 8.1 3.82 100 1889 740 297 139 3065 61.63 24.14 9.69 4.54 100 323 500 288 130 1241 26.03 40.29 23.21 10.47 100 3304 1711 751 347 6113 54.05 27.99 12.29 5.67 100 a The ownership calculation does not correct for the possibility that the large shareholders are affiliated with each other, or that the companies themselves own the shares of its shareholders, or take account of pyramid structures. b Affiliated shareholders are combined as one. Affiliated shareholders refer to those shareholders belonging to the same parent or grandparent company, or to shareholders where one shareholder belongs to another, or to shareholders who belong to each other (reciprocal ownership). c Blockholder is defined as shareholders that hold, directly or indirectly, 5% or more of the total outstanding shares of a firm. We also investigate ownership after combining affiliated investors as one shareholder.8 Here, affiliated investors refer to investors belonging to the same parent company, or to investors where one investor belongs to another, or to investors who belong to each other (reciprocal ownership). Overall, the ownership by the largest shareholder (including affiliated owners) is 45.47% (mean) and 45.2% (median). A comparison of Panels A and B indicates that including the shareholdings of affiliated investors increases the mean ownership of the largest investor by about 1.72% (43.75% to 45.47%) and increases the median by about 2.59%. Table 1, Panel C, reports the number of blockholders and the ownership mix matrix of sample firms. 54.05% of sample firm years have a single blockholder, 27.99% have two, 12.29% have three, and 5.67% have four or more blockholders. Since the largest shareholder has far greater ownership than the other blockholders, we refer to nonaffiliated blockholders other than the largest as outside blockholders. Private controlled firms have more outside blockholders than the other control-types; in 26.03% of 8 Otherwise, the concentration of ownership would be underestimated. In our empirical tests reported later, we include shareholdings held by affiliates in the large shareholder’s ownership. However, replications of the tests using just the shareholder’s ownership yield similar conclusions. cases there is just one blockholder (i.e., the Private controlling shareholder and no outside blockholder) and in 40.29% of cases there are two. Although all shareholders have equal voting rights (one-share, one-vote), our analysis clearly indicates that the largest shareholder is generally able to control the firm. The control feature of the largest stockholder is recognized in The Code of Corporate Governance for Listed firms in China, issued by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC). The Code states that the major stockholder in a listed firm should be pro-active in making recommendations to the board. The motives and diligence of the largest shareholder is therefore a key ingredient to the success of listed firms. We examine company records to determine who attends the general shareholders’ meeting and thus who gets to cast their votes. From our analysis we conclude that large shareholders are able to gain unbridled control over firms due to the fact that small outside investors fail to attend the meeting and exercise their voting rights. On average, the largest shareholder constitutes 84% of the voting shares present at the general meeting, which means that the largest shareholder decides almost everything. Typically, the shareholdings of all block shareholders who attend the meeting constitute 93% of the voting shares. Although all shareholders are able to express their views at the gen- 176 G. Chen et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 33 (2009) 171–181 eral shareholders’ meetings, the fact is that there is normally one shareholder with enough votes to exercise effective control. This characteristic prevents minority shareholders from having an effective say in company matters and so many of them are absentee share owners. Given the characteristics outlined above, this study classifies the control of a listed firm according to its largest shareholder. 4.2. Measuring operating performance Following the literature, the measures of performance that we use are: return on assets (ROA), cash flow return on assets (CFOA), return on sales (ROS), productivity (sales per employee, SEMP, and assets per employee, AEMP), and Tobin’s Q. ROA and CFOA measure profitability in accounting income and cash flow income, respectively. Return on sales (profit margin), ROS, is used as an alternative measure of profitability. As state firms are often criticized as being overstaffed and having low productivity (Shleifer, 1998), productivity is also investigated. Tobin’s Q is a market value measure of performance. We do not examine stock returns in this study because market prices may already reflect the ownership structure of a firm. Measures of performance are calculated as follows: Measures Profitability Definitions Operating earningst/average book value of total assetst CFOA Operating cash flowst/average book value of total assetst ROS Operating earningst/net salest ROA Productivity SEMP Net salest/number of employeest AEMP Average book value of total assetst/ number of employeest Tobin’s Q Q The market value of total assets deflated by the average book value of total assets, where the market value of total assets is the sum of the market capitalization of equity and total debts where t indexes year, t = 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004. We use operating earnings rather than net income because the latter measure is prone to manipulation (Chen et al., 2008). Financial and employment data are retrieved from the China Stock Market and Accounting Research Database (CSMAR). In addition to the raw performance measures, we also calculate industry adjusted measures (we use the prefix IA to denote industry adjusted, i.e., IAROA). Here, the industry median is deducted from the raw number and this gives a relative per- formance measure. We use the industry classifications issued by the CSRC. 4.3. Comparison of corporate performance across controlling investor groups Six pairs of comparisons of mean and median results are made for the four groups of firms controlled by SAMBs, by SOECGs, by SOELGs, and by Private investors. In addition we also use regression analysis to control for firm characteristics, as follows: IAOPit ¼ a0 þ a1 DSOECGit þ a2 DSOELGit þ a3 DPRIVATEit þ b1 SIZEit1 þ b2 LEVit1 þ b3 IOSit þ b4 EFNit þ b5 MarketI þ eit ð1Þ where IAOP is the industry adjusted performance measure; DSOECG is a dummy variable coded 1 for firm years whose biggest shareholder is a SOECG; DSOELG is a dummy variable coded 1 for firm years whose biggest shareholder is a SOELG; DPRIVATE is a dummy variable coded 1 for firm years whose biggest shareholder is a Private investor. The owner-type dummy variables capture the differences in operating performance between SAMB and SOECG, SOELG, and Private controlled firms (SAMB is the omitted ownership type in regression Eq. (1)). We define SIZE as the logarithm of the book value of total assets at the beginning of the year. SIZE controls for the economies of scale or size effect. LEV is the ratio of total debts to total assets at the beginning of the year and this captures the capital structure effect. In addition, firm performance can be influenced by the investment opportunity set (IOS) it faces (Hutchinson and Gul, 2003). Therefore, we control for IOS and use the total assets growth ratio to measure it. We also control for external finance need (EFN). EFN is a dummy variable for firm years in which rights issues or seasoned equity issues are made in the following three years. Finally, there are significant differences in regional development and we control for this using a composite index of market development (MarketI). This index constructed by China’s National Economic Research Institute (see Fan and Wang, 2004) has been used in other China research to control for regional effects (e.g., Chen et al., 2006b). 5. Empirical results Table 2 reports the mean and median operating performance for firms with different types of largest shareholders and tests the significance of differences between the groups. The table shows that operating performance does differ for firms with different types of largest shareholders. For example, the mean (median) industry adjusted ROA for SAMBs is 2.96% (1.07%) (see, Table 2, Panel B) whereas the mean (median) industry adjusted ROA for SOECGs is G. Chen et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 33 (2009) 171–181 0.88% (0.54%). Therefore, SOECG controlled firms have higher industry adjusted ROAs than SAMB controlled firms. Statistical significances of the differences in means and medians across different comparisons are shown in Panels C and D, Table 2. For example, the t-statistic (Z-statistic) of 9.05 (9.90) in the comparison of SOECG versus SAMB (see Panel C, Table 2) shows that the mean (median) ROA is significantly higher for SOECG controlled firms than for SAMB controlled firms. The results in Panels C and D of Table 2 can be summarized as follows. SOECG controlled firms are better than SAMB controlled firms in every respect except Tobin’s Q where the difference is not statistically significant. Compared with firms controlled by SAMBs, firms controlled by SOELGs perform better across all performance measures except Tobin’s Q. Compared with firms controlled by SAMBs, Private controlled firms have higher sales per employee and Tobin’s Q. However, the results from a comparison of profit ratios are inconsistent. Firms controlled by SAMBs show higher cash flow returns (CFOA), while Private controlled firms show better earnings (ROA). SOECG controlled firms are superior to Private and SOELG controlled firms in all the measures except Tobin’s Q (for the Private comparison). Finally, the comparisons between Private and SOELG show that SOELGs have better performance measures except for sales per employee and Tobin’s Q. In summary, the simple comparisons of means and medians of raw and industry adjusted performance indicate that firms controlled by SOECGs do best, those controlled by SAMBs and Private do worst, and those controlled by SOELGs are in-between. Table 3 reports the regression results for Eq. (1). The main foci of Table 3 are the ownership coefficients (Panel A) and differences in the ownership coefficients (Panel B). Because a company may appear up to six times in the dataset (once per year for six years for some firms) the observations are not independent and the errors are potentially serially correlated leading to inflated t-statistics. To overcome this problem we cluster observations by company and compute robust standard errors (Rogers, 1993). These robust standard errors correct for potential heteroskedasticity and potential time series autocorrelation within each company.9 DSOECG has the highest coefficient of all the owner-types for the IAROA, IACFOA, IAROS, IASEMP, and IATobin’s Q performance measures. For example, SOECGs have an industry adjusted ROA that is 1.8% higher than SAMB controlled firms, 0.7% higher than SOELGs (0.018 0.011), and 1.2% higher than Private controlled firms (0.018 0.006). These differences are economically significant. Furthermore, the F-statistics shown in Panel B indicate the DSOECG coefficients (a1) are significantly higher than the other ownership types except for the productivity measures. SOELG controlled firms have higher IAROA and Tobin’s Q than SAMB controlled 177 firms while Private controlled firms have lower IAROS and higher IAAEMP and Tobin’s Q than SAMB firms. SOELG controlled firms have significantly higher return on sales than Private firms (F-statistic = 9.83). To summarize the results from Tables 2 and 3, SAMBs demonstrate the poorest performance of the four groups of controlling shareholders of China’s listed companies while SOECGs perform the best. SOELGs are in between SAMBs and SOECGs while Private controlled firms do little better than SAMB firms. The results are consistent with our expectations which are based on the motivations of the different types of owners (Section 3). 6. Tests of reverse causality A potential problem with our results is endogeneity or reverse causality. It is conceivable that when the government decides to privatize the productive units of SOEs, they allocate the more profitable ones to a specific type of owner. If this is the case, then it will be difficult to ascribe a firm’s performance to the influence of its dominant shareholder. To test whether initial ownership types are influenced by firm performance, we construct a sample of 540 IPO firms that were listed in the period 1998–2004 and extract their operating performances for the first year after they were listed. We then use multinominal logit regression models to explore whether their operating performances influences the initial choice of ownership type. The models follow Schmidt and Strauss (1975). The untabulated results from the multinomial logit regressions show that the coefficients on operating performance are not significant. This indicates that the choice of initial ownership type for a Chinese listed company is not influenced by the company’s operating performance at that time and so reverse causality does not appear to be a problem. Our evidence is consistent with Aivazian et al. (2005), Wei et al. (2005), Wang (2003, 2005), and Deng et al. (2007) who, in different contexts, conclude that the Chinese government does not use the profitability of SOEs as a criterion in deciding which SOEs to corporatize and what the initial ownership structure should be. 7. Regulated industries, ownership concentration, and outside blockholders We check the robustness of the results by partitioning the sample on the basis of industry structure, ownership concentration, and outside blockholders.10 There may be significant industry effects due to regulation and monopoly. To examine this we divide the sample into the manufacturing industry, where regulation and monopoly are largely absent, and non-manufacturing. The regression results are broadly the same across the two sub-samples and so 9 We also use yearly regressions to get around the problem of serial correlation. The annual regressions yield similar results to those shown in Table 3. 10 For the sake of brevity we do not tabulate the results of these tests in the paper except for the percentage ownership analysis. 178 Table 2 Operating performance for firms with different types of largest shareholders SAMB Obs. 968 968 964 946 947 968 Median 0.42% 4.53% 7.32% 1.797 0.931 2.792 Obs. SOELG Mean Median Obs. Private Mean All Median Obs. Mean Median Obs. Mean Median 2.00% 4.24% 3.35% 0.608 0.310 2.446 839 839 838 827 828 839 4.43% 6.20% 7.13% 2.399 1.849 2.865 4.12% 5.52% 6.21% 0.893 0.522 2.419 3065 3065 3042 3009 3006 3065 3.19% 5.13% 2.68% 2.082 1.054 2.705 3.56% 4.86% 6.41% 0.650 0.319 2.351 1241 1241 1209 1221 1209 1241 0.75% 3.18% 13.11% 2.696 1.045 3.293 3.06% 3.42% 6.92% 0.873 0.312 2.616 6113 6113 6053 6003 5990 6113 2.43% 4.79% 1.45% 2.206 1.143 2.860 3.29% 4.52% 5.97% 0.715 0.341 2.422 1.07% 0.03% 2.10% 0.080 0.043 0.018 839 839 838 827 828 839 0.88% 1.49% 0.96% 1.452 1.457 0.326 0.54% 0.54% 0.38% 0.150 0.168 0.005 3065 3065 3042 3009 3006 3065 0.40% 0.32% 5.38% 1.170 0.680 0.194 0.06% 0.01% 0.07% 0.015 0.002 0.048 1241 1241 1209 1221 1209 1241 2.12% 0.60% 19.37% 1.524 0.594 0.796 0.19% 0.12% 0.86% 0.016 0.043 0.179 6113 6113 6053 6003 5990 6113 0.98% 0.27% 8.99% 1.225 0.743 0.341 0.00% 0.00% 0.21% 0.000 0.001 0.003 Panel B: Industry median adjusted ROA CFOA ROS AEMP SEMP Tobin’s Q 2.96% 0.16% 14.33% 0.816 0.512 0.236 968 968 964 946 947 968 SOECG vs SAMB a a Private vs SAMB b a SOECG vs SOELG b a Mean Median Mean Median Mean Median 8.408*** 1.876* 5.300*** 1.303 0.911 1.615 9.624*** 2.510** 9.396*** 2.775*** 2.467** 1.660* 0.618 3.266*** 1.607 3.139*** 0.788 5.101*** 4.702*** 2.877*** 6.732*** 7.309*** 1.443 3.488*** 4.179*** 3.039*** 2.833*** 1.217 4.386*** 2.825*** Panel D: Test of industry median adjusted differences 9.761*** 7.892*** ROA 8.865*** 3.261*** 0.529 CFOA 3.254*** ROS 5.612*** 6.365*** 4.802*** SEMP 2.339** 8.628*** 1.865* *** *** 12.407 1.250 AEMP 4.018 Tobin’s Q 1.418 1.112 0.935 8.619*** 0.870 7.522*** 4.987*** 5.977*** 0.570 1.563 1.838* 1.399 2.581*** 0.571 6.110*** 6.806*** 0.991 7.540*** 4.313*** 0.343 6.517*** 4.588*** 3.466*** 2.869*** 1.128 4.321*** 2.724*** Mean Median SOELG vs SAMB b Panel C: Test of RAW differences 9.900*** ROA 9.050*** CFOA 3.930*** 3.891*** ROS 6.025*** 7.866*** 9.053*** SEMP 2.121** AEMP 3.884*** 10.871*** Tobin’s Q 0.999 0.237 SOECG vs Private b a SOELG vs Private Meana Medianb 5.636*** 6.344*** 0.989 1.760* 9.649*** 2.961*** 7.166*** 6.196*** 7.391*** 2.769*** 0.080 9.206*** 4.127*** 6.038*** 0.834 6.397*** 0.763 6.069*** 3.337*** 4.142*** 1.687* 4.022*** 11.757*** 5.082*** 5.131*** 2.987*** 6.588*** 1.682* 0.749 10.340*** 0.069 2.113** 2.812*** 0.659 5.616*** 9.166*** Mean Median 2.999*** 2.426** 0.336 8.370*** 10.975*** 1.848* 7.115*** 6.699*** 6.142*** 0.911 3.832*** 4.065*** 3.877*** 3.115*** 0.385 6.151*** 10.337*** 1.908* 5.914*** 4.797*** 5.591*** 0.235 4.143*** 4.793*** b Notes: The table reports both raw (RAW) and industry median adjusted (IA) measures of operating performance. ROA/CFOA is operating earnings/cash flows deflated by the average book value of the total assets. ROS is operating earnings deflated by net sales. AEMP is the ratio of the average book value of total assets to the number of employees in RMB millions. SEMP is the ratio of net sales to the number of employees in RMB millions. Tobin’s Q is market value of total assets deflated by the average book value of total assets, where market value of total assets is the sum of monthly average market capitalization and average total debts. For some measures, the numbers of observations are slightly smaller than the sample sizes due to missing values. *** ** , , and * represent statistically different from 0 in T-test for means and in the Mann-Whitney U-test for medians at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. a t-value from the T-test of differences in means. b Z-value from the Mann-Whitney U-test of differences in medians. G. Chen et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 33 (2009) 171–181 Panel A: Raw ROA CFOA ROS AEMP SEMP Tobin’s Q SOECG Mean G. Chen et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 33 (2009) 171–181 179 Table 3 Pooled OLS regression analysis of industry adjusted operating performance on types of largest shareholders Dependent IAROA IACFOA IAROS IAAEMP IASEMP IATobin’s Q 0.020 (1.48) 0.018 (3.45***) 0.011 (2.62***) 0.006 (1.11) 0.013 (7.41***) 0.076 (6.35***) 0.091 (6.01***) 0.021 (6.64***) 0.008 (1.53) 0.2218 58.41 0.035 (3.20***) 0.009 (1.84*) 0.001 (0.31) 0.003 (0.70) 0.011 (6.27***) 0.003 (0.64) 0.001 (0.18) 0.014 (4.35***) 0.017 (3.24***) 0.0235 11.27 0.055 (0.72) 0.049 (1.90*) 0.028 (1.08) 0.066 (1.69*) 0.054 (6.18***) 0.351 (4.82***) 0.329 (5.01***) 0.083 (6.73***) 0.022 (0.75) 0.0979 26.17 2.755 (2.79***) 0.399 (0.72) 0.432 (1.12) 0.986 (2.01**) 0.727 (4.28***) 0.277 (0.98) 0.412 (1.56) 0.147 (0.55) 1.683 (3.34***) 0.0212 4.25 1.778 (2.76***) 0.747 (1.86*) 0.195 (0.87) 0.284 (1.22) 0.619 (4.02***) 0.368 (2.11**) 0.634 (3.16***) 0.069 (0.41) 0.992 (3.01***) 0.0311 4.37 0.897 (2.63***) 0.582 (4.37***) 0.240 (2.39**) 0.317 (2.82***) 0.911 (13.21***) 1.211 (2.01**) 0.224 (3.05***) 0.094 (1.72*) 0.347 (3.04***) 0.3102 28.62 6113 6113 6053 6003 5990 6113 3.61* 1.17 2.85* 3.12* 14.94*** 9.83*** 0.52 1.25 4.04** 0.00 1.03 1.59 3.47* 0.75 1.49 1.94 1.43 0.18 19.08*** 5.70** 7.93*** 16.09*** 5.13** 0.72 Panel a: Regressions Constant DSOECG DSOELG DPRIVATE SIZE LEV IOS EFN MarketI R2 Model Fstatistic OBS. Panel B: Test of equality in coefficients (F-statistics) a0 a0 a0 a1 a1 a2 vs. vs. vs. vs. vs. vs. a1 a2 a3 a2 a3 a3 11.92*** 6.87*** 1.24 3.16* 6.56** 1.97 3.40* 0.10 0.48 3.31* 5.73** 1.22 Notes: The Model: IAOPit ¼ a0 þ a1 DSOECGit þ a2 DSOELGit þ a3 DPRIVATEit þ b1 SIZEit1 þ b2 LEVit1 þ b3 IOSit þ b4 EFNit þ b5 MarketIit þ eit where IAOP represents the industry adjusted performance measures, including IAROA, IACFOA, IAROS, IAAEMP, IASEMP, and IATobin’sQ. DSOECG is a dummy variable coded 1 for firms whose biggest shareholder is a SOE affiliated to the central government. DSOELG is a dummy variable coded 1 for firms whose biggest shareholder is a SOE affiliated to the local government. DPRIVATE is a dummy variable coded 1 for firms whose biggest shareholder is a Private investor. SIZE is the logarithm of the book value of total assets in billions at the beginning of the year. LEV is the ratio of total debts to total assets at the beginning of the year. IOS is the total asset growth rate (this controls for the investment opportunity set). EFN is a dummy variable for right issues or seasoned issues made within the following three years (this controls for external financing needs). MarketI is the log of the NERI (National Economic Research Institute, China Reform Foundation) Index of marketization of China’s provinces. The table reports OLS regression with robust standard errors adjusted for clusters in firms. t-statistics are reported in brackets, where ***, ***, and * represent statistical significances at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. our findings are not dependent on regulated or monopolistic industries. The results are consistent with those shown in Tables 2 and 3. The analyses so far have concentrated on who is the largest shareholder. However another intriguing question is whether the percentage of shares owned by the largest investor has any bearing on performance. A larger ownership may better align the incentives of the dominant owner with the preferences of the minority investors. However, a high percentage ownership may make it easier to expropriate assets from the firm but it also makes it less worthwhile to do so. To explore the percentage of ownership issue we run the following regression model: IAOPit ¼ c0 þ c1 PSAMBit þ c2 PSOECGit þ c3 PSOELGit þ c4 PPRIVATEit þ v1 SIZEit1 þ v2 LEVit1 þ v3 IOSit þ v4 EFNit þ v5 MarketIit þ eit ð2Þ where PSAMB (PSOECG, PSOELG, PPRIVATE) is the percentage of shares owned by the different types of owners (plus affiliates) if that owner is the largest shareholder in the listed firm. The results are shown in Table 4. Positive and generally significant coefficients are reported for all the owner-types for IAROA, IACFOA, IAROS, and IATobin’s Q. This shows that the larger the share ownership of the controlling investor, the better the firm’s performance. Thus there is an alignment effect. The IAAEMP regression has negative and mostly significant coefficients on the owner type variables. Some prior research has concluded that there are nonlinear relations between ownership concentration and operating performance in China’s listed firms (Wang, 2005; Wei et al., 2005). To test this on our data, we add squared terms for each of the ownership variables (e.g., PSAMB2). However, the model specifications are rather weak when the squared terms are included and so the results are not tabulated in the paper. The evidence for a non-linear effect is weak. The behavior of large shareholders may be influenced by outside blockholders since some studies have shown that they provide monitoring functions of insider blockholders and managers (Shleifer and Vishny, 1986). To test for the effect of outside blockholders we amend Eq. (2) by adding a variable that represents the percentage ownership of outside blockholders. The untabulated results show that the 180 G. Chen et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 33 (2009) 171–181 Table 4 Pooled OLS regression analysis of ownership concentration and operating performance for China’s listed firms Dependent Constant PSAMB PSOECG PSOELG PPRIVATE SIZE LEV IOS EFN MarketI R2 Model F-statistic OBS. IAROA IACFOA *** 0.034 (2.76 ) 0.027 (2.16**) 0.058 (5.99***) 0.050 (6.16***) 0.054 (4.32***) 0.012 (6.53***) 0.073 (6.09***) 0.090 (5.95***) 0.019 (6.31***) 0.009 (1.61) 0.2281 53.38 6113 IAROS *** 0.049 (4.52 ) 0.028 (2.38**) 0.049 (4.39***) 0.030 (3.52***) 0.030 (2.39**) 0.010 (5.65***) 0.002 (0.35) 0.001 (0.08) 0.014 (4.22***) 0.017 (3.23***) 0.0277 11.57 6113 IAAEMP ** 0.132 (1.97 ) 0.188 (2.02**) 0.217 (3.65***) 0.206 (3.36***) 0.076 (0.82) 0.055 (5.72***) 0.351 (4.90***) 0.325 (4.98***) 0.082 (6.65***) 0.018 (0.61) 0.0987 22.65 6053 1.223 (1.16) 3.069 (2.25**) 2.011 (1.81*) 2.221 (2.42**) 1.574 (1.31) 0.778 (4.33***) 0.144 (0.51) 0.488 (1.81*) 0.122 (0.46) 1.646 (3.36***) 0.0238 3.77 6003 IASEMP IATobin’s Q ** 1.389 (2.20 ) 0.782 (1.15) 0.673 (0.80) 0.416 (0.85) 0.357 (0.58) 0.647 (4.12***) 0.306 (1.79*) 0.664 (3.31***) 0.083 (0.48) 1.015 (3.28***) 0.0312 3.87 5990 1.038 (3.17***) 0.402 (1.64) 1.388 (6.02***) 0.760 (4.07***) 1.061 (4.05***) 0.946 (13.31***) 1.256 (2.08**) 0.232 (3.23***) 0.117 (2.21**) 0.352 (3.08***) 0.3164 15.98 6113 Notes: The model: IAOPit ¼ c0 þ c1 PSAMBit þ c2 PSOECGit þ c3 PSOELGit þ c4 PPRIVATEit þ v1 SIZEit1 þ v2 LEVit1 þ v3 IOSit þ v4 EFNit þ v5 MarketIit þ eit where IAOP represents the industry adjusted operating performance measures, including IAROA, IACFOA, IAROS, IAAEMP, IASEMP, and IATobin’s Q. PSAMB (PSOECG, PSOELG, PPRIVATE) is the percentage ownership by the different types of owner (plus affiliates) if that owner is the largest owner. SIZE is the logarithm of the book value of total assets in billions at the beginning of the year. LEV is the ratio of total debts to total assets at the beginning of the year. IOS is the total asset growth rate (this controls for the investment opportunity set). EFN is a dummy variable for right issues or seasoned issues made within the following three years (to control for external financing needs). MarketI is the log of the NERI (National Economic Research Institute, China Reform Foundation) Index of marketization of China’s provinces. The table reports OLS regression with robust standard errors adjusted for clusters in firms. t-values are reported in brackets, where ***, ***, and * represent statistically different from 0 at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. outside blockholder coefficients are positive but they are only marginally significant for firms where the major shareholders are SAMBs and SOELGs. 8. Conclusions This study investigates the relations between types of large shareholders, ownership structure, and firm performance. We find that state shareholders differ in their management and monitoring effectiveness. The bureaucratic SAMBs perform worst, the SOECGs perform best, and the SOELGs are in-between. Private controlled listed firms are not superior to SOE controlled companies and are only marginally better than SAMB control. Our results contrast with prior research studies (e.g., Sun and Tong, 2003; Wei et al., 2005) that conclude that state ownership is harmful to listed firms. The difference in findings is due to our focus on who actually owns the shares rather than the share type. Furthermore, we go to great lengths to explain the different objectives of the different types of owners and how this impacts on firm performance. We find no evidence to suggest that the initial choice of controlling shareholder (usually a choice made by, or with the blessing of, the state) is dependent on a firm’s performance. In additional tests, we find that ownership concentration is positively related to the operating performance of the firms but there are no significant non-linear effects. A variety of robustness checks confirm the results. The results provide support for our argument that listed firms controlled by SAMBs have poorer performance than other types of ownership. The virtual absence of incentives and the lack of skills of the SAMBs (and their officials) to closely monitor the listed firms they control leave those firms bereft of leadership and oversight. In contrast to much received wisdom (Dewenter and Malatesta, 2001; Green, 2004; Megginson and Netter, 2001; Shleifer, 1998), we find that, in the context of China, listed firms that are controlled by Private investors do not perform the best. Our results are consistent with the suggestion of Stiglitz (1999) that market oriented state shareholders may be the most suitable controlling owners of firms in countries with weak institutional environments. Acknowledgement The authors thank the referees and the editors (Professor Giorgio Szego and Professor Fariborz Moshirian) for constructive comments and suggestions. The authors also thank Guochang Zhang, Paul Brockman, and seminar participants at the Hong Kong Polytechnic University and Sun Yat-Sen University for helpful discussions and suggestions. Firth acknowledges the financial support of an earmarked grant from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China (LU340307). 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