JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC THEORY 52, 232-236 (1990) A Letter to the Editor on Wage Bargaining* HANS HALLER Department of Economics, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, Virginia 24061 AND STEINAR HOLDEN Department of Economics, University of Oslo, PB 1095 Blindern, 0317 Oslo 3, Norway Received May 27, 1989; revised November 9, 1989 The Rubinstein perfect information alternating offers bargaining model is problematic when applied to wage negotiations. A strike or any other industrial action is not an automatic consequence of a delay in reaching an agreement, because production can continue normally also when negotiations take place. This paper extends the Rubinstein model to incorporate the choice of calling a strike, and it is shown that in this model there is no longer a unique subgame perfect equilibrium, and that strikes with a length in real time can occur in equilibrium. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Number: 026. 0 1990 Academic Press, Inc. This paper extends the Rubinstein [4] perfect information bargaining model by adding the feature that in the period that elapses between offers, one of the players (the union) can take an action (a strike) which affects * The basic model in this letter was developed independently by the authors; cf. Haller [2 3 and Holden [3]. The present exposition is based on Holden [3], where a more complete presentation is given, including~ all proofs. We are grateful to Michael Heel, Karl Ove Moene, Abhinay Muthoo, Ariel Rubinstein, and Asbjorn Rgdseth for helpful discussions and to a referee for helpful comments on an earlier draft. Part of Haller’s work was done while the author participated in the Research Project “Game Theory in the Behavioral Sciences” at the Center for Interdisciplinary Research (ZF), University of Bielefeld. Holden’s work was done at the Centre for Labour Economics, LSE. His work is part of the research project “Wage formation and unemployment” at SAF Center for Applied Research at the Department of Economics, University of Oslo. 232 0022-0531/90 $3.00 Copyright 0 1990 by Academic Press, Inc. All rights of reproduction in any form reserved. NON-COOPERATIVE WAGE BARGAINING 233 that period’s payoff to both players.’ This feature represents an important aspect of wage negotiations, namely that a strike or any other industrial action is not an automatic consequence of a delay in reaching an agreement, because production can continue normally also when negotiations take place. It is shown that in this model tkere is no longer a unique subgame perfect equilibrium, and that strikes with a length in real time can occur in equilibrium. THE BARGAINING MODEL The setup of the model is the following. There is an infinite number of periods, and in each period of normal production the firm has a value added of one unit of a good which the firm and the union can e between them. The union’s share is WE [O, 11, the firm’s share is Ii- W. If the union calls a strike, then both parties get zero in that period, but it is assumed not to affect the value added in later periods. initially the union’s share is W, r 0 (the wage level in the previous contract). W, is assumed to be the prevailing division until a new agreement is reached. For simpli both parties are assumed to have linear utility functions, so their pay can be represented by the discounted sum of future shares. For the union this is where U, = 0 if there is a strike in period t, ~1,= W, if there is no strike and an agreement has yet to be reached, and u, = W if an agreement is reached. 6 is the discount factor. For the firm we have correspondingly where v, = 0 if there is a strike in period t, v, = I - W, if there is no strike and an agreement has yet to be reached, and v, = 1 - W if an agreement is reached. The parties are assumed to make offers alternately, one offer per and without loss of generality the firm is assumed to make an offer in the beginning of period 1. The union can then accept or reject this offer. If t union accepts, the bargaining ends; if it rejects the union will have to ’ Later and firm Fernandez and Glazer using different discount [ 1] have factors. analysed essentially the same model-with union 234 HALLERANDHOLDEN decide whether to strike in this period or not. If the firm’s offer is rejected the union makes a new offer in the next period, which the firm accepts or rejects. If the union’s offer is accepted the game ends; if it is rejected the union decides whether to strike in this period, and it is the firm’s turn to make an offer in the following period, etc. Both parties are assumed to have perfect information. The structure of the game is illustrated in Fig. 1. A (subgame) perfect equilibrium of this bargaining game is a pair of strategies which constitute a Nash equilibrium in every subgame of this game. Before proceeding to find a perfect equilibrium in this game, it is convenient to investigate two other games where the union strike decision is taken as exogenous. One is the original Rubinstein game, where the union is assumed to strike in every period until an agreement is reached. The unique perfect equilibrium outcomes W, (W,) (cf. Rubinstein [4] or Shaked and Sutton [IS]), when the firm (union) makes the first offer, are W,=6/(1+6), w,= l/(1 +6). (3) The union can, however, use its strike decision to obtain a larger share than in the original Rubinstein game. By its. calling a strike only after its Period: 1 firm: union: x P game ends, (W,, union: l-WI) strike/no (O,O) strike wo, l-W01 strike/no (OtO) strike PO, l-W01 & union: propose firm: acce W2 t t/reject H game ends, (W,, x l-W,) union: )r firm: propose W, etc. FIG. 1. Structure in parentheses. of the game. Per period payoffs for the union and the firm, respectively, NON-COOPERATIVE WAGE 235 BARGAINING own proposals, and not after the firm’s, the costs of rejecting the union’s offers will be larger than the costs of rejecting the firm%. The unique perfect equilibrium outcomes IV’ (IV”) in this game, where the union is assumed to strike only after rejections of own proposals, an when the firm (union) makes the first offer, are lV’=(IV,+6)/(1+6), WU=(l +SWo)/(l +6). (43 This can be proved by the Shaked and Sutton [S] method. This method can also be used to prove that this is the best the union can achieve by any strike strategy. We now return to the more general bargaining model, where the union strike decision is endogenous. PROPOSITION 1. For all W* E [ W,,, W’], W* is a perfect equilibrium partition.” Proof (Sketch). The equilibrium path is an immediate proposal and acceptance of W*. These actions are supported by the convention that a deviation will be punished by one of the extreme equilibria below. No-strike equilibrium (union is forced down to Wo). Firm: offer W,, reject all W > W,, and accept a Union: offer W,, reject all W < W,, accept all strike. Disrupted strike equilibrium (firm is forced down to I - Wf). Firm: offer W”, reject all W> W”, and accept all W< W”. Unisn: offer W”, reject all W < Wf, accept all W 2 W’, strike in all even-numbered periods, and never strike in all odd-numbered periods, until agreement is reached. 0th players: switch to no-strike equilibrium if the union fails to strike in an even-numbered period without agreement. Remarks. Wage levels below W, or above Wf cannot be supported as perfect equilibria, as the union can never be forced below Wo, nor can the firm be forced above Wf. If disrupted strikes are not possible, the union cannot get a higher wage level than W, in any perfect equilibrium (this can be proved by the Shaked and Sutton method). In this case one couId define a strike equi~~b~~~~~ (where the union strikes in every period until an agreement is rea which can be substituted for the disrupted strike equilibrium in pr tion 1, and the only change would be that the range of wage levels which be supported as perfect equilibria would shri ’ We assume that W, -=c6Wf, otherwise it will never be optimal for the union to str&c after the firm has rejected an offer, and W’, is the unique perfect equilibrium. 236 HALLER AND HOLDEN PROPOSITION 2. For any integer N > 0 and all W* E [ W,/?iN, 1 (1 - W’)/S”], there is a discountfactor 6 < 1 such that a perfect equilibrium exists where the union strikes in N periods, whereupon an agreement is reached on W*. These strikes can have a length in real time, also when the length of each bargaining goes to zero. (Proox see Holden [3]). In such an equilibrium, as long as there is a strike both players propose an outcome which is very favourable to themselves (the union proposes W”, the firm proposes W,). Thus both players prefer a continuation of the strike to an agreement on the other player’s offer. If one of the players deviates from this path, for example by suggesting an early compromise, then this player is punished by a switch to one of the extreme equilibria in the proof of Proposition 1, which is worse for him than the one with the strike. The strike can have a significant length also when the length of each bargaining period goes to zero, as the length of the strike can be bounded away from zero by increasing the number of periods of strike at the same rate. REFERENCES 1. R. FERNANDEZAND J. GLAZER, “Striking for a Bargain between Two Completely Informed Agents,” Working Paper, Boston University, 1989. 2. H. HALLER, “Wage Bargaining as a Strategic Game,” Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Working Paper E-88-09-02, 1988. 3. S. HOLDEN, “Non-cooperative Wage Bargaining,” Centre for Labour Economics, LSE, Discussion Paper 349, 1989. 4. A. RUBINSTEIN,Perfect equilibrium in a bargaining model, Econometrica 50 (1982), 97-109. 5. A. SHAKED AND J. SUTTON, Involuntary unemployment as a perfect equilibrium in a bargaining model, Econometrica 52 (1984), 1351-1364.