(c) crown copyright Catalogue Reference:CAB/129/5 Image Reference:0023 flS DOCUMENT I S . , . IHI H IB I I I Bill t II I I S E I THE PROPERTY 111 I I II I - 1 -I, T i l OP H I S - I I ' BRITANNIC M A J E S T Y ' S ' ' -l' II I ' II I . j" ' I I ] ].l ' . I L .1 t T I II GOVERNMENT) - L - "\ II I I I M W M an* G -R E T CP.(45) 525 5TH DECEMBER, COPY NO. j ­ 1945. CABINET NATIONAL INSURANCE Memorandum by the Chancellor SCHEME of the Exchequer I . 1. The f o l l o w i n g t a b l e c o m p a r e s t h e c o s t of t h e p r o p o s a l s i n the Lord Privy S e a l ' s paper ( C P . (45)315) with t h a t of the p r o p o s a l s i n the White P a p e r . The f i r s t two c o l u m n s o f f i g u r e s c o v e r S o c i a l I n s u r a n c e and A s s i s t a n c e and I n d u s t r i a l Injury Insurance. They exclude Family Allowances and the National Health Services The t h i r d c o l u m n c o v e r s t h e same s e r v i c e s as t h e f i r s t two b u t i n c l u d e s a l s o t h e contribution o f £.37 m i l l i o n a y e a r w h i c h i s t o b o p a i d f r o m S o c i a l I n s u r a n c e funds t o w a r d s the c o s t of t h e N a t i o n a l H e a l t h Service. T h i s column t a k e s no a c c o u n t o f t h e L o r d P r i v y S e a l ' s p r o p o s a l s on c o n t r i b u t i o n s . . . e 1948 1948 1958 1968 Cost^pf Exchequer. £m. £m. £rn. 486 210 292 562 661 765 185 283 385 393 393 393 White Paper Present Proposed s " " " 11 C o n t r i b u t i o n s of i n s u r e d p e r s o n s and their employers. Total Expenditure. 2. The new p r o p o s a l s t h u s i n v o l v e , as compared w i t h t h e W h i t e P a p e r p r o p o s a l s , e x t r a e x p e n d i t u r e of £76 m i l l i o n i n 1 9 4 8 , m e t "by a n i n c r e a s e o f c o n t r i b u t i o n s ::f £ 1 0 1 m i l l i o n o f f s e t by a d e c r e a s e of E x c h e q u e r c h a r g e of £25 m i l l i o n . B u t t h e E x c h e q u e r c a r r i e s t h e w h i l e of t h e i n c r e a s i n g c o s t and the E x c h e q u e r c h a r g e r i s e s by about £100 m i l l i o n o v e r e a c h o f t h e two d e c a d e s f r o m 1 9 4 8 , Nor i s 1968 b y any moans the peak. An i n c r e a s e o f £10 m i l l i o n e a c h y e a r f o r t h e n e x t twenty i s a most f o r m i d a b l e p r o s p e c t f o r the E x c h e q u e r . 5. I n t w o r e s p e c t s , I dm n o t i n a g r e e m e n t w i t h t h e L o r d P r i v y S e a l ' s p r o p o s a l s on b e n e f i t s . F i r s t , the unlimited d u r a t i o n of unemployment b e n e f i t i s f r a u g h t w i t h p o s s i b i l i t i e s ­ of abuse s u f f i c i e n t to involve a r e a l r i s k rf b r i n g i n g Government a d m i n i s t r a t i o n i n t o d i s r e p u t e . I am a n x i o u s t o s e e t h a t b e n e f i t i s g i v e n t o a l l t h o s e who a r e i n t h e i n d u s t r i a l f i e l d a n d u n a b l e , t h r o u g h no f a u l t of t h e i r o w n , to o b t a i n work. B u t we m u s t r e c o g n i s e t h a t t h e l o n g t e r m u n e m p l o y e d i n c l u d e s o m e who h a v e m a d e n o a d e q u a t e efforts t o g e t w o r k a n d o t h e r s , p a r t i c u l a r l y m a r r i e d w o m e n , who a r e not really effectively in the industrial field. I s h o u l d be r e l u c t a n t t o s e e t h e a b a n d o n m e n t of t h e a u t o m a t i c termination o f b e n e f i t a f t e r a g e n e r o u s p e r i o d u n t i l we h a v e a s a t i s f a c t o r y a d m i n i s t r a t i v e c o n t r o l of t h e e a s e s o f l o n g t e r m u n e m p l o y m e n t . Such c o n t r o l no one has y e t been a b l e to d e v i s e . The p r i n c i p l e s h o u l d b e , I t h i n k , t h a t a n y - m a n o r woman, including a n y m a r r i e d w o m e n , who h a d d r a w n b e n e f i t f o r a c e r t a i n p e r i o d s h o u l d Be r e q u i r e d , a s a c o n d i t i o n of d r a w i n g f u r t h e r benefit, t o change e i t h e r h i s o c c u p a t i o n or h i s d i s t r i c t of residence, or both. B u t I am t o l d t h a t t h i s p r i n c i p l e i s difficult to apply in practice. 4. S e c o n d , a s r e g a r d s o l d age p e n s i o n s , I q u e s t i o n t h e n e c e s s i t y f o r c o n c e d i n g a p e n s i o n of 2 6 3 / - a week t o a s i n g l e pensioner. P e n s i o n e r s are accustomed to r e g a r d i n g a p e n s i o n f o r a m a r r i e d c o u p l e a s made up of two e q u a l p e n s i o n s one for each spouse. Indeed I t h i n k t h a t method of d i v i s i o n i s generally preferred, I s h o u l d s t i c k t o i t now. I agree to t h e f i g u r e of 4 2 s / - a week f o r t h e d o u b l e p e n s i o n b u t , on t h e view just expressed, the single pension should be fflLs/-. This w o u l d mean a n i n i t i a l s a y i n g t o t h e scheme of £ 2 7 m i l l i o n a year. I t would save, in a d d i t i o n to t h i s , £750,000 a y e a r o u t o f t h e f o r m i d a b l e a n n u a l I n c r e a s e of £ 1 0 m i l l i o n a y e a r mentioned above. 5* F u r t h e r I s t r o n g l y d i s s e n t from the propose.! t o pay a p e n s i o n o f 1 0 s / - a week a t 3 5 ( 6 0 f o r women) w h e r e the pensioner, has not r e t i r e d . This v i o l a t e s the p r i n c i p l e of r e t i r e m e n t pensions and i s i n c o n f l i c t w i t h the frequently d e c l a r e d p o l i c y of t h e LaBour P a r t y . I t i s of the utmost i m p o r t a n c e t o i n d u c e workers t o r e m a i n a t work as l o n g as t h e y a r e e f f i c i e n t p r o d u c e r s a n d t h e B e s t way t o s e c u r e t h i s i s to g i v e h i g h e r p e n s i o n s o n r e t i r e m e n t f o r t h o s e who p o s t p o n e retirement. I agree that the addition proposed in the B e v e r i d g e r e p o r t o f I s / - a week ( 2 s / - f o r man a n d w i f e ) for e a c h y e a r o f p o s t p o n e m e n t i s i n a d e q u a t e ^ I am w i l l i n g t o g i v e t h e maximum o f i n d u c e m e n t w h i c h bhe s a v i n g s o n p o s t p o n e m e n t justify? a n d I am a d v i s e d t h a t we p c n l d m a k e t h e i n d u c e m e n t 2 s / 6 d s i n g l e and 5s/-- double f o r each y e a r . I do n o t think we n e e d g i v e m u c h w e i g h t t o t h e p r e s e n t e x p e c t a t i o n o f a n u n c o n d i t i o n a l p e n s i o n a t 6 5 , i n view of t h e v e r y l a r g e net a d v a n t a g e s o f f e r e d 'to c o n t r i b u t i o n s ^ J a y t h e n e w s c h e m e i s b y and l a r g e markedly more advantageous to t h e c o n t r i b u t o r than the p r ? e s e n o e n s * 6. The L o r d P r i v y S e a l p r o p o s e s t h a t t h e c o n t r i b u t i o n of t h e w o r k e r s s h o u l d be b r o u g h t down from 5 s / 2 d a week t o 4 s / 6 d a w e e k f o r a man i n G l a s s I a n d t o a p p r o p r i a t e figures for other, c l a s s e s . B e f o r e c o n s i d e r i n g t h i s p r o p o s a l we m u s t f i r s t s e t t l e what the b e n e f i t s are to b e . The l i m i t a t i o n on t h e d u r a t i o n of unemployment b e n e f i t to t h i r t y weeks and t h e r e d u c t i o n of p e n s i o n s f o r a s i n g l e p e r s o n f r o m 2 6 s / - t o 2 1 s / - would e a c h s a v e a b o u t 7d a week on t h e total c o n t r i b u t i o n ( h a l f on t h e w o r k e r , h a l f on t h e e m p l o y e r ) . If,, t h e r e f o r e , t h e s e two a m e n d m e n t s w e r e m a d e , t h e w o r k e r s ' c o n t r i b u t i o n would be r e d u c e d to 4 / 7 . , I n any c a s e , i f the c o n t r i b u t i o n i s t h o u g h t t o b e t o o h i g h , we m u s t c o n s i d e r some a p p r o p r i a t e a l t e r a t i o n i n t h e b a s i s on w h i c h t h e contribution i s b u i l t up. I cannot contemplate merely an a r b i t r a r y t r a n s f e r of so many p e n c e a week f r o m t h e w o r k e r to the taxpayer. This would soon l e a d t o pressure f o r a bigger arbitrary transfer. The p r a c t i c a l q u e s t i o n i s how heavy a b u r d e n can be imposed, w i t h o u t r u n n i n g grave future r i s k s , on t h e t a x p a y e r and on t h e contributor. 1 IV, 7o I t h a s b e e n c l e a r f r o m t h e t i m e o f t h e Be v e r i d g e R e p o r t t h a t o. c o m p r e h e n s i v e s c h e m e o f S o c i a l I n s u r a n c e w o u l d i n v o l v e major financial considerations both at -nee a n d , i n increasing degree, in the future. Now we h a v e r e a c h e d t h e d e c i s i o n s t a g e of i n c o r p o r a t i n g p r o p o s a l s i n a B i l l . 8a S o c i a l I n s u r a n c e on g e n e r o u s l i n e s i n v o l v e s a s u b s t a n t i a l t r a n s f e r of p u r c h a s i n g power from p r o d u c e r s t o non­ producers. And t h i s i s i n a d d i t i o n t o many o t h e r large t r a n s f e r s of a s i m i l a r c h a r a c t e r a l r e a d y b e i n g made Whether t h e t r a n s f e r s i n v o l v e d w i l l be a c c e p t e d by t h e -producers, w h e t h e r i n t h e f o r m of c o n t r i b u t i o n s o r t a x a t i o n , depends p a r t l y on t h e v p l u m e o f p r o d u c t i o n ait of which the transfers h a v e t o b e m a d e a n d p a r t l y on t h e a m o u n t of t h e transfer, The e s s e n t i a l c v n d i t i o n f o r a s u c c e s s f u l c a r r y i n g of a l l these b u r d e n s i s a h i g h l e v e l of p r o d u c t i o n i . e . f u l l employment o f t h e m a x i m u m n u m b e r of' p o t e n t i a l w o r k e r s o a t h a h i g h standard of p r xluctivit,y c e 9.-' The p r e s e n t p r o p o s a l s h o v e , h o w e v e r , t h e s p e c i a l feature t h a t owing t o t h e g r o w t h I n t h e n u m b e r s of t h e p o p u l a t i o n , o v e r 65 and ( a f t e r a s h o r t t e r m ) t h e d i m i n u t i o n i n t h e numbers b e t w e e n 16 and 65, the b u r d e n w i l l become s i g n i f i c a n t l y heavier a s t h e y e a r s go o n . This i s , as I see i t , a r e a l d a n g e r p o i n t . The m e a s u r e s w h i c h may h a v e t o b e talc en from t i m e t o t i m e c a n n o t be s e t t l e d now. B u t w h i l e wo c a n n o t f o r e t e l l the f u t u r e , we m u s t i r y n o t t o p r e j u d i c e i t . One p a r t i c u l a r m e a s u r e w h i c h may h e l p a g r e a t d e a l w i l l p r o b a b l y b e e n c o u r a g e m e n t o f w o r k e r s t o r e m a i n on t h e a c t i v e l i s t longer t h a n t h e y do now.- I t i s f o r t h a t r e a s o n t h a t I should - 3 ­ especially deplore the under lining in the new scheme of the age of 65 as an age for pension and in particular the institution, alongside retirement pensions at the age of retirement, of a pension at 65 irrespective of retirement. Pensions should be given at retirement, -The future can settle when retirement is to be. H.D, Treasury Chambers, S.if. 1.. 5TH DECEMBER, 1915.