Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project Ohio Methodology November, 2006 Project Summary One purpose of the Spatial Analysis Project (SAP) is to create a data layer for a state that represents levels of potential benefit from, or suitability for inclusion in, the Forest Stewardship Program as delivered by state forestry agencies and the U.S. Forest Service. The SAP is fundamentally a GIS-based analysis aimed at identifying the most suitable private lands for FSP consideration. The modeling approach used in Ohio employs a weighted overlay analysis using ArcGIS 9.1 Model Builder, and utilizes many standard GIS datasets for the state.. The factors were differentiated into two groups: resource potential and resource threats. The resource potential factors include: Riparian Zones Priority Watersheds Forest Patch Size Natural Heritage Data Public Drinking Water Supply Sources Private Forest Lands Proximity to Public Lands Wetlands Topographic Slope The resource threat factors include: Forest Health Development Level Wildfire Assessment Certain lands within any state are not eligible for inclusion in the Forest Stewardship program. Land use / land cover factors which identify these areas are open water, urban areas and publicly owned lands. A mask was created to exclude these areas from the analysis. Once the 11 factors were identified, the relative importance of each of the criteria based on their state-specific conditions was determined. Ohio Department of Natural Resources, Division of Forestry staff and the Ohio Forest Stewardship Committee ranked the criteria and an average weight was calculated for each. The 11 layers were then combined in a GIS overlay analysis which took into account the weight for each factor. The final product was a single data layer which represents the suitability of the land for inclusion in the Forest Stewardship Program. There were three main phases to the Ohio SAP: database development, data layer ranking, and spatial overlay modeling. Database Development – this task involved the collection, evaluation and processing of the thematic data layers needed to conduct the SAP assessment for Ohio. The basic data products used to derive the thematic layers for the Ohio SAP are given in Table 1. Table 1: Source Data for Ohio SAP Data Layer Source* Scale Wildfire assessment Grid analysis on land cover and DEM 30 meter Forest patches MRLC TM 30 meter Proximity to public land Protected Lands 1:24000 Threatened and DEP—Heritage database 1:24000 endangered species Change in households USFS, Census block data 30-meter grid Forest pests USFS 1:24000 Wetlands DEP/NRCS or USGS 1:24000 Riparian areas Derived from DEP hydro streams 1:24000 DEP—Aquifer protection Public water supplies wells and surface water quality layer 1:24000 Slope Statewide NED DEM layer, USGS 30 meter Priority watersheds HUC from USGS 1:100000 Analysis mask (urban, open water, public lands) MRLC and DEP data sets 30 meter Data Layer Definitions All map files imported, transformed and created by the Ohio SAP were projected to a common standard coordinate system (NAD 1983 UTM Zone 17N). Vector files where projected using the Transverse Mercator projection and Raster files were created using a 30 meter cell size. All raster files were coded using the 0/1 convention for raster-based thematic data. Riparian Zones: Riparian zones were derived from the Ohio Streams shape files as defined by the streams of the US from (http://nationalatlas.gov/atlasftp.html?openChapter s=chpwater#chpwater ) and (http://arcdata.esri.com/data/tiger2000/tiger_statel ayer.cm?sfips=39 ). Riparian zones were created by buffering (100 meters each side) of the perennial streams from the streams layer. The buffers are shown on the map at left. This threshold was the minimum set that could be extract based on the minimum mapping unit and resolution of the data set as a function of scale. Priority Watersheds: These watersheds are considered priorities for various reasons. Priority watersheds in Ohio were determined by using the 2002 Percent of Impaired Waters data produced by the EPA (http://www.epa.gov/waters/data/downloads.h tml). The sixth hydrological unit level (subwatershed) was used based on the Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project Methodology Report for Colorado December 2005. The subwatershed layer was thus reclassified based on EPA Percent Impaired Waters data: 1= any % impairment and 0 for no % impairment. Forest Patches: All forest cover used in this project was extracted from the Ohio GAP and MRLC data sets. Forest areas where selected based on land cover class and the selected sets saved Forest polygons based on a 150 acre threshold were used to determine minimum patch size. This threshold was selected due to the constraints imposed by the spatial resolution of the data. Values below this minimum generated significant problems with sliver and spurious polygons which would severely reduce the fidelity of this data layer. Threatened and Endangered Species: This layer was derived from the Ohio Department of Natural Resources, Division of Natural Areas and Preserves Natural Heritage database. Polygons with either threatened or endangered species were selected and the selected set was then converted to a raster format. Public Drinking Water Supply Areas: Using shapefiles obtain from the Ohio EPA Public Water Supply Systems dataset, point data locations of public aquifer protection wells and surface water intake zones were used to create two initial layers: a 500 meter buffer surrounding wells and 100 meter buffer surrounding surface intakes. These layers were subject to a union overlay to form a single layer and converted to raster format. Proximity to Public Lands: This file was derived from 3 shapefiles: Ohio Department of Natural Resources (ODNR) lands, USFS Wayne National Forest Lands and non-ODNR lands. All public land ownership was created by merging these individual agency files and then buffering the polygons by 10,000 meters. The public land polygons were then subtracted from the buffer layer to form the map shown at right. Wetlands: Digital National Wetlands Inventory shapefiles originally compiled at 1:24,000 scale by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service together with the Ohio GAP land cover data set were used as the source for this layer. Wetland areas were selected from these layers, and a union overlay was employed to merge the sets together. This final shapefile was converted to raster format for further analysis. Topographic Slope: A statewide 30 meter Digital Elevation Model (1:24,000 scale source) from the National Elevation Dataset (USGS) was used to select areas where slope is between 5% and 40%. Percentage slope was derived from the Ohio 30 meter Digital Elevation Model (DEM) raster file using the Spatial Analyst “Surface Analysis” tool, at a cell size of 30 and named SlopePer30. A complete merged DEM of the state of Ohio was downloaded from the Ohio metadata explorer. This grid was then reclassified to a value of 1 for slope between 0-12%, 2 for slope between 12-24% and 3 for slope 24%-↑. Forest Health: Forest Health/Forest Pests data layers were obtained directly from the ODNRDivision of Forestry and transformed into the map datum and projection system used for the Ohio SAP and converted to raster format. Developing Areas: Based on U.S. Census Bureau 1990 and 2000 data, census block group data for change in households for 1990 and 2000 (http://www.census.gov/ ), and census Ohio block group shapefiles for 1990 and 2000 (http://arcdata.esri.com/data/tiger2000/tiger_s tatelayer.cfm?sfips=39 ) were downloaded. Census block group polygons from 1990 and 2000 were unioned to deal with differing census geography boundaries and the number of households was calculated. The change in number of households from 1990 to 2000 was then calculated. Wildfire Assessment: This GIS layer was obtained directly from the ODNR- Division of Forestry and transformed into the map datum and projection system used for the Ohio SAP and converted to raster format Analysis Mask: The analysis mask contains the areas not considered in the analysis: urban/developed areas, publicly owned lands, and open water. This file was created through the reclassification of the Ohio GAP land cover file, eliminated land cover categories to be excluded (0) from analysis. Land covers to include were reclassified as 1. This initial mask was then subject to Boolean overlay ( multiplied) with the public land layer to complete the final masking layer. Data Layer Ranking – this task will focuses on the application of ODNRDivision of Forestry layer weights and criteria to the SAP data layers. Of the eleven criteria identified as contributing to the potential Stewardship Program benefit of a given piece of ground, some will likely be more important than others. To account for differing levels of importance Ohio Department of Natural Resources, Division of Forestry staff ( n = 22 ) ranked the 11 criteria. Staff was asked to rank each factor from 1 to 11, with 1 being the most important. In addition a value of influence (weight) or importance was assigned to each variable (Table 2). Table 2: Criteria Ranking and Weighting Criteria Rank Forest Patch Size 1 Riparian Corridor 2 Priority Watershed 3 Forest Pests 4 Public Water Supply 5 Change in Household 6 Wetlands 7 T & E Species 8 Proximity to Public Land 9 Slope 10 Fire Risk 11 Weight/ % Influence 17.1 14.5 12.3 10.1 9.2 9.1 7.5 6.9 6.4 4.3 2.0 Spatial Overlay Modeling – this task centered on the GIS treatment of the SAP data layers following a “suitability assessment” methodology. Using the standard SAP procedure, data layers were multiplied by their criteria weights and mathematically overlayed to produce a composite SAP layer for Ohio. The analysis process employed the ArcGIS 9.1 ModelBuilder function to develop the derivative map products required for this step in the Ohio SAP. Typically operations required reclassification, simple addition, and Boolean overlay. However in producing the composite state Stewardship Potential map the method of Weighted Overlay was used. Weighted Overlay overlays several rasters using a common measurement scale and weights each according to its importance. Each value class in an input raster is assigned a new value based on an evaluation scale and these new values are reclassifications of the original input raster values. Each input raster is weighted according to its importance, or its percent influence. The weight is a relative percentage, and the sum of the percent influence weights must equal 100 percent. The model developed to product the Ohio Stewardship Potential map is shown in Figure 1. Figure 1: ModelBuilder design used to produce Ohio Stewardship Potential Map.