United States Department of Agriculture Forest Service Pacific Northwest Region Okanogan Wenatchee National Forest October 2007 2007 Multi-Day Burn Pilot Final Report Okanogan-Wenatchee National Forest Naches Ranger District Summary District burns about 1,500-2,000 acres during the spring burning window. In addition, the burning was accomplished with minimal impacts to air quality. In the spring of 2007, the Okanogan-Wenatchee National Forest (OWNF) - Naches Ranger District, in cooperation with the State of Washington Department of Natural Resources (DNR), the State of Washington Department of Ecology (DOE), and the Yakima Regional Clean Air Authority (YRCAA), tested a variety of new procedures intended to increase the possibility of accomplishing multiple-day, landscapelevel prescribed burns during the spring burning program. This type of burning, needed to improve forest health and reduce the risk from wildfire, has been difficult to achieve in the past due in large part to air quality concerns in the local area. This report provides a summary of the efforts of many contributors to the pilot project and identifies the factors that were most useful for making the spring 2007 burning a success. Background Nearly 100 years of fire suppression, historic logging, and grazing practices have dramatically altered forest conditions on the OWNF. The exclusion of frequent, low-intensity fires has resulted in a huge accumulation of flammable vegetation and woody debris throughout eastern Washington forests. One consequence has been a steady increase in large, uncontrollable wildfires that burn very large forest areas, threaten rural homes and communities, expose residents to heavy smoke for many days, and seriously damage tourism-based economies (Figures 1-3). The Naches District proposed burning up to 5,500 acres in 4 distinct units in the spring of 2007 by using a combination of extra scientific support and a modified smoke permitting process. In the end 3,512 acres were treated, short of the goal but still far more acres than had been treated in previous years. Typically the Naches Wildfire Acres Burned per Year - Okanogan/Wenatchee NF 250,000 200,000 Acres Burned Trend in Acres Burned 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Figure 1: Acres burned annually on the Okanogan-Wenatchee National Forest are increasing at an alarming rate. 1 Figure 2: Wildfire smoke in Leavenworth (1994), Chelan (2001), Winthrop (2006), and Leavenworth (2001) Winthrop and Twisp Smoke During 2006 Tripod Wildfire (Actual 24-hr averages certainly higher at times since the instruments used max out at 160ug/m3) 180 Winthrop 140 Twisp AQI-Very Unhealthy AQI-Unhealthy AQI-Unhealthy for Sensitive 120 100 AQI-Moderate 80 60 40 20 Figure 3: Wildfires can cause many weeks of poor air quality. 2 9/ 10 /0 6 9/ 3/ 06 8/ 27 /0 6 8/ 20 /0 6 8/ 13 /0 6 8/ 6/ 06 0 7/ 30 /0 6 PM2.5 (ug/m3 24-hr ave.) 160 In response to these trends, the US Forest Service has pursued a dry forest management strategy on the Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests for more than a decade. The goal is to achieve more sustainable conditions in these forest types where fire is a frequent visitor. “Sustainable conditions” translate into more natural, open stands composed of relatively fire tolerant tree species such as Ponderosa pine, Douglas-fir and western larch. The primary management activities used to achieve those objectives include thinning (reducing the number of trees) in dense forest groves, and prescribed or controlled burn- ing. Thinning may be accomplished via commercial timber sales to alter species composition and reduce the amount of excess fuels. Prescribed fire may then be used to reduce woody debris on the forest floor, prune low branches from remaining trees, remove excess natural vegetation and underbrush and encourage the growth of desirable native plants. The result is a forest where wildfires are likely to be much less severe. These areas of reduced fuels also provide firefighters with better opportunities to successfully halt wildfires before they threaten rural communities and valuable resources (Figure 4). Figure 4: Overgrown, dense stands of trees are first thinned using mechanical treatments, and then burned to remove residual fuels. The result is a healthier, more fire resistant forest. 3 Naches Pilot Project In the spring of 2007, the OWNF - Naches Ranger District, in cooperation with DNR, DOE, and YRCAA, tested a variety of new procedures to help increase the likelihood of accomplishing multiple-day, landscape-level prescribed burns during the spring burning program. Burning in the spring takes advantage of favorable moisture conditions that make the fires more controllable, and unstable meteorology that can quickly disperse the smoke away from populated areas. Much of the area within the wildland urban interface (WUI) on the east side of the Cascades has been identified as a high risk for catastrophic wildfires. In December of 2005 the Residents of the Highway 410 and 12 communities prepared a Community Wildfire Protection Plan that identifies projects in the area that are needed to reduce the danger to their communities. Many of the identified projects are on federally managed lands in the area (Figure 5, Table 1). Due to the backlog of areas needing treatment for fire hazard reduction, the Naches District has proposed an aggressive program of fire use over the next 10 years. For spring 2007, the district proposed burning up to 5,500 acres in 4 distinct units by utilizing a combination of extra scientific support and a modified decision making process. In the end 3,512 acres were accomplished, short of the goal but still far more acres than had been accomplished in previous years. Typically the Naches District accomplishes about 1,5002,000 acres during the spring burning window. Figure 5: Areas proposed for burning on the Naches in spring 2007 were within areas designated by the State of Washington as High Risk Wildland Urban Interface (WUI). Table 1: Areas on the Naches district proposed for spring burning in 2007. Name Acres Notes Devils Table 1,178 Grass and timber. Partnership with Rocky Mtn. Elk foundation. Kaboom 3,200 Elevation ranges from 2500’ to 6000’ Elderberry 1,000 Partnership with Nature Conservancy Rattle 15,16,17 332 4 Air Quality Protection New Methods for the Naches Pilot One major difficulty in implementing prescribed burning in the Naches area is the desire to protect air quality in surrounding communities including Yakima which have had a history of air quality problems. Yakima was considered in non-attainment of National Ambient Air Quality Standards for particulate matter from 1990 until 2005 when air quality monitoring showed improvements sufficient for the area to be deemed in attainment of the standards once again. Much work has been done by state and local agencies, and local citizens, to improve air quality in Yakima so the area can continue to meet the standard into the future. The Naches pilot could not have been considered a success unless air quality could be protected simultaneously. A network of temporary air pollution monitors was used to supplement the existing state networks and provide early warning of any smoke issues. A number of new procedures were brought together to make the Naches pilot a success. These included: A specially trained Incident Meteorologist (IMET) assigned to the Naches District to provide daily, customized meteorological consultation; A modified decision making process between DNR and OWNF provided expanded opportunities to local managers; Air quality monitoring instruments deployed in local communities and the readings factored into daily decisions; Expanded communication with communities in the area so they knew what to expect; Forest Service scientists provided support with fuels monitoring and smoke modeling. The DNR regulates smoke from silvicultural (forest land) burning on state, private and federal forest lands under the state smoke management plan. Under the plan, DNR has responsibility for issuing go/no go burn decisions for both single day burns and multiple day landscape burns. The DNR smoke management program has a very successful record of keeping smoke from forestry burning from unduly impacting the public. For the Naches pilot, DNR approved the OWNF’s proposal for a modified decision making process addressing multiple day burn proposals that met requirements of the existing smoke management plan. The proposal brought together the expertise of OWNF prescribed fire managers; in consultation with the best meteorological, monitoring, and science support the agency could assemble; to allow local decisions for accomplishing additional burning as long as conditions agreed to in the proposal were met. Incident Meteorologist Meteorology is the most critical variable determining whether smoke will or will not impact the public. Typically, DNR smoke managers look at statewide meteorological models, maps of terrain, and burn requests made the day prior to make their go/no go decisions. The National Weather Service has meteorologists who are specially trained to support wildfire operations. One of these IMETs was assigned to the Naches District for the duration of the pilot to provide additional, site specific meteorological support. The IMET performed many valuable functions including analysis of meteorological models, daily balloon soundings, operation of smoke monitoring instruments, and immediate meteorological updates if conditions changed. The IMET also gained familiarity with how the local terrain interacted with, and influenced meteorology. The IMET proved to be extremely valuable to the daily decision making process (Figure 6). 5 2. DNR will issue a Go/No Go decision using the established protocol consisting of eight criteria as included in the Washington Smoke Management Plan. If the prescribed fire manager anticipates an early morning ignition, DNR will make a Go/No Go decision the prior day. 3. When an initial Go decision is received from DNR, decisions to ignite the first and subsequent burns listed above will be made by the OWNF based on determination that weather and site conditions support a burn that will meet all burn objectives. Factors used to make that decision will include: current and expected weather, ability to meet prescription objectives of the burn, monitoring from various air quality instruments in the air-shed, coordination with the on-site IMET, coordination with the local line officer, and daily communications with DNR. Figure 6: A specially trained National Weather Service Incident Meteorologist (IMET) proved to be extremely valuable to the success of the Naches pilot. Modified Decision Process from DNR 4. If the OWNF suspends burning to avoid reaching air quality levels that trigger our contingency strategy, burning operations may resume once conditions warrant without going through the DNR permission process again. The modified process allowing OWNF prescribed fire managers to make decisions to continue burning when conditions were favorable enabled extra acres to be accomplished on many days during the spring burning window. Following is a summary of the parts of the agreement between the OWNF and the DNR that were unique to the 2007 pilot and were most helpful to accomplishing extra burning. 5. If air quality is High at any of the 4-project monitoring locations the burn approval process will return to Step 1, and no further ignition will be made without DNR approval. 6. If for any weather related instances (rain that puts burns out, snow, or some other reason that results in a burning delay for numerous consecutive days) the burn approval process will return to Step 1 for DNR approval. Daily Operation during 2007 Prescribed Fire Season The established statewide DNR process for review and approval of silvicultural burns will be used. These steps are only for the Kaboom, Devils Table, Elderberry and Rattle landscape burns on the Naches District as reviewed by DNR and the OWNF during the pre burn season. Sequential steps in the burn approval process are as follows: Coordination within the OWNF is between the project burn boss, District line officer, Forest Supervisors Office, and DNR. If at any time during the burning sequence of the four project burns a burn ban goes into effect for the Yakima area, the OWNF will stop burning and reinitiate the burn approval process with DNR at such time as conditions warrant. If a Stage 1 burn ban is called by YRCAA or DOE, ignition will cease. If a Stage 2 burn ban is called by YRCAA or DOE, ignition will cease and mopup will begin. 1. The initial request to initiate burning will be made by the Naches District to the DNR, using the normal computerized requesting process, as outlined by DNR for all silvicultural burning. 6 Air Quality Monitoring Air quality monitoring was included in the trial since maintaining good local area air quality was a critical measure of success. The general goal of the air monitoring was to inform the OWNF of smoke concentration trends and accumulations in populated areas downwind of the prescribed fire locations. This information was used by forest staff to make fire management decisions to minimize air quality degradation. In addition to an existing instrument in Yakima, air monitoring instruments (EBAM’s) were installed and operated at four locations (Figure 7) including: Naches Nile Valley Windy Point Campground Tieton/Cowiche Air Quality Instrumentation The four instruments operated by the OWNF for the duration of the project were in closer proximity to the burn areas than the existing DOE instrument site in Yakima. The Naches and Tieton/Cowiche sites were located in small communities between Yakima and the project areas. The Nile Valley and Windy Point sites were located considerably closer to the project areas in narrow canyons along river corridors where there are rural residences. Table 2 shows distances and direction from the two project areas to each instrument location. Figure 7: Smoke monitoring instruments (EBAMs) were deployed in four locations around the Naches burning. Table 2: Proximity of air monitoring instruments to project areas. Distance & Direction From Project Locations Air Monitoring Instruments Devils Table Kaboom Naches 16 mi E 21 mi E Nile Valley 4 ½ mi NE 14 mi NE Windy Point Campground 8 ½ mi SE 10 mi E-NE Tieton/Cowiche 14 mi SE 17 mi E Yakima DOE Site 28 mi SE 30 mi E 7 If air quality was High at any of the 4 project monitoring locations, Each instrument contained a modem that automatically transmitted monitoring data to a web site via satellite connection. (The Windy Point instrument had satellite connection difficulties so that instrument was downloaded manually each morning.) Monitoring values for the prior 24 hours were downloaded each morning and compared to air quality trigger points prior to the go/no-go decision conference call. DNR smoke management in consultation with the fire management team assessed whether forecasted meteorological conditions will allow improved air quality in the next 24-hours, If not, the team agreed to initiate immediate mop-up actions on all prescribed burn areas that may be contributing to the impaired air conditions. Every morning the monitoring data was analyzed and air quality at each of the 4 monitoring locations was rated and categorized as follows: If meteorological conditions are predicted to improve air quality in the next 24 hours the team would assess and implement actions to accelerate improved air quality including cessation of ignition, changing burn operations to promote better plume lofting and dispersion, or initiation of mop-up. “Good” indicated that no 1-hour PM2.5 concentration measured during the previous 24-hours exceeded 35µg/m3 and the 24-hour running average was at 15µg/m3 or less. “Moderate” indicated that one (or more) 1-hour average PM2.5 concentration of 35µg/m3 or greater measured during the previous 24-hours, and/or the 24-hour average was greater than 15µg/m3. For decisions concerning initial ignitions for new project areas: If air quality at all locations was Good, forecast dispersion was favorable, and no burn bans have been called for downwind areas, then burn planning and activities could proceed. “High” indicated that a running 24-hour average concentration of 35µg/m3 or greater was measured during the previous 24-hour reporting period. The air quality rating was then used for decisions concerning actively burning areas as follows: If air quality was Moderate at any of the 4-project monitoring locations and no burn bans had been called for downwind areas, the fire management team agreed to assess whether forecasted meteorological conditions would improve air quality conditions over the next 24-hours. If air quality at all 4 locations was Good, then burn planning and activities could proceed. If air quality was Moderate at any of the 4project monitoring locations and it was directly attributable to smoke from a Naches District prescribed fire, If meteorological conditions were predicted to improve air quality conditions in the subsequent 24-hours then new ignition plans could proceed with caution. The fire management team would assess and implement appropriate actions to improve air quality. Possible actions may include cessation of ignition, changing burn operations to promote better plume lofting and dispersion, or initiation of mop-up, so as to meet the overall objective of maintaining air quality conditions at least within the Moderate or Good ranges. If meteorological conditions were not predicted to improve air quality conditions in the subsequent 24-hours then new ignitions would not proceed. If air quality was High at any of the 4-project monitoring locations or a burn ban has been called for downwind area(s), no new ignitions were to be considered. 8 Table 3 shows the total number of days each instrument operated and the number of days air quality was in each air quality category. Yakima monitoring values are included in addition to the project monitors. Table 3: Days in each air quality category by instrument for spring burning days when the instruments were in operation. Air Quality Category Air Monitoring Instruments # Days in Operation Good Moderate High Naches 34* 33 1 0 Nile Valley 69 56 9 4 Windy Point Campground 66 43 23 0 Tieton/Cowiche 58 53 5 0 Yakima DOE Site 73 73 0 0 *The first instrument installed at Naches was replaced due to malfunctioning. Communications Plan 9. Radio Interviews Communicating with the public prior to the prescribed burn season is standard procedure for the Naches District. The district communications plan was updated and revised prior to the 2007 pilot burns to customize it for the goals of the trial. 10. Prescribed Fire Display 11. FS National Fire Plan folks 12. Hunter Pamphlet 13. Washington Hunting News/Cascade 14. County and State Fairs The goal of the Public Information Action Plan was to inform and, when possible, educate people about prescribed fire; provide channels to receive and respond to public comments and concerns; and provide contacts for info on smoke/health, the district’s prescribed fire program, and prescribed fire use. Components of the Action Plan included: 15. Visiting Campgrounds and Hunter Camps 16. Community Fire Planning Group 17. Public Information Meeting 18. Complaint Tracking System 19. Contingency Communication Plan 1. Provide public involvement and input opportunity during the NEPA analysis for each proposed burning project. Three calls from concerned public were received at the Naches district during the spring burning effort. One call came from the Tieton area on May 18, 2007 where the caller objected to any burning in the White Pass area. Two calls were received on May 22, 2007, both with concerns about smoke in the Tieton area. Overall the number of complaints was quite low given the number of acres accomplished indicating the smoke concentrations were generally acceptable. 2. Burn Plan Brochure 3. Home Visits/Doorknob Notice 4. Personal Phone Calls 5. Pre-Burn Season News Releases or Paid Ads 6. Daily/Weekly News Releases or Paid Ads 7. Forest Prescribed Burn Web Information Page 8. Burn Information Hotline 9 Science Support: Fuel Loading and Consumption Two highly regarded Forest Service fire research teams are located in Seattle and provided science support during the Naches trial. Fuel loading is a critical variable for accurately estimating total smoke production and assessing the potential impacts of a prescribed fire on air quality. Forest Service scientists with the Fire and Environmental Research Applications team (FERA) measured preburn fuel loading and post burn fuel consumption in two of the areas proposed for burning: Devils Table, and Kaboom (Figure 8). Preburn fuel loading values measured by Naches District personnel were evaluated. Although the values for individual fuelbed categories (i.e. sound woody material greater than 3 inches in diameter and litter) did not match exactly with the scientists’ findings, the total fuel loading values determined by the Naches District were found to be quite accurate especially given that the scientists focused their measurements in the higher loading, logging slash areas and the district personnel covered more of the varied fuel types throughout the areas to be burned. Duff loading may be the one area where the Naches measurements resulted in underestimates (Table 4). The fuel loading and fuel consumption estimates were used with the BlueSky smoke dispersion model described in the next section. Figure 8: Pre and post burn fuel loadings were measured by Forest Service scientists at Devils Table and Kaboom. Table 4: Woody, litter, and duff fuel loading measured at the Devils Table and Kaboom units compared with Naches Ranger District measurements. Devils Table Kaboom FS Research (tons/acre) Naches District (tons/acre) FS Research (tons/acre) Naches District (tons/acre) 0-3” 3.3 6.0 3.5 3.7 3+” 7.2 5.8 4.1 2.9 Total Woody 10.5 11.8 7.6 6.3 Litter 1.5 1.0 1.7 0.8 Duff 11.1 6.0 9.9 5.0 Total All Fuels 23.1 18.8 19.2 12.1 Fuelbed Categories Woody 10 Measured preburn loading values were processed through a fuel consumption and emissions model (CONSUME 3.0) to derive estimates of fuel consumed and smoke produced (PM2.5) per acre (Table 5). Table 5: Fuel loading, fuel consumption, and PM2.5 emissions measured or predicted for the Devils Table and Kaboom units. Devils Table Fuelbed Category Measured Consumption tons/acre Modeled Consumption tons/acre 0-3 3+ Litter Duff Total 2.0 3.2 0.5 3.3 9.0 3.4 0.8 1.4 3.7 9.2 Kaboom PM 2.5 tons/acre 0.12 The measurements made by the scientists were used to improve the accuracy of the BlueSky smoke dispersion model and also to estimate total smoke emissions from the burning. Acreage blackened on the Devils Table unit totaled 626 equating to approximately 75 tons of PM2.5 emitted over the duration of the burning. For Kaboom, about 1,745 acres were blackened equating to approximately 209 tons of emitted PM2.5. Measured Consumption tons/acre Modeled Consumption tons/acre 3.1 1.1 1.6 3.2 9.0 3.4 0.6 1.6 4.1 9.6 PM 2.5 tons/acre 0.12 teorological, emissions, fuel consumption, and dispersion models. The results of these models are then overlain on a topographic GIS map for easy visualization. The Forest Service scientists who are the developers of the BlueSky model assisted with the Naches pilot by running customized burn scenarios on a daily basis and providing the results to OWNF decision makers. One example on following page shows the potential smoke impacts overnight in Yakima if the district had ignited 125 acres on May 24 (which they did not do). The red circles indicate the trajectory of an air parcel leaving the burn unit and its height above the ground (Figure 9). Science Support: Smoke Dispersion Modeling with BlueSky The BlueSky smoke dispersion model links together many sub components including me- Figure 9: The BlueSky smoke dispersion model was used to predict ground level smoke accumulations and improve decisions during the Naches pilot. 11 Results of the goal but still far greater than had been accomplished in previous years. Typically the Naches District accomplishes about 1,500-2,000 acres during the annual spring burning window. Certain features of the pilot were especially useful to accomplishing the extra burning including the dedicated IMET and the modified decision process (Figure 10). The Naches District proposed burning up to 5,500 acres in 4 distinct units in the spring of 2007 under conditions of a multi-day burn pilot. About 3,500 acres were accomplished in 2 units during a spring burning window that lasted about 5 weeks and included 16 days of active ignition (Table 6). Acres accomplished were short Table 6: Burning accomplishments on the Naches district spring 2007. Date Unit April 23, 2007 April 24, 2007 April 25, 2007 April 26, 2007 April 27, 2007 April 28, 2007 April 30, 2007 May 1, 2007 May 7, 2007 May 8, 2007 May 9, 2007 May 10, 2007 May 11, 2007 May 14, 2007 May 15, 2007 May 15, 2007 May 16, 2007 May 17, 2007 May 18, 2007 May 23, 2007 May 24, 2007 Kaboom Devils Table Devils Table Devils Table Devils Table Devils Table Devils Table Devils Table Devils Table Devils Table Devils Table Devils Table Devils Table Devils Table Kaboom Devils Table Kaboom Kaboom Kaboom Kaboom Kaboom Proposed Approved Acres Acres Acres Black1 100 75 200 125 100 75 200 200 200 200 100 125 200 0 75 * * 0 75 100 * * * * 125 * 150 50 2500 500 200 * * * 500 * 10 5 0 0 45 120 0 0 28 120 60 64 104 80 20 80 20 185 1300 210 0 Reason for Difference in Proposed vs. Accomplished (Yellow highlight indicates smoke concern) No permit needed, < 100 tons No permit needed, < 100 tons No DNR approval, dispersion conditions unfavorable No burning, humidity high, fuels too wet Limited burning, humidity high, fuels too wet No DNR approval, dispersion conditions unfavorable No burning, rain on unit District decision to stop ignition, smoke not lofting. Ignition duration restricted due to marginal dispersion Ignition duration restricted due to marginal dispersion Ignition duration restricted due to marginal dispersion Residual burning within the unit perimeter Extra area ignited due to favorable dispersion District decision for no ignition due to smoke concern 1 Acres blackened is best for calculating emissions although the Forest often tracks a different, higher value for acres accomplished. Acres accomplished includes unburned areas within the perimeter of the burn unit. *Burn / no burn decision made by Okanogan-Wenatchee National Forest under terms of the pilot. Figure 10: Fifty acres were planned for ignition on May 17, 2007 but since smoke dispersion was better than anticipated, and the conditions of the pilot left decisions to the local manager, a total of about 185 acres were ignited. 12 The burning was accomplished with minimal impacts to air quality in the vicinity as seen on the 5 monitors in the area (Figures 11 and 12). These figures show how critical meteorology is to good smoke dispersion. Following April 28 when 120 acres burned, the Nile monitor registered one of only two two-day occurrences of a “High” air quality value that was monitored during the burning. Whereas on May 18 with ideal dispersion and 1,300 acres burning all monitors remained in the “Good” air quality category. The monitor in Yakima (Figure 12) never showed a response to the burning. Three complaints about the burning, with two that were specific to smoke, were received from the public during the spring burning window. This seems to indicate that by and large, public concern was minimal. Daily 1-Hour Max Smoke Measurement and Acres Blackened (April and May 2007) 300 400 1300 Acres Blackened Windy Point 350 Nile 250 300 Tieton-Cowiche Moderate Air Quality Threshold 200 250 150 200 150 100 Acres Blackened by Day Particulate Concentration (ug/m3) Naches 100 50 50 0 4/1/2007 0 4/8/2007 4/15/2007 4/22/2007 4/29/2007 5/6/2007 5/13/2007 5/20/2007 5/27/2007 Figure 11: Daily 1-hour average particulate concentrations compared to acres blackened during the spring burning window. 24 Hour Average Daily Smoke Measurements and Acres Blackened (April and May 2007) 80 400 Acres Blackened 1300 Windy Point Nile 70 350 Naches 300 Yakima High Air Quality Threshold Moderate Air Quality Threshold 50 250 40 200 30 150 20 100 10 50 0 4/1/2007 0 4/8/2007 4/15/2007 4/22/2007 4/29/2007 5/6/2007 5/13/2007 5/20/2007 5/27/2007 Figure 12: Daily 24-hour average particulate concentrations compared to acres blackened during the spring burning window. 13 Acres Blackened by Day Particulate Concentration (ug/m3) Tieton-Cowiche 60 Conference Calls: Daily Naches-specific collaborative conference calls with OWNF fire staff, DNR smoke managers, and other Forest Service and National Weather Service science support staff were used for decision making. These focused conference calls were found to be highly useful for customizing daily burn plans, comparing weather forecasts, and reviewing past burning and effects. The conference calls helped the district accomplish more burning especially on marginal days when the initial request was not appropriate but something less could be accomplished. Costs of burning are important factor in determining the value of the pilot. Direct costs of the burning borne by the Naches District were lower in 2007 when calculated on a per acre basis. The programmatic cost for the 2007 burning was about $107 per acre accomplished whereas typical spring burning costs are in the range of $235-$266 per acre. The cost of burning varies greatly with the activity and personnel involved and on May 18, the day where aerial ignition (via helicopter) was employed, costs were low at about $11/acre. Whereas on April 23, a day the district was burning slowly and carefully around a structure - the White Pass Work Center, costs were many times higher or about $663/acre. This indicates that the ability to increase the use of multi-day, landscape level burning on the OWNF in future years could result in significant cost savings. The additional costs to implement successful features of the pilot would need to be factored in for a more valid estimate of potential savings. Modified Decision Process: The modified decision process for prescribed burn permitting enabled the Forest Supervisor to approve additional burning, once an initial approval was granted by DNR. This enabled extra burning to be accomplished under the existing smoke management plan. For example, one day the permit was for 50 acres but the District had the information (visual observations and predicted meteorology) and flexibility needed to accomplish 185. The modified process was highly useful for accomplishing extra burning. The results of the pilot show how more burning can be accomplished in the Naches area without serious impacts to air quality. The most useful components of the pilot should be implemented in other areas of the OWNF in the future so that fire can be used successfully to treat the fuels build-up, improve forest health, and reduce the risk of catastrophic wildfire. Monitoring Instruments and Trigger Point Plan: Four smoke monitoring instruments were deployed at strategic locations downwind of the burns. In addition, pre-defined air quality trigger levels and subsequent actions were defined to aid daily go/no-go decision making. The instruments (EBAMs) were found to be time consuming to operate and erratic in their performance. In addition, the several-hour lag time for data posting to the internet made the information of less value to operational decisions although there was value to seeing air quality impacts from the day prior. Monitoring and trigger points may be a necessary part of future burning to gain trust and support from regulatory agencies and the public although the monitoring is time consuming and does not increase the burning window. Conclusions and Recommendations Numerous components were brought together to support the Naches spring burning. Following is a list of all procedures that were used for the pilot and an assessment of their usefulness: IMET: A dedicated, onsite National Weather Service Incident Meteorologist (IMET) was assigned to the district to provide real time weather and smoke forecasts. Custom forecasts, balloon soundings, immediate availability of weather predictions, local knowledge gained for terrain effects are all examples of advantages gained through the dedicated assignment of the IMET to this pilot. This service was deemed highly useful for increasing the burning window and is recommended for future efforts. Outreach: Extra effort was made for public outreach in support of the Naches spring burning. Ultimately, public support for increased use of fire, and the resulting risk of smoke impacts, is the best way to ensure this work can be accomplished. 14 BlueSky Smoke Dispersion Modeling: Forest Service scientists provided customized BlueSky smoke dispersion modeling and interpretation. This information was valuable to the daily decisions although this sort of operational support is not a function the scientists can provide routinely. The BlueSky modeling framework should be updated to better accommodate this functionality. We recommend training IMETs or other Forest personnel to provide the daily, operational support. Fuel Measurement: Forest Service scientists measured preburn fuel loadings and post burn fuel consumption to increase the accuracy of BlueSky predictions, and as a comparison to Naches District fuel monitoring techniques and results. The measurements helped identify shortcomings in the ability of current consumption and emissions models to accurately predict smoldering duration and smoke transport in BlueSky. We recommend future research efforts to help solve these model shortcomings. The work also found the routine fuel measurements made by the District to be very accurate. This report was prepared through the collaborative efforts of the following Forest Service personnel: In addition, the Naches 2007 Burn Pilot effort could not have succeeded without the support and assistance of: Janice Peterson, Air Resource Specialist, Washington National Forests Julia Ruthford, National Weather Service Meteorologist Jim Bailey, Naches District Fuels Planner Washington State Department of Natural Resources, Resource Protection Division Tom Robison, OWNF Water and Air Program Manager Washington State Department of Ecology Air Quality Program Roger Ottmar, Research Scientist, Pacific Wildland Fire Sciences Lab Yakima Regional Clean Air Authority Miriam Rorig, Research Meteorologist, Pacific Wildland Fire Sciences Lab Dan O’Connor, OWNF Graphic Design 15