Basicsofweatherinterpretation SafetyatSeaSeminar, April2nd 2016 Dr.GinaHenderson Oceanography Dept., USNA ghenders@usna.edu Imagesource:http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/NaturalHazards/view.php?id=80399,accessed03/03/13 Thegoalofthissessionis to: § Understandmainfeatureson asurfaceweatherchart § Cloudinterpretationasit relatestosailingconditions § SevereweatherontheBay& enroutetoBermuda § Introduceupperatmospheric chart@500mb specifically Imagesource:www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov Weatherproductsfrom NOAAOceanPredictionCenter Weatherproductsfrom NOAAOceanPredictionCenter Weatherproductsfrom NOAAOceanPredictionCenter Letusidentifysome featuresonthis SurfaceAnalysismap: Imagesource: www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov Letusidentifysome featuresonthis SurfaceAnalysismap: § § § § Surfacemap “ISSUED” à timeanalysiswas released “VALID” à Timeconditions apply UTC/GMT/Zulutime Imagesource: www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov Letusidentifysome featuresonthis SurfaceAnalysismap: § H vs.L? § H vs.Lrelativeto what? Meansealevelpressure à 1013millibars § Pressuregradients? § Fronts? Imagesource: www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov Pressuregradients: Atthesurfacewindscrosstheisobarstoward lowpressure andawayfromhighpressure SurfaceHighpressurecenter SurfaceLowpressurecenter § § Windsdivergeatcenter Clockwise(anticyclonic flow) § § Windsconvergeatcenter Counter-clockwise(cyclonic flow) Wind101 § Windà horizontalmovementofair § ‘Naming’wind o Fromsourcedirection Wind101 § Measuringwindspeed o Knots o MPH o BeaufortScale….“force1-12” PressureGradient § Increasedgradientà increasedwindspeed Letusidentifysome featuresonthis SurfaceAnalysismap: § Wherearethe strongestwindson thischart? § Whatdirectionare theyflowing? Imagesource: www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov Letusidentifysome featuresonthis SurfaceAnalysismap: § Interpretinga stationmodel Imagesource: www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov Letusidentifysome featuresonthis SurfaceAnalysismap: § Interpretinga stationmodel Imagesource: www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov Interpretingastationmodel Interpretingastationmodel Interpretingastationmodel Interpretingastationmodel: Whatinformationarewegiven? § § § § § § § § Surfacepressure(upperright) Pressuretendency(notshownhere) Waveheight(lowerright) Temperature(upperleft) Dewpointtemp(lowerleft) Windspeed&direction Skyconditions(middle) Seasurfacetemp(lowermiddle) Interpretingastationmodel: Whatinformationarewegiven? 10.9 109 Pressurerangeis960mb to1060mb.Youmustdecideifa9or10 shouldgoinfrontofthepressure. Interpretingastationmodel: Whatinformationarewegiven? Inthiscase 10.9 1010.9mb 109 Pressurerangeis960mb to1060mb.Youmustdecideifa9or10 shouldgoinfrontofthepressure. Interpretingastationmodel: Whatinformationarewegiven? § § § § § § § § Surfacepressure(upperright) Pressuretendency(notshownhere) Waveheight(lowerright) Temperature(upperleft) Dewpointtemp(lowerleft) Windspeed&direction Skyconditions(middle) Seasurfacetemp(lowermiddle) Whatcancloudstellusabout approachingweathersystems? Skyconditions: Cloudtypes&identification Namedbasedon: § Height § Shape Cirrus=thinandwispy Stratus=flatcloudsinlayers Cumulus=puffycloudsinheaps Nimbostratus =rain(greyincolor) Cumulonimbus=thunderstorm 4maintypesofthunderstorms,dependingonhow organizedthesystemis…... 1. Airmass à awayfromfrontalboundary § driven byintense surface heating, rarelyproduceshail/tornadoes 2. Squall lineà alineofstorms,often alongafrontalboundary § Associated withheavyprecipitation, windsandpotentiallyhail/tornadoes 4maintypesofthunderstorms,dependingonhow organizedthesystemis…... 3. Multi-cell à storms occurinclusters § Mostcommoninspring/summer 4. Supercellà mostintense andsevere § Supercell thunderstorm updraftsALWAYS rotate Thunderstormclouds -- greentingemayindicatepresence ofhail Thunderstormclouds -- Hookecho,Tulsa03/30/16 SquallLine § Longlineofthunderstorms o individual“cells”aresoclosetogethertheheavy precipitationformsalongcontinuousline § Typicallyformalonganadvancingcoldfront o Sometimesassociatedwithacoldfrontaloft § Canbehundredsofmileslong § Mostcommonlyassociatedwithstrongstraight-line winds o Canproducehailand/ortornadoes,too § Called“squall”becauseoftheabruptwindchanges SquallLines Squalllinethunderstorms SquallLines Squalllinethunderstorms L Squallline approaching Memphis,TN. Notetheheaviest precip isalongthe leading(eastern) edgeoftheline, withmoderate– but stillcontinuous – rainfalloccurring 100+kmbehind(to thewest)ofthe “line” Shelfcloud:foundalongtheleadingedge ofthegustfront SquallLines SquallLines Letusidentifysome featuresonthis SurfaceAnalysismap: § Pressuregradients § Fronts? Afrontisatransition zonebetweentwoair massesofdifferent temperatureand moisturecontent(they havedifferentdensities) Imagesource: www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov AirMasses haveuniformtemperature&moisturecharacteristics Figure 5.21 Letusidentifysome featuresonthis SurfaceAnalysismap: Fronts,4maintypes 1. Astationaryfront 2. Acoldfront 3. Awarmfront 4. Anoccludedfront Imagesource: www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov Midlatitudecyclones=clashoftwodifferentairmasstypes! Imagesource:http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/usdwmsfcbw.pdf, accessed04/01/14 § Letuscomparethesurfaceobservations ahead,andbehindthefront StationaryFront Coldair . X Warmair § Cloudtypesdependonthe atmosphericstability § Precipitationintensity dependsonthesituation ColdFront marksthe“front”ofacoldairmass § Howisitrepresented onamap? § Whattypeofclouds andweatherisitassociated with? WarmFront marksthe“front”ofawarmairmass § Howisitrepresented onamap? § Whattypeofclouds andweatherisitassociated with? OccludedFront § Cloudsand precipitation depend ontheatmospheric stability Thefollowing criteria areusedtolocate fronts: 1. Sharptemperature changes 2. Sharpdewpointchanges 3. Windshiftlines 4. Pressurechanges (pressure“tendency”) 5. Thepresenceofclouds andprecipitation cP mP cT mT Thefollowing criteria areusedtolocate fronts: 1. Sharptemperature changes 2. Sharpdewpointchanges 3. Windshiftlines 4. Pressurechanges (pressure“tendency”) 5. Thepresenceofclouds andprecipitation Interpretingastationmodel: Whatinformationarewegiven? § § § § § § § § Surfacepressure(upperright) Pressuretendency(notshownhere) Waveheight(lowerright) Temperature(upperleft) Dewpointtemp(lowerleft) Windspeed&direction Skyconditions(middle) Seasurfacetemp(lowermiddle) Waterholdingcapacityof atmosphere….. Amountofwaterinatmosphere…. Dewpointdepression=T- TD Imagesource:http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/usdwmsfcbw.pdf, accessed04/01/14 Howdoweforecastwheresurface systemswillmove? LookUP! Letusidentifysome featuresonthis SurfaceAnalysismap: § Wherewillour surfacesystems moveto? § Willtheyintensify orweaken? Imagesource: www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov 500mbChart:forecast -- Givesustheheightwherewereach500mbofpressure 500mbChartvs.Surfacechart 500mbChart:forecast -- Alsocalledthe‘steeringlevel’oftheatmosphere LetustrackwhereoursurfaceLowandsurfaceHigh go…... L H 24-hourforecastedsurfacemap Weatherproductsfrom NOAAOceanPredictionCenter 24-hourwind&waveproduct 24-hourwind&waveproduct Waveheight (ft)=totalheightfromcresttotrough Hurricanes AtlantichurricaneseasonrunsfromJune1sttoNovember30th Hurricanes AtlantichurricaneseasonrunsfromJune1sttoNovember30th Thegoalofthissessionis to: ü Understandmainfeatureson asurfaceweatherchart ü Cloudinterpretationasit relatestosailingconditions ü SevereweatherontheBay& enroutetoBermuda Dr.GinaHenderson OceanographyDept.,USNA ghenders@usna.edu ü Introduceupperatmospheric chart@500mb specifically Imagesource:www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov