Taylor Captline Matthew Chadwell Hadd Francis 41 companies 12.04% of S&P 500 13.06% of SIM Portfolio Telecommunica tion Services, 2.40% Utilities, Cash, 2.50% 3.69% Materials, 3.88% Sector Industries include: Agricultural Products Industrials, 9.44% Brewers Information Distiller and Vinters Technology, 19.92% Food Distributors Household Products Hypermarkets and Supermarkets Packaged Foods and Meats Personal Products Retail – Drugs Retail – Food Soft Drinks Tobacco Consumer Discretionary, 7.93% Consumer Staples, 13.06% Energy, 11.31% Health Care, 17.74% Financials, 8.14% Colgate Palmolive Terminal Discount Rate $76.05 9% 10% 10% 11% 11% 12% 12% 1% $86.95 $90.77 $95.14 $100.19 $106.07 $113.03 $121.37 $80.71 $83.95 $87.62 $91.82 $96.66 $102.30 $108.98 $75.21 $77.97 $81.08 $84.60 $88.63 $93.28 $98.70 $70.32 $72.69 $75.35 $78.33 $81.71 $85.58 $90.04 $65.96 $68.00 $70.28 $72.83 $75.70 $78.94 $82.65 $62.03 $63.81 $65.78 $67.97 $70.42 $73.17 $76.29 $58.49 $60.05 $61.76 $63.65 $65.75 $68.10 $70.75 Terminal 2% FCF 2% Growth 3% Rate 3% 4% 4% Weights Target DCF 25% $76.05 Forward P/E 25% $76.05 Price/Sales 25% $76.05 Price/CF 25% $76.05 TARGET PRICE $75.98 Terminal FCF Growth Rate Terminal Discount Rate 47.34 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 1% 49.37 42.98 38.02 34.06 30.83 28.14 2% 54.08 46.23 40.35 35.78 32.12 29.14 3% 60.68 50.57 43.34 37.93 33.71 30.34 4% 70.58 56.64 47.34 40.69 35.69 31.80 5% 87.07 65.75 52.93 44.37 38.24 33.63 6% 120.06 80.93 61.32 49.53 41.64 35.98 • • • • Risk Free Rate: 3.71% Market Premium: 7.00% CAPM Discount Factor: 6.23% I used 9.81% Terminal FCF Growth $ 59.73 2.5% $ 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 9.00% 56.55 $ 59.73 63.48 67.99 73.49 9.25% 54.17 $ 57.05 60.43 64.45 69.31 Discount Rate 9.50% 51.97 $ 54.58 57.63 61.23 65.56 9.75% 49.92 $ 52.30 55.06 58.30 62.16 10.00% 48.01 $ 50.19 52.70 55.62 59.08 10.25% 46.24 48.23 50.51 53.16 56.27 $57.58 Current: $50.59 Implied upside: 13.8% H. J. Heinz Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacturing and marketing food products throughout the world. The company’s products include ketchup, condiments and sauces, frozen food, soups, beans and pasta meals, infant nutrition and other processed food products. The company’s products are manufactured and packaged to provide safe, wholesome foods for consumers, as well as foodservice and institutional customers. The company’s products are sold through its own sales organizations and through independent brokers, agents and distributors to chain, wholesale, cooperative and independent grocery accounts, convenience stores, bakeries, pharmacies, mass merchants, club stores, foodservice distributors and institutions, including hotels, restaurants, hospitals, health-care facilities, and certain government agencies. WMT: 13.8% CL: 9.55% PM: 11.02% HNZ: 28% Current Weight Sell/Buy New Weight PM 2.42% 68bps 1.74% CL 2.64% 68bps 1.69% WMT 3.50% 68bps 2.82% 102bps 1.02% HNZ 0